Adz5150
Adz5150
Small retail investor. Big curiosity. Stocks, AI & semis. Full-time Tiger Trade tragic 🐯🚀
60Follow
65Followers
27Topic
0Badge
avatarAdz5150
02:53

🚨 NVIDIA’S $5.2 TRILLION TEST: CAN THE AI KING STILL SHOCK WALL STREET?

Part 2 And basically a continuation from my bother NVIDIA post earlier this year on my thoughts. NVIDIA reports fiscal Q2 earnings on Wednesday, August 26. Normally that sentence alone would be enough to get attention. But this time the setup is ridiculous. NVIDIA is sitting around a US$5.2 trillion market cap. The stock closed Friday at US$214.72. Wall Street is expecting roughly US$92 billion in quarterly revenue and around US$2.09 adjusted EPS. That would be another extraordinary quarter for a company that is already the largest public company on the planet. And that is exactly where the problem begins. For NVIDIA now, being excellent may no longer be enough. 📊 THE NUMBERS ARE ALREADY INSANE Last quarter, NVIDIA generated US$81.6 billion in revenue, up 85% year on year. Data Center
🚨 NVIDIA’S $5.2 TRILLION TEST: CAN THE AI KING STILL SHOCK WALL STREET?
avatarAdz5150
08-17

🔥 The S&P 500 Is Near Record Highs. TWO Dates Have to Earn My Next Dollar.

The S&P 500 closed Friday at 7,785.76 after touching a record 7,816.70 during the week. We are basically sitting on the roof of the market. And right now my feed seems split into two camps. 🐂 Camp one: Buy the breakout. Don’t overthink it. New highs lead to new highs. 🐻 Camp two: Take profit immediately. Stocks are expensive. A correction has to be coming. I’m doing neither. I’m already invested, so I’m not running for the exit. But I’m also not throwing fresh money at record highs just because the chart is green. The market still has to earn my next dollar. And for me, that comes down to two dates. 📅 August 19: FOMC Minutes 📅 August 26: NVIDIA Earnings One tests the price investors are willing to pay for growth. The other tests whether the growth itself is still strong enough to deser
🔥 The S&P 500 Is Near Record Highs. TWO Dates Have to Earn My Next Dollar.
avatarAdz5150
08-17
Great article, would you like to share it?
@PawsAndProfits:Is this period the best ever for the market? Or is it a false positive?
avatarAdz5150
08-17
Great article, would you like to share it?
@TigerObserver:🪙 Tech Lit Up: NFLX, ADBE, CRM, MU & INTC All Jumped — One Macro Tailwind, Five Different Catalysts
avatarAdz5150
08-17
Great article, would you like to share it?
@DoTrading:NEW RECORD FOR THE S&P 500 — BUT THE REAL STORY IS INFLATION
avatarAdz5150
08-17
Great article, would you like to share it?
@nerdbull1669:U.S. Stock Market Mid-August Review and Late-Summer Sector Outlook
avatarAdz5150
08-16

🧠 Smart Money Can’t Agree on AI. That Might Be the Biggest 13F Signal

Everyone opens the latest 13F filings looking for the same thing: What did smart money buy? I think that misses the more interesting question. What if smart money itself cannot agree? 🤔 The latest Q2 2026 filings show exactly that. Across more than 6,000 institutional filings reviewed by Reuters, there was surprisingly little agreement about where the next big returns in technology will come from. Nearly 44% of institutions reduced exposure to the Magnificent Seven, while about 42% increased or initiated positions. That is almost a coin flip. For me, that might be more useful than any individual billionaire’s purchase. 🧠 Signal #1: The AI trade is splitting into different camps AI is no longer one trade. A year or two ago, the strategy could almost be simplified to: AI spending rises ➡️ ch
🧠 Smart Money Can’t Agree on AI. That Might Be the Biggest 13F Signal
avatarAdz5150
08-08

💰 Everyone Says “Buy the Dip.” I’m Still Holding Cash. Here’s Why.

#[🎁Reward: Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit?] There is a strange assumption in markets that being bullish means you need to be fully invested. I don’t agree. I remain bullish on the long-term AI opportunity. I already have exposure through names including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, alongside broader positions such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. But I am deliberately not fully invested yet. That is not because I think AI is dead. It is because I think keeping cash available is an investment decision too. 📉 A falling stock is not automatically a cheap stock This is the part I think gets lost during big corrections. When a stock drops 20%, 30% or even 40%, our brains immediately compare the new price with the old high. It looks cheap because it used t
💰 Everyone Says “Buy the Dip.” I’m Still Holding Cash. Here’s Why.
avatarAdz5150
08-06

📉 AMD Beat the Numbers but Lost the Narrative - What Must Happen Before I Add?

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ As a small AMD shareholder, I am not panicking, not only for my small margin.. or after the post-earnings sell-off but I am also not treating every red candle as an automatic buying opportunity. AMD’s second quarter results were objectively strong. Revenue reached a record $11.54 billion, rising 50% year over year and 13% sequentially. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.66 per share, non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 27%, and Data Center revenue surged 107% to approximately $6.7 billion. Data Center alone represented 58% of AMD’s total quarterly revenue. AMD also guided for third-quarter revenue of approximately $13 billion, plus or minus $300 million, representing roughly 41% annual growth and another 13% sequential increase at the midpoint. Its expecte
📉 AMD Beat the Numbers but Lost the Narrative - What Must Happen Before I Add?
avatarAdz5150
08-04
I’m voting C) Industrials, with $Eaton Corp PLC(ETN)$ as my preferred name from the list. AI growth is not only about chips and cloud platforms , data centres also require enormous investment in power distribution, electrical equipment and infrastructure. Eaton’s strong backlog gives it better earnings visibility than many higher-beta AI names. The valuation may already reflect plenty of optimism, so I wouldn’t chase aggressively at an all-time high. However, if hyperscaler capex remains strong, I believe the “picks and shovels” side of AI still has room to run. My view is that the AI-capex rally continues, but with sharper pullbacks and greater separation between genuine earnings growth and hype.
avatarAdz5150
08-04

🚀 Super Micro’s $60B Order Boom… Will It Become Revenue, Cash Flow, or an Execution Headache?

