Alicia Ling personal page - To The Moon

Alicia Ling

Alicia Ling

股市中@长生不老

324Follow

78Followers

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2024-01-16

$BABA 20240315 90.0 CALL$ 😎

2023-03-08

[微笑]

@de06e5:一加，以旗艦思維建立中端新秩序

2023-03-08

[微笑]

@零售商业财经:老鄉雞束從軒行賄“舊賬”遭質疑，難成“中式肯德基”

2023-02-27

[微笑]

@时代财经:甲流來襲！流感“神藥”奧司他韋又斷貨，兒科醫院排長龍

2023-01-16

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]

2023-01-15

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [开心] [开心] [开心]

2023-01-13

[微笑] Fun cone and try

2023-01-11

[微笑]

2023-01-10

[微笑]

2023-01-09

[微笑]

2023-01-08

[微笑]

2023-01-07

[微笑]

2023-01-06

[微笑]

2023-01-05

[微笑]

2023-01-03

[微笑] [微笑]

2023-01-01

[微笑] [微笑]

2022-12-30

[微笑]

2022-12-29

😉

2022-12-26

Ho ho ho

2022-12-25

[微笑]

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獲上交所受理，本 次擬募資 12 億元。 繼去年 5 月 、 10 月分別提交招股書後，這已經是老鄉雞第三次向 IPO 發起衝刺。圖源：上交所官網巧合的是，就在同一天，老孃舅在上交所主板IPO也獲證監會受理。除了這兩大中式快餐品牌外，鄉村基、撈王、綠茶餐廳、楊國福等餐飲企業也在衝刺上市，中式快餐迎來上市潮，這也讓“中式快餐第一股”的名號之爭更趨白熱化。值得注意的是，一旦IPO，意味着公開接受公衆的過堂之審。而老鄉雞背後的種種疑點，包括員工欠繳社保、食品安全、增資瑕疵、盈利能力偏低、實控人行賄等問題，都需要給公衆一個合理的解釋。01&nbsp; 走不出華南，老鄉雞困於“低毛利”陷阱老鄉雞，這家誕生於2003年的中式快餐品牌至今已有20年的發展歷史。向前追溯，從1982年老鄉雞創始人束從軒部隊退伍後回老家肥西縣養雞，到如今衝擊“中式餐飲第一股”，這中間整整過去了41年，也着實對應了老鄉雞官網上所宣稱的“養了40年的雞，熬了20年的湯”。圖源：老鄉雞官網2013年，品牌從“肥西老母雞”更名爲“老鄉雞”，一定程度上淡化了品牌名中過強的地域屬性，爲之後老鄉雞出走全國打下基礎。圖源：老鄉雞最新招股書老鄉雞最新招股書顯示，從2019年到2022年上半年，老鄉雞實現營業收入分別爲28.59億元，34.54億元、43.93億元和20.11億元。其中2020、2021年的年營收增速分別爲20.8%和27.18%。在連鎖餐飲企業普遍受外部不確定性因素影響的幾年間，老鄉雞的營收增速並不算慢。但營收規模大幅增長的同時，淨利潤的","listText":"打工人高攀不起的老鄉雞，人均消費30+元，千家門店卻只賺了一個億，除了安徽都在虧。作者 | 金諾 編輯 | 鶴翔出品 | 商業財報 ID：Earnings-Vip餐飲企業上市是最有爭議的話題之一。3 月 1 日，安徽老鄉雞餐飲股份有限公司（下稱 “ 老鄉雞 ” ）主板 IPO 獲上交所受理，本 次擬募資 12 億元。 繼去年 5 月 、 10 月分別提交招股書後，這已經是老鄉雞第三次向 IPO 發起衝刺。圖源：上交所官網巧合的是，就在同一天，老孃舅在上交所主板IPO也獲證監會受理。除了這兩大中式快餐品牌外，鄉村基、撈王、綠茶餐廳、楊國福等餐飲企業也在衝刺上市，中式快餐迎來上市潮，這也讓“中式快餐第一股”的名號之爭更趨白熱化。值得注意的是，一旦IPO，意味着公開接受公衆的過堂之審。而老鄉雞背後的種種疑點，包括員工欠繳社保、食品安全、增資瑕疵、盈利能力偏低、實控人行賄等問題，都需要給公衆一個合理的解釋。01&nbsp; 走不出華南，老鄉雞困於“低毛利”陷阱老鄉雞，這家誕生於2003年的中式快餐品牌至今已有20年的發展歷史。向前追溯，從1982年老鄉雞創始人束從軒部隊退伍後回老家肥西縣養雞，到如今衝擊“中式餐飲第一股”，這中間整整過去了41年，也着實對應了老鄉雞官網上所宣稱的“養了40年的雞，熬了20年的湯”。圖源：老鄉雞官網2013年，品牌從“肥西老母雞”更名爲“老鄉雞”，一定程度上淡化了品牌名中過強的地域屬性，爲之後老鄉雞出走全國打下基礎。圖源：老鄉雞最新招股書老鄉雞最新招股書顯示，從2019年到2022年上半年，老鄉雞實現營業收入分別爲28.59億元，34.54億元、43.93億元和20.11億元。其中2020、2021年的年營收增速分別爲20.8%和27.18%。在連鎖餐飲企業普遍受外部不確定性因素影響的幾年間，老鄉雞的營收增速並不算慢。但營收規模大幅增長的同時，淨利潤的","text":"打工人高攀不起的老鄉雞，人均消費30+元，千家門店卻只賺了一個億，除了安徽都在虧。作者 | 金諾 編輯 | 鶴翔出品 | 商業財報 ID：Earnings-Vip餐飲企業上市是最有爭議的話題之一。3 月 1 日，安徽老鄉雞餐飲股份有限公司（下稱 “ 老鄉雞 ” ）主板 IPO 獲上交所受理，本 次擬募資 12 億元。 繼去年 5 月 、 10 月分別提交招股書後，這已經是老鄉雞第三次向 IPO 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走不出華南，老鄉雞困於“低毛利”陷阱老鄉雞，這家誕生於2003年的中式快餐品牌至今已有20年的發展歷史。向前追溯，從1982年老鄉雞創始人束從軒部隊退伍後回老家肥西縣養雞，到如今衝擊“中式餐飲第一股”，這中間整整過去了41年，也着實對應了老鄉雞官網上所宣稱的“養了40年的雞，熬了20年的湯”。圖源：老鄉雞官網2013年，品牌從“肥西老母雞”更名爲“老鄉雞”，一定程度上淡化了品牌名中過強的地域屬性，爲之後老鄉雞出走全國打下基礎。圖源：老鄉雞最新招股書老鄉雞最新招股書顯示，從2019年到2022年上半年，老鄉雞實現營業收入分別爲28.59億元，34.54億元、43.93億元和20.11億元。其中2020、2021年的年營收增速分別爲20.8%和27.18%。在連鎖餐飲企業普遍受外部不確定性因素影響的幾年間，老鄉雞的營收增速並不算慢。但營收規模大幅增長的同時，淨利潤的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0216537e5f4423cd2dbd34a3ac014be","width":"1240","height":"686"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a86c823513762b70e743c0ad096cf20","width":"1154","height":"286"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2253781cc170ad50e7a8907212e6c7d0","width":"589","height":"745"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/627626096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957445268,"gmtCreate":1677513380854,"gmtModify":1677513385743,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia 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這一現象背後是近期甲型流感的來勢兇猛。“現在來我們醫院就診，如果發燒，不需要做新冠核酸檢測，但要做甲流、乙流等流感類疾病相關篩查。” 2月27日，首都兒科研究所（下稱“兒研所”）分診臺工作人員告訴時代財經。 北京疾控中心於2月22日發佈的疫情週報也顯示，近日甲流發病人羣呈上升趨勢。2023年2月13日至2月19日，全市共報告法定傳染病14種3072例，其中報告病例數排名第一的爲流行性感冒，超過新冠病毒感染病例，且報告期內流感樣病例數量較前一週上升91%。 北京的境況並非孤例，近期，全國多地報告流感病例增加，天津、浙江杭州等地區中小學也出現因流感而停課的情況。2月25日，中國疾病預防控制中心發佈的數據顯示，自2023年第6周起，流感病毒陽性率增加，且在周內超過新冠病毒陽性率，在第7周增加至14.3%。 受上述消息影響，部分醫院出現門診擁擠現象，流感“神藥”奧司他韋在部分地區也出現斷貨。“目前我們沒有奧司他韋，而且該藥物是處方藥，如果需要購買需在醫院開具處方。” 首都醫科大學附屬北京朝陽醫院（下稱“朝陽醫院）附近某藥店職員對時代財經表示，奧司他韋什麼時候有貨也不確定。 “冬春季節是流感的高發期，首先應做好預防，每年10月至11月接種流感疫苗，有效保護力度在6～8個月；戴口罩、勤洗手、多開窗通風、保持社交距離、注意咳嗽禮儀等對流感也有一定的防護作用。一旦感染則需要及時就醫，合理夠藥和服藥。”北京某綜合三甲醫院醫生周楠（化名）告訴時代財經。 多地甲流進入高發期 流行性感冒又稱爲流感，是一種攻擊人類呼吸系統的病毒感染。通常來說，流感可以分爲甲型、乙型、丙型和丁型，甲型流感是","listText":"本文來源：時代財經 作者：張羽岐 圖片來源：圖蟲創意 近日，“甲流”“奧司他韋”等關鍵詞頻登熱搜，相關百度搜索指數也直線上升。尤其是2月26日，“甲流”這一關鍵詞的百度指數達到近期高峯，檢索次數爲109129。 這一現象背後是近期甲型流感的來勢兇猛。“現在來我們醫院就診，如果發燒，不需要做新冠核酸檢測，但要做甲流、乙流等流感類疾病相關篩查。” 2月27日，首都兒科研究所（下稱“兒研所”）分診臺工作人員告訴時代財經。 北京疾控中心於2月22日發佈的疫情週報也顯示，近日甲流發病人羣呈上升趨勢。2023年2月13日至2月19日，全市共報告法定傳染病14種3072例，其中報告病例數排名第一的爲流行性感冒，超過新冠病毒感染病例，且報告期內流感樣病例數量較前一週上升91%。 北京的境況並非孤例，近期，全國多地報告流感病例增加，天津、浙江杭州等地區中小學也出現因流感而停課的情況。2月25日，中國疾病預防控制中心發佈的數據顯示，自2023年第6周起，流感病毒陽性率增加，且在周內超過新冠病毒陽性率，在第7周增加至14.3%。 受上述消息影響，部分醫院出現門診擁擠現象，流感“神藥”奧司他韋在部分地區也出現斷貨。“目前我們沒有奧司他韋，而且該藥物是處方藥，如果需要購買需在醫院開具處方。” 首都醫科大學附屬北京朝陽醫院（下稱“朝陽醫院）附近某藥店職員對時代財經表示，奧司他韋什麼時候有貨也不確定。 “冬春季節是流感的高發期，首先應做好預防，每年10月至11月接種流感疫苗，有效保護力度在6～8個月；戴口罩、勤洗手、多開窗通風、保持社交距離、注意咳嗽禮儀等對流感也有一定的防護作用。一旦感染則需要及時就醫，合理夠藥和服藥。”北京某綜合三甲醫院醫生周楠（化名）告訴時代財經。 多地甲流進入高發期 流行性感冒又稱爲流感，是一種攻擊人類呼吸系統的病毒感染。通常來說，流感可以分爲甲型、乙型、丙型和丁型，甲型流感是","text":"本文來源：時代財經 作者：張羽岐 圖片來源：圖蟲創意 近日，“甲流”“奧司他韋”等關鍵詞頻登熱搜，相關百度搜索指數也直線上升。尤其是2月26日，“甲流”這一關鍵詞的百度指數達到近期高峯，檢索次數爲109129。 這一現象背後是近期甲型流感的來勢兇猛。“現在來我們醫院就診，如果發燒，不需要做新冠核酸檢測，但要做甲流、乙流等流感類疾病相關篩查。” 2月27日，首都兒科研究所（下稱“兒研所”）分診臺工作人員告訴時代財經。 北京疾控中心於2月22日發佈的疫情週報也顯示，近日甲流發病人羣呈上升趨勢。2023年2月13日至2月19日，全市共報告法定傳染病14種3072例，其中報告病例數排名第一的爲流行性感冒，超過新冠病毒感染病例，且報告期內流感樣病例數量較前一週上升91%。 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Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558680293731120","idStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925935971","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":881480636,"gmtCreate":1631375825725,"gmtModify":1676530538277,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881480636","repostId":"1154636076","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376541143,"gmtCreate":1619138695782,"gmtModify":1704720185473,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why Catherine Wood always thinking out of the box, me always think in the box ?&nbsp;","listText":"Why Catherine Wood always thinking out of the box, me always think in the box ?&nbsp;","text":"Why Catherine Wood always thinking out of the box, me always think in the box ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/376541143","repostId":"2129933994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2129933994","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619127381,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2129933994?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-23 05:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"External headlines: The tax on the rich is 43.4%! Biden plans to double capital gains tax hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2129933994","media":"新浪财经","summary":"消息人士称，年收入不低于100万美元的人所适用资本利得税率将提高到39.6%，远超过当前20%的基本税率。加上为欧巴马医改提供资金的3.8%投资收益税率，资本利得税水平高于薪资税率的最高档。消息公布后，美国股市应声下跌，标普500指数一度下挫0.6%。白宫和财政部暂时没有回应置评请求。而44%的受访者表示，政府为负担得起的住房采取相关措施至关重要。新的披露规定可能包括衍生品头寸及做空对象。","content":"<p><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. Biden is reported to plan to levy a capital gains tax of up to 43.4% on the rich</b><b>2. Survey: Half of Americans want major economic reforms</b><b>3. The total amount of opponent plans proposed by the U.S. Republican Party to Biden's infrastructure plan is only US $568 billion</b><b>4. ARK under female stock god Wood said Bitcoin mining may be good for the planet</b><b>5. \"Consumer Reports\" easily fooled Model Y: It can drive automatically even if no one is in the driver's seat</b><b>6. Faced with the potential regulatory shackles of Archegos liquidation, the $6 trillion family office will not surrender</b><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/770/w474h296/20210423/132f-kpamyii4153587.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"474\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Biden is reported to plan to levy a capital gains tax of up to 43.4% on the wealthy</b></p><p>According to people familiar with the matter, Biden plans to nearly double the capital gains tax rate for the wealthy to 39.6%. Together with the existing investment income surtax, it means that the federal capital gains tax rate for investors will reach a maximum of 43.4%.</p><p>According to sources, the capital gains tax rate applicable to people with an annual income of no less than $1 million will be increased to 39.6%, far exceeding the current basic tax rate of 20%. Coupled with the 3.8% investment income tax rate that funds Obamacare, the capital gains tax level is higher than the highest bracket of the payroll tax rate.</p><p>After the news was announced, the U.S. stock market fell in response, and the S&P 500 index once fell 0.6%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield gave up gains.</p><p>The White House and the Treasury Department did not respond to requests for comment for the time being. Biden is expected to release the proposal next week, and some of the proceeds from the tax increase will be used for social spending in the American Families Plan.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/24/w550h274/20210423/d9b7-kpamyii4106568.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Survey: Half of Americans Want Major Economy Overhaul</b></p><p>As the U.S. enters a new normal, half the population is ready for a very different economy than before, according to a report published Thursday by Pew Research.</p><p>According to the survey, about 40% of Americans surveyed believe that after COVID-19 pandemic, the economy \"needs major changes\". One in ten Americans thinks it is necessary to \"completely overhaul\" the country's economic system.</p><p>On the contrary, only 12% of Americans believe that economic reform is not needed. About 38% said the U.S. economy only needs \"minor\" changes.</p><p>When asked what potential economic policies the government should enact, three-quarters of Americans surveyed said it was \"very important\" for the government to provide workers with more jobs and skills training. Nearly half of the respondents believe that it is \"very important\" to increase the government's welfare for the poor. While 44% of the respondents said it was essential for the government to take relevant measures for affordable housing.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210423/eb48-kpamyii4158790.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The U.S. Republican Party's opponent proposal for Biden's infrastructure plan totals only $568 billion</b></p><p>In response to U.S. President Joe Biden's $2.25 trillion infrastructure package, top Senate Republicans on Thursday proposed a total of $568 billion in an opponent package that focuses on more traditional infrastructure such as roads and bridges and does not include Democrats. Taxes on businesses are seeking.</p><p>The five-year plan more than doubles Biden's proposed spending on roads and bridges to $299 billion, with the rest spent on projects such as public transportation, rail, airports, water and broadband. Aside from references to taxing electric vehicles and reusing unspent funds, the package offers little specific information on how to fund the plan. The plan also specifically proposes to specifically oppose the cancellation of the tax reduction policy in 2017 or increase the national debt burden.</p><p>At a briefing announcing the package on Thursday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia and the top Republican on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, said, \"This is a strong package,\" and the largest package ever supported by the Republican Party. \"Its funding will be paid in full, which is critical.\"</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/116/w550h366/20210422/25fd-kpamyii3868870.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Stock goddess Wood's ARK says Bitcoin mining may be good for the planet</b></p><p>Bitcoin mining is usually slammed for consuming a lot of energy, but Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management points out that it may actually be good for the planet.