li1986 personal page - To The Moon

li1986

li1986

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2021-07-30

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$time to load up more?

2021-06-26

Cool

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2021-06-13

Ok

S&P ekes out gains to close languid week

2021-06-12

Ok

The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans

2021-06-11

Cool

Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday

2021-06-11

Cool

Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?

2021-06-11

france and mbappe!!

@话题虎:端午節福利：歐洲盃明天開幕！有些看點？

2021-06-11

Cool

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2021-06-10

Ok

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2021-06-08

Ok cool

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-07

Nice

Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play

2021-06-06

Ok

Zillow: Significant Downside Remains

2021-06-06

Alright man

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-04

Seemsgoodtime

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-03

Cool

DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now

2021-06-02

Ok

Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

2021-06-02

Good

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-31

I see

The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever

2021-05-26

Alright

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-24

Cool//@Alanleejw: Ok

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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community for 500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.06.02","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":806387949,"gmtCreate":1627633050681,"gmtModify":1703493759843,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$time to load up more?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806387949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574817634787540","authorId":"3574817634787540","name":"Investing1o1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869af641e674f7af0746de54f8a021b4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3574817634787540","idStr":"3574817634787540"},"content":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share","text":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share","html":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share"},{"author":{"id":"3574817634787540","authorId":"3574817634787540","name":"Investing1o1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869af641e674f7af0746de54f8a021b4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3574817634787540","idStr":"3574817634787540"},"content":"$200 drop time to buy now","text":"$200 drop time to buy now","html":"$200 drop time to buy now"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125551076,"gmtCreate":1624681658695,"gmtModify":1703843555273,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125551076","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186403308,"gmtCreate":1623515676104,"gmtModify":1704205405831,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186403308","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142204074","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623441637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142204074?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P ekes out gains to close languid week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142204074","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, June 11  - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.For the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.But th","content":"<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports&nbsp;notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector&nbsp;ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&amp;P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P ekes out gains to close languid week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P ekes out gains to close languid week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports&nbsp;notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector&nbsp;ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&amp;P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142204074","content_text":"NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.\nEconomically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.\nFor the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.\nBut the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.\n\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"\n\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"\nThe Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.\nInvestors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.\n\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.\nThe Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's\nAlzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.\nBiogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector ended the session lower.\nUnofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.\nMuch of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.\nBut meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.\n(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SH":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188648173,"gmtCreate":1623436174792,"gmtModify":1704203749388,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188648173","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114257617?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get&nbsp; (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p>\n<p>But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p>\n<p><b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and homes...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p>\n<p>While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p>\n<p>And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p>\n<p>This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> \n <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p>\n<p>What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p>\n<p>One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get  (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188087451,"gmtCreate":1623416509273,"gmtModify":1704203022332,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188087451","repostId":"1131879907","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131879907","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623411896,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131879907?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131879907","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"S&P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.\nMeme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.\nB","content":"<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.</li>\n <li>Meme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.</li>\n <li>Blockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Airline stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>EV stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 11)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&amp;P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from&nbsp;<b>Cheetah Mobile</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Azure Power Global</b>.</p>\n<p>The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.</p>\n<p>At 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18bcc00946e29ba65e1d29af6ef12226\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;Snowflake(SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX)</b> – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;Chewy(CHWY) </b>– Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Dave &amp; Buster's(PLAY) </b>– Dave &amp; Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave &amp; Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;Royal Caribbean(RCL)</b> – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;Biogen(BIIB)</b> – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV)</b> – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Callaway Golf(ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Livent(LTHM)</b> – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.</p>\n<p><b>12)&nbsp;Monday.com(MNDY)</b> – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-11 19:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.</li>\n <li>Meme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.