TheMarketLens101
09-01

📅 SEPTEMBER 2026 MARKET WATCHLIST

“Sell in May and buy in September” does not mean investors should automatically buy on 1 September.

Historically, September has been one of the market’s more volatile and weaker months. However, that volatility may also create better entry opportunities ahead of the traditionally stronger October–April period.

🔴 KEY MACRO DATES

• 4 Sep: U.S. Jobs Report

• 10 Sep: Producer Price Index

• 11 Sep: Consumer Price Index

• 16 Sep: Retail Sales + FOMC decision

• 30 Sep: PCE inflation + Q2 GDP

These events will shape inflation expectations, Treasury yields, Fed policy and equity valuations.

📊 EARNINGS CATALYSTS

• 2 Sep: Broadcom

• 3 Sep: Zscaler + Lululemon

• 8–14 Sep: Oracle — TBC

• 10 Sep: Adobe — TBC

• 24 Sep: Costco

• 30 Sep: Micron

Broadcom and Micron will test demand across AI chips, custom ASICs, networking and memory. Oracle and Adobe will show whether AI investment is translating into cloud and software revenue, while Costco and Lululemon provide a read on consumer resilience.

The September setup is straightforward:

Macro decides valuations. Earnings test AI demand.

If inflation cools while corporate earnings and AI demand remain strong, a September pullback could offer an attractive opportunity to position for the stronger year-end period.

If inflation stays hot or the Fed turns more hawkish, volatility may continue before a durable entry point emerges.

Save this calendar and watch the sequence—not just the individual headlines.

Warsh Refuses Forward Guidance on Rates; October Decision Still in Doubt?
QQQ fell 2.50% and SPY 1.11% Friday as hotter CPI and PPI data fueled rate fears, while Warsh declined to preview the October decision. Bulls note no clear hike signal and see AI as a supply boost that could ease inflation; bears point to bond markets pricing a third hike and tech’s rate sensitivity. With the Oct. 27–28 meeting ahead, should investors hold QQQ, rotate into SPY value sectors, or reduce exposure?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • vippy
    09-01
    vippy
    Macro is the key for September, but retail sales matters just as much for the soft-landing read. If consumer demand cracks, rate path pricing gets messy fast.
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