Amazon CapEx +50% Spooks Markets😨 Step Away from AI Trade?

Amazon delivered Q4 revenue +14% YoY, with Amazon Web Services surging 24%, its fastest growth in over three years. The flip side: free cash flow collapsed 70%+, while full-year PPE capex jumped 59%. Amazon disclosed $10B+ annualized revenue from Trainium and Graviton chips and guided 2026 capex +50% YoY, nearly 40% above consensus—outspending even Google. Q1 revenue growth could reach 15%, but profit guidance spans +17% to −10%, partly due to $1B added LEO satellite costs. Will Amazon lose $200?

At this point, the true implications (and possible consequences) of AI cap-ex is, at best, unknown. Any knee-jerk reactions at this time are speculative and nothing more. Amazon's bet is on AI gives insight into where senior management see the company's future growth potential. In the near term, solid fundamentals still reflect a good company (and a good buy-in at current levels).  In the long-term only time will tell.

Amazon AWS is back in the driver’s seat

$亚马逊(AMZN)$   This quarter wasn’t about retail. AWS growth re-accelerated above 23%, with backlog rising alongside it. Retail supports margins, but AWS is driving growth again.
Amazon AWS is back in the driver’s seat
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  Unlikely, barring a sharp macro shock. Amazon at $200 would imply the market is treating this as a structurally impaired business rather than a margin-depressed one. The results do not support that view. Why a $200 breakdown is not the base case AWS momentum is real. A 24% growth rate, the fastest in over three years, suggests AI workloads are finally scaling beyond pilots. The $10B+ annualised run rate from Trainium and Graviton signals early monetisation, not just speculative capex. FCF weakness is self-inflicted, not cyclical. The 70%+ collapse is driven by deliberate front-loading of data centres, chips and LEO satellites. This compresses near-term cash flow but expands long-duration earnings optionality. Capex optics
avatarECLC
02-08
Fears over AI spending sparked the sell-off and investors are still nervous to bet potential big risks with uncertain returns.
amzn
Amazon's Q4 earnings report has sent mixed signals to the market, with the company's revenue growth and cloud computing segment (AWS) performance being positives, but the significant increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) and collapse in free cash flow raising concerns. The 50% YoY increase in CapEx guidance for 2026, which is nearly 40% above consensus estimates, has spooked investors, leading to a decline in Amazon's stock price. The market is worried that Amazon's aggressive investment in areas like data centers, chips, and satellite technology may put pressure on the company's profitability and cash flow. The disclosure of 10B+ annualized revenue from Trainiumand Graviton chips is a positive, but the added costs, including 1B for LEO satellite expenses, are weighing on the compa
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  A sustained move to $200 would require a material narrative break, not just capex anxiety. On current evidence, that looks unlikely without a broader market drawdown. Why the downside is limited. AWS accelerating to 24% growth, alongside disclosed $10B+ annualised revenue from Trainium and Graviton, reinforces that Amazon is not spending blindly. This is strategic capex aimed at controlling AI unit economics long term. Investors may dislike the near-term free cash flow collapse, but the market has historically tolerated negative FCF when AWS growth reaccelerates. What is pressuring the stock. The issue is timing mismatch. Capex is front-loaded while monetisation lags. A 50% YoY capex guide for 2026, well above consensus, c
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  more corrections to come but strong position will see returns in time ⭐🐯
avatarxc__
02-06

Amazon's $100B AI Capex Shockwave: Dump the Stock or Load Up Before $250 Glory? 😱🚀

