equanimity personal page - To The Moon

equanimity

equanimity

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2021-07-06

$Twitter(TWTR)$Good stock

2021-05-03

Ok

Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2021-05-01

$Twitter(TWTR)$45 soon

2021-07-12

Nice stock

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2021-06-09

$AMD(AMD)$hold on good stock

2021-05-15

$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$diamond hands

2021-05-13

$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$garbage stock

2021-05-06

$Apple(AAPL)$sad

2021-05-12

Be calm

If Everyone Sees It, Is It Still A Bubble?

2021-06-28

Good luck all

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22:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sgoco Surges 100% as Meme Stock Momentum Rages On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134945139","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Shares of Sgoco (SGOC) surged on Monday as investors continued to push so-called meme stocks higher ","content":"<p>Shares of Sgoco&nbsp;(<b>SGOC</b>)&nbsp;surged on Monday as investors continued to push so-called meme stocks higher on expectations that momentum as well as sales and earnings potential can raise the valuations of lesser-known, lesser-proven companies.</p>\n<p>Sgoco shares jumped more than 100% in early trading amid retail-trader touts on Reddit and StockTwits. Carver Bancorp, another meme-stock name, rose more than 16% following a three-day gain that saw its share price rise 170% last week.</p>\n<p>Other meme stocks including Millendo Therapeutics&nbsp;(<b>MLND</b>)&nbsp;and Exela Technologies&nbsp;(<b>XELA</b>)&nbsp;also traded higher, though AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;and GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;shares were both lower.</p>\n<p>Meme stocks in general&nbsp;have been back in the spotlight&nbsp;amid calls on message boards including Reddit and Stocktwits to bid them higher, in some cases irrespective of any news or changes in underlying fundamentals like higher sales and earnings.</p>\n<p>Marin Software&nbsp;(<b>MRIN</b>)&nbsp;shares took off last week&nbsp;amid touts on Reddit message boards and other platformsto collectively push back against a potential short squeeze.</p>\n<p>\"Do not sell!!!\" one poster said on Stocktwits. \"Wayyyy to low price for selling.\"</p>\n<p>Newegg Commerce&nbsp;(<b>NEGG</b>)&nbsp;also saw its shares ride the rollercoaster meme-momentum wave last week, with its stock soaring 148% on Wednesday and then plunging nearly 50% between Thursday and Friday.</p>\n<p>In Newegg’s case, TheStreet's Jim Cramer, in a tweet last Wednesday, called the stock a“total BGL game,”referring to when stocks are bagged, gunned and liquidated. Newegg is an online electronics retailer.</p>\n<p>At the same time, others are increasingly pointing out that momentum trading – betting a stock will rise based on momentum rather than on an in-depth analysis of its intermediate - or long-term prospects compared to its current price – is nothing new, and that Wall Street labeling such activity “meme trading” is offensive.</p>\n<p>“Every Ape, Reddit investor and retail trader has their own thoughts behind the moves they make and where they put their money,”wrote TheStreet and RealMoney contributor Katherine Ross.</p>\n<p>“One thing is for sure, though: These investors are here to stay post-pandemic.”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sgoco Surges 100% as Meme Stock Momentum Rages On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSgoco Surges 100% as Meme Stock Momentum Rages On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 22:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/sgoco-carver-bancorp-meme-stock-momentum><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Sgoco (SGOC) surged on Monday as investors continued to push so-called meme stocks higher on expectations that momentum as well as sales and earnings potential can raise the valuations of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/sgoco-carver-bancorp-meme-stock-momentum\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/sgoco-carver-bancorp-meme-stock-momentum","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134945139","content_text":"Shares of Sgoco (SGOC) surged on Monday as investors continued to push so-called meme stocks higher on expectations that momentum as well as sales and earnings potential can raise the valuations of lesser-known, lesser-proven companies.\nSgoco shares jumped more than 100% in early trading amid retail-trader touts on Reddit and StockTwits. Carver Bancorp, another meme-stock name, rose more than 16% following a three-day gain that saw its share price rise 170% last week.