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Goldman Sachs "admitted mistakes": miscalculated the Fed

2021-03-18

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10:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Goldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2120131537","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储公布本周货币政策会议决议后，高盛承认其错估了美联储。该行此前对美联储货币政策进行预测时曾表示，预计到2023年联邦基金利率预期中值将有所上升，一度引起市场慌乱。美联储若发出短期加息信号，将引发整","content":"<p>After the Federal Reserve announced the resolution of this week's monetary policy meeting,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Admitting that it miscalculated the Fed.</p><p>When the bank previously forecasted the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, it said that it expected the median Federal Funds rate expectation to rise by 2023, which once caused market panic. If the Federal Reserve sends a short-term rate hike signal, it will trigger a \"repricing\" of the entire interest rate system, which will inevitably affect risky assets.<b>But now it turns out that this median expectation of the Fed continues to remain unchanged.</b></p><p>According to the Fed's forecast, the median long-term Federal Funds rate expectation is 2.5%, compared with 2.5% in December last year;<b>From the end of 2021 to the end of 2023, the median Federal Funds rate expectation is 0.1%, which is the same as the expectation in December last year.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs admitted in the report that it had previously miscalculated the Fed and blamed some<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">newly born</a>Factor, namely, \"some Federal Open Market Committee members believe that the inflation threshold should be higher than 2.1%.\" In other words, when the Fed tapers its bond purchases or considers rate hike, the economy is really overheating.</p><p>Goldman Sachs still expects the Fed to begin tapering its bond purchases in early 2022 and Federal Funds rate to remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.</p><p>In the latest report, Goldman Sachs analyst Hatzius stated the following views:</p><p>1. Members of the FOMC of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, and maintain the current policy outlook characteristics and asset purchase policy. The statement of this meeting continues to reiterate the serious impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the current economic situation, but this time it acknowledges that the pace of recovery has \"recently accelerated\" after the previous slowdown.</p><p>The wording about falling oil prices \"suppressing\" inflation was also deleted from the meeting statement, and it was more clearly stated as \"inflation continues to be below 2%\". At the same time, the FOMC increased the single counterparty limit of the overnight reverse repurchase facility (RRP) from US $30 billion in a single day to US $80 billion.</p><p>2.<b>The median forecast for policy rates in the Summary of Economic Forecasts remains unchanged and is at odds with our rate hike expectations. FOMC participants, however, expressed different views</b>，<b>Of the 7 participants who are expected to be in rate hike at least once by the end of 2023 (previously 5, while our bank expects 11), 6 are expected to be in rate hike multiple times. In addition, 4 participants are expected to arrive in rate hike by the end of 2022 (previously there was only 1 person, while our bank expects 2 people).</b>The median medium and long-term forecast for Federal Funds rate remained unchanged at 2.5% as expected.</p><p>3. The Federal Reserve has significantly raised its GDP forecast for this year, possibly reflecting the impact of the U.S. economic relief bill and improved public health conditions. The expected GDP growth rate in 2021 will be raised by 2.3 percentage points (pp) to 6.5% (the expected growth rate in 2022 and 2023 will not change much, with an increase of 0.1 pp and a decrease of 0.2 pp respectively from the previous one).</p><p><b>While the core inflation rate (PCE) for 2021 has been sharply revised up by 0.4 pp to 2.2%, the rest of expectations show no signs of overheating in the medium term</b>: The unemployment rate forecast to 2023 is only lowered by 0.2 pp to 3.5%, and the long-term unemployment rate is lowered by 0.1 pp to 4.0%; PCE inflation forecasts for 2023 were raised by 0.1 pp to 2.1%, and only one participant expected to exceed 2.2%.</p><p>Finally, in terms of Goldman Sachs' revised expectations for the Fed's policy response, Hatzius wrote: \"March forecasts indicate that some FOMC members have set an inflation threshold above 2.1%. We still expect the Fed to start tapering bond purchases in early 2022. Federal Funds rate will remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.\"</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 10:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After the Federal Reserve announced the resolution of this week's monetary policy meeting,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Admitting that it miscalculated the Fed.