PawsAndProfits
PawsAndProfitsCertificated Individuals
Tiger Certification: Specialist in options trading and swing trading
50Follow
216Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarPawsAndProfits
10-16 05:57

Start of a bloodbath? Or just a false alarm?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ So the real bloothbath finally started today, with 80 billion dollars wiped out from the AI sector in a single day. The sector did bounce back a little towards end of trading day, but could this be a start of a bearish momentum carrying into en
Start of a bloodbath? Or just a false alarm?
avatarPawsAndProfits
10-16 03:42
Sorry, the original content has been removed
avatarPawsAndProfits
10-14 23:06

Banks are getting hit hard, CPI figures hotter than expected. Pressure for rate hike is back.

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So some major financial institutions in the US kicked off the final earnings season for 2026, and it did not start well. $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ $Bank of America(BAC)$ $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ all got hit hard after earnings announcement, fueling it further downside in the financial sector. Coupled with CPI Y/Y reported @ 3.7%, compared to estimate of 3.6%, further fueling the fed to raise interest rate further to curb hotter than expected inflation, which is definitely not optimistic for the whole market outlook. The instrinsic bu
Banks are getting hit hard, CPI figures hotter than expected. Pressure for rate hike is back.

Mid term elections, Elevated crude oil prices into 2027, Bank earnings,

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So with crude oil projected to stay elevated into 2027, CPI and PPI data releasing this week on Wed and Thur, major banks kicking off the last quarter of earnings season and tech hyperscalers showing lethargy in their hyperzealous runs, should we remain ultra bullish on equities? Or should we start to take profit and risk off the table? Lets see how this develops as we navigate towards 2027. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Mid term elections, Elevated crude oil prices into 2027, Bank earnings,

Summary of events on upcoming trading week

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Bank stocks will kick off their earnings this week. Lets see if they can do a meaningful bounce before fed announcement at the end of the month, or continue to be bearish d/t the rate hikes pressure.  @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]  
Summary of events on upcoming trading week

You will lose out as long as you do not embrace AI and its powerful potential?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$   Yes over the past year, every single company in this whole world seem to be jumping on this AI bandwagon, whether it makes sense for their business moat or not. As long as u slap AI somewhere in your company description, the stock price has
You will lose out as long as you do not embrace AI and its powerful potential?

Is the stock market finally caving in to pressure from high treasury yields?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So finally, market is showing some weakness today, having a slight pullback from the new highs yesterday. Treasury yields continue to climb to higher level today. Is the market finally waking up to all the bear sentiments? Or is it just a blip? Let’s see how it progresses till the end of 2026. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666] 
Is the stock market finally caving in to pressure from high treasury yields?

Credit vs Treasuries vs AI, which one is a better hedge against inflation?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ Are traders that much bullish now, they even suggest using AI related stocks as hedge against inflation? Is the usual approach of using commodities or bonds as hedge not working anymore? I definitely would not go all in on AI related stocks alone. They definitely make up a huge percentage of my portfolio. But it is always advisable to diversify with defensive, value focused stocks so that when the draw down happens, your portfolio will not fall like a falling knife. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Credit vs Treasuries vs AI, which one is a better hedge against inflation?

Tech driven market is in a bubble now? How much can it absorb before bursting?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So the equity market is still defying all odds, continue to smash records after records in the start of October. Bulls are definitely in LaLaLand and laughing at their bears counterparts. However, majority of the main indices are made up of high capex spend, hyperscaler tech companies with humongous forward estimate ratios. So there is a saying: “Whatever that rise fast, will fall fast too.” With that, I definitely will take this continuous bull run with a cautious approach, hunting down stocks near their support levels or resistance levels to increase my trade probability.[Serious] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options
Tech driven market is in a bubble now? How much can it absorb before bursting?

Big tech companies are outpacing upcoming AI companies? Bull or Bear going into scariest month of the year for equities?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So equities remain bullish going into start of October. Traditionally, last quarter of the year is a bear market. So will they succumb to tradition? or will it continue to shoot for the moon and break new highs? Big companies are seen as better investments as compared to upcoming hyped AI names such as Anthropic and OpenAI. I do agree with this as big companies have brand influence, better capital allocation and diversified revenue pathways. So as much as I enjoy and appreciate AI founding companies, I will not look to own any stocks until it proven its enormous forward valuations. The key is to diversify. Diversity allows you to ride the waves
Big tech companies are outpacing upcoming AI companies? Bull or Bear going into scariest month of the year for equities?