\nOther meme stocks including Millendo Therapeutics (MLND) and Exela Technologies (XELA) also traded higher, though AMC Entertainment (AMC) and GameStop (GME) shares were both lower.\nMeme stocks in general have been back in the spotlight amid calls on message boards including Reddit and Stocktwits to bid them higher, in some cases irrespective of any news or changes in underlying fundamentals like higher sales and earnings.\nMarin Software (MRIN) shares took off last week amid touts on Reddit message boards and other platformsto collectively push back against a potential short squeeze.\n\"Do not sell!!!\" one poster said on Stocktwits. \"Wayyyy to low price for selling.\"\nNewegg Commerce (NEGG) also saw its shares ride the rollercoaster meme-momentum wave last week, with its stock soaring 148% on Wednesday and then plunging nearly 50% between Thursday and Friday.\nIn Newegg’s case, TheStreet's Jim Cramer, in a tweet last Wednesday, called the stock a“total BGL game,”referring to when stocks are bagged, gunned and liquidated. Newegg is an online electronics retailer.\nAt the same time, others are increasingly pointing out that momentum trading – betting a stock will rise based on momentum rather than on an in-depth analysis of its intermediate - or long-term prospects compared to its current price – is nothing new, and that Wall Street labeling such activity “meme trading” is offensive.\n“Every Ape, Reddit investor and retail trader has their own thoughts behind the moves they make and where they put their money,”wrote TheStreet and RealMoney contributor Katherine Ross.\n“One thing is for sure, though: These investors are here to stay post-pandemic.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"SGOC":0.9,"MRIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146751515,"gmtCreate":1626100509237,"gmtModify":1703753454137,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice stock","listText":"Nice stock","text":"Nice 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07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 07:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UBER":"优步","PFE":"辉瑞","PYPL":"PayPal","GM":"通用汽车",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"GM":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"VIACP":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103447460,"gmtCreate":1619813724050,"gmtModify":1704272691974,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>45 soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>45 soon","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$45 soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/103447460","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146751515,"gmtCreate":1626100509237,"gmtModify":1703753454137,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice stock","listText":"Nice stock","text":"Nice stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146751515","repostId":"1146612983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189819210,"gmtCreate":1623250675730,"gmtModify":1704199436826,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>hold on good stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>hold on good stock","text":"$AMD(AMD)$hold on good stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716a155556b31f90b8d1af0e49fe7d67","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189819210","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196317613,"gmtCreate":1621018270032,"gmtModify":1704352027797,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a>diamond hands","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a>diamond hands","text":"$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$diamond hands","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bb7cc7030516c0c5ddf0694321fde91","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196317613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198936608,"gmtCreate":1620917492004,"gmtModify":1704350496967,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>garbage stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>garbage stock","text":"$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$garbage stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a8f63023c9b8408d9dd01479324c744","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198936608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105245502,"gmtCreate":1620309040806,"gmtModify":1704341723493,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>sad","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>sad","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$sad","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2309c3540c7425baa5e325ae30c161","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/105245502","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193384449,"gmtCreate":1620765725081,"gmtModify":1704347936309,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be calm","listText":"Be calm","text":"Be calm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193384449","repostId":"1199341916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199341916","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620736561,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199341916?