Shyon
02-05
From my perspective, this isn’t “software is dead” — it’s the market aggressively repricing which software actually has a moat. The narrative flipped fast, and crowded positioning made the selloff look brutal. This feels more like fear-driven de-rating than fundamentals suddenly breaking.

$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ hitting $1 trillion makes sense because AI is amplifying businesses with physical scale and operational complexity. AI turns Walmart’s logistics and supply chain into real profit leverage, while many software companies now have to prove they’re essential, not optional.

So I lean toward B: this is an overreaction, not the end of software. But the $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan credit warning matters — if stress spreads into BDCs, volatility isn’t done. The opportunity is selective: only software with mission-critical roles and pricing power deserves to bounce.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

After $1T AI Rebound: Dead-Cat Bounce or Real Turn?
After last week’s AI-led selloff, US equities staged a $1 trillion rebound, with the S&P 500 posting its best single-day gain since May. Yet confidence remains thin. Implied volatility is still elevated, trading volume ran ~13% below average, and Goldman’s short-bias basket jumped ~9%, hinting the rally was driven by short covering rather than fresh conviction. Investors are struggling to price a murky US outlook while reassessing AI’s winner-takes-all impact, especially on software. Is the rebound a dead cat bounce? Would you add stocks now?
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