Kevin29 personal page - To The Moon

Kevin29

Kevin29

No personal profile

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2023-11-02

[财迷]

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2023-09-05

[财迷]

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2023-04-25

[财迷]

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2023-04-19

[财迷]

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2023-04-14

[财迷]

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2023-04-11

[财迷]

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2023-04-11

[财迷]

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2023-04-11

[财迷]

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2023-04-10

[呆住]

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2023-04-10

[财迷]

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2023-04-07

[财迷]

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2023-04-04

[财迷]

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2023-03-31

[微笑]

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2023-03-30

[呆住]

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2023-03-23

[财迷]

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2023-03-08

[呆住]

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2023-03-08

[流泪]

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2023-03-08

[财迷]

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2021-06-16

SOHO

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2021-06-04

Win win

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win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116527258","repostId":"1110641032","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110641032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1622812967,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110641032?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110641032","media":"Reuters","summary":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial off","content":"<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-04 21:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110641032","content_text":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.\nHardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BYND":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942607760,"gmtCreate":1681199761151,"gmtModify":1681199765186,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942607760","repostId":"1178187404","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178187404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681186000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178187404?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 12:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Large Options Orders | Chip Stocks Surge, Micron Technology Call Options Surge! With both positive and negative factors arriving, Tilray is in an \"awkward position.\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178187404","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10) Eastern Time, the total trading volume in the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%. Chip stocks are in a frenzy.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options increased significantly.</strong><strong>MARKET OVERVIEW</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10) Eastern Time, U.S. stocks closed mixed as the market awaited inflation data and earnings reports. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.30%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.03%, and the S&P 500 rose 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe that the March non-farm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Federal Reserve to continue its rate hike, raising rate hike by at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focusing on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as the financial reports of several major banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Data source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the total trading volume in the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>The S&P 500 ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>II. Top 10 Options Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Data source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% to $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 55% of all options trading. The exercise price expiring on April 14, 2023 is $162.50.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 72,686 tickets sold.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>In terms of news: Due to sluggish demand, Apple's PC shipments fell by 40% in the first quarter. According to the latest report from IDC, shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, the number decreased by 29% quarter-on-quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than the 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and the 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plummeted by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenue hit a \"record high\".<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% on Monday to $5.24. 675,700 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 53% of all options trading. The exercise price is $5.50, expiring on April 14, 2023.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 62,392 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% to $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 47% of all options trading. The exercise price expiring on April 14, 2023 is $280.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 32,872 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>III. Abnormal Movement</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It surged 8% on Monday, its biggest gain in more than a year, to $63.27. The exercise price is $67, expiring on April 14, 2023.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 20,216 tickets sold.<strong>This means that investors in the options market remain bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In terms of news,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>The news that Micron plans to cut memory chip production in the near future has boosted Micron Technology, which analysts believe could accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative factors are coming simultaneously, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% on Monday to $2.74. However, the stock fell 5% in after-hours trading, so investors should pay attention! Tilray expires on April 14, 2023 with an exercise price of $3.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 23,207 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In terms of news: Tilray announced an acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's revenue for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023 fell short of expectations.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. The exercise price expiring on April 21, 2023 is $24.<strong>Put option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 22,226 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Large Options Orders | Chip Stocks Surge, Micron Technology Call Options Surge! With both positive and negative factors arriving, Tilray is in an \"awkward position.\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLarge Options Orders | Chip Stocks Surge, Micron Technology Call Options Surge! With both positive and negative factors arriving, Tilray is in an \"awkward position.\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-11 12:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10) Eastern Time, the total trading volume in the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%. Chip stocks are in a frenzy.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options increased significantly.</strong><strong>MARKET OVERVIEW</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10) Eastern Time, U.S. stocks closed mixed as the market awaited inflation data and earnings reports. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.30%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.03%, and the S&P 500 rose 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe that the March non-farm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Federal Reserve to continue its rate hike, raising rate hike by at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focusing on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as the financial reports of several major banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Data source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the total trading volume in the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>The S&P 500 ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>II. Top 10 Options Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Data source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% to $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 55% of all options trading. The exercise price expiring on April 14, 2023 is $162.50.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 72,686 tickets sold.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>In terms of news: Due to sluggish demand, Apple's PC shipments fell by 40% in the first quarter. According to the latest report from IDC, shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, the number decreased by 29% quarter-on-quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than the 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and the 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plummeted by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenue hit a \"record high\".<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% on Monday to $5.24. 675,700 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 53% of all options trading. The exercise price is $5.50, expiring on April 14, 2023.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 62,392 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% to $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, with call options accounting for 47% of all options trading. The exercise price expiring on April 14, 2023 is $280.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 32,872 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>III. Abnormal Movement</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It surged 8% on Monday, its biggest gain in more than a year, to $63.27. The exercise price is $67, expiring on April 14, 2023.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 20,216 tickets sold.<strong>This means that investors in the options market remain bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In terms of news,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>The news that Micron plans to cut memory chip production in the near future has boosted Micron Technology, which analysts believe could accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative factors are coming simultaneously, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% on Monday to $2.74. However, the stock fell 5% in after-hours trading, so investors should pay attention! Tilray expires on April 14, 2023 with an exercise price of $3.<strong>Call option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 23,207 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In terms of news: Tilray announced an acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's revenue for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023 fell short of expectations.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. The exercise price expiring on April 21, 2023 is $24.<strong>Put option</strong>The trading volume was particularly high, with 22,226 tickets sold.