</p><p>A report released by ARK Research Director Brett Winton and Yassine Elmandjra and Sam Korus said that cryptocurrency mining can drive the interest in<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Investment and enable the grid to access more renewable energy.</p><p>\"A world with Bitcoin, when in equilibrium, generates more electricity from renewable, carbon-free energy sources,\" they wrote.</p><p>Given ARK's large investments in Coinbase Global Inc. and Bitcoin, it has obvious interest motivations in promoting the green imprint of cryptocurrencies, and the above views are not widely accepted by other researchers. Citigroup recently said that the power consumption of Bitcoin mining has jumped 66 times since 2015; BCA Research Inc., for its part, said environmental concerns could erode Bitcoin's value over time.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider2021423/294/w700h394/20210423/d31f-kpamyii4031551.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Consumer Reports easily fools the Model Y: It can drive itself without anyone in the driver's seat</b></p><p>Consumer Reports said today that its engineers easily fooled the experiment<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Model Y Electric vehicles.</p><p>According to Consumer Reports, the Model Y can be exercised in Autopilot mode when there is no one in the driver's seat. Obviously, if this happens on public roads, it will pose great danger.</p><p>On the half-mile closed test track, the Model Y drove itself several times, following the drawn lane lines. But the system doesn't warn and doesn't indicate in any way that the driver's seat is empty.</p><p>Jack Fisher, senior director of automotive testing at Consumer Reports, which conducted the experiment, said: \"In our assessment, the system [Autopilot] not only failed to ensure that the driver was attentive, but it simply couldn't tell if there was a driver there.\"</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/162/w550h412/20210423/85a8-kpamyii4145976.png/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Faced with the potential regulatory shackles of Archegos liquidation, the $6 trillion family office will not surrender</b></p><p>The Archegos liquidation has made thousands of mysterious family offices face their biggest challenge on transparency in a decade. And they won't surrender without a fight.</p><p>Some lawmakers, regulators and consumer rights activists are pushing for family offices to disclose their internal operations. Family offices are controlled by minority shareholders and are less regulated, but they manage about $6 trillion in assets for the world's super-rich.</p><p>Current reform initiatives include requiring American family offices to register as investment advisers like most other investment firms and publicly disclose their positions on a quarterly basis.</p><p>These information disclosures can serve as a risk warning to regulators, investors and other Wall Street participants, but at the same time, they may also reveal their proprietary trading to competitors.</p><p>Advocates of strengthening regulators believe that Gary Gensler, the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), who is known for being tough on Wall Street, will hold the same view. \"Making an exception for family offices clearly doesn't make sense now, and we think the SEC will change that quickly,\" said Dennis Kelleher, CEO of lobbying group Better Markets.</p><p>It is reported that the SEC is separately evaluating the possibility of strengthening the disclosure requirements of positions of all investment companies, including family offices. The new disclosure requirements may include derivative positions and short targets.</p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>External headlines: The tax on the rich is 43.4%! Biden plans to double capital gains tax hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExternal headlines: The tax on the rich is 43.4%! Biden plans to double capital gains tax hike\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">新浪财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-23 05:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. Biden is reported to plan to levy a capital gains tax of up to 43.4% on the rich</b><b>2. Survey: Half of Americans want major economic reforms</b><b>3. The total amount of opponent plans proposed by the U.S. Republican Party to Biden's infrastructure plan is only US $568 billion</b><b>4. ARK under female stock god Wood said Bitcoin mining may be good for the planet</b><b>5. \"Consumer Reports\" easily fooled Model Y: It can drive automatically even if no one is in the driver's seat</b><b>6. Faced with the potential regulatory shackles of Archegos liquidation, the $6 trillion family office will not surrender</b><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/770/w474h296/20210423/132f-kpamyii4153587.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"474\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Biden is reported to plan to levy a capital gains tax of up to 43.4% on the wealthy</b></p><p>According to people familiar with the matter, Biden plans to nearly double the capital gains tax rate for the wealthy to 39.6%. Together with the existing investment income surtax, it means that the federal capital gains tax rate for investors will reach a maximum of 43.4%.</p><p>According to sources, the capital gains tax rate applicable to people with an annual income of no less than $1 million will be increased to 39.6%, far exceeding the current basic tax rate of 20%. Coupled with the 3.8% investment income tax rate that funds Obamacare, the capital gains tax level is higher than the highest bracket of the payroll tax rate.</p><p>After the news was announced, the U.S. stock market fell in response, and the S&P 500 index once fell 0.6%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield gave up gains.</p><p>The White House and the Treasury Department did not respond to requests for comment for the time being. Biden is expected to release the proposal next week, and some of the proceeds from the tax increase will be used for social spending in the American Families Plan.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/24/w550h274/20210423/d9b7-kpamyii4106568.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Survey: Half of Americans Want Major Economy Overhaul</b></p><p>As the U.S. enters a new normal, half the population is ready for a very different economy than before, according to a report published Thursday by Pew Research.</p><p>According to the survey, about 40% of Americans surveyed believe that after COVID-19 pandemic, the economy \"needs major changes\". One in ten Americans thinks it is necessary to \"completely overhaul\" the country's economic system.</p><p>On the contrary, only 12% of Americans believe that economic reform is not needed. About 38% said the U.S. economy only needs \"minor\" changes.</p><p>When asked what potential economic policies the government should enact, three-quarters of Americans surveyed said it was \"very important\" for the government to provide workers with more jobs and skills training. Nearly half of the respondents believe that it is \"very important\" to increase the government's welfare for the poor. While 44% of the respondents said it was essential for the government to take relevant measures for affordable housing.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210423/eb48-kpamyii4158790.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The U.S. Republican Party's opponent proposal for Biden's infrastructure plan totals only $568 billion</b></p><p>In response to U.S. President Joe Biden's $2.25 trillion infrastructure package, top Senate Republicans on Thursday proposed a total of $568 billion in an opponent package that focuses on more traditional infrastructure such as roads and bridges and does not include Democrats. Taxes on businesses are seeking.</p><p>The five-year plan more than doubles Biden's proposed spending on roads and bridges to $299 billion, with the rest spent on projects such as public transportation, rail, airports, water and broadband. Aside from references to taxing electric vehicles and reusing unspent funds, the package offers little specific information on how to fund the plan. The plan also specifically proposes to specifically oppose the cancellation of the tax reduction policy in 2017 or increase the national debt burden.</p><p>At a briefing announcing the package on Thursday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia and the top Republican on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, said, \"This is a strong package,\" and the largest package ever supported by the Republican Party. \"Its funding will be paid in full, which is critical.\"</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/116/w550h366/20210422/25fd-kpamyii3868870.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Stock goddess Wood's ARK says Bitcoin mining may be good for the planet</b></p><p>Bitcoin mining is usually slammed for consuming a lot of energy, but Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management points out that it may actually be good for the planet.</p><p>A report released by ARK Research Director Brett Winton and Yassine Elmandjra and Sam Korus said that cryptocurrency mining can drive the interest in<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Investment and enable the grid to access more renewable energy.</p><p>\"A world with Bitcoin, when in equilibrium, generates more electricity from renewable, carbon-free energy sources,\" they wrote.</p><p>Given ARK's large investments in Coinbase Global Inc. and Bitcoin, it has obvious interest motivations in promoting the green imprint of cryptocurrencies, and the above views are not widely accepted by other researchers. Citigroup recently said that the power consumption of Bitcoin mining has jumped 66 times since 2015; BCA Research Inc., for its part, said environmental concerns could erode Bitcoin's value over time.</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider2021423/294/w700h394/20210423/d31f-kpamyii4031551.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Consumer Reports easily fools the Model Y: It can drive itself without anyone in the driver's seat</b></p><p>Consumer Reports said today that its engineers easily fooled the experiment<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Model Y Electric vehicles.</p><p>According to Consumer Reports, the Model Y can be exercised in Autopilot mode when there is no one in the driver's seat. Obviously, if this happens on public roads, it will pose great danger.</p><p>On the half-mile closed test track, the Model Y drove itself several times, following the drawn lane lines. But the system doesn't warn and doesn't indicate in any way that the driver's seat is empty.</p><p>Jack Fisher, senior director of automotive testing at Consumer Reports, which conducted the experiment, said: \"In our assessment, the system [Autopilot] not only failed to ensure that the driver was attentive, but it simply couldn't tell if there was a driver there.\"</p><p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/162/w550h412/20210423/85a8-kpamyii4145976.png/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Faced with the potential regulatory shackles of Archegos liquidation, the $6 trillion family office will not surrender</b></p><p>The Archegos liquidation has made thousands of mysterious family offices face their biggest challenge on transparency in a decade. And they won't surrender without a fight.</p><p>Some lawmakers, regulators and consumer rights activists are pushing for family offices to disclose their internal operations. Family offices are controlled by minority shareholders and are less regulated, but they manage about $6 trillion in assets for the world's super-rich.</p><p>Current reform initiatives include requiring American family offices to register as investment advisers like most other investment firms and publicly disclose their positions on a quarterly basis.