PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
Quant Trader šŸ’» NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE
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avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-21 12:29

SPY Expansion Toward 700–720 or Thesis Fails

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ finishing the week green but still compressing. We’ve got a 1B share node and point of control parked right here. That is real size. Long term model stays bullish. Still targeting 700–720 by end of March. Remember: the longer the compression, the bigger the expansion. If this starts to roll and Monthly BX flips red, the bullish thesis is gone. No hesitation. PS: Everyone’s calling for a stock market crash SPY āŒ I’m not there yet. My system still has SPY in a bull cycle, but if one key signal flips, I’m looking for a 10 correction For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
SPY Expansion Toward 700–720 or Thesis Fails
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-20 16:38

High-Stakes Decision Zones: $SOFI $IREN $NBIS $PLUG $RDDT at Make-or-Break Levels

Several beaten-down names are sitting at critical inflection points. Some are flashing high-reward discount setups with bullish structure intact, while others are one signal away from invalidating the thesis. The next move in these stocks won’t be subtle — it will define whether this is accumulation… or distribution. 1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ The next 2 weeks decide if $SOFI is a dip buy or a future baghold. It’s already down ~40%, trend bias is still green, but if Monthly BX closes dark red I’m killing my bull thesis and walking away. 2. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ IREN back in one of the best buy zones I’ve seen in a year. Monthly BX is still bullish, bias is green, and price has actually pulled into real
High-Stakes Decision Zones: $SOFI $IREN $NBIS $PLUG $RDDT at Make-or-Break Levels
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-20 16:37

Critical Inflection Points: $TSLA Coiling, $SPY on Bull Watch, $META Rolling, $NVDA Into Earnings

Markets are at decision zones across multiple leaders. Some names are compressing for potential breakouts, others are flashing early warning signs. The key now isn’t prediction — it’s reacting to structure, buying pressure, and confirmation as signals flip. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA has chopped sideways for months while everyone gets bored… my system still reads it as a loaded spring. BX is green, trend bias is bullish, and price is sitting on major volume support. 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ ONDS is up 25% from the exact buy zone my system flagged… and I didn’t take it. In this video I break down why the setup was so clean, why I hesitated anyway. As well as what I’m looking for now before I either
Critical Inflection Points: $TSLA Coiling, $SPY on Bull Watch, $META Rolling, $NVDA Into Earnings
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-20 16:31

$RR $CLF $BABA $AMD at High-Probability Discount Zones

Defined risk. Clear structure. No hype. Several names are pulling back into validated discount areas while monthly buying pressure remains intact. I’m leaning into setups where structure + BX alignment offer asymmetric risk/reward — and staying disciplined where confirmation fails. 1. $Richtech Robotics(RR)$ RR still wedged up bullish. Month of selling but structure + all criteria intact. I’m getting long here with defined risk. In near wedge support. Out when Monthly BX closes dark red. No hype. Just rules. 2. $cleveland-cliffs(CLF)$ CLF is starting to look like a legit dip buy after this selloff. Monthly BX is still green, price is pulling back into a real discount zone, and the risk/reward here is high. I
$RR $CLF $BABA $AMD at High-Probability Discount Zones
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-20 16:26

Extreme Discount ≠ Buy Signal: $COIN & BTCUSD Still Bearish Until Demand Confirms

Most traders see ā€œcheapā€ and rush in. I see a trap until proven otherwise. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is trading at an extreme discount and has bounced three times off this support. I’m still not buying. Why? Buying pressure is still overwhelmingly bearish. Monthly BX is holding red. Price has already burned ~50% since the flip. In this setup, trying to nail the exact bottom is gambling. Waiting for confirmation is the higher probability trade. My system has been bearish on BTCUSD since November around 106k and still shows zero real buying pressure. But right now we’re sitting on a KEY support zone in our framework: first downside target near 70k, where 65% of samples historically bounce. āœ… This is a massive area of interest, not a green light.
Extreme Discount ≠ Buy Signal: $COIN & BTCUSD Still Bearish Until Demand Confirms