Softer PCE numbers, jobs market stay strong heading to 4th quarter of the year. Commodities to recover?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So PCE and job numbers are more optimistic than market estimates, sending bullish shockwaves to majority of hyperscalers and sectors. However, this does not discount the elevated yields and various macro factors that are still in play. I anticipate a rotation in funds into defensive sectors such as $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ from high valuations sectors $Technology Select Sec
Softer PCE numbers, jobs market stay strong heading to 4th quarter of the year. Commodities to recover?

Filled trades on 01 October 2026

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ New trades: $Intuit(INTU)$ 16 October 287.5/290 Buy Call spread @ $1.15db. $Workday(WDAY)$ 23 October 190/192.5 Buy Call spread @ $1.25db. $Deere(DE)$ 16 October 657.5/655 Buy Put spread @ $1.12db. $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ 23 October 80/81 Buy Call spread @ $0.47db. TSLA 16 October 357.5/360 Buy Call spread @ $1.22db. ORCL 23 October 135/136 Buy Call spread @ $0.49db. Closed trades: $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 02 October 109/108 Buy Put spread for $0.17cr
Filled trades on 01 October 2026

Comsumer spending did not slow down despite hotter inflation numbers and rate hikes. When

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So consumer spending was better than market estimate today, resulting in a continue bullish sentiment in equities. However, it might be a short term catalyst as macro issues such as oil price war, inflated treasury yield prices and countries being inflection inside of collaboration d/t Trump strategy to cause tension and divison. Coupled with the traditional “bearish” period coming up as fund managers rebalance their portfolios, let’s see if indices can continue breaking new high, or fall like a knife.[Spurting] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Comsumer spending did not slow down despite hotter inflation numbers and rate hikes. When

Housing stocks continue to tank, interest rates not slowing down, yields remain elevated.

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF(IYR)$  $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$  With treasury yields showing no signs of slowing down or retracement, its worth monitoring MOVE as well to have a more holistic analysis instead of just relying on VIX index to determine the degree of greed/fear in the market.  With home loan interest rates showing no sign of retracement, housing being already expensive and affordability being an issue, wise to trim your allocation in REITs related to housing, unless you have at lest 10 yea
Housing stocks continue to tank, interest rates not slowing down, yields remain elevated.

Filled trades on 29 September 2026

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. New trades $HALO VERTICAL 261120 PUT 105.0/PUT 110.0$  $TTWO VERTICAL 261106 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0$  $ULTA VERTICAL 261016 CALL 552.5/CALL 550.0$  $XLF VERTICAL 261106 PUT 54.0/PUT 53.0$ Closed trades
Filled trades on 29 September 2026

The whole world is paying for America gains, but when the odds is going to flip?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ $iShares MSCI Italy ETF(EWI)$ $iShares MSCI Germany ETF(EWG)$ $iShares MSCI France ETF(EWQ)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ With key inflation data going to be announced this week, and Trump rejecting Iran latest proposal to end the conflict, indices and US equities started slightly in the red during pre-market trading today. Is the yield getting too lucrative for whales to ignore? Or is it just a short term knee jerk reaction on pessimism that US and Iran war is not progressing towards a r
The whole world is paying for America gains, but when the odds is going to flip?

Prediction markets indicating a rate hike again in October. Is this going to be the trend moving towards 2027?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ So various prediction markets have concluded that the fed will likely raise interest rate again on October 28, 2026. Is Warsh really playing catch up d/t the resilence to not increase rate by previous fed chairman, Jerome Powell? Or is the macro picture finally pressuring the fed to match up with it? A lot of questions, but no clear answers to th
Prediction markets indicating a rate hike again in October. Is this going to be the trend moving towards 2027?

Yields continue to climb, Bond prices continue to drop, whats happening next?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ With yields continue to climb, no ease in political tensions between US and the rest of world, the consistant high prices of oil and diesel, the market seem to be resilent and still holding strong. Let’s see how long this bottleneck can hold before it breaks. We are heading into the “traditional” bear market period of the year. And with two more Fed announcements coming up, who knows which direction this market is going to swing? @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Yields continue to climb, Bond prices continue to drop, whats happening next?

Filled trades on 25 Sep 2026

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Walt Disney(DIS)$  $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$  $Semtech(SMTC)$  $QUANTUM CORP(QMCO)$  $Gilead Sciences(GILD)$   New trades: Closed trades: @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]  
Filled trades on 25 Sep 2026

AI overextended again? Or it has more runway to run?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ No matter you like it or not, every single company in this world is jumping on the AI bandwagon, whether it makes sense or not. However, is the valuation overstretching again after a retracement in August and September? Heading to 4th quarter of the year, I am taking a defensive stance, not overexposing myself to any particular sector.[Tongue] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
AI overextended again? Or it has more runway to run?

Go to Tiger App to see more news