</p><p>These information disclosures can serve as a risk warning to regulators, investors and other Wall Street participants, but at the same time, they may also reveal their proprietary trading to competitors.</p><p>Advocates of strengthening regulators believe that Gary Gensler, the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), who is known for being tough on Wall Street, will hold the same view. \"Making an exception for family offices clearly doesn't make sense now, and we think the SEC will change that quickly,\" said Dennis Kelleher, CEO of lobbying group Better Markets.</p><p>It is reported that the SEC is separately evaluating the possibility of strengthening the disclosure requirements of positions of all investment companies, including family offices. The new disclosure requirements may include derivative positions and short targets.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-04-23/doc-ikmyaawc1285369.shtml\">新浪财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/770/w474h296/20210423/132f-kpamyii4153587.jpg/w720fin.jpg","relate_stocks":{"EBON":"亿邦国际","CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-04-23/doc-ikmyaawc1285369.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2129933994","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、拜登据悉拟对富人征收高达43.4%的资本利得税2、调查：半数美国人希望对经济进行重大改革3、美国共和党提出拜登基建计划的对手方案 总额仅5680亿美元4、女股神Wood麾下ARK称比特币挖矿可能对地球有好处5、《消费者报告》轻松骗过Model Y：驾驶位没人也能自动驾驶6、面对Archegos爆仓潜在监管枷锁 6万亿美元家族理财室不会束手就擒拜登据悉拟对富人征收高达43.4%的资本利得税知情人士透露，拜登计划提议将富人的资本利得税率提高近一倍至39.6%，加上现有的投资收益附加税，意味着投资者的联邦资本利得税率最高将达到43.4%。消息人士称，年收入不低于100万美元的人所适用资本利得税率将提高到39.6%，远超过当前20%的基本税率。加上为欧巴马医改提供资金的3.8%投资收益税率，资本利得税水平高于薪资税率的最高档。消息公布后，美国股市应声下跌，标普500指数一度下挫0.6%。10年期美债收益率回吐涨幅。白宫和财政部暂时没有回应置评请求。预计拜登将在下周发布该提案，增税的部分所得将用于“美国家庭计划”（American Families Plan）中的社会支出。调查：半数美国人希望对经济进行重大改革皮尤研究中心（Pew Research）周四发表的一份报告显示，随着美国进入新常态，半数人口已准备好迎接与以往截然不同的经济。调查显示，约40%的受访美国人认为，在新冠疫情之后，经济“需要重大改变”。十分之一的美国人则认为有必要“彻底改革”该国的经济体系。相反，只有12%的美国人认为不需要进行经济改革。约38%的人表示，美国经济只需要“微小的”改变。当被问及政府应制定哪些潜在的经济政策时，四分之三的受访美国人表示，政府为工人提供更多的工作和技能培训是“非常重要的”。近半受访者认为，增加政府对穷人的福利是“非常重要的”。而44%的受访者表示，政府为负担得起的住房采取相关措施至关重要。美国共和党提出拜登基建计划的对手方案 总额仅5680亿美元针对美国总统乔·拜登的2.25万亿美元一揽子基建计划，参议院高层共和党人周四提出了总额5680亿美元的对手方案，重点放在道路和桥梁等更传统的基础设施上，并且没有包含民主党所寻求的向企业加税。这项五年期计划将拜登提议的道路和桥梁开支增加了一倍以上，达到2990亿美元，其余的则用于公共交通、铁路、机场、用水和宽带等项目。除了提及对电动汽车征税和重新使用未动用的资金外，方案几乎没有提供如何为该计划提供资金的具体信息。该方案还专门提出特别反对取消2017年的减税政策或者增加国家债务负担。在周四宣布该方案的简报会上，西弗吉尼亚州联邦参议员、参议院环境与公共工程委员会的最高层共和党人Shelley Moore Capito表示，“这是一个强有力的方案，” 也是共和党有史以来支持的最大规模的方案。“它的资金将获得全额支付，这很关键。”女股神Wood麾下ARK称比特币挖矿可能对地球有好处比特币挖矿通常被抨击为大量消耗能源，但Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management却指出，实际上这可能对地球是有利的。ARK研究总监Brett Winton和Yassine Elmandjra、Sam Korus发布的一则报告称，加密货币挖矿可以推动对太阳能的投资，并能让电网获取更多可再生能源。他们写道：“拥有比特币的世界，在处于均衡状态时，会从可再生的无碳能源中产生更多的电力。”鉴于ARK在Coinbase Global Inc．和比特币领域的大量投资，其在推广加密货币的绿色印迹方面具有明显的利益动机，并且上述观点未被其他研究人员广泛接受。花旗集团最近表示，比特币挖矿的功耗自2015年以来已跃升66倍；BCA Research Inc．则表示，对环境的担忧可能会随着时间的推移侵蚀比特币的价值。《消费者报告》轻松骗过Model Y：驾驶位没人也能自动驾驶美国《消费者报告》（Consumer Reports）今日称，在实验中，其工程师轻松地骗过了特斯拉Model Y电动汽车。《消费者报告》称，在驾驶员座位上无人的情况下，Model Y可以在Autopilot模式下行使。显然，如果在公共道路上出现这种情况，将会带来极大的危险。在半英里的封闭测试赛道上，Model Y自动驾驶了几次，沿着绘制的车道线行驶。但系统没有发出警告，也没有以任何方式表明驾驶员的座位是空的。进行这项实验的《消费者报告》汽车测试高级总监杰克·费舍尔（Jack Fisher）表示：“在我们的评估中，该系统（Autopilot）不仅未能确保司机专心，而且根本无法判断那里是否有司机。”面对Archegos爆仓潜在监管枷锁 6万亿美元家族理财室不会束手就擒Archegos爆仓使成千上万神秘的家族理财室在透明度问题上遭遇十年来最大挑战。而他们不会不战而降。一些议员、监管官员和消费者权益保护人士正推动让家族理财室披露内部运作。家族理财室属于少数股东控股，所受监管较少，却为全球超级富豪管理着大约6万亿美元资产。目前的改革倡议包括要求美国家族理财室像其它多数投资公司一样注册为投资顾问，按季度公开披露持仓情况。这些信息披露可以对监管机构、投资者和其他华尔街参与者起到风险警示作用，但同时也可能向竞争对手透露其自营交易情况。主张加强监管者认为，以对华尔街强硬著称的新任证券交易委员会（SEC）主席Gary Gensler将抱有同样主张。“给家族理财室破例现在显然说不通了，我们认为SEC将迅速改变这种状况，”游说组织Better Markets的首席执行官Dennis Kelleher表示。有报道称，SEC正单独评估加强包括家族理财室在内所有投资公司持仓披露规定的可能性。新的披露规定可能包括衍生品头寸及做空对象。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"EBON":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"CAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579141850161287","authorId":"3579141850161287","name":"GoaOn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c41bfb0b74d5d9d2f6a9ec08f3a8cb42","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579141850161287","authorIdStr":"3579141850161287"},"content":"shock the whole market","text":"shock the whole market","html":"shock the whole market"},{"author":{"id":"3569028586400878","authorId":"3569028586400878","name":"Miaw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd318611f16b0eb6de098c8b733c85fd","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569028586400878","authorIdStr":"3569028586400878"},"content":"Because we're mortal, [Sly]","text":"Because we're mortal, [Sly]","html":"Because we're mortal, [Sly]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169597050,"gmtCreate":1623841725070,"gmtModify":1703821058975,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169597050","repostId":"1159413534","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159413534","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623818212,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159413534?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 12:36","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"How to predict the European Cup with stock strategy: teams are also divided into large, medium and small caps","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159413534","media":"一凌策略研究","summary":"欧洲杯历史上成长/价值和大盘/小盘之间的相生相克，实力并不代表一切。","content":"<p>CORE POINT</p><p><b>1. The history of the European Cup in the eyes of strategy researchers: the cycle of growth and value</b></p><p>The European Cup, which was delayed due to the epidemic, will officially start in the early morning of June 12th, Beijing time. This is a feast for football fans all over the world, and who will win the Delauno Cup is also the biggest question mark at the moment. We will first divide the 24 national teams shortlisted for the 2020 European Cup into large market, middle market and small market according to their current value, and divide each team into two styles: growth and value according to the attribute values of the players of each team in FIFA21 and the relative strength of offensive and defensive attributes. Through the review of historical records, we find that growth (attack) is the eternal theme of the European Cup, and market growth (offensive strong teams) always seems to dominate. But football is round. In the history of the European Cup, Italy, a defensive counter-attack giant with \"large market value\" style, won the championship, and Denmark, a dark horse with \"small and medium cap growth\", and Greece with \"small and medium cap value\" won the championship. Perhaps the charm of football lies in uncertainty itself.</p><p><b>2. Historical law: the mutual reinforcement between growth/value and large market/small market</b></p><p>Through the statistics of the dialogue between various styles in the history of the European Cup, we can find that: (1) it seems difficult for teams with large-cap growth style to take advantage of opponents with large-cap value style, and their restraint on small and medium-cap style teams is the main support for their excellent achievements in the European Cup; (2) No matter whether it is a team with market growth or market value style, when facing small and medium-sized teams, the suppression of growth style is far inferior to that of value style. For giants, small and medium-sized teams that are good at attacking are often more difficult; In the face of small and medium-sized teams with value style, giants can often find the defensive loopholes of small and medium-sized teams in constant temptation, so as to win; (3) The team with mid-cap growth style has not yet tasted the mid-cap value style, while the mid-cap value currently maintains a 100% winning rate against the small-cap value; The winning rate of small-cap value against small-cap growth is also as high as 100%; When the small-cap growth-style team plays against the mid-cap growth-style team, it has not lost yet, with a winning percentage of 71%. It is surprising that such fatalistic style contradiction between small and medium-cap teams.</p><p><b>3. Inventory of book strength: market growth (offensive giants) is better, but strength is not everything</b></p><p>For this European Cup, we divide the offensive and defensive attributes of each team and the unbeaten rate (the proportion of victories or draws) of each team against other participating teams after the last European Cup into six grades from high to low, giving a score of 6 to 1, and finally summarizing the total score of each team. As a result, the strength of Spain, France, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium is relatively superior, while Denmark, Austria and Croatia have dark horse potential. The high premium given by bookmakers for England seems to be contrary to our strength calculation. However, strength is only a part, and uncertainty and contingency in the football world are also eternal melodies.</p><p><b>4. Unexpected results: The simulation results show that due to factors such as grouping and mutual restraint, the Italian team with poor book strength is the most likely to win the championship</b></p><p>The competition for the championship is not determined by a single strength, but only the winning percentage. According to the grouping form, referring to the historical record of each participating team, the current strength ranking and the winning rate between historical styles as the basis of winning or losing probability, we use Monte Carlo algorithm to conduct 10,000 simulations. The results show that the Italian team with unpopular book data is the most likely to win the Delauno Cup, and the strong Spain ranks second in the probability of winning the championship. Among the teams most likely to enter the semi-finals, Portugal and France occupy the other two seats; The probability of Austria, Turkey and Scotland entering the semi-finals is also as high as 20%, which is expected to become dark horses. An interesting phenomenon is: according to our prediction, in this European Cup, whether it is a champion candidate or a dark horse, the value (defensive) style is expected to usher in a long-lost return.</p><p>1. Phantom of Football: The Influence of the European Cup Industry</p><p>In order to celebrate the 60th anniversary of the birth of the European Cup, let more countries participate in the European Cup, and take into account the needs of epidemic prevention and control, compared with previous ones hosted by a single or two countries, this European Cup has been revised to be held in 11 cities in different countries, and although spectators can enter, the attendance rate is strictly controlled, which will cause ticket revenue to drop sharply compared with previous ones. However, despite many differences and various restrictions, the huge economic benefits brought by this European Cup (compared with ticket revenue, TV broadcast, advertising sponsorship and other economic benefits account for a higher proportion, and the latter is less affected by epidemic prevention and control) is still expected to increase and will be shared by many countries. The current severe political and economic situation in Europe is expected to be eased to some extent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea6046a05cd10d6a2a529976670b9b68\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49adc01b32f7d59d274e51df61e81e0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>2. European Cup past events</p><p><b>2.1 Past events of the European Cup: the European Cup in the eyes of strategy researchers</b></p><p>We will first divide the 24 national teams shortlisted for Euro 2020 according to their current value<b>Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap</b>According to the attribute values of the players participating in each team in FIFA21, each team is divided into<b>Growth and Value</b>Two styles, so far the main style division of each participating team has been completed. We found that among the well-known giants, only<b>Italy and England</b>It is a market value style, that is, it is good at defense, and<b>For some small and medium-sized teams, value style occupies the majority, that is, based on defense, waiting for opportunities to fight back is their common winning strategy</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9bf85201b1ef8117f396779f14cf493\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"715\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>2.2 Past Events of the European Cup: Eternal Growth, Value of Attack</b></p><p>In the world of football, when a team forms a certain football style, this style is often passed down among generations of players, such as Germany's \"iron blood\", Italy's \"defense\" and Holland's \"total attack and total defense\".