Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Due to the intraday oversold conditions, gold is likely to attempt an upward correction during the early U.S. trading session, with targets in the 4140–4145 range. It has currently reached a high of around 4141.8. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ However, since the overall bearish trend has not yet reversed and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains at its intraday high of 101.73, gold is likely to fail to sustain its rebound at this resistance zone. It will then test the lows again and is likely to break below 4,106, moving directly toward the 4,100 psychological level or even t

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 On Tuesday (October 20), the gold market saw a slight pullback, with the price of gold closing down 0.37% at $4,125.08 per ounce, having dipped as low as $4,111.58 during the session, while December gold futures closed down 0.4% at $4,142.60. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Although a weaker U.S. Dollar Index briefly pushed gold prices up to around $4,155, all gains were erased by the end of the session, indicating that investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week is dominating the market. Current gold prices have retreated approximately 26% from t

$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ With no major data releases such as the nonfarm payrolls or CPI next week, market attention will focus on the strength of the U.S. manufacturing recovery and inflation expectations surveys. October 19 (Monday) 10:00 AM: U.S. October NAHB Housing Market Index (Previous: 32, Forecast: 31) . The key focus will be on whether confidence among real estate developers has deteriorated further amid high interest rates. October 20 (Tuesday) 8:30 AM: U.S. September Total Annualized Housing Starts. 10:00 AM: U.S. September Total Building Permits and Pending Home Sales. October 22 (Thursday) 8:30 AM: U.S. Initial Jobless Clai

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The U.S. PPI for September came in at 6.3% year-over-year, the highest level since May 2026 and higher than the market forecast of 5.3%. The U.S. PPI for September rose 1.3% month-over-month, significantly higher than the market’s forecast of 0.5%. U.S. retail sales for September rose 0.8% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations. Following the release of the data, gold fell sharply, hitting a low near 4,130.7, and the sell order successfully reached the predetermined take-profit (TP) level! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Asian Session: “Technical buying to cover short positions” following the exhaustion of bearish news. After touching the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 4,100.44 and today’s low of 4,099.95, gold formed a strong V-shaped bottom and rebounded. Bullish Counterattack: After several trading days of sharp declines triggered by a reassessment of hawkish rate hikes following higher-than-expected U.S. CPI inflation, bearish momentum has temporarily run out. Short-Covering: Following the opening of the Asian session, some short positions chose to take pro

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 (October 13) Gold: Given the structural support from geopolitical risks and continued ETF inflows, pullbacks in gold present buying opportunities. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Keep a close eye on the 4,200 psychological level: As the price approaches this round number, some long positions may choose to take profits, leading to increased market volatility; be sure to manage your positions carefully. First resistance level: The 4,200 psychological round number! First support level: 4,191–4,192. Maintain a strategy of entering buy positions after pullbacks! Strategy: Buy: 4,1

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! It is unlikely that gold prices will experience another sharp, consecutive decline before the close, nor is a sharp V-shaped rebound likely. The most probable scenario is a weak bottoming process and sideways consolidation within the $4,155–$4,175 range. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Before the market closes, without significant bearish news to trigger a move, it is unlikely that the price will break through the 4,150 psychological barrier in one go. Short-term trading strategy: Buy: 4,160 TP: 4,185–4,190 SL: 4,144 Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: (XAUUSD) H1 Chart—The market has recently been consolidating at high levels, with the center of gravity shifting slightly downward! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ After falling to around 4100, the price halted its continuous downward trend and shifted to a sideways consolidation at lower levels to form a bottom. The current price, near 4150, is right around the midline of this bottoming consolidation range that has lasted for several weeks. In the short term, it is highly likely that the price will retest the bottom support near 4113–4120. First Resistance Level: 4,152–4,155 (bull-bear dividing line, short-term weak resistance) Second Resistan

$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold 1-Hour Chart: Down About 1.47% Today! The current market is clearly in a short-term bearish phase, with price showing signs of breaking below key technical support levels. The price is currently moving downward along the lower Bollinger Band (LB: 4260.79), and the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of widening (i.e., “spreading”), which typically indicates that the downtrend is accelerating or that momentum is building. The price has now broken below the bottom of the previous consolidation range at 4310–4320. Until a strong bullish reversal signal emerges, the prevailing trend is expected to continue with a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! September 23 Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has shifted from its previous one-sided bull market (peaking near 4369.25) into a medium-term, wide-range consolidation phase, either forming a bottom or consolidating to build momentum. Short-term rallies on the hourly chart may at any time face strong resistance from the dense moving average zone at 4,347–4,353 on the 4-hour chart. Key resistance zone: 4,350–4,360! The current trading strategy should focus on “selling on rallies” after the European session opens, or patiently waiting for a pullback to

