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Adestein
2024-01-14
Great and fun game to play
Adestein
2022-01-18
Will accumulate more
Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?
Adestein
2023-06-21
Repost theme theme for marketing
Adestein
2022-07-18
Volatility to watch and possible action
The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears
Adestein
2021-06-30
[Strong]
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Adestein
2021-06-30
Great
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Adestein
2023-04-16
Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please
Adestein
2023-04-06
Keep hunting and fun
Adestein
2022-01-08
I like this stock and waiting to enter
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Adestein
2022-06-11
Omg
Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258184773234704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257821218455752,"gmtCreate":1703978628069,"gmtModify":1703978632540,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Still enjoy the game","listText":"Still enjoy the game","text":"Still enjoy the 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Again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257465326444736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257132824740056,"gmtCreate":1703810466263,"gmtModify":1703810470430,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool game and still enjoying ","listText":"Cool game and still enjoying ","text":"Cool game and still enjoying","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257132824740056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256759376425128,"gmtCreate":1703719429569,"gmtModify":1703719433920,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great and excited game","listText":"Great and excited game","text":"Great and excited game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256759376425128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256467084546320,"gmtCreate":1703633315066,"gmtModify":1703633319015,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go Go Go getting coins","listText":"Go Go Go getting coins","text":"Go Go Go getting coins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256467084546320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256053264306208,"gmtCreate":1703547137168,"gmtModify":1703547141064,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool games to enjoy for this holiday season","listText":"Cool games to enjoy for this holiday season","text":"Cool games to enjoy for this holiday season","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256053264306208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":262904759677016,"gmtCreate":1705219919042,"gmtModify":1705219923366,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great and fun game to play","listText":"Great and fun game to play","text":"Great and fun game to play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262904759677016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004023773,"gmtCreate":1642462026292,"gmtModify":1676533711762,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will accumulate more","listText":"Will accumulate more","text":"Will accumulate more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004023773","repostId":"1177851470","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177851470","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642430618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177851470?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-17 22:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177851470","media":"Benzinga","summary":"$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a to","content":"<div>\n<p>$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Microsoft's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-17 22:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/22/01/25061574/is-microsofts-stock-overvalued-or-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177851470","content_text":"$Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)$ shares have outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, generating a total return of 42%.Microsoft is still putting up impressive growth numbers. But with a $2.31 trillion market cap, some investors are wondering if there’s any value left in Microsoft stock.Earnings: A price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is one of the most basic fundamental metrics for gauging a stock’s value. The lower the PE, the higher the value. For comparison, the S&P 500’s PE is currently at about 29.5, nearly double its long-term average of 15.6.Microsoft’s PE is currently 34.0, slightly higher than the S&P 500 average as a whole. Microsoft’s PE is also up 30.3% over the past five years, suggesting its earnings multiple is on the high end of its historical range.Growth: Looking ahead to the next four quarters, the S&P 500’s forward PE ratio looks much more reasonable at just 20.9. Unfortunately, Microsoft’s forward earnings ratio of 28.8 doesn’t make the stock undervalued at its current price. In fact, it appears to be slightly overvalued compared to technology sectorpeers that are currently averaging a 27.9 forward earnings multiple.However, when it comes to evaluating a stock, earnings aren't everything.Growth rate is also critical for companies that are rapidly building their bottom lines. The price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio (PEG) is a good way to incorporate growth rates into the evaluation process. The S&P 500’s overall PEG is currently about 1; Microsoft’s PEG is 2.0, a potential red flag that the stock has become overheated.Price-to-sales ratio is another important valuation metric, particularly for unprofitable companies and growth stocks. The S&P 500’s PS ratio is currently 3.21, nearly twice its long-term average of 1.63. Microsoft’s PS ratio is 12.98, definitely not what a value investor is looking for.Finally, Wall Street analysts see decent gains for Microsoft shares over the next 12 months.The average analyst price target among the 36 analysts covering Microsoft is $370, suggesting about 20.4% upside from current levels.The Verdict: At its current valuation, Microsoft stock is showing a couple of warning signs of being overvalued, so investors should proceed with caution.