Positioning in $RIVN $TSLA $ONDS as Momentum Builds and Setups Tighten

Three very different setups, three very different decisions. $RIVN is extended after a sharp breakout, $TSLA looks coiled for a potential expansion, and $ONDS is sitting in a high conviction zone but testing patience on risk reward. This is not about hype. It is about positioning and discipline. 1. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ RIVN is up 30% today and everyone suddenly wants in. We were bullish back at $14–16 when my system flashed the same setup that led to the last 70% run. Up here, I’m not buying – just managing winners. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA has gone nowhere for months. In my system, this is exactly what a coiled move looks like, not a dead stock. Monthly BX is still green, trend bias still
Positioning in $RIVN $TSLA $ONDS as Momentum Builds and Setups Tighten

AAPL and QQQ Show Buyable Dips While HOOD and DUOL Stay Under Pressure

Markets are pulling back, but not all dips are created equal. While fear is rising and headlines are turning negative, my system focuses on structure, trend alignment, and capital positioning rather than emotion. Some names are testing high-probability buy zones, while others remain firmly in distribution. The key right now is selective execution, not blanket dip-buying. 1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL just got smacked 5% on bad headlines + tech weakness… and I still think this is a dip worth watching. Monthly BX is bullish, price pulled back into my trend support, and my buy zone is 260–250. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Everyone’s screaming ā€œcorrectionā€ on $QQQ 🚨 I’m not there yet. This pullback is still a buyable dip in
AAPL and QQQ Show Buyable Dips While HOOD and DUOL Stay Under Pressure

BTC Hits 70K Target, Testing Key Monthly Support

Bitcoin hit our downside target and is now testing the Monthly Bias Target šŸŽÆ Historically a major support and often the bottom. If we’re going to bounce, it’s here. But my Monthly BX is not a buy yet. Discount alone isn’t enough. I need real buying pressure before I turn long‑term bullish again. The level is technically ideal for a bounce — but ideal levels don’t guarantee reversals. What matters now is whether buyers actually step in with conviction. BTCUSD hit the 70K downside target I mapped out and is now sitting on major Monthly Bias support. The same zone that usually marks big bottoms. Traditionally, we will bounce here āœ… But my Monthly BX is still red. Discount alone isn’t enough. I’m not buying until I see real buying pressure.
BTC Hits 70K Target, Testing Key Monthly Support

Support Isn’t a Buy Signal: NFLX, MSFT, HIMS at Critical Levels

Several high-profile names — NFLX, MSFT, and HIMS — are now sitting at major long-term support zones where historical rebounds have been sharp and profitable. These are the exact levels that attract aggressive dip buyers: 1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ NFLX is sitting on the exact support where it has usually bounced hard in the past. This is the spot everyone wants to buy. I’m still not touching it. Until ONE specific signal flips on my system, I won’t go long. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Is now finally the time to buy $MSFT after a 20% drop? Price just hit a massive long‑term support zone that usually marks major bottoms… but my Monthly BX is still dark red, which is not a buy in my system. 3.
Support Isn’t a Buy Signal: NFLX, MSFT, HIMS at Critical Levels

TSLA, IREN, EOSE, ONDS & MU Bounce and Entry Opportunities

Today’s watchlist focuses on five notable names—Tesla Motors (TSLA), Ondas Holdings (ONDS), Micron Technology (MU), IREN Ltd (IREN), and Eos Energy Enterprises (EOSE). Key support levels, discount zones, and monthly momentum indicators highlight potential opportunities and caution areas across these high-activity stocks. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA just bounced off the exact support level I’ve been watching around $420 and is up ~7.5% from last week’s low. Monthly BX is still green, bias still bullish, and I’m targeting 460 next with 550 on deck if the squeeze finally breaks. 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ Most people only noticed $ONDS after it ripped 20%+. The real buy was last week’s panic into my dis
TSLA, IREN, EOSE, ONDS & MU Bounce and Entry Opportunities

