Lanceljx
05-19

I would not over-interpret a single session selloff as a regime shift. Positioning had become crowded, so a sharp unwind was overdue regardless of the leadership change.


The transition from Jerome Powell to Kevin Warsh does matter, but mainly through uncertainty. Markets dislike losing a predictable policy anchor. That raises volatility, not necessarily changes the trend immediately.


On adding exposure, I would be selective rather than aggressive:


I would not deploy all cash here. Macro shorts rising suggests this could extend.


I would start scaling in gradually, especially into quality names that corrected on positioning rather than fundamentals.


For AI/semis, I would wait until after NVIDIA earnings. That event will likely set near-term direction for the entire complex.



If NVDA holds up well, this pullback becomes a buying opportunity. If it disappoints, you likely get a deeper leg down where risk-reward improves meaningfully.


So yes, this is a pullback worth engaging, but only in layers. Not a “buy the dip aggressively” moment yet.

Nasdaq 100 Breaks 30,000! How Do You Trade After New Highs?
The Nasdaq 100 breached the 30,000 milestone for the first time, driven by Micron's 18% surge, completing a doubling in under three years since the AI wave began in late 2022. The S&P 500 simultaneously hit an all-time high, with Tom Lee declaring the 'Mag-7 bear market officially over' as AI chips posted five consecutive days of gains as the primary driver of the breakout. Does the Nasdaq's first close above 30,000 mark a mid-cycle acceleration in the AI bull market — or is a reversal at this historic round-number level a risk worth watching?
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