Markets are trading the headlines, not the reality.
Without a clear outcome acknowledged by both sides, this conflict is likely to drag — meaning relief rallies may fade quickly as growth and inflation concerns resurface.
Geopolitics has a short memory cycle. The next headline will reset the trade.
Buy selectively on dips, but keep dry powder — escalation risk (especially from Iran) is not fully priced.
Separately, I remain long AI exposure via names such as $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Micron Technology(MU)$ , $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ .
These were widely seen as “overvalued” at the highs, yet continued to push to new levels. Now, after 30–50% drawdowns, sentiment has flipped — and many are unwilling to re-enter.
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