+Follow
点点的小爸爸
一名外出务工者
261
Follow
860
Followers
0
Topic
0
Badge
Posts
Hot
点点的小爸爸
2024-10-08
$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$
点点的小爸爸
2023-06-21
$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$
Mark
点点的小爸爸
2023-06-17
$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$
Mark
Go to Tiger App to see more news
{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3484871130175544","uuid":"3484871130175544","gmtCreate":1521777109154,"gmtModify":1704447508857,"name":"点点的小爸爸","pinyin":"dddxbbdiandiandexiaobaba","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"一名外出务工者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","hatId":"ca_profile_frame_Mpy1eK","hatName":"","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":860,"headSize":261,"tweetSize":307,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":4,"name":"文化虎","nameTw":"文化虎","represent":"学有所成","factor":"发布30条非转发主帖,其中3条优质帖","iconColor":"8867FB","bgColor":"BDC5FF"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":25,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-4","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Tiger Star","description":"Join the tiger community for 2000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.13","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.21","exceedPercentage":"93.96%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.25%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":357618954317992,"gmtCreate":1728318929319,"gmtModify":1728318931187,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","text":"$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357618954317992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189609354608744,"gmtCreate":1687316674841,"gmtModify":1687316677442,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ Mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f612a77ef6682b0f0f9c8866cb111db5","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189609354608744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188217609916520,"gmtCreate":1686976893422,"gmtModify":1686976895703,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ Mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a0afb82c55be81a47100b877af9dd82","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188217609916520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":663325471,"gmtCreate":1662966151698,"gmtModify":1676537173044,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙄","listText":"🙄","text":"🙄","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/663325471","repostId":"2266319619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357618954317992,"gmtCreate":1728318929319,"gmtModify":1728318931187,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","text":"$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357618954317992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189609354608744,"gmtCreate":1687316674841,"gmtModify":1687316677442,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ Mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f612a77ef6682b0f0f9c8866cb111db5","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189609354608744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188217609916520,"gmtCreate":1686976893422,"gmtModify":1686976895703,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ </a>Mark","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ Mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a0afb82c55be81a47100b877af9dd82","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188217609916520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":687888897,"gmtCreate":1660874296024,"gmtModify":1676536752536,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"(•̀⌄•́)","listText":"(•̀⌄•́)","text":"(•̀⌄•́)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/687888897","repostId":"1148070609","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148070609","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1660831194,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148070609?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-18 21:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股反弹背后：量化基金关闭空仓，要再涨100天？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148070609","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。</blockquote><p>在经历有史以来最糟糕的上半年之后，美股在下半年开启了反弹模式。自7月以来，纳斯达克综指上涨了近17%，标普500指数上涨了近13%。</p><p>美股反弹的背后，凸显了投资者悲观情绪的逐渐消散，此前大规模做空美股的量化基金迅速关闭空仓，然后转为做多。</p><p>对此，野村的策略师Charlie McElligott表示，<b>量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。</b></p><p><b>量化基金迅速转向</b></p><p>野村估计，自6月底市场触及低点以来，趋势跟踪对冲基金和波动控制基金已经购买了1070亿美元的全球股票期货，其中很大一部分用于平仓空头头寸。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>股票交易主管Glenn Koh表示：“由于仓位基本处于低位，大量现金（持有者）在场外观望，因此随着市场企稳并开始反弹，越来越多的资金流回了市场。”</p><p>据华尔街见闻此前文章介绍，7月份，量化交易策略CTA解除了约1000亿美元看跌股票和债券的押注，推动美股和美债从史上最糟糕的上半年中开始复苏。</p><p>根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>的估计，在期货市场进行多空双向交易的商品交易商（CTA）纷纷平掉了他们在过去几个月里建立的空头仓位，到7月底，他们的整体敞口自3月份以来首次处于中性水平。</p><p>然而，随着衰退风险加剧，这种做多还能维持多久？</p><p><b>100天？</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>分析师表示，做多可能会继续。该机构上周告诉其对冲基金客户，追求低波动的基金和风险平价基金每天购买价值约20亿至40亿美元的股票。该行估计，如果波动性保持在低水平，此类做多 “<b>可能会再持续100天</b>”。</p><p>摩根大通策略师Marko Kolanovic表示，涨势已经触及市场的大部分角落。过去50天，<b>标普500指数成分股中约有88%的交易价格高于平均水平，该比例远远高于6月中旬的2%</b>。Kolanovic说：</p><blockquote>“强劲的参与度表明这次反弹是持久的，也是市场尾部风险消退的另一个表现。”</blockquote><blockquote>“追求低波动的基金将增加整体风险敞口，尤其是股票。”</blockquote><p>基金经理则更加乐观。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>策略师Michael Hartnett本月对投资组合经理进行民意调查后表示，他们“不再像世界末日一样悲观”。</p><p><b>美联储激进加息下，美股能支持多久？</b></p><p>这在一定程度上取决于美联储接下来的加息幅度。美联储官员曾警告称，将会继续加息并可能将利率维持在交易员预期的上方。另外，通胀加剧和经济衰退也可能继续冲击市场。</p><p>这也解释了为什么此次美股上涨不是由传统的基金经理和多空股票对冲基金引领，而是由量化基金驱动。</p><p>巴克莱美国现金股票交易主管Mike Lewis表示：“你会看到一些人做空。”</p><p>桥水基金认为，当前美股处在一个长期、广泛的滞胀环境中，美股显然还没为一个低增长的环境做好准备。该机构认为，要将通胀降至美联储的目标水平，其货币政策的力度必须大到将美国经济推入衰退。这对市场的意义不言而喻。