</li>\n <li>Blockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Airline stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>EV stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 11)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&amp;P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from&nbsp;<b>Cheetah Mobile</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Azure Power Global</b>.</p>\n<p>The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.</p>\n<p>At 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18bcc00946e29ba65e1d29af6ef12226\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;Snowflake(SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX)</b> – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;Chewy(CHWY) </b>– Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Dave &amp; Buster's(PLAY) </b>– Dave &amp; Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave &amp; Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;Royal Caribbean(RCL)</b> – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;Biogen(BIIB)</b> – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV)</b> – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Callaway Golf(ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Livent(LTHM)</b> – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.</p>\n<p><b>12)&nbsp;Monday.com(MNDY)</b> – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131879907","content_text":"S&P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.\nMeme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.\nBlockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.\nAirline stocks rally in premarket trading.\nEV stocks rally in premarket trading.\n\n(June 11) U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from Cheetah Mobile and Azure Power Global.\nThe University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.\nAt 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.\nMeme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy & more\n1) Snowflake(SNOW) – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.\n2) Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX) – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.\n3) Chewy(CHWY) – Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.\n4) Dave & Buster's(PLAY) – Dave & Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave & Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.\n5) Royal Caribbean(RCL) – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Biogen(BIIB) – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.\n7) AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV) – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.\n8) Tesla(TSLA) – Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.\n9) American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.\n10) Callaway Golf(ELY) – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.\n11) Livent(LTHM) – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.\n12) Monday.com(MNDY) – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188002643,"gmtCreate":1623414811282,"gmtModify":1704202965071,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188002643","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147816654","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623411742,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147816654?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147816654","media":"The Street","summary":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Reddit army is back in full force!</p>\n<p>Meme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.</p>\n<p>One stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was the<b>iShares Silver Trust (SLV)</b>. It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.</p>\n<p>So they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1d77c395486d36223fb07516c1b28c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"308\">Silver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.</p>\n<p>It turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.</p>\n<p>It's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars &amp; coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.</p>\n<p>With that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.</p>\n<p>Stocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.</p>\n<p>That's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 19:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147816654","content_text":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.\nOne stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was theiShares Silver Trust (SLV). It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.\nSo they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.\nSilver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.\nIt turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.\nIt's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars & coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.\nWith that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.\nStocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.\nThat's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181552677,"gmtCreate":1623403337099,"gmtModify":1704202656290,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"france and mbappe!!","listText":"france and mbappe!!","text":"france and mbappe!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181552677","repostId":"181584887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181584887,"gmtCreate":1623401994645,"gmtModify":1704202619000,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"端午節福利：歐洲盃明天開幕！有些看點？","htmlText":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a>","listText":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a>","text":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ $上證指數(000001.SH)$ $道瓊斯(.DJI)$ $恆生指數(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80a36a1d6ca5a3be532d5306a0884546","width":"1080","height":"1752"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a2fce97bea4684888475205e4c56243","width":"1080","height":"3283"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506cb4f999586b00759874f2d8877e77","width":"1080","height":"2177"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181584887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181527925,"gmtCreate":1623402984767,"gmtModify":1704202647200,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181527925","repostId":"2142240312","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183570906,"gmtCreate":1623337848105,"gmtModify":1704201309007,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183570906","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114442133,"gmtCreate":1623100609622,"gmtModify":1704195914044,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok cool","listText":"Ok cool","text":"Ok cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114442133","repostId":"1196162025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115267782,"gmtCreate":1623014337646,"gmtModify":1704194239751,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115267782","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102972710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622948427,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102972710?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115157024,"gmtCreate":1622962329068,"gmtModify":1704193868974,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115157024","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120164826?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>\n <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>\n <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>\n <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Rationale</b></p>\n<p>Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p>\n<p>Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p>\n<p>But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p>\n<p>When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p>\n<p>However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Q1 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p>\n<p>The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p>\n<p>However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p>\n<p><b>Going Forward</b></p>\n<p>The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p>\n<p>In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p>\n<p>Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p>\n<p>That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p>\n<p>Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p>\n<p>The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p>\n<p>That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p>\n<p><b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p>\n<p>I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115155141,"gmtCreate":1622962168383,"gmtModify":1704193867033,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright man","listText":"Alright man","text":"Alright man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115155141","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118463168,"gmtCreate":1622754735354,"gmtModify":1704190410352,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seemsgoodtime","listText":"Seemsgoodtime","text":"Seemsgoodtime","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118463168","repostId":"2140247164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111830643,"gmtCreate":1622674203482,"gmtModify":1704188483554,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/111830643","repostId":"1136539394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136539394","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622645429,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136539394?