Inflation or Deflation?

PawsAndProfits
08-15

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So will the constant pressure of inflation force the hands of the fed to make an adjustment to interest rates before end of 2026? Or will they find strategies to ease investors on inflationary risks? Let’s see how this plays out.[Cool] 

@PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666] 

Modified in.08-15
Warsh Debuts Hawkish at Jackson Hole; September Hike Odds Near 60%?
Warsh's Jackson Hole debut was not ambiguous. He reaffirmed the 2% PCE target, said modest disinflation is not enough to confirm a trend, and left room for more hikes if inflation does not keep falling — read as the most hawkish Jackson Hole in years. Markets moved fast: September hike odds near 60%, two more priced by March 2027, the 2-year up more than 10bps. This time the front end did the work, not the long end: QQQ −0.65%, spot gold back from $4,649 to about $4,478, Bitcoin down to $77,779. Tech, gold, or BTC?
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Comments

  • AbnerKeppel
    08-15
    AbnerKeppel
    Just reviewed the last three FOMC minutes, my model still says sticky inflation delays cuts. Do they really have room to ease without growth cracking first?
    • PawsAndProfits: 
      Hmm good insight. Let’s see how it plays out towards September.
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