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2021-08-12

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2021-02-03

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Foreign media headlines: Is the epic short-squeeze war over? GameStop and other stocks plummet

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2021-07-05

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Will the 2014 oil price "massacre" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely

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2021-06-15

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@弹道美股:管你大盤如何，拓邦股份、和而泰走自己的行情！

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2021-06-13

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@芳芳芳子:$BlackBerry(BB)$[梭哈] [梭哈] [梭哈]

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2021-06-10

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@美股研究社:阿里支付寶：舊物回收小程序成畢業季漲幅最大板塊

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2021-04-21

HaO//@henryee18:You look at $Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]

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2021-02-17

$Sea Ltd(SE)$300！！！！

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2021-01-29

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Citron stops shorting research and focuses on long opportunities

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2021-01-29

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It's getting more and more likely","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157720359","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"由于OPEC+未能就提高产量达成一致，这让本就紧张不已的市场，再次绷紧了神经。","content":"<p>Author: Yu Xudong</p><p>As OPEC + failed to reach an agreement on increasing production, this once again tightened the nerves of the already nervous market.</p><p>On Friday, OPEC failed to break the deadlock within the organization for the second consecutive night. Delegates said that although most OPEC members supported the proposal to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day per month between August and December, it would also increase the broader The supply agreement is extended until the end of 2022, but the UAE remains firmly opposed. As the UAE still blocks the proposal to increase supply from being adopted, the parties will continue negotiations at 3pm local time in Vienna on July 5th (9pm Beijing time).</p><p>Just two days after the UAE refused to align with other OPEC members, Saudi Prince Abdul Aziz said in a Bloomberg TV interview late on Sunday that they must extend the production increase agreement, adding that the UAE has been isolated in OPEC. The Saudi prince's speech reflected the current tense situation within OPEC + and made it difficult for global markets to guess the future trend of crude oil prices.</p><p>Just hours ago, UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei once again rejected Saudi Arabia's proposed extension of the agreement and only supported increasing production in the short term. He has previously said that the UAE supports an unconditional increase in production, which is needed by the market, but the decision to extend the agreement until the end of 2022 is not necessary now.</p><p>It is worth noting that, according to Bloomberg, Foreign Minister Prince Abdul Aziz said that if the agreement is not extended, a back-up agreement will be reached, under which oil production will not increase in August and the rest of the year, which could cause oil prices to soar.</p><p>At the heart of the problem is the baseline. Production cuts or increases are measured against a benchmark-the higher this benchmark figure, the more oil a country is allowed to extract. The UAE wants to revise its benchmark before extending the cuts until the end of 2022 as it wants to produce more oil on top of its current benchmark quota.</p><p>The UAE's current benchmark is calculated from October 2018, when production was around 3.2 million barrels per day. Last year, that jumped to 3.8 million barrels per day. The UAE believes that the reference frame for the 2022 extension should not have started four years ago.</p><p>However, such a calculation is unlikely to be acceptable to Saudi Arabia and Russia, which refuse to recalculate the UAE's production target baseline and fear that concessions to one member will prompt everyone else in OPEC + to demand the same treatment, thereby undermining the already underway. Weeks of agreement negotiations.</p><p>Two outcomes: oil prices surge or complete collapse</p><p>Just like the differences within OPEC +, analysts from major institutions also have great differences on the future trend of international oil prices. This is mainly because the factors affecting the current oil price are indeed complicated.</p><p>On the one hand, the economic recovery of major economies, including the United States, is obvious, the demand side of the oil market is constantly improving, and OPEC + has maintained a trend of cautious production increase recently; On the other hand, Novel Coronavirus's mutated virus has begun to wreak havoc in some areas again, the job market in the United States and Europe is recovering slowly, and once the U.S. sanctions on Iran are lifted, Iran's oil production capacity will be greatly released, etc. These factors have inhibited the rise of international oil prices to a considerable extent. International oil prices are at a crossroads.</p><p>Data show that the international benchmark Brent crude oil futures were quoted at US $76.37 per barrel on Monday (July 5), rising more than 45% in the first half of this year; U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures closed at $75.27, up more than 50% in the first half of this year. Throughout June, Brent crude oil futures rose more than 8% and WTI crude oil prices rose more than 10% to their highest level since October 2018.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83e815454f7911baf0e973046b08481a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Although oil prices are still soaring in the trend, some analysts pointed out that the factors affecting the next oil price trend may be binary.</p><p>On the one hand, the UAE is forcing OPEC + into trouble-OPEC + will either accept the UAE's demands, or the risk of dissolving the cartel will occur without a production agreement.</p><p>If the former happens, oil prices will most likely rise sharply; If the latter happens, as Bloomberg said in an article, there will be a more dramatic situation-the oil price collapse on Thanksgiving Day in 2014 will be repeated, because OPEC + will be at risk of complete collapse, that is, all parties are fighting each other, and they can no longer form a united cartel, which leads to the oil price plummeting again since last year's crisis, and the nightmare repeats itself.</p><p>In the last year, it was the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and Russia that triggered a punitive price war that triggered the panic in March 2020.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that when asked if production could be increased without the involvement of the UAE, Abdulaziz said they cannot, and if OPEC collapses, every oil exporter will fight for itself, and after a brief price spike, oil will plummet again.</p><p>Abdulaziz's words also confirm that if the agreement goes bankrupt, there is a high probability that it will slip into the second situation.</p><p>At the same time, there is another potential event that will lead to more flooding of oil supplies, which will also knock oil prices down: once Iran reaches a nuclear deal with the Biden administration, it will return to the oil market, adding millions of barrels of oil supplies.</p><p>Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said a price war could be looming if the talks stalled, and if the talks end in complete discord, there is a risk of returning to a production situation for everyone for themselves, which could lead to oil price gains this year. A reversal of the trend. While they don't think this is the final possible outcome, they can't completely ignore it.</p><p>According to CNBC, Alejandro Barbajosa, Argus Media's vice president of crude oil business in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific region, said on Monday that in the very short term, the failure to reach an agreement obviously means that crude oil production will be very loose, and every country is very close to a price war. But he believes that OPEC + members will not reach the level of a real price war.</p><p>There was an oil price massacre in 2014</p><p>On Thanksgiving Day in 2014, a similar incident happened: OPEC's negotiations on production cuts broke down, but in the end the parties failed to reach an agreement, resulting in countries fighting independently on oil production, and then crude oil prices fell off a cliff.</p><p>On November 27th, 2014, OPEC, a cartel of oil producers including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Venezuela, held a large meeting in Vienna. Before the meeting, there was speculation that OPEC countries might cut their own oil production to support prices.</p><p>In that convention, some countries, such as Venezuela and Iran, wanted the cartels, mainly Saudi Arabia, to cut production to support oil prices. The reason is that these countries need high prices to break even budgetarily and cover their accumulated government spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4238877c035f8d5135d04d76488675f\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>On the other end of the debate is Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, which opposes production cuts and is willing to let oil prices continue to fall.</p><p>In the end, OPEC was unable to agree on prices and left production unchanged.</p><p>Subsequently, crude oil prices plummeted rapidly, with Brent crude oil prices falling directly from US $110/barrel to US $70/barrel.</p><p>During the previous period from 2011 to 2014, due to the surge in demand, oil prices once hovered around US $100/barrel.</p><p>Of course, the drop in crude oil prices in 2014 was also inseparable from the increase in U.S. shale oil production. Some analysts said that as U.S. shale oil production increases, the strategy of maintaining production aims to maintain OPEC's market dominance.</p><p>Therefore, maintaining production is also OPEC's last resort decision. And as oil prices fall, shale oil production becomes less economical, which will also allow the United States to reduce the supply of shale oil. So keeping oil prices low might actually make sense for OPEC.</p><p>The United States at that time was similar to Iran at present-as the biggest uncertain party in crude oil supply, their participation will also put greater downward pressure on the crumbling crude oil price in possible scenarios.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will the 2014 oil price \"massacre\" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill the 2014 oil price \"massacre\" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 20:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Author: Yu Xudong</p><p>As OPEC + failed to reach an agreement on increasing production, this once again tightened the nerves of the already nervous market.</p><p>On Friday, OPEC failed to break the deadlock within the organization for the second consecutive night. Delegates said that although most OPEC members supported the proposal to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day per month between August and December, it would also increase the broader The supply agreement is extended until the end of 2022, but the UAE remains firmly opposed. As the UAE still blocks the proposal to increase supply from being adopted, the parties will continue negotiations at 3pm local time in Vienna on July 5th (9pm Beijing time).</p><p>Just two days after the UAE refused to align with other OPEC members, Saudi Prince Abdul Aziz said in a Bloomberg TV interview late on Sunday that they must extend the production increase agreement, adding that the UAE has been isolated in OPEC. The Saudi prince's speech reflected the current tense situation within OPEC + and made it difficult for global markets to guess the future trend of crude oil prices.</p><p>Just hours ago, UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei once again rejected Saudi Arabia's proposed extension of the agreement and only supported increasing production in the short term. He has previously said that the UAE supports an unconditional increase in production, which is needed by the market, but the decision to extend the agreement until the end of 2022 is not necessary now.</p><p>It is worth noting that, according to Bloomberg, Foreign Minister Prince Abdul Aziz said that if the agreement is not extended, a back-up agreement will be reached, under which oil production will not increase in August and the rest of the year, which could cause oil prices to soar.</p><p>At the heart of the problem is the baseline. Production cuts or increases are measured against a benchmark-the higher this benchmark figure, the more oil a country is allowed to extract. The UAE wants to revise its benchmark before extending the cuts until the end of 2022 as it wants to produce more oil on top of its current benchmark quota.</p><p>The UAE's current benchmark is calculated from October 2018, when production was around 3.2 million barrels per day. Last year, that jumped to 3.8 million barrels per day. The UAE believes that the reference frame for the 2022 extension should not have started four years ago.</p><p>However, such a calculation is unlikely to be acceptable to Saudi Arabia and Russia, which refuse to recalculate the UAE's production target baseline and fear that concessions to one member will prompt everyone else in OPEC + to demand the same treatment, thereby undermining the already underway. Weeks of agreement negotiations.</p><p>Two outcomes: oil prices surge or complete collapse</p><p>Just like the differences within OPEC +, analysts from major institutions also have great differences on the future trend of international oil prices. This is mainly because the factors affecting the current oil price are indeed complicated.</p><p>On the one hand, the economic recovery of major economies, including the United States, is obvious, the demand side of the oil market is constantly improving, and OPEC + has maintained a trend of cautious production increase recently; On the other hand, Novel Coronavirus's mutated virus has begun to wreak havoc in some areas again, the job market in the United States and Europe is recovering slowly, and once the U.S. sanctions on Iran are lifted, Iran's oil production capacity will be greatly released, etc. These factors have inhibited the rise of international oil prices to a considerable extent. International oil prices are at a crossroads.</p><p>Data show that the international benchmark Brent crude oil futures were quoted at US $76.37 per barrel on Monday (July 5), rising more than 45% in the first half of this year; U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures closed at $75.27, up more than 50% in the first half of this year. Throughout June, Brent crude oil futures rose more than 8% and WTI crude oil prices rose more than 10% to their highest level since October 2018.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83e815454f7911baf0e973046b08481a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Although oil prices are still soaring in the trend, some analysts pointed out that the factors affecting the next oil price trend may be binary.</p><p>On the one hand, the UAE is forcing OPEC + into trouble-OPEC + will either accept the UAE's demands, or the risk of dissolving the cartel will occur without a production agreement.</p><p>If the former happens, oil prices will most likely rise sharply; If the latter happens, as Bloomberg said in an article, there will be a more dramatic situation-the oil price collapse on Thanksgiving Day in 2014 will be repeated, because OPEC + will be at risk of complete collapse, that is, all parties are fighting each other, and they can no longer form a united cartel, which leads to the oil price plummeting again since last year's crisis, and the nightmare repeats itself.</p><p>In the last year, it was the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and Russia that triggered a punitive price war that triggered the panic in March 2020.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that when asked if production could be increased without the involvement of the UAE, Abdulaziz said they cannot, and if OPEC collapses, every oil exporter will fight for itself, and after a brief price spike, oil will plummet again.</p><p>Abdulaziz's words also confirm that if the agreement goes bankrupt, there is a high probability that it will slip into the second situation.</p><p>At the same time, there is another potential event that will lead to more flooding of oil supplies, which will also knock oil prices down: once Iran reaches a nuclear deal with the Biden administration, it will return to the oil market, adding millions of barrels of oil supplies.</p><p>Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said a price war could be looming if the talks stalled, and if the talks end in complete discord, there is a risk of returning to a production situation for everyone for themselves, which could lead to oil price gains this year. A reversal of the trend. While they don't think this is the final possible outcome, they can't completely ignore it.