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Super Micro Computer caught the market’s attention after releasing a preliminary fiscal fourth-quarter update featuring two extraordinary figures. The company estimated that gross margin would reach 15%–17%, dramatically above its previous guidance of 8.2%–8.4%. It also revealed that it received more than US$60 billion in new orders during the quarter, pushing backlog to record levels. However, expected revenue remained near the lower end of its US$11 billion–US$12.5 billion guidance range. Management also attributed the margin improvement primarily to a favourable customer and product mix. The market understandably celebrated the update. But I believe the most important question is no longer whether d
🚀 Super Micro’s $60B Order Boom… Will It Become Revenue, Cash Flow, or an Execution Headache?
avatarAdz5150
08-04

🚀 Palantir Surges After “Otherworldly” Earnings — Can 93% Growth Finally Justify the Valuation?

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  Palantir has just delivered one of the strongest earnings reports I have seen "from a major software company! Wow. The company did not merely beat expectations. It nearly doubled revenue, accelerated both sides of its business, generated enormous free cash flow and raised its full year outlook by  roughly half a billion dollars. Shares jumped approximately 12–14% after hours, but one major question remains: Has Palantir finally grown into its premium valuation, or is the market once again getting carried away? 📊 The headline numbers Palantir reported: - Revenue: $1.94 billion, up 93% year over year - Adjusted earnings: $0.41 per share -  U.S. commercial revenue: $764 million, up 149% - U.S. g
🚀 Palantir Surges After “Otherworldly” Earnings — Can 93% Growth Finally Justify the Valuation?
avatarAdz5150
07-31

☁️ Amazon’s US$220 Billion AI Bet: Has AWS Just Passed the Microsoft Test?

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ As we head in to the new month!! AWS growth has accelerated to its fastest pace in years, but Amazon’s free cash flow has turned negative. Is this the beginning of an AI payoff, or the most expensive growth cycle in company history? Amazon has just delivered one of the most important earnings reports of the artificial-intelligence investment cycle. The headline numbers were strong. Revenue exceeded expectations. AWS accelerated. Artificial-intelligence demand remained enormous. Amazon shares jumped after hours. However, underneath the earnings beat sits a much more complicated question. Amazon now expects to invest approximately US$220 billion in capital expenditure during 2026, up from its previous expectation of around US
☁️ Amazon’s US$220 Billion AI Bet: Has AWS Just Passed the Microsoft Test?
avatarAdz5150
07-29
Microsoft is my pick. The key question isn’t whether AI demand is strong, it’s whether Azure growth and Copilot revenue are beginning to justify the enormous infrastructure spend. If Microsoft can show accelerating AI monetisation while protecting margins, I think it could set the tone for the entire tech sector this week. If capex rises faster than revenue again, the market may become much less patient. gotta be a winner here. 
avatarAdz5150
07-29
Yeah boy 
avatarAdz5150
07-29
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft is my pick. The key question isn’t whether AI demand is strong, it’s whether Azure growth and Copilot revenue are beginning to justify the enormous infrastructure spend. If Microsoft can show accelerating AI monetisation while protecting margins, I think it could set the tone for the entire tech sector this week. If capex rises faster than revenue again, the market may become much less patient.
avatarAdz5150
07-26

Tesla’s 14.5% Plunge: Buying Opportunity—or a Warning That the AI Dream Is Getting Too Expensive? 🚗🤖

Alright we've got a good one here before we head in to a new week!! Teslas caused some discussion hey!? Let's break it down. ————————————————— A 14.5% fall in Tesla is not an ordinary $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  earnings reaction. It is the market questioning whether Tesla’s AI, Robotaxi and robotics future can arrive quickly enough to justify the enormous spending happening today. The strange part is that Tesla’s operating figures were not all bad. Tesla produced 451,758 vehicles, delivered 480,126 vehicles and deployed 13.5 GWh of energy-storage products during Q2. Deliveries were also well above the company-compiled analyst consensus of approximately 406,000 vehicles. So why did investors react so harshly? Because Tesla is no longer being v
Tesla’s 14.5% Plunge: Buying Opportunity—or a Warning That the AI Dream Is Getting Too Expensive? 🚗🤖
avatarAdz5150
07-26
Repost as requested! 
avatarAdz5150
07-26
@niotbs I’d love to.
@Adz5150:IBM’s 25% Collapse: A Broken AI Story…or the Start of a Major Market Rotation?
avatarAdz5150
07-18

Nvidia at $203: AI Bargain or Are Expectations Still Too High?

Nvidia has pulled back to around $203 after trading above $206 during the session. For most companies, a drop would immediately raise questions about whether the business is weakening. With Nvidia, the question is different. The company is still producing enormous growth, dominating AI infrastructure and reporting numbers that most businesses could only dream of. The real question is whether even outstanding performance is enough when investors already expect near perfection. Nvidia’s latest quarterly revenue reached a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year earlier. Data Centre revenue climbed to $75.2 billion, an increase of 92%. The company also maintained a gross margin of roughly 75%, showing that its growth is still highly profitable. Those numbers suggest the AI investment boom is
Nvidia at $203: AI Bargain or Are Expectations Still Too High?

Go to Tiger App to see more news