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2021-06-25

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2025-11-11

How is meta put option

"Big Short" Michael Burry Shifts to "Battle Mode": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028

2021-06-25

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is meta put option&nbsp;","listText":"How is meta put option&nbsp;","text":"How is meta put option","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/498912642998872","repostId":"1187050152","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1187050152","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Global Stock Market Deep Analysis","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Deep News","id":"1039043262","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922"},"pubTimestamp":1762828466,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187050152?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-11-11 10:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187050152","media":"Deep News","summary":"Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating...","content":"<p>Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.</p>\n<p>Burry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.</p>\n<p>Wall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.</p>\n<p>**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.</p>\n<p>Amazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.</p>\n<p>**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.</p>\n<p>The \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.</p>\n<p>**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:</p>\n<p>1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.</p>\n<p>Bank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1039043262\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Deep News </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-11 10:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.</p>\n<p>Burry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.</p>\n<p>Wall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.</p>\n<p>**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.</p>\n<p>Amazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.</p>\n<p>**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.</p>\n<p>The \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.</p>\n<p>**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:</p>\n<p>1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.</p>\n<p>Bank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","LU2168564495.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AI\" (EUR) ACC","LU2168564222.USD":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0965509101.SGD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2168564065.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (EUR) ACC","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","BK4525":"远程办公概念","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1935042488.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME  \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU2168563687.JPY":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (JPYHDG) ACC","BK4524":"宅经济概念","LU2168564149.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"BAZ\" (EUR) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0203202063.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"A2X\" (USD) ACC","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1069347547.HKD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0203201768.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) INC","ORCL":"甲骨文","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","LU0553294199.USD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A5G\" (USD) INC","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1699723380.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"AP\" (USD) ACC","IE00BQXX3D17.EUR":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (EUR) ACC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU0784385170.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI ASSET INCOME \"A6\" (HKDHGD) INC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","IE00BQXX3C00.GBP":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (GBP) ACC","LU0784385840.USD":"Blackrock Global Multi-Asset Income A2 USD","IE00BQXX3F31.USD":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1037948897.HKD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0784383803.USD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND \"A\" (USD) INC A","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0265550359.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL ENHANCED EQUITY YIELD \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2764262908.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1934455277.USD":"AB SICAV I LOW VOLATILITY TOTAL RETURN EQUITY PORT \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1037948541.HKD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1934455194.USD":"AB SICAV I LOW VOLATILITY TOTAL RETURN EQUITY PORT \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1119994496.HKD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1791710582.SGD":"Fidelity Global Demographics A-ACC-SGD (SGD/USD hedged)","BK4538":"云计算","LU1791710400.SGD":"Fidelity Global Demographics A-ACC-SGD","LU0256863902.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"AT\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","GB00B4QBRK32.GBP":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (GBP) INC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2054465674.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC SICAV DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION T \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0215105999.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" ACC","GB00B4LPDJ14.GBP":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (GBP) ACC","LU0267386448.USD":"FIDELITY FIRST ALL COUNTRY WORLD \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0225283273.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4097":"系统软件","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1035773651.USD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE0005OL40V9.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A6M\" (USD) INC","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU2097829019.USD":"AZ EQUITY - BORLETTI GLOBAL LIFESTYLE \"AI\" (USD) ACC","LU0203345920.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLB ACT. 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On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.