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-11 20:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If Everyone Sees It, Is It Still A Bubble?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199341916","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As Mark Hulbert noted recently, “everyone” is worrying about a “bubble” in the stock market. To wit:. “To appreciate how widespread current concern about a bubble is, consider the accompanying chart of data from Google Trends. It plots the relative frequency of Google searches based on the term ‘stock market bubble.’ Notice that this frequency has recently jumped to a far-higher level than at any other point over the last five years.”“My confidence is rising quite rapidly that this is, in fact, ","content":"<p><b><i>\"If everyone sees it, is it still a bubble?”</i></b>That was a great question I got over the weekend.&nbsp;As a&nbsp;<i>“contrarian”</i>&nbsp;investor, it is usually when&nbsp;<i>“everyone”</i>&nbsp;is talking about an event; it doesn’t happen.</p>\n<p>As&nbsp;<b><i>Mark Hulbert noted recently</i></b>,&nbsp;<i>“everyone”</i>&nbsp;is worrying about a<i>&nbsp;“bubble”</i>&nbsp;in the stock market. To wit:</p>\n<p><i>“To appreciate how widespread current concern about a bubble is, consider the accompanying chart of data from Google Trends. It plots the relative frequency of Google searches based on the term ‘stock market bubble.’ Notice that this frequency has recently jumped to a far-higher level than at any other point over the last five years.”</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a2a152e3037789e73c80d5c89bf4141\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>What Is A Bubble?</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b><i>“My confidence is rising quite rapidly that this is, in fact, becoming the fourth ‘real McCoy’ bubble of my investment career.</i></b>\n <i>The great bubbles can go on a long time and inflict a lot of pain, but at least I think we know now that we’re in one.”</i>\n <b><i>&nbsp;–</i></b>\n <i>Jeremy Grantham</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>What is the definition of a bubble?&nbsp; According to&nbsp;<i>Investopedia:</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“A bubble is a market cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets.</i>\n <i><b>Typically, what creates a bubble is a surge in asset prices driven by exuberant market behavior.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;During a bubble, assets typically trade at a price</i>\n <i><b>that greatly exceeds the asset’s intrinsic value. Rather, the price does not align with thefundamentals of the asset.</b></i>\n <i>“</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This definition is suitable for our discussion; there are three components of a&nbsp;<i>“bubble.”</i><i><b>The&nbsp;first two, price and valuation,</b></i>&nbsp;are readily dismissed during the inflation phase.&nbsp;Jeremy Grantham once produced the following chart of 40-years of price bubbles in the markets. During the inflation phase, each was readily dismissed under the guise&nbsp;<i>“this time is different.”</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/367ada4ec5d5a7c35f8e670e0224fc6b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"342\"></p>\n<p><b>We are interested in the</b><b><i>“third”</i></b><b>&nbsp;component of</b><b><i>“bubbles,”</i></b><b>&nbsp;which is investor psychology.</b></p>\n<p><b>A Bubble In Psychology</b></p>\n<p>As&nbsp;<i><b>Howard Marks previously noted:</b></i></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“It’s the swings of psychology that get people into the biggest trouble. Especially since investors’ emotions invariably swing in the wrong direction at the wrong time.</i>\n <i><b>When things are going well people become greedy and enthusiastic. When times are troubled, people become fearful and reticent. That’s just the wrong thing to do. It’s important to control fear and greed.”</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Currently, it’s difficult for investors to become any more enthusiastic about market returns.&nbsp;<i>(</i><i><b>The RIAPro Fear/Greed Index</b></i><i>&nbsp;compiles measures of equity allocation and market sentiment. The index level is</i><i><b>not a component</b></i><i>&nbsp;of the measure that runs from 0 to 100.</i><i><b>The current reading is 99.9, which is a historical record.)