EPS up 682%, 242%, 156% — This Earnings Season Is Printing Real Money

AI_FocusedTrader
08-25 21:00
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While Wall Street continues to debate whether an “AI bubble” exists, the real winners have already crushed short‑sellers with their earnings reports.

The July‑August 2026 earnings season is no ordinary set of “better‑than‑expected” results — it is a dominant capital bonanza. A cohort of large‑cap US stocks delivered staggering non‑GAAP earnings‑per‑share (EPS) performances: 50%, 100%, even 600%‑plus year‑over‑year growth. The market responded in the most direct fashion: surging share prices, short‑squeeze events, and analysts lifting price targets overnight.

This is not modest growth. This is the sound of money‑printing machines running at full throttle.

I. Semiconductors: “Lucrative Windfalls” for AI Infrastructure

$Micron Technology(MU)$ : EPS up 682%, a monster stock up 218% in a year

When Micron released its Q2 2026 earnings, Wall Street fell briefly silent. Non‑GAAP EPS hit $12.20, surging 682% year‑over‑year. This was not merely an earnings beat; it blew past consensus estimates by a massive margin. Revenue reached $23.9 billion, up 196% YoY, gross margin soared to 75%, and free cash flow hit a record $6.9 billion.

Market reaction? Micron has rallied 218.99% year‑to‑date, and pushed higher to $1,255.85 in after‑hours trading post‑earnings. This is no ordinary stock — it is a cash‑generating engine powered by HBM memory and AI data‑center demand. When CEO Sanjay Mehrotra highlighted “the strategic value of memory in the AI era”, he was not painting an optimistic vision; he was counting real profits.

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ : Data‑center revenue doubles, EPS explodes 253%

AMD posted Q2 non‑GAAP EPS of $1.66, jumping 253% year‑over‑year. Data‑center revenue hit $6.7 billion, more than doubling YoY and accounting for 58% of total revenue. Though its stock pulled back 7‑9% briefly after earnings on “too‑high‑expectations” concerns, Q3 guidance pointed straight to $13 billion in revenue (+41% YoY).

The market quickly re‑evaluated: this pull‑back was a buying opportunity. Multi‑generation AI chip orders from OpenAI, Meta and Oracle stretch well into 2027. AMD is not merely competing with NVIDIA — it is defining the second major pillar of AI computing.

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ : Behind 52% EPS growth, a 143% explosion in AI‑driven revenue

Broadcom reported Q2 non‑GAAP EPS of $2.44, up 52% YoY. The real bombshell: AI semiconductor revenue hit $10.8 billion, a 143% year‑over‑year jump. Q3 guidance is even more aggressive: AI semiconductor revenue is projected to accelerate to $16 billion, rising over 200% YoY.

CEO Hock Tan stated plainly: full‑year 2026 AI revenue will reach $56 billion, and exceed $100 billion in 2027. With an order backlog surpassing $30 billion, the firm is not just selling chips — it is collecting a computing‑power tax for the AI age.

II. Energy: Profit powerhouses amid geopolitical tensions

$Chevron(CVX)$ : 242% EPS growth, the energy giant up 23.5% YTD

hevron delivered Q2 adjusted EPS of $6.06, rocketing 242% year‑over‑year. Revenue stood at $70.1 billion (+56% YoY), global output rose 20%, and US production hit an all‑time high. Impressively, free cash flow reached $15.4 billion, with $8.4 billion in debt repaid in this single quarter.

Market reaction: shares rose 11.47% in the 30‑day window pre‑earnings, with a 23.5% year‑to‑date gain. As Brent crude surged to $126 amid geopolitical conflicts, Chevron did not merely “benefit” — it generated large‑scale, unstoppable cash flows. Notably, it signed a 20‑year, 2.67 GW power‑purchase agreement with Microsoft, turning data‑center power supply into long‑term cash flow decoupled from oil‑price cycles.

III. Finance: Wall Street’s bonanza, investment‑bank boom

$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ : 92% EPS growth, +9% post‑earnings

Goldman’s Q2 EPS came in at $20.98, spiking 92% YoY and handily beating the $14.47 consensus estimate (a 48.8% upside surprise). Investment‑banking revenue rose 55%, equity trading revenue surged 72%, and fixed‑income trading climbed 32%. Return on Equity hit 23.5%.

Against a backdrop of +90% YoY large M&A volume and +130% equity underwriting revenue, Goldman is more than just executing trades — it is capturing gains from global capital‑market liquidity. This represents the strongest investment‑banking cycle since 2009, and Goldman sits at its centre.

$摩根士丹利(MS)$ : 58% EPS growth, stock surges toward $215

Morgan Stanley’s Q2 EPS reached $3.46, up 58% YoY, outpacing consensus of $2.89. Equity‑trading revenue jumped 69% to $6.3 billion; wealth‑management revenue hit a record $8.86 billion, with $148.1 billion in net new assets — 2.5 times the figure from the same period last year.

Market reaction: shares jumped to $215.50 after earnings. With client assets topping $10 trillion and a CET1 ratio of 14.8% (300 basis points above regulatory requirements), Morgan Stanley is far more than an investment bank: it acts as a global steward of wealth.