</p><p>When the bank previously forecasted the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, it said that it expected the median Federal Funds rate expectation to rise by 2023, which once caused market panic. If the Federal Reserve sends a short-term rate hike signal, it will trigger a \"repricing\" of the entire interest rate system, which will inevitably affect risky assets.<b>But now it turns out that this median expectation of the Fed continues to remain unchanged.</b></p><p>According to the Fed's forecast, the median long-term Federal Funds rate expectation is 2.5%, compared with 2.5% in December last year;<b>From the end of 2021 to the end of 2023, the median Federal Funds rate expectation is 0.1%, which is the same as the expectation in December last year.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs admitted in the report that it had previously miscalculated the Fed and blamed some<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">newly born</a>Factor, namely, \"some Federal Open Market Committee members believe that the inflation threshold should be higher than 2.1%.\" In other words, when the Fed tapers its bond purchases or considers rate hike, the economy is really overheating.</p><p>Goldman Sachs still expects the Fed to begin tapering its bond purchases in early 2022 and Federal Funds rate to remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.</p><p>In the latest report, Goldman Sachs analyst Hatzius stated the following views:</p><p>1. Members of the FOMC of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, and maintain the current policy outlook characteristics and asset purchase policy. The statement of this meeting continues to reiterate the serious impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the current economic situation, but this time it acknowledges that the pace of recovery has \"recently accelerated\" after the previous slowdown.</p><p>The wording about falling oil prices \"suppressing\" inflation was also deleted from the meeting statement, and it was more clearly stated as \"inflation continues to be below 2%\". At the same time, the FOMC increased the single counterparty limit of the overnight reverse repurchase facility (RRP) from US $30 billion in a single day to US $80 billion.</p><p>2.<b>The median forecast for policy rates in the Summary of Economic Forecasts remains unchanged and is at odds with our rate hike expectations. FOMC participants, however, expressed different views</b>，<b>Of the 7 participants who are expected to be in rate hike at least once by the end of 2023 (previously 5, while our bank expects 11), 6 are expected to be in rate hike multiple times. In addition, 4 participants are expected to arrive in rate hike by the end of 2022 (previously there was only 1 person, while our bank expects 2 people).</b>The median medium and long-term forecast for Federal Funds rate remained unchanged at 2.5% as expected.</p><p>3. The Federal Reserve has significantly raised its GDP forecast for this year, possibly reflecting the impact of the U.S. economic relief bill and improved public health conditions. The expected GDP growth rate in 2021 will be raised by 2.3 percentage points (pp) to 6.5% (the expected growth rate in 2022 and 2023 will not change much, with an increase of 0.1 pp and a decrease of 0.2 pp respectively from the previous one).</p><p><b>While the core inflation rate (PCE) for 2021 has been sharply revised up by 0.4 pp to 2.2%, the rest of expectations show no signs of overheating in the medium term</b>: The unemployment rate forecast to 2023 is only lowered by 0.2 pp to 3.5%, and the long-term unemployment rate is lowered by 0.1 pp to 4.0%; PCE inflation forecasts for 2023 were raised by 0.1 pp to 2.1%, and only one participant expected to exceed 2.2%.</p><p>Finally, in terms of Goldman Sachs' revised expectations for the Fed's policy response, Hatzius wrote: \"March forecasts indicate that some FOMC members have set an inflation threshold above 2.1%. We still expect the Fed to start tapering bond purchases in early 2022. Federal Funds rate will remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.\"</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624145\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3684302211042d481cacf9066fbcca","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GS":"高盛","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624145","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2120131537","content_text":"美联储公布本周货币政策会议决议后，高盛承认其错估了美联储。该行此前对美联储货币政策进行预测时曾表示，预计到2023年联邦基金利率预期中值将有所上升，一度引起市场慌乱。美联储若发出短期加息信号，将引发整个利率体系的“重新定价”，势必影响风险资产。但如今证明，美联储这一预期中值继续保持不变。根据美联储预测，长期联邦基金利率预期中值为2.5%，去年12月预期为2.5%；2021年底到2023年底，联邦基金利率预期中值均为0.1%，与去年12月预期持平。高盛在报告中承认自己此前错估了美联储，并将此归咎于一些新生因素，即“一些联邦公开市场委员会成员认为通胀门槛要高于2.1%”。换句话说，当美联储缩减购债规模或考虑加息时，经济就是真的过热了。高盛仍然预计，美联储将在2022年初开始缩减购债规模，联邦基金利率将保持不变，直到2024年上半年。最新发布的报告中，高盛分析师Hatzius陈述了以下观点:1. 联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意，将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变，并维持当前的政策前景特征和资产购买政策。本次会议声明继续重申新冠疫情对当前经济形势的严重影响，但相较之前，这次它承认了复苏步伐在此前放缓后“最近有所加快”。会议声明中也删除了关于油价下跌“抑制”通货膨胀的措辞，更明确地表述为“通货膨胀继续低于2%”。同时，FOMC将隔夜逆回购工具（RRP）单个对手限额从单日300亿美元提高至800亿美元。2. 《经济预测摘要》中对政策利率的预测中值保持不变，与我们加息的预期相左。然而，FOMC参会者表达了不同的观点，预计到2023年底至少加息一次的7名参会者中（此前是5人，而我行预计为11人），有6名预计会多次加息。此外，4名参会者预计会在2022年底加息（此前仅1人，而我行预计为2人）。联邦基金利率的中长期预测中值如预期一样维持在2.5%不变。3.美联储大幅上调了今年GDP预期，可能反映了美国经济救济法案的影响和公共卫生状况的改善。