September Curse Broken? What's Your Account P/L?

It looks like the curse of September's market drop is going to be broken this year. Historical data shows that since 2013, the S&P 500 has averaged a 4.78% decline in September, which is typically the worst-performing and most volatile month for U.S. stocks. However, this year, with a gain of over 20% and recent strong performance, the S&P 500 has already hit its 40th new closing high of the year this week! -------------------- Has your account also broken the September curse?

avatarkoolgal
2024-09-29

September is a Blessing for me, not a Curse as my 3 ETFs are up!

🌟🌟🌟Historically the month of September has earned the title of the worst performing month for stocks but not this September for me.  My  Index ETFs from 3 different markets are up : SPTM  from the US $SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF(SPTM)$ Straits Times Index from Singapore $STI ETF(ES3.SI)$  and KWEB from China  $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$   are all up! SPTM seeks to track the total return performance of the S&P Composite 1500 Index.  This Index represents approximately 90% of the investable US stock market. 
September is a Blessing for me, not a Curse as my 3 ETFs are up!

How Japan's election change the market?

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidential election opened, the second round of voting, the LDP's former chief executive Shigeru Ishiba cold majority of votes, elected the new president of the LDP.The yen soared against the dollar, the Nikkei retreated and led global stock indexes to pull back. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nikkei 225 Exchange Traded Fund(NTETF)$ $SGX Nikkei 225 - main 2412(NKmain)$ Shigeru Ishiba's policy stanceShigeru Ishiba, in contrast to Japan's previous policies under the "Abe Economics", has put forward a ser
How Japan's election change the market?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Time to bet on META? | Tesla's 260 puzzle

Big-Tech’s PerformanceRate cuts continue to heat up and the broader market continues to hit new highs.U.S. final Q2 GDP maintained its preliminary 3% growth, which was slightly ahead of expectations, and the jobless claims data came in slightly below expectations, so the short-term probability of a soft landing looks higher.Risk assets other than big tech started to rally this week, including stock markets in Japan, India, Singapore, and even China that are counting on the benefits of the Fed's rate cut. $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$Big Tech also continued its upward momentum amidst the shocks due to solid fundamentals, strong buybacks, and the catalyst of events like the Robotaxi Event.Through the close of trading on September 26, Big Tech ha
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Time to bet on META? | Tesla's 260 puzzle
avatarEV_Dig
2024-09-02

August EV Sales Review: NIO Sales Soar to New Heights!

Major EV manufacturers released their August delivery numbers yesterday, and the results were a mixed bag.NIO, XPeng & Li AutoStarting with $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ , they delivered 20,176 units in August, a 4.4% increase year-over-year, marking their fourth consecutive month with over 20,000 units. This is solid for NIO, especially since they haven’t launched any new models recently and are relying on their existing lineup. For a company focusing solely on EV, maintaining monthly sales above 20,000 units is impressive.NIO also celebrated the launch of its new brand, ONVO, which kicked off with a “100 Stores Opening” event. ONVO L60 model will be available in 105 stores across 55 cities and 23
August EV Sales Review: NIO Sales Soar to New Heights!
avatarTigerEvents
2024-09-30

[Events] Summarize Your September in One Word

In the blink of an eye, September is almost over! During this month, we enjoyed a happy Mid-Autumn Festival and witnessed the strong resurgence of Chinese assets. Today, we’d like to invite all Tigers to summarize your September in one word, sharing your achievements and insights! 🐯🚗💰Last week, Chinese assets saw a broad surge, and the RMB appreciated significantly. Offshore RMB briefly broke the 6.98 mark against the U.S. dollar, hitting its highest level since May 2023. The A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and Chinese concept stocks all rallied.The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rose by 12.81%, 17.83%, and 22.71%, respectively, with all industry sectors showing gains. In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Ha
[Events] Summarize Your September in One Word

August Economic and Market Review - Stocks have largely recovered

$DJIA(.DJI)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2410(CLmain)$ OverviewStocks have largely recovered from the almost 10% correction seen early in August, which was the worst start to a month since 2002. However, in just 11 trading days the market had recovered and even came near its record July highs.While the Fed has begun to telegraph it will likely cut before the year is out, the market may be jumping the gun, pricing in an aggressive 100bps cut by the end of the year. For September, 63% expect a 25bps cut, and 37% exp
August Economic and Market Review - Stocks have largely recovered
avatarJacksNiffler
2024-09-27

A mixed Costco mixed FQ4 earnings means more volatility in stock market?

