Lanceljx
09-25 11:36

A strong Micron print could stop the pullback, but I don't think a headline beat alone will be enough.


Expectations are already very high. Micron itself guided to about $50B revenue, 86% gross margin and $31 non-GAAP EPS, so the market will probably care more about what comes next than whether Q4 simply beats those numbers.


For me, the real catalysts are strong FY27 guidance, continued pricing power, HBM4 execution and evidence that tight supply persists. If those strengthen the 2027 earnings story, the recent 2–4% pullback could look more like profit-taking than a change in trend.


But with expectations this elevated, a good quarter paired with merely cautious guidance could still trigger “sell the news”. Rising Treasury yields are another wildcard because they can keep compressing multiples even when fundamentals remain strong.


So I would say: strong print + stronger forward guidance = potential reset higher. Strong print alone = not necessarily the end of the pullback.

From Leaders to Laggards — Are Memory Stocks Waiting on Micron?
Memory gave back Wednesday what it made Tuesday: SanDisk -3.73% to $1,816.57, SK Hynix -3.12% to $189.28, Micron -2.22% to $1,071.88. Rising yields hit high-multiple assets first, and memory had run hardest. The test is next week: Micron reports after the close on Sept 30 ET, with the quarter's revenue and gross margin, HBM4 shipments, order coverage and the 2027 outlook in focus. Bulls say price hikes and locked orders predate the print, so it only confirms them; bears say prices already assume a strong 2027 — one soft notch costs more than 3%. Would a strong print end the pullback?
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