2021年GDP预期增速上调2.3个百分点（pp）至6.5%（2022年和2023年预期增速变化不大，分别较此前上调0.1pp和下调0.2pp)。虽然2021年的核心通货膨胀率（PCE）大幅上调0.4pp至2.2%，但其余预期并未显示出中期经济过热的迹象：到2023年的失业率预期仅下调0.2pp至3.5%，长期失业率下调0.1pp至4.0%；2023年PCE通胀预期上调0.1pp至2.1%，且只有一名参会者预计会超过2.2%。最后，就高盛修正后的美联储政策反应预期而言，Hatzius写道：“3月份的预测表明，一些FOMC成员设定的通胀门槛高于2.1%。我们仍然预计，美联储将从2022年初开始缩减购债规模，联邦基金利率将保持不变，直到2024年上半年。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"GS":0.9,"DJX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SH":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SSO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324772891,"gmtCreate":1616034979313,"gmtModify":1704790020639,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561886000100164","authorIdStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyi","listText":"Keyi","text":"Keyi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/324772891","repostId":"2120139461","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365787079,"gmtCreate":1614780820191,"gmtModify":1704775134329,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561886000100164","authorIdStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Niu","listText":"Niu","text":"Niu","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365787079","repostId":"1100029907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362176436,"gmtCreate":1614610278625,"gmtModify":1704773053189,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561886000100164","authorIdStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyi","listText":"Keyi","text":"Keyi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362176436","repostId":"1159707026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362176372,"gmtCreate":1614610251096,"gmtModify":1704773052376,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561886000100164","authorIdStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Niu","listText":"Niu","text":"Niu","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362176372","repostId":"1119150210","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119150210","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614609305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119150210?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-01 22:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening: U.S. stocks opened higher across the board, and Nio's financial report will soon rise by more than 6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119150210","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道琼斯指数开盘上涨401.49点，涨幅1.30%，报31333.86点。","content":"<p>On March 1 (Monday), the Dow Jones index opened up 401.49 points, or 1.30%, to 31,333.86 points; The S&P 500 index opened up 52.77 points, or 1.38%, to 3863.92 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened up 217.25 points, or 1.65%, to 13,409.60 points.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>The opening rose more than 7%, and the company's 1: 80 ratio stock split plan will take effect on March 1. It is reported that after this split, the proportion of Class A ordinary shares represented by each American Depositary Share (ADS) of Baidu has changed from the previous 10 ADS shares representing 1 Class A ordinary share to 8 Class A ordinary shares per 1 ADS share. Some analysts said that Baidu's stock split sent a signal for a secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05ce5b2b60705ea85aeaa37218b4b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chinese concept stocks generally rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">Lychee</a>Up more than 19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">WIMI holography</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNK\">Danke Apartment</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">Tuniu</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">Interesting headlines</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Huanju Group</a>Up more than 8%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>Up more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax Pharma</a>Up more than 1%, all three companies will announce their latest quarterly financial reports after the market closes.</p><p>Bitcoin prices rebounded, and the U.S. stock blockchain sector rose sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">SOS</a>Up 27%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The ninth city</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Rose more than 12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">Ebang International</a>Up more than 10%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up by more than 2.5%, Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory may be expanded, and production capacity is expected to be further increased.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>It rose more than 4.5% and closed down nearly 12% on the previous trading day.</p><p>Special purpose acquisition company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>Up more than 29%, private aerospace company Rocket Lab will go public through a merger with Vector Acquisition Corp.</p><p>WSB concept stocks rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>Rose nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>Up more than 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Maintain an overweight rating on the company.