$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already, while the 20DMA has acted as support. Which one is telling the truth? The weekly chart open for everyone last week anticipated the recent decline. Bullish signals closing the day above $229, Bearish confirmation (most likely) when $224 is breached.ImageIf we could predict that routinely ...we'd be millionaires ! its a complicated formula, as it relates to fear index as well as price change in major indices. The chart below attempts to show past moves in $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ using $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ as the index, Green shows SPY drop, Blue shows VIX ris
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Patience in trading shows itself in several forms
Patience in trading shows itself in several forms:- Letting the process progress naturally- Waiting for the best moment to enter- Permitting the trade to evolve completely- Maintaining strength during downturns- Gaining insights from your mistakesDelving into stock market history, meticulously dissecting the charted narratives of past price action, is crucial endeavor for any aspiring trader, allowing them to discern recurring patterns of boom and bust, to recognize the telltale signs of speculative bubbles inflating and subsequently imploding, and to understand the enduring role of human psychology in driving market dynamics.How will you nurture patience throughout your trading journey? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
NVDA - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze, since a technical bounce may come considering the usual bounces from the Bollinger band.Stochastic is oversold, not as much as in previous selloffs, but oversold. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Image2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - Rejection at the 20DMA: Some of the previous events have lead the Semiconductors ETF to a retest of the previous low. I expect the same situation before a sustainable bounce. There is a lot of technical damage, a gap fill may take a lot
NVDA - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze
IWM - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already
IWM - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already
SPX - $6078 continues rejecting price
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - The 20MA in the 4 hours timeframe is carrying the bounce, and $6078 continues rejecting price.A revisit to the 20DMA is likely, especially given the typical market reaction following Powell's speeches. The triangle is about to squeeze.Image $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - Indecision candle with high volume and above the Bollinger band. Stochastic curling down in overbought zone. $Apple(AAPL)$ earnings will inject fuel to the market, but a consolidation is guaranteed for META.Image
SPX - $6078 continues rejecting price
SPX - A revisit to the 20DMA is likely,
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - A revisit to the 20DMA is likely, especially given the typical market reaction following Powell's speeches. The reactions to $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ are mixed.The $6029 level (mentioned yesterday as a key support) acted as a temporary bounce, it continues as the key level to confirm a breakdown sending price to fill the gap.Image $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ : Ahead of earnings, the price has broken above the daily Bollinger Band, and the RSI is signaling overbought conditions (above 70).Sooner or later price returns to
SPX - A revisit to the 20DMA is likely,
SPX, QQQ & NVDA - The bounce was expected
1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ SPX - The bounce was expected, and it seems reliable, anyway managing risk is key. Tomorrow we will learn if the latest indecision candle at 4H will be followed by a pullback, or the momentum is back. $6,029 on watch👀Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ - As mentioned yesterday, gaps near overbought levels tend to be filled, and this has now been confirmed. The 20DMA has been breached, and the Stochastic is just beginning its move. The current candle doesn't suggest a bullish reversal; any potential bounce must reclaim the 20 DMA. As it stands, the Q's are facing significant downside pressure. $500 coming?Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA - Bounce at the lower
SPX, QQQ & NVDA - The bounce was expected
DeepSeek's Disruption: A Shock to the AI Sector, Not the Broader Market
DeepSeek, two observations:The shock caused by DeepSeek has predominantly affected the sector rather than the broader market, which typically serves as a reliable indicator of the economic and stock market cycle's health. 1) The communications services sector, which has been one of the winners in this bullish market alongside the tech sector, not only avoided losses but also appreciated by 0.52% during Monday’s session, trading near historic highs. It seems well-positioned to benefit from lower prices in artificial intelligence.2) The financial sector is one of the first to feel the impact when economic issues arise. Yet, on this Monday, it marked a new historic high.Technically speaking, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ and
$SMH - Buying opportunity?