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":758636377374896,"gmtCreate":1687309933071,"gmtModify":1687309936628,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Repost theme theme for marketing","listText":"Repost theme theme for marketing","text":"Repost theme theme for marketing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/758636377374896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072764758,"gmtCreate":1658103803674,"gmtModify":1676536105330,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":" Volatility to watch and possible action","listText":" Volatility to watch and possible action","text":"Volatility to watch and possible action","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072764758","repostId":"1171216673","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171216673","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658126822,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171216673?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-18 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171216673","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Last week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.</li><li>The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next week's FOMC meeting.</li><li>Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally.</li></ul><p>Stocks had a solid finish to the week, thanks to options expiration. But if it had not been for the monthly options expiration, last week would have been a disaster. The S&P 500 (SP500) was down more than 4% at its lows on Thursday morning but finished the week lower by around 1%. The end-of-week comeback was aided by the slow melt of the VIX index (VIX).</p><p>Options expiration managed to keep the markets afloat and did not allow the S&P 500 to drift too far from the significant open interest levels around the 3,800 and 3,850 levels. As the market drifted lower during the week, the higher strike prices' gravity helped lift the index higher throughout Thursday and Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1087749c4a64eb74faaa94e6ef166198\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CBOE Live Vol/ Trade Alert</p><p>That is primarily why the S&P 500 was stuck between 3,845 and 3,860 on Friday after 11 AM. It only managed to move higher in the final 5 minutes of the trading session and closed just above 3,860.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d5c9218e35227c952ae94c2c2bf327\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p>Monday starts a new options cycle, meaning the push and pull of options start over, and the market will be free to move much more easily. Open interest levels for the S&P 500 will be nearly cut in half with the removal of the July 15 trade date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/977b187047b9f42a957e7c2ae1c32452\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CBOE Live Vol/ Trade Alert</p><p>Additionally, there was a consistent decline in implied volatility levels in the S&P 500 throughout the week. The big intraday rebounds witnessed on Wednesday and Thursday were helped by falling implied volatility throughout the day. It would suggest the intraday price action was more mechanical and options related than due to the underlying macro backdrop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1a95c554925a6fcfdc75aa740ef105e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Macro Factors Forgotten For Now</b></p><p>The macro backdrop this past week was very negative. The CPI report came in much hotter than expected. The market is now betting on a 75 and 100 bps rate hike at the end of July. The odds of a 75 bps rate hike now stand around 70%, while a 100 bps rate hike stands around 30%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eb066f2ad57e2b88ce053c85c0b6ff7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME</p><p>While retail sales were better than expected, rising by 1.0% month-over-month versus estimates of 0.9%, they were still well below the CPI month-over-month gain of 1.3%. That means retail sales were down 0.3% on a month-over-month basis in <i>real</i> terms. Even on a year-over-year basis, retail sales were negative, rising 8.4%, below the 9.1% year-over-year gain in CPI. In <i>real</i> terms, retail sales fell 0.7% year-over-year and were negative for the fourth straight month. While the declines to this point are modest, it is rare for retail sales to be negative year-over-year in <i>real</i> terms. It has only previously happened in recessions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23850297cf6fd31a46b4ec6832eff964\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>On top of this, the data out of China was just as bad, with second quarter GDP missing consensus estimates by a wide margin, rising by just 0.4%, well short of forecasts for 1.2%. This news was unnoticed by US markets during Friday's trading session. Still, it didn't go unnoticed in Asia, with CSI 300 index dropping by around 4% last week and the HK Hang Seng index dropping approximately 6.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d36b1238969edc97e9d15f739fe4e6a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>If that weren't enough, Europe had its problems, with Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi announcing his intentions to resign. The news caused the Italian 2-year yield to explode higher, which sent the euro sharply lower versus the dollar.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d802f80bfd8388f361e196f6128658f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The euro is trading at its lowest point versus the dollar in nearly 20 years and at parity with the dollar. Couple that with China's weak economic data and Japan's reluctance to come off its negative interest rate policy and yield curve control, the dollar has strengthened versus the Japanese yen and the Chinese renminbi too.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6ccc0f82bdcbc76dbad6692f22a2fb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Implied Volatility Saves The Day</b></p><p>The macro backdrop did not support stocks rising and is a big reason markets were down sharply on Wednesday and Thursday morning. But once implied volatility and the VIX index began to melt, stocks got a boost right into Friday's close.