zlance
04-06 18:22

Markets are trading the headlines, not the reality.

Without a clear outcome acknowledged by both sides, this conflict is likely to drag — meaning relief rallies may fade quickly as growth and inflation concerns resurface.

Geopolitics has a short memory cycle. The next headline will reset the trade.

Buy selectively on dips, but keep dry powder — escalation risk (especially from Iran) is not fully priced.

Separately, I remain long AI exposure via names such as $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  , $Micron Technology(MU)$   ,  $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$   and $Broadcom(AVGO)$  .

These were widely seen as “overvalued” at the highs, yet continued to push to new levels. Now, after 30–50% drawdowns, sentiment has flipped — and many are unwilling to re-enter.

US-Iran Conflict | 10-Point Counter-Response, Is the War Coming to End?
Iran proposes a 10-point document, centered on three key areas: Permanent End to Hostilities: Rejects short-term arrangements such as 45- or 60-day ceasefires, calling instead for a complete end to hostilities that began in February 2026. Hormuz Strait Security Framework: Proposes establishing a new regional-led security architecture, rather than reverting to pre-war conditions. Economic Compensation & Sanctions Relief: Demands the U.S. immediately lift additional energy sanctions imposed after the outbreak of war and provide compensation for damaged infrastructure.
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