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source ：Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4512":"苹果概念","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4141":"半导体产品","MU":"美光科技","AAPL":"苹果","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4557":"大麻股","BK4579":"人工智能","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","BK4007":"制药","ALLY":"Ally Financial Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178187404","content_text":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀数据和财报，美股周一收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，道琼斯指数涨0.30%，纳斯达克指数跌0.03%，标普500指数涨0.10%。交易员普遍认为上周末公布的3月非农就业数据将促使美联储继续加息，在5月会议上至少将加息四分之一个基点。本周投资者关注重要的CPI与PPI通胀数据，以及多家大型银行的财报。数据来源：老虎国际周一，期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%。数据来源：Market Chameleon标普指数ETF-SPY期权成交689.5万张合约，其中，看跌期权占比53%。数据来源：Market Chameleon二、期权成交总量TOP10数据来源：老虎国际苹果周一下跌1.6%，报162.03美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的55%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为162.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为72,686张。消息方面：需求低迷，苹果公司一季度PC出货量下降40%。根据IDC的最新报告显示，今年一季度全球前5大电脑制造商的出货量均出现不同程度的下降，总体来看，环比下降29%至5690万台，明显低于2019一季度的5920万台及2018年一季度的6060万台。其中，苹果2023年一季度PC出货量暴跌超40%。复活节周末的收入创下“历史新高”，AMC院线周一涨近7%，报5.24美元。期权合约成交67.57万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的53%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为5.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为62,392张。数据来源：Market Chameleon英伟达周一上涨2%，报275.79美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的47%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为280美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为32,872张。数据来源：Market Chameleon三、异动观察数据来源：Market Chameleon美光科技周一大涨8%创逾一年来最大涨幅，报63.27美元。2023年4月14日到期行权价为67美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为20,216张。这意味着在期权市场中，投资者本周继续看多该股。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息面上，三星计划近期削减内存芯片产量，消息提振美光科技，分析师认为此举可能会加速内存芯片行业的复苏。利好利空“同步”来袭，Tilray周一涨超5%，报2.74美元。但该股盘后下挫5%，投资者需要留意！Tilray2023年4月14日到期行权价为3美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为23,207张。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息方面：Tilray宣布了与Hexo Corp.的收购协议；公司2023财年第三季度收入低于预期。Ally周一涨近1%，报26.30美元。2023年4月21日到期行权价为24美元看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为22,226张。数据来源：Market Chameleon","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159813":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"ALLY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"MU":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946073301,"gmtCreate":1680827392004,"gmtModify":1680827394609,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946073301","repostId":"1124955777","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124955777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680826244,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124955777?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-07 08:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Last Night and This Morning | Markets focused on the non-farm payroll report, with all three major US stock indexes closing higher and AI concept stocks rebounding.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124955777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①美股三大指数均录得上涨，纳指本周累跌1.1%；②美国最严排放新规即将出台；③AI股普遍反弹，BigBear.ai涨超14%。海外行情1、美股三大指数齐收涨 市场聚焦非农就业报告周四美股低开高走","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① All three major U.S. stock indexes rose, with the Nasdaq falling 1.1% this week; ② The strictest new emissions regulations in the United States are about to be introduced; ③ AI stocks generally rebounded, with BigBear.ai rising by more than 14%.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e0fdd8fb6ae7cd33c558aba33e669\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Overseas Market</strong></p><p><strong>1. All three major US stock indexes closed higher, with the market focusing on the non-farm payroll report.</strong></p><p>U.S. stocks rose in open low on Thursday, with all three major indexes closing slightly higher. It is worth noting that Thursday is the last trading day for US stocks this week. Due to Good Friday, the US stock market will be closed on Friday, but a major non-farm payrolls report will be released that day, allowing investors to once again understand the health of the US economy.</p><p>At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.57 points, or 0.01%, to 33,485.29. The Nasdaq rose 91.09 points, or 0.76%, to 12,087.96. The S&P 500 rose 14.64 points, or 0.36%, to 4,105.02. This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%, the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.1%.</p><p>Most large technology stocks rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>It rose 3.77%, a new closing high since September 2022; Meta,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>It rose by more than 2%. AI concept stocks generally rebounded, with SoundHound AI rising over 15%, BigBear.ai rising over 14%, and C3.ai rising over 8%.</p><p><strong>2. Most popular Chinese concept stocks rose on Thursday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up more than 4%</strong></p><p>Most popular Chinese concept stocks closed higher, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising 1.47% and falling 3.20% this week.</p><p>Alibaba rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>It rose more than 3%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>It rose more than 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">iQiyi</a>It rose more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It rose slightly.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>It fell slightly.</p><p><strong>3. European stocks closed higher, with Germany's DAX 30 index rising 0.5%.</strong></p><p>Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">UK FTSE 100</a>The index rose 1%, the French CAC40 index rose 0.12%, and the European Stoxx 50 index rose 0.27%.</p><p><strong>4. New York gold futures closed down 0.5% on Thursday, marking their sixth consecutive week of gains.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, gold futures for June delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $9.20, or nearly 0.5%, to settle at $2,026.40 an ounce. Based on the most active contracts, gold futures contracts rose 2% this week, marking their sixth consecutive week of gains, as concerns about a potential economic recession supported gold prices.</p><p><strong>5. U.S. WTI crude oil futures closed 0.1% higher on Thursday, up 6.7% this week.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 9 cents, or 0.1%, to settle at $80.70 a barrel. Based on the most active contracts, WTI crude oil futures rose nearly 6.7% this week.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Macro News</strong></p><p><strong>1. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week exceeded expectations.</strong></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday showed that the number of initial jobless claims fell by 18,000 to 228,000 in the week ending April 1. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg was 200,000. The previous week's figures were revised upwards by 48,000 to 246,000.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor had to change the way it adjusted for seasonal factors during the pandemic because the distortion was too great. Today's report maintains the methodology used in the first year of the pandemic, but uses the traditional methodology for data before March 2020 and after June 2021. This means that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits this year has essentially exceeded 200,000, while previously reported figures are far below that level.</p><p><strong>2. The strictest new emissions regulations in the United States are about to be introduced.</strong></p><p>According to sources familiar with the matter, the Biden administration will propose the most stringent auto pollution curbs in U.S. history next Wednesday, which will help stimulate electric vehicle sales, but will not mandate the promotion of light passenger electric vehicles or ban the sale of traditional gasoline-powered models. The new regulations will involve exhaust emission standards for cars and light trucks, and will more strictly manage the exhaust emissions of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, which can form smoke, and other pollutants from vehicles manufactured between 2027 and 2032.</p><p>Environmental organizations and some automakers believe that the proposed new regulations, in addition to promoting vehicle emissions reduction and encouraging automakers to significantly expand electric vehicle sales, would also require at least 50% of new cars in the United States to be electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles by 2030, which is consistent with the vision proposed by Biden at the beginning of his term in 2021.</p><p><strong>3. The WTO has raised its forecast for global trade growth this year.</strong></p><p>On April 5 local time, the World Trade Organization released its latest \"Global Trade Data and Prospects\" report, predicting that global merchandise trade volume will grow by 1.7% in 2023, higher than the 1% forecast in October last year.</p><p>The report also points out that the prospects for trade growth still face high uncertainty due to multiple risks, including geopolitical tensions, high inflation, tightening monetary policy, and rising debt levels. The WTO calls on governments to avoid trade fragmentation, maintain the free flow of trade, strengthen multilateral trade cooperation, and jointly promote global economic recovery.</p><p><strong>4. Hawkish Federal Reserve officials downplay credit tightening risks, saying now is a \"good time\" for rate hike.</strong></p><p>St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said the Fed's measures to alleviate financial pressures are working, and the next step should be to continue rate hike to curb high inflation.</p><p>He believes that the tightening of credit conditions triggered by the recent banking turmoil will not plunge the U.S. economy into recession, and that loan demand remains strong.</p><p><strong>5. Global central banks continued to buy gold in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net purchases.</strong></p><p>According to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council, global central bank Gold reserves increased by 52 tons in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net Gold purchases by central banks.</p><p>Looking at the first two months, global central bank net gold purchases totaled 125 tons, marking the strongest start to the year since 2010.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>First-quarter US stock earnings reports may be the worst since the pandemic began.</strong></p><p>With first-quarter results for U.S. stocks about to be released, Goldman Sachs believes that the profits of U.S. listed companies will experience the largest decline since the COVID-19 pandemic, with only three industries likely seeing profit margins rise.</p><p>Strategists at Goldman Sachs, including Lily Calcagnini and David Kostin, expect earnings per share for S&P 500 companies to fall 7% year-over-year in the first quarter, marking the largest drop since the third quarter of 2020 and putting U.S. stocks at a low point in their profit cycle.</p><p><strong>7. ChatGPT remedial plan is imminent; Italian authorities: No intention to hinder AI development.</strong></p><p>The Italian data regulator stated that chat<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, plans to submit remedies to Italian authorities on Thursday local time to address regulatory concerns.