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-02 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136539394","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable reven","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>An investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.</li>\n <li>Investors are being asked to pay up 44x forward contribution profits - a rich price tag.</li>\n <li>In the best case, this investment is already fairly priced. Worst case, the stock is very expensive for what it is.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf069f93e17a1c17f3903683376a3070\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1023\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Tibrina Hobson/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>DoorDash(NYSE:DASH)is a fast-growing food delivery platform. Yet, it's very difficult to find its sustainable revenue growth rate for the coming twelve months.</p>\n<p>What's more, given that the stock is already valued at close to 44x forward contribution profits, I don't see this investment as particularly compelling.</p>\n<p>Moreover, even if DoorDash's growth rates start to stabilize, I am unsure of whether this business has enough pricing power to be rewarded with such a premium valuation.</p>\n<p>Revenue Growth Rates Aren't the Full Story</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41fa2e884d0a9f8e36e9404097228d05\" tg-width=\"413\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Q1 2021 Investor Letter</span></p>\n<p>On the one hand, the graph above describes one story. The story that bulls are holding on to. Specifically, bulls make the case that DoorDash is evidently growing at such a fast clip with Q1 2021 reporting 198% y/y revenue growth that investors should be willing to pay up for these sort of revenue growth rates.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, bears contend that if we consider DoorDash's guidance for the quarter ahead it's pointing towards Marketplace GOV of $9.9 billion at the high end, which equates to roughly 61% y/y growth for Marketplace GOV.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Into the Positive and Negatives of DoorDash</b></p>\n<p>Presently we are faced with a slight problem.</p>\n<p>For the bullish thesis to work out positively, investors need to be confident as to what DoorDash's sustainable revenue growth rates are going to be as we move over the next twelve months.</p>\n<p>Because for a high growth stock to&nbsp;guide&nbsp;towards decelerating revenue growth rates, that's always going to cause investor anxiety.</p>\n<p>Although, it's inevitable that at&nbsp;<i>some point</i>&nbsp;DoorDash's revenue growth rates are bound to<i>start</i>&nbsp;to decelerate. In fact, it's fairly obvious that DoorDash wasn't going to continue growing its revenues at north of 170% y/y for a prolonged period of time.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the issue gets further complicated because the<i>pace</i>at which DoorDash is slowing growth is causing some questions to surface, such as, at what revenue growth rate will DoorDash stabilize?</p>\n<p>If, for instance, DoorDash was able to somehow report more than 80% y/y revenue growth rates for its quarter ending June 2021, this would largely put to the rest of the overarching concern investors have that as the economy reopens, that the demand for its platform is slowing demand.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, if DoorDash could indeed grow its revenues at 80% y/y, this would demonstrate to investors that DoorDash's business is not maturing and that it has a leading position in a rapidly growing market and that investors are justified in paying a very large multiple for this high growth stock.</p>\n<p>Having said all this, even if DoorDash were to somehow indeed report 80% y/y revenue growth for its upcoming Q2 2021 period, bears would be right to at least<i>tentatively</i>make the argument that, during Q1 2021, DoorDash's revenue growth rates were close to 200%, whereas 90 days later its growth rates have slowed down by more than 100% from one quarter to the next.</p>\n<p>Please note, I'm not comparing sequential growth rates between Q1 and Q2 2021, but y/y growth rates. Consequently, I'm declaring that DoorDash's growth rates are unpredictable.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the case remains, that as DoorDash comes up against those particularly challenging comps, the most pressing of which being Q3 2021. Investors are going to be tested on their ultimate conviction as to whether DoorDash has enough of a moat around its operation, or not. And, if DoorDash can deliver more value to Dashers than other food delivery companies to their own merchants, or not.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation -- Difficult to Find Upside Potential</b></p>\n<p>I know that DoorDash is not a ''bottom-line stock''. It's a story stock where the narrative is squared on it being a high-growth stock. However, our discussion allows us to momentarily focus on its EBITDA trend.</p>\n<p>For Q2 2021, DoorDash is guiding for $100 million of EBITDA. This is a 27% y/y increase with the same period a year ago. But when a company is largely expected to grow its top-line by somewhere around 60% and perhaps as much as 80% y/y in the quarter ahead, while its EBITDA is only being guided to grow for sub 30% y/y growth, this forces the question as to whether DoorDash has positive operating leverage or not?</p>\n<p>Consider that DoorDash's guided $38 billion Marketplace GOV and let us further make the bullish argument that DoorDash's contribution margin reaches a high of 3% for 2021. This would imply that DoorDash's contribution profit for the year reaches $1.1 billion. In that case, DoorDash is valued at approximately 44x forward contribution profits.</p>\n<p>For a company without tangible pricing power around its operations, and a rapidly decelerating top-line growth, I am struggling to find its upside potential here.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I have attempted to lay out a balanced argument of the puts and takes that investors should consider when it comes to DoorDash.</p>\n<p><i>Bulls would be correct to argue that DoorDash is not looking to maximize its profits at this stage in the game</i>. For now, DoorDash will do whatever it can to reinvest its bottom line, in order to sustainably grow its top line and carve out market share.</p>\n<p>However, given that its revenue growth rates are rapidly decelerating, we are only right to question whether DoorDash's reinvestment of its profit carries compelling ROI?</p>\n<p>I declare that these questions are very difficult to correctly answer so I will be looking elsewhere to deploy my own capital. Happy investing!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 22:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.\nInvestors are being asked to pay up 44x forward ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DASH":"DoorDash, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136539394","content_text":"Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.\nInvestors are being asked to pay up 44x forward contribution profits - a rich price tag.\nIn the best case, this investment is already fairly priced. Worst case, the stock is very expensive for what it is.\n\nPhoto by Tibrina Hobson/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nDoorDash(NYSE:DASH)is a fast-growing food delivery platform. Yet, it's very difficult to find its sustainable revenue growth rate for the coming twelve months.