Yes, there are signs of market bottoming base on both price action and macroeconomic factors.Tailwinds1) FEDFED generally have been hawkish since start of this year with aggressive rate hike comments. However recent comments have been tone down with a more dovish approach possibly signaling lower rate hike and slower rate hike. Why? This brings to the next question - inflation 2) Inflation Inflation had so far been 1 of the main catalyst for the recent bear. However we all know that oil and gas and other commodities had came down from their high since June possible signs of inflation had peaked. While we can make excuse that the Russia Ukraine conflict is still ongoing however the chart don't lie.3) Big tech earning releaseThe big tech recent earning release had not met analysts expectatio

Many people said mr market is the best teacher in the investment/trading world. If you are right, you get richly rewarded, if you are wrong you get a slap and a wake up call.  What I had learnt from Q1 2022 : My win and my lost - FB diagonal spread $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ After the market dips back in Sep-Oct 2021, I took a position in FB via option using diagonal spread strategy sometimes in mid Oct. This is an investment grade option strategy I like to use when S&P is on an uptrend. (It is equivalent to owning 100 shares and selling covered calls. Instead of shares, I used ITM call as substitute).  You may ask why I use option instead of shares? This boils down to cost. Owning 100 shares of

Previously, I had touched on $TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG(02800)$which mirror the Hang Seng Index for long term investment. While this is a good index ETF, it might not be a suitable choice for investors with small account or investors who wish to accumulate it slowly and progressively over time.As such, I'm sharing a similar index ETF which mirror HSI that would suit small account investors  $HS HSI ETF(02833)$What's the difference between $TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG(02800)$versus $HS HSI ETF(02833)$? I did a comparison and here's my findings 1) 2800HK offer option and as such have more li

Base on what I have gathered, courtesy from lplresearch the average bear market drop is nearly 30% and last about a year. So where are we so far?  From market peak to trough, S&P 500 is down 27.5% (4818 peak dated 4 Jan and 3491 trough dated 13 Oct) and is about 11 months now so statistically we are nearer to the start of the new bull than continuation of the current bear. For more details, you can refer to https://www.google.com/amp/s/lplresearch.com/2022/05/18/six-things-to-know-about-bear-markets/amp/ Bull case - so if we are assuming base on the thesis that S&P500 had bottomed, where could it be heading? According to Charlie Bilello (source I had obtained from Twitter), S&P returns on the next calendar year is generally bullish with the exception of 1931. Do note

Three Warnings to Remind In Stock Market 1) First and foremost, I don't recommend using leverage to invest. When it comes to investment which I will hold for at least 5-10 years or longer, it has to be money I have and money I don't need for future use. In short it has to be money I can park and sleep well with it. It is important to understand leverage and use it appropriate (disclaimer I only use leverage for trading portfolio but never for investment portfolio). Regardless of one's portfolio size, a failure to control leverage can have devastating effect. Bill Hwang is an example of excessive leverage resulting in huge losses within 2 days https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-04-08/how-bill-hwang-of-archegos-capital-lost-20-billion-in-two-days 2) Predicting the stock m

As humans, we will all go through different lifecycle from infancy to childhood, adulthood and senior years. As we grew older, we tend to pay more attention to our health. There's a saying ... health is wealth which bring us to a question. How can we be wealthy yet healthy? Is there a way to take advantage of our concern through investing?There are many listed health related companies but I'm no doctor or medical expert to know for sure which companies will excel and I'm not comfortable investing into individual companies hence to have a peace of mind I'm looking at $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$. It literally cover all areas within the healthcare industry.The Health Care Select Sector Index includes companies from the following in

"Sell in May and Go Away" I don't recall gurus such as Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, John Templeton, Ray Dalio, George Soros etc follow this infamous phrase in investing.When I invest, I take it seriously. I treat it as a business and I consider myself a business owner. Let's look at it from a business owner's perspective. Imagine if you start a brick and mortar store selling bubble tea, you will naturally spent a substantial amount of time and money to renovate, buy equipments for BAU, install security, recruitment etc. In this regard, would anyone who start a business exit their investment after 1 month, or 3 months or 6 months? Surely it makes no sense.So why do folks like to time the market by getting in and out frequently? Or rely on old Wall Street adage for buying and selling decisio

Here we go again, dishing out same formula rinse and repeat eh Elon 😉? Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. Twitter short term investors taking a bet on Elon takeover bid of Twitter will unlikely take the bait this time round on Man Utd share. Besides, there's no reason too.Why? If one is taking a look at Man Utd financial, it doesn't make any logical sense to invest into a business with huge debts. If I'm to compare Twitter vs Man Utd and to choose one, I'm more likely to go with Twitter.To sums up, Elon Musk is probably bored, looking for some excitement to pass time. He is better off focusing on his core business or Space X generating more revenues, profits, increasing free cash flow, reducing debts on his businesses to gain more market share vs his competitors. Of cour

Base on my own experience, if FB is announcing earning release I would close all outstanding FB option positions before ER. I had shared previously that keeping open option positions will expose one to unlimited/limited risks (depending on what option strategies you had) given prices can go in any direction.If one is betting on directional option trade base on earning release, can consider option strategies such as bear put spread for bearish outlook, bull call spread for bullish outlook as they are cheaper as compare to buying single put or call. I'm less inclined to consider buying single put or call as it's more expensive and has a more bearish / bullish outlook with a lower win rate as compare to vertical spread. Of course if you got it right, the risk reward is mor