</p><p>According to CNBC, Alejandro Barbajosa, Argus Media's vice president of crude oil business in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific region, said on Monday that in the very short term, the failure to reach an agreement obviously means that crude oil production will be very loose, and every country is very close to a price war. But he believes that OPEC + members will not reach the level of a real price war.</p><p>There was an oil price massacre in 2014</p><p>On Thanksgiving Day in 2014, a similar incident happened: OPEC's negotiations on production cuts broke down, but in the end the parties failed to reach an agreement, resulting in countries fighting independently on oil production, and then crude oil prices fell off a cliff.</p><p>On November 27th, 2014, OPEC, a cartel of oil producers including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Venezuela, held a large meeting in Vienna. Before the meeting, there was speculation that OPEC countries might cut their own oil production to support prices.</p><p>In that convention, some countries, such as Venezuela and Iran, wanted the cartels, mainly Saudi Arabia, to cut production to support oil prices. The reason is that these countries need high prices to break even budgetarily and cover their accumulated government spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4238877c035f8d5135d04d76488675f\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>On the other end of the debate is Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, which opposes production cuts and is willing to let oil prices continue to fall.</p><p>In the end, OPEC was unable to agree on prices and left production unchanged.</p><p>Subsequently, crude oil prices plummeted rapidly, with Brent crude oil prices falling directly from US $110/barrel to US $70/barrel.</p><p>During the previous period from 2011 to 2014, due to the surge in demand, oil prices once hovered around US $100/barrel.</p><p>Of course, the drop in crude oil prices in 2014 was also inseparable from the increase in U.S. shale oil production. Some analysts said that as U.S. shale oil production increases, the strategy of maintaining production aims to maintain OPEC's market dominance.</p><p>Therefore, maintaining production is also OPEC's last resort decision. And as oil prices fall, shale oil production becomes less economical, which will also allow the United States to reduce the supply of shale oil. So keeping oil prices low might actually make sense for OPEC.</p><p>The United States at that time was similar to Iran at present-as the biggest uncertain party in crude oil supply, their participation will also put greater downward pressure on the crumbling crude oil price in possible scenarios.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634608\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4a2187b267c2b09c55779e0a8af4ab","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634608","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1157720359","content_text":"作者：于旭东\n由于OPEC+未能就提高产量达成一致，这让本就紧张不已的市场，再次绷紧了神经。\n在上周五，OPEC+连续第二晚没有打破该组织内部的僵局，与会代表称，虽然多数OPEC +成员支持8月至12月期间每月增加40万桶/天产量的提议，同时将更广泛的供应协议期限延长至2022年底，但阿联酋仍坚决反对。因阿联酋依然阻止增加供应的提议通过,各方将于维也纳当地时间7月5日下午3点（北京时间晚上9点）继续谈判。\n就在阿联酋拒绝与OPEC+其他成员国保持一致的两天后，在周日晚些时候，沙特王子阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹在接受彭博电视采访时表示他们必须延长增产协议，并补充说阿联酋已经在OPEC+中被孤立。沙特王子的讲话，反映出目前OPEC+内部紧张的局势，并让全球市场难以猜测原油价格的未来走势。\n就在几个小时前，阿联酋能源部长Suhail al-Mazrouei再次拒绝了沙特提议的延长协议，只支持在短期增加产量。他在此前曾表示阿联酋支持无条件增加产量，这是市场需要的，但将协议延长至2022年底的决定并没有必要在现在采取。\n值得注意的是，据彭博，社特外交大臣阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹亲王表示，如果不延长协议，将达成一项后备协议，根据该协议，8月和今年剩余时间的石油产量不会增加，这可能会导致油价飙升。\n问题的核心是基线。减产或增产是根据一个基准来衡量的——这个基准数字越高，一个国家被允许开采的石油就越多。阿联酋希望在将削减延长至2022年底之前修改其基准，因为它想要在当前基准配额的基础上生产更多的石油。\n阿联酋目前的基准是从2018年10月开始计算的，当时的产量约为320万桶/天。去年，这一数字跃升至380万桶/天。阿联酋认为，2022年延期的参考框架不应该从四年前开始。\n然而，这样的计算方法对沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯来说是不可能接受的，它们拒绝重新计算阿联酋的产量目标基线，并担心向一个成员让步会促使OPEC+中的其他所有人要求同样的待遇，从而破坏已经进行了数周的协议谈判。\n两种结局：油价大涨或完全崩溃\n正像OPEC+内部的分歧一样，各大机构的分析师对于国际石油价格的未来走势也存在很大分歧。这主要是因为影响当前石油价格的因素确实纷繁复杂。\n一方面，包括美国在内的各主要经济体的经济复苏明显，石油市场的需求端在不断改善，近期OPEC+也一直维持着谨慎增产的态势；另一方面，新冠病毒的变异病毒又开始在一些地区肆虐，美欧的就业市场恢复缓慢，美国对伊朗的制裁一旦解除则伊朗的石油产能必将大幅释放等等，这些因素又在相当的程度上抑制了国际石油价格的上涨。国际石油价格站在了十字路口上。\n数据显示，国际基准布伦特原油期货周一（7月5日）报76.37美元/桶，今年上半年涨超45%；美国西德克萨斯中质（WTI）原油期货收报75.27美元，今年上半年涨超50%。整个6月，布伦特原油期货价格上涨逾8%，WTI原油价格上涨逾10%，达到2018年10月以来的最高水平。\n\n尽管油价在趋势上依然飙升，但有分析人士指出，接下来油价走势的影响因素可能是二元的。\n一方面，阿联酋正在迫使OPEC+陷入困境——OPEC+要么接受阿联酋的要求，要么在没有达成产量协议的情况下会发生解散卡特尔的风险。\n如果前者发生，油价大概率将会大涨；而后者发生的话，正如彭博在一篇文章里所说的，将会有一种更戏剧性的情况发生——2014年感恩节的油价崩溃将重新上演，因为OPEC+会有完全崩溃的风险，也就是各方各自混战，再也无法形成团结的卡特尔，并导致油价继去年的危机以来再次暴跌，噩梦再次重演。\n在去年，正是沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯之间的分歧引发了一场惩罚性的价格战，这才引发了2020年3月的恐慌。\n值得一提的是，当被问及是否可以在没有阿联酋参与的情况下提高产量时，阿卜杜勒阿齐兹表示他们不能，如果欧佩克崩溃，每个石油出口国都会为自己而战，在短暂的价格飙升之后，石油将再次暴跌。\n而阿卜杜勒阿齐兹的话，也印证了若协议破产，大概率会滑向第二种情况。\n与此同时，还有一个潜在事件会导致石油供应更加泛滥，这也将重挫油价：一旦伊朗与拜登政府达成核协议，就会重返石油市场，从而增加数百万桶石油的供应。\n加拿大皇家银行全球大宗商品策略主管Helima Croft表示，如果谈判陷入僵局，一场价格战可能迫在眉睫，如果谈判以完全的不和谐结束，就有可能回到人人为己的生产局面，这可能导致今年油价涨势的逆转。虽然他们不认为这是最后的可能结果，但也不能完全忽视它。\n据CNBC，阿格斯媒体负责中东和亚太地区原油业务的副总裁Alejandro Barbajosa周一表示，在非常短期内，协议无法达成显然意味着原油的生产会非常宽松，每个国家都非常接近价格战，但他认为OPEC+成员国不会达到真正价格战的水平。\n2014年曾发生过油价大屠杀\n在2014年的感恩节，发生过一件类似的事：OPEC关于减产的谈判发生破裂，但最终各方并未达成一致，导致各国在石油产量上各自为战，随后原油价格断崖式下跌。\n2014年11月27日，包括沙特、伊朗、伊拉克和委内瑞拉在内的石油生产国组成的卡特尔——OPEC在维也纳举行了一次大型会议。会议之前，有人猜测欧佩克国家可能会削减自己的石油产量以支撑价格。\n在那次大会中，委内瑞拉和伊朗等一些国家希望卡特尔（主要是沙特阿拉伯）削减产量以支撑石油价格。原因是这些国家需要高价才能在预算上达到收支平衡并支付他们累积的政府支出。\n\n争论的另一端是全球最大的产油国沙特阿拉伯，该国反对减产，并愿意让油价继续下跌。\n最终，OPEC无法就价格达成一致，并维持产量不变。\n随后，原油价格迅速暴跌，布伦特原油价格直接从110美元/桶跌至70美元/桶。\n而在此前的2011年至2014年期间，由于需求的激增，油价曾一度徘徊在100美元/桶左右。\n当然，2014年的那次原油价格下挫，和美国页岩油产量的增加也脱不了干系。有分析师表示，在美国页岩油产量增加的情况下，维持产量的策略旨在保持OPEC的市场主导地位。\n因此，维持产量也是OPEC不得已的决定。并且随着油价下跌，页岩油的生产也变得不那么经济了，这也将让美国减少页岩油的供应。因此，保持低油价实际上对欧佩克来说可能是有意义的。\n而当年的美国，也和目前的伊朗相似——作为原油供给最大的不确定方，它们的加入也将让可能情境下摇摇欲坠的原油价格承受更大的下跌压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187747016,"gmtCreate":1623765397035,"gmtModify":1703818685217,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187747016","repostId":"187484719","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":187484719,"gmtCreate":1623762083131,"gmtModify":1703818488756,"author":{"id":"3497328009582754","authorId":"3497328009582754","name":"弹道美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b0ffc4ebe1fa04dbda983a4cf50bbf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497328009582754","authorIdStr":"3497328009582754"},"themes":[],"title":"管你大盤如何，拓邦股份、和而泰走自己的行情！","htmlText":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002139\">$拓邦股份(002139)$</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002402\">$和而泰(002402)$</a>&nbsp;我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 1廠商的訂單，所以市場的焦點主要在其汽車電子控制器的業務上，此外就是即將分拆上市的鋮昌科技的射頻芯片業務。相對來說，市場對於其原有的家電和電動工具業務的關注度沒有拓邦股份那麼高。總體上來說，由於汽車電","listText":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002139\">$拓邦股份(002139)$</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002402\">$和而泰(002402)$</a>&nbsp;我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 1廠商的訂單，所以市場的焦點主要在其汽車電子控制器的業務上，此外就是即將分拆上市的鋮昌科技的射頻芯片業務。相對來說，市場對於其原有的家電和電動工具業務的關注度沒有拓邦股份那麼高。總體上來說，由於汽車電","text":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。$拓邦股份(002139)$ $和而泰(002402)$ 我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 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實時買賣通知和實倉分享，請訂閱我的空間站","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91abb11111e324bddca54fe00a5f9bff","width":"688","height":"317"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115780960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112690063,"gmtCreate":1622864125652,"gmtModify":1704192681250,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"H","listText":"H","text":"H","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112690063","repostId":"112814066","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":112814066,"gmtCreate":1622859146000,"gmtModify":1704192584384,"author":{"id":"3577852034187700","authorId":"3577852034187700","name":"经济观察报","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f64ac2aa784ef0f271ddeb45c7dc72bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577852034187700","authorIdStr":"3577852034187700"},"themes":[],"title":"【深度】訴四家國企拖欠貨款41億 上海電氣83億財務黑洞的未解之疑","htmlText":"經濟觀察報 記者&nbsp;張曉暉&nbsp;一家持股40%的子公司，給母公司造成了83億元的利潤損失。這樣的故事正在上海電氣集團股份有限公司（601727.SH,以下簡稱“上海電氣”）身上發生。 2021年5月30日，“白馬股”上海電氣發佈《關於公司重大風險的提示公告》稱：公司合併報表範圍內的控股子公司——上海電氣通訊技術有限公司（以下簡稱“通訊公司”，上海電氣持有其40%的股權）應收賬款普遍逾期，存在大額應收賬款無法收回的風險。 截至本公告日（即5月30日），通訊公司應收賬款餘額爲86.72億元，賬面存貨餘額爲22.30億元，通訊公司在商業銀行的借款餘額爲12.52億元，公司向通訊公司提供的股東借款金額合計爲77.66億元，均存在重大損失風險。 經過上海電氣測算，在極端情況下，通訊公司可能對公司的歸母淨利潤造成83億元的損失（即上海電氣對通訊公司的股東權益損失和股東借款損失）。大約是上海電氣2020年淨利潤37.58億元的2.2倍。 消息披露之後，上海電氣股價在5月31日跌停，單日市值蒸發80億元，股價以4.61元收盤。 上海電氣的83億元財務爆雷背後，存在諸多疑點，比如通訊公司銷售的通信產品是什麼？爲什麼國企普遍拖欠貨款？爲什麼對通訊公司的股東借款能達到77.66億？通訊公司的內部控制是否出了問題？經濟觀察報近日來多次嘗試聯繫上海電氣董祕辦公室，但其年報披露的電話始終無法接通。 四家國企拖欠貨款41億元？ 2021年5月31日，上海電氣披露了對四個拖欠貨款單位的訴訟。 通訊公司已向上海市第二中級人民法院、上海市楊浦區人民法院提起訴訟，請求判令被告北京首都創業集團有限公司（以下簡稱“首創集團”）、北京首都創業集團有限公司貿易分公司（以下簡稱“首創集團貿易公司”）、哈爾濱工業投資集團有限公司（以下簡稱“哈工投資”）、富申實業公司和南京長江電子信息產業集團有限公司（以下簡稱","listText":"經濟觀察報 記者&nbsp;張曉暉&nbsp;一家持股40%的子公司，給母公司造成了83億元的利潤損失。這樣的故事正在上海電氣集團股份有限公司（601727.SH,以下簡稱“上海電氣”）身上發生。 2021年5月30日，“白馬股”上海電氣發佈《關於公司重大風險的提示公告》稱：公司合併報表範圍內的控股子公司——上海電氣通訊技術有限公司（以下簡稱“通訊公司”，上海電氣持有其40%的股權）應收賬款普遍逾期，存在大額應收賬款無法收回的風險。 截至本公告日（即5月30日），通訊公司應收賬款餘額爲86.72億元，賬面存貨餘額爲22.30億元，通訊公司在商業銀行的借款餘額爲12.52億元，公司向通訊公司提供的股東借款金額合計爲77.66億元，均存在重大損失風險。 經過上海電氣測算，在極端情況下，通訊公司可能對公司的歸母淨利潤造成83億元的損失（即上海電氣對通訊公司的股東權益損失和股東借款損失）。大約是上海電氣2020年淨利潤37.58億元的2.2倍。 消息披露之後，上海電氣股價在5月31日跌停，單日市值蒸發80億元，股價以4.61元收盤。 上海電氣的83億元財務爆雷背後，存在諸多疑點，比如通訊公司銷售的通信產品是什麼？爲什麼國企普遍拖欠貨款？爲什麼對通訊公司的股東借款能達到77.66億？通訊公司的內部控制是否出了問題？經濟觀察報近日來多次嘗試聯繫上海電氣董祕辦公室，但其年報披露的電話始終無法接通。 四家國企拖欠貨款41億元？ 2021年5月31日，上海電氣披露了對四個拖欠貨款單位的訴訟。 通訊公司已向上海市第二中級人民法院、上海市楊浦區人民法院提起訴訟，請求判令被告北京首都創業集團有限公司（以下簡稱“首創集團”）、北京首都創業集團有限公司貿易分公司（以下簡稱“首創集團貿易公司”）、哈爾濱工業投資集團有限公司（以下簡稱“哈工投資”）、富申實業公司和南京長江電子信息產業集團有限公司（以下簡稱","text":"經濟觀察報 記者 張曉暉 一家持股40%的子公司，給母公司造成了83億元的利潤損失。這樣的故事正在上海電氣集團股份有限公司（601727.SH,以下簡稱“上海電氣”）身上發生。 2021年5月30日，“白馬股”上海電氣發佈《關於公司重大風險的提示公告》稱：公司合併報表範圍內的控股子公司——上海電氣通訊技術有限公司（以下簡稱“通訊公司”，上海電氣持有其40%的股權）應收賬款普遍逾期，存在大額應收賬款無法收回的風險。 截至本公告日（即5月30日），通訊公司應收賬款餘額爲86.72億元，賬面存貨餘額爲22.30億元，通訊公司在商業銀行的借款餘額爲12.52億元，公司向通訊公司提供的股東借款金額合計爲77.66億元，均存在重大損失風險。 經過上海電氣測算，在極端情況下，通訊公司可能對公司的歸母淨利潤造成83億元的損失（即上海電氣對通訊公司的股東權益損失和股東借款損失）。大約是上海電氣2020年淨利潤37.58億元的2.2倍。 消息披露之後，上海電氣股價在5月31日跌停，單日市值蒸發80億元，股價以4.61元收盤。 上海電氣的83億元財務爆雷背後，存在諸多疑點，比如通訊公司銷售的通信產品是什麼？爲什麼國企普遍拖欠貨款？爲什麼對通訊公司的股東借款能達到77.66億？通訊公司的內部控制是否出了問題？經濟觀察報近日來多次嘗試聯繫上海電氣董祕辦公室，但其年報披露的電話始終無法接通。 四家國企拖欠貨款41億元？ 2021年5月31日，上海電氣披露了對四個拖欠貨款單位的訴訟。 通訊公司已向上海市第二中級人民法院、上海市楊浦區人民法院提起訴訟，請求判令被告北京首都創業集團有限公司（以下簡稱“首創集團”）、北京首都創業集團有限公司貿易分公司（以下簡稱“首創集團貿易公司”）、哈爾濱工業投資集團有限公司（以下簡稱“哈工投資”）、富申實業公司和南京長江電子信息產業集團有限公司（以下簡稱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112814066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116919146,"gmtCreate":1622769391185,"gmtModify":1704190783392,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"H","listText":"H","text":"H","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116919146","repostId":"116910947","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":116910947,"gmtCreate":1622769319489,"gmtModify":1704190782098,"author":{"id":"3565845064413623","authorId":"3565845064413623","name":"深燃","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d25c1dc6447de5f1f0e48aa99b92b75b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565845064413623","authorIdStr":"3565845064413623"},"themes":[],"title":"閱文走出“舒適圈”","htmlText":"影視文化產業早已經“離不開”網文了。2015年《琅琊榜》《花千骨》網文改編劇橫空出世，讓在互聯網上累積近二十年的網絡文學井噴式釋放，從《全職高手》《慶餘年》再到《斗羅大陸》《贅婿》，這些大衆耳熟能詳的影視作品，幾乎都是由網絡文學改編而來。數年時間裏，行業對網文IP的認識也經歷幾次沉浮。從2015年到2018年，熱錢瘋狂涌入，缺乏規劃盲目囤積、“趕工式”開發、“賭博式”開發等失序亂象，使得IP在影視領域一度是“粗製濫造”的代名詞，好IP被消耗。從2019開始，行業迴歸冷靜，這之後，開發亂象漸少，IP改編劇爆款穩定輸出。但實際上，開發出一部成功的影視作品，還並不是IP的全部價值。有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲、周邊串起了IP全產業鏈開發的上下游，它們若能有機協同，就能建立起一個“小宇宙”，比如大衆耳熟能詳的迪士尼《米老鼠和唐老鴨》，不止出現在影視作品中，人們還能在遊戲、玩具、T恤、帽子、線下游樂園等載體上，看到米老鼠的元素和身影，迪士尼授權的產品已經覆蓋了大衆生活的方方面面。這就是IP可以帶來的影響力。但眼下，國內IP行業存在的問題是，即便認識到了IP的價值，有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲乃至衍生品，各領域單線程地爭取版權，環節封閉互不打通，缺乏全局性的規劃，導致IP衍生內容之間熱度不延續，“人設打架”、情節欠缺呼應、書粉劇粉漫粉爭端不斷，沒有聚集效應，更談不上聯動和促進。沒有規劃的開發，割裂開發仍是IP發揮最大價值的阻力。所以，儘管文娛行業多家頭部公司喊出“要做中國迪士尼”的口號，中國遲遲沒有出現“漫威宇宙”，也沒有一個“迪士尼”。但這不意味着中國不存在機會，也不意味着中國不能走出自己的道路。在6月3日，閱文集團發佈了名爲“大閱文”的新戰略。大會上，閱文集團首席執行官、騰訊集團副總裁兼騰訊影業首席執行官程武表示，“大閱文”是“基於騰訊新文創生態，以網絡文學爲基石，以IP開放爲驅動力，開放性地","listText":"影視文化產業早已經“離不開”網文了。2015年《琅琊榜》《花千骨》網文改編劇橫空出世，讓在互聯網上累積近二十年的網絡文學井噴式釋放，從《全職高手》《慶餘年》再到《斗羅大陸》《贅婿》，這些大衆耳熟能詳的影視作品，幾乎都是由網絡文學改編而來。數年時間裏，行業對網文IP的認識也經歷幾次沉浮。從2015年到2018年，熱錢瘋狂涌入，缺乏規劃盲目囤積、“趕工式”開發、“賭博式”開發等失序亂象，使得IP在影視領域一度是“粗製濫造”的代名詞，好IP被消耗。從2019開始，行業迴歸冷靜，這之後，開發亂象漸少，IP改編劇爆款穩定輸出。但實際上，開發出一部成功的影視作品，還並不是IP的全部價值。有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲、周邊串起了IP全產業鏈開發的上下游，它們若能有機協同，就能建立起一個“小宇宙”，比如大衆耳熟能詳的迪士尼《米老鼠和唐老鴨》，不止出現在影視作品中，人們還能在遊戲、玩具、T恤、帽子、線下游樂園等載體上，看到米老鼠的元素和身影，迪士尼授權的產品已經覆蓋了大衆生活的方方面面。這就是IP可以帶來的影響力。但眼下，國內IP行業存在的問題是，即便認識到了IP的價值，有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲乃至衍生品，各領域單線程地爭取版權，環節封閉互不打通，缺乏全局性的規劃，導致IP衍生內容之間熱度不延續，“人設打架”、情節欠缺呼應、書粉劇粉漫粉爭端不斷，沒有聚集效應，更談不上聯動和促進。沒有規劃的開發，割裂開發仍是IP發揮最大價值的阻力。所以，儘管文娛行業多家頭部公司喊出“要做中國迪士尼”的口號，中國遲遲沒有出現“漫威宇宙”，也沒有一個“迪士尼”。但這不意味着中國不存在機會，也不意味着中國不能走出自己的道路。在6月3日，閱文集團發佈了名爲“大閱文”的新戰略。大會上，閱文集團首席執行官、騰訊集團副總裁兼騰訊影業首席執行官程武表示，“大閱文”是“基於騰訊新文創生態，以網絡文學爲基石，以IP開放爲驅動力，開放性地","text":"影視文化產業早已經“離不開”網文了。2015年《琅琊榜》《花千骨》網文改編劇橫空出世，讓在互聯網上累積近二十年的網絡文學井噴式釋放，從《全職高手》《慶餘年》再到《斗羅大陸》《贅婿》，這些大衆耳熟能詳的影視作品，幾乎都是由網絡文學改編而來。數年時間裏，行業對網文IP的認識也經歷幾次沉浮。從2015年到2018年，熱錢瘋狂涌入，缺乏規劃盲目囤積、“趕工式”開發、“賭博式”開發等失序亂象，使得IP在影視領域一度是“粗製濫造”的代名詞，好IP被消耗。從2019開始，行業迴歸冷靜，這之後，開發亂象漸少，IP改編劇爆款穩定輸出。但實際上，開發出一部成功的影視作品，還並不是IP的全部價值。有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲、周邊串起了IP全產業鏈開發的上下游，它們若能有機協同，就能建立起一個“小宇宙”，比如大衆耳熟能詳的迪士尼《米老鼠和唐老鴨》，不止出現在影視作品中，人們還能在遊戲、玩具、T恤、帽子、線下游樂園等載體上，看到米老鼠的元素和身影，迪士尼授權的產品已經覆蓋了大衆生活的方方面面。這就是IP可以帶來的影響力。但眼下，國內IP行業存在的問題是，即便認識到了IP的價值，有聲、動漫、影視、遊戲乃至衍生品，各領域單線程地爭取版權，環節封閉互不打通，缺乏全局性的規劃，導致IP衍生內容之間熱度不延續，“人設打架”、情節欠缺呼應、書粉劇粉漫粉爭端不斷，沒有聚集效應，更談不上聯動和促進。沒有規劃的開發，割裂開發仍是IP發揮最大價值的阻力。所以，儘管文娛行業多家頭部公司喊出“要做中國迪士尼”的口號，中國遲遲沒有出現“漫威宇宙”，也沒有一個“迪士尼”。但這不意味着中國不存在機會，也不意味着中國不能走出自己的道路。在6月3日，閱文集團發佈了名爲“大閱文”的新戰略。大會上，閱文集團首席執行官、騰訊集團副總裁兼騰訊影業首席執行官程武表示，“大閱文”是“基於騰訊新文創生態，以網絡文學爲基石，以IP開放爲驅動力，開放性地","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27281208949b4eb75e2cc9c4433c67c","width":"2500","height":"1667"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116910947","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119062972,"gmtCreate":1622509265896,"gmtModify":1704185274536,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"h","listText":"h","text":"h","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P8Z.SI\">$BUMITAMA AGRI LTD.(P8Z.SI)$</a>[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/P8Z.SI\">$BUMITAMA AGRI LTD.(P8Z.SI)$</a>[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","text":"$BUMITAMA AGRI LTD.(P8Z.SI)$[白眼] [白眼] [白眼]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718eb62b920378a42367a85f4a9515d5","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110742763","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132805255,"gmtCreate":1622078445877,"gmtModify":1704178992244,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132805255","repostId":"132162610","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":132162610,"gmtCreate":1622076398330,"gmtModify":1704178923203,"author":{"id":"3435549005896431","authorId":"3435549005896431","name":"潜伏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ae5adc2aaca55f60bd0d6080caace6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3435549005896431","authorIdStr":"3435549005896431"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"昨天應該是比較愉快的一天，白天a股漲，晚上美股漲。如果每天這樣漲。大家都是巴菲特了。不過從昨天的盤面看，板塊輪動節奏加快。昨天上午上漲很好的軍工，證券，下午就回調，下午變成了有色礦產資源來接棒。所以，我講，你看到指數上漲了，但你抱守成規，那麼這指數漲得再好，也與你無關。對於前期套牢的，要不趁板塊輪動，快速加倉，儘早出套，要不就安心守本份。對於在低位的股票，如金田之流，加倉幹一下。今天重點關注的股票是新能源，礦產資源，光電，電力能源。訂閱空間站的朋友心中都知道是哪些標的。大膽幹吧。有倉位的日內T出來最好，沒倉位的低位建倉。別每支都買。選重點。別隻買一支，分分倉。相同概念只買一支形態好點的。不清楚的問。","listText":"昨天應該是比較愉快的一天，白天a股漲，晚上美股漲。如果每天這樣漲。大家都是巴菲特了。不過從昨天的盤面看，板塊輪動節奏加快。昨天上午上漲很好的軍工，證券，下午就回調，下午變成了有色礦產資源來接棒。所以，我講，你看到指數上漲了，但你抱守成規，那麼這指數漲得再好，也與你無關。對於前期套牢的，要不趁板塊輪動，快速加倉，儘早出套，要不就安心守本份。對於在低位的股票，如金田之流，加倉幹一下。今天重點關注的股票是新能源，礦產資源，光電，電力能源。訂閱空間站的朋友心中都知道是哪些標的。大膽幹吧。有倉位的日內T出來最好，沒倉位的低位建倉。別每支都買。選重點。別隻買一支，分分倉。相同概念只買一支形態好點的。不清楚的問。","text":"昨天應該是比較愉快的一天，白天a股漲，晚上美股漲。如果每天這樣漲。大家都是巴菲特了。不過從昨天的盤面看，板塊輪動節奏加快。昨天上午上漲很好的軍工，證券，下午就回調，下午變成了有色礦產資源來接棒。所以，我講，你看到指數上漲了，但你抱守成規，那麼這指數漲得再好，也與你無關。對於前期套牢的，要不趁板塊輪動，快速加倉，儘早出套，要不就安心守本份。對於在低位的股票，如金田之流，加倉幹一下。今天重點關注的股票是新能源，礦產資源，光電，電力能源。訂閱空間站的朋友心中都知道是哪些標的。大膽幹吧。有倉位的日內T出來最好，沒倉位的低位建倉。別每支都買。選重點。別隻買一支，分分倉。相同概念只買一支形態好點的。不清楚的問。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132162610","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138880256,"gmtCreate":1621926124375,"gmtModify":1704364555222,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138880256","repostId":"138812165","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":138812165,"gmtCreate":1621925625457,"gmtModify":1704364549421,"author":{"id":"3538087091501291","authorId":"3538087091501291","name":"小镇做T家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef0ee32208f951b13f627ec6aa4ea3c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3538087091501291","authorIdStr":"3538087091501291"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5月25日A股散戶情緒以下數據截止到今天14:00PIMI昨日修正：0.03，上升拐點PIMI今日預估：3.81，快速上升期PIMIC-3昨日修正：0.00，迷茫情緒下降拐點PIMIC-3今日預估：3.72，樂觀情緒上升拐點結論：對應五成倉（偏保守策略）今天PIMI值一直在上漲，目前3.81的值已經創下了年後低點（3月9日）以來的新高，如果明天能維持住，這波行情就穩了。