Out from AI and money flowing back to "traditional" stocks?

PawsAndProfits
08-26

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌

Trump seemed to be determined to force Iran hands by slaming tariffs on countries that trade with Iran, with China the major trade partner. With the meeting with Xi and Trump coming up soon, does Trump really wants to burn the bridge and worsen the ties between both countries even before its mended or built?

And the tariff war between US and Canada has officially started, with Mark Carney announcing 50% reciprocal tariffs after negotiations broke down. Canada has always approach this situation with good faith, but I think it has come to a crossroad whereby enough is enough, you will never be able to negotiate with a tyrant like Trump. So with all these uncertainty resurfacing again, Trump seems to be shifting his funds to “safer” equities like financial and waste disposal.

The market seems to be still absorbing the potential repercussions of the tariff war, with indexes still holding strong. However, this seems to be the calm before a storm moment. So I will suggest everyone not to be too aggressive in your trading approach. Set lower profit margins and tighter stop losses. So in case the market swing wildly on the opposite side, you wouldn’t be caught out cold.

@PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]

Warsh Debuts Hawkish at Jackson Hole; September Hike Odds Near 60%?
Warsh's Jackson Hole debut was not ambiguous. He reaffirmed the 2% PCE target, said modest disinflation is not enough to confirm a trend, and left room for more hikes if inflation does not keep falling — read as the most hawkish Jackson Hole in years. Markets moved fast: September hike odds near 60%, two more priced by March 2027, the 2-year up more than 10bps. This time the front end did the work, not the long end: QQQ −0.65%, spot gold back from $4,649 to about $4,478, Bitcoin down to $77,779. Tech, gold, or BTC?
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Comments

  • ChrisColeman
    08-26
    ChrisColeman
    Past week VIX creeping from 15 to 18 is the louder tell here. Surface looks calm, market really isn't
    • PawsAndProfits
      Exactly right. =). Leading up to NVDA earnings post market on 26 Aug.
  • miffsy
    08-26
    miffsy
    Calling financials and waste disposal safe feels too easy. In a real risk-off tape, balance sheet quality and valuation matter way more — what multiples and debt levels are you looking at here
    • PawsAndProfits
      Comparing financials/waste disposal with Tech, tech always will have higher multiples and debt levels. So Im not sure what you are implying here. [Gosh]
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