$Oracle(ORCL)$ Oracle is putting $55.7 billion into Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, AI GPUs, networking, and new data centers. Meta is investing $40 billion in a data center in Louisiana. The implications of that kind of spending seem pretty clear, to me.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Everyone's talking about the downgrade today, but the price action tells a different story. Apple opened around $311, sellers had their chance, and buyers stepped in throughout the day. It recovered to nearly $316 intraday and closed around $315, which shows there's still demand. If buyers can push above today's high, I think $318–320 could be in play. Price action matters more than headlines, and today showed the bulls aren't backing down.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Rising oil and gas prices usually act as a tailwind for TSLA. When fuel gets expensive, the lower cost of travel becomes a stronger selling point. That's one of the cleaner demand drivers for Tesla in the current environment.
It's difficult to take a bearish view on robotics, particularly the actuator, bearings, and actuator components market. The reason is that these components make up over 50% of the total bill-of-materials cost for many humanoid robots. According to Morgan Stanley, the humanoid robotics market is projected to grow 300-fold by 2050. A few names I'm keeping an eye on: $RBC Bearings(RBC)$ The humanoid robotics opportunity could be massive relative to its current revenue base of around $50 million. $Regal Rexnord(RRX)$ Management has characterized the humanoid opportunity as something that, "when it takes off, it's going to take off quick." It trades at a significantly lower valuation than RBC. Harmon
$Apple(AAPL)$ The iPhone 17 Pro models are set to use 12GB of DRAM. Apple's estimated cost for that is around $39. For the base storage, like 256GB NAND, it's about $13. So the overall bill of materials for a base iPhone 17 Pro comes to roughly $582. This contributed to the modest price adjustments, like the $50 hikes on some Pro models where the base storage doubled from 128GB to 256GB. Looking ahead to the expected 2026 iPhone 18, projections show much higher memory costs due to global shortages and AI server demand. The DRAM for around 12GB could jump to about $145, nearly four times higher. The 256GB storage might rise to around $51. That puts the total BOM for a base iPhone 18 Pro potentially at $726, a 25% increase. Analysts have linked
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ At these prices, MSFT is definitely buying back shares. They've been doing it and will continue to, as they have a ton of cash set aside for that purpose.
Cash is becoming a weapon again. Balance sheet strength means optionality in this cycle. Here are the largest cash positions among the mega-cap leaders: $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ - $397B $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ - $143B $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ - $127B $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - $81B $Microsoft(MSFT)$ - $78B In volatile regimes, liquidity isn't just defensive—it's offensive firepower for buybacks, AI capex, and M&A. That's why capital still rotates back to the strongest balance sheets first when stress hits the market.
The massive deal signed by $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ serves as a proof of concept for GEV. It validates that off-grid, “behind-the-meter” natural gas power plants can directly and reliably fuel massive AI data centers. The initial phase of this data center and power project (“Project Kilby”) is estimated to cost $7B. Under the 20-year Power Purchase Agreement, $Chevron(CVX)$ will develop an off-grid natural gas power plant in West Texas to supply dedicated electricity to a new $Microsoft(MSFT)$ AI data center campus. The specialized turbines required for Project Kilby are already factored
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft is so oversold that even a broad market drop can't push it lower anymore. We've hit the floor, and the only way forward is up.