考慮今天漲幅已經不少，明天大概率有小幅調整，所以可以留一點彈藥。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/399006\">$創業板指(399006)$</a>","listText":"5月25日A股散戶情緒以下數據截止到今天14:00PIMI昨日修正：0.03，上升拐點PIMI今日預估：3.81，快速上升期PIMIC-3昨日修正：0.00，迷茫情緒下降拐點PIMIC-3今日預估：3.72，樂觀情緒上升拐點結論：對應五成倉（偏保守策略）今天PIMI值一直在上漲，目前3.81的值已經創下了年後低點（3月9日）以來的新高，如果明天能維持住，這波行情就穩了。考慮今天漲幅已經不少，明天大概率有小幅調整，所以可以留一點彈藥。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/399006\">$創業板指(399006)$</a>","text":"5月25日A股散戶情緒以下數據截止到今天14:00PIMI昨日修正：0.03，上升拐點PIMI今日預估：3.81，快速上升期PIMIC-3昨日修正：0.00，迷茫情緒下降拐點PIMIC-3今日預估：3.72，樂觀情緒上升拐點結論：對應五成倉（偏保守策略）今天PIMI值一直在上漲，目前3.81的值已經創下了年後低點（3月9日）以來的新高，如果明天能維持住，這波行情就穩了。考慮今天漲幅已經不少，明天大概率有小幅調整，所以可以留一點彈藥。$上證指數(000001.SH)$$恆生指數(HSI)$$創業板指(399006)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138812165","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199667182,"gmtCreate":1620700907546,"gmtModify":1704346987392,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/84591292386623\">@坂上之云阿龙</a>:美国大学生比例为60%，我们是6%[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"Hao//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/84591292386623\">@坂上之云阿龙</a>:美国大学生比例为60%，我们是6%[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"Hao//@坂上之云阿龙:美国大学生比例为60%，我们是6%[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199667182","repostId":"1178159521","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178159521","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620698492,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178159521?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-11 10:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The results of the seventh national census are announced! The national population is 1,411.78 million","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178159521","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据央视新闻报道，5月11日上午10时，国新办举行新闻发布会，介绍第七次全国人口普查主要数据结果并答记者问。国家统计局局长宁吉喆在会上通报，全国人口共141178万人，与2010年的133972万人相比","content":"<p>According to CCTV news reports, at 10 a.m. on May 11th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the main data results of the seventh national census and answer questions from reporters. Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, informed at the meeting that the national population was 1,411.78 million, an increase of 72.06 million or 5.38% compared with 1,339.72 million in 2010; The average annual growth rate is 0.53%, which is 0.04 percentage points lower than the average annual growth rate of 0.57% from 2000 to 2010. The data shows that China's population has continued to maintain a low growth trend in the past 10 years.</p><p>Among the national population, the male population is 723,339,956, accounting for 51.24%; The female population is 688,438,768, or 48.76%. The sex ratio of the total population is 105.07.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The aging of the population is further deepening, and it will continue to face the pressure of long-term balanced population development in the coming period</b></p><p>Among the national population, there are 253,383,938 people aged 0-14, accounting for 17.95%; The population aged 15-59 is 894,376,020, accounting for 63.35%; The population aged 60 and older was 264,018,766 or 18.70%, of which 19,0635,280 or 13.50% were 65 and older. Compared with the sixth national census in 2010, the proportion of the population aged 0-14 increased by 1.35 percentage points, the proportion of the population aged 15-59 decreased by 6.79 percentage points, the proportion of the population aged 60 and above increased by 5.44 percentage points, and the proportion of the population aged 65 and above increased by 4.63 percentage points.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The average population per household is 2.62</b></p><p>There are 494,157,423 households and 28,531,842 collective households in China, with a household population of 129,280,300 people and a collective household population of 118,969,424 people. The average population per household is 2.62, which is 0.48 less than the 3.10 in the sixth national census in 2010.</p><p><b>The population of Northeast China has dropped by 1.2% in 10 years</b></p><p>The National Bureau of Statistics announced the main data results of the seventh national census on the 11th. The data shows that the population in the eastern region accounts for 39.93%, the central region accounts for 25.83%, the western region accounts for 27.12% and the northeast region accounts for 6.98%. Compared with 2010, the proportion of population in the eastern region increased by 2.15 percentage points, that in the central region decreased by 0.79 percentage points, that in the western region increased by 0.22 percentage points, and that in the northeast region decreased by 1.20 percentage points. The population is further concentrated in economically developed areas and urban agglomerations.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: China's new urbanization process has been steadily advanced in the past 10 years, and urbanization construction has made historic achievements</b></p><p>The population living in cities and towns is 901.99 million, accounting for 63.89%; The population living in rural areas is 509.79 million, accounting for 36.11%. Compared with 2010, the urban population increased by 236.42 million, the rural population decreased by 164.36 million, and the proportion of urban population increased by 14.21 percentage points. With the in-depth development of China's new industrialization, informatization and agricultural modernization and the implementation of the urbanization policy of agricultural migrant population, China's new urbanization process has been steadily advanced in the past 10 years, and historic achievements have been made in urbanization construction.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population is further concentrating in economically developed regions and urban agglomerations</b></p><p>According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, among the 31 provinces, there are 2 provinces with a population of more than 100 million, 9 provinces with a population of 50 million to 100 million, 17 provinces with a population of 10 million to 50 million, and 3 provinces with less than 10 million people. Among them, the total population of the top five provinces accounts for 35.09% of the national population. In terms of regions, the population of the eastern region is 56,3717,119, accounting for 39.93%; The population of the central region is 364,694,362, accounting for 25.83%; The population of the western region is 382,852,295, accounting for 27.12%; The population of Northeast region is 98,514,948, accounting for 6.98%. Compared with 2010, the proportion of population in the eastern region increased by 2.15 percentage points, that in the central region decreased by 0.79 percentage points, that in the western region increased by 0.22 percentage points, and that in the northeast region decreased by 1.20 percentage points. The population is further concentrated in economically developed areas and urban agglomerations.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population omission rate of the seventh national census is 0.05%, and the census results are true and reliable</b></p><p>According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the seventh national census implemented a strict quality control system, established and improved census data traceability and accountability mechanism, and ensured that census data were verifiable, traceable and accountable. Make full use of departmental administrative records and enterprise big data to carry out refined comparison and verification of census data. Census agencies at all levels strictly implement quality control requirements, earnestly carry out quality acceptance, and ensure the quality of work at all stages of the census. In order to objectively and comprehensively evaluate the quality of national census registration, the Office of the Leading Group organized a post-event quality spot check. The results showed that the population omission rate of the seventh national census was 0.05%, and the census results were true and reliable.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population with university education is 218.36 million</b></p><p>The population with university education is 218.36 million. Compared with 2010, the number of people with university education per 100,000 people increased from 8,930 to 15,467, the average length of education of people aged 15 and above increased from 9.08 to 9.91 years, and the illiteracy rate decreased from 4.08% to 2.67%. The continuous improvement of education situation reflects that in the past 10 years, China has achieved positive results in vigorously developing higher education and eliminating illiteracy among young and middle-aged adults, and the quality of the population has been continuously improved.</p><p><b>There are 34.9 million more men than women in China</b></p><p>The male population is 723.34 million, accounting for 51.24%; The female population is 688.44 million, accounting for 48.76%. The sex ratio of the total population (100 females, the ratio of males to females) is 105.07, which is basically the same as that of 2010, but slightly lower. The sex ratio at birth was 111.3, down 6.8 compared with 2010.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: my country's domestic market advantages and demographic dividends still exist</b></p><p>According to the press conference of the State Council Office, China's ultra-large domestic market advantages will exist for a long time, and the population, resources and environment are in a tight balance, so measures need to be taken to promote the balanced development of the population; Labor resources are still abundant, and the demographic dividend still exists; With the continuous improvement of population quality, new advantages of talent dividend will gradually emerge.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: The proportion of \"two children\" in the birth population increased from about 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that in terms of age composition, the number of children has increased and the proportion has increased. The number of children aged 0-14 increased by 30.92 million compared with 2010, and the proportion increased by 1.35 percentage points. Decision-making arrangements and policy measures such as \"two children alone\" and \"two children in an all-round way\" have promoted the recovery of the birth population, and the fertility rate of \"two children\" has increased significantly. The proportion of \"two children\" in the birth population has increased from about 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: Slowing population growth requires measures to promote long-term balanced development of the population</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, introduced a dialectical view of the impact of population changes on the economy and society. China's basic national conditions of large population base and large population have not changed, the advantages of ultra-large domestic market will exist for a long time, and the population, resources and environment will remain in a tight balance. At the same time, population growth is slowing down, and measures need to be taken to promote long-term balanced population development.</p><p>National Bureau of Statistics: Population growth will continue to slow down, but the total amount will remain above 1.4 billion for a long time.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The average age of China's population is 38.8 years old</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the results of the census also show that China's working-age population aged 16-59 is 880 million, and the labor force resources are still abundant. The average age of China's population is 38.8 years old through this census. On the whole, it is still young and strong. Recently, the latest census data were released in the United States. The average age is 38 years old, which is similar to the level of China.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Statistics responds to the slowdown in population growth: the comprehensive impact of multiple factors</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the census data show that China's population growth rate has slowed down, with an average annual growth rate of 0.53% in the past decade, which is 0.04 percentage points lower than that in the previous decade. This trend is the result of the comprehensive influence of various factors, mainly due to the continuous decline of the number of women of childbearing age, especially those in the prosperous childbearing period, the delay of people's childbearing time, and the increase of childbearing costs. This is the objective result of China's economic development, especially industrialization and urbanization, to a certain stage, and it is also a common problem faced by the world, especially developed countries.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: Important national conditions, opportunities and challenges coexist during the aging period of population growth</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that population aging is an important trend of China's social development and an important national condition for a long time. There are both challenges and opportunities to deal with population aging. In terms of challenges, the aging population has reduced the working population and increased the burden of social security. But at the same time, it should also be noted that aging has promoted the development of the silver-haired economy, increased the consumption of elderly services and technological progress. It is worth mentioning that among the elderly population, young elderly people aged 60 to 69 account for more than 50%, and they have great potential to exert waste heat.</p><p><b>Does the census have a \"data adjustment phase\"? Bureau of Statistics: No post-event adjustment</b></p><p>Zhang Yi, deputy director of the Office of the Leading Group of the Seventh National Census of the State Council and director of the Population and Employment Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the census is a comprehensive survey. All census objects are registered item by item according to a unified standard and within a unified time range, data are collected electronically, and reported online in real time. After the data review is completed, the relevant population data are directly summarized and calculated without post-event adjustment.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics Responds to Population Decline in Northeast China: Further Strengthening Research on Population Issues in Northeast China</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the population decline in Northeast China is affected by many factors such as natural environment, geographical environment, population fertility level and economic and social development. In the next step, we will further strengthen the research on population problems in Northeast China, actively respond to the challenges brought by population changes, and seize the opportunities existing in the changes to serve the economic and social development of Northeast China.</p><p>National Bureau of Statistics: The total fertility rate of women of childbearing age in my country in 2020 is 1.3, which is at a low fertility level.</p><p><b>The number of births in China will be 12 million in 2020</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, deputy head of the Seventh National Census Leading Group of the State Council and director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said at the press conference on May 11th that the universal two-child policy has achieved positive results. First, the export population is large. In 2016 and 2017, the number of births increased significantly, exceeding 18 million and 17 million respectively. The number of births has declined since 2018. Preliminary summary data shows that my country's birth population will be 12 million in 2020, which is still not small. Second, the proportion of two children is high. From 2014 to 2017, the proportion of two children in the population born increased significantly, from 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017. Since then, although it has declined, it is still higher than 40%. Third, the fertility rate has decreased. The total fertility rate of women of childbearing age in China is 1.3, which is already at a low fertility level.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42f8c6889d366f137dfa29760f7e099f\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"4160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The results of the seventh national census are announced! The national population is 1,411.78 million</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe results of the seventh national census are announced! The national population is 1,411.78 million\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-11 10:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>According to CCTV news reports, at 10 a.m. on May 11th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the main data results of the seventh national census and answer questions from reporters. Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, informed at the meeting that the national population was 1,411.78 million, an increase of 72.06 million or 5.38% compared with 1,339.72 million in 2010; The average annual growth rate is 0.53%, which is 0.04 percentage points lower than the average annual growth rate of 0.57% from 2000 to 2010. The data shows that China's population has continued to maintain a low growth trend in the past 10 years.</p><p>Among the national population, the male population is 723,339,956, accounting for 51.24%; The female population is 688,438,768, or 48.76%. The sex ratio of the total population is 105.07.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The aging of the population is further deepening, and it will continue to face the pressure of long-term balanced population development in the coming period</b></p><p>Among the national population, there are 253,383,938 people aged 0-14, accounting for 17.95%; The population aged 15-59 is 894,376,020, accounting for 63.35%; The population aged 60 and older was 264,018,766 or 18.70%, of which 19,0635,280 or 13.50% were 65 and older. Compared with the sixth national census in 2010, the proportion of the population aged 0-14 increased by 1.35 percentage points, the proportion of the population aged 15-59 decreased by 6.79 percentage points, the proportion of the population aged 60 and above increased by 5.44 percentage points, and the proportion of the population aged 65 and above increased by 4.63 percentage points.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The average population per household is 2.62</b></p><p>There are 494,157,423 households and 28,531,842 collective households in China, with a household population of 129,280,300 people and a collective household population of 118,969,424 people. The average population per household is 2.62, which is 0.48 less than the 3.10 in the sixth national census in 2010.</p><p><b>The population of Northeast China has dropped by 1.2% in 10 years</b></p><p>The National Bureau of Statistics announced the main data results of the seventh national census on the 11th. The data shows that the population in the eastern region accounts for 39.93%, the central region accounts for 25.83%, the western region accounts for 27.12% and the northeast region accounts for 6.98%. Compared with 2010, the proportion of population in the eastern region increased by 2.15 percentage points, that in the central region decreased by 0.79 percentage points, that in the western region increased by 0.22 percentage points, and that in the northeast region decreased by 1.20 percentage points. The population is further concentrated in economically developed areas and urban agglomerations.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: China's new urbanization process has been steadily advanced in the past 10 years, and urbanization construction has made historic achievements</b></p><p>The population living in cities and towns is 901.99 million, accounting for 63.89%; The population living in rural areas is 509.79 million, accounting for 36.11%. Compared with 2010, the urban population increased by 236.42 million, the rural population decreased by 164.36 million, and the proportion of urban population increased by 14.21 percentage points. With the in-depth development of China's new industrialization, informatization and agricultural modernization and the implementation of the urbanization policy of agricultural migrant population, China's new urbanization process has been steadily advanced in the past 10 years, and historic achievements have been made in urbanization construction.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population is further concentrating in economically developed regions and urban agglomerations</b></p><p>According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, among the 31 provinces, there are 2 provinces with a population of more than 100 million, 9 provinces with a population of 50 million to 100 million, 17 provinces with a population of 10 million to 50 million, and 3 provinces with less than 10 million people. Among them, the total population of the top five provinces accounts for 35.09% of the national population. In terms of regions, the population of the eastern region is 56,3717,119, accounting for 39.93%; The population of the central region is 364,694,362, accounting for 25.83%; The population of the western region is 382,852,295, accounting for 27.12%; The population of Northeast region is 98,514,948, accounting for 6.98%. Compared with 2010, the proportion of population in the eastern region increased by 2.15 percentage points, that in the central region decreased by 0.79 percentage points, that in the western region increased by 0.22 percentage points, and that in the northeast region decreased by 1.20 percentage points. The population is further concentrated in economically developed areas and urban agglomerations.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population omission rate of the seventh national census is 0.05%, and the census results are true and reliable</b></p><p>According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the seventh national census implemented a strict quality control system, established and improved census data traceability and accountability mechanism, and ensured that census data were verifiable, traceable and accountable. Make full use of departmental administrative records and enterprise big data to carry out refined comparison and verification of census data. Census agencies at all levels strictly implement quality control requirements, earnestly carry out quality acceptance, and ensure the quality of work at all stages of the census. In order to objectively and comprehensively evaluate the quality of national census registration, the Office of the Leading Group organized a post-event quality spot check. The results showed that the population omission rate of the seventh national census was 0.05%, and the census results were true and reliable.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The population with university education is 218.36 million</b></p><p>The population with university education is 218.36 million. Compared with 2010, the number of people with university education per 100,000 people increased from 8,930 to 15,467, the average length of education of people aged 15 and above increased from 9.08 to 9.91 years, and the illiteracy rate decreased from 4.08% to 2.67%. The continuous improvement of education situation reflects that in the past 10 years, China has achieved positive results in vigorously developing higher education and eliminating illiteracy among young and middle-aged adults, and the quality of the population has been continuously improved.</p><p><b>There are 34.9 million more men than women in China</b></p><p>The male population is 723.34 million, accounting for 51.24%; The female population is 688.44 million, accounting for 48.76%. The sex ratio of the total population (100 females, the ratio of males to females) is 105.07, which is basically the same as that of 2010, but slightly lower. The sex ratio at birth was 111.3, down 6.8 compared with 2010.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: my country's domestic market advantages and demographic dividends still exist</b></p><p>According to the press conference of the State Council Office, China's ultra-large domestic market advantages will exist for a long time, and the population, resources and environment are in a tight balance, so measures need to be taken to promote the balanced development of the population; Labor resources are still abundant, and the demographic dividend still exists; With the continuous improvement of population quality, new advantages of talent dividend will gradually emerge.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: The proportion of \"two children\" in the birth population increased from about 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that in terms of age composition, the number of children has increased and the proportion has increased. The number of children aged 0-14 increased by 30.92 million compared with 2010, and the proportion increased by 1.35 percentage points. Decision-making arrangements and policy measures such as \"two children alone\" and \"two children in an all-round way\" have promoted the recovery of the birth population, and the fertility rate of \"two children\" has increased significantly. The proportion of \"two children\" in the birth population has increased from about 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: Slowing population growth requires measures to promote long-term balanced development of the population</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, introduced a dialectical view of the impact of population changes on the economy and society. China's basic national conditions of large population base and large population have not changed, the advantages of ultra-large domestic market will exist for a long time, and the population, resources and environment will remain in a tight balance. At the same time, population growth is slowing down, and measures need to be taken to promote long-term balanced population development.</p><p>National Bureau of Statistics: Population growth will continue to slow down, but the total amount will remain above 1.4 billion for a long time.</p><p><b>National Bureau of Statistics: The average age of China's population is 38.8 years old</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the results of the census also show that China's working-age population aged 16-59 is 880 million, and the labor force resources are still abundant. The average age of China's population is 38.8 years old through this census. On the whole, it is still young and strong. Recently, the latest census data were released in the United States. The average age is 38 years old, which is similar to the level of China.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Statistics responds to the slowdown in population growth: the comprehensive impact of multiple factors</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the census data show that China's population growth rate has slowed down, with an average annual growth rate of 0.53% in the past decade, which is 0.04 percentage points lower than that in the previous decade. This trend is the result of the comprehensive influence of various factors, mainly due to the continuous decline of the number of women of childbearing age, especially those in the prosperous childbearing period, the delay of people's childbearing time, and the increase of childbearing costs. This is the objective result of China's economic development, especially industrialization and urbanization, to a certain stage, and it is also a common problem faced by the world, especially developed countries.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics: Important national conditions, opportunities and challenges coexist during the aging period of population growth</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that population aging is an important trend of China's social development and an important national condition for a long time. There are both challenges and opportunities to deal with population aging. In terms of challenges, the aging population has reduced the working population and increased the burden of social security. But at the same time, it should also be noted that aging has promoted the development of the silver-haired economy, increased the consumption of elderly services and technological progress. It is worth mentioning that among the elderly population, young elderly people aged 60 to 69 account for more than 50%, and they have great potential to exert waste heat.</p><p><b>Does the census have a \"data adjustment phase\"? Bureau of Statistics: No post-event adjustment</b></p><p>Zhang Yi, deputy director of the Office of the Leading Group of the Seventh National Census of the State Council and director of the Population and Employment Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the census is a comprehensive survey. All census objects are registered item by item according to a unified standard and within a unified time range, data are collected electronically, and reported online in real time. After the data review is completed, the relevant population data are directly summarized and calculated without post-event adjustment.</p><p><b>Bureau of Statistics Responds to Population Decline in Northeast China: Further Strengthening Research on Population Issues in Northeast China</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the population decline in Northeast China is affected by many factors such as natural environment, geographical environment, population fertility level and economic and social development. In the next step, we will further strengthen the research on population problems in Northeast China, actively respond to the challenges brought by population changes, and seize the opportunities existing in the changes to serve the economic and social development of Northeast China.</p><p>National Bureau of Statistics: The total fertility rate of women of childbearing age in my country in 2020 is 1.3, which is at a low fertility level.</p><p><b>The number of births in China will be 12 million in 2020</b></p><p>Ning Jizhe, deputy head of the Seventh National Census Leading Group of the State Council and director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said at the press conference on May 11th that the universal two-child policy has achieved positive results. First, the export population is large. In 2016 and 2017, the number of births increased significantly, exceeding 18 million and 17 million respectively. The number of births has declined since 2018. Preliminary summary data shows that my country's birth population will be 12 million in 2020, which is still not small. Second, the proportion of two children is high. From 2014 to 2017, the proportion of two children in the population born increased significantly, from 30% in 2013 to about 50% in 2017. Since then, although it has declined, it is still higher than 40%. Third, the fertility rate has decreased. The total fertility rate of women of childbearing age in China is 1.3, which is already at a low fertility level.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42f8c6889d366f137dfa29760f7e099f\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"4160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4894dac17cab9d6e66dcf36e795d20","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178159521","content_text":"据央视新闻报道，5月11日上午10时，国新办举行新闻发布会，介绍第七次全国人口普查主要数据结果并答记者问。国家统计局局长宁吉喆在会上通报，全国人口共141178万人，与2010年的133972万人相比，增加了7206万人，增长5.38%；年平均增长率为0.53%，比2000年到2010年的年平均增长率0.57%下降0.04个百分点。数据表明，我国人口10年来继续保持低速增长态势。全国人口中，男性人口为723339956人，占51.24%；女性人口为688438768人，占48.76%。总人口性别比为105.07。国家统计局：人口老龄化程度进一步加深，未来一段时期将持续面临人口长期均衡发展的压力全国人口中，0—14岁人口为253383938人，占17.95%；15—59岁人口为894376020人，占63.35%；60岁及以上人口为264018766人，占18.70%，其中65岁及以上人口为190635280人，占13.50%。与2010年第六次全国人口普查相比，0—14岁人口的比重上升1.35个百分点，15—59岁人口的比重下降6.79个百分点，60岁及以上人口的比重上升5.44个百分点，65岁及以上人口的比重上升4.63个百分点。国家统计局：平均每个家庭户的人口为2.62人全国共有家庭户494157423户，集体户28531842户，家庭户人口为1292809300人，集体户人口为118969424人。平均每个家庭户的人口为2.62人，比2010年第六次全国人口普查的3.10人减少0.48人。东北地区人口10年下降1.2%国家统计局11日公布第七次全国人口普查主要数据结果。数据显示，东部地区人口占39.93％，中部地区占25.83％，西部地区占27.12％，东北地区占6.98％。与2010年相比，东部地区人口所占比重上升2.15个百分点，中部地区下降0.79个百分点，西部地区上升0.22个百分点，东北地区下降1.20个百分点。人口向经济发达区域、城市群进一步集聚。国家统计局：10年来我国新型城镇化进程稳步推进，城镇化建设取得了历史性成就居住在城镇的人口为90199万人，占63.89%；居住在乡村的人口为50979万人，占36.11%。与2010年相比，城镇人口增加23642万人，乡村人口减少16436万人，城镇人口比重上升14.21个百分点。随着我国新型工业化、信息化和农业现代化的深入发展和农业转移人口市民化政策落实落地，10年来我国新型城镇化进程稳步推进，城镇化建设取得了历史性成就。国家统计局：人口向经济发达区域、城市群进一步集聚国家统计局数据显示，31个省份中，人口超过1亿人的省份有2个，在5000万人至1亿人之间的省份有9个，在1000万人至5000万人之间的省份有17个，少于1000万人的省份有3个。其中，人口居前五位的省份合计人口占全国人口比重为35.09%。分区域看，东部地区人口为563717119人，占39.93%；中部地区人口为364694362人，占25.83%；西部地区人口为382852295人，占27.12%；东北地区人口为98514948人，占6.98%。与2010年相比，东部地区人口所占比重上升2.15个百分点，中部地区下降0.79个百分点，西部地区上升0.22个百分点，东北地区下降1.20个百分点。人口向经济发达区域、城市群进一步集聚。国家统计局：第七次全国人口普查人口漏登率为0.05%，普查结果真实可靠国家统计局称，第七次全国人口普查实行严格的质量控制制度，建立健全普查数据追溯和问责机制，确保普查数据可核查、可追溯、可问责。充分利用部门行政记录和企业大数据，对普查数据开展精细化比对核查。各级普查机构严格执行质量控制要求，认真开展质量验收，确保普查各阶段工作质量。为客观全面评价全国人口普查登记质量，领导小组办公室统一组织了事后质量抽查，结果显示，第七次全国人口普查人口漏登率为0.05%，普查结果真实可靠。国家统计局：具有大学文化程度的人口为21836万人具有大学文化程度的人口为21836万人。与2010年相比，每10万人中具有大学文化程度的由8930人上升为15467人，15岁及以上人口的平均受教育年限由9.08年提高至9.91年，文盲率由4.08%下降为2.67%。受教育状况的持续改善反映了10年来我国大力发展高等教育以及扫除青壮年文盲等措施取得了积极成效，人口素质不断提高。中国男性比女性多3490万人男性人口72334万人，占51.24%；女性人口为68844万人，占48.76%。总人口性别比（以女性为100，男性对女性的比例）为105.07，与2010年基本持平，略有降低。出生人口性别比为111.3，较2010年下降6.8。统计局：我国国内市场优势、人口红利依然存在国新办发布会介绍，我国超大规模的国内市场优势将长期存在，人口和资源环境处于紧平衡状态，需要采取措施促进人口均衡发展；劳动力资源依然丰富，人口红利依然存在；人口素质不断提高，人才红利新的优势将逐步显现。统计局：出生人口中“二孩”占比由2013年的30%左右上升到2017年的50%左右国家统计局局长宁吉喆介绍，从年龄构成上看，少儿人口数量增加，比重上升。0-14岁少儿人口的数量比2010年增加了3092万人，比重上升了1.35个百分点。“单独二孩”“全面两孩”等决策部署和政策措施，促进了出生人口出现回升，“二孩”生育率明显提升，出生人口中“二孩”占比由2013年的30%左右上升到2017年的50%左右。统计局：人口增长放缓 需要采取措施促进人口长期均衡发展国家统计局局长宁吉喆介绍，辩证看待人口变化对经济社会的影响。我国人口基数大、人口众多的基本国情没有改变，超大规模国内市场优势将长期存在，人口与资源环境仍将处于紧平衡状态。同时，人口增长放缓，需要采取措施促进人口长期均衡发展。国家统计局：人口增长将持续放缓，但总量将较长期保持在14亿以上。国家统计局：我国人口的平均年龄为38.8岁国家统计局局长宁吉喆介绍，普查的结果还显示，我国16-59岁劳动年龄人口为8.8亿人，劳动力人口资源仍然充沛。我国人口平均年龄通过这次普查了解到是38.8岁。总的看，依然年富力强。美国最近公布了最新的人口普查数据，平均年龄是38岁，和我国的水平差不多。统计局回应人口增速放缓：多种因素综合影响国家统计局局长宁吉喆表示，普查数据显示，我国人口增速放缓，过去十年间年均增长率是0.53%，较前一个十年下降了0.04个百分点，这种趋势的出现是多种因素综合影响的结果，主要原因是育龄妇女特别是生育旺盛期妇女数量的持续下降，人们生育时间的推迟，以及生育养育成本的提高。这是我国经济发展特别是工业化、城镇化发展到一定阶段的客观结果，也是世界尤其是发达国家普遍面临的问题。统计局：人口老龄化成长期重要国情 机遇挑战并存国家统计局局长宁吉喆表示，人口老龄化是我国社会发展的重要趋势，是较长期的重要国情，应对人口老龄化，既有挑战，也有机遇。