My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AMAZON JUST EXECUTED 16,000 WORKERS WHILE BURNING $200 BILLION ON AI INFRASTRUCTURE We are expecting more layoff news to come. Let us monitor and hedge accordingly. Private Credit - a canary in the Financial coalmine? The Private Credit sector continues to leak confidence with withdrawal limits and default news. Will this trip up the market? Probably. Data Centre updates Half of US data centers planned for 2026 are expected to be delayed or canceled. One big reason is shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries. US doesn’t have manufacturing capacity, forcing it to rely on imports. - Bloomberg Outdated electricity grids are now a “national security risk,” JPMorgan has said. The promised AI of a multi

News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026) Hedge funds' net selling of US tech and communication stocks last week was the largest since September 2024 and the 3rd-largest in 5 years. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump's "48-hour warning" to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires at 10:05 AM ET on Monday, April 6th. This also happens to be 35 minutes after the US stock market reopens after the 3-day weekend. "BIG SHORT" INVESTOR MICHAEL BURRY WARNS: US FINANCIAL MARKETS AND ECONOMY WILL CRASH. "THE PROBLEM IS TOO BIG TO SAVE." Poolside’s Project Horizon just lost CoreWeave as anchor tenant and its $2B Nvidia-led funding round at the same time. The deal collapsed after Poolside couldn’t stand up its first GPU cluster to CoreWeave’s timeline. The capital followed the

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn

Earnings Calendar (06Apr2026) Let us look at Delta Airlines for this week’s stock analysis. Valuation Metrics The company currently has a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.7 and an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $7.72. These figures suggest that, based on its earnings, Delta appears to be an attractive investment opportunity. It will be intriguing to observe how Delta manages the ongoing energy crisis, especially given the expected increases in jet fuel prices in various regions. The key question is whether consumers will continue to travel or begin to cut back, as rising energy costs contribute to inflationary pressures throughout the business, including the supply chain and overall cost of living. Analyst Recommendations Tanika’s analysis recommends a strong buy for Delta’s sto

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 06Apr2026) Market Closures Hong Kong and China will be closed on Monday, April 6, in observance of the Ching Ming festival. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed on Tuesday, April 7, for the Easter public holiday. Key Economic Releases The ISM non-manufacturing prices for March will be released, with the previous index reporting 63, indicating clear and strong inflationary growth. The ISM non-manufacturing PMI is forecasted at 54.8, suggesting continued expansion in the services sector. However, the elevated prices are likely to be passed on to consumers. Durable goods orders for February are anticipated to decline by 1.0% month over month, offering insight into current consumption trends. Bond Market Activity The upcoming 10-year note auct

Here's a concise summary of YTD performance (as of ~March 27, 2026 close) for the major U.S. indices and groups, amid a March pullback driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and increased volatility: S&P 500: -6.7% to -7.0% (price return ≈ -7%; total return similar). It peaked near 7,002 in late January and is now ~9% off that high. Nasdaq Composite: Deeper decline, roughly -8% to -10%+ range (tech-heavy weighting amplified losses). It has clearly entered correction territory (≥10% off recent high). Dow Jones Industrial Average: Around -5% to -7% YTD; confirmed correction territory (>10% decline from its February 2026 high). Russell 2000 (small-caps): Started strong with early outperformance and rotation, but gave back gains; now roughly flat to modes

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AirGas Declares Force Majeure On Helium Shipments As Qatar Production Collapses - MacroEdge Forrester found 55% of companies that laid off workers citing AI efficiency now regret it. More than a third spent more on rehiring than they saved. Klarna was the poster child. CEO said their chatbot was doing the work of 700 employees, then customer satisfaction tanked and they started quietly backpedalling. Goldman Sachs says stocks now drop an average of 2% after AI-attributed layoff announcements. - X user Hedgie The price of war A plastics shortage is emerging - X user Lukas Ekwueme “Weekly fuel bills that ran to $13,800-$15,000 before the war are now heading toward $34,000 which amounts to a total value of a fish vessel, leaving no money t