Last week's analysis shared with everyone correctly foresaw a downturn for $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ , making the red day and potentially week unsurprising; however, the velocity of the decline is significant. Buying opportunity?Shared for everyone with specific targets:SMH resembles the $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ chart, withcomparable tops, and that stock is alsogiving clues ofa bearish reversal comingcomplete analysis for NVDA with levelsother indicators is in this publication. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Arista Networks(ANET)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$
SPX - a move to the 20 DMA was imminent
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - As noted last week, a move to the 20 DMA was imminent. What's different this time is the velocity of the decline, this rapid selloff warrants close attention. A bounce is possible tomorrow, but if it lacks strength, we could see a further move down to $5775. The Stochastic says this just began.Image20DMA Test Imminent: The gray squares mark previous occasions when price has tested that blue line. In the past, when the Bollinger Band has been breached and/or oscillators have been overbought, price has invariably moved to the 20DMA. Both conditions are in today. Will this time be different like the green square? No, wait, that one also preceded a visit to the 20DMA.Image
SPX - a move to the 20 DMA was imminent
$QQQ - Gaps tend to be filled
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Gaps tend to be filled when they are close to overbought price actionStochastic and Williams%R are overbought, can they continue in that condition? of course; but there are two gaps below, and in previous cases they have been filled or at least re-visited.Will this time be different? I don't think so. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ has faced rejection at its 50-day moving average for four consecutive days, culminating i
$QQQ - Gaps tend to be filled
IWM & SMH - Can 50DMA provide support？
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ has faced rejection at its 50-day moving average for four consecutive days, culminating in a doji candle. Next week's price action will determine whether this bounce is sustainable or simply a reset of indicators before the resumption of the correction that began in November.Image2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - Every bearish Stochastic crossover has proven its worth during the last months, will this time be different? I don't think so, and the bearish engulfing candle following a shooting star builds on that thesis. Will the volume shelf be tested? Most likely, and we will learn if there is a higher low this time, hopefully the 50DMA can provide support.Image
IWM & SMH - Can 50DMA provide support？
$NVDA - This jumpy one likes to play with the premarket session
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - This jumpy one likes to play with the premarket sessionA bearish engulfing candle is a negative setup for bulls that opens the day above the previous one, and dedicates the session to fall dearly. That happened on Friday, and in recent pullback initiations. Will this time be different?The Stochastic, Bollinger high, and the high edge of the volume profile suggest this time won't be different.How deep? maybe the demand zone works again (still a painful fall), in the end there is a bullish crossover between 20 and 50DMA Image
$NVDA - This jumpy one likes to play with the premarket session
$SPX: 20DMA Test Imminent
$.SPX(.SPX)$ : 20DMA Test Imminent: The gray squares mark previous occasions when price has tested that blue line. In the past, when the Bollinger Band has been breached and/or oscillators have been overbought, price has invariably moved to the 20DMA. Both conditions are in today. Will this time be different like the green square? No, wait, that one also preceded a visit to the 20DMA. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImagePrice action flipped the $6,083 resistance level to support: Anyway, recent moves above the B
$SPX: 20DMA Test Imminent
$SPX: $6083 proved to be a key level
$.SPX(.SPX)$ : As anticipated on Tuesday, $6083 proved to be a key level, price action formed an indecision candle right there. The upper Bollinger Band was breached so consolidation is expected. Previous occurrences are highlighted in red. With the stochastic overbought, risk management is crucial for long positions. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(I
$SPX: $6083 proved to be a key level
$SPX - Bullish Conviction, finally without a gap
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Bullish Conviction, finally without a gap: Price is continuing its expected upward movement, supported by bullish stochastic and MACD crossovers, suggesting the move is not complete. Widening Bollinger Bands indicate increasing volatility. The $6,043 (tight) level must hold as support. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image
$SPX - Bullish Conviction, finally without a gap
AAPL and PEP Show Strong Bullish Trends
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ Apple has found support at the volume shelf. The latest candlestick pattern suggests a potential reversal, supported by oversold oscillators and price action below the lower Bollinger Band. This improves the risk/reward for bulls, though further downside to $225 within the volume shelf remains possible.Image2. $Pepsi(PEP)$ Following last month's soft drink fundamental analysis highlighting the strength on PEP and $Coca-Cola(KO)$ , the weekly chart now shows three conditions present in prior bounces: oversold price relative to the lower band, RSI, and Stochastic; plus a bullish reversal candle. With favorable risk/reward, $142 is key support for the
AAPL and PEP Show Strong Bullish Trends
Trump instantly became a Crypto Billionaire
President Trump's meme coin, TRUMP, skyrocketed to become the 15th largest cryptocurrency globally within just 48 hours. This surge boosted his net worth to $75 billion, placing him among the top 25 richest individuals on the planet, with TRUMP representing 90% of that wealth.Here's a quick overview:On Friday night, Trump introduced the most significant memecoin ever. In less than two days, TRUMP accomplished what many cryptocurrencies take years to achieve. The coin's launch price of $10 quickly surged to $70, generating $29 billion in trading volume within 48 hours. Currently, TRUMP is held in 781,223 wallets, with 525 valued at over $1 million, and 6 exceeding $600 million.The success of memecoins relies on excitement, celebrity support, and community involvement, all of which TRUMP lev
$MSFT's technical picture is mixed
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ 's technical picture is mixedThe 20/50DMA crossover, the breach of the 200DMA, and the recent bullish attempts have stalled with red candles are bearish signs. Conversely, the bounce off the volume shelf's lower edge confirms a strong support zone, and oscillators suggest further upside potential.Whether this bounce continues or is merely a technical rebound before revisiting $410 hinges on the $438 level. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $.DJI(.DJI)$ Image
$MSFT's technical picture is mixed
The US yield curve has remained positive
For more than a month, the US yield curve has remained positive:Over the last 15 months, the gap between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields has increased significantly, resulting in a positive curve.Historically, a sharp positive shift in the yield curve has often preceded a recession in the US economy, there is not a specific time pattern.Something to watch indeed.Could this time be an exception?$Tonix Pharmaceuticals(TNXP)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $.SPX(.SPX)$ $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
The US yield curve has remained positive
$NVDA - Price has also bounced from the highlighted demand zone
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - The stochastic oscillator curling up from oversold territory has reliably signaled bullish reversals during previous pullbacks. Price has also bounced from the highlighted demand zone at the lower edge of the volume shelf. All eyes are now on the 50 DMA (purple), which is expected to turn into support. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ ImageOne of the reasons why a pullback is not guaranteed 👍.Image
$NVDA - Price has also bounced from the highlighted demand zone
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