挑战方面，人口老龄化减少了劳动人口，加重了社会保障负担。但同时也要看到，老龄化促进了银发经济的发展，增加了老年服务的消费和技术进步等。值得一提的是，在老龄人口中，60至69岁低龄老年人占比超过50%，发挥余热的潜力较大。人口普查有没有“数据调整阶段”？ 统计局：无事后调整国务院第七次全国人口普查领导小组办公室副主任、国家统计局人口和就业统计司司长张毅表示，人口普查是全面调查，七人普按照统一标准、在统一的时间范围内对所有普查对象进行逐人逐项登记，采用电子化方式采集数据，并联网实时上报，数据审核完成后，直接汇总计算得出相关人口数据，不进行事后调整。统计局回应东北地区人口减少：进一步加强对东北人口问题的研究国家统计局局长宁吉喆表示，东北地区人口的减少，受到自然环境、地理环境、人口生育水平和经济社会发展等多方面因素的影响。下一步，我们将进一步加强对东北人口问题的研究，积极应对人口变化带来的挑战，抓住变化中存在的机遇，来服务东北的经济社会发展。国家统计局：2020年我国育龄妇女总和生育率为1.3，处于较低生育水平。2020年中国出生人口为1200万人国务院第七次全国人口普查领导小组副组长、国家统计局局长宁吉喆5月11日在发布会上表示，全面两孩政策取得积极成效。第一，出口人口规模大，2016年、2017年出生人口大幅增加，分别超过1800万人、1700万人。2018年以来出生人口数量有所回落。初步汇总数据显示，2020年我国出生人口为1200万人，这个规模依然不小。第二，二孩的占比高，2014年-2017年出生人口中二孩占比明显上升，由2013年的30%上升到2017年的50%左右，此后虽有所下降但还是高于40%。第三，生育率降低，我国育龄妇女总和生育率为1.3，已经处于较低生育水平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378445283,"gmtCreate":1619057577142,"gmtModify":1704718971688,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao","listText":"Hao","text":"Hao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378445283","repostId":"378449645","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":378449645,"gmtCreate":1619057232887,"gmtModify":1704718963596,"author":{"id":"3520120256277227","authorId":"3520120256277227","name":"雷递","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1d76d196de1b078825d97644631d0f1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3520120256277227","authorIdStr":"3520120256277227"},"themes":[],"title":"商絡電子深交所上市：市值127億 沙宏志爲實控人","htmlText":"雷帝網 雷建平 4月22日報道南京商絡電子股份有限公司（證券代碼：300975，簡稱：“商絡電子”）昨日在深交所上市，發行5040萬股，發行價爲5.48元，募資總額2.76億元。商絡電子首日收盤價爲30.12元，較發行價上漲449.64%；以收盤價計算，商絡電子市值爲126.5億元。預計Q1營收8.76億至10.7億商絡電子是一家被動元器件分銷商，主要面向網絡通信、消費電子、汽車電子、工業控制等應用領域的電子產品製造商，爲其提供電子元器件產品。商絡電子代理的產品包括電容、電感、電阻及射頻器件等被動電子元器件及IC、分立器件、功率器件、存儲器件及連接器等其他電子元器件，其中以被動電子元器件爲主。目前，公司擁有60餘家知名原廠的授權，向約2,000家客戶銷售超過2萬種電子元器件產品。公司位於電子元器件產業鏈的中間環節，作爲分銷商，和電子元器件生產商及電子產品製造商基於供應鏈合作形成經濟協同，以提升產業反應速度並不斷優化成本，是連接上下游的重要紐帶。公司位於江蘇省南京市。招股書顯示，商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年營收分別爲16.76億元、29.93億元、20.68億元；商絡電子2020年上半年營收爲13.3億元。商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年淨利分別爲6974萬元、3.3億元、9902萬元；商絡電子2020年上半年淨利爲8507萬元。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月營業收入約爲8.76億元至10.7億元，同比增長49.41%至82.62%；預計實現歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4578.17萬元至5595.54萬元，同比增長25.63%至53.55%。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月實現扣除非經常性損益後歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4517.42萬元至5521.29萬元，同比增長28.12%至56.59%。沙宏志爲實控人沙宏志直接持有公司16,787.85萬股，","listText":"雷帝網 雷建平 4月22日報道南京商絡電子股份有限公司（證券代碼：300975，簡稱：“商絡電子”）昨日在深交所上市，發行5040萬股，發行價爲5.48元，募資總額2.76億元。商絡電子首日收盤價爲30.12元，較發行價上漲449.64%；以收盤價計算，商絡電子市值爲126.5億元。預計Q1營收8.76億至10.7億商絡電子是一家被動元器件分銷商，主要面向網絡通信、消費電子、汽車電子、工業控制等應用領域的電子產品製造商，爲其提供電子元器件產品。商絡電子代理的產品包括電容、電感、電阻及射頻器件等被動電子元器件及IC、分立器件、功率器件、存儲器件及連接器等其他電子元器件，其中以被動電子元器件爲主。目前，公司擁有60餘家知名原廠的授權，向約2,000家客戶銷售超過2萬種電子元器件產品。公司位於電子元器件產業鏈的中間環節，作爲分銷商，和電子元器件生產商及電子產品製造商基於供應鏈合作形成經濟協同，以提升產業反應速度並不斷優化成本，是連接上下游的重要紐帶。公司位於江蘇省南京市。招股書顯示，商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年營收分別爲16.76億元、29.93億元、20.68億元；商絡電子2020年上半年營收爲13.3億元。商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年淨利分別爲6974萬元、3.3億元、9902萬元；商絡電子2020年上半年淨利爲8507萬元。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月營業收入約爲8.76億元至10.7億元，同比增長49.41%至82.62%；預計實現歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4578.17萬元至5595.54萬元，同比增長25.63%至53.55%。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月實現扣除非經常性損益後歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4517.42萬元至5521.29萬元，同比增長28.12%至56.59%。沙宏志爲實控人沙宏志直接持有公司16,787.85萬股，","text":"雷帝網 雷建平 4月22日報道南京商絡電子股份有限公司（證券代碼：300975，簡稱：“商絡電子”）昨日在深交所上市，發行5040萬股，發行價爲5.48元，募資總額2.76億元。商絡電子首日收盤價爲30.12元，較發行價上漲449.64%；以收盤價計算，商絡電子市值爲126.5億元。預計Q1營收8.76億至10.7億商絡電子是一家被動元器件分銷商，主要面向網絡通信、消費電子、汽車電子、工業控制等應用領域的電子產品製造商，爲其提供電子元器件產品。商絡電子代理的產品包括電容、電感、電阻及射頻器件等被動電子元器件及IC、分立器件、功率器件、存儲器件及連接器等其他電子元器件，其中以被動電子元器件爲主。目前，公司擁有60餘家知名原廠的授權，向約2,000家客戶銷售超過2萬種電子元器件產品。公司位於電子元器件產業鏈的中間環節，作爲分銷商，和電子元器件生產商及電子產品製造商基於供應鏈合作形成經濟協同，以提升產業反應速度並不斷優化成本，是連接上下游的重要紐帶。公司位於江蘇省南京市。招股書顯示，商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年營收分別爲16.76億元、29.93億元、20.68億元；商絡電子2020年上半年營收爲13.3億元。商絡電子2017年、2018年、2019年淨利分別爲6974萬元、3.3億元、9902萬元；商絡電子2020年上半年淨利爲8507萬元。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月營業收入約爲8.76億元至10.7億元，同比增長49.41%至82.62%；預計實現歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4578.17萬元至5595.54萬元，同比增長25.63%至53.55%。商絡電子預計2021年1-3月實現扣除非經常性損益後歸屬於母公司所有者的淨利潤爲4517.42萬元至5521.29萬元，同比增長28.12%至56.59%。沙宏志爲實控人沙宏志直接持有公司16,787.85萬股，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec747582f061ba7ad45f9f7b5d61dc2d","width":"688","height":"588"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57a4f9f9a0082f39d219052b9dfdf4d6","width":"688","height":"781"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/909e50323e5de9682cf2da155df793be","width":"688","height":"459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378449645","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371448506,"gmtCreate":1618967975405,"gmtModify":1704717610175,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HaO//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3561088065415396\">@henryee18</a>:You look at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"HaO//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3561088065415396\">@henryee18</a>:You look at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"HaO//@henryee18:You look at $Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371448506","repostId":"1193623399","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371042830,"gmtCreate":1618896072020,"gmtModify":1704716517252,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3432276741707889\">@斗战胜佛巴菲特</a>:OK","listText":"Hao//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3432276741707889\">@斗战胜佛巴菲特</a>:OK","text":"Hao//@斗战胜佛巴菲特:OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371042830","repostId":"373936885","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":373936885,"gmtCreate":1618809432544,"gmtModify":1704715189975,"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"themes":[],"title":"【轉】幾千個飯圈富婆，在閒魚打了一架","htmlText":"文|林墨 出品|花兒街參考 01 這世界上，少有比買賣更直接表達的愛與厭棄。 互聯網上，少有比閒魚更直接的，觀測一個愛豆火與糊的集散地。 一個疑似頂流藝人，在各大排行榜、微博、超話的數據都還說的過去，但是到了閒魚上，可能就是另一番光景。 也許每天都有人在賣他的周邊和應援物，價格一發低過一發。也許壓根兒沒有什麼交易量。 而當他真的火的時候，一件劇裏的道具都可以賣出22萬。 最近龔俊在《山河令》裏穿的那套紅色戲服，在閒魚上被粉絲以22.46萬元拍下，並以“山河令全體粉絲”的名義捐贈給中華社會救助基金會“非遺保護”公益項目，來支持非遺手工藝的傳承和發展。 網友戲稱拍賣現場爲圍觀富婆打架，龔俊穿的紅色戲服10分鐘就拍到了3萬，還有“偷塔”的，果然“應了鬼谷谷主溫客行的話，自己這身衣服確實貴！” 02 山河令女孩們最高興的事兒莫過於《山河令》確實火出圈了！ 我媽說，她都知道龔俊和張哲瀚了。‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍她沒看劇，但兩位從《快樂大本營》《王牌對王牌》《百變大咖秀》一直上到《極限挑戰》，還合體成爲了綜藝《我就是女演員》的代課老師。於是我媽想不知道都不行。 新晉頂流的新晉粉絲們說，看代言還看不出來嘛？我們剛粉上的時候想去買他倆代言的產品，結果發現，龔俊沒有代言。張哲瀚也是在劇播出之後，才拍了出道十年之後的第一支代言廣告。但是你看看今天，兩人的十幾個廣告代言紛至沓來，微博發廣告比你們公號狗發的都勤。 一個做微博營銷的朋友說，看數據還看不出來嘛？龔俊微博粉絲破千萬那天，他曬了腹肌照作爲福利，當天就漲了26萬粉。現在龔俊的微博粉絲已經到1300多萬了，張哲瀚的粉絲也突破了1400萬，兩個人都已飛昇千萬頂流俱樂部。 一個資深飯圈女孩說，《山河令》開播以來，閒魚上該劇及主演相關的周邊的發佈量、搜索量、求購量都呈現了直線上升。 張哲瀚穿過的淺灰色長袍、翠綠色長袍在閒魚都拍到了8萬左右，溫客","listText":"文|林墨 出品|花兒街參考 01 這世界上，少有比買賣更直接表達的愛與厭棄。 互聯網上，少有比閒魚更直接的，觀測一個愛豆火與糊的集散地。 一個疑似頂流藝人，在各大排行榜、微博、超話的數據都還說的過去，但是到了閒魚上，可能就是另一番光景。 也許每天都有人在賣他的周邊和應援物，價格一發低過一發。也許壓根兒沒有什麼交易量。 而當他真的火的時候，一件劇裏的道具都可以賣出22萬。 最近龔俊在《山河令》裏穿的那套紅色戲服，在閒魚上被粉絲以22.46萬元拍下，並以“山河令全體粉絲”的名義捐贈給中華社會救助基金會“非遺保護”公益項目，來支持非遺手工藝的傳承和發展。 網友戲稱拍賣現場爲圍觀富婆打架，龔俊穿的紅色戲服10分鐘就拍到了3萬，還有“偷塔”的，果然“應了鬼谷谷主溫客行的話，自己這身衣服確實貴！” 02 山河令女孩們最高興的事兒莫過於《山河令》確實火出圈了！ 我媽說，她都知道龔俊和張哲瀚了。‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍她沒看劇，但兩位從《快樂大本營》《王牌對王牌》《百變大咖秀》一直上到《極限挑戰》，還合體成爲了綜藝《我就是女演員》的代課老師。於是我媽想不知道都不行。 新晉頂流的新晉粉絲們說，看代言還看不出來嘛？我們剛粉上的時候想去買他倆代言的產品，結果發現，龔俊沒有代言。張哲瀚也是在劇播出之後，才拍了出道十年之後的第一支代言廣告。但是你看看今天，兩人的十幾個廣告代言紛至沓來，微博發廣告比你們公號狗發的都勤。 一個做微博營銷的朋友說，看數據還看不出來嘛？龔俊微博粉絲破千萬那天，他曬了腹肌照作爲福利，當天就漲了26萬粉。現在龔俊的微博粉絲已經到1300多萬了，張哲瀚的粉絲也突破了1400萬，兩個人都已飛昇千萬頂流俱樂部。 一個資深飯圈女孩說，《山河令》開播以來，閒魚上該劇及主演相關的周邊的發佈量、搜索量、求購量都呈現了直線上升。 張哲瀚穿過的淺灰色長袍、翠綠色長袍在閒魚都拍到了8萬左右，溫客","text":"文|林墨 出品|花兒街參考 01 這世界上，少有比買賣更直接表達的愛與厭棄。 互聯網上，少有比閒魚更直接的，觀測一個愛豆火與糊的集散地。 一個疑似頂流藝人，在各大排行榜、微博、超話的數據都還說的過去，但是到了閒魚上，可能就是另一番光景。 也許每天都有人在賣他的周邊和應援物，價格一發低過一發。也許壓根兒沒有什麼交易量。 而當他真的火的時候，一件劇裏的道具都可以賣出22萬。 最近龔俊在《山河令》裏穿的那套紅色戲服，在閒魚上被粉絲以22.46萬元拍下，並以“山河令全體粉絲”的名義捐贈給中華社會救助基金會“非遺保護”公益項目，來支持非遺手工藝的傳承和發展。 網友戲稱拍賣現場爲圍觀富婆打架，龔俊穿的紅色戲服10分鐘就拍到了3萬，還有“偷塔”的，果然“應了鬼谷谷主溫客行的話，自己這身衣服確實貴！” 02 山河令女孩們最高興的事兒莫過於《山河令》確實火出圈了！ 我媽說，她都知道龔俊和張哲瀚了。‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍‍她沒看劇，但兩位從《快樂大本營》《王牌對王牌》《百變大咖秀》一直上到《極限挑戰》，還合體成爲了綜藝《我就是女演員》的代課老師。於是我媽想不知道都不行。 新晉頂流的新晉粉絲們說，看代言還看不出來嘛？我們剛粉上的時候想去買他倆代言的產品，結果發現，龔俊沒有代言。張哲瀚也是在劇播出之後，才拍了出道十年之後的第一支代言廣告。但是你看看今天，兩人的十幾個廣告代言紛至沓來，微博發廣告比你們公號狗發的都勤。 一個做微博營銷的朋友說，看數據還看不出來嘛？龔俊微博粉絲破千萬那天，他曬了腹肌照作爲福利，當天就漲了26萬粉。現在龔俊的微博粉絲已經到1300多萬了，張哲瀚的粉絲也突破了1400萬，兩個人都已飛昇千萬頂流俱樂部。 一個資深飯圈女孩說，《山河令》開播以來，閒魚上該劇及主演相關的周邊的發佈量、搜索量、求購量都呈現了直線上升。 張哲瀚穿過的淺灰色長袍、翠綠色長袍在閒魚都拍到了8萬左右，溫客","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7618381ccbc9f251a7233e49eac88e3","width":"725","height":"512"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444b677b816e9e76d672a604582921a0","width":"1080","height":"717"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d12325106b6a03128323d838ac71e42","width":"541","height":"141"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373936885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373934565,"gmtCreate":1618809791357,"gmtModify":1704715192425,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373934565","repostId":"373042207","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":373042207,"gmtCreate":1618806431909,"gmtModify":1704715132849,"author":{"id":"3494378197296027","authorId":"3494378197296027","name":"王春龙Bale","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11e561afcd6e41b0d7953fc87b7c54a9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494378197296027","authorIdStr":"3494378197296027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特斯拉女車主在上海車展維權了：站在車頂上大喊“剎車失靈”：今天（4月19日）是上海車展開幕的日子，但在特斯拉站臺，一位女士站在特斯拉車頂上，疑似是特斯拉維權車主。這位女士情緒激動，身着白色T恤，上面寫着“剎車失靈”，引來大批人羣圍觀拍照。隨後，這位女車主被多位保安帶離了展臺。特斯拉今年遭遇車主們的維權事件越來越多，主要是Model 3車型的車主。而在上個月的央視3.15晚會上，萬衆期待的特斯拉卻“錯過了”被曝光，這或許也更加激發了大量特斯拉車主們的過激的維權行爲。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚來(NIO)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鵬汽車(XPEV)$</a>","listText":"特斯拉女車主在上海車展維權了：站在車頂上大喊“剎車失靈”：今天（4月19日）是上海車展開幕的日子，但在特斯拉站臺，一位女士站在特斯拉車頂上，疑似是特斯拉維權車主。這位女士情緒激動，身着白色T恤，上面寫着“剎車失靈”，引來大批人羣圍觀拍照。隨後，這位女車主被多位保安帶離了展臺。特斯拉今年遭遇車主們的維權事件越來越多，主要是Model 3車型的車主。而在上個月的央視3.15晚會上，萬衆期待的特斯拉卻“錯過了”被曝光，這或許也更加激發了大量特斯拉車主們的過激的維權行爲。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚來(NIO)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鵬汽車(XPEV)$</a>","text":"特斯拉女車主在上海車展維權了：站在車頂上大喊“剎車失靈”：今天（4月19日）是上海車展開幕的日子，但在特斯拉站臺，一位女士站在特斯拉車頂上，疑似是特斯拉維權車主。這位女士情緒激動，身着白色T恤，上面寫着“剎車失靈”，引來大批人羣圍觀拍照。隨後，這位女車主被多位保安帶離了展臺。特斯拉今年遭遇車主們的維權事件越來越多，主要是Model 3車型的車主。而在上個月的央視3.15晚會上，萬衆期待的特斯拉卻“錯過了”被曝光，這或許也更加激發了大量特斯拉車主們的過激的維權行爲。$特斯拉(TSLA)$$蔚來(NIO)$$小鵬汽車(XPEV)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76cebcb2e370a39db1b8268f1bc9cf0a","width":"1024","height":"768"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9c74de48bc01e8238c5dd776c28069e","width":"1000","height":"607"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2357c2562bc244596ba6b300e59493e1","width":"1440","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373042207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342847235,"gmtCreate":1618203183327,"gmtModify":1704707466903,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao","listText":"Hao","text":"Hao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342847235","repostId":"342854924","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":342854924,"gmtCreate":1618202022668,"gmtModify":1704707450904,"author":{"id":"3516422794850265","authorId":"3516422794850265","name":"港股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f93253ece299c58b5ce6c809885d9ed","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516422794850265","authorIdStr":"3516422794850265"},"themes":[],"title":"寶寶樹（1761.HK）復甦狂奔，2020年下半年毛利增超111%！","htmlText":"本文作者：樑延浩(勤豐證券研究部主管，香港證監會持牌人士)寶寶樹集團<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01761\">$寶寶樹集團(01761)$</a>&nbsp;是中國大型母嬰類社區平臺，在母嬰用戶市場擁有強大號召力，兩大核心業務包括線上社區廣告及母嬰電商。集團擁有龐大的母嬰流量，旗下移動端旗艦產品寶寶樹孕育App實現三年連續增長，月活躍用戶(MAU)從PC/WAP端發展至更具增長潛力的App端，催化新的商業格局及用戶、客戶需求，帶來更多新可能。2020年，疫情背景下，集團全年收入2.12億元(人民幣、下同)及毛利9650萬元人民幣。集團下半年逆勢爆發增長亮眼，受益於通過優化廣告營收結構及技術提升營銷效率兩大手段，大力開發國產母嬰品牌及泛母嬰消費品牌客戶，帶動期內收入及毛利較2020年上半年度分別回升26.5%及急升111.5%，全年虧損較二零一九年同期減少4.8%。經濟數據顯示，今年上半年內地增長穩定，且在疫情受控下，預計集團業務將會持續加快反彈，業務趨勢穩中向前。拓寬流量變現護城河互聯網平臺，最有價值的是“流量”。在這一方面，寶寶樹集中發展移動端的戰略已經見效，MAU持續增長。財報數據顯示，寶寶樹孕育去年全年平均月活躍用戶總數達1990萬，逆勢上升5.3%，遠遠甩開對手，集團流量變現能力持續增強。集團自助廣告服務去年已成爲新增長引擎，與2019年同期相比較，來自自助廣告服務的收入上升136.3%，成長力強勁。集團的電商業務也同樣復甦，復購率維持在40%左右，顯示用戶對集團平臺上的購買心智和滿意度回升。因應市場變化，集團去年進一步對電商進行了戰略轉型，搭建以寶寶樹站內自有電商爲主陣地，結合抖音、天貓、社羣等電商渠道爲延展的全域電商服務體系，多方投資佈局母嬰生態，利好拓大長期市場空間及份額。國內Z世代最喜歡的“國民","listText":"本文作者：樑延浩(勤豐證券研究部主管，香港證監會持牌人士)寶寶樹集團<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01761\">$寶寶樹集團(01761)$</a>&nbsp;是中國大型母嬰類社區平臺，在母嬰用戶市場擁有強大號召力，兩大核心業務包括線上社區廣告及母嬰電商。集團擁有龐大的母嬰流量，旗下移動端旗艦產品寶寶樹孕育App實現三年連續增長，月活躍用戶(MAU)從PC/WAP端發展至更具增長潛力的App端，催化新的商業格局及用戶、客戶需求，帶來更多新可能。2020年，疫情背景下，集團全年收入2.12億元(人民幣、下同)及毛利9650萬元人民幣。集團下半年逆勢爆發增長亮眼，受益於通過優化廣告營收結構及技術提升營銷效率兩大手段，大力開發國產母嬰品牌及泛母嬰消費品牌客戶，帶動期內收入及毛利較2020年上半年度分別回升26.5%及急升111.5%，全年虧損較二零一九年同期減少4.8%。經濟數據顯示，今年上半年內地增長穩定，且在疫情受控下，預計集團業務將會持續加快反彈，業務趨勢穩中向前。拓寬流量變現護城河互聯網平臺，最有價值的是“流量”。在這一方面，寶寶樹集中發展移動端的戰略已經見效，MAU持續增長。財報數據顯示，寶寶樹孕育去年全年平均月活躍用戶總數達1990萬，逆勢上升5.3%，遠遠甩開對手，集團流量變現能力持續增強。集團自助廣告服務去年已成爲新增長引擎，與2019年同期相比較，來自自助廣告服務的收入上升136.3%，成長力強勁。集團的電商業務也同樣復甦，復購率維持在40%左右，顯示用戶對集團平臺上的購買心智和滿意度回升。因應市場變化，集團去年進一步對電商進行了戰略轉型，搭建以寶寶樹站內自有電商爲主陣地，結合抖音、天貓、社羣等電商渠道爲延展的全域電商服務體系，多方投資佈局母嬰生態，利好拓大長期市場空間及份額。國內Z世代最喜歡的“國民","text":"本文作者：樑延浩(勤豐證券研究部主管，香港證監會持牌人士)寶寶樹集團$寶寶樹集團(01761)$ 是中國大型母嬰類社區平臺，在母嬰用戶市場擁有強大號召力，兩大核心業務包括線上社區廣告及母嬰電商。集團擁有龐大的母嬰流量，旗下移動端旗艦產品寶寶樹孕育App實現三年連續增長，月活躍用戶(MAU)從PC/WAP端發展至更具增長潛力的App端，催化新的商業格局及用戶、客戶需求，帶來更多新可能。2020年，疫情背景下，集團全年收入2.12億元(人民幣、下同)及毛利9650萬元人民幣。集團下半年逆勢爆發增長亮眼，受益於通過優化廣告營收結構及技術提升營銷效率兩大手段，大力開發國產母嬰品牌及泛母嬰消費品牌客戶，帶動期內收入及毛利較2020年上半年度分別回升26.5%及急升111.5%，全年虧損較二零一九年同期減少4.8%。經濟數據顯示，今年上半年內地增長穩定，且在疫情受控下，預計集團業務將會持續加快反彈，業務趨勢穩中向前。拓寬流量變現護城河互聯網平臺，最有價值的是“流量”。在這一方面，寶寶樹集中發展移動端的戰略已經見效，MAU持續增長。財報數據顯示，寶寶樹孕育去年全年平均月活躍用戶總數達1990萬，逆勢上升5.3%，遠遠甩開對手，集團流量變現能力持續增強。集團自助廣告服務去年已成爲新增長引擎，與2019年同期相比較，來自自助廣告服務的收入上升136.3%，成長力強勁。集團的電商業務也同樣復甦，復購率維持在40%左右，顯示用戶對集團平臺上的購買心智和滿意度回升。因應市場變化，集團去年進一步對電商進行了戰略轉型，搭建以寶寶樹站內自有電商爲主陣地，結合抖音、天貓、社羣等電商渠道爲延展的全域電商服務體系，多方投資佈局母嬰生態，利好拓大長期市場空間及份額。國內Z世代最喜歡的“國民","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/128464cbee45e66b56d3d243bc688913","width":"688","height":"355"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342854924","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342844796,"gmtCreate":1618203132515,"gmtModify":1704707466258,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao","listText":"Hao","text":"Hao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342844796","repostId":"342845953","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":342845953,"gmtCreate":1618202939069,"gmtModify":1704707463676,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667586584720","authorIdStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"IFR：喜馬拉雅祕密在美提交IPO申請","htmlText":"據路透社旗下媒體IFR：喜馬拉雅祕密在美提交IPO申請。","listText":"據路透社旗下媒體IFR：喜馬拉雅祕密在美提交IPO申請。","text":"據路透社旗下媒體IFR：喜馬拉雅祕密在美提交IPO申請。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342845953","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346638880,"gmtCreate":1618028220040,"gmtModify":1704706153664,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558180888833278","authorIdStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hao","listText":"Hao","text":"Hao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346638880","repostId":"346690173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":346690173,"gmtCreate":1618026868192,"gmtModify":1704706133677,"author":{"id":"3565667124524617","authorId":"3565667124524617","name":"易简财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10d5ae6dc346bd910af21643696bfae9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565667124524617","authorIdStr":"3565667124524617"},"themes":[],"title":"剛剛，阿里巴巴被罰182億！市場監管總局決定書全文曝光","htmlText":"4月10日一早，備受社會關注的阿里巴巴集團壟斷案有了處理結果，市場監管總局依法對阿里巴巴實施 “二選一”壟斷行爲作出行政處罰：處以其2019年銷售額4%計182.28億元罰款。阿里巴巴收到的這張罰單是迄今爲止中國對企業開出的最大罰單。此前的最大罰單發生在2014年，葛蘭素史克中國公司被罰30億元。此外，市場監管總局還要求阿里巴巴停止停止違法行爲，也就是不允許再逼迫商家“二選一”。人民日報評論阿里巴巴集團壟斷行爲處理結果：依法規範，正是對平臺經濟發展的有力支持。隨着治理體系的不斷健全，平臺經濟必將迎來更大發展機遇。國家市場監督管理總局行政處罰決定書顯示，總局認定了7點事實，認爲阿里巴巴具有市場支配地位：一是從平臺服務收入情況看。2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺服務收入份額分別爲86.07%、75.77%、78.51%、75.44%、71.17%。從平臺商品交易額看，2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺商品交易額份額分別爲76.21%、69.96%、63.58%、61.70%、61.83%。二是相關市場高度集中。根據平臺服務收入市場份額，2015—2019年，CR4指數（市場集中度指數）分別爲99.68、99.46、98.92、98.66、98.45。近5年來，當事人市場份額較爲穩定，長期保持較強競爭優勢，其他競爭性平臺對當事人的競爭約束有限。三，當事人具有很強的市場控制能力。當事人在與平臺內經營者的商業談判中，通常以格式合同方式，直接規定交易佣金費率和年度營銷推廣費支出水平，平臺內經營者談判能力較弱。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者獲得流量的能力。當事人通過制定平臺規則、設定算法等方式，決定平臺內經營者和商品的搜索排名及其平臺展示位置，從而控制平臺內經營者可獲得的流量，對其經營具有決定性影響。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者銷售渠道的能力。當事人經營的淘寶和天貓平臺商品交易額","listText":"4月10日一早，備受社會關注的阿里巴巴集團壟斷案有了處理結果，市場監管總局依法對阿里巴巴實施 “二選一”壟斷行爲作出行政處罰：處以其2019年銷售額4%計182.28億元罰款。阿里巴巴收到的這張罰單是迄今爲止中國對企業開出的最大罰單。此前的最大罰單發生在2014年，葛蘭素史克中國公司被罰30億元。此外，市場監管總局還要求阿里巴巴停止停止違法行爲，也就是不允許再逼迫商家“二選一”。人民日報評論阿里巴巴集團壟斷行爲處理結果：依法規範，正是對平臺經濟發展的有力支持。隨着治理體系的不斷健全，平臺經濟必將迎來更大發展機遇。國家市場監督管理總局行政處罰決定書顯示，總局認定了7點事實，認爲阿里巴巴具有市場支配地位：一是從平臺服務收入情況看。2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺服務收入份額分別爲86.07%、75.77%、78.51%、75.44%、71.17%。從平臺商品交易額看，2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺商品交易額份額分別爲76.21%、69.96%、63.58%、61.70%、61.83%。二是相關市場高度集中。根據平臺服務收入市場份額，2015—2019年，CR4指數（市場集中度指數）分別爲99.68、99.46、98.92、98.66、98.45。