</p><p>During a video conference late Wednesday local time, OpenAI pledged to be more transparent in how it handles users and verifies their age. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was one of the attendees.</p><p><strong>8. Sweden confirms that Nord Stream was deliberately sabotaged, but the perpetrators remain uncertain.</strong></p><p>Swedish prosecutors issued a statement on Thursday reaffirming that the Nord Stream gas pipeline was deliberately sabotaged, but said it was currently difficult to identify the perpetrators.</p><p>In a statement, Swedish prosecutors said, \"Analysis of the items seized during the on-site investigation revealed traces of explosives on several items, confirming that this was a case of intentional sabotage.\" However, the statement also said that the complex case is still under investigation, and \"the explosion occurred 80 meters underwater, and it is still difficult to determine who the perpetrator was.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Company News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Microsoft has integrated the \"text-to-image\" function into the browser.</strong></p><p>On Wednesday local time, executives at tech giant Microsoft said the company has integrated the Bing Image Creator trial into the sidebar of the Microsoft Edge browser.</p><p>Mikhail Parakhin, CEO of the company's advertising and web services division, stated on social media that with the help of the new feature, \"users can insert the generated images directly into any content they are editing.\" There is an icon similar to \"drawing\" in the sidebar of the Edge browser. After entering \"Vinyage\" and \"Computer,\" four very old Computer images are displayed, which users can insert into the email content.</p><p><strong>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>They are collaborating with diamond giant De Beers to develop synthetic diamonds for quantum computing.</strong></p><p>On April 6, media reports indicated that Amazon is collaborating with a division of global diamond giant De Beers to develop and cultivate synthetic diamonds, betting that customized gemstones could help revolutionize computer networks.</p><p>De Beers' Element Six division will collaborate on the project with Amazon Web Services Center's Quantum Network, which is looking for next-generation ways to securely transmit data over long distances. Quantum networks use subatomic matter to transmit data in ways that go beyond today's fiber optic systems. Diamonds will become part of a component that allows data to be transmitted further without interruption.</p><p><strong>3. Meta's entry into the market is surging; \"generative AI\" sparks technological debate.</strong></p><p>On April 5, Meta announced for the first time that it will launch a commercial version of AIGC by the end of 2023, which is expected to compete with OpenAI's large language model. On the same day, the company also released the \"AI cutout\" model Segment Anything, prompting users to exclaim that it would increase its investment in the generation of \"metaverse\" content. Meta has joined the AIGC wave, and its momentum is surging. Its \"tit-for-tat\" competition with large language models and its continuous investment in \"metaverse\" make this AI player unique.</p><p><strong>4. Google officially joins the challenge! Chatbots are about to join search engines</strong></p><p>Every percentage point gained in search engine market share generates $2 billion in revenue, according to Microsoft's estimates. After integrating ChatGPT into Bing, Bing's user base surged rapidly, and Microsoft's CEO even vowed to challenge Google in the search field.</p><p>Google, the \"big brother\" of the search industry, is finally preparing to take on the challenge directly. According to media reports, Google CEO Sundar Pichai revealed that Google plans to add AI conversation functionality to its flagship search engine to cope with competition and business pressures from chatbots such as ChatGPT.</p><p><strong>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>Accelerating the cross-industry development of an electric vehicle charging network, with plans to add thousands of charging stations to stores across the United States.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, April 6, Walmart announced plans to set up new electric vehicle (EV) fast charging stations in Walmart stores and Sam's Club stores across the United States, bringing Walmart's EV fast charging network to thousands of stores nationwide by 2030.</p><p>This will be a significant expansion of Walmart's EV charging network. In a statement on Thursday, Walmart pointed out that it currently has nearly 1,300 EV fast charging stations in more than 280 stores. The following are renderings of the charging stations set up at the stores showcased in the statement.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The carcinogenic controversy surrounding talcum powder continues.</strong></p><p>On April 4 local time, Johnson & Johnson announced plans to pay $8.9 billion (approximately RMB 61.2 billion) in damages over the next 25 years to resolve claims related to its baby powder and other talcum powder-containing products that are suspected of causing cancer.</p><p>However, Johnson & Johnson still denies allegations that talc-containing products cause cancer. Meanwhile, although Johnson & Johnson has discontinued production of the product, years of lawsuits have sparked public distrust and concerns about the safety of more products containing the ingredient.</p><p><strong>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Will increase production of 737 series aircraft to increase cash flow</strong></p><p>According to sources familiar with the matter, Boeing plans to increase production of its 737 series aircraft to 38 per month by the middle of the year, several months earlier than analysts had predicted.</p><p>The person familiar with the matter said the U.S. aircraft manufacturer has been briefing its customers on plans to increase production of the 737 series aircraft in the coming months, while also hiring and training employees to speed up production. The person familiar with the matter requested anonymity for confidentiality reasons.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last Night and This Morning | Markets focused on the non-farm payroll report, with all three major US stock indexes closing higher and AI concept stocks rebounding.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast Night and This Morning | Markets focused on the non-farm payroll report, with all three major US stock indexes closing higher and AI concept stocks rebounding.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-07 08:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① All three major U.S. stock indexes rose, with the Nasdaq falling 1.1% this week; ② The strictest new emissions regulations in the United States are about to be introduced; ③ AI stocks generally rebounded, with BigBear.ai rising by more than 14%.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e0fdd8fb6ae7cd33c558aba33e669\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Overseas Market</strong></p><p><strong>1. All three major US stock indexes closed higher, with the market focusing on the non-farm payroll report.</strong></p><p>U.S. stocks rose in open low on Thursday, with all three major indexes closing slightly higher. It is worth noting that Thursday is the last trading day for US stocks this week. Due to Good Friday, the US stock market will be closed on Friday, but a major non-farm payrolls report will be released that day, allowing investors to once again understand the health of the US economy.</p><p>At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.57 points, or 0.01%, to 33,485.29. The Nasdaq rose 91.09 points, or 0.76%, to 12,087.96. The S&P 500 rose 14.64 points, or 0.36%, to 4,105.02. This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%, the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.1%.</p><p>Most large technology stocks rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>It rose 3.77%, a new closing high since September 2022; Meta,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>It rose by more than 2%. AI concept stocks generally rebounded, with SoundHound AI rising over 15%, BigBear.ai rising over 14%, and C3.ai rising over 8%.</p><p><strong>2. Most popular Chinese concept stocks rose on Thursday.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up more than 4%</strong></p><p>Most popular Chinese concept stocks closed higher, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising 1.47% and falling 3.20% this week.</p><p>Alibaba rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>It rose more than 3%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>It rose more than 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">iQiyi</a>It rose more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It rose slightly.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>It fell slightly.</p><p><strong>3. European stocks closed higher, with Germany's DAX 30 index rising 0.5%.</strong></p><p>Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">UK FTSE 100</a>The index rose 1%, the French CAC40 index rose 0.12%, and the European Stoxx 50 index rose 0.27%.</p><p><strong>4. New York gold futures closed down 0.5% on Thursday, marking their sixth consecutive week of gains.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, gold futures for June delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $9.20, or nearly 0.5%, to settle at $2,026.40 an ounce. Based on the most active contracts, gold futures contracts rose 2% this week, marking their sixth consecutive week of gains, as concerns about a potential economic recession supported gold prices.</p><p><strong>5. U.S. WTI crude oil futures closed 0.1% higher on Thursday, up 6.7% this week.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 9 cents, or 0.1%, to settle at $80.70 a barrel. Based on the most active contracts, WTI crude oil futures rose nearly 6.7% this week.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Macro News</strong></p><p><strong>1. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week exceeded expectations.</strong></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday showed that the number of initial jobless claims fell by 18,000 to 228,000 in the week ending April 1. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg was 200,000. The previous week's figures were revised upwards by 48,000 to 246,000.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor had to change the way it adjusted for seasonal factors during the pandemic because the distortion was too great. Today's report maintains the methodology used in the first year of the pandemic, but uses the traditional methodology for data before March 2020 and after June 2021. This means that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits this year has essentially exceeded 200,000, while previously reported figures are far below that level.</p><p><strong>2. The strictest new emissions regulations in the United States are about to be introduced.</strong></p><p>According to sources familiar with the matter, the Biden administration will propose the most stringent auto pollution curbs in U.S. history next Wednesday, which will help stimulate electric vehicle sales, but will not mandate the promotion of light passenger electric vehicles or ban the sale of traditional gasoline-powered models. The new regulations will involve exhaust emission standards for cars and light trucks, and will more strictly manage the exhaust emissions of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides, which can form smoke, and other pollutants from vehicles manufactured between 2027 and 2032.