\nBurry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.\nWall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.\n**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.\nAmazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.\n**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.\nThe \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.\n**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:\n1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.\nBank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FB":1,"AAPL":1,"GOOG":1,"MSFT":1,"TSLA":1,"AMZN":1,"META":1,"XMAG":1,"NVDA":1,"ORCL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122093131,"gmtCreate":1624586973123,"gmtModify":1703841055738,"author":{"id":"3579604962735173","authorId":"3579604962735173","name":"Rahulfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e06ddcb50d16bf716a09fc4b38401bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579604962735173","idStr":"3579604962735173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122093131","repostId":"2146029313","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122007749,"gmtCreate":1624586899081,"gmtModify":1703841057039,"author":{"id":"3579604962735173","authorId":"3579604962735173","name":"Rahulfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e06ddcb50d16bf716a09fc4b38401bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579604962735173","idStr":"3579604962735173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122007749","repostId":"2146029313","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":122007749,"gmtCreate":1624586899081,"gmtModify":1703841057039,"author":{"id":"3579604962735173","authorId":"3579604962735173","name":"Rahulfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e06ddcb50d16bf716a09fc4b38401bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579604962735173","idStr":"3579604962735173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122007749","repostId":"2146029313","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":498912642998872,"gmtCreate":1762829919778,"gmtModify":1762831301518,"author":{"id":"3579604962735173","authorId":"3579604962735173","name":"Rahulfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e06ddcb50d16bf716a09fc4b38401bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579604962735173","idStr":"3579604962735173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"How is meta put option&nbsp;","listText":"How is meta put option&nbsp;","text":"How is meta put option","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/498912642998872","repostId":"1187050152","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1187050152","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Global Stock Market Deep Analysis","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Deep News","id":"1039043262","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922"},"pubTimestamp":1762828466,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187050152?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-11-11 10:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187050152","media":"Deep News","summary":"Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating...","content":"<p>Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.</p>\n<p>Burry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.</p>\n<p>Wall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.</p>\n<p>**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.</p>\n<p>Amazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.</p>\n<p>**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.</p>\n<p>The \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.</p>\n<p>**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:</p>\n<p>1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.</p>\n<p>Bank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Big Short\" Michael Burry Shifts to \"Battle Mode\": Tech Giants' Profit Overstatements Due to Underestimated Depreciation—Oracle by 26.9%, Meta by 20.8% by 2028\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1039043262\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Deep News </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-11 10:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Michael Burry, famed for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has once again targeted tech giants. On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.</p>\n<p>Burry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.</p>\n<p>Wall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.</p>\n<p>**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.</p>\n<p>Amazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.</p>\n<p>**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.</p>\n<p>The \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.</p>\n<p>**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:</p>\n<p>1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.</p>\n<p>Bank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","LU2168564495.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AI\" (EUR) ACC","LU2168564222.USD":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0965509101.SGD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2168564065.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (EUR) ACC","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","BK4525":"远程办公概念","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1935042488.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME  \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU2168563687.JPY":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AAZ\" (JPYHDG) ACC","BK4524":"宅经济概念","LU2168564149.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"BAZ\" (EUR) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0203202063.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"A2X\" (USD) ACC","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1069347547.HKD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0203201768.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) INC","ORCL":"甲骨文","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","LU0553294199.USD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A5G\" (USD) INC","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1699723380.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"AP\" (USD) ACC","IE00BQXX3D17.EUR":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (EUR) ACC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU0784385170.