Dip-Buy Setups | AMD, TSLA, ZETA Enter Discount Zones āœ…

Some names are finally reaching discount zones, offering asymmetric upside potential while the broader market hesitates. Monthly BX remains green, long-term trends intact, and risk/reward profiles favor selective entries. Here’s how I’m positioning on AMD, TSLA, and ZETA. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD just had the dip everyone wanted… and I’m finally planning to go long āœ… Monthly BX is still green, price pulled back ~15% into my weekly bias (discount zone), and the long‑term model still supports the bull cycle. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Weeks like this are where $TSLA tests your patience. Price flushed into my discount zone while everyone panicked, but the system never flipped bearish Monthly BX still
Dip-Buy Setups | AMD, TSLA, ZETA Enter Discount Zones āœ…

Make-or-Break Levels | QQQ, TSLA, NVDA Hold, COST, MSTR Risky

Some leaders are holding trend and offering controlled dip-buy setups, while others are bouncing into unfavorable risk/reward zones. In this environment, patience, confirmed closes, and respecting higher-timeframe signals matter more than speed. Below is how I’m viewing the key names right now—what I’m staying bullish on, and what I’m deliberately avoiding. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ is at a make-or-break level. This trend needs to hold over the next month or the risk shifts toward a real correction. In our system, this is typically a solid dip-buy opportunity. I stay bullish until the Monthly BX closes dark red. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA patience is your biggest edge. This is why we wait for candles to
Make-or-Break Levels | QQQ, TSLA, NVDA Hold, COST, MSTR Risky

FOMO, Traps, and Falling Knives: $META, $NVDA, $MSTR, $PLTR, $AMZN, $HOOD

Recent market moves highlight the dangers of chasing post‑earnings spikes and the importance of disciplined systems. $META and $AMZN fell through expected zones, triggering sell-the-news traps. $MSTR and $PLTR continue deep drawdowns, showing why catching falling knives rarely works. Meanwhile, $NVDA sits in a discount band offering a tactical long entry. Even HOOD, down ~40% since early January, underscores the need for patience and structured risk management as bounces turn into traps. Traders should focus on smart entry points and avoid emotional trades. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Most traders saw $META’s earnings rip and FOMO’d in. We called it a trap Price rejecting exactly where my system said ā€œsell the news,ā€ with room for another 15–1
FOMO, Traps, and Falling Knives: $META, $NVDA, $MSTR, $PLTR, $AMZN, $HOOD

From Falling Knives to Bounce Zones: $AMZN, $MSTR, $QQQ, $APP, $EOSE, $ORCL

Several notable setups are emerging across tech, energy, and growth names. $AMZN sits at critical support ahead of earnings, while $QQQ tests its key fair value zone. $MSTR continues its downtrend, illustrating the risk of chasing falling knives. $APP and $EOSE offer potential bounce opportunities from their respective discount zones, and $ORCL highlights the importance of following systematic exit criteria after bull theses fail. Traders should focus on disciplined entries and exits as structural setups evolve. 1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AMZN has earnings today and it’s sitting in my ideal long zone. Monthly BX just put in a higher low, we’re above the value bands with green showing, and price is sitting right at Point of Control. If AMZN is going to
From Falling Knives to Bounce Zones: $AMZN, $MSTR, $QQQ, $APP, $EOSE, $ORCL

Discipline Over Bias Across $NVDA $AMD $IONQ $OKLO $HOOD $GOOG

Markets reward process, not opinions. From holding bullish bias with $NVDA$ and $AMD$, to cutting losers like $IONQ$ and $OKLO$, and resisting premium prices in $GOOG$, this is a reminder that risk management and patience matter more than conviction. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA is still bullish and holding support for now… but the setup is getting uglier. If Monthly BX closes dark red and we lose the bias trend, I’m eyeing a pullback toward $140. Until that actually happens, I stay bullish and stick to the system. 2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD is finally pulling back into fair value. If the Monthly BX keeps holding green, the $185–$200 zone becomes a legit dip buy area for me, not a reason to panic. 3. <
Discipline Over Bias Across $NVDA $AMD $IONQ $OKLO $HOOD $GOOG

