Adz5150
07-01

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  

Most people are asking:

"Can AMD keep going?"

I think the better question is: Has the AI trade become so crowded that great companies now have to be perfect just to justify their valuation?

πŸ’‘ My View...? Uh oh! 

Today's rally wasn't just about AMD.

It was another reminder that the market is willing to aggressively reward any company with a credible AI growth story.

The opportunity is enormous...

...but so are expectations. Here he goes πŸ™„ 

That's why I think investors should spend less time asking whether AMD is a great business (I think it is) and more time asking what level of future success is already priced into the stock.

πŸ“Š Why I Think This - Nobody asked you ADZ

β€’ AI infrastructure spending continues to accelerate.

β€’ AMD is executing well and taking meaningful market share.

β€’ Strong packaging demand from TSMC supports the view that AI investment is far from over.

But...

History also tells us that when everyone agrees on a bullish story, expectations can become incredibly difficult to exceed.

A company doesn't need to disappoint for a stock to fall.

Sometimes it simply needs to be "less amazing" than investors expected.

βš–οΈ That's the difference between investing in a fantastic business...

...and investing at a fantastic price.

For me, that's the debate worth having.

πŸ’¬ Question for the community.. *About time*

Do you think AMD still offers attractive upside at today's valuation?

Or is the next stage of returns going to depend almost entirely on earnings continuing to surprise to the upside?

Adz 🫑 

Modified in.07-01
AMD Jumps 6.6% Toward Trillion-Dollar Club on Goldman Upgrade β€” Still a Buy?
AMD surged 6.61% to $552, leading the semiconductor rebound after Goldman Sachs raised price targets on both AMD and Teradyne (TER), reinforcing persistent sell-side conviction. Market debate intensified around whether AMD can join the trillion-dollar club before end of 2026, with the Dow's 53,000 breakthrough and Nasdaq rebound amplifying tech momentum. AMD's narrative of outperforming Nvidia year-to-date remains intact. With Goldman's backing meeting trillion-dollar upside, is this 6.6% high-volume rally the start of a new leg higher, or a short-term sentiment overshoot?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Adz5150
    07-02
    Adz5150
    Sooo quick update:


    Nobody asked me, AMD definitely didn’t ask me…


    …but apparently the market listened anyway. πŸ˜…πŸ“‰
Leave a comment
1
1