News and my thoughts from the past week (30Mar2026) Domestic Banks making loans to dealers and hedge funds to finance the purchase of Securities hit almost $500B in the 4Q of 2025 - X user Monetary McFly Right now, the downtime and resiliency are more threatening to the operations,” Kirst said. “You’re seeing recent outages with AWS and Azure and Cloudflare, even the outage with Verizon that some metropolitan areas have experienced. Those impact warehouse operations." - FreightWavesBREAKING: Meta stock, $META, falls over -7% after a “landmark” court case ruled that the company failed to adequately warn or protect young users. The stock has erased -$100 billion in market cap today. - X user The Kobeissi Letter People need help with the mortgage - seen in top Google trends

Market Outlook of S&P500 (30Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is trending down. This momentum indicator, which tracks the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price, signals that bearish sentiment is prevailing in the market for the time being. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.20, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved well below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line

Earnings Calendar (30Mar2026) Let us deep dive into Nike, with its upcoming earnings report. Stock Performance Analysis Despite recent declines in financial performance, there is a notable divergence between technical analysis and analyst sentiment regarding Nike’s stock. Technical indicators currently suggest a strong sell rating, signalling that the stock may face continued downward momentum in the near term. In contrast, analyst sentiment remains optimistic, with many experts maintaining a buy recommendation. Furthermore, the consensus price target for Nike shares is set at $74.97, indicating a potential upside of 45.94% from the current trading price. This disparity highlights differing perspectives on the stock’s future trajectory, as market indicators and professional forecasts provi

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 30Mar2026) The upcoming period features several significant economic developments and meetings that may introduce volatility into financial markets. Notably, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak, and his remarks could influence market movements. Labor Market Data Job openings are forecasted at 7.0 million, marking an improvement from the previous figure of 6.9 million. This metric is particularly important given the recent wave of retrenchments and layoffs. Initial jobless claims for March are reported at 210,000, and this statistic will serve as a reference point for the Federal Reserve’s impending interest rate decision. Additional employment data includes the US employment report, which stands at 45,000 for March. The une

what we know is about 9+% delinquency. The black swan may be found in what we do not know. Let us lay out the cards. People who could not borrow from banks go to Private Credit. It would imply more risks (& reward). Without due diligence, defaults is not unexpected. Let us monitor. $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$   $Apollo Global Management Inc(APOS)$  

This is the most serious escalation since Day 1. Here's the full picture as of Day 23, 23 March 2026. Through My Asian Lens — Emergency Sitrep Day 23 — 23 March 2026 | The 48-Hour Ultimatum 🚨 THE HEADLINE: TRUMP'S 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM — DEADLINE EXPIRES TONIGHT The war just entered its most dangerous phase yet. At 7:44pm ET Saturday (21 March), Trump posted on Truth Social: "If Iran doesn't FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!" That deadline expires at 7:44pm ET tonight, Monday 23 March (3:14am Tuesday Tehran time). Iran's counter-threat was immediate and precise. "If Iran's fuel and energy infrastructure is attacked

Fuel shortages As of late March 2026, the Middle East conflict has closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing major oil disruptions. Countries reporting actual fuel shortages, rationing, queues, or station closures include: - Australia (local outages, 6 tankers canceled) - Pakistan (long queues, schools closed) - Sri Lanka (rationing, 4-day school weeks) - Myanmar (strict rationing) - Bangladesh (long queues) - Thailand (station lines) - Laos (40% stations closed) - Cambodia (1/3 stations closed) - Slovenia (pumps running dry) China banned fuel exports to prevent domestic issues. Situation evolving fast. Inflation is expected to follow. Let us monitor. $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)

News and my thoughts from the past week (23Mar2026) Is the housing market going through a correction? Roughly 111 million people — half of all Americans with a credit card and over 40% of adults — are unable to pay off their credit card bills each month, per MorePerfectUnion "California housing crash fears as buying rates plummet below Great Recession level," per NYP Who would have expected the global economy to be affected by a narrow strait? Germany's largest defense company, Rheinmetall's CEO on CNBC today: "If the war lasts another month, we will have nearly no missiles available." All of them. European. American. Middle Eastern. Iran has been rationing its launches for weeks. The West has been burning through interceptors at full speed. The attrition war has a winner emerging. It isn