Mkoh
10-24

Why Consider Shifting to Old-School Value Now?A full pivot? Not yet—the Titans' momentum (e.g., Nvidia's projected $3T market cap) suggests growth could run longer. But partial rotation makes sense for these reasons:Valuation Stretch: U.S. growth trades at premiums (e.g., high P/E ratios from AI capex), risking a pullback if earnings disappoint or rates stay "higher for longer." Value sectors like financials and energy are at historical discounts, offering a buffer.

Fed Cuts Favor Value: With rate reductions underway, high-yield value stocks (e.g., dividend aristocrats) thrive on lower borrowing costs and income stability, unlike growth's reliance on future promises.

Diversification Imperative: Titan concentration amplifies volatility—markets are "climbing a wall of worry" with U.S.-China tensions and fiscal strains looming. Value adds ballast, especially non-U.S. plays.

Momentum Shift Evidence: Large-cap value dividends are drawing flows amid all-time highs, with sector rotation accelerating in October (e.g., energy and industrials leading).

Actionable Steps:Core Value ETFs: Start with VTV (Vanguard Value) or IWD (iShares Russell 1000 Value) for broad exposure—low fees, ~3% yields.

Targeted Picks: Focus on undervalued, high-quality names trading below fair value with strong yields.

List to lookout for

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

Oil demand steady; 14% below fair value

Medtronic (MDT)

Device innovation; 20% below fair value

Merck (MRK)

Vaccine pipeline; 25% below fair value

PepsiCo (PEP)

Dividend aristocrat; 17% below fair value

Old-School Stocks Shing! Prefer “Story Stocks” or “Cash-Paying” Ones?
Old giants are making a comeback! Recently, several long-standing industry leaders have been showing strong performance, and sector rotation seems to be underway. As tech cools off, traditional industries like retail giants (Walmart) and industrial stocks are catching investor attention. Is this a temporary rally, or the start of a broader shift back to classic winners? Are traditional “old giant” stocks the safer bet in the current market? Which traditional industries do you think have the most upside potential this year?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Enid Bertha
    10-24
    Enid Bertha
    XOM just keeps plodding along. Nice dividend, but not much price action until oil prices increase. Hard to make any money below $65/ barrell.

  • Venus Reade
    10-24
    Venus Reade
    Will see an increase in dividends next quarter, most likely to $1.00 per quarter, got to keep that consecutive streak going

  • Mkoh
    10-24
    Mkoh
    Yeap good to have a hedge other than the tech plays
  • breezzi
    10-24
    breezzi
    Great insights
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