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a1b8e003a50ee69e05d1b5c176386e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Stress Builds</b></p><p>But not all is well beneath the surface. As noted by the spread between the 3-Month USD Libor Rate and the US Effective Fed Funds Rate, a sign of stress may have shown its head in the overnight lending markets. The spread is not high compared to peaks in 2018, 2019, or 2020, but it is at its widest point since Russia invaded Ukraine and needs to be watched closely. The widening spread can signal increased equity market volatility.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c444f4b9b9989639b08c1b0642df18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Given this backdrop, the melt of implied volatility is likely to change this week as the market moves past the VIX options expiration and begins to focus on macro issues along with a European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, along with the FOMC meeting on July 27.</p><p><b>FOMC Cycle Should Kick In</b></p><p>The period after the FOMC meeting tends to be bullish. The only period that didn't see a rally post-FOMC came following the May meeting. Otherwise, we have seen relatively big rallies following the FOMC meeting this year. But the period before the FOMC meeting can be very turbulent, especially 6 to 9 days before the meeting.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/834fbfe4ecdf8c8c2b32456c1af66ddb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p><b>Volatility Rising?</b></p><p>The rallies after the FOMC meeting are usually because the VIX is elevated heading into that meeting. After all, the FOMC meeting creates an event risk. Therefore, traders look to put hedges in place by buying puts, pushing implied volatility up and, as a result, causing the VIX to go higher and stock prices down about 6 to 10 days before the FOMC meeting. Once the event risk passes, there is no reason to have hedges anymore, causing implied volatility to fall and for the market to rally.</p><p>The VIX appears to be set up similar to how it was at the June FOMC meeting. With volatility melting lower, there is potential to push significantly higher between now and the FOMC meeting.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c2827ed751751392e441b5d4342e41b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Trading View</p><p>Interestingly, there has been a turn-up in 10-day realized volatility in the S&P 500. When the spread between 10-day realized volatility and S&P 500 30-day implied volatility widens by about 5 percentage points, it tends to push realized volatility higher, pulling implied volatility higher, which is bearish for stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bb093d9ce1f7d6ddb39e7a61f7c0b62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally. Given several geopolitical factors, along with an upcoming central bank meeting from the ECB and BOJ this week and the FOMC next week, the risk for further downside pain is not over yet.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Drop Sharply As A VIX Surge Nears\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-18 14:47 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523796-sp-500-may-drop-sharply-as-vix-surge-nears","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171216673","content_text":"SummaryLast week could have been a disaster for the equity market if not for options expiration.The macro backdrop is deteriorating quickly, and that is likely to weigh on stocks heading into next week's FOMC meeting.Can the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally.Stocks had a solid finish to the week, thanks to options expiration. But if it had not been for the monthly options expiration, last week would have been a disaster. The S&P 500 (SP500) was down more than 4% at its lows on Thursday morning but finished the week lower by around 1%. The end-of-week comeback was aided by the slow melt of the VIX index (VIX).Options expiration managed to keep the markets afloat and did not allow the S&P 500 to drift too far from the significant open interest levels around the 3,800 and 3,850 levels. As the market drifted lower during the week, the higher strike prices' gravity helped lift the index higher throughout Thursday and Friday.CBOE Live Vol/ Trade AlertThat is primarily why the S&P 500 was stuck between 3,845 and 3,860 on Friday after 11 AM. It only managed to move higher in the final 5 minutes of the trading session and closed just above 3,860.Trading ViewMonday starts a new options cycle, meaning the push and pull of options start over, and the market will be free to move much more easily. Open interest levels for the S&P 500 will be nearly cut in half with the removal of the July 15 trade date.CBOE Live Vol/ Trade AlertAdditionally, there was a consistent decline in implied volatility levels in the S&P 500 throughout the week. The big intraday rebounds witnessed on Wednesday and Thursday were helped by falling implied volatility throughout the day. It would suggest the intraday price action was more mechanical and options related than due to the underlying macro backdrop.BloombergMacro Factors Forgotten For NowThe macro backdrop this past week was very negative. The CPI report came in much hotter than expected. The market is now betting on a 75 and 100 bps rate hike at the end of July. The odds of a 75 bps rate hike now stand around 70%, while a 100 bps rate hike stands around 30%.CMEWhile retail sales were better than expected, rising by 1.0% month-over-month versus estimates of 0.9%, they were still well below the CPI month-over-month gain of 1.3%. That means retail sales were down 0.3% on a month-over-month basis in real terms. Even on a year-over-year basis, retail sales were negative, rising 8.4%, below the 9.1% year-over-year gain in CPI. In real terms, retail sales fell 0.7% year-over-year and were negative for the fourth straight month. While the declines to this point are modest, it is rare for retail sales to be negative year-over-year in real terms. It has only previously happened in recessions.BloombergOn top of this, the data out of China was just as bad, with second quarter GDP missing consensus estimates by a wide margin, rising by just 0.4%, well short of forecasts for 1.2%. This news was unnoticed by US markets during Friday's trading session. Still, it didn't go unnoticed in Asia, with CSI 300 index dropping by around 4% last week and the HK Hang Seng index