On Monday (September 21), spot gold traded in a range before falling, briefly breaking below the key support level of 4,335 and hitting an intraday low of around $4,322 per ounce. It ultimately closed at $4,343.70, down 0.78%. Gold futures also weakened, closing down nearly 0.9%. The U.S. Dollar Index continued its upward trend, driven by expectations of further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, becoming the primary force weighing on gold prices. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate, and the interplay between energy price volatility and inflation expectations significantly eroded gold’s appeal as a traditional safe-haven and anti-inflation asset in a high-interest-rate environment. In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 22), easing infla

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold prices previously experienced a pronounced corrective decline (hitting a low near 4,334.31), after which they found strong support at the lows and staged a sharp “V-shaped reversal.” Currently, the price has broken through the middle band and is testing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at $4,404. The H1 chart has shifted to bullish dominance, with strong rebound momentum. Monday Forecast: Given the strong bullish momentum at Friday’s close, and assuming there is no significant easing of tensions in the Middle East

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The New York market opens at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time! Given the breakout with heavy volume on the 4-hour chart, any blind attempt to short the market by guessing the top without considering momentum is extremely dangerous. The trading strategy for the U.S. session must strictly adhere to the main principle of “buying on dips.” Currently, the middle Bollinger Band (4,382) serves as the “line of life and death” for bulls and bears in the U.S. session. Once the market breaks above 4,382 with strong volume during the U.S. session, the bears will collapse completely, triggering a massive short squeeze rally. If the shakeout early in the U.S. session brings the price back to the 4350–4355 range—near the high of the previous con

Key Scenario: The Fed’s Decision Will Determine Gold’s Fate The crux of the matter regarding the decision does not lie in whether or not interest rates will be raised, but rather in the updated economic forecast dot plot and the Fed Chair’s remarks on the future interest rate path during the press conference. A: Dovish reassurance (e.g., implying that current inflation is under control and the tightening cycle is nearing its end) Market Outlook: This would immediately trigger a “gold bull run” as bearish expectations are realized. Technical Development: 4-hour bulls will ignore resistance from moving averages above, breaking through the middle Bollinger Band at $4,436.41 with a large bullish candle, rapidly recouping lost ground in a short time, and making a frantic push toward the 4-hour

(XAUUSD) The 1-hour chart currently shows a clear bearish trend and a consolidation phase at low levels. After a series of consecutive declines, the gold price has stabilized near $4,288.54 and is attempting to form a short-term support shelf; however, the overall rebound momentum is facing strong resistance from multiple moving averages above and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As this week coincides with the highly anticipated September Federal Reserve interest rate decision (FOMC), market expectations for a Fed rate hike have surged significantly to over 85%. The macroeconomic environment poses a bearish risk to gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, in the medium term. Therefore, the trading strategy must follow the trend, focusing primarily on selling on rallies, while supplement

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The current gold price is consolidating within a narrow range near the bottom of a key downtrend channel and the 4,330 level! In terms of technical structure, the downtrend channel continues, with lows gradually rising (potential double bottom?). After facing resistance above 4,450 earlier, gold has been trading within an overall downward-sloping channel. Current key price defense zone: strong resistance at 4,350–4,355; strong support at 4,309–4,322. In the short term (over the next few hours), it is highly likely that gold wi

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The current gold price is in a technical pattern characterized by a rebound from a bottom and wide-range volatility. On the H4 chart, the moving averages have formed a very standard and perfect bearish alignment. Even if gold prices rebound, the upside will be extremely limited, as the resistance zone at $4,345–$4,350 will act as an insurmountable barrier. A break below yesterday’s low of $4,311 will trigger a technical sell-off, with downside potential extending directly to $4,250 or even near $4,200. For today, firmly exe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the U.S. military strike on Iranian oil tankers, Brent crude briefly approached the $100 mark. In the past, an escalation of war has often been a direct positive for gold; however, against the current backdrop of monetary tightening, the surge in oil prices has intensified market fears of a global “reflation.” Investors have realized that high oil prices will force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive interest rate policy. This has caused the U.S. dollar to rise and gold to continue falling. The key support level is currently at 4,375; if this level cannot be held, gold will continue to seek support at 4,350! Short-term sell positions continue to generate profits!

Technical Analysis: After dipping to $4,341.35 and hitting a short-term support level, gold staged a rebound amid volatility. It subsequently formed a bullish swing high above the 4,450–4,460 range but has recently shifted to a downward correction from these highs. The price action shows signs of a slowing downtrend and stabilization through sideways consolidation at lower levels. If the short-term rebound consistently fails to break through and close above $4,425 on the 1-hour chart, the bears will maintain control. The market is highly likely to break below the local support at 4,360 and initiate a second retest of the extremely dense support zone at 4,310–4,305 below. If bulls force a rally driven by news events (such as a sudden escalation of geopolitical tensions or an unexpectedly we