</p><p>Environmental organizations and some automakers believe that the proposed new regulations, in addition to promoting vehicle emissions reduction and encouraging automakers to significantly expand electric vehicle sales, would also require at least 50% of new cars in the United States to be electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles by 2030, which is consistent with the vision proposed by Biden at the beginning of his term in 2021.</p><p><strong>3. The WTO has raised its forecast for global trade growth this year.</strong></p><p>On April 5 local time, the World Trade Organization released its latest \"Global Trade Data and Prospects\" report, predicting that global merchandise trade volume will grow by 1.7% in 2023, higher than the 1% forecast in October last year.</p><p>The report also points out that the prospects for trade growth still face high uncertainty due to multiple risks, including geopolitical tensions, high inflation, tightening monetary policy, and rising debt levels. The WTO calls on governments to avoid trade fragmentation, maintain the free flow of trade, strengthen multilateral trade cooperation, and jointly promote global economic recovery.</p><p><strong>4. Hawkish Federal Reserve officials downplay credit tightening risks, saying now is a \"good time\" for rate hike.</strong></p><p>St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said the Fed's measures to alleviate financial pressures are working, and the next step should be to continue rate hike to curb high inflation.</p><p>He believes that the tightening of credit conditions triggered by the recent banking turmoil will not plunge the U.S. economy into recession, and that loan demand remains strong.</p><p><strong>5. Global central banks continued to buy gold in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net purchases.</strong></p><p>According to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council, global central bank Gold reserves increased by 52 tons in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net Gold purchases by central banks.</p><p>Looking at the first two months, global central bank net gold purchases totaled 125 tons, marking the strongest start to the year since 2010.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>First-quarter US stock earnings reports may be the worst since the pandemic began.</strong></p><p>With first-quarter results for U.S. stocks about to be released, Goldman Sachs believes that the profits of U.S. listed companies will experience the largest decline since the COVID-19 pandemic, with only three industries likely seeing profit margins rise.</p><p>Strategists at Goldman Sachs, including Lily Calcagnini and David Kostin, expect earnings per share for S&P 500 companies to fall 7% year-over-year in the first quarter, marking the largest drop since the third quarter of 2020 and putting U.S. stocks at a low point in their profit cycle.</p><p><strong>7. ChatGPT remedial plan is imminent; Italian authorities: No intention to hinder AI development.</strong></p><p>The Italian data regulator stated that chat<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, plans to submit remedies to Italian authorities on Thursday local time to address regulatory concerns.</p><p>During a video conference late Wednesday local time, OpenAI pledged to be more transparent in how it handles users and verifies their age. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was one of the attendees.</p><p><strong>8. Sweden confirms that Nord Stream was deliberately sabotaged, but the perpetrators remain uncertain.</strong></p><p>Swedish prosecutors issued a statement on Thursday reaffirming that the Nord Stream gas pipeline was deliberately sabotaged, but said it was currently difficult to identify the perpetrators.</p><p>In a statement, Swedish prosecutors said, \"Analysis of the items seized during the on-site investigation revealed traces of explosives on several items, confirming that this was a case of intentional sabotage.\" However, the statement also said that the complex case is still under investigation, and \"the explosion occurred 80 meters underwater, and it is still difficult to determine who the perpetrator was.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Company News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Microsoft has integrated the \"text-to-image\" function into the browser.</strong></p><p>On Wednesday local time, executives at tech giant Microsoft said the company has integrated the Bing Image Creator trial into the sidebar of the Microsoft Edge browser.</p><p>Mikhail Parakhin, CEO of the company's advertising and web services division, stated on social media that with the help of the new feature, \"users can insert the generated images directly into any content they are editing.\" There is an icon similar to \"drawing\" in the sidebar of the Edge browser. After entering \"Vinyage\" and \"Computer,\" four very old Computer images are displayed, which users can insert into the email content.</p><p><strong>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>They are collaborating with diamond giant De Beers to develop synthetic diamonds for quantum computing.</strong></p><p>On April 6, media reports indicated that Amazon is collaborating with a division of global diamond giant De Beers to develop and cultivate synthetic diamonds, betting that customized gemstones could help revolutionize computer networks.</p><p>De Beers' Element Six division will collaborate on the project with Amazon Web Services Center's Quantum Network, which is looking for next-generation ways to securely transmit data over long distances. Quantum networks use subatomic matter to transmit data in ways that go beyond today's fiber optic systems. Diamonds will become part of a component that allows data to be transmitted further without interruption.</p><p><strong>3. Meta's entry into the market is surging; \"generative AI\" sparks technological debate.</strong></p><p>On April 5, Meta announced for the first time that it will launch a commercial version of AIGC by the end of 2023, which is expected to compete with OpenAI's large language model. On the same day, the company also released the \"AI cutout\" model Segment Anything, prompting users to exclaim that it would increase its investment in the generation of \"metaverse\" content. Meta has joined the AIGC wave, and its momentum is surging. Its \"tit-for-tat\" competition with large language models and its continuous investment in \"metaverse\" make this AI player unique.</p><p><strong>4. Google officially joins the challenge! Chatbots are about to join search engines</strong></p><p>Every percentage point gained in search engine market share generates $2 billion in revenue, according to Microsoft's estimates. After integrating ChatGPT into Bing, Bing's user base surged rapidly, and Microsoft's CEO even vowed to challenge Google in the search field.</p><p>Google, the \"big brother\" of the search industry, is finally preparing to take on the challenge directly. According to media reports, Google CEO Sundar Pichai revealed that Google plans to add AI conversation functionality to its flagship search engine to cope with competition and business pressures from chatbots such as ChatGPT.</p><p><strong>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>Accelerating the cross-industry development of an electric vehicle charging network, with plans to add thousands of charging stations to stores across the United States.</strong></p><p>On Thursday, April 6, Walmart announced plans to set up new electric vehicle (EV) fast charging stations in Walmart stores and Sam's Club stores across the United States, bringing Walmart's EV fast charging network to thousands of stores nationwide by 2030.</p><p>This will be a significant expansion of Walmart's EV charging network. In a statement on Thursday, Walmart pointed out that it currently has nearly 1,300 EV fast charging stations in more than 280 stores. The following are renderings of the charging stations set up at the stores showcased in the statement.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The carcinogenic controversy surrounding talcum powder continues.</strong></p><p>On April 4 local time, Johnson & Johnson announced plans to pay $8.9 billion (approximately RMB 61.2 billion) in damages over the next 25 years to resolve claims related to its baby powder and other talcum powder-containing products that are suspected of causing cancer.</p><p>However, Johnson & Johnson still denies allegations that talc-containing products cause cancer. Meanwhile, although Johnson & Johnson has discontinued production of the product, years of lawsuits have sparked public distrust and concerns about the safety of more products containing the ingredient.</p><p><strong>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Will increase production of 737 series aircraft to increase cash flow</strong></p><p>According to sources familiar with the matter, Boeing plans to increase production of its 737 series aircraft to 38 per month by the middle of the year, several months earlier than analysts had predicted.</p><p>The person familiar with the matter said the U.S. aircraft manufacturer has been briefing its customers on plans to increase production of the 737 series aircraft in the coming months, while also hiring and training employees to speed up production. The person familiar with the matter requested anonymity for confidentiality reasons.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4543":"AI",".DJI":"道琼斯","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK4588":"碎股","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","BK4023":"应用软件","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124955777","content_text":"摘要：①美股三大指数均录得上涨，纳指本周累跌1.1%；②美国最严排放新规即将出台；③AI股普遍反弹，BigBear.ai涨超14%。海外行情1、美股三大指数齐收涨 市场聚焦非农就业报告周四美股低开高走，三大指数均小幅收涨。值得注意的是，周四是本周美股的最后一个交易日，因耶稣受难日，美股周五休市一日，但当天将会发布重磅的非农就业报告，投资者将再次了解美国经济的健康状况。截至收盘，道指涨2.57点，涨幅为0.01%，报33485.29点；纳指涨91.09点，涨幅为0.76%，报12087.96点；标普500指数涨14.64点，涨幅为0.36%，报4105.02点。本周道指上涨0.6%，标普500指数下跌0.1%，纳指下跌1.1%。大型科技股多数上涨，谷歌涨3.77%，创2022年9月份以来收盘新高；Meta、微软涨逾2%。AI概念股普遍反弹，SoundHound AI涨超15%，BigBear.ai涨逾14%，C3.ai涨超8%。2、周四热门中概股多数上涨 阿里巴巴涨超4%热门中概股大部分收涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨1.47%，本周累跌3.20%。阿里巴巴涨超4%，唯品会涨超3%，理想汽车、小鹏汽车涨超2%，哔哩哔哩、网易、爱奇艺涨超1%，京东、微博、蔚来、百度、小幅上涨。拼多多小幅下跌。3、欧股集体收高 德国DAX30指数涨0.5%德国DAX30指数涨0.5%，英国富时100指数涨1%，法国CAC40指数涨0.12%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.27%。4、纽约黄金期货周四收跌0.5% 连续第六周上涨周四，纽约商品交易所6月交割的黄金期货价格下跌9.20美元，跌幅近0.5%，收于每盎司2026.40美元。按照最活跃合约计算，本周黄金期货合约上涨了2%，录得连续第六周上涨，因为对潜在经济衰退的担忧使金价获得支撑。5、美国WTI原油期货周四收高0.1% 本周上涨6.7%周四，纽约商品交易所5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨9美分，涨幅为0.1%，收于每桶80.70美元。按照最活跃合约计算，本周WTI原油期货累计上涨近6.7%。宏观新闻1、 美国上周首次申领失业救济人数超出预期美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至4月1日当周，首次申领失业救济人数减少1.8万人，至22.8万人。接受彭博调查的经济学家的预估中值为20万人。之前一周的数据上修4.8万人，至24.6万人。美国劳工部不得不在疫情期间改变调整季节性因素的方式，因扭曲程度太大。今天的报告维持了疫情第一年的方法，但对于2020年3月之前和2021年6月之后的数据则沿用了传统方法。这意味着今年的申请失业救济人数基本超过20万人，而此前报道的数字远低于该水平。2、美国最严排放新规即将出台据知情人士透露，拜登政府将于下周三提出美国有史以来最严厉的汽车污染遏制措施，有助于刺激电动汽车销售，但不会强制推广轻型乘用电动汽车或禁止销售传统的汽油动力车型。新规将涉及汽车和轻型卡车的尾气排放标准，更严格管理2027至2032年生产车型的车辆二氧化碳、能形成烟雾的氮氧化物，以及其他污染物的尾气排放。环保组织和一些汽车制造商认为，上述拟议新规除了可以推动车辆减排、促使车企显著扩大电动汽车销量之外，还会令美国到2030年至少有50%的新车为电动汽车或插电式混合动力车型，这与拜登在2021年上任伊始提出的愿景相一致。3、世贸组织上调今年全球贸易增速预期当地时间4月5日，世界贸易组织发布的最新一期《全球贸易数据与展望》报告预测，2023年全球货物贸易量将增长1.7%，高于去年10月预测的1%。报告同时指出，受地缘政治局势紧张、通胀高企、货币政策紧缩、债务水平上升等多重风险影响，贸易增长前景仍面临较高不确定性。世贸组织呼吁，各国政府避免贸易碎片化，保持贸易自由流动，加强多边贸易合作，共同促进全球经济恢复。4、美联储鹰派官员淡化信贷紧缩风险 称目前正是加息“好时机”圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长James Bullard表示，美联储为缓解金融压力而采取的措施正在奏效，接下来应该继续加息以遏制高通胀。