Shyon
04-06 23:18
Last week felt like a relief rally, with the SPX and Nasdaq snapping their losing streak. But oil at $112 and rising gold prices tell me this isn’t a clean risk-on move—geopolitical risks are still driving part of the market.

I’m seeing a split underneath the surface. Tech and AI names like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ and $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ remain strong, while consumer names like $Nike(NKE)$ show demand weakness. EVs are mixed too—$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ is strong, but $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is still under pressure, which I’m watching closely.

In Asia, the tone looks more defensive, with flows into banks, utilities, and commodities supporting indices like the $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$. This week, I’m focused on inflation data and the FOMC minutes—because if inflation stays sticky, volatility could return quickly.

@TigerObserver @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

US-Iran Conflict | Deal Window or Midnight Strike?
Trump set an 8 p.m. ET Tuesday deadline for Iran, threatening strikes on bridges and power plants if no deal emerges, while Iran answered with a 10-point counterproposal and mediators pushed for more time. That leaves the market stuck between two reads: real diplomatic progress, or just one more delay before escalation. Hormuz headlines are still driving the tension. Do you see this ending in a last-minute deal, or a fresh shock to oil and risk assets? Is this headline noise, or the real turning point?
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