IV. Tech & Software: Explosive AI application‑layer performance

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ : 156% EPS growth, 29% single‑day post‑earnings rally

If any company has embedded “AI monetization” into its corporate DNA, it is Palantir. Q2 EPS stood at $0.41, up 215% YoY. Total revenue hit $1.94 billion (+93% YoY): US commercial revenue $764 million (+149% YoY), government revenue $990 million (+79% YoY).

Market reaction: a textbook case of “bad news priced out turns bullish”. Ahead of earnings, Palantir had fallen 40% from its year‑to‑date high of $207.52, with markets questioning its valuation bubble. Post‑earnings, shares jumped 14.97% in after‑hours trading and rallied to roughly $160 in subsequent sessions, marking a ~29% single‑period rebound.

CEO Alex Karp delivered a forceful message: “Demand for AI sovereignty has been unlocked, and Palantir is the only company proven to turn tokens into tangible economic value.” With a Rule of 40 score of 155%, Palantir is more than a software firm — it represents an operating system for the AI era.

$ServiceNow(NOW)$ : 104% EPS growth, rebounding after a 3% post‑earnings dip

ServiceNow reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.90, up 10% YoY. Subscription revenue reached $3.88 billion (+23% YoY). AI‑related Annual Contract Value (ACV) crossed $1 billion, with net new ACV accelerating 40%+ quarter‑over‑quarter.

Market reaction: the stock fell 6.47% during regular trading on earnings day (driven by broad‑market headwinds), slipped another 3.9% the next session, and has trended upward ever since. While most enterprises are still searching for AI ROI, ServiceNow has proven its AI Control Tower is more than a concept: it is the nerve centre for enterprise automation, backed by a 98% renewal rate and 123 deals above $1 million (+40% YoY).

V. Construction: Overlooked hidden champion

Tutor Perini (TPC): 224% EPS growth, 13.7% post‑earnings jump

Tutor Perini posted Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.23, surging 224% YoY; adjusted EPS hit $1.74 (+23% YoY). Revenue reached $1.64 billion (+19% YoY), operating income hit a record $118 million (+54% YoY). Operating margin hit 15.3% for its Civil segment, while the Building segment reached 5.6% — the highest level since 2012.

Even more notable: the company raised its 2026 EPS guidance to $5.15‑$5.45, lifted its dividend by 50%, and unveiled a $20 billion project pipeline — triple its size from several years ago. With megaprojects including California High‑Speed Rail, Newark Liberty Airport and New York Midtown Bus Terminal underway, Tutor Perini is not merely constructing buildings — it is building America’s physical infrastructure for the coming decade.

Conclusion: Markets vote with capital, and strength begets strength

The 2026 Q2 earnings season sends an unambiguous signal: at the intersection of the AI revolution, geopolitical reshuffling and capital‑market exuberance, true industry leaders are not simply “growing”. They are capturing market share, profits and capital allocation at scale.

While short‑sellers still debate valuations, bulls have responded with post‑earnings share‑price surges: this is not a bubble, but a new market order.

Markets do not respond to sentiment — they respond to profits. And the companies on this list are turning profits into legacies.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Comments

  • 苏36
    08-25 21:45
    苏36
    The Real AI Divide: Profits

    The biggest takeaway from this earnings season is not whether an “AI bubble” exists, but that AI is increasingly turning into real profits.

    Micron’s EPS surged 682%, Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue jumped 143%, while Palantir’s U.S. commercial revenue soared 149%. Meanwhile, Chevron, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley also delivered powerful earnings growth.

    The AI trade is entering a new phase: from storytelling to profit delivery. Valuations remain a risk, but sustained earnings growth can justify premium multiples.

    The key question is no longer “Is AI a bubble?” but which companies can convert AI demand into durable revenue, margins and free cash flow?

    The next winners may not be the best AI storytellers—they will be the companies that actually make the most money.

    @AI_FocusedTrader [贱笑]

  • Jerry Lam
    08-25 21:16
    Jerry Lam
    我觉得这份财报季最重要的信号,不是“AI泡沫不存在”,而是 市场正在把真正能兑现利润的公司,和只靠故事撑估值的公司分开定价。

    像MU、AVGO、PLTR这类公司,真正有说服力的地方不是EPS增长百分比有多夸张,而是 收入、毛利率、自由现金流、订单和客户需求同时改善。这说明AI已经不只是资本开支故事,部分公司确实进入了盈利兑现阶段。

    但我不会因此得出“所有AI高估值都合理”的结论。高增长公司如果估值已经提前反映未来几年增长,一旦增速放缓,股价照样可能杀估值。能源和金融也是一样,CVX受油价周期影响,GS/MS受资本市场活跃度影响,不能简单把当前高利润线性外推。

    我更愿意把这一季总结成:AI第一阶段比谁有故事,第二阶段比谁有订单,第三阶段开始比谁能把订单变成自由现金流。

    一句话:不是“泡沫还是牛市”二选一,而是利润开始替市场筛选真正的赢家。

  • Danish bin45
    08-25 22:05
    Danish bin45
    OK

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