他认为，近期银行业动荡引发的信贷条件收紧不会使美国经济陷入衰退，目前贷款需求仍然强劲。5、全球央行2月继续抢黄金 连续11个月净买入根据世界黄金协会（World Gold Council）汇编的最新数据，今年2月，全球央行的黄金储备增加了52吨，为央行连续第11个月净买入黄金。从前两个月来看，全球央行黄金净购买量为125吨，为2010年以来最强劲的年度开局。6、高盛：一季度美股财报或成为疫情以来最差美股一季度业绩即将出炉，高盛认为，美国上市公司的利润将出现新冠疫情以来的最大幅度下降，可能仅有三个行业的利润率上升。高盛Lily Calcagnini和David Kostin等策略师预期，一季度，标准普尔500指数成份股公司每股收益将较上年同期下降7%，创下2020年第三季度以来的最大跌幅，并将令美股处于利润周期的低点。7、ChatGPT补救方案将至 意大利当局：无意阻碍AI发展意大利数据监管机构表示，聊天机器人ChatGPT的开发公司OpenAI计划在当地时间周四向意大利当局提交补救措施，以解决监管机构的担忧。在当地时间周三晚些时候的视频会议上，OpenAI承诺将在处理用户和验证用户年龄的方式上更加透明。OpenAI首席执行官Sam Altman是与会者之一。8、瑞典确认“北溪”遭到蓄意破坏 但犯案人员难以确定瑞典检方周四发布公报称，再次确认“北溪”天然气管道遭到蓄意破坏，但表示目前难以确定实施破坏的犯案人员。瑞典检方在公报中称，“对在现场调查期间查获的物品进行分析显示，几件物品上有爆炸物痕迹，已确认这是一起蓄意破坏案”。但公报同时表示，目前还在对这一复杂案件进行调查，“爆炸发生在水下80米的海底深处，背后肇事者究竟是谁仍难以确定”。公司新闻1、微软已将“文本生成图片”功能整合进浏览器当地时间周三，科技巨头微软高管表示，公司已将“必应映像创建器”（Bing Image Creator）试用版的功能整合到微软Edge浏览器的侧边栏上。公司广告和网络服务部门的首席执行官Mikhail Parakhin在社交媒体上表示，在新功能的帮助下，“用户可以将生成的图片直接插入到任何正在编辑的内容中。”在Edge浏览器的侧边栏上，有一个类似于“绘图”的图标。在输入“Vinyage”（老式的）和“Computer”（电脑）后，显示了四张非常古老的电脑图片，用户可以将图片插入到邮件内容中。2、亚马逊正与钻石巨头戴比尔斯合作，开发用于量子计算的人造钻石4月6日，有媒体报道称，亚马逊正在与全球钻石巨头戴比尔斯集团的一个部门合作研发种植人造钻石，押注定制宝石可以帮助革新计算机网络。戴比尔斯的元素六部门将与亚马逊网络服务中心的量子网络合作开展该项目，该部门正在寻找下一代安全地远距离传输数据的方式。量子网络使用亚原子物质以超越当今光纤系统的方式传输数据。钻石将成为一个组件的一部分，该组件可以让数据在不中断的情况下传输得更远。3、Meta入局来势汹涌 “生成式AI”引发技术争鸣4月5日，Meta首次对外宣称，将在2023年年底推出AIGC的商业化落地产品，预计将与OpenAI的大语言模型形成竞争。同日，该公司又发布了“AI抠图”模型Segment Anything，用户惊呼其将加码“元宇宙”内容的生成。Meta加入AIGC浪潮，来势汹涌。它和大语言模型的“针锋相对”、在“元宇宙”上的持续投入，都令这个AI玩家独树一帜。4、谷歌正式应战！聊天机器人即将加入搜索引擎在搜索引擎市场占有率每获得一个百分点，就会对应20亿美元的收入进账，这是微软给出的测算数据。将ChatGPT整合进Bing之后，Bing用户数量迅速飙升，微软CEO甚至喊话将在搜索领域挑战谷歌。而谷歌这位搜索界“老大哥”终于准备直接应战。据媒体报道，谷歌CEO Sundar Pichai透露，谷歌计划在自家旗舰搜索引擎中添加AI对话功能，以应对ChatGPT等聊天机器人带来的竞争及商业压力。5、沃尔玛加速跨界打造电动车充电网，要在全美门店增设数千充电站4月6日周四，沃尔玛宣布，计划在美国全国的沃尔玛门店和山姆会员店设置新的电动汽车（EV）快速充电站，到2030年，让沃尔玛的EV快速充电网覆盖全美数千家门店。这将是沃尔玛EV充电网的一次大幅扩张。因为沃尔玛在周四的声明中指出，目前已在280多家门店设有将近1300个EV快充站。以下为声明展示的门店设充电站效果图。6、强生爽身粉致癌风波未停当地时间4月4日，美国强生公司表示，计划在未来25年内支付89亿美元（约612亿元人民币）赔款，以解决针对其婴儿爽身粉及其他含有滑石粉产品涉嫌致癌的相关索赔。但强生公司仍然否认有关含滑石粉产品致癌的指控。同时，虽然强生已经停产这款产品，但多年来的索赔诉讼引发了公众的不信任，以及对更多含该成分产品安全性的担忧。7、波音将提高737系列飞机产量以增加现金流据知情人士透露，波音公司计划在年中前将其737系列飞机的产量提高到每月38架，比分析师预测的要早几个月。这位知情人士称，这家美国飞机制造商一直在向其客户介绍未来几个月增产737系列飞机的计划，同时还雇佣和培训员工来提高生产速度。知情人士出于保密要求匿名。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,"IAU":0.9,"SImain":0.9,"GLD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"DUST":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"NUGT":0.9,"GCmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941626695,"gmtCreate":1680215240218,"gmtModify":1680215243916,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941626695","repostId":"2323678027","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2323678027","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1680170043,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2323678027?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 17:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Is the market about to experience a catastrophe? Learn from history: Fed rate cuts are not a good thing!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2323678027","media":"金十数据","summary":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on a Federal Reserve rate cut, but history shows that a Fed rate cut could be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"A Fed rate cut doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Roberts said.<strong>Stock investors betting on the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second largest bank failure in US history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The emergency sale at a significant discount has led investors to bet that the Federal Reserve will shift its focus. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, and despite the evolving crisis, the Federal Reserve remains determined to keep interest rates \"high for a longer period of time.\"</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell at the crucial moment.<strong>If history is a lesson, investors' conditioned reflexes can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts always bring widespread sorrow.</strong></p><p>Since 1970, the Federal Reserve has significantly lowered its Federal Funds rate nine times.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement for the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market bottom is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines were above average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 decline was worse than average.</p><p>Then,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been more severe than before 1990?</strong>Because the Federal Reserve was more active before 1990. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>Over the past 20 years, the Federal Reserve has dominated a low-interest-rate environment.</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been declining for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began rate hike in March 2022, the 10-year real yield was often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to flourish.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Federal Reserve's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 led to conservative bankers and aggressive hedge funds taking on enormous risks. Because if they don't invest in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is detrimental to profits.</p><p><strong>Federal Reserve rate cuts could trigger the next round of sharp declines.</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced a significant decline during the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Have most of the pullback/retracement related to interest rate cuts already occurred?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement since the rate hike cycle.<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle was 11.50%.</strong>However, it has fallen by nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>When assessing how the Federal Reserve's next shift will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two other factors to consider.</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the maximum pullback/retracement during the interest rate cut period and the one-year return after the rate cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, the year after the last interest rate cut, the S&P 500 rose by more than 50%.<strong>This ratio is three times the average return of 16% over the previous eight cycles. Therefore, it is not surprising that the largest decline in the current rate hike cycle is greater than the average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Secondly, valuations help explain why recent stock market declines during the Federal Reserve's policy shift have been more severe than before the dot-com bubble burst. The image below shows,<strong>The last three rate cuts all began when CAPE10 valuations were above the historical average.</strong>In contrast, previous examples all occurred when valuations were below average.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as the price divided by the inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>While CAPE's current valuation is not as high as it was at the end of 2021, it is about 50% higher than the average. Although the market has made some adjustments,<strong>Valuations may still return to or below average levels</strong>Just like in 2003 and 2009. Roberts said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Given inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market experiences a more severe decline now, it is unlikely that Federal Reserve members or politicians will increase fiscal and monetary stimulus.\"<strong>Market expectations for interest rate cuts are unrealistic.</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve remained outspoken last week, stating its desire for inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and sharply as the market predicts, then something must be wrong.</strong>。 Currently, interest rate cuts suggested by the market are only justified in severely unfavorable circumstances such as a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy. Please note,<strong>Neither a crisis nor a recession is good for a company's earnings or stock price.</strong></p><p>There is another point worth considering regarding the Federal Reserve's policy shift. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the yield curve may return to normal. Historically, an inverted yield curve has been a warning sign of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two highly anticipated U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. In the four cases mentioned above (i.e., the pullback/retracement was larger than average) and in other cases prior to 1990, both steepening curves were accompanied by economic recessions. And<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10 year US Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the market about to experience a catastrophe? Learn from history: Fed rate cuts are not a good thing!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the market about to experience a catastrophe? Learn from history: Fed rate cuts are not a good thing!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-30 17:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on a Federal Reserve rate cut, but history shows that a Fed rate cut could be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"A Fed rate cut doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Roberts said.<strong>Stock investors betting on the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second largest bank failure in US history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The emergency sale at a significant discount has led investors to bet that the Federal Reserve will shift its focus. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, and despite the evolving crisis, the Federal Reserve remains determined to keep interest rates \"high for a longer period of time.\"</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell at the crucial moment.<strong>If history is a lesson, investors' conditioned reflexes can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts always bring widespread sorrow.</strong></p><p>Since 1970, the Federal Reserve has significantly lowered its Federal Funds rate nine times.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement for the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market bottom is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines were above average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 decline was worse than average.</p><p>Then,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been more severe than before 1990?</strong>Because the Federal Reserve was more active before 1990. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>Over the past 20 years, the Federal Reserve has dominated a low-interest-rate environment.</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been declining for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began rate hike in March 2022, the 10-year real yield was often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to flourish.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Federal Reserve's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 led to conservative bankers and aggressive hedge funds taking on enormous risks. Because if they don't invest in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is detrimental to profits.</p><p><strong>Federal Reserve rate cuts could trigger the next round of sharp declines.</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced a significant decline during the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Have most of the pullback/retracement related to interest rate cuts already occurred?