$Costco (COST)$ reported its Q4 FY2024 results after the 26th after-hours, and the overall performance has been fair, with basically little volatility after-hours.The company's shares are higher and the main trading force has been institutional as well.Earnings PerformanceRevenues of $79.70 billion, up 1.0% year-over-year and slightly below market expectations of $79.96 billion.Same-store sales growth increased 6.9% overall, above market expectations of 6.4%, with same-store growth in North America of 6.3%, above expectations of 6.0%, and same-store +9.3% in overseas territories, above market expectations of 8.6%.Same-store sales growth including fuel was 5.4%, above market expectations of 4.27%, including +5.3% in North America, above market expe
A mixed Costco mixed FQ4 earnings means more volatility in stock market?
avatarTiger_comments
2024-09-28

September Curse Broken? How's Your Account Going?

It looks like the September Curse may be broken this year? As of the close on September 27, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up 1.59%, closing at 5,738 points. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ closed at 18,119, and $DJIA(.DJI)$ hit a new high this month, reaching 42,628.Historical data shows that September is often the worst-performing and most volatile month for U.S. stocks. Since 2013, the S&P 500 has typically dropped an average of 4.78% in September.But this year is different — with gains of more than 20%, the market has been performing quite strongly recently. This week, it has already hit its 40th closing high of the year!Although the September downturn curse may be broken, the
September Curse Broken? How's Your Account Going?
avatarBullaroo
2024-09-29

Reply: Breaking the September Curse—A Strong Month for My Portfolio

Great topic! Let's delve into why the September curse appears to have been broken this year and analyze my portfolio's performance in light of this trend. Factors Contributing to the Broken Curse: Several factors likely contributed to the S&P 500's strong performance in September and the subsequent breaking of the curse: Robust Earnings Season: The third-quarter earnings season has been impressive so far, with many companies reporting better-than-expected results and raising their guidance. This positive earnings momentum has boosted investor sentiment and fueled market gains. Strong Economic Indicators: The U.S. economy continues to exhibit resilience, with key economic indicators like GDP growth, employment data, and consumer spending coming in stronger than anticipated. This suggest
Reply: Breaking the September Curse—A Strong Month for My Portfolio
avatarBarcode
2024-09-04
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  🎯💥 🚨 Caution: Market Storm Brewing! Brace for NVIDIA’s Next Move!💥🎯 🚨 Tēnā koe i tēnei ahiahi everyone, Barcode here with the latest on the broader market action for 4th of September 2024! Now,  if today’s market drop felt like getting whacked by a wet fish ~ don’t worry, we saw this one coming from a mile away! And guess what? The show’s  just getting started. 🎬 📊 NVIDIA: The Drama Queen of the Market Let’s start with NVIDIA, the star of my charts. She’s throwing a bit of a tantrum and is heading for a retest at the $100 mark. But don’t grab your popcorn just yet ~ this isn’t the kind of bounce you want to ride to the moon. 🚀 Nope, after the bounce, I’m expecting a perfect shorting opportunity as we head into t

Rate Cut Predictions: What They Mean for the US Economy and Your Investments

The current state of the United States economy is at the center of the market's disagreement over the "rate-cutting cycle".Some participants believe that the U.S. is on the verge of a recession, while others emphasize the resilience of the economy and continued growth.Rate cuts and recession?Current market expectations for rate cuts stem from two main directions:If the U.S. economy falls into recession, the Fed may be forced to cut rates quickly (the first 50 basis points to start) to ease economic downward pressure;If the economy continues to be resilient, the Fed may also take precautionary rate cuts (starting at 25 basis points for the first time) to ensure that the economy achieves a soft landing.More than 70 common U.S. economic data indicators are divided into core, auxiliary and for
Rate Cut Predictions: What They Mean for the US Economy and Your Investments
avatarOptionsAura
2024-09-04

Made $12 Million in Two Days! Strategy to Bet on VIX Again!

The calm in the U.S. stock market was shattered on Tuesday, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ plunging over 2% and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ soaring. This volatility spike netted an options trader around $12 million in profits by Friday night.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ jumped due to a tech stock sell-off dragging down the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ gapped down 2.8% and continued to slide, ending 9.5% lower at a three-week low of $108, shrinking its market cap by $279 billion.On Friday night, an investor spent nearly $9 million buying 350,000
Made $12 Million in Two Days! Strategy to Bet on VIX Again!
Well, September curse... i just say fobar! This month alone my $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ stock has doubled and ive made $ thousands selling rklb call options I brought days, weeks and a few months ago. Been with tiger since march this year, and quite frankly i love it here. I've transferred approximately $5000 from my other brokerage so far and my portfolio is now worth over $12,000. Being an emotional investor, i obviously have regrets. Another $10k transferred in and my portfolio would be at $36,000 now. But hindsight is a stupid emotion to dwell on. What could have been is a pointless undertaking. Instead I think about what will be. Will rocket lab go to the moon? Well it actually has a satellite orbiting the moon already. Mars then... well

Why 25bps is still the top option for Sep. FOMC meeting?