</p><p>Lidar concept stocks strengthened,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Dimensional image</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLDR\">Velodyne</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">Luminar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPV\">InterPrivate Acquisition</a>Up more than 5%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening: U.S. stocks opened higher across the board, and Nio's financial report will soon rise by more than 6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening: U.S. stocks opened higher across the board, and Nio's financial report will soon rise by more than 6%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-01 22:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On March 1 (Monday), the Dow Jones index opened up 401.49 points, or 1.30%, to 31,333.86 points; The S&P 500 index opened up 52.77 points, or 1.38%, to 3863.92 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened up 217.25 points, or 1.65%, to 13,409.60 points.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>The opening rose more than 7%, and the company's 1: 80 ratio stock split plan will take effect on March 1. It is reported that after this split, the proportion of Class A ordinary shares represented by each American Depositary Share (ADS) of Baidu has changed from the previous 10 ADS shares representing 1 Class A ordinary share to 8 Class A ordinary shares per 1 ADS share. Some analysts said that Baidu's stock split sent a signal for a secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05ce5b2b60705ea85aeaa37218b4b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chinese concept stocks generally rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">Lychee</a>Up more than 19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">WIMI holography</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNK\">Danke Apartment</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">Tuniu</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">Interesting headlines</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Huanju Group</a>Up more than 8%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>Up more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax Pharma</a>Up more than 1%, all three companies will announce their latest quarterly financial reports after the market closes.</p><p>Bitcoin prices rebounded, and the U.S. stock blockchain sector rose sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">SOS</a>Up 27%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The ninth city</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Rose more than 12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">Ebang International</a>Up more than 10%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up by more than 2.5%, Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory may be expanded, and production capacity is expected to be further increased.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>It rose more than 4.5% and closed down nearly 12% on the previous trading day.</p><p>Special purpose acquisition company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>Up more than 29%, private aerospace company Rocket Lab will go public through a merger with Vector Acquisition Corp.</p><p>WSB concept stocks rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>Rose nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>Up more than 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Maintain an overweight rating on the company.</p><p>Lidar concept stocks strengthened,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Dimensional image</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLDR\">Velodyne</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">Luminar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPV\">InterPrivate Acquisition</a>Up more than 5%.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119150210","content_text":"3月1日（周一），道琼斯指数开盘上涨401.49点，涨幅1.30%，报31333.86点；标普500指数开盘上涨52.77点，涨幅1.38%，报3863.92点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨217.25点，涨幅1.65%，报13409.60点。百度开盘涨超7%，公司1:80比例拆股计划将于3月1日生效。据悉，经过此次拆分，百度每股美国存托股（ADS）所代表的A类普通股的比例，从之前的每10股ADS代表1股A类普通股，更改为每1股ADS代表8股A类普通股。有分析人士称，百度此次拆股，传递的赴港二次上市的信号。中概股普涨，荔枝涨超19%，微美全息涨超11%，蛋壳公寓涨超16%，途牛涨超11%，趣头条涨超9%，欢聚集团涨超8%。蔚来汽车涨超6%，Zoom涨超5%，诺瓦瓦克斯医药涨超1%，这三家公司均将在盘后公布最新季度财报。比特币价格反弹，美股区块链板块大涨，SOS涨27%，嘉楠科技、第九城市涨超16%，Marathon Patent涨超13%，Riot Blockchain涨超12%，亿邦国际涨超10%。特斯拉涨超2.5%，特斯拉上海超级工厂或扩建，产能有望进一步提升。维珍银河涨超4.5%，上一交易日收跌近12%。特殊目的收购公司Vector Acquisition Corp涨超29%，私营航天企业Rocket Lab将通过与Vector Acquisition Corp合并进行上市。WSB概念股走高，Express涨近6%，游戏驿站涨超4%。波音涨超4%，摩根士丹利维持对公司的增持评级。