</b></i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/137bb4e88e92ca8b22df63ffc61e387c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"334\"></p>\n<p>Such is an interesting juxtaposition. On the one hand, there is a rising recognition of a&nbsp;<i>“bubble,”</i>&nbsp;but investors are unwilling to reduce “equity risk” for&nbsp;<i>“fear of missing out or F.O.M.O.”</i>Such was a point noted explicitly by Mark:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“Rather than responding by taking some chips off the table, however, many began freely admitting a bubble formed.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;They no longer tried to justify higher prices on fundamentals. Rather,</i>\n <i><b>they justified it instead in terms of the market’s momentum.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;Prices should keep going up as FOMO seduces more investors to jump on the bandwagon.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>In other words, investors have fully adopted the&nbsp;<i>“Greater Fool Theory.”</i></p>\n<p>Okay, Boomer!</p>\n<p>I know. The discussion of&nbsp;<i>“valuations”</i>&nbsp;is an old-fashioned idea relegated to investors of an older era. Such was evident in the pushback on Charlie Munger’s comments about Bitcoin recently:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“</i>\n <i><b>While Munger has never been a bitcoin advocate, his dislike crystalized into something close to hatred.</b></i>\n <i>Looking back over the past 52 weeks, the reason for Munger’s anger becomes apparent with Berkshire rising only 50.5% against bitcoin’s more than 500% gain.”&nbsp;– Coindesk</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>In 1999, when Buffett spoke out against&nbsp;<i>“Dot.com”</i>&nbsp;stocks, he got dismissed with a similar ire of&nbsp;<b><i>“investing with Warren Buffett is like driving ‘Dad’s old Pontiac.'”</i></b></p>\n<p>Today, young investors are not interested in the&nbsp;<i>“pearls of wisdom”</i>&nbsp;from experienced investors. Today, they are&nbsp;<i>“out of touch,”</i>&nbsp;with the market’s<i>&nbsp;“new reality.”</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“The big benefit of TikTok is it allows users to dole out and obtain information in short, easily digestible video bites, also called TikToks.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;And that can make unfamiliar, complex topics, such as personal finance and investing, more palatable to a younger audience.That advice runs the gamut, from general information about home buying or retirement savings to specific stock picks and investment ideas.</i>\n <i><b>Rob Shields, a 22-year-old, self-taught options trader who has more than 163,000 followers on TikTok, posts TikToks under the username stock_genius on topics such as popular stocks to watch, how to find good stocks, and basic trading strategies.” –&nbsp;WSJ:</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Of course, the problem with information doled out by 22-year olds is they were 10-year olds during the last</b><i><b>“bear market.”</b></i>Given the lack of experience of investing during such a market, as opposed to Warren Buffett who has survived several, is the eventual destruction of capital.</p>\n<p><b>Plenty Of Analogies</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i><b>“There is no shortage of current analogies, of course. Take Dogecoin, created as a joke with no fundamental value.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;As a&nbsp;recent Wall Street Journal article outlined, the Dogecoin ‘serves no purpose and, unlike Bitcoin, faces no limit on the number of coins that exist.’</i>\n <i><b>Yet investors flock to it, for no other apparent reason than its sharp rise.</b></i>\n <i>&nbsp;Billy Markus, the co-creator of dogecoin, said to the Wall Street Journal, ‘This is absurd. I haven’t seen anything like it. It’s one of those things that once it starts going up, it might keep going up.’” – Mark Hulbert</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>That exuberance shows up with professionals as well.<b>&nbsp;As of the end of April, the National Association Of Investment Managers asset allocation was 103%.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c412f208aa700b3f7ccb35d3b7d4e923\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"328\"></p>\n<p>As Dana Lyons noted previously:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Regardless of the investment acumen of any group (we think it is very high among NAAIM members),</i>\n <i><b>once the collective investment opinion or posture becomes too one-sided, it can be an indication that some market action may be necessary to correct such consensus.</b></i>\n <i>“</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Give Me More</b></p>\n<p>Of course, margin debt, which is the epitome of “<i>speculative appetite,”</i>&nbsp;soared in recent months.