Lanceljx
04-22 22:03
C. Semiconductors / AI infrastructure

NVIDIA still leads. CUDA remains deeply embedded, and near-term demand > supply. Custom chips are a long-term threat, not immediate.

AI Cloud: Microsoft Azure and Amazon AWS should improve, but growth is still capex-driven. Margins matter more than headline growth.

Ads: Google recovery looks partly base effect. Real test is sustained search demand amid AI disruption.

Consumer: Apple may struggle. China remains soft; Services helps but may not fully offset hardware weakness.

View: AI infra is the only clear, durable earnings engine this season.

Big Banks, Big Bar Too: Beat and Fade This Earnings Season?
Q1 earnings season is kicking off with big banks expected to post solid results, especially Citi, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley, while stronger trading, deal fees, and net interest income are supporting the setup. But that also creates the tension: if numbers come in “good,” is there still enough upside left, or has the market already priced in a clean quarter? Which matters more here — the actual beat, or 2026 guidance from management? If the banks deliver solid Q1 results, do you chase the group, or wait for a post-earnings fade?
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