Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Amid a confluence of factors including a ballooning fiscal deficit, frequent interventions in the bond market, and shifting interest rate expectations, gold is once again on its way to the $5,000 mark. From holding above the key $4,000 support level to the potential for its best monthly performance in 25 years, and with institutions raising their year-end targets, bullish sentiment towards gold is significantly intensifying. However, inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's policy direction remain crucial variables influencing gold prices, and whether gold can truly break through the $5,000 barrier before the end of the year remains to be seen. $Gold - ma
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GOLD: Bullish Sentiment Towards Gold is Significantly Intensifying
GOLD: Bullish Sentiment Towards Gold is Significantly Intensifying
The Round of Sharp Gold Price Gains Stem Primarily from Three Factors
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The core drivers behind this round of sharp gold price gains stem primarily from three factors. First, the weakening U.S. dollar and relatively low U.S. Treasury yields have provided solid support for gold prices. Second, ongoing geopolitical risks—including the U.S. expansion of secondary sanctions against Iran and the escalation of U.S.-Canada trade tensions—have continuously spurred safe-haven buying in the market. Finally, the U.S. Treasury’s plan to expand the scale of Treasury repurchases has been interpreted by the market as a potential erosion of the dollar’s creditworthiness, further highlighting gold’s anti-inflationary and safe-haven attributes. In early Asian trading today, gold surged to a high of $4,696.7. It
GOLD: A Pullback Would Present a Buying Opportunity!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Gold continued its upward trend; a brief technical pullback couldn't halt the upward momentum, meeting my test results from Friday! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ It has currently reached a high of around 4640! In an hour, gold will test above 4650. Keep buying! 2 Successfully reached above 4650, breaking through the psychological barrier of 4650! There is no effective resistance above, and there's a chance to reach around $4700 before the European market opens. A pullback would present a buying opportunity! Resistance is now above 4700 before the European market opens!
GOLD: A Pullback Would Present a Buying Opportunity!
GOLD: There is Still a Chance for a Second Rally
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been
GOLD: There is Still a Chance for a Second Rally
Gold: Short-Term Top Confirmed, Pullback Accelerates – Medium-Term Bullish Trend Intact
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430
Gold: Short-Term Top Confirmed, Pullback Accelerates – Medium-Term Bullish Trend Intact
GOLD: The Area Around $4,362 May Mark the End of the Rally
Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Currently, the 4-hour candlestick chart is showing a bearish downtrend, heading straight toward the lower Bollinger Band at $4,320. The price pattern has formed a “head-and-shoulders top” and “M-top” structure, indicating a short-term top. Since the pullback from the mid-August high (above 4,450), the highs have continued to decline. The current price has not only broken below the middle Bollinger Band at $4,378, but the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have also formed a bearish crossover at higher levels above the price, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The area around $4,362
GOLD: The Area Around $4,362 May Mark the End of the Rally
GOLD: Continue to Buy in the Next Stage
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: The 1-hour chart for gold shows a sideways consolidation at high levels. The short-term bearish trap has ended, and signals of a bottoming pattern have emerged. Key resistance: today’s intraday highs at 4436–4440! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ First Support (Short-Term Stop-Loss): 4386–4388 (intraday low and lower Bollinger Band). Second Support (Pivotal Point for Swing Strength): 4374–4376 (key 50% Fibonacci retracement level and resonance zone with the previous consolidation platform; this is a bottom line that bulls must defend at all costs)! Continue to focus on Buy trades. Strategy: Buy: near 4395–96; TP: 4420–4425–4430; SL: 4382
GOLD: Continue to Buy in the Next Stage
GOLD: The Overarching Trend of Gold Remains Bullish
1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit
GOLD: The Overarching Trend of Gold Remains Bullish
GOLD: The DownWard Pressure Cause by Muti-factors
Gold has now accelerated its decline, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Bearish momentum is unleashing with great force, and the price action is exhibiting an extremely weak, one-sided downtrend. The current downward slope is extremely steep, with bearish forces completely dominating the market. It is expected that, following a weak short-term rebound, the gold price will directly target the extremely critical psychological and technical round number level of 4300–4310. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ A short-term downtrend has formed in gold, and blindly buying the dip is absolutely forbidden today. The strategy is to sell on rallies! The key resistance level is currently at 4342-4350! Optimal strategy for the Asian and Euro
GOLD: The DownWard Pressure Cause by Muti-factors
Gold Retreats to $4,400 as Geopolitical Risks Clash with Cooling US Inflation
$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Gold prices edged lower in Asian trading on Thursday, with XAU/USD retreating to around $4,400. Gold had previously maintained a strong performance at elevated levels, but new geopolitical risks are prompting the market to reassess energy prices and the inflation outlook, leading to some profit-taking by short-term investors. However, gold’s downside remains limited by shifting expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy; the fact that U.S. inflation data for July did not show a renewed acceleration has reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten policy further in September. The gold market currently faces
GOLD: Complex Factors Influence the Gold Market
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Gold prices (XAU/USD) attracted some dip-buying during Wednesday’s Asian trading session, temporarily halting the previous decline from the $4,435 level. That level marked a new high since June 5, and gold has now broken above $4,400 as investors await the latest U.S. inflation data to gauge the direction of the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate policy. The gold market has recently been influenced by a complex interplay of factors. On the one hand, signs of a cooling U.S. job market have heightened market expectations of potential future in
GOLD: Bullish Momentum for Gold Remains Extremely Strong
