Shyon
02-04
Semiconductors have clearly shifted from last year’s AI storytelling to a hard execution phase. Capital is chasing memory names, while logic and architecture players are under intense scrutiny on real orders, margins, and guidance. This earnings week is less about vision and more about proof.

My predictions:
AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop
I expect $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ to benefit from solid AI accelerator momentum and data center demand, enough to drive a post-arnings bounce. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , despite past issues, could see a relief rally if management shows backlog conversion and margin stabilization.

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ still faces headwinds from a weak mobile market, with AI PC & edge AI contributions likely too early to impress. $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ , even after a sharp correction, remains, highly valued & if licensing growth doesn’t clearly exceed expectations, downside pressure may continue.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

Semi Selloff! Can ALAB, ANET & ON Defy The AMD Trap?
Tech is reeling after AMD and Qualcomm's brutal earnings plunge. With AMD crushed by high expectations and Qualcomm hit by memory shortages, investors are fleeing to "hardcore infrastructure." Next week, Astera Labs (ALAB), Arista Networks (ANET), and onsemi (ON) will prove if the AI backbone is still solid. Can these connectivity and power leaders provide the safe haven the market desperately needs, or is the chip correction just beginning? Is AI infrastructure still the safest bet after the AMD meltdown? Which ticker are you buying for a rebound: ALAB, ANET, or ON?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Esther_Ryan
    02-04
    Esther_Ryan
    $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ just reported its Quarterly earnings showing off a 123% jump YoY in net sales to $12.7B, vs. $10.43B est. However the company conveniently kept silent on these data because it will expose how almost all of those revenues have been fabricated via pass through vendor financing on steroids ⚠️ 🚩 Account receivables up 500% to ~11bn$ in 6 months 🚩 Inventories up 228% to ~10.6bn$ in 6 months 🚩 Account payables up 1053% in 6 months to ~13.75bn$ 🚩 Cash and Equivalents DOWN 22% in 6 months to ~4.1bn$ 🚩 Gross margins DOWN to 6.3% vs 9.3% the previous quarter
    • Shyon
      Thanks for sharing
  • 1PC
    02-04
    1PC
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