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement since the rate hike cycle.<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle was 11.50%.</strong>However, it has fallen by nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>When assessing how the Federal Reserve's next shift will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two other factors to consider.</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the maximum pullback/retracement during the interest rate cut period and the one-year return after the rate cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, the year after the last interest rate cut, the S&P 500 rose by more than 50%.<strong>This ratio is three times the average return of 16% over the previous eight cycles. Therefore, it is not surprising that the largest decline in the current rate hike cycle is greater than the average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Secondly, valuations help explain why recent stock market declines during the Federal Reserve's policy shift have been more severe than before the dot-com bubble burst. The image below shows,<strong>The last three rate cuts all began when CAPE10 valuations were above the historical average.</strong>In contrast, previous examples all occurred when valuations were below average.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as the price divided by the inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>While CAPE's current valuation is not as high as it was at the end of 2021, it is about 50% higher than the average. Although the market has made some adjustments,<strong>Valuations may still return to or below average levels</strong>Just like in 2003 and 2009. Roberts said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Given inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market experiences a more severe decline now, it is unlikely that Federal Reserve members or politicians will increase fiscal and monetary stimulus.\"<strong>Market expectations for interest rate cuts are unrealistic.</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve remained outspoken last week, stating its desire for inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and sharply as the market predicts, then something must be wrong.</strong>。 Currently, interest rate cuts suggested by the market are only justified in severely unfavorable circumstances such as a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy. Please note,<strong>Neither a crisis nor a recession is good for a company's earnings or stock price.</strong></p><p>There is another point worth considering regarding the Federal Reserve's policy shift. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the yield curve may return to normal. Historically, an inverted yield curve has been a warning sign of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two highly anticipated U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. In the four cases mentioned above (i.e., the pullback/retracement was larger than average) and in other cases prior to 1990, both steepening curves were accompanied by economic recessions. And<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10 year US Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2323678027","content_text":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！RIA Advisors的投资分析师和投资组合经理罗伯维兹（Michael Lebowitz）撰文表示：“美联储降息并不代表牛市来了。”罗伯维兹称，押注美联储调整政策的股票投资者可能需要重新思考他们的逻辑。美国史上第二大银行倒闭案以及瑞士信贷大幅折价紧急出售，令投资者押注美联储将转向。他们似乎并不关心通胀的热度和粘性，而尽管危机不断发展，美联储仍然决心将利率“更长时间地保持在较高水平”。就像巴甫洛夫的狗一样，投资者在听到关键时刻的铃声时买入。如果以史为鉴，投资者的条件反射可能是有害的。降息总是“哀鸿遍野”自1970年以来，美联储曾9次大幅下调联邦基金利率。标普500指数从每个降息周期开始到市场低谷的平均最大回撤为27.25%。最近三次的跌幅都超过了平均水平，而在其他六次经历中，只有1974-1977年那次出现了比平均水平更糟的下降。那么，为什么最近几次的回撤都比1990年以前更严重呢？因为在1990年之前，美联储更为活跃。因此，他们不允许利率大幅高于或低于经济的自然增速。例外就是，上世纪70年代和80年代初的高通胀曾迫使美联储保持警惕。不管是什么原因，高利率有助于抑制投机泡沫。在过去20年里，美联储主导了低利率环境。下图显示，实际收益率（名义收益率减去通胀预期）40年来一直呈下降趋势。从疫情到美联储于2022年3月开始加息，10年期实际收益率经常为负数。当利率处于可预见的低水平时，投机活动往往盛行。正如我们所看到的，美联储在2020年和2021年的宽松政策所产生的投机行为，导致保守的银行家和激进的对冲基金承担了巨大的风险。因为如果不投资风险更高的产品，他们就必须接受负的实际回报，这对利润不利。美联储降息恐引发下一轮暴跌鉴于市场在2022年3月开始的加息周期中经历了相当大的下跌，与降息相关的大部分回撤是否已经发生了呢？下图显示了标普500指数从加息周期开始的最大回撤，加息周期的平均降幅为11.50%，但在本轮周期中却下跌了近25%。在判断美联储下一次转向会如何影响股市预期时，还有两个需要考虑的因素。首先，下图显示了降息期间的最大回撤以及降息结束后的一年回报率。从2020年5月到2021年5月，也就是上次降息后的一年时间里，标普500指数上涨了50%以上。这一比例是前8个周期平均回报率16%的三倍。因此，当前加息周期的最大降幅大于平均水平也就不足为奇了。其次，估值有助于解释为什么最近几次在美联储政策转向期间的股市下跌比互联网泡沫破裂前的更严重。下图显示，最近三次降息都是在CAPE10估值高于历史平均水平时开始的，相比之下，此前的例子都发生在低于平均估值的情况下。注：CAPE(周期性调整市盈率)又称希勒市盈率(Shiller P/E)或P/E 10比率，是一种通常用于美国标普500指数股市的估值指标。它的定义是价格除以经过通货膨胀调整的10年平均收入(移动平均)。目前的CAPE估值虽然没有2021年底那么高，但比平均水平高出约50%。尽管市场已经进行了一些调整，但估值仍可能回到平均水平或低于平均水平，就像2003年和2009年那样。罗伯维兹称：“很难对2020年的回撤做出结论。史无前例的财政和货币政策在提振股市方面发挥了突出作用。考虑到通胀和政治分歧，我们认为，现在就算市场出现更严重的下跌，美联储成员或政界人士都不太可能加大财政和货币政策的刺激。”市场对降息的预期并不现实美联储上周仍直言不讳地表示，希望通胀率回到2%的目标。如果他们要像市场预测的那样迅速且大幅降息，那一定是出了问题。目前，只有在银行业危机或经济迅速恶化的严重不利形势下，才有理由采取市场暗示的那种降息。请注意，无论是危机还是衰退，对公司收益和股价来说都不是好事。关于美联储的政策转向，还有一点值得考虑。如果美联储降息，收益率曲线可能会恢复正常。从历史上看，收益率曲线的倒挂只是衰退的警告。下图显示了两条备受关注的美国国债收益率曲线。在上述四种情况（即回撤幅度大于平均水平）和1990年之前的其他情况中，两条曲线变陡都伴随着经济衰退。而过去两周，2-10年期美债收益率曲线变陡了60个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"SDS":0.6,".IXIC":1,"UPRO":0.6,"QID":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".DJI":1,"QLD":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"SPY":1,"SDOW":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941639195,"gmtCreate":1680183290218,"gmtModify":1680183294088,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941639195","repostId":"1146780615","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1146780615","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680183015,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146780615?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | All three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with Faraday Future rising over 12%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146780615","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36. The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4052.52. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 84.21 points higher, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>The stock rose more than 12% after the company officially announced the start of production of the FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>It rose nearly 6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Proposed split<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Industrial Development and JD Industrial are independently listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It fell 8% after previously announcing plans to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted a 2% increase to parliament.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The plan to acquire Credit Suisse provides 109 billion Swiss francs in guarantees.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>It rose 5% and is expected to reach a settlement this year regarding its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | All three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with Faraday Future rising over 12%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | All three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with Faraday Future rising over 12%.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-30 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36. The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4052.52. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 84.21 points higher, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>The stock rose more than 12% after the company officially announced the start of production of the FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>It rose nearly 6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Proposed split<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Industrial Development and JD Industrial are independently listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It fell 8% after previously announcing plans to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted a 2% increase to parliament.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>The plan to acquire Credit Suisse provides 109 billion Swiss francs in guarantees.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>It rose 5% and is expected to reach a settlement this year regarding its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"LU1044876610.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) ASIAN CONTRARIAN EQUITY \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU0650527681.SGD":"Fidelity China Consumer A-SGD","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1366334578.USD":"ALLSPRING EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","BK1591":"就地过年概念","LU0456827905.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - China A (acc) SGD","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0456842615.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Equity A (acc) SGD",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0417516902.SGD":"Allianz China Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LU0588545490.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income AS SGD","UBS":"瑞银","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","LU0320764755.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Asian Growth A Acc SGD","LU0791590937.USD":"ALLSPRING  EMERGING MARKTES EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD)","LU1044874839.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) ASIAN CONTRARIAN EQUITY \"AGH\" (SGDHDG) ACC",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0791591158.USD":"ALLSPRING  EMERGING MARKTES EQUITY INCOME \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","LU0488056044.USD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AM DIS USD","LU1282649810.SGD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","PHG":"飞利浦","LU1794554557.SGD":"Allianz All China Equity AT Acc H2-SGD","BK1502":"双十一",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU0084288322.USD":"Natixis Asia Equity RD USD","IE00BGV7N243.SGD":"FSSA Global Emerging Markets Focus I Acc SGD","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","LU0359202008.SGD":"Blackrock China Fund A2 SGD-H","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0315178854.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"A\" ACC","BK4588":"碎股","09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东","BK1142":"互联网与直销零售","SG9999001226.SGD":"UNITED SUSTAINABLE ASIA TOP 50 \"A\" (SGD) ACC","USB":"美国合众银行","LU0048580855.USD":"富达大中华区A","LU0588545730.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"ADM\" (USD) INC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK1588":"回港中概股","LU0868486357.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Opportunities A (acc) SGD-H","LU1880383366.USD":"东方汇理中国股票基金 A2 (C)","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU0588545904.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income ASDM SGD","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146780615","content_text":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨84.21点，涨幅0.71%，报12010.45点。法拉第未来涨逾12%，公司官宣FF 91 Futurist开始生产。京东上涨近6%，京东拟分拆京东产发、京东工业于香港联交所主板独立上市。3B家居跌8%，此前称计划出售价值3亿美元的股票。瑞银涨3%，瑞士信贷涨2%，瑞士政府已向议会提交为瑞银收购瑞信提供1090亿瑞郎担保的计划。飞利浦涨5%，预计今年将就其全球召回的呼吸系统设备达成和解。