</p><p>After we have finished the division of alternative styles of each participating team, growth is the eternal theme of the European Cup, and the growth of the market always seems to dominate. But football is round: in the history of the European Cup, Italy, a defensive and counter-attack giant with \"large-cap value\" style, won the championship, and Denmark, a dark horse with \"small and medium-cap growth\", and Greece with \"small and medium-cap value\" won the championship. Perhaps the charm of football lies in uncertainty itself.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93b9be91f89b289a88e09868cc7f5884\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>2.3 European Cup Past Events: Historical Collision between Different Styles</b></p><p>Then we counted the dialogues between various styles in the history of the European Cup, and found the following interesting phenomena:</p><p><ul><li>Although there are mostly draws in dialogues with the giants of growth and value style, from the perspective of winning percentage,<b>Large-market growth style teams seem difficult to take advantage of large-market value style opponents</b>, and its stable ability to \"abuse vegetables\" (which has an absolute advantage over small and medium-sized style teams) is the main support for its excellent results in the European Cup.<b>However, the winning percentage of teams with large-cap value style is not high against teams with small and medium-cap growth style, and it is easy to draw and be dragged into penalty shootout, which increases the probability of \"rollover\"</b>。</p><p></li><li>Whether it is a team with market growth or market value style, when facing a small and medium-cap style team,<b>The suppression of growth style is far less than that of value style</b>, which also means that for rich families,<b>Small and medium-sized teams that are good at attacking are often more difficult and easily upset</b>； When facing small and medium-sized teams with value style,<b>The powerful scene control and excellent personal ability of the giants can often find the defensive loopholes of small and medium-sized teams in constant temptation, so as to win</b>。</p><p></li><li>The team with mid-cap growth style has not yet tasted the mid-cap value style, while the mid-cap value currently maintains a 100% winning rate over the small-cap value. However, the mid-cap value has maintained a 100% winning rate over the small-cap value so far, which is obviously suppressed; The winning rate of small-cap value against small-cap growth is also as high as 100%. Surprisingly, when the small-cap growth team plays against the mid-cap growth team, it has not yet lost, and the winning rate is as high as 71%. It is surprising that there is such an obvious style disagreement.</p><p></li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e96317bf9f840e7bd9b94d73de65c40\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd35f1f69d22410028e506ccdb086b55\" tg-width=\"823\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>3. Talk about the European Cup today: the strength ranking of the current participating teams</p><p>In the last European Cup (2016), Portugal stumbled all the way. In the final, it beat the host France with a goal, and won the Delaunay Cup for the first time in history, showing its true colors as a dark horse. Cristiano Ronaldo was elected as the best player in the tournament, and the butterfly finally flew across the sea. Times have changed. For this European Cup, we divide the offensive and defensive attributes of each team and the unbeaten rate (the proportion of victories or draws) of each team against other participating teams after the last European Cup into six grades from high to low, giving a score of 6 to 1, and finally summarizing the total score of each team. As a result, the strength of Spain, France, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium is relatively superior, while Denmark, Austria and Croatia have dark horse potential. The high premium given by bookmakers for England seems to be contrary to our strength calculation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0378fb35c4c5207ee47227c00c99b9a\" tg-width=\"809\" tg-height=\"812\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31fe8c2491c510b0b7e82b0916d6e9c6\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>4. European Cup prediction</p><p><b>4.1 European Cup Prediction: Not only the time, but the value returns</b></p><p>The competition for the championship is not determined by a single strength. Strength is only the winning percentage. According to the grouping form, we refer to the historical record of each participating team, the winning percentage between styles and the current strength ranking as the basis of winning and losing probability. Using Monte Carlo algorithm for 10,000 simulations, the results show that compared with France and England, which have higher voices, the model seems to be<b>Italy and Spain</b>More optimistic, the probability of winning the championship is over 20%, and among the teams entering the semi-finals, the probability of Portugal, Spain, France and Italy is far ahead; The probability of Austria, Turkey and Scotland entering the semi-finals is also as high as 20%, even surpassing the giants England, the Netherlands and Belgium, and are expected to become dark horses. An interesting phenomenon is that according to our predictions,<b>In this European Cup, whether it is a championship candidate or a dark horse, the value (defensive) style is expected to usher in a long-lost return</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1de4611d75e38d26b8fec3722422102f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>4.2 European Cup Prediction: The Road to the Birth of Legends</b></p><p>Then we give the most likely promotion route to the top 16 in the forecast, with the top eight being Belgium, Italy, France, Scotland, Spain, Germany, Portugal and Turkey; The semi-finals are Italy, France, Spain and Turkey, and the champion is Italy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4a182b0e9c0e5cc367fabea15b63f88\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>5. Risk warning</p><p>The prediction is based on historical data prediction, and there is great uncertainty in football matches, so the prediction results are for reference only.</p>","source":"lsy1597136054223","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to predict the European Cup with stock strategy: teams are also divided into large, medium and small caps</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to predict the European Cup with stock strategy: teams are also divided into large, medium and small caps\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">一凌策略研究</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 12:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>CORE POINT</p><p><b>1. The history of the European Cup in the eyes of strategy researchers: the cycle of growth and value</b></p><p>The European Cup, which was delayed due to the epidemic, will officially start in the early morning of June 12th, Beijing time. This is a feast for football fans all over the world, and who will win the Delauno Cup is also the biggest question mark at the moment. We will first divide the 24 national teams shortlisted for the 2020 European Cup into large market, middle market and small market according to their current value, and divide each team into two styles: growth and value according to the attribute values of the players of each team in FIFA21 and the relative strength of offensive and defensive attributes. Through the review of historical records, we find that growth (attack) is the eternal theme of the European Cup, and market growth (offensive strong teams) always seems to dominate. But football is round. In the history of the European Cup, Italy, a defensive counter-attack giant with \"large market value\" style, won the championship, and Denmark, a dark horse with \"small and medium cap growth\", and Greece with \"small and medium cap value\" won the championship. Perhaps the charm of football lies in uncertainty itself.</p><p><b>2. Historical law: the mutual reinforcement between growth/value and large market/small market</b></p><p>Through the statistics of the dialogue between various styles in the history of the European Cup, we can find that: (1) it seems difficult for teams with large-cap growth style to take advantage of opponents with large-cap value style, and their restraint on small and medium-cap style teams is the main support for their excellent achievements in the European Cup; (2) No matter whether it is a team with market growth or market value style, when facing small and medium-sized teams, the suppression of growth style is far inferior to that of value style. For giants, small and medium-sized teams that are good at attacking are often more difficult; In the face of small and medium-sized teams with value style, giants can often find the defensive loopholes of small and medium-sized teams in constant temptation, so as to win; (3) The team with mid-cap growth style has not yet tasted the mid-cap value style, while the mid-cap value currently maintains a 100% winning rate against the small-cap value; The winning rate of small-cap value against small-cap growth is also as high as 100%; When the small-cap growth-style team plays against the mid-cap growth-style team, it has not lost yet, with a winning percentage of 71%. It is surprising that such fatalistic style contradiction between small and medium-cap teams.</p><p><b>3. Inventory of book strength: market growth (offensive giants) is better, but strength is not everything</b></p><p>For this European Cup, we divide the offensive and defensive attributes of each team and the unbeaten rate (the proportion of victories or draws) of each team against other participating teams after the last European Cup into six grades from high to low, giving a score of 6 to 1, and finally summarizing the total score of each team. As a result, the strength of Spain, France, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium is relatively superior, while Denmark, Austria and Croatia have dark horse potential. The high premium given by bookmakers for England seems to be contrary to our strength calculation. However, strength is only a part, and uncertainty and contingency in the football world are also eternal melodies.</p><p><b>4. Unexpected results: The simulation results show that due to factors such as grouping and mutual restraint, the Italian team with poor book strength is the most likely to win the championship</b></p><p>The competition for the championship is not determined by a single strength, but only the winning percentage. According to the grouping form, referring to the historical record of each participating team, the current strength ranking and the winning rate between historical styles as the basis of winning or losing probability, we use Monte Carlo algorithm to conduct 10,000 simulations. The results show that the Italian team with unpopular book data is the most likely to win the Delauno Cup, and the strong Spain ranks second in the probability of winning the championship. Among the teams most likely to enter the semi-finals, Portugal and France occupy the other two seats; The probability of Austria, Turkey and Scotland entering the semi-finals is also as high as 20%, which is expected to become dark horses. An interesting phenomenon is: according to our prediction, in this European Cup, whether it is a champion candidate or a dark horse, the value (defensive) style is expected to usher in a long-lost return.