激光雷达概念股走强，维视图像涨超11%，Velodyne涨超7%，Luminar、InterPrivate Acquisition涨超5%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9030497097,"gmtCreate":1645777446431,"gmtModify":1676534063448,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyiii","listText":"Keyiii","text":"Keyiii","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030497097","repostId":"1159716205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340558954,"gmtCreate":1617438232178,"gmtModify":1704699703361,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyi","listText":"Keyi","text":"Keyi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340558954","repostId":"2124875979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324772224,"gmtCreate":1616035000668,"gmtModify":1704790020968,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jana","listText":"Jana","text":"Jana","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/324772224","repostId":"2120131537","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2120131537","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616033596,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2120131537?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-18 10:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Goldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2120131537","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储公布本周货币政策会议决议后，高盛承认其错估了美联储。该行此前对美联储货币政策进行预测时曾表示，预计到2023年联邦基金利率预期中值将有所上升，一度引起市场慌乱。美联储若发出短期加息信号，将引发整","content":"<p>After the Federal Reserve announced the resolution of this week's monetary policy meeting,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Admitting that it miscalculated the Fed.</p><p>When the bank previously forecasted the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, it said that it expected the median Federal Funds rate expectation to rise by 2023, which once caused market panic. If the Federal Reserve sends a short-term rate hike signal, it will trigger a \"repricing\" of the entire interest rate system, which will inevitably affect risky assets.<b>But now it turns out that this median expectation of the Fed continues to remain unchanged.</b></p><p>According to the Fed's forecast, the median long-term Federal Funds rate expectation is 2.5%, compared with 2.5% in December last year;<b>From the end of 2021 to the end of 2023, the median Federal Funds rate expectation is 0.1%, which is the same as the expectation in December last year.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs admitted in the report that it had previously miscalculated the Fed and blamed some<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">newly born</a>Factor, namely, \"some Federal Open Market Committee members believe that the inflation threshold should be higher than 2.1%.\" In other words, when the Fed tapers its bond purchases or considers rate hike, the economy is really overheating.</p><p>Goldman Sachs still expects the Fed to begin tapering its bond purchases in early 2022 and Federal Funds rate to remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.</p><p>In the latest report, Goldman Sachs analyst Hatzius stated the following views:</p><p>1. Members of the FOMC of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, and maintain the current policy outlook characteristics and asset purchase policy. The statement of this meeting continues to reiterate the serious impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the current economic situation, but this time it acknowledges that the pace of recovery has \"recently accelerated\" after the previous slowdown.</p><p>The wording about falling oil prices \"suppressing\" inflation was also deleted from the meeting statement, and it was more clearly stated as \"inflation continues to be below 2%\". At the same time, the FOMC increased the single counterparty limit of the overnight reverse repurchase facility (RRP) from US $30 billion in a single day to US $80 billion.</p><p>2.<b>The median forecast for policy rates in the Summary of Economic Forecasts remains unchanged and is at odds with our rate hike expectations. FOMC participants, however, expressed different views</b>，<b>Of the 7 participants who are expected to be in rate hike at least once by the end of 2023 (previously 5, while our bank expects 11), 6 are expected to be in rate hike multiple times. In addition, 4 participants are expected to arrive in rate hike by the end of 2022 (previously there was only 1 person, while our bank expects 2 people).</b>The median medium and long-term forecast for Federal Funds rate remained unchanged at 2.5% as expected.</p><p>3. The Federal Reserve has significantly raised its GDP forecast for this year, possibly reflecting the impact of the U.S. economic relief bill and improved public health conditions. The expected GDP growth rate in 2021 will be raised by 2.3 percentage points (pp) to 6.5% (the expected growth rate in 2022 and 2023 will not change much, with an increase of 0.1 pp and a decrease of 0.2 pp respectively from the previous one).</p><p><b>While the core inflation rate (PCE) for 2021 has been sharply revised up by 0.4 pp to 2.2%, the rest of expectations show no signs of overheating in the medium term</b>: The unemployment rate forecast to 2023 is only lowered by 0.2 pp to 3.5%, and the long-term unemployment rate is lowered by 0.1 pp to 4.0%; PCE inflation forecasts for 2023 were raised by 0.1 pp to 2.1%, and only one participant expected to exceed 2.2%.</p><p>Finally, in terms of Goldman Sachs' revised expectations for the Fed's policy response, Hatzius wrote: \"March forecasts indicate that some FOMC members have set an inflation threshold above 2.1%. We still expect the Fed to start tapering bond purchases in early 2022. Federal Funds rate will remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.