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11b088ecdf04d5036b4f5bb2d67c13d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"327\"></p>\n<p>As stated,&nbsp;<i>“bubbles are about psychology,”</i>&nbsp;which the annual rate of change of leverage shows.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/422c963018723e8986826a89a32883e5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"327\"></p>\n<p>Another form of leverage that doesn’t show up in margin debt is ETF’s structured to multiply market returns. These funds have seen record inflows in recent months.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac35f10215d5fcffec35e4e94c952bb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"335\"></p>\n<p><b>With margin debt reaching levels not seen since the peak of the last cyclical bull market cycle, it should raise some concerns about sustainability.</b>&nbsp;It is NOT the level of leverage that is the problem as leverage increases buying power as markets are rising.&nbsp;<b>The unwinding of this leverage is critically dangerous in the market as the acceleration of</b><b><i>“margin calls”</i></b><b>&nbsp;leads to a vicious downward spiral.</b></p>\n<p>Importantly, this chart<b>&nbsp;does not meanthat a massive market correction is imminent. I</b>t does suggest that leverage, and speculative risk-taking, are likely much further advanced than currently recognized.</p>\n<p><b>Pushing Extremes</b></p>\n<p>Prices are ultimately affected by physics. Moving averages, trend lines, etc., all exert a gravitational pull on prices in both the short and long term.&nbsp;<b>Like a rubber band, when prices get stretched too far in one direction, they have always eventually</b><b><i>“reverted to the mean”</i></b><b>&nbsp;in the most brutal of manners.</b></p>\n<p>The chart below shows the long-term chart of the S&amp;P 500 broken down by several measures: 2 and 3-standard deviations, valuations, relative strength, and deviations from the 3-year moving average.&nbsp;<b>It is worth noting that both standard deviations and distance from the 3-year moving average are at a record.</b></p>\n<p><b>During the last 120-years, overvaluation and extreme deviations NEVER got resolved by markets going sideways.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fc311c3fdd527fd911070f7dd841545\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"590\"></p>\n<p>The only missing ingredient for such a correction currently is simply a catalyst to put&nbsp;<i>“fear”</i>&nbsp;into an overly complacent marketplace. Anything from economic disruption, a credit-related crisis, or an unexpected exogenous shock could start the&nbsp;<i>“panic for the exits.”</i></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>There is more than adequate evidence a<i>&nbsp;“bubble”</i>&nbsp;exists in markets once again. However, as Mark noted in his commentary:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>‘I have no idea whether the stock market is actually forming a bubble that’s about to break.</i>\n <i><b>But I do know that many bulls are fooling themselves when they think a bubble can’t happen when there is such widespread concern. In fact, one of the distinguishing characteristics of a bubble is just that.”</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>However, he concludes with the most important statement:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“It’s important for all of us to be aware of this bubble psychology,</i>\n <i><b>but especially if you’re a retiree or a near-retiree. That’s because, in that case, your investment horizon is far shorter than for those who are younger.</b></i>\n <i>Therefore, you are less able to recover from the deflation of a market bubble.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Read that statement again.</b></p>\n<p>Millennials are quick to dismiss the&nbsp;<i>“Boomers”</i>&nbsp;in the financial markets today for&nbsp;<i>“not getting it.”</i></p>\n<p>No, we get it. We have just been around long enough to know how these things eventually end.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If Everyone Sees It, Is It Still A Bubble?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf Everyone Sees It, Is It Still A Bubble?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 20:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/if-everyone-sees-it-it-still-bubble><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>\"If everyone sees it, is it still a bubble?”That was a great question I got over the weekend. As a “contrarian” investor, it is usually when “everyone” is talking about an event; it doesn’t happen.\nAs...