\nWhat's more, given that the stock is already valued at close to 44x forward contribution profits, I don't see this investment as particularly compelling.\nMoreover, even if DoorDash's growth rates start to stabilize, I am unsure of whether this business has enough pricing power to be rewarded with such a premium valuation.\nRevenue Growth Rates Aren't the Full Story\nSource: Q1 2021 Investor Letter\nOn the one hand, the graph above describes one story. The story that bulls are holding on to. Specifically, bulls make the case that DoorDash is evidently growing at such a fast clip with Q1 2021 reporting 198% y/y revenue growth that investors should be willing to pay up for these sort of revenue growth rates.\nOn the other hand, bears contend that if we consider DoorDash's guidance for the quarter ahead it's pointing towards Marketplace GOV of $9.9 billion at the high end, which equates to roughly 61% y/y growth for Marketplace GOV.\nDigging Into the Positive and Negatives of DoorDash\nPresently we are faced with a slight problem.\nFor the bullish thesis to work out positively, investors need to be confident as to what DoorDash's sustainable revenue growth rates are going to be as we move over the next twelve months.\nBecause for a high growth stock to guide towards decelerating revenue growth rates, that's always going to cause investor anxiety.\nAlthough, it's inevitable that at some point DoorDash's revenue growth rates are bound tostart to decelerate. In fact, it's fairly obvious that DoorDash wasn't going to continue growing its revenues at north of 170% y/y for a prolonged period of time.\nNonetheless, the issue gets further complicated because thepaceat which DoorDash is slowing growth is causing some questions to surface, such as, at what revenue growth rate will DoorDash stabilize?\nIf, for instance, DoorDash was able to somehow report more than 80% y/y revenue growth rates for its quarter ending June 2021, this would largely put to the rest of the overarching concern investors have that as the economy reopens, that the demand for its platform is slowing demand.\nFurthermore, if DoorDash could indeed grow its revenues at 80% y/y, this would demonstrate to investors that DoorDash's business is not maturing and that it has a leading position in a rapidly growing market and that investors are justified in paying a very large multiple for this high growth stock.\nHaving said all this, even if DoorDash were to somehow indeed report 80% y/y revenue growth for its upcoming Q2 2021 period, bears would be right to at leasttentativelymake the argument that, during Q1 2021, DoorDash's revenue growth rates were close to 200%, whereas 90 days later its growth rates have slowed down by more than 100% from one quarter to the next.\nPlease note, I'm not comparing sequential growth rates between Q1 and Q2 2021, but y/y growth rates. Consequently, I'm declaring that DoorDash's growth rates are unpredictable.\nNevertheless, the case remains, that as DoorDash comes up against those particularly challenging comps, the most pressing of which being Q3 2021. Investors are going to be tested on their ultimate conviction as to whether DoorDash has enough of a moat around its operation, or not. And, if DoorDash can deliver more value to Dashers than other food delivery companies to their own merchants, or not.\nValuation -- Difficult to Find Upside Potential\nI know that DoorDash is not a ''bottom-line stock''. It's a story stock where the narrative is squared on it being a high-growth stock. However, our discussion allows us to momentarily focus on its EBITDA trend.\nFor Q2 2021, DoorDash is guiding for $100 million of EBITDA. This is a 27% y/y increase with the same period a year ago. But when a company is largely expected to grow its top-line by somewhere around 60% and perhaps as much as 80% y/y in the quarter ahead, while its EBITDA is only being guided to grow for sub 30% y/y growth, this forces the question as to whether DoorDash has positive operating leverage or not?\nConsider that DoorDash's guided $38 billion Marketplace GOV and let us further make the bullish argument that DoorDash's contribution margin reaches a high of 3% for 2021. This would imply that DoorDash's contribution profit for the year reaches $1.1 billion. In that case, DoorDash is valued at approximately 44x forward contribution profits.\nFor a company without tangible pricing power around its operations, and a rapidly decelerating top-line growth, I am struggling to find its upside potential here.\nThe Bottom Line\nI have attempted to lay out a balanced argument of the puts and takes that investors should consider when it comes to DoorDash.\nBulls would be correct to argue that DoorDash is not looking to maximize its profits at this stage in the game. For now, DoorDash will do whatever it can to reinvest its bottom line, in order to sustainably grow its top line and carve out market share.\nHowever, given that its revenue growth rates are rapidly decelerating, we are only right to question whether DoorDash's reinvestment of its profit carries compelling ROI?\nI declare that these questions are very difficult to correctly answer so I will be looking elsewhere to deploy my own capital. Happy investing!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DASH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113080053,"gmtCreate":1622585087772,"gmtModify":1704186623462,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113080053","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138889344?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3><p>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3><p>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113017515,"gmtCreate":1622585043537,"gmtModify":1704186622651,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113017515","repostId":"2140249804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137729533,"gmtCreate":1622396472722,"gmtModify":1704183787446,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I see","listText":"I see","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137729533","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138742186,"gmtCreate":1621980001845,"gmtModify":1704365306527,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138742186","repostId":"2138193407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133799857,"gmtCreate":1621807900679,"gmtModify":1704362464758,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573205405294282","idStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","listText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","text":"Cool//@Alanleejw: Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133799857","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":133194182,"gmtCreate":1621725304746,"gmtModify":1704361676817,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133194182","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113080053,"gmtCreate":1622585087772,"gmtModify":1704186623462,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113080053","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138889344?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3><p>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3><p>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806387949,"gmtCreate":1627633050681,"gmtModify":1703493759843,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$time to load up more?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806387949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574817634787540","authorId":"3574817634787540","name":"Investing1o1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869af641e674f7af0746de54f8a021b4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574817634787540","authorIdStr":"3574817634787540"},"content":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share","text":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share","html":"buy now it should close around 3490 range today. good $120 profit per share"},{"author":{"id":"3574817634787540","authorId":"3574817634787540","name":"Investing1o1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/869af641e674f7af0746de54f8a021b4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574817634787540","authorIdStr":"3574817634787540"},"content":"$200 drop time to buy now","text":"$200 drop time to buy now","html":"$200 drop time to buy now"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118463168,"gmtCreate":1622754735354,"gmtModify":1704190410352,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seemsgoodtime","listText":"Seemsgoodtime","text":"Seemsgoodtime","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118463168","repostId":"2140247164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196362415,"gmtCreate":1621026982037,"gmtModify":1704352050851,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196362415","repostId":"2135710626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135710626","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1620982380,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135710626?