Markets are pushing into fresh highs, led primarily by large-cap tech, as momentum remains strong but increasingly stretched. While breakouts across SPX, QQQ, AAPL, and TSLA signal continued bullish control, early signs of overheating are emerging with META and broader indices approaching key technical thresholds. With participation still relatively narrow and volatility compressed, the current setup suggests the uptrend remains intact—but a near-term consolidation or pause is becoming more likely as the market digests recent gains. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fresh all time highs and the price has just entered early greed territory. The RSI is not yet overbought, and the upper B. band suggests continuation. The bull train could offer soon a consolidat

Back in November 2025, I posted a special study on the likely 2026 targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The thesis indicated targets above the current all-time highs of 7,023 reached today for the SPX. During the recent months of volatility, I also posted special studies indicating that pullbacks and corrections are normal during bull markets before the major tops are reached; that is exactly what we are seeing right now. The link to that November study about target is here: Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX Price Targets I share high-probability trades and technical analysis on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays including special levels for paid subscribers, and I also post on Wednesd

S&P 500 Index continues to show strong momentum despite overbought conditions, with key support now defining the trend. Meanwhile, NASDAQ 100 Index and iShares Russell 2000 ETF remain bullish, but extended setups increase the risk of near-term pullbacks. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ From free fall to anti-gravity. In three weeks, the shift in sentiment has been remarkable. Price action breached the upper Band under overbought conditions. While indecisive candles precede pullbacks, today’s candle shows conviction. $6,930 is the key support to watch. 2. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A gap-up at the open is coming. Given the overbought oscillator, it's prudent to avoid chasing longs. Price action remains bullish above $25,

S&P 500 Index is regaining momentum after reclaiming key levels, reinforcing a continuation setup. Strength in Palantir Technologies Inc. contrasts with consolidation in Meta Platforms, Inc., highlighting a still-resilient tape. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Even bulls didn't expect this. Once the price bounced from the daily support zone of 6,786, it began gaining traction, then the key daily level of 6,823 flipped to support. With the 100DMA now recovered, the move suggests continuation. Levels posted this morning in chat. 2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ As noted in Saturday’s Weekly Compass (link attached), price action was primed for a reversal. Following today's +4.5% surge, the full analysis is a

Invesco QQQ Trust, Broadcom Inc., and Alphabet Inc. are all flashing the same message: stretched conditions + indecision = higher odds of a pullback. This isn’t bearish — it’s positioning. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Indecisive candles and the Stochastic in overbought zone have preceded pullbacks. As noted in yesterday’s Weekly Compass, I remain skeptical of another consecutive rally week; a gap-fill attempt is likely. The pullback trigger came up this morning - Price action is PRIMAL. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ When Broadcom breaches the upper Bollinger Band, a retracement toward the 20DMA follows, usually no exceptions. This stock is permanently analyzed in the Weekly Compass, including charts, daily price levels and

Market breadth is weakening as momentum cools. $SPX participation is rolling over, while $SMH points to a healthy consolidation phase. At the same time, $TSLA sits at key long-term support and $PLTR shows a potential bullish reversal signal. The market may be shifting from trend to consolidation, with selective setups emerging. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The percentage of stocks above their 20DMA has reversed from 70%, usually a consolidation follows; this time potentially below the 50DMA. The market was driven by strength in Tech and Materials, overall participation was negative. 2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Two weeks ago I posted in my publication that semiconductors would outperform the market at the

Two weeks ago this publication anticipated the high probabilities for a reversal given extreme oversold conditions. Back then, the price action was extremely oversold and sentiment was at lows not seen since the previous crash in April 2025. When the market began its bounce on March 31, essential levels were reclaimed. First, the Central Daily Level (our “Bullish Above / Bearish Below” indicator) sat at 6,362. The price opened above this level, providing an immediate bullish signal to subscribers who use our levels for validation. Subsequently, our Central Weekly Level (CWL) of $6,458 “sealed the deal,” confirming the weekly reversal and validating the bullish setups for the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S

The market managed a green close today despite heavy negative sentiment. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (+0.44%) move might have been emotionally surprising to the crowd, it was technically valid. As analyzed in our Weekly Compass, the charts specifically signaled this bullish potential. The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ followed suit, gaining +0.6%. Last week, our Daily Levels were instrumental in anticipating bullish reversals. These modeled “Bullish Above / Bearish Below” indicators act as your primary momentum compass, while our structured Support and Resistance (S/R) levels define the high-probability destinations for the move. Example QQQ (SPX is below with more securities): For tomorrow, the QQQ must hold above

Rare levels of bearish sentiment in $SPX historically lead to relief rallies and often precede major bottoms, while $GOOG shows a bullish stochastic crossover in oversold territory—typically a strong setup for a rebound. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Over the last 30 years, we have seen this level of bearish sentiment (55%) only a few times. Relief rallies have followed without fail; even when those rallies were short-lived A major bottom materialized few weeks after. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Bullish stochastic crossovers in the oversold zone (at or below 20) usually precede solid bounces. 11 successful cases and 2 exceptions (2022) in 10 yea

Despite the extreme bearish sentiment last weekend, I anticipated that a bounce was coming, citing a high likelihood of a relief rally, “as the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ were showing potential for a trend reversal.” Pessimism was as high as it was in April 2025, but staying focused on technical indicators is essential, regardless of the noise. Markets closed the first week of April with their first weekly gain since the Iran conflict began. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 3.4%

Markets are showing early signs of a sentiment shift, with smart money turning optimistic even as broader fear remains elevated. This divergence suggests the current bounce may have room to extend, but confirmation—especially through key technical breakouts like Nvidia’s—remains critical. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Smart money confidence is optimistic while dumb money is neutral. The Fear & Greed Index continues at Extreme Fear. Green circles highlight increase in smart money confidence and bullish moves that followed. The bounce could have more fuel. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The 20DMA has been rejecting price since March. The candle looks bullish, but volume is low. It needs a breakout above the downtrend to sh

The market continues to produce rapid moves that can trap both bulls and bears. This week, for the first time in over a month, the trap favored the bulls; after five consecutive weeks in the red, the main indices finally closed with over 3% gains each, the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ jumped during the week 3.95%. Modeled Support and Resistance Levels Framed Price Action The pathway to a green close was not smooth. On Monday, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ extended its oversold conditions, moving toward the bearish weekly target of $6,216. Once the overextension concluded, also breaching the lower daily Bollinger Band, the price began the “imminent bounce” anticipated this weekend in the Weekly Compass, where I mentioned th

The stock market is bouncing from the extreme oversold conditions identified during the weekend. While the rally continued today, we must determine if this move is finally sustainable or if the trend of “Inverse U turns” that dominated March will persist. Current price action suggests indecision; in fact, it suggests a potential reversal, with a gap below that is likely to act as a magnet in the very short term. It remains to be seen if the market will maintain the momentum from yesterday. Last night, I posted the Central Monthly Levels for April, which are the key levels where price switches from bullish (above) to bearish (below). The stock market moves in a mathematic way, for that reason these modeled levels work so well. Indecisive Price Action Once Again

Potential squeeze size based on the nearest gaps: -> $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +2.1% -> $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : +2.7% -> $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ : +3.2% The conviction with which price crosses intermediate levels and reclaims these gaps will determine the overall strength of the bounce. :As mentioned this weekend and yesterday, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ oversold conditions were extreme. Moment of Truth: Price filled the gap and hit the 10DMA, the dominant March trendline. Today’s difference: the candle shows bullish conviction. Next major hurdle: the 200DMA. Bulls face a monumental task in April: neutralizing this bear