dropping approximately 6.6%.BloombergIf that weren't enough, Europe had its problems, with Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi announcing his intentions to resign. The news caused the Italian 2-year yield to explode higher, which sent the euro sharply lower versus the dollar.BloombergThe euro is trading at its lowest point versus the dollar in nearly 20 years and at parity with the dollar. Couple that with China's weak economic data and Japan's reluctance to come off its negative interest rate policy and yield curve control, the dollar has strengthened versus the Japanese yen and the Chinese renminbi too.BloombergImplied Volatility Saves The DayThe macro backdrop did not support stocks rising and is a big reason markets were down sharply on Wednesday and Thursday morning. But once implied volatility and the VIX index began to melt, stocks got a boost right into Friday's close.BloombergStress BuildsBut not all is well beneath the surface. As noted by the spread between the 3-Month USD Libor Rate and the US Effective Fed Funds Rate, a sign of stress may have shown its head in the overnight lending markets. The spread is not high compared to peaks in 2018, 2019, or 2020, but it is at its widest point since Russia invaded Ukraine and needs to be watched closely. The widening spread can signal increased equity market volatility.BloombergGiven this backdrop, the melt of implied volatility is likely to change this week as the market moves past the VIX options expiration and begins to focus on macro issues along with a European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, along with the FOMC meeting on July 27.FOMC Cycle Should Kick InThe period after the FOMC meeting tends to be bullish. The only period that didn't see a rally post-FOMC came following the May meeting. Otherwise, we have seen relatively big rallies following the FOMC meeting this year. But the period before the FOMC meeting can be very turbulent, especially 6 to 9 days before the meeting.Trading ViewVolatility Rising?The rallies after the FOMC meeting are usually because the VIX is elevated heading into that meeting. After all, the FOMC meeting creates an event risk. Therefore, traders look to put hedges in place by buying puts, pushing implied volatility up and, as a result, causing the VIX to go higher and stock prices down about 6 to 10 days before the FOMC meeting. Once the event risk passes, there is no reason to have hedges anymore, causing implied volatility to fall and for the market to rally.The VIX appears to be set up similar to how it was at the June FOMC meeting. With volatility melting lower, there is potential to push significantly higher between now and the FOMC meeting.Trading ViewInterestingly, there has been a turn-up in 10-day realized volatility in the S&P 500. When the spread between 10-day realized volatility and S&P 500 30-day implied volatility widens by about 5 percentage points, it tends to push realized volatility higher, pulling implied volatility higher, which is bearish for stocks.BloombergCan the market continue to rally, sure? But there continue to be many more reasons for it not to rally. Given several geopolitical factors, along with an upcoming central bank meeting from the ECB and BOJ this week and the FOMC next week, the risk for further downside pain is not over yet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"VIX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153390965,"gmtCreate":1625008932157,"gmtModify":1703849850119,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Strong] ","listText":"[Strong] ","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153390965","repostId":"1165468426","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153021890,"gmtCreate":1624987798310,"gmtModify":1703849642826,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153021890","repostId":"2147343850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944007352,"gmtCreate":1681613361976,"gmtModify":1681613366814,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","listText":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","text":"Some vouchers are unavailable 😓 Can re-issue again, please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944007352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948246453,"gmtCreate":1680730223173,"gmtModify":1680730227115,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Keep hunting and fun","listText":"Keep hunting and fun","text":"Keep hunting and fun","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948246453","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9006948574,"gmtCreate":1641599591759,"gmtModify":1676533632483,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":" I like this stock and waiting to enter","listText":" I like this stock and waiting to enter","text":"I like this stock and waiting to enter","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9006948574","repostId":"2200099214","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058472395,"gmtCreate":1654901586017,"gmtModify":1676535528798,"author":{"id":"3555211806682298","authorId":"3555211806682298","name":"Adestein","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3052d5c3672c51a6466c5bb7f7fae0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555211806682298","idStr":"3555211806682298"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058472395","repostId":"1146226916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146226916","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1654868068,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146226916?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 21:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146226916","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95611438e9a9aaed4c7a793dcc8fe79f\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"672\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 21:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95611438e9a9aaed4c7a793dcc8fe79f\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"672\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146226916","content_text":"Netflix Shares Dropped 5% in Morning Trading.Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan downgraded Netflix to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $186, down from $265.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}