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 16:53","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135710626","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices. One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual","content":"<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Early Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarly Tesla backer and top fund manager attacks Warren Buffett's strategy. Here's his investing advice.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-14 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock prices</p><p>One of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.</p><p>Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .</p><p>Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which the fund bought into in 2014.</p><p>Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.</p><p>In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.</p><p>\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"</p><p>Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.</p><p>\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.</p><p>He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.</p><p>But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.</p><p>The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"</p><p>Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.</p><p>Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.</p><p>\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.</p><p>In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.</p><p>Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.</p><p>Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$(09988)$</a>, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$(MRNA)$</a>, Chinese EV player NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.</p><p>\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BRK.A":"伯克希尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TSLA":"特斯拉","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135710626","content_text":"James Anderson says to forget value investing and be ready for stomach-churning swings in stock pricesOne of the U.K.'s top fund managers and a trailblazing technology investor has criticized value investing and the obsession with short-term metrics, in a departing letter on Thursday. He said his greatest regret was not making bigger and bolder bets.Listen to experts and have faith in the forces of change, despite severe swings in stock prices, James Anderson said in his report with the annual results of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust .Anderson will retire as a partner in asset manager Bailie Gifford and as joint manager of its Scottish Mortgage fund next April. The fund -- a FTSE 100 constituent with a market cap of more than GBP15 billion ($21 billion) -- has enjoyed remarkable gains over its history, marked by big, early bets on technology companies including online retailer Amazon $(AMZN)$, Chinese internet giant Tencent , and electric-car maker Tesla $(TSLA)$, which the fund bought into in 2014.Shares in Scottish Mortgage have fallen 9% so far in 2021, but the fund remains up near 60% in the past year.In a letter to shareholders, Anderson called the world of conventional asset management \"irretrievably broken,\" and took aim at \"value investing,\" the strategy famously espoused by investors like Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.\"The only rhyme is that in the long run the value of stocks is the long-run free cash flows they generate but we have but the barest and most nebulous clues as to what these cash flows will turn out to be,\" Anderson said. \"But woe betide those who think that a near-term price to earnings ratio defines value in an era of deep change.\"Since the emergence of digital technologies, \"sustained growth at extreme pace and with increasing returns to scale\" has become more evident, Anderson said. He pointed to tech giant Microsoft $(MSFT)$, which continues to grow after 35 years as a public company.\"Distraction through seeking minor opportunities in banal companies over short periods is the perennial temptation. It must be resisted,\" Anderson said.He described how the classic and careful investing approach of choosing a level of risk and return along a bell curve is flawed. It \"is neither accepting the deep uncertainty of the world nor acknowledging that the skew of returns is so extreme that it is the search for companies with the characteristics that might enable extreme and compounding success that is central to investing,\" he said.But faith is required in investing in high-growth opportunities, Anderson stressed, because share-price crashes happen regularly and are severe. \"The stock charts that look like remorseless bottom left to top right graphs are never as smooth and easy as they subsequently appear,\" he said.The fund manager also took a swipe at investors' obsession with short-term metrics -- what he called \"the near pornographic allure of news such as earnings announcements and macroeconomic headlines.\"Instead of following \"brokers and the media,\" Anderson advised listening to experts and scientists. Following expert advice on the advances in battery technology was behind Baillie Gifford's decision to invest in Tesla early, he said. At the time, Tesla was the only substantial Western player in electric vehicles, which the fund saw as an inevitable successor to conventional cars powered by internal combustion engines.Anderson also acknowledged the difficulties of measuring the value and profitability of future-focused endeavors. He cited Tesla's ambitions in autonomous vehicles, which the fund views as possibly transformative for the economics of the company -- despite not having any idea how successful it will be.\"To us it is bizarre that brokers, hedge fund mavens and commentators can claim to be able to decipher the future and assign a precise numerical target to the value of Tesla,\" he said.In his final annual results at Scottish Mortgage, Anderson pointed to renewable energy, synthetic biology, and the changing landscape in healthcare innovation as among the revolutionary forces ahead in the market.Describing what makes for a great investment, he cited Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos as a model. \"The company should have open-ended growth opportunities that they should work hard never to define or time,\" he said, alongside \"initial leadership that thinks like a founder (and almost always is one)\" as well as a distinctive philosophy of business.Today, Scottish Mortgage's top 10 holdings, in order of portfolio weight, are Tencent, biotechnology-equipment group Illumina (ILMN), Dutch semiconductor industry supplier ASML (ASML.AE), Amazon, Tesla, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba $(09988)$, Chinese local services platform Meituan Dianping , U.S. biotech group Moderna $(MRNA)$, Chinese EV player NIO $(NIO)$, and European food-delivery group Delivery Hero.\"There's much that I have misunderstood and misjudged over the two decades,\" Anderson said, urging those that follow him to be eccentric, and to place trust in unreasonable people and propositions. \"My ever-growing conviction is that my greatest failing has been to be insufficiently radical.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113017515,"gmtCreate":1622585043537,"gmtModify":1704186622651,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113017515","repostId":"2140249804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138742186,"gmtCreate":1621980001845,"gmtModify":1704365306527,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138742186","repostId":"2138193407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186403308,"gmtCreate":1623515676104,"gmtModify":1704205405831,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186403308","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142204074","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623441637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142204074?