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"CS":0.9,"FFIE":0.9,"09618":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PHG":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"JD":0.9,"UBS":0.9,"USB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236955656736800,"gmtCreate":1698886184151,"gmtModify":1698886189036,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236955656736800","repostId":"2380626437","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":216626060411088,"gmtCreate":1693905626613,"gmtModify":1693905630636,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216626060411088","repostId":"1195776321","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1195776321","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1693901408,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195776321?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-09-05 16:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market fluctuations | One Chinese concept stock surged 12%, while Ctrip and Li Auto fell.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195776321","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5, futures for the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively declined in pre-market trading. The U.S. Department of Labor said last Friday (September 1) that the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July as more Americans join the workforce.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab surged nearly 12% in pre-market trading, and its H-shares closed up more than 5% today. In terms of news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China. The approved indication is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to Hong Kong Stock Exchange data, JPMorgan increased its holdings of Zai Lab H shares by 983,479 shares on August 29, for a total amount of approximately HK$17.8315 million.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Miniso shares rose more than 8% in pre-market trading. The company recently announced record-breaking overall performance for fiscal year 2023, with both revenue and profit achieving historic breakthroughs. In addition, revenue of 3.25 billion yuan in the fourth fiscal quarter hit a record high.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Ctrip's net operating revenue in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 180%. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the company was RMB 631 million, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, this is a significant decrease of more than 81% compared to 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell in pre-market trading. As of press time, Li Auto fell by more than 4%, Beike by more than 3%, Bilibili by 2.89%, Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo by more than 1%, Nio by 0.91%, and XPeng by 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone and Airbnb rose in pre-market trading. In terms of news, S&P Dow Jones announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 index, replacing Lincoln National and Newell Brands, with the changes taking effect before trading begins on September 18.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer VinFast shares fell nearly 8% in pre-market trading, after falling for four consecutive trading days, with a cumulative decline of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Qiu Shui recently stated that she is not concerned about the company's stock price fluctuations following its Nasdaq listing, saying she believes in VinFast's potential, especially considering the rapid expansion of the Southeast Asian electric vehicle ecosystem.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market fluctuations | One Chinese concept stock surged 12%, while Ctrip and Li Auto fell.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market fluctuations | One Chinese concept stock surged 12%, while Ctrip and Li Auto fell.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-09-05 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5, futures for the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively declined in pre-market trading. The U.S. Department of Labor said last Friday (September 1) that the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July as more Americans join the workforce.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab surged nearly 12% in pre-market trading, and its H-shares closed up more than 5% today. In terms of news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China. The approved indication is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to Hong Kong Stock Exchange data, JPMorgan increased its holdings of Zai Lab H shares by 983,479 shares on August 29, for a total amount of approximately HK$17.8315 million.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Miniso shares rose more than 8% in pre-market trading. The company recently announced record-breaking overall performance for fiscal year 2023, with both revenue and profit achieving historic breakthroughs. In addition, revenue of 3.25 billion yuan in the fourth fiscal quarter hit a record high.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Ctrip's net operating revenue in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 180%. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the company was RMB 631 million, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, this is a significant decrease of more than 81% compared to 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell in pre-market trading. As of press time, Li Auto fell by more than 4%, Beike by more than 3%, Bilibili by 2.89%, Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo by more than 1%, Nio by 0.91%, and XPeng by 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone and Airbnb rose in pre-market trading. In terms of news, S&P Dow Jones announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 index, replacing Lincoln National and Newell Brands, with the changes taking effect before trading begins on September 18.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer VinFast shares fell nearly 8% in pre-market trading, after falling for four consecutive trading days, with a cumulative decline of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Qiu Shui recently stated that she is not concerned about the company's stock price fluctuations following its Nasdaq listing, saying she believes in VinFast's potential, especially considering the rapid expansion of the Southeast Asian electric vehicle ecosystem.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","ZLAB":"再鼎医药"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195776321","content_text":"9月5日周二，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。美国劳工部上周五(9月1日)表示，随着越来越多的美国人加入劳动力队伍，失业率从7月份的3.5%上升至3.8%。再鼎医药盘前大涨近12%，H股今日收涨超5%。消息面上，再鼎医药申报的马吉妥昔单抗注射液已在中国获批上市，本次获批的适应症为用于转移性HER2阳性乳腺癌患者三线及以上治疗。此外，港交所资料显示，小摩于8月29日增持再鼎医药H股98.3479万股，总金额约为1783.15万港元。名创优品盘前涨超8%。日前公布的2023财年整体业绩表现再创新高，营收及盈利双双取得历史性突破。另外，第四财季营收32.5亿元创下历史新高。携程网盘前跌近4%。携程二季度净营业收入为112亿元，同比增长180%。二季度归属公司股东净利润6.31亿元，同比大增814.49%。但较一季度的34亿元大幅减少逾81%。热门中概股盘前普跌。截至发稿，理想汽车跌超4%，贝壳跌超3%，哔哩哔哩2.89%，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多跌超1%，蔚来跌0.91%，小鹏汽车跌0.11%。黑石、爱彼迎盘前上涨。消息面上，标准普尔道琼斯指数公司宣布，黑石和爱彼迎将加入标准普尔500指数，取代林肯国民公司和纽威品牌公司，变动将于9月18日交易开始前生效。越南电动汽车制造商VinFast盘前跌近8%，此前已连跌四个交易日，累计下跌超64%。VinFast首席执行官黎氏秋水日前表示，对公司在纳斯达克上市后的股价波动并不担忧，称其相信VinFast的潜力，尤其是考虑到东南亚电动汽车生态系统正在迅速扩张。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZLAB":1.1,"LI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947027408,"gmtCreate":1682389872205,"gmtModify":1682389876940,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947027408","repostId":"1175829315","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175829315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682329507,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175829315?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-24 17:45","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175829315","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overall</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.</p><p>The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.</p><p>“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”</p><p>“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOB</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-24 17:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"O39.SI":"华侨银行","U11.SI":"大华银行"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175829315","content_text":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overallIn an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOBIn a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"O39.SI":0.9,"U11.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944518029,"gmtCreate":1681912768761,"gmtModify":1681912773182,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944518029","repostId":"1142957366","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142957366","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681911035,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142957366?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-19 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | All three major US stock indexes open low, with Allianz Western Bank rising 20%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142957366","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19, the three major U.S. stock indexes all declined, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.36%, the Nasdaq Composite down 0.74%, and the S&P 500 down 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>The company fell more than 3%, with Q1 net profit declining by nearly 20% year-on-year. Total deposits in Q1 were $347.52 billion, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">Asma</a>The stock fell nearly 3%, with net bookings in Q1 reaching €3.8 billion, a decrease of approximately 40.6% compared to the previous quarter.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks generally fell, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain down more than 6% and Coinbase down more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks collectively fell.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>It fell more than 7%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>It fell nearly 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Allianz Western Bank</a>Rising 20%, deposits increased by $2 billion from March 31 to April 14, with total insured deposits accounting for 73% of total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | All three major US stock indexes open low, with Allianz Western Bank rising 20%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | All three major US stock indexes open low, with Allianz Western Bank rising 20%.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-19 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19, the three major U.S. stock indexes all declined, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.36%, the Nasdaq Composite down 0.74%, and the S&P 500 down 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>The company fell more than 3%, with Q1 net profit declining by nearly 20% year-on-year. Total deposits in Q1 were $347.52 billion, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">Asma</a>The stock fell nearly 3%, with net bookings in Q1 reaching €3.8 billion, a decrease of approximately 40.6% compared to the previous quarter.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks generally fell, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain down more than 6% and Coinbase down more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks collectively fell.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>It fell more than 7%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>It fell nearly 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Allianz Western Bank</a>Rising 20%, deposits increased by $2 billion from March 31 to April 14, with total insured deposits accounting for 73% of total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4589":"SVB概念","WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142957366","content_text":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌近3%，Q1净预订额38亿欧元，环比减少约40.6%。