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>则认为，很多美股上市公司表现好恰恰是由于高通胀带来的高收益，而随着通胀下行，很多公司的利润也将下行，其表现将逊于市场预期。该行的Mike Wilson团队表示：</p><blockquote>“<b>下一轮美股下跌可能要等到9月</b>，届时我们的负经营杠杆理论将更多地反映在盈利预测中。然而，由于美股估值过高，我们认为涨势最好的部分已经结束。”</blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股反弹背后：量化基金关闭空仓，要再涨100天？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股反弹背后：量化基金关闭空仓，要再涨100天？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-08-18 21:59 北京时间 <strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。在经历有史以来最糟糕的上半年之后，美股在下半年开启了反弹模式。自7月以来，纳斯达克综指上涨了近17%，标普500指数上涨了近13%。美股反弹的背后，凸显了投资者悲观情绪的逐渐消散，此前大规模做空美股的量化基金迅速关闭空仓，然后转为做多。对此，野村的策略师Charlie McElligott表示，量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148070609","content_text":"量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。在经历有史以来最糟糕的上半年之后，美股在下半年开启了反弹模式。自7月以来，纳斯达克综指上涨了近17%，标普500指数上涨了近13%。美股反弹的背后，凸显了投资者悲观情绪的逐渐消散，此前大规模做空美股的量化基金迅速关闭空仓，然后转为做多。对此，野村的策略师Charlie McElligott表示，量化基金“迅速而冷静地”转变立场，以迅雷之势抓住了“非常熊的市场”机会。量化基金迅速转向野村估计，自6月底市场触及低点以来，趋势跟踪对冲基金和波动控制基金已经购买了1070亿美元的全球股票期货，其中很大一部分用于平仓空头头寸。美国银行股票交易主管Glenn Koh表示：“由于仓位基本处于低位，大量现金（持有者）在场外观望，因此随着市场企稳并开始反弹，越来越多的资金流回了市场。”据华尔街见闻此前文章介绍，7月份，量化交易策略CTA解除了约1000亿美元看跌股票和债券的押注，推动美股和美债从史上最糟糕的上半年中开始复苏。根据摩根大通的估计，在期货市场进行多空双向交易的商品交易商（CTA）纷纷平掉了他们在过去几个月里建立的空头仓位，到7月底，他们的整体敞口自3月份以来首次处于中性水平。然而，随着衰退风险加剧，这种做多还能维持多久？100天？摩根大通分析师表示，做多可能会继续。该机构上周告诉其对冲基金客户，追求低波动的基金和风险平价基金每天购买价值约20亿至40亿美元的股票。该行估计，如果波动性保持在低水平，此类做多 “可能会再持续100天”。摩根大通策略师Marko Kolanovic表示，涨势已经触及市场的大部分角落。过去50天，标普500指数成分股中约有88%的交易价格高于平均水平，该比例远远高于6月中旬的2%。Kolanovic说：“强劲的参与度表明这次反弹是持久的，也是市场尾部风险消退的另一个表现。”“追求低波动的基金将增加整体风险敞口，尤其是股票。”基金经理则更加乐观。美国银行策略师Michael Hartnett本月对投资组合经理进行民意调查后表示，他们“不再像世界末日一样悲观”。美联储激进加息下，美股能支持多久？这在一定程度上取决于美联储接下来的加息幅度。美联储官员曾警告称，将会继续加息并可能将利率维持在交易员预期的上方。另外，通胀加剧和经济衰退也可能继续冲击市场。这也解释了为什么此次美股上涨不是由传统的基金经理和多空股票对冲基金引领，而是由量化基金驱动。巴克莱美国现金股票交易主管Mike Lewis表示：“你会看到一些人做空。”桥水基金认为，当前美股处在一个长期、广泛的滞胀环境中，美股显然还没为一个低增长的环境做好准备。该机构认为，要将通胀降至美联储的目标水平，其货币政策的力度必须大到将美国经济推入衰退。这对市场的意义不言而喻。摩根士丹利则认为，很多美股上市公司表现好恰恰是由于高通胀带来的高收益，而随着通胀下行，很多公司的利润也将下行，其表现将逊于市场预期。该行的Mike Wilson团队表示：“下一轮美股下跌可能要等到9月，届时我们的负经营杠杆理论将更多地反映在盈利预测中。然而，由于美股估值过高，我们认为涨势最好的部分已经结束。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":687128283,"gmtCreate":1660816086945,"gmtModify":1676536750387,"author":{"id":"3484871130175544","authorId":"3484871130175544","name":"点点的小爸爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3accabc9f10fcda7c9d52e38e77507c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484871130175544","authorIdStr":"3484871130175544"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"（ '▿ ' ）","listText":"（ '▿ ' ）","text":"（ '▿ ' ）","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/687128283","repostId":"687120403","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":687120403,"gmtCreate":1660814965204,"gmtModify":1676536750298,"author":{"id":"4118811732193340","authorId":"4118811732193340","name":"新行情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53982b18bded37810a2a68cf462dc810","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4118811732193340","authorIdStr":"4118811732193340"},"themes":[],"title":"3個月連關2店，打破24年不閉店神話，宜家大潰敗","htmlText":"在中國家居市場上，宜家一直都是大家關注的焦點。