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P ekes out gains to close languid week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142204074","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, June 11  - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.For the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.But th","content":"<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports&nbsp;notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector&nbsp;ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&amp;P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P ekes out gains to close languid week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P ekes out gains to close languid week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps and transports&nbsp;notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.</p>\n<p>But the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"</p>\n<p>\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.</p>\n<p>Investors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.</p>\n<p>The Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's</p>\n<p>Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.</p>\n<p>Biogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector&nbsp;ended the session lower.</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&amp;P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>Much of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.</p>\n<p>But meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142204074","content_text":"NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed nominally higher at the end of a torpid week marked with few market-moving catalysts and persistent concerns over whether current inflation spikes could linger and cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to tighten its dovish policy sooner than expected.\nEconomically sensitive smallcaps and transports notched solid gains, outperforming the broader market.\nFor the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq advanced from last Friday's close, while the Dow posted a weekly loss.\nBut the indexes have been range-bound, with few catalysts to move investor sentiment. Much of the focus centered on Thursday's consumer price data, which eased jitters over the duration of the current inflation wave.\n\"It’s a muted day today,\" Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. \"The summer is settling in, people are slipping out of work early and there’s nothing in the news that’s going to materially drive the market in either direction.\"\n\"So, investors are going to wait until earnings season.\"\nThe Federal Reserve has repeatedly said that near-term price surges will not metastasize into lasting inflation, an assertion reflected in the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment report released on Friday, which showed inflation expectations easing from last month's spike.\nInvestors now turn their attention to the Fed's statement at the conclusion of next week's two-day monetary policy meeting, which will be parsed for clues regarding the central bank's timetable for raising key interest rates.\n\"Our view continues to be that inflationary data is transient and we will be around the 2% mark for the year,\" Pursche added.\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields posted their biggest weekly drop in nearly a year, weighing on the interest-sensitive financial sector in recent sessions.\nThe Food and Drug Administration is facing mounting criticism over its \"accelerated approval\" of Biogen Inc's\nAlzheimer's drug Aduhelm without strong evidence of its ability to combat the disease.\nBiogen shares, along with the broader healthcare sector ended the session lower.\nUnofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 14.41 points, or 0.04%, to 34,480.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.29 points, or 0.20%, to 4,247.47 and the Nasdaq Composite added 49.09 points, or 0.35%, to 14,069.42.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the biggest percentage drop.\nMuch of the trading volume this week was attributable to the ongoing social media-driven \"meme stock\" phenomenon, in which retail investors swarm around heavily shorted stocks.\nBut meme stock moves were more muted on Friday, with AMC Entertainment outperforming.\n(Reporting by Stephen Culp in New York Additional reporting by Ambar Warrick and Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Matthew Lewis and Cynthia Osterman)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SH":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188648173,"gmtCreate":1623436174792,"gmtModify":1704203749388,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188648173","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114257617?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get&nbsp; (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p>\n<p>But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p>\n<p><b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and homes...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p>\n<p>While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p>\n<p>And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p>\n<p>This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> \n <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p>\n<p>What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p>\n<p>One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get  (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137729533,"gmtCreate":1622396472722,"gmtModify":1704183787446,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I see","listText":"I see","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137729533","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114442133,"gmtCreate":1623100609622,"gmtModify":1704195914044,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok cool","listText":"Ok cool","text":"Ok cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114442133","repostId":"1196162025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115267782,"gmtCreate":1623014337646,"gmtModify":1704194239751,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115267782","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102972710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622948427,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102972710?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125551076,"gmtCreate":1624681658695,"gmtModify":1703843555273,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125551076","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183570906,"gmtCreate":1623337848105,"gmtModify":1704201309007,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183570906","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115157024,"gmtCreate":1622962329068,"gmtModify":1704193868974,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115157024","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120164826?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>\n <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>\n <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>\n <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Rationale</b></p>\n<p>Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p>\n<p>Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p>\n<p>But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p>\n<p>When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p>\n<p>However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Q1 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p>\n<p>The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p>\n<p>However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p>\n<p><b>Going Forward</b></p>\n<p>The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p>\n<p>In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p>\n<p>Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p>\n<p>That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p>\n<p>Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p>\n<p>The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p>\n<p>That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p>\n<p><b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p>\n<p>I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133799857,"gmtCreate":1621807900679,"gmtModify":1704362464758,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","listText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","text":"Cool//@Alanleejw: Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133799857","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188087451,"gmtCreate":1623416509273,"gmtModify":1704203022332,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188087451","repostId":"1131879907","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131879907","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623411896,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131879907?