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/if-everyone-sees-it-it-still-bubble\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/if-everyone-sees-it-it-still-bubble","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199341916","content_text":"\"If everyone sees it, is it still a bubble?”That was a great question I got over the weekend. As a “contrarian” investor, it is usually when “everyone” is talking about an event; it doesn’t happen.\nAs Mark Hulbert noted recently, “everyone” is worrying about a “bubble” in the stock market. To wit:\n“To appreciate how widespread current concern about a bubble is, consider the accompanying chart of data from Google Trends. It plots the relative frequency of Google searches based on the term ‘stock market bubble.’ Notice that this frequency has recently jumped to a far-higher level than at any other point over the last five years.”\nWhat Is A Bubble?\n\n“My confidence is rising quite rapidly that this is, in fact, becoming the fourth ‘real McCoy’ bubble of my investment career.\nThe great bubbles can go on a long time and inflict a lot of pain, but at least I think we know now that we’re in one.”\n –\nJeremy Grantham\n\nWhat is the definition of a bubble?  According to Investopedia:\n\n“A bubble is a market cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets.\nTypically, what creates a bubble is a surge in asset prices driven by exuberant market behavior.\n During a bubble, assets typically trade at a price\nthat greatly exceeds the asset’s intrinsic value. Rather, the price does not align with thefundamentals of the asset.\n“\n\nThis definition is suitable for our discussion; there are three components of a “bubble.”The first two, price and valuation, are readily dismissed during the inflation phase. Jeremy Grantham once produced the following chart of 40-years of price bubbles in the markets. During the inflation phase, each was readily dismissed under the guise “this time is different.”\n\nWe are interested in the“third” component of“bubbles,” which is investor psychology.\nA Bubble In Psychology\nAs Howard Marks previously noted:\n\n“It’s the swings of psychology that get people into the biggest trouble. Especially since investors’ emotions invariably swing in the wrong direction at the wrong time.\nWhen things are going well people become greedy and enthusiastic. When times are troubled, people become fearful and reticent. That’s just the wrong thing to do. It’s important to control fear and greed.”\n\nCurrently, it’s difficult for investors to become any more enthusiastic about market returns. (The RIAPro Fear/Greed Index compiles measures of equity allocation and market sentiment. The index level isnot a component of the measure that runs from 0 to 100.The current reading is 99.9, which is a historical record.)\n\nSuch is an interesting juxtaposition. On the one hand, there is a rising recognition of a “bubble,” but investors are unwilling to reduce “equity risk” for “fear of missing out or F.O.M.O.”Such was a point noted explicitly by Mark:\n\n“Rather than responding by taking some chips off the table, however, many began freely admitting a bubble formed.\n They no longer tried to justify higher prices on fundamentals. Rather,\nthey justified it instead in terms of the market’s momentum.\n Prices should keep going up as FOMO seduces more investors to jump on the bandwagon.”\n\nIn other words, investors have fully adopted the “Greater Fool Theory.”\nOkay, Boomer!\nI know. The discussion of “valuations” is an old-fashioned idea relegated to investors of an older era. Such was evident in the pushback on Charlie Munger’s comments about Bitcoin recently:\n\n“\nWhile Munger has never been a bitcoin advocate, his dislike crystalized into something close to hatred.\nLooking back over the past 52 weeks, the reason for Munger’s anger becomes apparent with Berkshire rising only 50.5% against bitcoin’s more than 500% gain.” – Coindesk\n\nIn 1999, when Buffett spoke out against “Dot.com” stocks, he got dismissed with a similar ire of “investing with Warren Buffett is like driving ‘Dad’s old Pontiac.'”\nToday, young investors are not interested in the “pearls of wisdom” from experienced investors. Today, they are “out of touch,” with the market’s “new reality.”\n\n“The big benefit of TikTok is it allows users to dole out and obtain information in short, easily digestible video bites, also called TikToks.\n And that can make unfamiliar, complex topics, such as personal finance and investing, more palatable to a younger audience.That advice runs the gamut, from general information about home buying or retirement savings to specific stock picks and investment ideas.\nRob Shields, a 22-year-old, self-taught options trader who has more than 163,000 followers on TikTok, posts TikToks under the username stock_genius on topics such as popular stocks to watch, how to find good stocks, and basic trading strategies.” – WSJ:\n\nOf course, the problem with information doled out by 22-year olds is they were 10-year olds during the last“bear market.”Given the lack of experience of investing during such a market, as opposed to Warren Buffett who has survived several, is the eventual destruction of capital.