東海吉龍 personal page - To The Moon

東海吉龍

東海吉龍

坚持自己的选择与目标！希望定能实现梦想！

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2021-05-22

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2020-09-19

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@Owen_Tradinghouse:10个点的调整已经结束了吗？关于当前美股大盘，这里有你应了解的一切

2021-05-24

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2020-12-11

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2021-05-27

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納指終於在50日均線處企穩了，可能你現在最大的兩個問題就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已經結束？大盤會就此開始止跌回升嗎？ 第二：在下一輪的上漲中，科技股還是否會扮演領漲板塊的角色，什麼類型的股票纔是下一輪行情當中的首選呢？ 這次分享，咱們不說一些虛頭八腦的東西，直接解決上面兩個問題，而且只用邏輯和數據說話。 首先，美股大跌是否已經結束？ 大跌是結束了，但大幅震盪則是剛剛開始，像之前那樣納指單邊上揚的行情應該是不會再出現了。類似前幾個交易日那樣，突然的閃跌兩個到三個點情況，可能還會更多。 爲什麼？看下面納指ETF和vix的技術分析圖，雖然納指在50日均線處站穩，但波動率指數VIX並沒能隨着指數的反彈而跌破50日均線，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指數未來的波動仍然很大。從我經常跟蹤的幾個盤面指標看，技術面給出的信息很明顯，區間震盪。 你看，上方RIS已經跌破50均線，看多情緒降低不少，即便是出現反彈，RSI也沒能走破50的中軸線，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，負柱向下延伸，沒有企穩的跡象，成交量震盪指標PVO倒是出現背離價格的一波拉昇，短期成交量均線高出長期成交量均線不少，這說明目前價格趨勢向下，但在大跌後的這個價位有不少買盤認可。短期內跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很難。 特別是能量潮OBV的滯漲，說明買賣盤兩方的力量均衡。 顯然，恐慌並沒有被充分的釋放出來，這次的調整就難以決定是不是已經築底。 我之前分享過多次的一個指標，A/D 積累曲線圖（不瞭解這個指標的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50賣盤信號，也沒有被完全的觸發,指數觸及50日均線又被拉了上去，RSI的50均線反到是跌破。這個圖形也意味着盤面會圍繞目前的位置做拉鋸整理。 第一波的調整已經告一段落，而崩盤又是不可能的，所以就看大盤圍繞50日均線會做什麼文章吧，假如美聯儲沒有任何態度和行動上的變化","listText":"標題裝個像，不喜勿噴? 納指終於在50日均線處企穩了，可能你現在最大的兩個問題就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已經結束？大盤會就此開始止跌回升嗎？ 第二：在下一輪的上漲中，科技股還是否會扮演領漲板塊的角色，什麼類型的股票纔是下一輪行情當中的首選呢？ 這次分享，咱們不說一些虛頭八腦的東西，直接解決上面兩個問題，而且只用邏輯和數據說話。 首先，美股大跌是否已經結束？ 大跌是結束了，但大幅震盪則是剛剛開始，像之前那樣納指單邊上揚的行情應該是不會再出現了。類似前幾個交易日那樣，突然的閃跌兩個到三個點情況，可能還會更多。 爲什麼？看下面納指ETF和vix的技術分析圖，雖然納指在50日均線處站穩，但波動率指數VIX並沒能隨着指數的反彈而跌破50日均線，反而停留在大跌前的位置，指數未來的波動仍然很大。從我經常跟蹤的幾個盤面指標看，技術面給出的信息很明顯，區間震盪。 你看，上方RIS已經跌破50均線，看多情緒降低不少，即便是出現反彈，RSI也沒能走破50的中軸線，其他MACD，和PPO都是死叉，負柱向下延伸，沒有企穩的跡象，成交量震盪指標PVO倒是出現背離價格的一波拉昇，短期成交量均線高出長期成交量均線不少，這說明目前價格趨勢向下，但在大跌後的這個價位有不少買盤認可。短期內跌破怕是不容易，但向上走也很難。 特別是能量潮OBV的滯漲，說明買賣盤兩方的力量均衡。 顯然，恐慌並沒有被充分的釋放出來，這次的調整就難以決定是不是已經築底。 我之前分享過多次的一個指標，A/D 積累曲線圖（不瞭解這個指標的朋友可以翻看下我之前的分享）他的50-50賣盤信號，也沒有被完全的觸發,指數觸及50日均線又被拉了上去，RSI的50均線反到是跌破。這個圖形也意味着盤面會圍繞目前的位置做拉鋸整理。 第一波的調整已經告一段落，而崩盤又是不可能的，所以就看大盤圍繞50日均線會做什麼文章吧，假如美聯儲沒有任何態度和行動上的變化","text":"標題裝個像，不喜勿噴? 納指終於在50日均線處企穩了，可能你現在最大的兩個問題就是： 第一：美股的暴跌是否已經結束？大盤會就此開始止跌回升嗎？ 第二：在下一輪的上漲中，科技股還是否會扮演領漲板塊的角色，什麼類型的股票纔是下一輪行情當中的首選呢？ 這次分享，咱們不說一些虛頭八腦的東西，直接解決上面兩個問題，而且只用邏輯和數據說話。 首先，美股大跌是否已經結束？ 大跌是結束了，但大幅震盪則是剛剛開始，像之前那樣納指單邊上揚的行情應該是不會再出現了。類似前幾個交易日那樣，突然的閃跌兩個到三個點情況，可能還會更多。 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