Market watch: AI, Alibaba and -To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

Market watch: AI, Alibaba and Fed risk

Today’s big theme is risk management before Nvidia earnings. Asian markets are subdued, while oil remains elevated as investors await further Iran-related developments. Nvidia is the key event this week, with the market expecting around US$92bn quarterly revenue, so any guidance surprise could move the entire AI complex.

Alibaba is the standout mover: its HK$80bn share placement to fund AI triggered a sharp sell-off, with shares falling as much as 10%. The long-term AI investment story remains interesting, but dilution and the huge capex burden make this a “wait for stabilisation” trade rather than blindly buying the dip.

Stocks on my watchlist: NVDA, MRVL, MU, BABA and TCEHY.

My trading plan: I would not chase AI stocks ahead of Nvidia. Instead, keep cash ready for a post-earnings volatility spike. A strong Nvidia beat plus constructive guidance could offer a momentum entry in semis. A disappointment could create better risk/reward opportunities in quality AI infrastructure names. For Alibaba, I would wait for selling pressure to exhaust before considering an entry.

The other major catalyst is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech later this week. Any hawkish shift could pressure high-valuation tech stocks.

My pick: wait for volatility, then buy strength rather than guessing the bottom.

💰Stocks to watch today?(26 August）

1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? 🎁 Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Phoebezzz
08-24 18:03
Phoebezzz
Thanks for sharing, may I know that do you think Alibaba’s current weakness is mainly a dilution issue, or could the heavy AI capex become a longer-term concern for margins and free cash flow?
chimey
08-24 16:02
chimey
I care more about the IV crush after earnings than the direction itself. Nvidia can rip, but if guidance is only in line the whole AI trade probably gets messy fast

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Any hawkish shift could pressure high-valuation tech stocks.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>My pick: wait for volatility, then buy strength rather than guessing the bottom.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Market watch: AI, Alibaba and Fed risk</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Today’s big theme is risk management before Nvidia earnings. Asian markets are subdued, while oil remains elevated as investors await further Iran-related developments. Nvidia is the key event this week, with the market expecting around US$92bn quarterly revenue, so any guidance surprise could move the entire AI complex.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Alibaba is the standout mover: its HK$80bn share placement to fund AI triggered a sharp sell-off, with shares falling as much as 10%. The long-term AI investment story remains interesting, but dilution and the huge capex burden make this a “wait for stabilisation” trade rather than blindly buying the dip.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Stocks on my watchlist: NVDA, MRVL, MU, BABA and TCEHY.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>My trading plan: I would not chase AI stocks ahead of Nvidia. Instead, keep cash ready for a post-earnings volatility spike. A strong Nvidia beat plus constructive guidance could offer a momentum entry in semis. A disappointment could create better risk/reward opportunities in quality AI infrastructure names. For Alibaba, I would wait for selling pressure to exhaust before considering an entry.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>The other major catalyst is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech later this week. 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Nvidia can rip, but if guidance is only in line the whole AI trade probably gets messy fast","text":"I care more about the IV crush after earnings than the direction itself. Nvidia can rip, but if guidance is only in line the whole AI trade probably gets messy fast","html":"I care more about the IV crush after earnings than the direction itself. Nvidia can rip, but if guidance is only in line the whole AI trade probably gets messy fast","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/600050941534784"}