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131879907","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"S&P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.\nMeme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.\nB","content":"<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.</li>\n <li>Meme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.</li>\n <li>Blockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Airline stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>EV stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 11)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&amp;P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from&nbsp;<b>Cheetah Mobile</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Azure Power Global</b>.</p>\n<p>The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.</p>\n<p>At 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18bcc00946e29ba65e1d29af6ef12226\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;Snowflake(SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX)</b> – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;Chewy(CHWY) </b>– Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Dave &amp; Buster's(PLAY) </b>– Dave &amp; Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave &amp; Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;Royal Caribbean(RCL)</b> – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;Biogen(BIIB)</b> – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV)</b> – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Callaway Golf(ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Livent(LTHM)</b> – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.</p>\n<p><b>12)&nbsp;Monday.com(MNDY)</b> – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-11 19:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.</li>\n <li>Meme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.</li>\n <li>Blockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Airline stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>EV stocks rally in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 11)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&amp;P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from&nbsp;<b>Cheetah Mobile</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Azure Power Global</b>.</p>\n<p>The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.</p>\n<p>At 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18bcc00946e29ba65e1d29af6ef12226\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy &amp; more</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;Snowflake(SNOW)</b> – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX)</b> – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;Chewy(CHWY) </b>– Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Dave &amp; Buster's(PLAY) </b>– Dave &amp; Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave &amp; Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>5)&nbsp;Royal Caribbean(RCL)</b> – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>6)&nbsp;Biogen(BIIB)</b> – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.</p>\n<p><b>7)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV)</b> – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.</p>\n<p><b>8)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.</p>\n<p><b>9)&nbsp;American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.</p>\n<p><b>10)&nbsp;Callaway Golf(ELY)</b> – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.</p>\n<p><b>11)&nbsp;Livent(LTHM)</b> – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.</p>\n<p><b>12)&nbsp;Monday.com(MNDY)</b> – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131879907","content_text":"S&P 500 looks to add to Thursday's record close.\nMeme stocks get some relief after hitting a wall.\nBlockchain stocks rally in premarket trading.\nAirline stocks rally in premarket trading.\nEV stocks rally in premarket trading.\n\n(June 11) U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher in early pre-market trade after the S&P 500 index jumped to a new high in the previous session following data on consumer price inflation and jobless claims. Investors are awaiting earnings results from Cheetah Mobile and Azure Power Global.\nThe University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June is scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET. The consumer sentiment index dropped over 5 points to 82.9 in May due to rising inflation expectations. Analysts, however, expect June's preliminary reading to rise slightly to 84.\nAt 7:58 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 73 points, or 0.21%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.20%.\nMeme stocks were getting some relief early Friday after hitting a wall Thursday. Shares of GameStop, which tanked 27% on Thursday, rose 6% in the premarket. GameStop investors seemed to be running for the exits Thursday, one day after the video game retailer announced the appointments of two former Amazon executives as CEO and CFO and said it may sell as many as 5 million additional shares to raise money. GameStop — off about 50% from its $483 per share all-time high in January — remained up nearly 1,100% in 2021. Last week's big winner, AMC Entertainment, rose 4% in Friday's premarket after closing down 13% on Thursday. The stock — down more than 40% from last week's all-time high of $72.62 — was still up 1,900% this year.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Snowflake, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Chewy & more\n1) Snowflake(SNOW) – Snowflake shares fell 3.7% in premarket trading, following the cloud computing company’s presentation of financial targets at its Investor Day meeting. Snowflake set a target of reaching $10 billion in annual product revenue by 2029, compared to $554 million in its fiscal year that ended in January.\n2) Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX) – The drugmaker halted development of an experimental drug designed to treat a rare genetic disease called AAT Deficiency. Vertex said the drug raised levels of a deficient protein, but not enough to provide a substantial benefit. Vertex plunged 13.9% in the premarket.\n3) Chewy(CHWY) – Chewy earned 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts for a 3 cents per share loss. The pet products retailer's revenue also beat estimates and gave an upbeat revenue outlook. Chewy also warned of labor shortages and supply chain issues that are impacting product availability.\n4) Dave & Buster's(PLAY) – Dave & Buster's reported a surprise profit for its first quarter, with earnings of 40 cents per share. Analysts had predicted a loss of 16 cents per share for the restaurant chain. Dave & Buster's said the recovery in its business has continued through the first part of the current quarter, and its shares jumped 5.5% in premarket action.\n5) Royal Caribbean(RCL) – Royal Caribbean’s Celebrity line said two passengers aboard its Millennium cruise shiptested positive for Covid-19. The passengers – who were traveling together – are asymptomatic and have been isolated, and the cruise line is currently conducting contact tracing. Royal Caribbean lost 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Biogen(BIIB) – Biogen added 1.4% in the premarket after UBS upgraded the drug maker’s stock to “buy” from “neutral,” and Bernstein raised its rating to “outperform” from “market perform.” Both firms base their upgrades on the potential sales bump from the Food and Drug Administration’s approval this week of Alzheimer’s disease treatment Aduhelm.\n7) AMC Entertainment(AMC),GameStop(GME),Clover Health(CLOV) – These “meme stocks” continue to be volatile, with AMC surging 8% in the premarket, GameStop jumping 5.7% and Clover Health up 3%.\n8) Tesla(TSLA) – Teslaunveiled its Model S Plaidat an event held at its Fremont, California factory. The new high-end version of its Model S sells for just under $130,000. Separately, Goldman Sachs reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock.\n9) American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlines is investing $25 million in electric flying taxi startup Vertical Aerospace. American said it planned to buy up to 250 of the electric aircraft, which are set for an initial test flight later this year.\n10) Callaway Golf(ELY) – Callaway Golf will replaceGrubHub(GRUB) in the S&P MidCap 400 index, effective prior to the opening of trading on June 15. GrubHub is in the process of being acquired by British firm Just Eat Takeaway. Callaway – a leading maker of golf clubs and other golf products – will be replaced in the S&P SmallCap 600 byApollo Medical(AMEH). Callaway slid 3.7% in premarket trading, while Apollo surged 11.9%.