</p><p>1. Phantom of Football: The Influence of the European Cup Industry</p><p>In order to celebrate the 60th anniversary of the birth of the European Cup, let more countries participate in the European Cup, and take into account the needs of epidemic prevention and control, compared with previous ones hosted by a single or two countries, this European Cup has been revised to be held in 11 cities in different countries, and although spectators can enter, the attendance rate is strictly controlled, which will cause ticket revenue to drop sharply compared with previous ones. However, despite many differences and various restrictions, the huge economic benefits brought by this European Cup (compared with ticket revenue, TV broadcast, advertising sponsorship and other economic benefits account for a higher proportion, and the latter is less affected by epidemic prevention and control) is still expected to increase and will be shared by many countries. The current severe political and economic situation in Europe is expected to be eased to some extent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea6046a05cd10d6a2a529976670b9b68\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49adc01b32f7d59d274e51df61e81e0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>2. European Cup past events</p><p><b>2.1 Past events of the European Cup: the European Cup in the eyes of strategy researchers</b></p><p>We will first divide the 24 national teams shortlisted for Euro 2020 according to their current value<b>Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap</b>According to the attribute values of the players participating in each team in FIFA21, each team is divided into<b>Growth and Value</b>Two styles, so far the main style division of each participating team has been completed. We found that among the well-known giants, only<b>Italy and England</b>It is a market value style, that is, it is good at defense, and<b>For some small and medium-sized teams, value style occupies the majority, that is, based on defense, waiting for opportunities to fight back is their common winning strategy</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9bf85201b1ef8117f396779f14cf493\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"715\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>2.2 Past Events of the European Cup: Eternal Growth, Value of Attack</b></p><p>In the world of football, when a team forms a certain football style, this style is often passed down among generations of players, such as Germany's \"iron blood\", Italy's \"defense\" and Holland's \"total attack and total defense\".</p><p>After we have finished the division of alternative styles of each participating team, growth is the eternal theme of the European Cup, and the growth of the market always seems to dominate. But football is round: in the history of the European Cup, Italy, a defensive and counter-attack giant with \"large-cap value\" style, won the championship, and Denmark, a dark horse with \"small and medium-cap growth\", and Greece with \"small and medium-cap value\" won the championship. Perhaps the charm of football lies in uncertainty itself.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93b9be91f89b289a88e09868cc7f5884\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>2.3 European Cup Past Events: Historical Collision between Different Styles</b></p><p>Then we counted the dialogues between various styles in the history of the European Cup, and found the following interesting phenomena:</p><p><ul><li>Although there are mostly draws in dialogues with the giants of growth and value style, from the perspective of winning percentage,<b>Large-market growth style teams seem difficult to take advantage of large-market value style opponents</b>, and its stable ability to \"abuse vegetables\" (which has an absolute advantage over small and medium-sized style teams) is the main support for its excellent results in the European Cup.<b>However, the winning percentage of teams with large-cap value style is not high against teams with small and medium-cap growth style, and it is easy to draw and be dragged into penalty shootout, which increases the probability of \"rollover\"</b>。</p><p></li><li>Whether it is a team with market growth or market value style, when facing a small and medium-cap style team,<b>The suppression of growth style is far less than that of value style</b>, which also means that for rich families,<b>Small and medium-sized teams that are good at attacking are often more difficult and easily upset</b>； When facing small and medium-sized teams with value style,<b>The powerful scene control and excellent personal ability of the giants can often find the defensive loopholes of small and medium-sized teams in constant temptation, so as to win</b>。</p><p></li><li>The team with mid-cap growth style has not yet tasted the mid-cap value style, while the mid-cap value currently maintains a 100% winning rate over the small-cap value. However, the mid-cap value has maintained a 100% winning rate over the small-cap value so far, which is obviously suppressed; The winning rate of small-cap value against small-cap growth is also as high as 100%. Surprisingly, when the small-cap growth team plays against the mid-cap growth team, it has not yet lost, and the winning rate is as high as 71%. It is surprising that there is such an obvious style disagreement.</p><p></li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e96317bf9f840e7bd9b94d73de65c40\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd35f1f69d22410028e506ccdb086b55\" tg-width=\"823\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>3. Talk about the European Cup today: the strength ranking of the current participating teams</p><p>In the last European Cup (2016), Portugal stumbled all the way. In the final, it beat the host France with a goal, and won the Delaunay Cup for the first time in history, showing its true colors as a dark horse. Cristiano Ronaldo was elected as the best player in the tournament, and the butterfly finally flew across the sea. Times have changed. For this European Cup, we divide the offensive and defensive attributes of each team and the unbeaten rate (the proportion of victories or draws) of each team against other participating teams after the last European Cup into six grades from high to low, giving a score of 6 to 1, and finally summarizing the total score of each team. As a result, the strength of Spain, France, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium is relatively superior, while Denmark, Austria and Croatia have dark horse potential. The high premium given by bookmakers for England seems to be contrary to our strength calculation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0378fb35c4c5207ee47227c00c99b9a\" tg-width=\"809\" tg-height=\"812\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31fe8c2491c510b0b7e82b0916d6e9c6\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>4. European Cup prediction</p><p><b>4.1 European Cup Prediction: Not only the time, but the value returns</b></p><p>The competition for the championship is not determined by a single strength. Strength is only the winning percentage. According to the grouping form, we refer to the historical record of each participating team, the winning percentage between styles and the current strength ranking as the basis of winning and losing probability. Using Monte Carlo algorithm for 10,000 simulations, the results show that compared with France and England, which have higher voices, the model seems to be<b>Italy and Spain</b>More optimistic, the probability of winning the championship is over 20%, and among the teams entering the semi-finals, the probability of Portugal, Spain, France and Italy is far ahead; The probability of Austria, Turkey and Scotland entering the semi-finals is also as high as 20%, even surpassing the giants England, the Netherlands and Belgium, and are expected to become dark horses. An interesting phenomenon is that according to our predictions,<b>In this European Cup, whether it is a championship candidate or a dark horse, the value (defensive) style is expected to usher in a long-lost return</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1de4611d75e38d26b8fec3722422102f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>4.2 European Cup Prediction: The Road to the Birth of Legends</b></p><p>Then we give the most likely promotion route to the top 16 in the forecast, with the top eight being Belgium, Italy, France, Scotland, Spain, Germany, Portugal and Turkey; The semi-finals are Italy, France, Spain and Turkey, and the champion is Italy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4a182b0e9c0e5cc367fabea15b63f88\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>5. Risk warning</p><p>The prediction is based on historical data prediction, and there is great uncertainty in football matches, so the prediction results are for reference only.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI2MDkzOTc3Nw==&mid=2247497832&idx=1&sn=76757893f1c4c257c1e132833857f026&chksm=ea60b106dd1738104b091bd07ad5c0fb1162194cdc1ca9435f37314aa41c03e4fe174eb469f6&scene=126&&sessionid=1623406425\">一凌策略研究</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d5573b681a3f625a02cfcfda9e1d5d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI2MDkzOTc3Nw==&mid=2247497832&idx=1&sn=76757893f1c4c257c1e132833857f026&chksm=ea60b106dd1738104b091bd07ad5c0fb1162194cdc1ca9435f37314aa41c03e4fe174eb469f6&scene=126&&sessionid=1623406425","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159413534","content_text":"核心观点\n1、策略研究员眼中的欧洲杯历史：成长与价值的轮回\n受疫情原因延后的欧洲杯将于北京时间6月12日凌晨正式开赛，这是一场全球足球迷的盛宴，德劳诺杯花落谁家也是当下最大的问号。我们将入围2020年欧洲杯正赛的24支国家队首先按当前的身价大小划分为大盘、中盘与小盘，并按照各队参赛球员在FIFA21中的属性值，依据进攻与防守属性的相对强弱将各队划分为成长与价值两种风格。通过历史战绩的回顾，我们发现：成长（进攻）是欧洲杯永远的主题，大盘成长（进攻型强队）似乎总是主导。但是足球是圆的，欧洲杯历史上有“大盘价值”风格的防守反击型豪门意大利夺冠，也有“中小盘成长”的黑马丹麦与“中小盘价值”的希腊夺得冠军。足球的魅力或许就在于不确定性本身。\n2、历史规律：成长/价值和大盘/小盘之间的相生相克\n通过统计欧洲杯历史上各种风格之间的彼此对话，可以发现：（1）大盘成长风格的球队似乎很难在大盘价值风格的对手上占到便宜，而其对中小盘风格球队的克制是其在欧洲杯上优异的成绩主要支撑；（2）无论是大盘成长还是大盘价值风格的球队，在面对中小盘风格球队之时，对于成长风格的压制力远逊于对于价值风格的压制，对于豪门而言，擅长进攻的中小球队往往更为棘手；而在面对价值风格的中小球队时，豪门往往能够在不断试探中寻觅到中小球队的防守漏洞，从而获得胜利；（3）中盘成长风格的球队对中盘价值风格目前尚未尝负，而中盘价值对小盘价值目前维持着100%胜率；而小盘价值对小盘成长胜率同样高达100%；小盘成长风格的球队对阵中盘成长风格的球队之时，目前尚未一败，胜率高达71%。中小盘球队之间的如此宿命般的风格相克令人惊讶。\n3、账面实力盘点：大盘成长（进攻型豪门）更胜一筹，然而实力并不是一切\n对于本次欧洲杯，我们对各队进攻、防守属性以及上一届欧洲杯后的各队面对其他参赛队伍的不败率（胜利或平局的场次占比）进行分档，由高到低分为6档，给予6至1的评分，最后汇总得到各队的总评分。从结果上看，西班牙、法国、荷兰、德国与比利时的实力相对更胜一筹，而丹麦、奥地利、克罗地亚具备黑马潜力。博彩公司对于英格兰给出的高溢价，似乎与我们的实力测算相悖。然而，实力仅仅只是一部分，足球世界里的不确定性与偶然性同样是永恒的旋律。\n4、意外的结果：模拟结果显示由于分组和相互克制等因素，账面实力不佳的意大利队才最有希望夺得冠军\n冠军的角逐并不是由单一实力高低决定，实力只是胜率。我们根据分组形式，参照各支参赛队伍之间的历史战绩、当前的实力排名和历史风格之间胜率作为胜负概率依据，采用蒙特卡洛算法进行10000次模拟，结果显示：账面数据并不热门的意大利队才最有可能捧起德劳诺杯，实力强劲的西班牙夺冠概率位居第二，而在最有可能进入四强的队伍中，葡萄牙与法国占据另外两个席位；而奥地利、土耳其、苏格兰进入四强的概率同样高达20%以上，有望成为黑马。一个有意思的现象是：根据我们的预测，在本届欧洲杯中，无论是冠军候选人还是黑马，价值（防守）风格有望迎来久违的回归。\n1. 足球魅影：欧洲杯产业的影响力\n为庆祝欧洲杯诞辰60周年，让更多国家参与到欧洲杯之中，同时考虑到疫情防控需求，相较于往届由单一或两个左右的国家承办，本届欧洲杯修改为在11座不同国家的城市中进行，并且尽管有观众可以入场，但是严格控制了上座率，这将使得门票收入相较往届出现大幅下滑。然而尽管存在诸多不同与各种限制，本届欧洲杯所带来的巨大经济效益（相较于门票收入，电视转播、广告赞助等经济效益占比更高，而后者并受疫情防控影响较小）却依然有望有增无减，并且将被多个国家所分享，当前欧洲严峻的政治与经济形势有望得以一定缓和。\n\n\n2. 欧洲杯往事\n2.1 欧洲杯往事：策略研究员眼中的欧洲杯\n我们将入围2020年欧洲杯正赛的24支国家队首先按当前的身价大小划分为大盘、中盘与小盘，并按照各队参赛球员在FIFA21中的属性值，依据进攻与防守属性的相对强弱将各队划分为成长与价值两种风格，至此完成对各支参赛球队的主要风格划分。我们发现，在大家熟知的豪门球队之中，仅有意大利与英格兰为大盘价值风格，即以防守见长，而对于一些中小球队而言，价值风格占据多数，即立足于防守，伺机打反击是他们常用的赢球策略。\n\n2.2欧洲杯往事：永恒的成长，进击的价值\n足球世界里，当球队形成某一种足球风格时，这种风格往往会在一代又一代的球员之中进行传承，比如德国的“铁血”，意大利的“防守”，荷兰的“全攻全守”。\n我们在完成对各个参赛队伍的另类风格划分后，成长是欧洲杯永远的主题，大盘成长似乎总是主导。但是足球是圆的：欧洲杯历史上有“大盘价值”风格的防守反击型豪门意大利夺冠，也有“中小盘成长”的黑马丹麦与“中小盘价值”的希腊夺得冠军。足球的魅力或许就在于不确定性本身。\n\n2.3 欧洲杯往事：不同风格间的历史碰撞\n我们接着统计了欧洲杯历史上各种风格之间的彼此对话，发现了以下几个有趣的现象：\n\n成长与价值风格的豪门对话虽然平局居多，然而从胜率看，大盘成长风格的球队似乎很难在大盘价值风格的对手上占到便宜，而其稳定的“虐菜”能力（对中小盘风格球队占据绝对的优势）是其在欧洲杯上优异的成绩主要支撑。