Most stocks including valuable stocks like Apple are down around the start of 2022. However, there are some markets that is in the opposite. Who are they? Those who are in inflationary hedge businesses for example the commodity related stocks. I received questions like “What are your thoughts on Crypto, REITs, and TIPS as hedges against inflation?” My reply:“What will be up or we will be paying more during inflation? These markets are the ones we should be focusing on. We don’t have to over think too much.” The real danger will be with the continuous rise in interest rates and yet the dollar starts weakening, just like the pound. Not happening now, I am keeping watch on this closely. However, it is not all bad news… More video tutorials, follow my YouTube channel:

Likely scenario given a month left for 2022:• Dow Jones - Green• S&P - dicey between Green & Red• Nasdaq - Red• Russell - RedWhy is Dow Jones leading and what’s next? The Dow enjoyed its best month in nearly a half-century in October and it’s up nearly another 3% in November.The tech stocks are in a slump, therefore investors are going back to the traditional stocks, resulting in Dow Jones’ rally in the past two months, but how long can this last with the threat that interest rates are still on the rise into 2023?$S&P 500(.SPX)$  $DJIA(.DJI)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Follow me to learn about more analysis!!

There were clues for the meltdown U.S valuable stocks early this year. Divergence was one of it, I have re-shared the post. Enjoy the read! Through our studies, we have identified 1) The meltdown of U.S valuable stocks early this year and 2) The rise of global interest rates As this duo crisis continues, it is not all bad news. More video tutorials, follow my YouTube channel: Invest & Trade with Insight  $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Personally, I do not subscribe to such theory, investors should focus on fundamentals instead of dates on the calendar. If you say "Sell in May and go away” or “September is historically a dismal month for stocks”, I will say “Please state your reasons.”However, there are the reasons investors should be nervous in September:• Next Fed meeting on 21 Sep• Job report on Friday• Last day of SeptemberThe Fed meeting: The expectation is for the Fed to raise 50-75 basis points, any surprises above this number is highly unlikely. However, August’s CPI due to be announced in September can be the surprise element; above 9.1% or below 8.5%.Job report on Friday:The July rally was because there are signs that the job market remains healthy and that inflation is finally starting to cool. Econo

How it will impact the stock markets? Nearly 250 million people in the United States are eligible to vote in critical midterm elections on November 8 • The sentiment i. The election results will set the tone for the rest of US President Joe Biden’s first presidential term. ii. His Democratic Party has held slim majorities in the House of Representatives and the US Senate. iii. If the opposition Republicans win majorities in either chamber, they have said they will block Biden’s agenda. iv. Key issues – Economy (see below), Abortion, Immigration, Democracy, Climate, Gun control, Education & Public safety • The House of Representatives i. Voters across 50 states will be electing legislation for the House of Representatives. Each seat is up for election every two years。 • The US Senate i.

Mester said she sees benchmark interest rates rising above 4% by early next year.She sees benchmark rates rising above 4% in the coming months. That’s well above the current target range of 2.25%-2.5% for the federal funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight borrowing but is tied to many consumer debt instruments.“My current view is that it will be necessary to move the fed funds rate up to somewhat above 4 percent by early next year and hold it there,” “I do not anticipate the Fed cutting the fed funds rate target next year.”Her expectation with higher interest rates from here:• Slow economic growth, running “well below 2%”• Unemployment rate rises• Financial markets remain volatile• Inflation to fall to a range of 5%-6% from 9.1%Current interest or Fed fund rate a

The Fed’s minutes on Wednesday provided more clues on inflation and interest rate hikes.It showed several Fed policymakers agreed with Powell’s assessment that the Fed may soon begin to slow the pace of hikes.Yet there have been confusing signals from other Fed officials, who have continued to stress that inflation isn’t going away and must be brought under control.To that end, the Fed said in the minutes that inflation remains “stubbornly high” and “more persistent than anticipated.”“more persistent than anticipated, in Singlish: “They also dunno how” inflation will be like in the coming months.The Dow ended the day up more than 95 points, or 0.3%. The S&P 500 jumped 0.6% and the Nasdaq rose 1%.The real danger will be with the continuous rise in interest rates and yet the dollar start

All the fixed tenure yields have broken above their four decades of downtrend.To note, the shorter end rate, the fixed 2 year tenure yield is climbing faster than the longer end, the U.S. fixed 30 year tenure government bond yield.How it is going to close in 2022 in this yearly chart, it will be crucial to determine the trend transition; from this long-term downtend to uptrend.More video tutorials, follow by YouTube channel:Invest & Trade with Insight$Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2209(10Ymain)$ $Micro 2-Year Yield - main 2209(2YYmain)$&nbs

The day when Dow -1,000 points or -4.2%. S&P was -4% and Nasdaq was-4.4%. Why?The Fed has signal, they will raise interest rates until inflation is defeated. Market watchers believe many central banks around the world will follow this mandate, starting from the Bank of Korea.Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation, spurring investors to weigh the implications of higher interest rates kept in place for a longer time.He pledged that the central bank will “use our tools forcefully” to attack inflation that is still running near its highest level in more than 40 years.More video tutorial, follow my YouTube channel:

Recently, I received questions asking my opinion on their borrowing cost, if they should go for fixed or float rates. We somehow know there is inflation, but not exactly sure how long it will last and how bad it will get. Because higher inflation leads to higher interest rates.While I cannot advise them as I do not have a banking license to do so. However, I can point them to the commodity markets, I hope by doing so, it can help them to understand and read into the direction of interest rates with greater clarity.Rice is a staple in the diets of more than half of the world’s population, especially in Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East. Annual production of milled rice tops 480 million metric tons, which makes it the third most-produced grain in the world after corn and wheat.An incr