SMCI Roller Coaster: Are Risks Mounting?

Despite hitting a record $7.22B in quarterly revenue, Supermicro faces mounting risks—nearly 60% of its revenue comes from just two clients, 73% of receivables are under pressure, and a $150M financial gap needs fixing. Goldman Sachs’ latest report highlights valuation concerns. ----------------- As a shadow stock of Nvidia, which do you think is a better "buy the dip" opportunity—SMCI or Nvidia? Is SMCI's valuation reasonable? What is your target price for SMCI?

avatarCTMC
2025-05-14

Super Micro Computer was initiated at Outperform with a $41

https://www.barrons.com/articles/super-micro-stock-price-news-ae570fe0
Super Micro Computer was initiated at Outperform with a $41
avatarJimmyHua
2025-04-22
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Let’s be real—SMCI’s recent chart looks like a theme park ride. Up 300%, down 25% in days, back up again… now what?Here’s why I’m worried the risks are starting to pile up:Valuation’s in the stratosphereEven after the dip, it’s still trading like AI demand will go vertical forever. Any slowdown? Boom—P/E collapse.Supply chain strainSMCI isn’t Nvidia—it still relies heavily on server component vendors. Any hiccup in delivery = earnings risk.Retail crowd dominanceLet’s be honest, a lot of this run was fueled by FOMO. That can vanish fast when sentiment flips.My take?I’m not shorting it (too dangerous), but I’m not jumping in here either. The air’s getting thin up here, and gravity’s real.
avatarWendyOneP
2025-04-22
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Yes, SMCI has been wild. That’s what hyper-growth looks like. If you can’t handle the volatility, you might miss the bigger story.Here’s why I’m still bullish:Core business is boomingThey’re not some hype shell—they’re shipping real AI server racks, and demand is outpacing capacity.Massive tailwinds from Nvidia & enterprise AIEvery time Nvidia wins, SMCI wins too. They’re symbiotic—and SMCI is cheaper by comparison.Founder-led, agile modelLean ops + quick response to demand = exactly what hyperscalers want right now.My play?Using dips to scale in with tight stops. Yes, it’s risky. But so was Nvidia at $150. This is the kind of name that rewards guts.
avatarjethro
2025-03-01
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months, with its stock price fluctuating dramatically. Since its earnings report on February 25, 2025, the outlook for SMCI remains mixed, with potential for growth but also significant investment risks. Potential for Growth - Booming AI Server Market: SMCI is a major player in the rapidly growing AI server market, driven by the increasing adoption of AI and data centers. The company's direct-liquid cooling (DLC) technology is expected to see widespread adoption, further enhancing its market share and revenue potential. - Strong Revenue Projections: SMCI has projected revenue of $40 billion for fiscal yea
avatarWendyOneP
2025-04-09
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SHORTS COVERED WHICH CAN EXPLAIN TODAY 10% PRICE UP! Short Covering: The most plausible explanation is that a significant number of short sellers have covered their positions. This means they bought back the shares they borrowed and sold, closing out their short positions. If the short interest dropped from, say, 5.5 million to 1.5 million, that’s 4 million shares bought back. This buying activity can put upward pressure on the stock price, as short sellers are effectively adding demand to the market by purchasing shares to return to lenders.
avatarJimmyHua
2025-03-25
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $SMCI don’t worry about whatever bullshit this is. Her is the big picture of where we are going.
avatarJimmyHua
2025-04-09
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ we’re hittin $40 by Friday. No ifs no maybes it’s happenin. the stock just ran 13% in a day that ain’t retail that’s big money steppin in and shorts gettin absolutley fked. High volume slammed the close still runnin after hours. buckle up boys girls and everyone in
avatarJimmyHua
2025-04-01
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Waiting for triple digits.. Won’t be long now
avatarkw888999
2025-03-27
is it still above trend lines now after the 9 percent drop yesterday?
avatarJoeH123
2025-03-26
Scary
avatarHippo Tan
2025-02-25
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is riding strong momentum ahead of its 10-K filing, and I believe the stock is primed for a breakout past $80 rather than a pullback to $50. Here's why:   1️⃣ Strong Fundamentals & AI Tailwinds – SMCI has been a key player in AI-driven server demand, benefiting from the explosive growth in high-performance computing. The company’s partnerships with Nvidia and AMD position it well to capitalize on the AI boom, driving strong revenue growth.   2️⃣ No Major Red Flags Expected in 10-K – Investors are watching closely for any surprises in the 10-K filing. If there are no material downward revisions or accounting concerns, confi
avatarMrzorro
2025-02-26
Options Market Statistics: Super Micro Files Financial Reports Right Before Nasdaq's Deadline $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   shares were down 11% on Tuesday while surging more than 20% in extended trading. The most traded puts are contracts of $30 strike price that expire on Feb 28 and the total volume reaching 39,159 with the open interest of 41,084. The traded calls are contracts of $50 strike price that expire on Feb 28. On Tuesday, the company filed its late financial reports to meet Nasdaq’s rules, easing worries that it might be removed from the stock exchange. The company released its 2024 fiscal year results in a filing with the SEC. It also submitted financial statements for the quarters ending
avatarGOPAY BM1WZ7T2
2025-02-24
SMCI is the 1 Big Win. AI Server Dominance: SMCI is a leader in AI-optimized servers, partnering with NVIDIA (Blackwell GPUs) and Microsoft to meet surging demand for AI infrastructure. FY2026 Revenue Guidance: $40 billion (70% growth from FY2025), deemed "conservative" by CEO Charles Liang. Historic Price Surge: 5-Year Return: +1,336% (driven by generative AI boom and cloud adoption). 52-Week High: $122.90 (March 2024), though shares corrected to $56.07 by February 2025. Market Sentiment & Catalysts: News Highlights: Strategic AI partnerships, bullish revenue cycles, and data center sector growth (9.29% CAGR projected through 2033). Options Activity: Elevated implied volatility and gamma spikes near key price levels amplified speculative interest. Financial Metrics: Valuation: P/E 27.
avatarJimmyHua
2025-03-03
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI’s wild ride reflects both its AI-driven potential and growing risks. Valuation is stretched, and supply chain pressures remain, but AI infrastructure demand is a strong tailwind. Short-term volatility is high, but long-term prospects still look promising.
avatarWendyOneP
2025-03-05
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI’s wild swings raise concerns, but are risks truly mounting? Valuation remains high, and supply chain pressures could weigh on margins. However, AI server demand keeps growth strong, and institutional interest provides support. A pullback is possible, but long-term tailwinds remain intact. Watch for key levels before making a move.
avatarCashCity
2025-02-24
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Delisting?? Why would they wait until it's the last minute before filing? Obviously something is fishy here. Maybe Puts might be the safer option than Calls here
avatarJimmyHua
2025-02-27
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ I’m a survivor.[Happy]
avatarj islandfund
2025-02-25
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  Flip a coin this could go anywhere! ⭐
avatarkohhc
2025-02-25