\"</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs \"admitted mistakes\": miscalculated the Fed\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 10:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After the Federal Reserve announced the resolution of this week's monetary policy meeting,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Admitting that it miscalculated the Fed.</p><p>When the bank previously forecasted the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, it said that it expected the median Federal Funds rate expectation to rise by 2023, which once caused market panic. If the Federal Reserve sends a short-term rate hike signal, it will trigger a \"repricing\" of the entire interest rate system, which will inevitably affect risky assets.<b>But now it turns out that this median expectation of the Fed continues to remain unchanged.</b></p><p>According to the Fed's forecast, the median long-term Federal Funds rate expectation is 2.5%, compared with 2.5% in December last year;<b>From the end of 2021 to the end of 2023, the median Federal Funds rate expectation is 0.1%, which is the same as the expectation in December last year.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs admitted in the report that it had previously miscalculated the Fed and blamed some<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">newly born</a>Factor, namely, \"some Federal Open Market Committee members believe that the inflation threshold should be higher than 2.1%.\" In other words, when the Fed tapers its bond purchases or considers rate hike, the economy is really overheating.</p><p>Goldman Sachs still expects the Fed to begin tapering its bond purchases in early 2022 and Federal Funds rate to remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.</p><p>In the latest report, Goldman Sachs analyst Hatzius stated the following views:</p><p>1. Members of the FOMC of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee unanimously agreed to keep the target level of the policy interest rate Federal Funds rate unchanged at 0-0.25%, and maintain the current policy outlook characteristics and asset purchase policy. The statement of this meeting continues to reiterate the serious impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the current economic situation, but this time it acknowledges that the pace of recovery has \"recently accelerated\" after the previous slowdown.</p><p>The wording about falling oil prices \"suppressing\" inflation was also deleted from the meeting statement, and it was more clearly stated as \"inflation continues to be below 2%\". At the same time, the FOMC increased the single counterparty limit of the overnight reverse repurchase facility (RRP) from US $30 billion in a single day to US $80 billion.</p><p>2.<b>The median forecast for policy rates in the Summary of Economic Forecasts remains unchanged and is at odds with our rate hike expectations. FOMC participants, however, expressed different views</b>，<b>Of the 7 participants who are expected to be in rate hike at least once by the end of 2023 (previously 5, while our bank expects 11), 6 are expected to be in rate hike multiple times. In addition, 4 participants are expected to arrive in rate hike by the end of 2022 (previously there was only 1 person, while our bank expects 2 people).</b>The median medium and long-term forecast for Federal Funds rate remained unchanged at 2.5% as expected.</p><p>3. The Federal Reserve has significantly raised its GDP forecast for this year, possibly reflecting the impact of the U.S. economic relief bill and improved public health conditions. The expected GDP growth rate in 2021 will be raised by 2.3 percentage points (pp) to 6.5% (the expected growth rate in 2022 and 2023 will not change much, with an increase of 0.1 pp and a decrease of 0.2 pp respectively from the previous one).</p><p><b>While the core inflation rate (PCE) for 2021 has been sharply revised up by 0.4 pp to 2.2%, the rest of expectations show no signs of overheating in the medium term</b>: The unemployment rate forecast to 2023 is only lowered by 0.2 pp to 3.5%, and the long-term unemployment rate is lowered by 0.1 pp to 4.0%; PCE inflation forecasts for 2023 were raised by 0.1 pp to 2.1%, and only one participant expected to exceed 2.2%.</p><p>Finally, in terms of Goldman Sachs' revised expectations for the Fed's policy response, Hatzius wrote: \"March forecasts indicate that some FOMC members have set an inflation threshold above 2.1%. We still expect the Fed to start tapering bond purchases in early 2022. Federal Funds rate will remain unchanged until the first half of 2024.\"</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624145\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3684302211042d481cacf9066fbcca","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GS":"高盛","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624145","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2120131537","content_text":"美联储公布本周货币政策会议决议后，高盛承认其错估了美联储。该行此前对美联储货币政策进行预测时曾表示，预计到2023年联邦基金利率预期中值将有所上升，一度引起市场慌乱。美联储若发出短期加息信号，将引发整个利率体系的“重新定价”，势必影响风险资产。但如今证明，美联储这一预期中值继续保持不变。