而大盘价值风格的球队对中小盘成长风格的球队胜率却并不高，容易打平被拖入点球大战，加大了“翻车”几率。\n无论是大盘成长还是大盘价值风格的球队，在面对中小盘风格球队之时，对于成长风格的压制力远逊于对于价值风格，这也意味着对于豪门而言，擅长进攻的中小球队往往更为棘手，容易被爆冷；而在面对价值风格的中小球队时，豪门强大的场面控制力与出色的个人能力往往能够在不断试探中寻觅到中小球队的防守漏洞，从而获得胜利。\n中盘成长风格的球队对中盘价值风格目前尚未尝负，而中盘价值对小盘价值目前维持着100%胜率，然而中盘价值对小盘价值却至今保持100%胜率，存在明显压制；而小盘价值对小盘成长胜率同样高达100%，令人意外的是，小盘成长风格的球队对阵中盘成长风格的球队之时，目前尚未一败，胜率高达71%，存在如此明显的风格相克现象令人惊讶。\n\n\n\n\n3. 欧洲杯今谈：当前参赛队伍的实力排名\n\n在上一届欧洲杯（2016年）中，葡萄牙一路跌跌撞撞，决赛一球绝杀东道主法国，历史首捧德劳内杯，尽显黑马本色，克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多当选赛事最佳球员，蝴蝶终于飞过沧海。时过境迁，对于本次欧洲杯，我们对各队进攻、防守属性以及上一届欧洲杯后的各队面对其他参赛队伍的不败率（胜利或平局的场次占比）进行分档，由高到低分为6档，给予6至1的评分，最后汇总得到各队的总评分。从结果上看，西班牙、法国、荷兰、德国与比利时的实力相对更胜一筹，而丹麦、奥地利、克罗地亚具备黑马潜力。博彩公司对于英格兰给出的高溢价，似乎与我们的实力测算相悖。\n\n\n4. 欧洲杯预测\n4.1 欧洲杯预测：非惟天时，价值回归\n冠军的角逐并不是由单一实力高低决定，实力只是胜率我们根据分组形式，参照各支参赛队伍之间的历史战绩、风格之间胜率和当前的实力排名作为胜负概率依据，采用蒙特卡洛算法进行10000次模拟，结果显示：与呼声较高的法国、英格兰相比，模型似乎对意大利与西班牙更为看好，夺冠概率均超过20%，而在进入四强的队伍中，葡萄牙、西班牙、法国与意大利的概率遥遥领先；而奥地利、土耳其、苏格兰进入四强的概率同样高达20%以上，甚至超过豪门英格兰、荷兰与比利时，有望成为黑马。一个有意思的现象是：根据我们的预测，在本届欧洲杯中，无论是冠军候选人还是黑马，价值（防守）风格有望迎来久违的回归。\n\n4.2 欧洲杯预测：传奇诞生之路\n我们接着给出预测中最有可能的16强晋级路线，八强为比利时、意大利、法国、苏格兰、西班牙、德国、葡萄牙、土耳其；四强为意大利、法国、西班牙与土耳其，冠军为意大利。\n\n5. 风险提示\n预测基于历史数据预测，而足球比赛存在较大不确定性，因此预测结果仅供参考。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561947625505294","authorId":"3561947625505294","name":"jianguang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba8bad94c928a5789228b91d99514252","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3561947625505294","authorIdStr":"3561947625505294"},"content":"I'm meow meow again","text":"I'm meow meow again","html":"I'm meow meow again"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136023812,"gmtCreate":1621986714936,"gmtModify":1704365411776,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting you perform ?","listText":"Waiting you perform ?","text":"Waiting you perform ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136023812","repostId":"1124239903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124239903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621953892,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124239903?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-25 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Penn National Rise to the Top of the Gambling Industry?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124239903","media":"investing","summary":"The price of shares of Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN) is expected to gain significantly as peopl","content":"<p>The price of shares of Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN) is expected to gain significantly as people return to live sports betting as life returns to normal with the faster-than-expected success of the COVID-19 vaccination drive in the United States. Furthermore, propelled by the expansion of its Barstool Sports Betting app in new states, we think PENN should see substantial growth in its user base in the coming months. Read on for details.Penn National Gaming, Inc. (PENN) is an operator of video gaming terminals, live sports betting and racing properties in the United States. The launch of PENN’s online Barstool Sportsbook in Michigan and Illinois, as well as the company’s fully integrated player loyalty program, have bolstered its growth in the first quarter of 2021. The stock has gained 163.9% over the past year and 9.4% over the past six months.</p><p>A substantial uptick in player visitation and spend-per-visit has helped the company to improve its profit margin significantly. Also, responsible reopening efforts amid a ramped-up vaccine roll out in the United States and pent-up demand for gaming should keep driving the company’s performance in the near term.</p><p>Because PENN remains focused on achieving top-three gaming revenue market share for Barstool Sportsbook, we believe it is well-positioned to soar.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Penn National Rise to the Top of the Gambling Industry?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Penn National Rise to the Top of the Gambling Industry?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-25 22:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/can-penn-national-rise-to-the-top-of-the-gambling-industry-2515379><strong>investing</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The price of shares of Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN) is expected to gain significantly as people return to live sports betting as life returns to normal with the faster-than-expected success of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/can-penn-national-rise-to-the-top-of-the-gambling-industry-2515379\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PENN":"佩恩国民博彩"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/can-penn-national-rise-to-the-top-of-the-gambling-industry-2515379","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124239903","content_text":"The price of shares of Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:PENN) is expected to gain significantly as people return to live sports betting as life returns to normal with the faster-than-expected success of the COVID-19 vaccination drive in the United States. Furthermore, propelled by the expansion of its Barstool Sports Betting app in new states, we think PENN should see substantial growth in its user base in the coming months. Read on for details.Penn National Gaming, Inc. (PENN) is an operator of video gaming terminals, live sports betting and racing properties in the United States. The launch of PENN’s online Barstool Sportsbook in Michigan and Illinois, as well as the company’s fully integrated player loyalty program, have bolstered its growth in the first quarter of 2021. The stock has gained 163.9% over the past year and 9.4% over the past six months.A substantial uptick in player visitation and spend-per-visit has helped the company to improve its profit margin significantly. Also, responsible reopening efforts amid a ramped-up vaccine roll out in the United States and pent-up demand for gaming should keep driving the company’s performance in the near term.Because PENN remains focused on achieving top-three gaming revenue market share for Barstool Sportsbook, we believe it is well-positioned to soar.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PENN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164171569,"gmtCreate":1624186419851,"gmtModify":1703830328400,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164171569","repostId":"1129554767","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129554767","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624183832,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129554767?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-20 18:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Preview: Powell joins hands with US core inflation data to hit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129554767","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周二关键词：美联储主席鲍威尔讲话周二经济数据方面，主要关注英国6月CBI工业订单差值、美国5月成屋销售年化总数、欧元区6月消费者信心指数。","content":"<p><b>Summary:</b></p><p><b>Economic data:</b>China LPR Rate, US PCE Price Index, US Jobless Claims, US Markit Manufacturing PMI Initial...<b>For new shares:</b>China's leading digital freight platform \"Manbang\" and \"the first social metaverse stock\" Soul will be listed soon;<b>In terms of events:</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and a number of Federal Reserve officials delivered intensive speeches;<b>Financial report:</b>Nike, BlackBerry, JinkoSolar, Yidu Technology and many other companies will announce financial reports.<b>Monday (June 21) Keywords: China LPR interest rate</b></p><p><b>There was less economic data on Monday, mainly focusing on China's LPR interest rate data.</b></p><p>The Bloomberg Asia economist team wrote that the People's Bank of China's latest medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation rate was stable, indicating that the loan market quoted rate (LPR) will remain unchanged in June. China's latest economic activity data offers no pressing reason for the central bank to change its policy track.</p><p><b>China's one-year loan market quoted rate (the reference rate for bank-to-enterprise loans) may remain at 3.85% in June. The five-year LPR (mortgage reference rate) is likely to remain at 4.65%.</b></p><p><b>There were also relatively few risk events on Monday. During the European session, we mainly paid attention to the speeches of Bank of England officials. Among them, Vice Governor of Prudential Supervision Woods delivered a speech on climate risk scenario planning, and Fintech Director Tom Mutton delivered a speech on encrypted assets, stablecoins and digital currencies.</b></p><p>New York session,<b>FOMC permanent voting committee member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech at the banking conference.</b>Needs attention.</p><p><b>Tuesday (June 22) Keywords: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c64fef53276362a340b4399b87f3b7\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In terms of economic data on Tuesday, the main focus is on the difference of CBI industrial orders in the UK in June, the annualized total of existing home sales in the United States in May, and the consumer confidence index in the euro zone in June.</p><p>Relatively speaking, the speeches of Fed officials are more worthy of attention. Generally, one week after the Fed's decision, Fed officials will deliver speeches one after another, from which investors can get more details of officials' future monetary policy.</p><p>New York session,<b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak to Congress on the COVID-19 pandemic response and economic outlook.</b>This will be the focus of the market.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pointed out at the press conference after the Fed's interest rate decision on June 17 that there is still a long way to go before the economy recovers enough for the Fed to start reducing its monthly bond purchases. He also said that there was no mention of raising interest rates in the discussion. Time point. Relatively speaking, Powell's attitude is slightly more dovish than the Fed's decision. If Powell makes a more dovish speech, he needs to beware of the risk of a correction in the US dollar and a rebound in gold prices.</p><p><b>Wednesday (June 23) Keywords: European and American Markit manufacturing PMI initial value in June</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1ada5dfc03bdde86a678460e27d6a51\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The United States will release the preliminary U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI value for June</b>。<b>The market expects the Markit manufacturing PMI in the United States to fall slightly to 61.8 in June, but it is still at a historically high level and is still favorable to stock markets, commodities and risky assets.</b></p><p>Furthermore,<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, and Boston Fed President Rosengren will deliver speeches separately, and investors also need to focus on them.</b></p><p><b>Thursday (June 24) Keywords: initial request data, Fed official speech, Soul listing, Nike/BlackBerry earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a613c99edd05cba1056a8acb4759ac4f\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In terms of data, investors need to pay attention<b>U.S. jobless claims change</b>。<b>The number of people claiming unemployment benefits may continue to show a downward trend.</b>Because after the supplemental unemployment benefits expire in many states, Americans are more willing to apply for jobs.</p><p>In terms of financial reports,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">Blackberry</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>Will announce the new quarterly earnings report.</b></p><p>In terms of new shares,<b>Social metaverse First Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSR\">Soul</a>Will be listed on Nasdaq.