作爲來自北歐的著名家居企業，宜家曾經一度是中國的網紅店，很多宜家都是門庭若市，甚至需要排隊，然而就在最近宜家卻出現了比較罕見的連續關店現象。2022年4月1日，貴陽唯一的宜家門店關閉。宜家貴陽店從2019年10月營業，截止到今年4月1日營業時間不超過3年。2022年6月13日，宜家中國諮詢中心在其微信公衆號上發佈：“宜家中國對楊浦商場的長期可行性進行了綜合分析，並考慮從7月初開始，不再保留其作爲上海顧客觸點矩陣的一部分”。宜家上海楊浦商場在2020年3月開店，是宜家在中國的首家小型商場。當時爲了更好融入當地，宜家楊浦店特意增加了很多親子元素，而且，它是作爲宜家探索新商場模式的首個項目，但開業僅2年就關閉了。關於宜家門店關閉的原因，宜家官方解釋是“面對日趨複雜的零售市場，以及數字化和疫情等因素帶來的消費者行爲轉變，宜家中國不斷審視、評估和顧客需求，在必要時轉型、關閉或新增業務單元和渠道，並探索各類創新的顧客觸點模式。”公開資料顯示，宜家集團IKEA International Group宜家家居於1943年創建，宜家集團是瑞典傢俱賣場。 IKEA發展穩健而迅速，在60年的時間裏，發展到在全球共有240家連鎖商店，分佈在43個國家，僱傭員工7萬多名。2003財年度IKEA獲取了110億歐元的銷售收入和超過11億歐元的淨利潤，成爲全球最大的家居用品零售商。大部分的門市位於歐洲，其他的則位於美國、加拿大、亞洲和澳洲。每年印刷量高達一億本的IKEA商品目錄中，收錄有大約12000件的商品，號稱是除了聖經之外最被廣爲散佈的書籍。1998年，宜家進入中國市場。首店落子上海徐家彙。彼時，國內同行還以“大棚式”的市場業態爲主，買傢俱到菱方圓、十六鋪，買燈具到柳林路，買建材到宜山路……兜兜轉轉花上幾個雙休日。而有了宜家，傢俱家居不僅一站式購齊，購物","listText":"在中國家居市場上，宜家一直都是大家關注的焦點。作爲來自北歐的著名家居企業，宜家曾經一度是中國的網紅店，很多宜家都是門庭若市，甚至需要排隊，然而就在最近宜家卻出現了比較罕見的連續關店現象。2022年4月1日，貴陽唯一的宜家門店關閉。宜家貴陽店從2019年10月營業，截止到今年4月1日營業時間不超過3年。2022年6月13日，宜家中國諮詢中心在其微信公衆號上發佈：“宜家中國對楊浦商場的長期可行性進行了綜合分析，並考慮從7月初開始，不再保留其作爲上海顧客觸點矩陣的一部分”。宜家上海楊浦商場在2020年3月開店，是宜家在中國的首家小型商場。當時爲了更好融入當地，宜家楊浦店特意增加了很多親子元素，而且，它是作爲宜家探索新商場模式的首個項目，但開業僅2年就關閉了。關於宜家門店關閉的原因，宜家官方解釋是“面對日趨複雜的零售市場，以及數字化和疫情等因素帶來的消費者行爲轉變，宜家中國不斷審視、評估和顧客需求，在必要時轉型、關閉或新增業務單元和渠道，並探索各類創新的顧客觸點模式。”公開資料顯示，宜家集團IKEA International Group宜家家居於1943年創建，宜家集團是瑞典傢俱賣場。 IKEA發展穩健而迅速，在60年的時間裏，發展到在全球共有240家連鎖商店，分佈在43個國家，僱傭員工7萬多名。2003財年度IKEA獲取了110億歐元的銷售收入和超過11億歐元的淨利潤，成爲全球最大的家居用品零售商。大部分的門市位於歐洲，其他的則位於美國、加拿大、亞洲和澳洲。每年印刷量高達一億本的IKEA商品目錄中，收錄有大約12000件的商品，號稱是除了聖經之外最被廣爲散佈的書籍。1998年，宜家進入中國市場。首店落子上海徐家彙。彼時，國內同行還以“大棚式”的市場業態爲主，買傢俱到菱方圓、十六鋪，買燈具到柳林路，買建材到宜山路……兜兜轉轉花上幾個雙休日。而有了宜家，傢俱家居不僅一站式購齊，購物","text":"在中國家居市場上，宜家一直都是大家關注的焦點。作爲來自北歐的著名家居企業，宜家曾經一度是中國的網紅店，很多宜家都是門庭若市，甚至需要排隊，然而就在最近宜家卻出現了比較罕見的連續關店現象。2022年4月1日，貴陽唯一的宜家門店關閉。宜家貴陽店從2019年10月營業，截止到今年4月1日營業時間不超過3年。2022年6月13日，宜家中國諮詢中心在其微信公衆號上發佈：“宜家中國對楊浦商場的長期可行性進行了綜合分析，並考慮從7月初開始，不再保留其作爲上海顧客觸點矩陣的一部分”。宜家上海楊浦商場在2020年3月開店，是宜家在中國的首家小型商場。當時爲了更好融入當地，宜家楊浦店特意增加了很多親子元素，而且，它是作爲宜家探索新商場模式的首個項目，但開業僅2年就關閉了。關於宜家門店關閉的原因，宜家官方解釋是“面對日趨複雜的零售市場，以及數字化和疫情等因素帶來的消費者行爲轉變，宜家中國不斷審視、評估和顧客需求，在必要時轉型、關閉或新增業務單元和渠道，並探索各類創新的顧客觸點模式。”公開資料顯示，宜家集團IKEA International Group宜家家居於1943年創建，宜家集團是瑞典傢俱賣場。 IKEA發展穩健而迅速，在60年的時間裏，發展到在全球共有240家連鎖商店，分佈在43個國家，僱傭員工7萬多名。2003財年度IKEA獲取了110億歐元的銷售收入和超過11億歐元的淨利潤，成爲全球最大的家居用品零售商。大部分的門市位於歐洲，其他的則位於美國、加拿大、亞洲和澳洲。每年印刷量高達一億本的IKEA商品目錄中，收錄有大約12000件的商品，號稱是除了聖經之外最被廣爲散佈的書籍。1998年，宜家進入中國市場。首店落子上海徐家彙。彼時，國內同行還以“大棚式”的市場業態爲主，買傢俱到菱方圓、十六鋪，買燈具到柳林路，買建材到宜山路……兜兜轉轉花上幾個雙休日。而有了宜家，傢俱家居不僅一站式購齊，購物","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21965896ebf594f0c445800fa38d3f4c"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abbb1565072e1be170005fa7b849d8a0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e7890bd77cd073298ecc463325549e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/687120403","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