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: Bullish momentum for gold (XAUUSD) remains extremely strong, with the price hitting an intraday high of $4,433.94. Gold is currently firmly above all moving averages, and every pullback to the MA5 or MA10 has turned into a rapid buying opportunity for bulls! The price has evolved from a base near 4,000, through a steady rise after breaking above 4,200, to the current accelerated phase of the main uptrend following the break above 4,400. The overarching trend continues to adhere to the core principle of “buying on dips in the t
GOLD: Bullish Momentum for Gold Remains Extremely Strong
GOLD: Gold Consolidated and Pulled Back
The most striking development in global financial markets last week was undoubtedly the strong rebound in gold prices. Following the shock of U.S. July nonfarm payroll data falling far short of expectations, spot gold prices surged last Friday to a seven-week high, not only recording their largest weekly gain so far this year but also triggering a marked shift in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy path. At the same time, subtle changes in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East provided further support for gold prices. During early Asian trading on Monday (August 10), gold consolidated and pulled back, currently trading around $4,320. This week, the market will see a series of key data releases, among which the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) due out on Wednes
GOLD: The Candlestick Chart Shows a Wide-range Consolidation at High Levels
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: On the H1 chart for gold, the candlestick chart shows a wide-range consolidation at high levels! Price Structure (Range-Bound Trading): Judging from the overall trend recently (from late July to present), gold has been trading sideways within a clearly defined wide trading range. Upper Resistance Zone: Main resistance is found at 4100 – 4144 (near the plateau high shown in the chart). Support Zone: There is extremely strong buying support near 4000 – 4022 (where the price has bounced off the bottom multiple times). Since neither bullish nor bearish momentum has achieved a structural breakout today, the price is highly likely to continue consolidating and adjusting within the core range of 4030 – 4100,
GOLD: The Candlestick Chart Shows a Wide-range Consolidation at High Levels
GOLD: Maintain a Sell-biased Strategy In the Short Term!
$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Technical Analysis: The price of gold has officially broken below the key pivot zone of 4086–4090. The current price stands at 4078, with the intraday decline widening further to -0.60%. This zone has now turned into resistance! The signal for a short-term breakout to the downside is very clear. With the 4,080 level under pressure, the only strong support remaining below is the support zone at 4,025–4,011 and the psychological barrier at 4,000. Today is the last trading day of the month. The decline in the Asian session is largely due to some institutional long positions liquidating this month’s profits ahead of s
GOLD: Maintain a Sell-biased Strategy In the Short Term!
Gold Staged a Reversal that Caught many Investors by Surprise
On Wednesday (July 29), gold staged a reversal that caught many investors by surprise. Before the Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged, gold prices came under pressure and weakened, even falling below the $4,000 mark during the session. However, once the Federal Reserve confirmed that it would keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, spot gold surged rapidly, briefly reaching $4,116 per ounce—its highest level since July 23. By the close of trading that day, spot gold had risen 0.94% to settle at $4,066.13 per ounce. During early Asian trading on Thursday (July 30), gold prices continued their upward trend, briefly touching the $4,100 mark, with a gain of approximately 0.84%. What makes this trend particularly noteworthy is i
Gold Staged a Reversal that Caught many Investors by Surprise
Fed Decision Looms: Gold Pressured by Strong Dollar and Rate Expectations
Currently, market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decision. The market widely expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting, but investors are still closely watching the policy statement’s language regarding inflation, employment, and the future path of interest rates. Although U.S. President Trump has repeatedly called for lower interest rates, market trading data shows that investors remain cautious about the future direction of policy. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ There is currently significant divergence in the market regarding short-term interest rate adjustments, and the possibi
Fed Decision Looms: Gold Pressured by Strong Dollar and Rate Expectations
GOLD: The Market is Currently in a “High-range Consolidation"
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$Gold: The market is currently in a “high-range consolidation and topping” phase following Monday’s gap-up opening. Although bulls hold the advantage in the short term, pressure for a local pullback has already begun to emerge. After the early morning open, bulls pushed prices up to 4116.15 but failed to hold above 4100, subsequently facing significant selling pressure from profit-taking. Currently, the H1 chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles (with long upper shadows), indicating very strong resistance in the 4110–4116 range and a weakening of short-term bullish momentum. A dense cluster of short-term overlapping supp
GOLD: The Market is Currently in a “High-range Consolidation"
GOLD: The Market has now Entered a “Critical Juncture” of Tug-of-war Between Bulls and Bears
After a strong pullback and rebound from 4023, gold is currently trading at 4030. $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The market has now entered a “critical juncture” of tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Given the lackluster rebound, the price may retest today’s lows in the 4023–4025 range to confirm whether the “double bottom” support at that level is valid. Meanwhile, the key intraday support is near 4,020; if this level is broken, the price will continue to test the 4,000–4,005 range! First near-term resistance: 4,038–4,042 (former resistance-turned-support level) For trading, focus primarily on entering sell positions after a rebound! Strateg
GOLD: The Market has now Entered a “Critical Juncture” of Tug-of-war Between Bulls and Bears
GOLD: Bulls and Bears are Engaged in a Fierce Tug-of-war in the 4120–4130 Range
1 $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ The market has moved away from the previous extreme one-sided surge and has entered a phase where the rebound is being held back following a wide-range consolidation and bottoming process. Bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce tug-of-war in the 4120–4130 range. It is expected that the market will continue to consolidate within a wide range ahead of the New York session; both buy and sell positions will offer decent profits for short-term trading! Short-Term Strategy: Sell: 4135–38 TP: 4115–4110 SL: 4152 Buy: 4110–4112 TP: 4125 SL: 4098 2 (H4) Candlestick chart: The market has moved away from the previous extreme one-sided surge and has entered a phase where the rebound is being held back following
GOLD: Bulls and Bears are Engaged in a Fierce Tug-of-war in the 4120–4130 Range
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