</b></p><p>Furthermore,<b>FOMC permanent voting committee, new york Fed President Williams and St. Louis Fed President Bullard will deliver separate speeches, and investors also need to focus on them.</b></p><p><b>Friday (June 25) Keywords: U.S. May PCE data</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6539b1d406c9cd4841b089f661b184f\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">On Friday, the market will usher in one of two data that the Federal Reserve will focus on monitoring-<b>U.S. PCE price index, which is a key indicator to measure U.S. private consumption inflation.</b></p><p>May's personal income and expenditure report will show how much Americans are trying to make up for what was missing during the pandemic. While the latest retail sales report showed a decline in goods consumption last month, upcoming data could suggest that accelerated growth in the services sector made up for the loss in goods spending.</p><p>In terms of financial reports,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">JinkoSolar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02158\">Yidu Technology</a>Will report new quarterly earnings</b>, investors can pay attention.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Preview: Powell joins hands with US core inflation data to hit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPreview: Powell joins hands with US core inflation data to hit\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-20 18:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary:</b></p><p><b>Economic data:</b>China LPR Rate, US PCE Price Index, US Jobless Claims, US Markit Manufacturing PMI Initial...<b>For new shares:</b>China's leading digital freight platform \"Manbang\" and \"the first social metaverse stock\" Soul will be listed soon;<b>In terms of events:</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and a number of Federal Reserve officials delivered intensive speeches;<b>Financial report:</b>Nike, BlackBerry, JinkoSolar, Yidu Technology and many other companies will announce financial reports.<b>Monday (June 21) Keywords: China LPR interest rate</b></p><p><b>There was less economic data on Monday, mainly focusing on China's LPR interest rate data.</b></p><p>The Bloomberg Asia economist team wrote that the People's Bank of China's latest medium-term lending facility (MLF) operation rate was stable, indicating that the loan market quoted rate (LPR) will remain unchanged in June. China's latest economic activity data offers no pressing reason for the central bank to change its policy track.</p><p><b>China's one-year loan market quoted rate (the reference rate for bank-to-enterprise loans) may remain at 3.85% in June. The five-year LPR (mortgage reference rate) is likely to remain at 4.65%.</b></p><p><b>There were also relatively few risk events on Monday. During the European session, we mainly paid attention to the speeches of Bank of England officials. Among them, Vice Governor of Prudential Supervision Woods delivered a speech on climate risk scenario planning, and Fintech Director Tom Mutton delivered a speech on encrypted assets, stablecoins and digital currencies.</b></p><p>New York session,<b>FOMC permanent voting committee member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech at the banking conference.</b>Needs attention.</p><p><b>Tuesday (June 22) Keywords: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c64fef53276362a340b4399b87f3b7\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In terms of economic data on Tuesday, the main focus is on the difference of CBI industrial orders in the UK in June, the annualized total of existing home sales in the United States in May, and the consumer confidence index in the euro zone in June.</p><p>Relatively speaking, the speeches of Fed officials are more worthy of attention. Generally, one week after the Fed's decision, Fed officials will deliver speeches one after another, from which investors can get more details of officials' future monetary policy.</p><p>New York session,<b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak to Congress on the COVID-19 pandemic response and economic outlook.</b>This will be the focus of the market.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pointed out at the press conference after the Fed's interest rate decision on June 17 that there is still a long way to go before the economy recovers enough for the Fed to start reducing its monthly bond purchases. He also said that there was no mention of raising interest rates in the discussion. Time point. Relatively speaking, Powell's attitude is slightly more dovish than the Fed's decision. If Powell makes a more dovish speech, he needs to beware of the risk of a correction in the US dollar and a rebound in gold prices.</p><p><b>Wednesday (June 23) Keywords: European and American Markit manufacturing PMI initial value in June</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1ada5dfc03bdde86a678460e27d6a51\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The United States will release the preliminary U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI value for June</b>。<b>The market expects the Markit manufacturing PMI in the United States to fall slightly to 61.8 in June, but it is still at a historically high level and is still favorable to stock markets, commodities and risky assets.</b></p><p>Furthermore,<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, and Boston Fed President Rosengren will deliver speeches separately, and investors also need to focus on them.</b></p><p><b>Thursday (June 24) Keywords: initial request data, Fed official speech, Soul listing, Nike/BlackBerry earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a613c99edd05cba1056a8acb4759ac4f\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In terms of data, investors need to pay attention<b>U.S. jobless claims change</b>。<b>The number of people claiming unemployment benefits may continue to show a downward trend.</b>Because after the supplemental unemployment benefits expire in many states, Americans are more willing to apply for jobs.</p><p>In terms of financial reports,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">Blackberry</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>Will announce the new quarterly earnings report.</b></p><p>In terms of new shares,<b>Social metaverse First Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSR\">Soul</a>Will be listed on Nasdaq.</b></p><p>Furthermore,<b>FOMC permanent voting committee, new york Fed President Williams and St. Louis Fed President Bullard will deliver separate speeches, and investors also need to focus on them.</b></p><p><b>Friday (June 25) Keywords: U.S. May PCE data</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6539b1d406c9cd4841b089f661b184f\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">On Friday, the market will usher in one of two data that the Federal Reserve will focus on monitoring-<b>U.S. PCE price index, which is a key indicator to measure U.S. private consumption inflation.</b></p><p>May's personal income and expenditure report will show how much Americans are trying to make up for what was missing during the pandemic. While the latest retail sales report showed a decline in goods consumption last month, upcoming data could suggest that accelerated growth in the services sector made up for the loss in goods spending.</p><p>In terms of financial reports,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">JinkoSolar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02158\">Yidu Technology</a>Will report new quarterly earnings</b>, investors can pay attention.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46744ceebcd5f9f6cbe09f85295d7cfe","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129554767","content_text":"摘要：\n\n经济数据方面：中国LPR利率、美国PCE物价指数、美国初请失业金人数、美国Markit制造业PMI初值...\n\n\n新股方面：中国领先的数字货运平台“满帮”、“社交元宇宙第一股”Soul即将上市；\n\n\n事件方面：美联储主席鲍威尔携手多位美联储官员密集发表讲话；\n\n\n财报方面：耐克、黑莓、晶科能源、医渡科技等多家公司将公布财报。\n\n周一（6月21日）关键词：中国LPR利率\n周一经济数据较少，主要留意中国的LPR利率数据。\n彭博亚洲经济学家团队撰文称，中国人民银行最近一次中期借贷便利(MLF)操作利率持稳，表明贷款市场报价利率(LPR)6月份将维持不变。中国最新的经济活动数据没有给央行改变政策轨道提供紧迫的理由。\n中国一年期贷款市场报价利率（银行对企业贷款参考利率）6月份可能维持在3.85%。五年期LPR（抵押贷款参考利率）可能维持在4.65%。\n周一风险事件也比较少，欧洲时段主要留意英国央行官员讲话，其中审慎监管副行长伍兹就气候风险情景规划发表讲话，金融科技总监 Tom Mutton 就加密资产、稳定币和数字货币发表讲话。\n纽约时段，FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在银行业大会上发表讲话，需要予以关注。\n周二（6月22日）关键词：美联储主席鲍威尔讲话周二经济数据方面，主要关注英国6月CBI工业订单差值、美国5月成屋销售年化总数、欧元区6月消费者信心指数。\n相对而言，美联储官员的讲话更加值得关注，一般在美联储决议后的一周，美联储官员会陆续发表讲话，投资者可以从中获取官员们对未来货币政策的更多细节。\n纽约时段，美联储主席鲍威尔将在国会就新冠疫情应对措施和经济前景发表讲话。这将是市场关注的焦点所在。\n美联储主席鲍威尔6月17日在美联储利率决议后新闻发布会上指出，经济复原程度足以让美联储开始缩减月度购债之前，还有一段长路要走，他并称讨论中甚至没有提到升息时点。相对而言，鲍威尔的态度比美联储决议要稍微鸽派一点，如果鲍威尔发表更加鸽派的讲话，则需要提防美元回调、金价反弹的风险。\n周三（6月23日）关键词：欧美6月Markit制造业PMI初值美国将公布美国6月Markit制造业PMI初值。市场预计美国6月Markit制造业PMI将小幅回落至61.8，但仍处于历史较高水平，仍偏向利好股市、大宗商品和风险资产。\n此外，美联储理事鲍曼、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克、波士顿联储主席罗森格伦将分别发表讲话，投资者也需要重点关注。\n周四（6月24日）关键词：初请数据、联储官员讲话、Soul上市、耐克/黑莓财报数据方面，投资者需要关注美国的初请失业金人数变动。申领失业救济人数或将继续呈下降趋势，因为许多州的补充失业救济福利到期后，美国人求职意愿增强。\n财报方面，耐克、黑莓、联邦快递将公布新一季财报。\n新股方面，社交元宇宙第一股Soul将登陆纳斯达克上市。\n此外，FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德将分别发表讲话，投资者也需要重点关注。\n周五（6月25日）关键词：美国5月PCE数据周五，市场将迎来美联储重点监控的两个数据之一——美国PCE物价指数，这是衡量美国民间消费通胀的关键指标。\n5月份的个人收入和支出报告将显示美国人在多大程度上试图弥补大流行期间的缺失。虽然最新的零售销售报告显示上月商品消费下降，但即将发布的数据可能表明服务业的加速增长弥补了商品支出的损失。\n财报方面，晶科能源、医渡科技将公布新一季财报，投资者可作关注。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156508244,"gmtCreate":1625228361788,"gmtModify":1703738840265,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia 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Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009460351","repostId":"1166330099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881412253,"gmtCreate":1631375593972,"gmtModify":1676530538174,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Worry","listText":"Worry","text":"Worry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881412253","repostId":"1165455436","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890879669,"gmtCreate":1628096251651,"gmtModify":1703501224226,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890879669","repostId":"1134000940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134000940","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628084768,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134000940?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 21:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. Markit services PMI final value in July: 59.9, in line with expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134000940","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国7月Markit服务业PMI终值：59.9，预期：59.8，前值：59.8。\n美国7月Markit综合PMI终值：59.9，前值 59.7。\n市场研究机构IHS MARKIT首席商业经济学家Chr","content":"<p>U.S. Markit services PMI final value in July:<b>59.9，</b>Expected: 59.8, previous value: 59.8.</p><p>The final value of the U.S. Markit Composite PMI in July: 59.9, the previous value was 59.7.</p><p>Chris Williamson, chief business economist at market research firm IHS MARKIT: Services PMI data shows that the growth rate of the U.S. economy slowed down in July, but it is still impressively strong, indicating that GDP will grow strongly again in the third quarter. Stimulus measures, the rollout of vaccines, and the reopening of the economy continue to boost demand for goods and services among American households, particularly consumer-facing services such as travel and hospitality.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Markit services PMI final value in July: 59.9, in line with expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Markit services PMI final value in July: 59.9, in line with expectations\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 21:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. Markit services PMI final value in July:<b>59.9，</b>Expected: 59.8, previous value: 59.8.</p><p>The final value of the U.S. Markit Composite PMI in July: 59.9, the previous value was 59.7.