根据美联储预测，长期联邦基金利率预期中值为2.5%，去年12月预期为2.5%；2021年底到2023年底，联邦基金利率预期中值均为0.1%，与去年12月预期持平。高盛在报告中承认自己此前错估了美联储，并将此归咎于一些新生因素，即“一些联邦公开市场委员会成员认为通胀门槛要高于2.1%”。换句话说，当美联储缩减购债规模或考虑加息时，经济就是真的过热了。高盛仍然预计，美联储将在2022年初开始缩减购债规模，联邦基金利率将保持不变，直到2024年上半年。最新发布的报告中，高盛分析师Hatzius陈述了以下观点:1. 联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意，将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变，并维持当前的政策前景特征和资产购买政策。本次会议声明继续重申新冠疫情对当前经济形势的严重影响，但相较之前，这次它承认了复苏步伐在此前放缓后“最近有所加快”。会议声明中也删除了关于油价下跌“抑制”通货膨胀的措辞，更明确地表述为“通货膨胀继续低于2%”。同时，FOMC将隔夜逆回购工具（RRP）单个对手限额从单日300亿美元提高至800亿美元。2. 《经济预测摘要》中对政策利率的预测中值保持不变，与我们加息的预期相左。然而，FOMC参会者表达了不同的观点，预计到2023年底至少加息一次的7名参会者中（此前是5人，而我行预计为11人），有6名预计会多次加息。此外，4名参会者预计会在2022年底加息（此前仅1人，而我行预计为2人）。联邦基金利率的中长期预测中值如预期一样维持在2.5%不变。3.美联储大幅上调了今年GDP预期，可能反映了美国经济救济法案的影响和公共卫生状况的改善。2021年GDP预期增速上调2.3个百分点（pp）至6.5%（2022年和2023年预期增速变化不大，分别较此前上调0.1pp和下调0.2pp)。虽然2021年的核心通货膨胀率（PCE）大幅上调0.4pp至2.2%，但其余预期并未显示出中期经济过热的迹象：到2023年的失业率预期仅下调0.2pp至3.5%，长期失业率下调0.1pp至4.0%；2023年PCE通胀预期上调0.1pp至2.1%，且只有一名参会者预计会超过2.2%。最后，就高盛修正后的美联储政策反应预期而言，Hatzius写道：“3月份的预测表明，一些FOMC成员设定的通胀门槛高于2.1%。我们仍然预计，美联储将从2022年初开始缩减购债规模，联邦基金利率将保持不变，直到2024年上半年。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"GS":0.9,"DJX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SH":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SSO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324772891,"gmtCreate":1616034979313,"gmtModify":1704790020639,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyi","listText":"Keyi","text":"Keyi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/324772891","repostId":"2120139461","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365787079,"gmtCreate":1614780820191,"gmtModify":1704775134329,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Niu","listText":"Niu","text":"Niu","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365787079","repostId":"1100029907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362176436,"gmtCreate":1614610278625,"gmtModify":1704773053189,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keyi","listText":"Keyi","text":"Keyi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362176436","repostId":"1159707026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362176372,"gmtCreate":1614610251096,"gmtModify":1704773052376,"author":{"id":"3561886000100164","authorId":"3561886000100164","name":"Mrwyy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2ce878536f012f665bfed5bad723d18","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561886000100164","idStr":"3561886000100164"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Niu","listText":"Niu","text":"Niu","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362176372","repostId":"1119150210","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119150210","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614609305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119150210?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-01 22:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening: U.S. stocks opened higher across the board, and Nio's financial report will soon rise by more than 6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119150210","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道琼斯指数开盘上涨401.49点，涨幅1.30%，报31333.86点。","content":"<p>On March 1 (Monday), the Dow Jones index opened up 401.49 points, or 1.30%, to 31,333.86 points; The S&P 500 index opened up 52.77 points, or 1.38%, to 3863.92 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened up 217.25 points, or 1.65%, to 13,409.60 points.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>The opening rose more than 7%, and the company's 1: 80 ratio stock split plan will take effect on March 1. It is reported that after this split, the proportion of Class A ordinary shares represented by each American Depositary Share (ADS) of Baidu has changed from the previous 10 ADS shares representing 1 Class A ordinary share to 8 Class A ordinary shares per 1 ADS share. Some analysts said that Baidu's stock split sent a signal for a secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05ce5b2b60705ea85aeaa37218b4b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chinese concept stocks generally rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">Lychee</a>Up more than 19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">WIMI holography</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNK\">Danke Apartment</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">Tuniu</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">Interesting headlines</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Huanju Group</a>Up more than 8%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>Up more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax Pharma</a>Up more than 1%, all three companies will announce their latest quarterly financial reports after the market closes.</p><p>Bitcoin prices rebounded, and the U.S. stock blockchain sector rose sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">SOS</a>Up 27%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The ninth city</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Rose more than 12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">Ebang International</a>Up more than 10%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up by more than 2.5%, Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory may be expanded, and production capacity is expected to be further increased.