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon just unleashed a capex monster that's got markets reeling – full-year PPE spending surged 59% to $83 billion, with 2026 guidance blasting +50% higher to over $100 billion, crushing consensus by 40% and outpacing even Google's AI buildout. 😲 Q4 revenue climbed 14% year-over-year to $187.8 billion, powered by AWS exploding 24% to $28.9 billion – its fastest growth in three years on Trainium and Graviton chips already raking in $10 billion annualized. But the dark side hit hard: free cash flow cratered 70%+ amid the spending spree, while Q1 profit guidance spans +17% to -10% on $1 billion added LEO satellite costs from Project Kuiper. This duality has shares whipsawing near $208, down 2% yesterday as capex fears overshadow A
Amazon's $100B AI Capex Shockwave: Dump the Stock or Load Up Before $250 Glory? 😱🚀
avatarNamtan
02-06
avatarNamtan
02-06
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ my first place agenda i an exited again to take my time to learned new things constamructioon and grow nutrition and j am very exiting and proud this should be the first house in my life? 
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  Not necessarily, but the risk of a $200 test is now non-trivial. Here is the clean framework. What the market is grappling with Amazon delivered a genuine upside surprise on growth. AWS at +24% is a re-acceleration, not noise, and $10B+ annualised Trainium and Graviton revenue confirms Amazon is monetising its own silicon earlier than many expected. The issue is capital intensity. A 59% jump in PPE capex, plus guidance for 2026 capex +50% YoY and ~40% above consensus, reframes Amazon as an infrastructure builder first and a cash generator later. The 70%+ free cash flow collapse is not cyclical volatility. It is the direct consequence of front-loading AI, logistics, and LEO satellite investment. Why $200 becomes a line in t
avatarMrzorro
02-06
Earnings Review | Amazon's Post-Earnings Plunge Reflects Common Challenges of Cloud Service Providers $Amazon.com(AMZN)$   's stock price plummeted after the release of its earnings report, primarily due to the announcement of high capital expenditures and the cloud business (AWS) operating income growth rate falling below 20%. Core Financial Indicators Amazon reported net sales of $213.4 billion for the fourth quarter, marking a 14% increase from $187.8 billion in the same period last year. Operating income increased to $25.0 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with $21.2 billion in fourth quarter 2024. Net income for the fourth quarter rose to $21.2 billion, or $1.95 per diluted share, compared to $20
In the short term, Amazon's stock price will be under pressure due to a drop in free cash flow (FCF) expectations (which has fallen by 10% after the day). But in the medium to long term, AWS's accelerated growth and the success of self-developed chips have proven that its AI strategy is effective. And it's a giant that truly owns the complete closed-loop "chip-cloud-app" and truly sees billions of AI revenue landing. If you believe that AI is the next industrial revolution, Amazon's current plunge, probably for the next five years, is buying an expensive but necessary ticket. But for investors pursuing short-term cash returns, please stay away for the time being.
avatarxc__
02-06

Mag 7's AI Glow Fades Fast: Can Amazon's AWS Rescue the Group from Deeper Dives?

The once-unstoppable Mag 7 are showing cracks, with most companies falling short of sky-high expectations during this earnings season. Tech selloffs have intensified, dragging the group lower amid concerns over ballooning AI capex without proportional returns. Amazon stands out as a potential lifeline, with AWS delivering robust AI-driven growth that could offset broader worries and support the stock amid the rotation to defensives. Amazon's cloud arm AWS reported strong momentum, with revenue climbing 19% year-over-year to $27.5 billion in the latest quarter. AI services within AWS grew even faster, up 48% as customers ramped adoption of Bedrock and SageMaker tools for custom model building. This performance highlights AWS's edge in enterprise AI workloads, where high-margin recurring rev
Mag 7's AI Glow Fades Fast: Can Amazon's AWS Rescue the Group from Deeper Dives?
avatarMrzorro
02-06
What Amazon's Chart Says Heading Into Earnings "Magnificent Seven" member $Amazon.com(AMZN)$   has fallen some 6.5% over the past three months and 4% over the past year, trailing the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   in both time periods. What does the retail-and-cloud giant's chart and fundamental analysis say ahead of Thursday's Q4 results? Let's check: Amazon's Fundamental Analysis The Street is looking for AMZN to report $1.95 of Q4 GAAP earnings per share on just about $211.2 billion of revenue. That would represent a 4.8% gain from Q4 2024's $1.86 of GAAP EPS, while reflecting 12.5% growth from the $187.8 billion Amazon recorded i
🚨🚨🚨Market sentiment today is characterized by a "risk-off" mood as investors pull back from both traditional tech stocks and digital assets. Here is your summary for Thursday, February 5, 2026. 📉 Crypto Market Summary The cryptocurrency market is currently under significant pressure, hitting levels not seen in over a year.  * Bitcoin (BTC): Dropped nearly 2% today to around $71,000, marking its lowest point in 15 months. It has now retraced over 42% from its October 2024 peak of $126,000.  * Market Cap: The total crypto market cap has shed approximately $460 billion in value over the past week.  * Key Drivers: Analysts point to a lack of "crypto-specific" bad news, instead blaming a spillover from a global sell-off in technology stocks. High leverage in the system has trigge
Excellent question that gets to the heart of the current market's dilemma. The "Magnificent 7" narrative is fracturing, and Amazon is now a critical test case for whether AI-driven growth can justify soaring costs in a suddenly valuation-sensitive market. 1. The Context: A Market in Transition The recent tech selloff signals a regime change: the market is no longer rewarding "growth at any cost." It's demanding profitable growth, clear ROI on AI investments, and resilient core businesses. Amazon's report will be judged through this harsh new lens. 2. Will AWS Strength Outweigh AI Capex Concerns? This is the core tension. The answer hinges on guidance and margins. The Bull Case (AWS Outweighs): If Amazon shows: AWS revenue acceleration (consensus ~+15% y/y) driven by new AI product adoption
avatarGHwa
02-05
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  move in to Google, they are investing alot. 
avatarPatmos
02-05
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  AWS gaining market share of Cloud will boost earnings price target for AMAZON increased to $360