近5年來，當事人市場份額較爲穩定，長期保持較強競爭優勢，其他競爭性平臺對當事人的競爭約束有限。三，當事人具有很強的市場控制能力。當事人在與平臺內經營者的商業談判中，通常以格式合同方式，直接規定交易佣金費率和年度營銷推廣費支出水平，平臺內經營者談判能力較弱。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者獲得流量的能力。當事人通過制定平臺規則、設定算法等方式，決定平臺內經營者和商品的搜索排名及其平臺展示位置，從而控制平臺內經營者可獲得的流量，對其經營具有決定性影響。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者銷售渠道的能力。當事人經營的淘寶和天貓平臺商品交易額","text":"4月10日一早，備受社會關注的阿里巴巴集團壟斷案有了處理結果，市場監管總局依法對阿里巴巴實施 “二選一”壟斷行爲作出行政處罰：處以其2019年銷售額4%計182.28億元罰款。阿里巴巴收到的這張罰單是迄今爲止中國對企業開出的最大罰單。此前的最大罰單發生在2014年，葛蘭素史克中國公司被罰30億元。此外，市場監管總局還要求阿里巴巴停止停止違法行爲，也就是不允許再逼迫商家“二選一”。人民日報評論阿里巴巴集團壟斷行爲處理結果：依法規範，正是對平臺經濟發展的有力支持。隨着治理體系的不斷健全，平臺經濟必將迎來更大發展機遇。國家市場監督管理總局行政處罰決定書顯示，總局認定了7點事實，認爲阿里巴巴具有市場支配地位：一是從平臺服務收入情況看。2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺服務收入份額分別爲86.07%、75.77%、78.51%、75.44%、71.17%。從平臺商品交易額看，2015—2019年，當事人網絡零售平臺商品交易額份額分別爲76.21%、69.96%、63.58%、61.70%、61.83%。二是相關市場高度集中。根據平臺服務收入市場份額，2015—2019年，CR4指數（市場集中度指數）分別爲99.68、99.46、98.92、98.66、98.45。近5年來，當事人市場份額較爲穩定，長期保持較強競爭優勢，其他競爭性平臺對當事人的競爭約束有限。三，當事人具有很強的市場控制能力。當事人在與平臺內經營者的商業談判中，通常以格式合同方式，直接規定交易佣金費率和年度營銷推廣費支出水平，平臺內經營者談判能力較弱。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者獲得流量的能力。當事人通過制定平臺規則、設定算法等方式，決定平臺內經營者和商品的搜索排名及其平臺展示位置，從而控制平臺內經營者可獲得的流量，對其經營具有決定性影響。當事人具有控制平臺內經營者銷售渠道的能力。當事人經營的淘寶和天貓平臺商品交易額","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e503ccd36d76f7155c8dc2463cdfb04"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346690173","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":895591169,"gmtCreate":1628754094451,"gmtModify":1676529843224,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895591169","repostId":"1166971816","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314368867,"gmtCreate":1612311487659,"gmtModify":1704869560492,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314368867","repostId":"1189814997","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189814997","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1612309127,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189814997?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-03 07:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines: Is the epic short-squeeze war over? GameStop and other stocks plummet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189814997","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"高盛将白银视为首选贵金属 但认为不会出现逼空行情高盛表示，周一白银狂热的涨势永远不足以逼停空头，因为这些空头头寸有实货支撑。白银周一飙升至八年高位，大批资金涌入交易所交易基金。自那以后，随着投资者套现离场，白银已经回吐了大部分涨幅，Jeffrey Currie等高盛分析师称，持仓量限制和充足的实物供应意味着发生在GameStop上的逼空行情无法在白银市场重演。","content":"<p>CNBC | GameStop, AMC and silver plummeted across the board Retail speculation boom receded CNBC | Despite trading restrictions Robinhood app downloads are still soaring in a short-squeeze frenzy Bloomberg | Oxford University: AstraZeneca vaccine is 82.4% effective after two shots 3 months apart Forbes | Bank of America: The U.S. stock market has become similar to the Internet bubble, and may pull back nearly 10% in the future Reuters | Tesla recalls 134,951 Model S and Model X vehicles: There are serious safety hazards<h2>Bloomberg</h2><b>Goldman Sachs sees silver as top precious metal but sees no short squeeze</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/593a5103aefb3620718c10dff810d5e0\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Goldman Sachs said that Monday's silver frenzy rally will never be enough to stop short positions, because these short positions are supported by physical goods. However, Goldman Sachs still regards silver as its preferred precious metal.</p><p>Silver surged to an eight-year high on Monday as money poured into exchange-traded funds. Since then, silver has given up most of its gains as investors cashed out, with Goldman Sachs analysts such as Jeffrey Currie saying that interest constraints and ample physical supply mean that the short squeeze that occurred at GameStop cannot be repeated in silver. The market repeats itself.</p><p>Analysts wrote in a note: \"Although some short positions are speculative and need to be covered before expiration, most short positions are established by industrial producers to hedge forward gains. When short positions in commodities are widely supported by physical objects, there will be no subsequent buying and no short squeeze.\"</p><p><h2>Forbes</h2><b>Bank of America: The U.S. stock market has become similar to the Internet bubble period, and may pull back by nearly 10% in the future</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c20a002202b07f92a3ac475e92879060\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to some Wall Street strategists, 2021 is starting to look a lot like 2000.</p><p>Strategists at Bank of America wrote in a research note released today that today's U.S. stock market is looking more and more like a market during the Internet bubble amid a trading frenzy among retail investors, high market optimism and overvalued stocks. They point to the similarity reinforced by last week's gains in share prices of video game retailers GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Express and others, when retail investors gathered on Reddit forums flocked to buy the heavily shorted stocks in droves.</p><p>\"The sell-off in stocks last week, the worst since last October, was likely catalyzed by a retail-led short squeeze, but beyond the heavy participation of retail investors, there are some other similarities between the situation now and 2000,\" Savita Subramanian, an equity strategist at Bank of America, wrote in the note. \"We're also seeing a similar frenzy (as in 2000) where valuations have reached very high levels and there's no return-actually, the alpha is negative.\"</p><p>According to Bank of America, the recent rise in optimism following an unsustainable bubble in U.S. stocks is a contrarian indicator of a possible correction in the market. Bank of America's own \"Sell Side Indicator\" (used to measure how bullish Wall Street strategists are on stocks) rose nearly 1 percentage point in January, from 57.8% to 58.4%.</p><p>\"The indicator remains in its'neutral 'territory since December 2016, making returns more difficult to predict at the moment than when the indicator was between the'buy' and'sell 'thresholds,\" said. \"But the current level is less than 2 percentage points from the'sell 'signal, which is the shortest distance from'sell' since August 2007; after that, we saw a 12-month return of-11%.\"</p><p><h2>Reuters</h2><b>Tesla recalls 134,951 Model S and Model X vehicles: there are serious safety hazards</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32664b21f8270dfc9f76e0035b54475f\" tg-width=\"888\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla announced today that it will recall 134,951 Model S and Model X electric vehicles. These vehicles have problems with their touchscreen systems that can cause camera images to disappear and windshield defogging and defrost systems to fail, reducing driver visibility in inclement weather.</p><p>For a long time, old Model S and Model X owners have been reporting problems with their MCU (Media Control Unit), such as unresponsive touch screens, longer power-on times, screen crashes, must be restarted, and even the MCU unit fails completely.</p><p>It is reported that the main failure of eMMC (embedded multimedia card) causes the MCU touch screen to be unusable. Tesla solved the problem by introducing a new MCU in 2018, but previous owners still suffer from the problem.</p><p><h2>CNBC</h2><b>Robinhood app downloads surge amid short squeeze frenzy despite trading restrictions</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87f012c7f0fe33f0deae71ab1861dbda\" tg-width=\"1046\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Even though Robinhood's trading app restricted trading last week in some heavily shorted stocks, such as GameStop Corp, it has been downloaded more than all other U.S. trading apps.</p><p>According to Sensor Tower, the Robinhood app reached 2.1 million downloads on Google Play and App Store last week, an increase of 394% from the previous week.</p><p>The data could help ease concerns among investors in Robinhood that last week's trading restrictions will negatively impact users, while Robinhood plans to go public at the end of the year.</p><p>Many Redditors have accused Robinhood of succumbing to hedge funds by imposing trading restrictions. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev believes that containment measures are necessary to protect its trading platform.</p><p><b>GameStop, AMC and silver plummeted across the board, retail speculation boom retreated</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05f274fceeb2fa7b15a6c923df16c9f\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Trades that were previously favored by retail investors on Reddit and rose wildly have begun to \"collapse\".</p><p>GameStop Corp. fell 63.56% to $82.00 in early trading in New York, down 76% from last Wednesday's record closing high of $347.51. AMC Entertainment slipped 50% and Express Inc. fell 39%. While silver fell more than 5% after surging to an eight-year high.</p><p>These speculative activities, born from online forums, have attracted the attention of American politicians and overwhelmed brokers all over the world. Now, the tide of the market is turning.</p><p>\"The short squeeze momentum has inevitably come to an end,\" said Mark Taylor, sales trader at Mirabaud Securities. \"It seems clearer that as all kinds of cheers and fanaticism dissipate, everything has returned to its original appearance.\"</p><p>Some of the buying pressure that triggered last week's gains has eased. From the perspective of short positions, traders have stopped frantically buying GameStop to fill short positions.</p><p>According to data released by financial analysis firm S3 Partners, GameStop's short position plummeted to 53% of outstanding shares, compared with more than 140% last month. Monday's trading volume decreased to about a third of the average trading volume of the past five trading days.</p><p><h2>Bloomberg</h2><b>Oxford University: Two shots of AstraZeneca vaccine 3 months apart are 82.4% effective</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8680a3f613cdc31d9747658829904f0f\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Oxford University's coronavirus vaccine, which takes two standard doses administered three months apart in the UK, showed an 82.4% effective rate after the second dose, according to a statement.</p><p>According to the statement, the vaccine is 82.4% effective over 12 weeks, and the confidence interval of 95% confidence is 62.7%-91.7%.</p><p>The analysis showed that from day 22 to day 90 after a single standard dose vaccination, the effective rate was 76%, and the protective effect did not decrease during these three months.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines: Is the epic short-squeeze war over? GameStop and other stocks plummet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines: Is the epic short-squeeze war over? GameStop and other stocks plummet\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-02-03 07:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>CNBC | GameStop, AMC and silver plummeted across the board Retail speculation boom receded CNBC | Despite trading restrictions Robinhood app downloads are still soaring in a short-squeeze frenzy Bloomberg | Oxford University: AstraZeneca vaccine is 82.4% effective after two shots 3 months apart Forbes | Bank of America: The U.S. stock market has become similar to the Internet bubble, and may pull back nearly 10% in the future Reuters | Tesla recalls 134,951 Model S and Model X vehicles: There are serious safety hazards<h2>Bloomberg</h2><b>Goldman Sachs sees silver as top precious metal but sees no short squeeze</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/593a5103aefb3620718c10dff810d5e0\" tg-width=\"1222\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Goldman Sachs said that Monday's silver frenzy rally will never be enough to stop short positions, because these short positions are supported by physical goods. However, Goldman Sachs still regards silver as its preferred precious metal.</p><p>Silver surged to an eight-year high on Monday as money poured into exchange-traded funds. Since then, silver has given up most of its gains as investors cashed out, with Goldman Sachs analysts such as Jeffrey Currie saying that interest constraints and ample physical supply mean that the short squeeze that occurred at GameStop cannot be repeated in silver. The market repeats itself.</p><p>Analysts wrote in a note: \"Although some short positions are speculative and need to be covered before expiration, most short positions are established by industrial producers to hedge forward gains. When short positions in commodities are widely supported by physical objects, there will be no subsequent buying and no short squeeze.\"</p><p><h2>Forbes</h2><b>Bank of America: The U.S. stock market has become similar to the Internet bubble period, and may pull back by nearly 10% in the future</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c20a002202b07f92a3ac475e92879060\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to some Wall Street strategists, 2021 is starting to look a lot like 2000.</p><p>Strategists at Bank of America wrote in a research note released today that today's U.S. stock market is looking more and more like a market during the Internet bubble amid a trading frenzy among retail investors, high market optimism and overvalued stocks. They point to the similarity reinforced by last week's gains in share prices of video game retailers GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Express and others, when retail investors gathered on Reddit forums flocked to buy the heavily shorted stocks in droves.</p><p>\"The sell-off in stocks last week, the worst since last October, was likely catalyzed by a retail-led short squeeze, but beyond the heavy participation of retail investors, there are some other similarities between the situation now and 2000,\" Savita Subramanian, an equity strategist at Bank of America, wrote in the note. \"We're also seeing a similar frenzy (as in 2000) where valuations have reached very high levels and there's no return-actually, the alpha is negative.\"</p><p>According to Bank of America, the recent rise in optimism following an unsustainable bubble in U.S. stocks is a contrarian indicator of a possible correction in the market. Bank of America's own \"Sell Side Indicator\" (used to measure how bullish Wall Street strategists are on stocks) rose nearly 1 percentage point in January, from 57.8% to 58.4%.</p><p>\"The indicator remains in its'neutral 'territory since December 2016, making returns more difficult to predict at the moment than when the indicator was between the'buy' and'sell 'thresholds,\" said. \"But the current level is less than 2 percentage points from the'sell 'signal, which is the shortest distance from'sell' since August 2007; after that, we saw a 12-month return of-11%.\"</p><p><h2>Reuters</h2><b>Tesla recalls 134,951 Model S and Model X vehicles: there are serious safety hazards</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32664b21f8270dfc9f76e0035b54475f\" tg-width=\"888\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla announced today that it will recall 134,951 Model S and Model X electric vehicles. These vehicles have problems with their touchscreen systems that can cause camera images to disappear and windshield defogging and defrost systems to fail, reducing driver visibility in inclement weather.</p><p>For a long time, old Model S and Model X owners have been reporting problems with their MCU (Media Control Unit), such as unresponsive touch screens, longer power-on times, screen crashes, must be restarted, and even the MCU unit fails completely.</p><p>It is reported that the main failure of eMMC (embedded multimedia card) causes the MCU touch screen to be unusable. Tesla solved the problem by introducing a new MCU in 2018, but previous owners still suffer from the problem.</p><p><h2>CNBC</h2><b>Robinhood app downloads surge amid short squeeze frenzy despite trading restrictions</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87f012c7f0fe33f0deae71ab1861dbda\" tg-width=\"1046\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Even though Robinhood's trading app restricted trading last week in some heavily shorted stocks, such as GameStop Corp, it has been downloaded more than all other U.S. trading apps.</p><p>According to Sensor Tower, the Robinhood app reached 2.1 million downloads on Google Play and App Store last week, an increase of 394% from the previous week.</p><p>The data could help ease concerns among investors in Robinhood that last week's trading restrictions will negatively impact users, while Robinhood plans to go public at the end of the year.</p><p>Many Redditors have accused Robinhood of succumbing to hedge funds by imposing trading restrictions. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev believes that containment measures are necessary to protect its trading platform.</p><p><b>GameStop, AMC and silver plummeted across the board, retail speculation boom retreated</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05f274fceeb2fa7b15a6c923df16c9f\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Trades that were previously favored by retail investors on Reddit and rose wildly have begun to \"collapse\".