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>It rose more than 4.5% and closed down nearly 12% on the previous trading day.</p><p>Special purpose acquisition company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>Up more than 29%, private aerospace company Rocket Lab will go public through a merger with Vector Acquisition Corp.</p><p>WSB concept stocks rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>Rose nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>Up more than 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Maintain an overweight rating on the company.</p><p>Lidar concept stocks strengthened,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Dimensional image</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLDR\">Velodyne</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">Luminar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPV\">InterPrivate Acquisition</a>Up more than 5%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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The S&P 500 index opened up 52.77 points, or 1.38%, to 3863.92 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened up 217.25 points, or 1.65%, to 13,409.60 points.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>The opening rose more than 7%, and the company's 1: 80 ratio stock split plan will take effect on March 1. It is reported that after this split, the proportion of Class A ordinary shares represented by each American Depositary Share (ADS) of Baidu has changed from the previous 10 ADS shares representing 1 Class A ordinary share to 8 Class A ordinary shares per 1 ADS share. Some analysts said that Baidu's stock split sent a signal for a secondary listing in Hong Kong.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05ce5b2b60705ea85aeaa37218b4b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chinese concept stocks generally rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">Lychee</a>Up more than 19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">WIMI holography</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNK\">Danke Apartment</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">Tuniu</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">Interesting headlines</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Huanju Group</a>Up more than 8%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>Up more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax Pharma</a>Up more than 1%, all three companies will announce their latest quarterly financial reports after the market closes.</p><p>Bitcoin prices rebounded, and the U.S. stock blockchain sector rose sharply.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">SOS</a>Up 27%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">The ninth city</a>Rose more than 16%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Rose more than 12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">Ebang International</a>Up more than 10%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up by more than 2.5%, Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory may be expanded, and production capacity is expected to be further increased.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>It rose more than 4.5% and closed down nearly 12% on the previous trading day.</p><p>Special purpose acquisition company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">Vector Acquisition Corp</a>Up more than 29%, private aerospace company Rocket Lab will go public through a merger with Vector Acquisition Corp.</p><p>WSB concept stocks rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>Rose nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>Up more than 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Maintain an overweight rating on the company.</p><p>Lidar concept stocks strengthened,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Dimensional image</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLDR\">Velodyne</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAZR\">Luminar</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IPV\">InterPrivate Acquisition</a>Up more than 5%.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119150210","content_text":"3月1日（周一），道琼斯指数开盘上涨401.49点，涨幅1.30%，报31333.86点；标普500指数开盘上涨52.77点，涨幅1.38%，报3863.92点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨217.25点，涨幅1.65%，报13409.60点。百度开盘涨超7%，公司1:80比例拆股计划将于3月1日生效。据悉，经过此次拆分，百度每股美国存托股（ADS）所代表的A类普通股的比例，从之前的每10股ADS代表1股A类普通股，更改为每1股ADS代表8股A类普通股。有分析人士称，百度此次拆股，传递的赴港二次上市的信号。中概股普涨，荔枝涨超19%，微美全息涨超11%，蛋壳公寓涨超16%，途牛涨超11%，趣头条涨超9%，欢聚集团涨超8%。蔚来汽车涨超6%，Zoom涨超5%，诺瓦瓦克斯医药涨超1%，这三家公司均将在盘后公布最新季度财报。比特币价格反弹，美股区块链板块大涨，SOS涨27%，嘉楠科技、第九城市涨超16%，Marathon Patent涨超13%，Riot Blockchain涨超12%，亿邦国际涨超10%。特斯拉涨超2.5%，特斯拉上海超级工厂或扩建，产能有望进一步提升。维珍银河涨超4.5%，上一交易日收跌近12%。特殊目的收购公司Vector Acquisition Corp涨超29%，私营航天企业Rocket Lab将通过与Vector Acquisition Corp合并进行上市。WSB概念股走高，Express涨近6%，游戏驿站涨超4%。波音涨超4%，摩根士丹利维持对公司的增持评级。激光雷达概念股走强，维视图像涨超11%，Velodyne涨超7%，Luminar、InterPrivate Acquisition涨超5%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}