Trade Setups: $NVO, $ONDS, $MRNA, $MSFT at Key Technical Levels

Key names to watch this week: dip-buy and pullback opportunities across $NVO, $ONDS, $MRNA, and $MSFT. 1. $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ NVO Monthly Bx divergence in play This would be considered ā€œbuy the dipā€ opportunity in my strategy. 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ I would be a buyer at $9 $ONDS šŸ‘€ 3. $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ MRNA tagged my take‑profit band perfectly and is now likely to sell back into the bias / fair value zone. I’ll be looking to go long on the next pullback into that fair value range, not up here. 4. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ MSFT downside target hit šŸŽÆ Point of control support is now in play. Could see short term boun
Trade Setups: $NVO, $ONDS, $MRNA, $MSFT at Key Technical Levels

Key Inflection Points for NVDA, TSLA, MSFT, META, IREN & MRNA

Markets are hitting inflection points across big-name stocks. NVDA faces a make-or-break support test, TSLA is trying to bounce, while META and IREN look like late-cycle chases. At the same time, MSFT and MRNA are cooling off after key levels were hit, setting the stage for selective, patience-driven setups rather than aggressive buying. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Big month for $NVDA bulls. This support has to hold and Monthly BX needs to stay green. If it does, I’m pricing a move toward $220 by April/May. If it doesn’t, the bull cycle is likely over. For now, structure and BX still look good. 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Worried $META is a trap āŒ I’m not chasing this earnings rally. If it keeps running, I’ll j
Key Inflection Points for NVDA, TSLA, MSFT, META, IREN & MRNA

$APP Cycle Likely Over $COIN Pullback $BTC $ETH Discount Zone

The current market signals caution across these high-profile digital and tech assets. While BTC and ETH show potential discount levels, the absence of strong demand and technical breakdowns suggest careful positioning. $APP may be topping, and $COIN remains dormant until confirmed demand materializes. 1. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ APP bulls won’t like this, but my system says the cycle is probably over. Monthly BX printed dark red for the first time in 2+ years. That usually means long chop or a real correction, not fresh upside. I’m not shorting it, but I am parking capital elsewhere. Hope I'm wrong 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is pulling back into the Smart Money Zone, but there’s still no real
$APP Cycle Likely Over $COIN Pullback $BTC $ETH Discount Zone

Risk-Off Signals Flash: PLTR, IONQ, OKLO vs RIVN

This is a moment where systems matter more than stories. PLTR and OKLO are flashing clear cycle-end signals after powerful runs, IONQ forces a disciplined exit as the trend turns against the thesis, while RIVN stands out as a rare exception — reset, discounted, and still structurally bullish. The message is simple: capital preservation first, patience second, and aggression only where risk-reward is asymmetric. Here is a detailed analysis of the four stocks: 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR bulls won’t like this: my system says the bull cycle is officially over. 🚨 Monthly BX just printed its first dark red after a 3,000% run. That usually means no more big breakouts and a real risk of a 25–30% slide toward the ā€œsmart moneyā€ zone. 2.
Risk-Off Signals Flash: PLTR, IONQ, OKLO vs RIVN

META, TSLA, HOOD: Breakouts, Decision Zones, and Trend Breaks

Markets are rewarding select earnings winners while quietly shifting risk under the surface. META is exploding higher post-earnings, TSLA sits at a critical inflection point, and HOOD is flashing a system-level trend break. This is a tape that demands discipline — knowing when not to chase, when to stay patient, and when the trend has objectively changed. Here is a detailed analysis of the three stocks: 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ META is ripping after earnings šŸš€ The sell off I was expecting didn't happen but I am still very happy I didn't go long. The risk vs reward was NOT worth it with the potential of $480 downside. That said, congrats to everyone who was right and went long šŸ¤ 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$<
META, TSLA, HOOD: Breakouts, Decision Zones, and Trend Breaks

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