</p><p>Chris Williamson, chief business economist at market research firm IHS MARKIT: Services PMI data shows that the growth rate of the U.S. economy slowed down in July, but it is still impressively strong, indicating that GDP will grow strongly again in the third quarter. Stimulus measures, the rollout of vaccines, and the reopening of the economy continue to boost demand for goods and services among American households, particularly consumer-facing services such as travel and hospitality.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135fb5b6f21d9ee05edcb64a0736f62f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134000940","content_text":"美国7月Markit服务业PMI终值：59.9，预期：59.8，前值：59.8。\n美国7月Markit综合PMI终值：59.9，前值 59.7。\n市场研究机构IHS MARKIT首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson：服务业PMI数据显示，美国经济增长速度在7月份有所放缓，但依然强劲得令人印象深刻，表明第三季度GDP将再次强劲增长。刺激措施、疫苗的推广和经济的重新开放继续促进了美国家庭对商品和服务的需求，特别是旅游和接待等面向消费者的服务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177652404,"gmtCreate":1627214655808,"gmtModify":1703485635564,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/177652404","repostId":"2153935166","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958436950,"gmtCreate":1673795799370,"gmtModify":1676538886639,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958436950","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890128873,"gmtCreate":1628087647892,"gmtModify":1703501047450,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca35384a8589b2187095e5d2d4706a00","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558680293731120","authorIdStr":"3558680293731120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890128873","repostId":"2156717176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2156717176","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628047054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2156717176?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 11:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Increased risk of stagflation! Goldman Sachs: Hedge against the sharp drop in U.S. stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2156717176","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美股仍处高位，不过已经有华尔街大行开始警告下跌的风险了。高盛就提醒投资者，市场开始变得相当不稳定了，要关注股票下跌风险，并做好对冲准备。\n高盛策略师Christian Mueller-Glissman","content":"<p>U.S. stocks are still at high levels, but Wall Street banks have begun to warn of the risk of a decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Investors are reminded that the market is beginning to become quite unstable, so they should pay attention to the risk of stock decline and be prepared for hedging.</p><p>Goldman Sachs strategist Christian Mueller-Glissmann said in a recent research report that the S&P 500 has not fallen by 5% for 187 days, one of the longest durations in the past 100 years; As stocks and bonds become more expensive, multi-asset portfolios also become more vulnerable to interest rate and economic growth shocks.</p><p><b>Mueller-Glissmann first took a closer look at recent inflation measures, noting that breakeven inflation has outperformed other \"pro-cyclical\" assets.</b>Generally speaking, the two have been closely related throughout history; However, recent performance shows that the difference between break-even inflation and various historical correlation indicators seems to be increasing.</p><p>First, last week, EU breakeven inflation outperformed assets such as EU Cyclicals vs Defensives. And, in fact, this trend has appeared since the second quarter of this year.</p><p>Not only in Europe, but also in the United States. Since the second half of last year, US breakeves and US cyclical vs Defensives have begun to decouple continuously.</p><p><b>Breakeven inflation is commonly used to measure inflation expectations. It is important to note, however, that the rise in breakeven inflation is not reflected in the more important real interest rate.</b></p><p>On the contrary, as breakeven inflation rises, real interest rates across the term structure have been falling, and the 10 year real rate in both Europe and the United States have hit new lows in recent times.</p><p><b>Regarding the above situation, Goldman Sachs warned that such a low real interest rate level points to the market's pricing of stagflation risk, which seems to be somewhat contradictory to the economic recovery.</b>According to Goldman Sachs economists, the U.S. economic recovery is generally on track, and inflationary pressures will eventually ease.</p><p>At the heart of reflation are bonds. Bonds have risen strongly since June and the yield curve has flattened, not only hinting at the risk of near-term economic slowdown, but also showing the risk of continued prolonged stagnation in the new cycle as monetary and fiscal support disappears. Furthermore, the downward trend in long-term bond yields is largely driven by real yields, while breakeven inflation is sticky-a sign of growing concerns about stagflation. Regarding the market outlook, Goldman Sachs strategist Mueller-Glissmann said that the market may need some catalysts to reprice higher interest rates, and this week's strong employment report may help clarify future trends.</p><p><b>In addition, he also warned that the risk of stock market correction has increased. In addition, the widening gap between S&P 500 returns and changes in bond yields over the past six months, coupled with already very low real interest rates and very high stock valuations, makes stocks more vulnerable to economic growth and interest rate shocks.</b></p><p>In addition to the above reasons, Goldman Sachs also gave other reasons in the report.</p><p>For example, the Goldman's Risk Appetite Indicator has fallen sharply recently. Growth optimism (RAI PC1) remains under pressure in terms of index composition. This means that while the earnings season in Europe and the United States is generally strong in the future, the market still doesn't believe that there will be more positive growth momentum at the end of the year and in the new cycle, given that the fiscal stimulus measures in the United States are beginning to disappoint and COVID-19 pandemic has dragged down consumption.</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Increased risk of stagflation! Goldman Sachs: Hedge against the sharp drop in U.S. stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIncreased risk of stagflation! Goldman Sachs: Hedge against the sharp drop in U.S. stocks\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-04 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks are still at high levels, but Wall Street banks have begun to warn of the risk of a decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Investors are reminded that the market is beginning to become quite unstable, so they should pay attention to the risk of stock decline and be prepared for hedging.</p><p>Goldman Sachs strategist Christian Mueller-Glissmann said in a recent research report that the S&P 500 has not fallen by 5% for 187 days, one of the longest durations in the past 100 years; As stocks and bonds become more expensive, multi-asset portfolios also become more vulnerable to interest rate and economic growth shocks.</p><p><b>Mueller-Glissmann first took a closer look at recent inflation measures, noting that breakeven inflation has outperformed other \"pro-cyclical\" assets.</b>Generally speaking, the two have been closely related throughout history; However, recent performance shows that the difference between break-even inflation and various historical correlation indicators seems to be increasing.</p><p>First, last week, EU breakeven inflation outperformed assets such as EU Cyclicals vs Defensives. And, in fact, this trend has appeared since the second quarter of this year.</p><p>Not only in Europe, but also in the United States. Since the second half of last year, US breakeves and US cyclical vs Defensives have begun to decouple continuously.</p><p><b>Breakeven inflation is commonly used to measure inflation expectations. It is important to note, however, that the rise in breakeven inflation is not reflected in the more important real interest rate.</b></p><p>On the contrary, as breakeven inflation rises, real interest rates across the term structure have been falling, and the 10 year real rate in both Europe and the United States have hit new lows in recent times.</p><p><b>Regarding the above situation, Goldman Sachs warned that such a low real interest rate level points to the market's pricing of stagflation risk, which seems to be somewhat contradictory to the economic recovery.</b>According to Goldman Sachs economists, the U.S. economic recovery is generally on track, and inflationary pressures will eventually ease.</p><p>At the heart of reflation are bonds. Bonds have risen strongly since June and the yield curve has flattened, not only hinting at the risk of near-term economic slowdown, but also showing the risk of continued prolonged stagnation in the new cycle as monetary and fiscal support disappears. Furthermore, the downward trend in long-term bond yields is largely driven by real yields, while breakeven inflation is sticky-a sign of growing concerns about stagflation. Regarding the market outlook, Goldman Sachs strategist Mueller-Glissmann said that the market may need some catalysts to reprice higher interest rates, and this week's strong employment report may help clarify future trends.</p><p><b>In addition, he also warned that the risk of stock market correction has increased. In addition, the widening gap between S&P 500 returns and changes in bond yields over the past six months, coupled with already very low real interest rates and very high stock valuations, makes stocks more vulnerable to economic growth and interest rate shocks.</b></p><p>In addition to the above reasons, Goldman Sachs also gave other reasons in the report.</p><p>For example, the Goldman's Risk Appetite Indicator has fallen sharply recently. Growth optimism (RAI PC1) remains under pressure in terms of index composition. This means that while the earnings season in Europe and the United States is generally strong in the future, the market still doesn't believe that there will be more positive growth momentum at the end of the year and in the new cycle, given that the fiscal stimulus measures in the United States are beginning to disappoint and COVID-19 pandemic has dragged down consumption.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3637091\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b6684517506a0b0f4c4c5a1c4889261","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3637091","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2156717176","content_text":"美股仍处高位，不过已经有华尔街大行开始警告下跌的风险了。高盛就提醒投资者，市场开始变得相当不稳定了，要关注股票下跌风险，并做好对冲准备。\n高盛策略师Christian Mueller-Glissmann在最近的一篇研报中表示，标普500指数已经有187天没有出现下跌5%的情况，为过去100年来最长持续时间之一；随着股票和债券越来越贵，多资产组合也变得更容易受到利率和经济增长冲击的影响。\nMueller-Glissmann首先仔细观察了近期的通胀指标，指出盈亏平衡通胀表现优于其他“顺周期”资产。通常来说，这两者在历史上一直是密切相关的；但是近期的表现显示，盈亏平衡通胀与各种历史相关性指标的差异似乎越来越大。\n首先，上周欧洲盈亏平衡通胀（EU breakeven inflation）表现优于周期股等资产（EU Cyclicals vs Defensives）。并且，实际上今年二季度以来就已经出现了这一趋势。\n不仅是欧洲，美国也是如此。去年下半年开始美国盈亏平衡通胀（US breakeves）和顺周期资产（US cyclical vs Defensives）就开始不断脱钩了。\n盈亏平衡通胀通常被用于衡量通胀预期。然而需要注意的是，盈亏平衡通胀的上升并没有反映在更重要的实际利率上。\n相反，随着盈亏平衡通胀的上升，整个期限结构的实际利率一直在下降，欧洲和美国的10年期实际利率均在近期创下了新低。\n对于上述情形，高盛警告，如此低的实际利率水平指向了市场对滞涨风险的定价，而这似乎与经济复苏有些矛盾。在高盛经济学家看来，美国经济复苏大体上处在轨道上，通胀压力最终也会缓解。\n\n 通货再膨胀的核心是债券。债券自6月以来强劲上扬，收益率曲线趋平，不仅暗示了近期经济增长放缓的风险，同时也显示了随着货币和财政支持的消失，新一周期内持续长期停滞的风险。此外，长期限债券收益率下行主要是由实际收益率推动的，而盈亏平衡通胀具有粘性——这表明对滞涨的担忧日益加剧。\n\n对于后市的走势，高盛策略师Mueller-Glissmann表示，市场可能需要一些催化剂来重新定价更高的利率，本周强劲的就业报告可能有助于明晰日后的趋势。\n此外，他还警告，股市调整的风险已经增加了。此外，过去6个月，标普500回报率和债券收益率变化之间的差距不断扩大，再加上实际利率已经非常低了，且股票估值非常高，这使得股票更易受到经济增长和利率的冲击。\n除了上述原因之外，高盛还在报告中给出了其他理由。\n比如，高盛风险偏好指标（Goldman's Risk Appetite Indicator）近期重挫。从指数组成来看，增长乐观情绪（RAI PC1）仍处于压力之下。这意味着尽管往后看欧洲和美国的财报季总体强劲，但是考虑到美国财政刺激措施开始令人失望，以及新冠疫情拖累了消费，市场仍然不相信在年底和新周期会出现更多积极的增长动力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986700331,"gmtCreate":1667009538423,"gmtModify":1676537849028,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia 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