\n11) Livent(LTHM) – The lithium power specialist’s shares fell 2% in the premarket after announcing a public offering of 13 million shares at $17.50 per share. Livent plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, repaying debt, and boosting capital spending.\n12) Monday.com(MNDY) – The Israel-based maker of work management software is on watch ahead of its second day of trading, after pricing its initial public offering at $155 per share and closing Thursday at $178.87.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188002643,"gmtCreate":1623414811282,"gmtModify":1704202965071,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188002643","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147816654","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623411742,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147816654?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147816654","media":"The Street","summary":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Reddit army is back in full force!</p>\n<p>Meme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.</p>\n<p>One stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was the<b>iShares Silver Trust (SLV)</b>. It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.</p>\n<p>So they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1d77c395486d36223fb07516c1b28c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"308\">Silver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.</p>\n<p>It turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.</p>\n<p>It's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars &amp; coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.</p>\n<p>With that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.</p>\n<p>Stocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.</p>\n<p>That's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 19:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147816654","content_text":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.\nOne stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was theiShares Silver Trust (SLV). It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.\nSo they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.\nSilver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.\nIt turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.\nIt's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars & coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.\nWith that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.\nStocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.\nThat's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102212757,"gmtCreate":1620217476179,"gmtModify":1704340297498,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102212757","repostId":"2133528918","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133528918","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1620216660,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2133528918?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-05 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pfizer's next play: A vaccine maker and pandemic 'partner' to governments","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133528918","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The company's COVID-19 vaccine generated $3.4 billion in revenue in the first quarter of 2021Pfizer ","content":"<p>The company's COVID-19 vaccine generated $3.4 billion in revenue in the first quarter of 2021</p><p>Pfizer Inc.'s COVID-19 vaccine is on track to generate a whopping $26 billion in sales this year, making it the drug maker's top-selling drug and forging a new path into infectious diseases for the legacy drug maker.</p><p>Shares of Pfizer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> gained 0.2% in trading on Tuesday after the company announced earnings for the first quarter of 2021. It updated guidance  to $26 billion for 2021, up from an earlier forecast for $15 billion.</p><p>To put this in perspective, the company's top-selling cholesterol pill Lipitor brought in $13 billion in annual sales at its peak, in 2006, and generated a total of $94 billion over a 15-year span, according to FiercePharma .</p><p>Here are a few additional details to pay attention to from Pfizer's first-quarter earnings:</p><p>Pfizer's stock is up 8.3% for the year, while the S&amp;P 500  has gained 11.6%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer's next play: A vaccine maker and pandemic 'partner' to governments</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer's next play: A vaccine maker and pandemic 'partner' to governments\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-05 20:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The company's COVID-19 vaccine generated $3.4 billion in revenue in the first quarter of 2021</p><p>Pfizer Inc.'s COVID-19 vaccine is on track to generate a whopping $26 billion in sales this year, making it the drug maker's top-selling drug and forging a new path into infectious diseases for the legacy drug maker.</p><p>Shares of Pfizer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> gained 0.2% in trading on Tuesday after the company announced earnings for the first quarter of 2021. It updated guidance  to $26 billion for 2021, up from an earlier forecast for $15 billion.</p><p>To put this in perspective, the company's top-selling cholesterol pill Lipitor brought in $13 billion in annual sales at its peak, in 2006, and generated a total of $94 billion over a 15-year span, according to FiercePharma .</p><p>Here are a few additional details to pay attention to from Pfizer's first-quarter earnings:</p><p>Pfizer's stock is up 8.3% for the year, while the S&amp;P 500  has gained 11.6%.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133528918","content_text":"The company's COVID-19 vaccine generated $3.4 billion in revenue in the first quarter of 2021Pfizer Inc.'s COVID-19 vaccine is on track to generate a whopping $26 billion in sales this year, making it the drug maker's top-selling drug and forging a new path into infectious diseases for the legacy drug maker.Shares of Pfizer $(PFE)$ gained 0.2% in trading on Tuesday after the company announced earnings for the first quarter of 2021. It updated guidance  to $26 billion for 2021, up from an earlier forecast for $15 billion.To put this in perspective, the company's top-selling cholesterol pill Lipitor brought in $13 billion in annual sales at its peak, in 2006, and generated a total of $94 billion over a 15-year span, according to FiercePharma .Here are a few additional details to pay attention to from Pfizer's first-quarter earnings:Pfizer's stock is up 8.3% for the year, while the S&P 500  has gained 11.6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181552677,"gmtCreate":1623403337099,"gmtModify":1704202656290,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"france and mbappe!!","listText":"france and mbappe!!","text":"france and mbappe!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181552677","repostId":"181584887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181584887,"gmtCreate":1623401994645,"gmtModify":1704202619000,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"端午節福利：歐洲盃明天開幕！有些看點？","htmlText":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a>","listText":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上證指數(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道瓊斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恆生指數(HSI)$</a>","text":"北京時間明天（6月12日）凌晨，第16屆歐洲盃將正式開賽。C羅、姆巴佩、德布勞內、凱恩、諾伊爾……各路巨星同場競技，豪門球隊神仙打架，全歐11座城市共同舉辦，看點滿滿！ 快收好這份觀賽指南，這個夏天，一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入門篇 僅適用於對足球完全不瞭解的朋友 “歐洲盃能看到梅西嗎？” 如果你的一位愛好足球的朋友聽到了這樣的問題，內心可能就如上圖表情包所示……要想愉快地聊歐洲盃，可以先學學這些小知識，避免出現常識性錯誤。 進階篇 本屆歐洲盃，哪個小組被稱爲“死亡之組”？有哪些精彩看點？熬夜看球又該注意些什麼？且聽小編爲你一一道來。 （以上內容轉自：央視新聞） 足球運動是人類最偉大、最精彩的運動之一，巧的是這次開幕式正好趕上咱們的端午節，可謂是球迷們的福利啦~ 趁着這些天不開盤，虎友們也可以好好地放鬆一下！ 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起來！? …… 最後，大家聊一聊： 你是否喜歡足球運動？看好哪些球隊or球星？ 精彩留言用戶可獲得888社區積分噢！ $上證指數(000001.SH)$ $道瓊斯(.DJI)$ $恆生指數(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80a36a1d6ca5a3be532d5306a0884546","width":"1080","height":"1752"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a2fce97bea4684888475205e4c56243","width":"1080","height":"3283"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506cb4f999586b00759874f2d8877e77","width":"1080","height":"2177"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181584887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}