Nevermind about what is valuation worry about how today's market is going to be. I think we are likely going to see the market puke today and with it, stocks like Tesla will be eadling the charge down. For the very reason this article has spelled out. Over-value, shrinking revenue and profits. And especially, Musk being tettered to a very unstable Godfather......

It is going to bleak for all growth companiesfor now. With global economies slowing down, and pressed in further by inflation and high cost of operations, without a good cash profit flow, some if these will find it increasinlycostlier to just stay in biz. Regrettably, apartfrom Tesla, I cannot think of any EV companies which have a decent profit trend. In fact,all are currently notnin the money, yet.

"However, its performance was below par, as it came in below its previous midpoint guidance of 32K vehicles. As such, investors expecting a robust report are likely disappointed after the company also underperformed in FQ4'22." Has the market already pried this present upturn a case of herd stampede?

Sadly there will be more blocks ahead. But between the three Chinese EV's, I fear NIO has a longer way to fall. Xpeng and Li Auto has already fallen a lot more whereas NIO was held up by news about their new ET5 sedan.But if you go beyond the hype, you have to worry about NIO's recent losses reported. it is worst than the other two.

Ah. This may explain why Baba shares fell so much last night. This beside the reading of another Fed interest rate hike spooking the overall market.  But what happened to the Super feel-good over the business split into 6?  So, from my experience, whenever stock prices jacks up tremendously like last week for Baba, it is usually good to sell.  And conversely, when the opposite happens, buy in. Even more when the opposite happens in a very much faster time like for Baba last night. For me, Baba is a strong buy now. Just as Tesla was a strong sell early yesterday. But please note it is only my own reading.

The question to ask should be how much did they pay for this latest round of BTC purchase. I think it was around US104k. With BTC having fallen to UD96k over the weekend, and with this further dilution of MSTR shares, I fear it is going to be one bleak Monday. Not just for MSTR, bit other Crypto linked stocks as well as Tesla, which has substantial valuation on it's BTC holdings.

This is what I have been seeing as well. The future promises and expectations are still just that. A future that has yet to be proven. Tecent developments, both within NIO and Chona, are just presentlijh too big a risk. Do note that people were very encouraged with Chines government support. But government support is waning. China itsef is showing strains i their economy.

What is not mentioned here is it missed concensus estimates. So, is this half full or half empty situation? Reproduced:  "Tesla on Sunday missed estimates for first-quarter deliveries as a bleak economic outlook and rising competition weighed on the electric automaker’s sales. Tesla delivered 422,875 vehicles, a record for the automaker but lower than analyst expectations for 430,008 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data."

I feel the big beneficiaries of this shocking announcement will be Nvidia, AMD, SMCI, TSMC and further on ARM and other AI chip second liners Whether this AI strategy works (highly likely if plan executed well) or not, these providers will get the upfront orders. After last 2 days of indiscriminate sell-off, it is perfect time to load up on quality chip manufacturers.  But not in Intel as they have shown that they have gone the IBM route. Lost the game completely when they were once the dominant player. And certainly not Tesla as whatever Elon Musk says, they are a car company which is also going the way of IBM. Losing out to new and more efficient players.

Good article. My take is to look at Tesla only after the 3rd quarter if this year. Only then can you consider if Tesla has recovery in store.  Why I feel this way? Lowered production after first starting a price war is never a good sign. And recent price increases for some models signals a regret which may have been made tok late.  Second reason? Ark started buying more Tesla. This to me is bad sign. Hahaha.

If this article is correct, it will indeed be a powerful position for Tesla to continue to dominate from. But again, all readings and calls have to be tempered with checks and double checks.  Still, it is true Tesla has got the largest gross margins amongst all vehicle manufacturers. That is a big advantage against anyone else challenging the market.