</p><p>GameStop Corp. fell 63.56% to $82.00 in early trading in New York, down 76% from last Wednesday's record closing high of $347.51. AMC Entertainment slipped 50% and Express Inc. fell 39%. While silver fell more than 5% after surging to an eight-year high.</p><p>These speculative activities, born from online forums, have attracted the attention of American politicians and overwhelmed brokers all over the world. Now, the tide of the market is turning.</p><p>\"The short squeeze momentum has inevitably come to an end,\" said Mark Taylor, sales trader at Mirabaud Securities. \"It seems clearer that as all kinds of cheers and fanaticism dissipate, everything has returned to its original appearance.\"</p><p>Some of the buying pressure that triggered last week's gains has eased. From the perspective of short positions, traders have stopped frantically buying GameStop to fill short positions.</p><p>According to data released by financial analysis firm S3 Partners, GameStop's short position plummeted to 53% of outstanding shares, compared with more than 140% last month. Monday's trading volume decreased to about a third of the average trading volume of the past five trading days.</p><p><h2>Bloomberg</h2><b>Oxford University: Two shots of AstraZeneca vaccine 3 months apart are 82.4% effective</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8680a3f613cdc31d9747658829904f0f\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Oxford University's coronavirus vaccine, which takes two standard doses administered three months apart in the UK, showed an 82.4% effective rate after the second dose, according to a statement.</p><p>According to the statement, the vaccine is 82.4% effective over 12 weeks, and the confidence interval of 95% confidence is 62.7%-91.7%.</p><p>The analysis showed that from day 22 to day 90 after a single standard dose vaccination, the effective rate was 76%, and the protective effect did not decrease during these three months.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c31828339b32587d65bd36b68f9023","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189814997","content_text":"CNBC | GameStop、AMC及白银全线大跌 散户投机热潮退却CNBC | 尽管实行交易限制 Robinhood应用程序下载量仍在逼空狂潮中飙升彭博社 | 高盛将白银视为首选贵金属 但认为不会出现逼空行情彭博社 |牛津大学：阿斯利康疫苗间隔3个月接种两针具有82.4%的有效性福布斯 | 美银：美股市场变得与互联网泡沫时期相似，未来或回调近10％路透 | 特斯拉召回134951辆Model S和Model X：存在严重安全隐患彭博社高盛将白银视为首选贵金属 但认为不会出现逼空行情高盛表示，周一白银狂热的涨势永远不足以逼停空头，因为这些空头头寸有实货支撑。不过高盛仍将白银视为首选的贵金属。白银周一飙升至八年高位，大批资金涌入交易所交易基金。自那以后，随着投资者套现离场，白银已经回吐了大部分涨幅，Jeffrey Currie等高盛分析师称，持仓量限制和充足的实物供应意味着发生在GameStop上的逼空行情无法在白银市场重演。分析师们在一份报告中写道：“尽管有些空头头寸具有投机性，需要在到期前进行补仓，但多数空头头寸是工业生产商为对冲远期收益所建立的，当大宗商品的空头头寸得到实物的广泛支持时，就不会有后继买盘，也不会出现空轧空情况”。福布斯美银：美股市场变得与互联网泡沫时期相似，未来或回调近10％根据有些华尔街策略师的说法，2021年开始变得看起来跟2000年很像。美国银行的策略师在今日发布的一份研究报告中写道，在散户投资者掀起交易狂潮、市场乐观情绪高涨和股票估值过高的形势下，今天的美股市场看起来越来越像是互联网泡沫时期的市场。他们指出，上周视频游戏零售商GameStop、AMC娱乐公司、Express和其他公司股价的上涨强化了这种相似性，当时在Reddit论坛上聚集的散户投资者成群结队地蜂拥买入这些被严重做空的股票。“上周股市遭遇的抛售(这是自去年10月以来最严重的一次抛售)很可能是由散户主导的轧空催化的，但除了散户的大量参与之外，现在的形势与2000年之间还有其他一些相似的地方。”美国银行的股票策略师萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在报告中写道。“我们还看到了(与2000年时)类似的狂热情绪，估值已经达到了很高水平，而且没有回报——实际上，阿尔法值是负数。”根据美国银行的说法，在美国股市出现不可持续的泡沫之后，最近乐观情绪的上升是市场可能出现回调的一个反向指标。美国银行自己编制的“卖方指标”(Sell Side Indicator，用于衡量华尔街策略师对股票的看涨程度)在1月份上升了将近1个百分点，从57.8%升至58.4%。“该指标仍旧保持在自2016年12月以来的‘中性’区域，与该指标位于‘买入’和‘卖出’门槛之间时相比，目前的回报更难预测。”表示。“但目前的水平距离‘卖出’信号不到2个百分点，这是自2007年8月以来距离‘卖出’的最短距离；在那之后，我们看到12个月回报率为-11%。”路透特斯拉召回134951辆Model S和Model X：存在严重安全隐患特斯拉今日宣布，将召回134951辆Model S和Model X电动汽车。这些车辆的触摸屏系统存在问题，可能导致摄像头图像消失，挡风玻璃除雾和除霜系统失灵，从而降低司机在恶劣天气下的能见度。长期以来，老款Model S和Model X车主一直在反馈他们的MCU(媒体控制单元)存在问题，比如触摸屏反应迟钝，通电时间变长，屏幕死机，必须重新启动，甚至MCU单元完全失效。据悉，主要是eMMC(嵌入式多媒体卡)故障导致了MCU触摸屏无法使用。特斯拉在2018年引入了一个新的MCU，解决了这个问题，但之前的车主仍受该问题的困扰。CNBC尽管实行交易限制 Robinhood应用程序下载量仍在逼空狂潮中飙升尽管Robinhood的交易应用程序上周限制了游戏驿站(GameStop Corp)等一些严重被做空股票的交易，但其下载量仍超过了所有其他美国交易应用程序。据Sensor Tower的数据，上周Robinhood应用程序在Google Play和App Store上的下载量达到了210万，较此前一周增长了394%。该数据可能有助于缓解Robinhood投资者的担忧，他们担心上周的交易限制措施将对用户产生负面影响，而Robinhood计划在今年年底上市。许多Reddit用户都指责Robinhood通过进行交易限制而屈服于对冲基金。Robinhood首席执行官Vlad Tenev认为，为了保护其交易平台，采取遏制措施是必要的。GameStop、AMC及白银全线大跌 散户投机热潮退却此前受Reddit散户投资者热捧而疯狂上涨的交易已开始“轰然坍塌”。GameStop Corp．纽约早盘大跌63.56%，报82.00美元，自上周三收盘纪录高位347.51美元下跌了76%。AMC娱乐下滑50%，Express Inc．下跌39%。而白银在飙升至八年高位后，下跌了超过5%。这些从网络论坛中孕育而生的投机活动，吸引了美国政客的关注，也令全球各地的经纪商应接不暇。而现在，市场的潮水正在转向。“轧空势头不可避免地走到了终点，”Mirabaud Securities销售交易员Mark Taylor表示。“似乎比较清楚的是，随着各种欢呼雀跃和狂热情绪的消散，一切又回归了原来的样子。”引发上周涨幅的部分购买压力已经减轻。从空头仓位来看，交易员已经停止了疯狂买进GameStop来填补空仓的做法了。金融分析公司S3 Partners公布的数据显示，GameStop空头仓位大跌至流通股的53%，而上月还达到140%以上。周一的成交量减少到过去五个交易日成交均值的三分之一左右。彭博牛津大学：阿斯利康疫苗间隔3个月接种两针具有82.4%的有效性根据一份声明，牛津大学的冠状病毒疫苗在英国采取间隔三个月进行两次标准剂量的接种，显示第二次接种后的有效率为82.4%。声明称，该疫苗12周以上有效率为82.4%，置信度95%的置信区间是62.7%-91.7%。分析显示，单次标准剂量接种后的第22天到第90天，有效率为76%，保护效果在这三个月期间没有下降。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154880593,"gmtCreate":1625497257312,"gmtModify":1703742726135,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154880593","repostId":"1157720359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157720359","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625489432,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157720359?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 20:50","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"Will the 2014 oil price \"massacre\" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157720359","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"由于OPEC+未能就提高产量达成一致，这让本就紧张不已的市场，再次绷紧了神经。","content":"<p>Author: Yu Xudong</p><p>As OPEC + failed to reach an agreement on increasing production, this once again tightened the nerves of the already nervous market.</p><p>On Friday, OPEC failed to break the deadlock within the organization for the second consecutive night. Delegates said that although most OPEC members supported the proposal to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day per month between August and December, it would also increase the broader The supply agreement is extended until the end of 2022, but the UAE remains firmly opposed. As the UAE still blocks the proposal to increase supply from being adopted, the parties will continue negotiations at 3pm local time in Vienna on July 5th (9pm Beijing time).</p><p>Just two days after the UAE refused to align with other OPEC members, Saudi Prince Abdul Aziz said in a Bloomberg TV interview late on Sunday that they must extend the production increase agreement, adding that the UAE has been isolated in OPEC. The Saudi prince's speech reflected the current tense situation within OPEC + and made it difficult for global markets to guess the future trend of crude oil prices.</p><p>Just hours ago, UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei once again rejected Saudi Arabia's proposed extension of the agreement and only supported increasing production in the short term. He has previously said that the UAE supports an unconditional increase in production, which is needed by the market, but the decision to extend the agreement until the end of 2022 is not necessary now.</p><p>It is worth noting that, according to Bloomberg, Foreign Minister Prince Abdul Aziz said that if the agreement is not extended, a back-up agreement will be reached, under which oil production will not increase in August and the rest of the year, which could cause oil prices to soar.</p><p>At the heart of the problem is the baseline. Production cuts or increases are measured against a benchmark-the higher this benchmark figure, the more oil a country is allowed to extract. The UAE wants to revise its benchmark before extending the cuts until the end of 2022 as it wants to produce more oil on top of its current benchmark quota.</p><p>The UAE's current benchmark is calculated from October 2018, when production was around 3.2 million barrels per day. Last year, that jumped to 3.8 million barrels per day. The UAE believes that the reference frame for the 2022 extension should not have started four years ago.</p><p>However, such a calculation is unlikely to be acceptable to Saudi Arabia and Russia, which refuse to recalculate the UAE's production target baseline and fear that concessions to one member will prompt everyone else in OPEC + to demand the same treatment, thereby undermining the already underway. Weeks of agreement negotiations.</p><p>Two outcomes: oil prices surge or complete collapse</p><p>Just like the differences within OPEC +, analysts from major institutions also have great differences on the future trend of international oil prices. This is mainly because the factors affecting the current oil price are indeed complicated.</p><p>On the one hand, the economic recovery of major economies, including the United States, is obvious, the demand side of the oil market is constantly improving, and OPEC + has maintained a trend of cautious production increase recently; On the other hand, Novel Coronavirus's mutated virus has begun to wreak havoc in some areas again, the job market in the United States and Europe is recovering slowly, and once the U.S. sanctions on Iran are lifted, Iran's oil production capacity will be greatly released, etc. These factors have inhibited the rise of international oil prices to a considerable extent. International oil prices are at a crossroads.</p><p>Data show that the international benchmark Brent crude oil futures were quoted at US $76.37 per barrel on Monday (July 5), rising more than 45% in the first half of this year; U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures closed at $75.27, up more than 50% in the first half of this year. Throughout June, Brent crude oil futures rose more than 8% and WTI crude oil prices rose more than 10% to their highest level since October 2018.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83e815454f7911baf0e973046b08481a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Although oil prices are still soaring in the trend, some analysts pointed out that the factors affecting the next oil price trend may be binary.</p><p>On the one hand, the UAE is forcing OPEC + into trouble-OPEC + will either accept the UAE's demands, or the risk of dissolving the cartel will occur without a production agreement.</p><p>If the former happens, oil prices will most likely rise sharply; If the latter happens, as Bloomberg said in an article, there will be a more dramatic situation-the oil price collapse on Thanksgiving Day in 2014 will be repeated, because OPEC + will be at risk of complete collapse, that is, all parties are fighting each other, and they can no longer form a united cartel, which leads to the oil price plummeting again since last year's crisis, and the nightmare repeats itself.</p><p>In the last year, it was the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and Russia that triggered a punitive price war that triggered the panic in March 2020.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that when asked if production could be increased without the involvement of the UAE, Abdulaziz said they cannot, and if OPEC collapses, every oil exporter will fight for itself, and after a brief price spike, oil will plummet again.</p><p>Abdulaziz's words also confirm that if the agreement goes bankrupt, there is a high probability that it will slip into the second situation.</p><p>At the same time, there is another potential event that will lead to more flooding of oil supplies, which will also knock oil prices down: once Iran reaches a nuclear deal with the Biden administration, it will return to the oil market, adding millions of barrels of oil supplies.</p><p>Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said a price war could be looming if the talks stalled, and if the talks end in complete discord, there is a risk of returning to a production situation for everyone for themselves, which could lead to oil price gains this year. A reversal of the trend. While they don't think this is the final possible outcome, they can't completely ignore it.</p><p>According to CNBC, Alejandro Barbajosa, Argus Media's vice president of crude oil business in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific region, said on Monday that in the very short term, the failure to reach an agreement obviously means that crude oil production will be very loose, and every country is very close to a price war. But he believes that OPEC + members will not reach the level of a real price war.</p><p>There was an oil price massacre in 2014</p><p>On Thanksgiving Day in 2014, a similar incident happened: OPEC's negotiations on production cuts broke down, but in the end the parties failed to reach an agreement, resulting in countries fighting independently on oil production, and then crude oil prices fell off a cliff.</p><p>On November 27th, 2014, OPEC, a cartel of oil producers including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Venezuela, held a large meeting in Vienna. Before the meeting, there was speculation that OPEC countries might cut their own oil production to support prices.</p><p>In that convention, some countries, such as Venezuela and Iran, wanted the cartels, mainly Saudi Arabia, to cut production to support oil prices. The reason is that these countries need high prices to break even budgetarily and cover their accumulated government spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4238877c035f8d5135d04d76488675f\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>On the other end of the debate is Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, which opposes production cuts and is willing to let oil prices continue to fall.</p><p>In the end, OPEC was unable to agree on prices and left production unchanged.</p><p>Subsequently, crude oil prices plummeted rapidly, with Brent crude oil prices falling directly from US $110/barrel to US $70/barrel.</p><p>During the previous period from 2011 to 2014, due to the surge in demand, oil prices once hovered around US $100/barrel.</p><p>Of course, the drop in crude oil prices in 2014 was also inseparable from the increase in U.S. shale oil production. Some analysts said that as U.S. shale oil production increases, the strategy of maintaining production aims to maintain OPEC's market dominance.</p><p>Therefore, maintaining production is also OPEC's last resort decision. And as oil prices fall, shale oil production becomes less economical, which will also allow the United States to reduce the supply of shale oil. So keeping oil prices low might actually make sense for OPEC.</p><p>The United States at that time was similar to Iran at present-as the biggest uncertain party in crude oil supply, their participation will also put greater downward pressure on the crumbling crude oil price in possible scenarios.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will the 2014 oil price \"massacre\" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill the 2014 oil price \"massacre\" repeat itself? It's getting more and more likely\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 20:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Author: Yu Xudong</p><p>As OPEC + failed to reach an agreement on increasing production, this once again tightened the nerves of the already nervous market.</p><p>On Friday, OPEC failed to break the deadlock within the organization for the second consecutive night. Delegates said that although most OPEC members supported the proposal to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day per month between August and December, it would also increase the broader The supply agreement is extended until the end of 2022, but the UAE remains firmly opposed. As the UAE still blocks the proposal to increase supply from being adopted, the parties will continue negotiations at 3pm local time in Vienna on July 5th (9pm Beijing time).</p><p>Just two days after the UAE refused to align with other OPEC members, Saudi Prince Abdul Aziz said in a Bloomberg TV interview late on Sunday that they must extend the production increase agreement, adding that the UAE has been isolated in OPEC. The Saudi prince's speech reflected the current tense situation within OPEC + and made it difficult for global markets to guess the future trend of crude oil prices.</p><p>Just hours ago, UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei once again rejected Saudi Arabia's proposed extension of the agreement and only supported increasing production in the short term. He has previously said that the UAE supports an unconditional increase in production, which is needed by the market, but the decision to extend the agreement until the end of 2022 is not necessary now.</p><p>It is worth noting that, according to Bloomberg, Foreign Minister Prince Abdul Aziz said that if the agreement is not extended, a back-up agreement will be reached, under which oil production will not increase in August and the rest of the year, which could cause oil prices to soar.</p><p>At the heart of the problem is the baseline. Production cuts or increases are measured against a benchmark-the higher this benchmark figure, the more oil a country is allowed to extract. The UAE wants to revise its benchmark before extending the cuts until the end of 2022 as it wants to produce more oil on top of its current benchmark quota.</p><p>The UAE's current benchmark is calculated from October 2018, when production was around 3.2 million barrels per day. Last year, that jumped to 3.8 million barrels per day. The UAE believes that the reference frame for the 2022 extension should not have started four years ago.