The market is highly focused on the last non-farm payrolls data ahead of the upcoming September FOMC meeting, as this data will have a decisive impact on the risk of a future recession and the magnitude of the Fed's rate cut.The market is discussing whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps or 50 bps, especially after Powell reiterated the importance of the job market to policy decisions at the Jackson Hole meeting, the possibility of a rate cut is in the spotlight.However, the market's reaction did not form a unified trend, and the performance of various asset classes is not the same.As of now, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September reflected in CME interest rate futures has risen to 71%, while the 50 basis point rate cut is expected to fall back to 29%.Meanwhile, the 10
Why 25bps is still the top option for Sep. FOMC meeting?

A Dive into U.S. Q2 Earnings with Smart Investment Moves Amid Market Swing

Since July this year, weak economic data from the United States has further exacerbated market fears of a recession and led to greater volatility.However, as the market gradually stabilized, investors' expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September became clearer and the market has fully priced in the possibility of a rate cut.From a macro perspective, economic data have been erratic, related to the different stages of the current economic cycle and the "green-tinged" policy environment.Currently, corporate earnings data provides a more micro perspective to help further understand market sentiment.9-5_EI InfographicOverall trend: Q2 earnings performance exceeded expectations, revenue growth and cost control to drive up net profit marginsAt the overall level, U.S. corporate
A Dive into U.S. Q2 Earnings with Smart Investment Moves Amid Market Swing
avatarBullaroo
2024-09-05

The Likely Direction of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Data and Its Stock Market Impact

#JOLTS #Non-Farm Payrolls As investors eagerly await the release of Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, there is growing speculation about the state of the U.S. labour market and its potential impact on the stock market. Recent job openings, quits, and services activity data suggest a complex picture of the labour market that could guide expectations for the NFP report. With job openings dropping to their lowest level since January 2021 and quits rates edging higher from 2020 lows, there are clear signs of moderation in the labour market that could influence Friday’s report and, in turn, stock market movements. Key Labor Market Indicators The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that job openings fell by 237,000 in July to 7.673 million, below market expectation
The Likely Direction of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Data and Its Stock Market Impact
avatarDoTrading
2024-09-09

Market Sentiment Sours as Fed Rate Cuts Loom Amid Economic Slowdown Fears

Financial markets are grappling with a new wave of uncertainty as economic indicators point towards a slowing labor market and a potential economic slowdown. Despite expectations for Fed rate cuts, the mood among investors has turned cautious, as the prospect of rate reductions is overshadowed by fears of a more pronounced downturn. The most recent jobs report, which showed weaker-than-expected growth, has fueled concerns that the Fed’s efforts to tame inflation may have gone too far, potentially cooling the economy beyond desired levels. This analysis provides a recap of the latest market movements, explores potential future market scenarios, and outlines key catalysts that will shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. Labor Market Slows as Fed Rate Cuts Near The U.S. labor market show
Market Sentiment Sours as Fed Rate Cuts Loom Amid Economic Slowdown Fears
avatarBullaroo
2024-09-02

Four Major Economic Events to Watch This Week (September 2-8, 2024)

As we enter the first week of September 2024, several significant economic events are set to shape market movements and investor sentiment. These events are closely tied to anticipated monetary policy changes and economic indicators, making them crucial for market participants to monitor. Here are the four major economic events to watch this week: 1. U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report (Friday, September 6) The most anticipated event of the week is the U.S. Department of Labor's release of the August non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The previous month's data showed an increase of 114,000 jobs, while the expectation for August is a gain of 165,000. This report is particularly significant because it will influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its upcoming policy meeting on September 17-18.
Four Major Economic Events to Watch This Week (September 2-8, 2024)
avatarGoodLife99
2024-09-30
After years of learning hard from the stocks market, I'm now to be more patient and avoid impulsive buying but grab the dip when an opportunity comes, yet keep myself updated closely for the good news + follow the mkt sentiment is the most important daily task for me. I'm glad to DCA $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ from time to time since I've entered at the peak in the year of 2021 & my biggest position in my portfolio stay the same till date. Summaries my September in one word? Definitely will be 'Turnaround'! Looking forward for a good start @ $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ to reach T/O above 100M again as of last Friday T/O surged above 60M. Investors confidence towards $T

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will Apple Events Surprise Market?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe U.S. stock market was divided this week, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$ Dow Jones reaching record highs in a row while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ slowly retraced its steps.Obviously, the interest rate cut market is more favorable to growth stocks, why growth companies instead of performance is weaker?In fact, the main thing that caused the Nasdaq to pull back was the highs and lows of the big tech companies that are heavyweights.Nvidia's earnings this week attracted the attention of the whole market, but in the almost impeccable financial results after there are still 6 points of decline, nothing more than to prove that the current market on its performance statement is expected to be full of s
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will Apple Events Surprise Market?
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