Lanceljx
08-25 11:08

I would use the pullback to add QQQ gradually, rather than trim broadly. Monday’s weakness was concentrated in tech and semiconductors, while the Dow actually gained, suggesting rotation rather than a full risk-off break. 


The catch is timing. Nvidia reports Wednesday and remains a major sentiment test for the entire AI complex, while Warsh’s Jackson Hole debut comes Friday amid unusually high sensitivity to long-end Treasury yields. That makes an all-in QQQ purchase before Wednesday unnecessarily binary.


My approach: add perhaps one-third now, keep another third for a post-Nvidia sell-off, and the remainder until after Jackson Hole. I would not sell Meta or Alphabet simply to avoid this week’s volatility. If Nvidia delivers strong guidance and long yields stabilise, QQQ could rebound quickly. If either disappoints, keeping cash gives you ammunition at better prices.


So between the two choices: **add QQQ on weakness, but stagger the entry.**

U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Signals Emerge — Did Oil Already Price It In?
Crude −2.11% Tuesday on a Sputnik report, unconfirmed by either government, that the U.S. and Iran have agreed ceasefire terms including free navigation through Hormuz, an announcement expected in days. One part is verifiable: the U.S. Navy has cleared mines from the strait. Pressure continues: Bessent unveiled sweeping measures against Iran covering digital assets, gold, aviation and shipping. The risk premium is compressed, not removed. S&P 500 +0.32%, QQQ +0.62%, Bitcoin above $80,000 intraday. Rotate into growth on cheaper oil, buy energy on enforcement, or wait for the data?
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Comments

  • CaesarHicks
    08-25 11:53
    CaesarHicks
    Staggered entry makes sense. QQQ probably needs a cleaner post-Nvidia reset before the second tranche really feels attractive
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