$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The bullish Stochastic crossover previously highlighted, combined with the bounce from the lower Bollinger Band, provided excellent confirmation for the recent move. The 20DMA must now be flipped to support to consolidate this bullish continuation for a retest of the highs. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ : A breach of the lower Bollinger Band has propelled a visit to the 20DMA at the very least in previous cases. Even during the 2025 bear market, this pattern held. If the index fails to reach $25,200ish this week and the bounce fades before then, we would be looking at a major bearish signal.

The weekly chart for the $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ ETF (Magnificent Seven) suggests the worst of the bearish move may be behind us. The lower Bollinger Band was breached and oscillators reached oversold territory, conditions that mirrored the April 2025 bottom. As noted above, several securities have recently breached their Central Weekly Level (CWL) reversing from their (bearish) setups. This essential weekly price line is modeled every Friday for 44 core securities. Paid subscribers also have the exclusive benefit of suggesting five additional tickers from their personal watchlists each weekend. For the coming week, the MAGS ETF must hold above $61.8 to maintain its current bullish reversal setup. A successful hold targets $63.5 as

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Weak price action, but the chart may be interesting for bulls, even for a potential short-term bounce, considering the Stochastic crossover (none invalidated for several months), and the recovery of the 5DMA. $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ Most of the bearish move may be in considering the lower Bollinger breached and the oscillator getting oversold in the weekly timeframe. To keep momentum, this ETF must stay above $61.8 next week. 100 likes 30 reposts to continue tracking this ETF with price levels. $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alpha

The “Market Cycle” acts as a leading indicator for the broader “Economic Cycle.” Historically, sectors rotate in a sequence as the market moves from a bottom to a top: Market Bottom / Early Bull Market: Investors typically flock to Technology and Consumer Discretionary in anticipation of recovery. Expansion / Bull Market: Leadership broadens to include Industrials and Financials as lending and manufacturing activity accelerate. Market Top / Late Expansion: As the economy overheats and inflation rises, capital rotates into Energy and Basic Materials. Bear Market / Recession: Defensive sectors like Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Health Care tend to outperform as investors seek stability. The performance data for 2026 Year-To-Date (YTD) indicates a clear rotation toward late-cycle and defen

Volatility is picking up as downside momentum builds across major indices. With the VIX back above 20 and key leaders breaking short-term support, the current bearish move may not be over yet. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision at the lower Bollinger band, the 20 daily moving average curling down shows the shift in momentum. The bearish move doesn't seem complete considering the widening band and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above 20. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Losing the 20DMA with high-conviction suggests bearish continuation. Lately, bearish stochastic crossovers have preceded declines until prices become oversold, which isn't the case yet. Potential target: the lower ed

The U.S. stock market faced a stark reality check this week as the tech-heavy Nasdaq failed to recover. Despite strong top-line numbers from several sector leaders, the “billions in Capex” narrative has begun to sour, with investors questioning the immediate ROI on massive AI infrastructure spending. This skepticism has led to a decisive reversals for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ which struggled under the weight of high expectations. As the tech engines stalled, the broad market was left without its primary

This has been a volatile week for the market. Between seasonality, a high $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (which, as I mentioned last weekend, it suggested a new spike, and weakness in Bitcoin (acting as a risk-off thermometer), we finally saw a bearish resolution. My notes last week regarding the VIX and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ were clear for paid subscribers: “The current price action doesn’t typically reflect a final ‘top’ in volatility. The current level of 17.7 for the VIX is not the cleanest condition for a sustained bull run; a new spike in volatility remains a viable risk.” Additionally, I cited: “For the SPX, a breach of the CWL of 6,901.8 (-0.4%) points to 6,810.6 (-1.8%).” The actual low of the week wa

Infrastructure Giants Spend Big While Application Winners Cash In - Fundamental Analysis for GOOG, PLTR, LLY, and AMZN. Amid the volatility of February 2026, a clear divergence has emerged between the architects of the AI era and its most potent beneficiaries. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ have escalated the infrastructure arms race to unprecedented levels, pledging a combined capital expenditure approaching $385 billion for 2026 alone. This historic bet is already paying off in the cloud, where both Google Cloud and AWS posted meaningful acceleration in growth rates. Yet the sheer scale of this spending forces investors to weigh the

Tech heavyweights enter the week at pivotal technical junctions. As volatility persists, three key names—$NDX, $AVGO, $AAPL—demand close attention for signals of either continuation or reversal. Here’s how their setups are shaping up. 1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The decline toward the lower Bollinger Band played out as anticipated. For the move to stay sustainable, the Nasdaq 100 must recover and hold $25,123.7. It sounds simple, but with the $VIX at 18.0, volatility remains high, caution is still the priority. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Most long-wick hammer candles have preceded bounces, just as we saw on Thursday, which led into Friday’s rally. The second hammer has presented more traction, if that's the case again,

Markets delivered a technically meaningful bounce, but the real test now begins. The $SPX rebounded sharply after breaching its lower Bollinger Band and triggering oversold signals, yet the 20-day moving average stands as the line between a sustainable rally and a classic dead-cat bounce. Similar setups are unfolding across mega-cap tech. $NVDA shows a bullish stochastic crossover, $META has fully filled its post-earnings gap, and $AAPL is flashing a candle worth close attention after last week’s correctly anticipated rally. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The lower Bollinger band breached and the oversold oscillator triggered a major bounce. The daily candle suggests continuation. The 20DMA will define if this is a sustainable rally or a dead cat bounce.

U.S. equities rallied sharply on Friday to conclude a volatile trading week, posting their strongest single-session performance since May 2025. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ achieved a historic milestone by crossing and closing above the 50,000 threshold for the first time. It advanced 2.5% to settle at 50,115.67. Broader benchmarks also participated in the relief rally. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 1.9% and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ 2.2%. This resurgence followed a week marked by heavy losses in the technology sector and growing anxiety over the artificial intelligence trade. This publication relies on precise targets for both bullish and bearish moves, and this week perfect

While broader indices remain volatile, these three megacaps are reaching critical technical levels. Overbought conditions in $AAPL$, extreme oversold signals in $MSFT$, and relative strength in $JPM$ highlight how stock selection is driving returns in a fragmented market. 1. $Apple(AAPL)$ The conditions that triggered the latest sell-off are in place once again: the upper Bollinger Band has been breached and the oscillator is overbought. The conviction of this rally will be tested; usually, this combination leads to a consolidation or pullback. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ It has been a dramatic selloff since the breach of the upper Bollinger Band in October. The last time the price was this oversold, we saw a "d

The 2026 market landscape is being redefined by a stark divergence between capital-intensive infrastructure builders and rapid-adoption software leaders. The AI Capital Arms Race $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ have launched a historic capital arms race, with META guiding for up to $135 billion in 2026 capex to power its nuclear-backed “Prometheus” supercluster, while MSFT leverages a massive $250 billion cloud commitment from OpenAI to drive 39% Azure growth. Conversely, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is funding its own $20 billion move into AI and robotics through record energy storage margins, effectively using its utility business to subsidize its ne

This week, major indices and blue-chip stocks are testing critical support and resistance levels, signaling potential short-term shifts and trade setups. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ As mentioned yesterday, the indecisive candle in the 4H timeframe had an encrypted message. The first bearish target of the week was reached, while $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ continue reaching bullish targets posted in the Weekly Compass🎯. 2. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ The bullish reversal was anticipated in my S/R levels edition as early as Friday afternoon; a cons