\nPlenty Of Analogies\n\n“There is no shortage of current analogies, of course. Take Dogecoin, created as a joke with no fundamental value.\n As a recent Wall Street Journal article outlined, the Dogecoin ‘serves no purpose and, unlike Bitcoin, faces no limit on the number of coins that exist.’\nYet investors flock to it, for no other apparent reason than its sharp rise.\n Billy Markus, the co-creator of dogecoin, said to the Wall Street Journal, ‘This is absurd. I haven’t seen anything like it. It’s one of those things that once it starts going up, it might keep going up.’” – Mark Hulbert\n\nThat exuberance shows up with professionals as well. As of the end of April, the National Association Of Investment Managers asset allocation was 103%.\n\nAs Dana Lyons noted previously:\n\n “\n Regardless of the investment acumen of any group (we think it is very high among NAAIM members),\nonce the collective investment opinion or posture becomes too one-sided, it can be an indication that some market action may be necessary to correct such consensus.\n“\n\nGive Me More\nOf course, margin debt, which is the epitome of “speculative appetite,” soared in recent months.\n\nAs stated, “bubbles are about psychology,” which the annual rate of change of leverage shows.\n\nAnother form of leverage that doesn’t show up in margin debt is ETF’s structured to multiply market returns. These funds have seen record inflows in recent months.\n\nWith margin debt reaching levels not seen since the peak of the last cyclical bull market cycle, it should raise some concerns about sustainability. It is NOT the level of leverage that is the problem as leverage increases buying power as markets are rising. The unwinding of this leverage is critically dangerous in the market as the acceleration of“margin calls” leads to a vicious downward spiral.\nImportantly, this chart does not meanthat a massive market correction is imminent. It does suggest that leverage, and speculative risk-taking, are likely much further advanced than currently recognized.\nPushing Extremes\nPrices are ultimately affected by physics. Moving averages, trend lines, etc., all exert a gravitational pull on prices in both the short and long term. Like a rubber band, when prices get stretched too far in one direction, they have always eventually“reverted to the mean” in the most brutal of manners.\nThe chart below shows the long-term chart of the S&P 500 broken down by several measures: 2 and 3-standard deviations, valuations, relative strength, and deviations from the 3-year moving average. It is worth noting that both standard deviations and distance from the 3-year moving average are at a record.\nDuring the last 120-years, overvaluation and extreme deviations NEVER got resolved by markets going sideways.\n\nThe only missing ingredient for such a correction currently is simply a catalyst to put “fear” into an overly complacent marketplace. Anything from economic disruption, a credit-related crisis, or an unexpected exogenous shock could start the “panic for the exits.”\nConclusion\nThere is more than adequate evidence a “bubble” exists in markets once again. However, as Mark noted in his commentary:\n\n‘I have no idea whether the stock market is actually forming a bubble that’s about to break.\nBut I do know that many bulls are fooling themselves when they think a bubble can’t happen when there is such widespread concern. In fact, one of the distinguishing characteristics of a bubble is just that.”\n\nHowever, he concludes with the most important statement:\n\n“It’s important for all of us to be aware of this bubble psychology,\nbut especially if you’re a retiree or a near-retiree. That’s because, in that case, your investment horizon is far shorter than for those who are younger.\nTherefore, you are less able to recover from the deflation of a market bubble.”\n\nRead that statement again.\nMillennials are quick to dismiss the “Boomers” in the financial markets today for “not getting it.”\nNo, we get it. We have just been around long enough to know how these things eventually end.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150398919,"gmtCreate":1624886364631,"gmtModify":1703847012949,"author":{"id":"3561196982108176","authorId":"3561196982108176","name":"equanimity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/576e6745dd13ebdc7f35c86ea3532b7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561196982108176","idStr":"3561196982108176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck all","listText":"Good luck all","text":"Good luck all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150398919","repostId":"1149431635","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}