区块链概念股普跌，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain跌超6%，Coinbase跌超4%。新能源车股集体下跌，小鹏汽车跌超7%，理想汽车跌近4%，特斯拉、蔚来跌超3%。阿莱恩斯西部银行涨20%，自3月31日至4月14日，存款增加20亿美元，受保险存款总额占存款总额的73%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"WAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945832437,"gmtCreate":1681425549429,"gmtModify":1681425551876,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945832437","repostId":"2327422131","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327422131","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1681388403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2327422131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-13 20:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The CPI report has sounded the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327422131","media":"金十数据","summary":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Federal Reserve and Americans' wallets. More importantly, it sends an important signal... the situation appears to be improving for the Federal Reserve and Americans' wallets.</p><p>The latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed<strong>The inflation rate, measured by the CPI, fell by a full percentage point.</strong>。 As a measure of inflation, the annual CPI rate plummeted from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>This is good news for the Federal Reserve, as it continues its efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.<strong>Although the United States still has a long way to go to achieve this goal, the latest economic data shows that the Federal Reserve's continued rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the inflation war.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index is another inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve closely monitors.<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 Compared to January, the index's month-on-month growth rate in February was lower, and the year-on-year growth rate also shows that this inflation indicator has been declining to a large extent.</p><p>The Federal Reserve has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen them too. The United States added 236,000 jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months.<strong>A slowdown in job market growth to a level that remains strong but not overheated is exactly the outcome the Federal Reserve has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, Head of Economic Research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even with slowing growth, the labor market is still developing rapidly.\"<strong>Clearly, the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction.</strong>This is despite criticism from Democratic lawmakers over Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's continued rate hike and the potential for unemployment and an eventual economic recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve's March rate hike, Senator Elizabeth Warren publicly stated:</p><p>“Powell made a mistake by not pausing his extreme rate hike. For months, I have been warning that the Fed’s current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have many tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.” But at a press conference in March of this year, Powell stated that he would not back down from achieving his inflation reduction target, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know that in the long run, this is the best thing for the people.\" Although the Federal Reserve does not plan to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve may be about to pause rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said at the Economic Club of Chicago on Tuesday that \"the right monetary policy requires caution and patience\" following the \"financial pressure\" caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>“Given the significant uncertainty surrounding the direction of these financial headwinds, I think we need to remain cautious. We should collect further data and be cautious about overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much the headwinds help reduce inflation.” The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has fueled calls to pause rate hike, as it has triggered economic uncertainty. Although Powell claimed that the banking system was \"sound and resilient,\" the consequences of a collapse could be \"equivalent to rate hike, or even more,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>It is certain that,<strong>While the overall CPI decline in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising rapidly.</strong>。 Meanwhile, the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose slightly year-on-year in March compared to February, largely driven by rising housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could worsen financial conditions, and corporate and consumer borrowing and spending could slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Federal Reserve to continue rate hike.<strong>This means that the possibility of an economic recession remains.</strong>。</p><p>However, the Federal Reserve is still looking for the data needed to support a potential pause in rate hike, therefore,<strong>The United States appears more likely to avoid a severe economic recession.</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The CPI report has sounded the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe CPI report has sounded the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-13 20:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Federal Reserve and Americans' wallets. More importantly, it sends an important signal... the situation appears to be improving for the Federal Reserve and Americans' wallets.</p><p>The latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed<strong>The inflation rate, measured by the CPI, fell by a full percentage point.</strong>。 As a measure of inflation, the annual CPI rate plummeted from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>This is good news for the Federal Reserve, as it continues its efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.<strong>Although the United States still has a long way to go to achieve this goal, the latest economic data shows that the Federal Reserve's continued rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the inflation war.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index is another inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve closely monitors.<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 Compared to January, the index's month-on-month growth rate in February was lower, and the year-on-year growth rate also shows that this inflation indicator has been declining to a large extent.</p><p>The Federal Reserve has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen them too. The United States added 236,000 jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months.<strong>A slowdown in job market growth to a level that remains strong but not overheated is exactly the outcome the Federal Reserve has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, Head of Economic Research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even with slowing growth, the labor market is still developing rapidly.\"<strong>Clearly, the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction.</strong>This is despite criticism from Democratic lawmakers over Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's continued rate hike and the potential for unemployment and an eventual economic recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve's March rate hike, Senator Elizabeth Warren publicly stated:</p><p>“Powell made a mistake by not pausing his extreme rate hike. For months, I have been warning that the Fed’s current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have many tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.” But at a press conference in March of this year, Powell stated that he would not back down from achieving his inflation reduction target, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know that in the long run, this is the best thing for the people.\" Although the Federal Reserve does not plan to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve may be about to pause rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said at the Economic Club of Chicago on Tuesday that \"the right monetary policy requires caution and patience\" following the \"financial pressure\" caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>“Given the significant uncertainty surrounding the direction of these financial headwinds, I think we need to remain cautious. We should collect further data and be cautious about overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much the headwinds help reduce inflation.” The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has fueled calls to pause rate hike, as it has triggered economic uncertainty. Although Powell claimed that the banking system was \"sound and resilient,\" the consequences of a collapse could be \"equivalent to rate hike, or even more,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>It is certain that,<strong>While the overall CPI decline in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising rapidly.</strong>。 Meanwhile, the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose slightly year-on-year in March compared to February, largely driven by rising housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could worsen financial conditions, and corporate and consumer borrowing and spending could slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Federal Reserve to continue rate hike.<strong>This means that the possibility of an economic recession remains.</strong>。</p><p>However, the Federal Reserve is still looking for the data needed to support a potential pause in rate hike, therefore,<strong>The United States appears more likely to avoid a severe economic recession.</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d9a839d3b8f535281b72db3c3cfd0","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2327422131","content_text":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的目标水平。尽管美国要实现这一目标还有很长的路要走，但最新的经济数据显示，美联储的持续加息正在发挥作用，美联储正赢得通胀战争。PCE（个人消费支出）价格指数是美联储密切关注的另一个通胀指标，该指标也显示出令人鼓舞的迹象。与1月份相比，该指数2月份的环比增速较低，同比增速也显示出，这一通胀指标在很大程度上一直在下降。美联储也一直在寻找劳动力市场收紧的迹象，它可能也看到了。美国3月份新增就业岗位23.6万个，增幅低于前几个月，就业市场增速放缓至依然强劲但未过热的水平，正是美联储一直在寻求的结果。Indeed Hiring Lab北美地区经济研究主管邦克（Nick Bunker）表示：“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）公开表示：“鲍威尔犯了一个错误，他没有暂停其极端的加息。几个月来，我一直警告说，美联储目前的做法可能会让数百万美国人失去工作。我们有很多工具来对抗通胀，同时又不会把经济推下悬崖。”但鲍威尔在今年3月的新闻发布会上表示，在实现降低通胀目标方面他不会退缩，他声称：“因为我们知道，从长远来看，这是最有利于人民的事情。”尽管美联储今年不打算降息，但最新的经济数据暗示美联储可能即将暂停加息。芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周二在芝加哥经济俱乐部表示，在硅谷银行倒闭带来的“金融压力”之后，“正确的货币政策需要谨慎和耐心”。他表示：“鉴于这些金融逆风走向的不确定性很大，我认为我们需要保持谨慎。我们应该收集进一步的数据，并且在我们看到逆风在降低通胀方面起到多大帮助之前，对过于激进的加息应持谨慎态度。”硅谷银行的崩溃加剧了对暂停加息的呼吁，因为这一崩溃引发了经济的不确定性。虽然鲍威尔声称银行体系“稳健而有弹性”，但崩溃的后果可能是“相当于加息，甚至可能还不止于此”，因为企业和家庭的信贷条件可能会收紧。可以肯定的是，虽然3月份整体CPI走低是好消息，但房价和公寓租金仍在高速上涨。与此同时，3月份剔除食品和能源的核心CPI同比涨幅略高于2月份，这在很大程度上是受住房价格上涨的推动。不确定性仍存在。硅谷银行的倒闭可能会使金融状况变得更加严峻，企业和消费者的借贷和支出可能减缓，但过高的核心通胀可能会迫使美联储继续加息，这意味着经济衰退的可能性依然存在。不过，美联储仍在寻找支持潜在暂停加息所需的数据，因此，看起来美国更有可能避免严重的经济衰退。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SPY":1,"DJX":0.6,"SSO":0.6,".DJI":1,"CPI":1,"PSQ":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SH":0.6,"QID":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"QLD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}