</p><p>However, such a calculation is unlikely to be acceptable to Saudi Arabia and Russia, which refuse to recalculate the UAE's production target baseline and fear that concessions to one member will prompt everyone else in OPEC + to demand the same treatment, thereby undermining the already underway. Weeks of agreement negotiations.</p><p>Two outcomes: oil prices surge or complete collapse</p><p>Just like the differences within OPEC +, analysts from major institutions also have great differences on the future trend of international oil prices. This is mainly because the factors affecting the current oil price are indeed complicated.</p><p>On the one hand, the economic recovery of major economies, including the United States, is obvious, the demand side of the oil market is constantly improving, and OPEC + has maintained a trend of cautious production increase recently; On the other hand, Novel Coronavirus's mutated virus has begun to wreak havoc in some areas again, the job market in the United States and Europe is recovering slowly, and once the U.S. sanctions on Iran are lifted, Iran's oil production capacity will be greatly released, etc. These factors have inhibited the rise of international oil prices to a considerable extent. International oil prices are at a crossroads.</p><p>Data show that the international benchmark Brent crude oil futures were quoted at US $76.37 per barrel on Monday (July 5), rising more than 45% in the first half of this year; U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures closed at $75.27, up more than 50% in the first half of this year. Throughout June, Brent crude oil futures rose more than 8% and WTI crude oil prices rose more than 10% to their highest level since October 2018.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83e815454f7911baf0e973046b08481a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Although oil prices are still soaring in the trend, some analysts pointed out that the factors affecting the next oil price trend may be binary.</p><p>On the one hand, the UAE is forcing OPEC + into trouble-OPEC + will either accept the UAE's demands, or the risk of dissolving the cartel will occur without a production agreement.</p><p>If the former happens, oil prices will most likely rise sharply; If the latter happens, as Bloomberg said in an article, there will be a more dramatic situation-the oil price collapse on Thanksgiving Day in 2014 will be repeated, because OPEC + will be at risk of complete collapse, that is, all parties are fighting each other, and they can no longer form a united cartel, which leads to the oil price plummeting again since last year's crisis, and the nightmare repeats itself.</p><p>In the last year, it was the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and Russia that triggered a punitive price war that triggered the panic in March 2020.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that when asked if production could be increased without the involvement of the UAE, Abdulaziz said they cannot, and if OPEC collapses, every oil exporter will fight for itself, and after a brief price spike, oil will plummet again.</p><p>Abdulaziz's words also confirm that if the agreement goes bankrupt, there is a high probability that it will slip into the second situation.</p><p>At the same time, there is another potential event that will lead to more flooding of oil supplies, which will also knock oil prices down: once Iran reaches a nuclear deal with the Biden administration, it will return to the oil market, adding millions of barrels of oil supplies.</p><p>Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said a price war could be looming if the talks stalled, and if the talks end in complete discord, there is a risk of returning to a production situation for everyone for themselves, which could lead to oil price gains this year. A reversal of the trend. While they don't think this is the final possible outcome, they can't completely ignore it.</p><p>According to CNBC, Alejandro Barbajosa, Argus Media's vice president of crude oil business in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific region, said on Monday that in the very short term, the failure to reach an agreement obviously means that crude oil production will be very loose, and every country is very close to a price war. But he believes that OPEC + members will not reach the level of a real price war.</p><p>There was an oil price massacre in 2014</p><p>On Thanksgiving Day in 2014, a similar incident happened: OPEC's negotiations on production cuts broke down, but in the end the parties failed to reach an agreement, resulting in countries fighting independently on oil production, and then crude oil prices fell off a cliff.</p><p>On November 27th, 2014, OPEC, a cartel of oil producers including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Venezuela, held a large meeting in Vienna. Before the meeting, there was speculation that OPEC countries might cut their own oil production to support prices.</p><p>In that convention, some countries, such as Venezuela and Iran, wanted the cartels, mainly Saudi Arabia, to cut production to support oil prices. The reason is that these countries need high prices to break even budgetarily and cover their accumulated government spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4238877c035f8d5135d04d76488675f\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>On the other end of the debate is Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, which opposes production cuts and is willing to let oil prices continue to fall.</p><p>In the end, OPEC was unable to agree on prices and left production unchanged.</p><p>Subsequently, crude oil prices plummeted rapidly, with Brent crude oil prices falling directly from US $110/barrel to US $70/barrel.</p><p>During the previous period from 2011 to 2014, due to the surge in demand, oil prices once hovered around US $100/barrel.</p><p>Of course, the drop in crude oil prices in 2014 was also inseparable from the increase in U.S. shale oil production. Some analysts said that as U.S. shale oil production increases, the strategy of maintaining production aims to maintain OPEC's market dominance.</p><p>Therefore, maintaining production is also OPEC's last resort decision. And as oil prices fall, shale oil production becomes less economical, which will also allow the United States to reduce the supply of shale oil. So keeping oil prices low might actually make sense for OPEC.</p><p>The United States at that time was similar to Iran at present-as the biggest uncertain party in crude oil supply, their participation will also put greater downward pressure on the crumbling crude oil price in possible scenarios.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634608\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4a2187b267c2b09c55779e0a8af4ab","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3634608","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1157720359","content_text":"作者：于旭东\n由于OPEC+未能就提高产量达成一致，这让本就紧张不已的市场，再次绷紧了神经。\n在上周五，OPEC+连续第二晚没有打破该组织内部的僵局，与会代表称，虽然多数OPEC +成员支持8月至12月期间每月增加40万桶/天产量的提议，同时将更广泛的供应协议期限延长至2022年底，但阿联酋仍坚决反对。因阿联酋依然阻止增加供应的提议通过,各方将于维也纳当地时间7月5日下午3点（北京时间晚上9点）继续谈判。\n就在阿联酋拒绝与OPEC+其他成员国保持一致的两天后，在周日晚些时候，沙特王子阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹在接受彭博电视采访时表示他们必须延长增产协议，并补充说阿联酋已经在OPEC+中被孤立。沙特王子的讲话，反映出目前OPEC+内部紧张的局势，并让全球市场难以猜测原油价格的未来走势。\n就在几个小时前，阿联酋能源部长Suhail al-Mazrouei再次拒绝了沙特提议的延长协议，只支持在短期增加产量。他在此前曾表示阿联酋支持无条件增加产量，这是市场需要的，但将协议延长至2022年底的决定并没有必要在现在采取。\n值得注意的是，据彭博，社特外交大臣阿卜杜勒·阿齐兹亲王表示，如果不延长协议，将达成一项后备协议，根据该协议，8月和今年剩余时间的石油产量不会增加，这可能会导致油价飙升。\n问题的核心是基线。减产或增产是根据一个基准来衡量的——这个基准数字越高，一个国家被允许开采的石油就越多。阿联酋希望在将削减延长至2022年底之前修改其基准，因为它想要在当前基准配额的基础上生产更多的石油。\n阿联酋目前的基准是从2018年10月开始计算的，当时的产量约为320万桶/天。去年，这一数字跃升至380万桶/天。阿联酋认为，2022年延期的参考框架不应该从四年前开始。\n然而，这样的计算方法对沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯来说是不可能接受的，它们拒绝重新计算阿联酋的产量目标基线，并担心向一个成员让步会促使OPEC+中的其他所有人要求同样的待遇，从而破坏已经进行了数周的协议谈判。\n两种结局：油价大涨或完全崩溃\n正像OPEC+内部的分歧一样，各大机构的分析师对于国际石油价格的未来走势也存在很大分歧。这主要是因为影响当前石油价格的因素确实纷繁复杂。\n一方面，包括美国在内的各主要经济体的经济复苏明显，石油市场的需求端在不断改善，近期OPEC+也一直维持着谨慎增产的态势；另一方面，新冠病毒的变异病毒又开始在一些地区肆虐，美欧的就业市场恢复缓慢，美国对伊朗的制裁一旦解除则伊朗的石油产能必将大幅释放等等，这些因素又在相当的程度上抑制了国际石油价格的上涨。国际石油价格站在了十字路口上。\n数据显示，国际基准布伦特原油期货周一（7月5日）报76.37美元/桶，今年上半年涨超45%；美国西德克萨斯中质（WTI）原油期货收报75.27美元，今年上半年涨超50%。整个6月，布伦特原油期货价格上涨逾8%，WTI原油价格上涨逾10%，达到2018年10月以来的最高水平。\n\n尽管油价在趋势上依然飙升，但有分析人士指出，接下来油价走势的影响因素可能是二元的。\n一方面，阿联酋正在迫使OPEC+陷入困境——OPEC+要么接受阿联酋的要求，要么在没有达成产量协议的情况下会发生解散卡特尔的风险。\n如果前者发生，油价大概率将会大涨；而后者发生的话，正如彭博在一篇文章里所说的，将会有一种更戏剧性的情况发生——2014年感恩节的油价崩溃将重新上演，因为OPEC+会有完全崩溃的风险，也就是各方各自混战，再也无法形成团结的卡特尔，并导致油价继去年的危机以来再次暴跌，噩梦再次重演。\n在去年，正是沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯之间的分歧引发了一场惩罚性的价格战，这才引发了2020年3月的恐慌。\n值得一提的是，当被问及是否可以在没有阿联酋参与的情况下提高产量时，阿卜杜勒阿齐兹表示他们不能，如果欧佩克崩溃，每个石油出口国都会为自己而战，在短暂的价格飙升之后，石油将再次暴跌。\n而阿卜杜勒阿齐兹的话，也印证了若协议破产，大概率会滑向第二种情况。\n与此同时，还有一个潜在事件会导致石油供应更加泛滥，这也将重挫油价：一旦伊朗与拜登政府达成核协议，就会重返石油市场，从而增加数百万桶石油的供应。\n加拿大皇家银行全球大宗商品策略主管Helima Croft表示，如果谈判陷入僵局，一场价格战可能迫在眉睫，如果谈判以完全的不和谐结束，就有可能回到人人为己的生产局面，这可能导致今年油价涨势的逆转。虽然他们不认为这是最后的可能结果，但也不能完全忽视它。\n据CNBC，阿格斯媒体负责中东和亚太地区原油业务的副总裁Alejandro Barbajosa周一表示，在非常短期内，协议无法达成显然意味着原油的生产会非常宽松，每个国家都非常接近价格战，但他认为OPEC+成员国不会达到真正价格战的水平。\n2014年曾发生过油价大屠杀\n在2014年的感恩节，发生过一件类似的事：OPEC关于减产的谈判发生破裂，但最终各方并未达成一致，导致各国在石油产量上各自为战，随后原油价格断崖式下跌。\n2014年11月27日，包括沙特、伊朗、伊拉克和委内瑞拉在内的石油生产国组成的卡特尔——OPEC在维也纳举行了一次大型会议。会议之前，有人猜测欧佩克国家可能会削减自己的石油产量以支撑价格。\n在那次大会中，委内瑞拉和伊朗等一些国家希望卡特尔（主要是沙特阿拉伯）削减产量以支撑石油价格。原因是这些国家需要高价才能在预算上达到收支平衡并支付他们累积的政府支出。\n\n争论的另一端是全球最大的产油国沙特阿拉伯，该国反对减产，并愿意让油价继续下跌。\n最终，OPEC无法就价格达成一致，并维持产量不变。\n随后，原油价格迅速暴跌，布伦特原油价格直接从110美元/桶跌至70美元/桶。\n而在此前的2011年至2014年期间，由于需求的激增，油价曾一度徘徊在100美元/桶左右。\n当然，2014年的那次原油价格下挫，和美国页岩油产量的增加也脱不了干系。有分析师表示，在美国页岩油产量增加的情况下，维持产量的策略旨在保持OPEC的市场主导地位。\n因此，维持产量也是OPEC不得已的决定。并且随着油价下跌，页岩油的生产也变得不那么经济了，这也将让美国减少页岩油的供应。因此，保持低油价实际上对欧佩克来说可能是有意义的。\n而当年的美国，也和目前的伊朗相似——作为原油供给最大的不确定方，它们的加入也将让可能情境下摇摇欲坠的原油价格承受更大的下跌压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187747016,"gmtCreate":1623765397035,"gmtModify":1703818685217,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187747016","repostId":"187484719","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":187484719,"gmtCreate":1623762083131,"gmtModify":1703818488756,"author":{"id":"3497328009582754","authorId":"3497328009582754","name":"弹道美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b0ffc4ebe1fa04dbda983a4cf50bbf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3497328009582754","idStr":"3497328009582754"},"themes":[],"title":"管你大盤如何，拓邦股份、和而泰走自己的行情！","htmlText":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002139\">$拓邦股份(002139)$</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002402\">$和而泰(002402)$</a>&nbsp;我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 1廠商的訂單，所以市場的焦點主要在其汽車電子控制器的業務上，此外就是即將分拆上市的鋮昌科技的射頻芯片業務。相對來說，市場對於其原有的家電和電動工具業務的關注度沒有拓邦股份那麼高。總體上來說，由於汽車電","listText":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002139\">$拓邦股份(002139)$</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002402\">$和而泰(002402)$</a>&nbsp;我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 1廠商的訂單，所以市場的焦點主要在其汽車電子控制器的業務上，此外就是即將分拆上市的鋮昌科技的射頻芯片業務。相對來說，市場對於其原有的家電和電動工具業務的關注度沒有拓邦股份那麼高。總體上來說，由於汽車電","text":"最近有幾個訂閱貝瑞A股專欄《牛研星球》的朋友私信我們，要我們講講拓邦股份和和而泰的最新分析。這兩兄弟今年以來的業績表現差異太大了，拓邦股份今年以來漲了一倍多，和而泰漲了不到40%。我們是4月6號首發的《市值百億的智能控制器龍頭，是陷阱嗎？》，由於是付費內容，可能閱讀的人不多，但是股價在文章發佈後表現喜人，拓邦股份（代碼：002139）這兩個多月漲了50%多，和而泰（代碼：002402）差一點，漲了百分之十幾。兩者的市值目前已經很接近了。$拓邦股份(002139)$ $和而泰(002402)$ 我們發文以後，不出意料，拓邦和和而泰一季度的業績都可喜可賀，尤其是拓邦股份，一季度歸母扣非淨利同比暴增527%，我們在原文中以及在訂閱讀者羣裏說過拓邦股份的業務戰略是穩紮穩打型，而且研發投入很捨得。拓邦股份目前家電+電動工具收入佔比 80%，未來 3-5 年增長主賽道還是這兩個。因此，對拓邦股份來說，公司的戰略發展是隨着整個智能控制器行業的發展，以及在目前很低的市場集中度條件下不斷的提升市場份額。圖注：圖片源自網絡，侵權請聯繫刪除拓邦股份與和而泰在這兩個多月裏都迎來了密集的基金和券商調研，對投資者來說，也就意味着我們能獲取更多企業業務發展的信息。和而泰由於最早進入汽車電子控制器領域，而且去年以來獲得了70億tier 1廠商的訂單，所以市場的焦點主要在其汽車電子控制器的業務上，此外就是即將分拆上市的鋮昌科技的射頻芯片業務。相對來說，市場對於其原有的家電和電動工具業務的關注度沒有拓邦股份那麼高。總體上來說，由於汽車電","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f7367acd69753b805dc4dfabd4c7609","width":"605","height":"404"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a78eb171ffb6bbabac7492846f6dafec","width":"605","height":"390"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a6652af46f151459b15f70959441798","width":"1020","height":"1350"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187484719","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182550105,"gmtCreate":1623591167907,"gmtModify":1704206706597,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182550105","repostId":"182536092","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":182536092,"gmtCreate":1623587182516,"gmtModify":1704206644530,"author":{"id":"3577247465509612","authorId":"3577247465509612","name":"芳芳芳子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f99d9d655e80981cbcdc1701587d4f9","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577247465509612","idStr":"3577247465509612"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"HaO//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3561088065415396\">@henryee18</a>:You look at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"HaO//@henryee18:You look at $Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$, only then you would know what is called “tanked”...[Spurting]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371448506","repostId":"1193623399","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385155090,"gmtCreate":1613525337210,"gmtModify":1704881591298,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>300！！！！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>300！！！！","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$300！！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/385155090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":316853756,"gmtCreate":1611928924275,"gmtModify":1704866015956,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/316853756","repostId":"1128991080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128991080","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611928480,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128991080?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 21:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Citron stops shorting research and focuses on long opportunities","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128991080","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。香橼在","content":"<p>On the evening of January 29, Citron, an American short-selling agency, posted on social platforms that it would stop short-selling research and focus on long opportunities.</p><p>\"With a 20-year release history, we will no longer release a'short report ',\" Citron said. \"After that, we will focus on providing long-term long-term opportunities for retail investors.\"</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-width=\"1978\" tg-height=\"1876\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citron posted a video on Youtube saying that it will stop shorting research and will focus on long opportunities.</span></p><p>Previously, Citron released a short-selling video on GME (Game Stop) on January 19, believing that GME, which retail investors love, is only worth $20. This has stimulated the rebellious psychology of a large number of retail investors. On January 22, because the account was attacked by too many people, Citron finally couldn't bear the disturbance, gave up and went out, and hung up the \"war-free card\".</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Citron stops shorting research and focuses on long opportunities</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCitron stops shorting research and focuses on long opportunities\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-01-29 21:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On the evening of January 29, Citron, an American short-selling agency, posted on social platforms that it would stop short-selling research and focus on long opportunities.</p><p>\"With a 20-year release history, we will no longer release a'short report ',\" Citron said. \"After that, we will focus on providing long-term long-term opportunities for retail investors.\"</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-width=\"1978\" tg-height=\"1876\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citron posted a video on Youtube saying that it will stop shorting research and will focus on long opportunities.</span></p><p>Previously, Citron released a short-selling video on GME (Game Stop) on January 19, believing that GME, which retail investors love, is only worth $20. This has stimulated the rebellious psychology of a large number of retail investors. On January 22, because the account was attacked by too many people, Citron finally couldn't bear the disturbance, gave up and went out, and hung up the \"war-free card\".</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d858ab277f6ff1e884395cde10096a99","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128991080","content_text":"1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。香橼在Youtube上发布视频，称将停止做空研究，将专注于做多机会。此前，香橼1月19日发布了一则针对GME（游戏驿站）的做空视频，认为散户们热爱的GME只值20美元。这激发了大量散户的逆反心理。1月22日，由于账号受到太多人攻击，香橼最终不堪其扰，认怂出局，挂出了“免战牌”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":316825738,"gmtCreate":1611928784324,"gmtModify":1704866009530,"author":{"id":"3558180888833278","authorId":"3558180888833278","name":"开始你的表演","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460cbdf90e5a9a66113bcd576b4ddd73","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558180888833278","idStr":"3558180888833278"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/316825738","repostId":"1114400031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}