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI ASSET INCOME \"A6\" (HKDHGD) INC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","IE00BQXX3C00.GBP":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (GBP) ACC","LU0784385840.USD":"Blackrock Global Multi-Asset Income A2 USD","IE00BQXX3F31.USD":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1037948897.HKD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0784383803.USD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND \"A\" (USD) INC A","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0265550359.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL ENHANCED EQUITY YIELD \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2764262908.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL UNCONSTRAINED EQUITY \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1934455277.USD":"AB SICAV I LOW VOLATILITY TOTAL RETURN EQUITY PORT \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1037948541.HKD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1934455194.USD":"AB SICAV I LOW VOLATILITY TOTAL RETURN EQUITY PORT \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1119994496.HKD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1791710582.SGD":"Fidelity Global Demographics A-ACC-SGD (SGD/USD hedged)","BK4538":"云计算","LU1791710400.SGD":"Fidelity Global Demographics A-ACC-SGD","LU0256863902.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"AT\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","GB00B4QBRK32.GBP":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (GBP) INC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2054465674.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC SICAV DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION T \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0215105999.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" ACC","GB00B4LPDJ14.GBP":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (GBP) ACC","LU0267386448.USD":"FIDELITY FIRST ALL COUNTRY WORLD \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0225283273.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4097":"系统软件","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1035773651.USD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE0005OL40V9.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A6M\" (USD) INC","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU2097829019.USD":"AZ EQUITY - BORLETTI GLOBAL LIFESTYLE \"AI\" (USD) ACC","LU0203345920.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLB ACT. 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On November 11, Burry posted on social media that these companies are artificially inflating earnings by underestimating depreciation through extending the \"useful life\" of assets. He estimates that from 2026 to 2028, major tech firms could overstate profits by $176 billion due to this practice.\nBurry promised to reveal more details on November 25. He specifically highlighted that by 2028, Oracle's profits might be overstated by 26.9%, while Meta's could be exaggerated by 20.8%. Notably, Burry previously disclosed holding put options on NVIDIA and Palantir, reigniting market attention on his bearish stance toward the AI sector.\nWall Street institutions like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also warned that the market severely underestimates the true scale of current AI investments and is unprepared for the impact of future depreciation expenses. This could lead to tech giants' actual profitability falling far below market expectations.\n**Accounting \"Tricks\": Extending Hardware Lifespans to Smooth Costs**  \nBurry argues that tech giants are employing accounting \"gimmicks.\" In his post, he noted that extending the \"useful life\" of assets to understate depreciation is \"one of the most common modern frauds.\" He emphasized that computing equipment, such as NVIDIA chips and servers—typically with 2-3 year lifecycles—should not have prolonged depreciation periods. However, \"hyperscalers\" like Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon are doing just that, with some even stretching depreciation cycles to six years.\nAmazon, however, shortened the estimated useful life of some servers and networking equipment from six to five years in Q1 2025, citing accelerated AI advancements. If this trend reverses and expands, it could lead to accelerated depreciation recognition, impacting short-term earnings.\n**Depreciation \"Time Bomb\": Market Unprepared for Future Profit Shock**  \nBank of America has also warned that Wall Street is \"underestimating\" the growth of future depreciation expenses. Analyst Justin Post noted that as Google, Meta, and Amazon's capital expenditures surge in 2024 and 2025, their depreciation costs will inevitably accelerate post-2026. By 2027, the market's consensus for these three companies alone could understate actual depreciation expenses by nearly $16.4 billion, suggesting their true profitability may lag far behind current expectations.\nThe \"short lifespan\" of AI assets exacerbates this risk. Hardware like GPUs, used for AI computing, faces rapid technological obsolescence and high workloads, with effective lifespans of just 3-5 years—contrary to tech giants' extended depreciation practices.\n**Wall Street's Warning: Underestimated Capex and \"Off-Balance-Sheet\" Expansion**  \nMorgan Stanley's research highlights that tech giants' AI capital expenditure intensity is nearing peak levels seen during the dot-com bubble, yet public data doesn't fully reflect the investment picture. Two key factors contribute to this underestimation:\n1. **Rise of Financing Leases**: Companies like Microsoft and Oracle are increasingly using these \"off-balance-sheet\" tools to build data centers, with initial investments excluded from traditional capex. Including financing leases, Morgan Stanley estimates Microsoft's 2026 capex-to-sales ratio would jump from 28% to 38%.  \n2. **Delayed Impact of \"Construction in Progress (CIP)\"**: Significant capital remains on balance sheets without depreciation, meaning the profit impact has only just begun.\nBank of America warns that the AI infrastructure market could repeat historical patterns of overcapacity and price wars due to aggressive investment. If supply continues outpacing demand, aggressive pricing strategies may emerge by 2027, forcing hyperscalers to cut prices to maintain data center utilization—eroding profitability. This further supports Burry's argument about overstated tech earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FB":1,"AAPL":1,"GOOG":1,"MSFT":1,"TSLA":1,"AMZN":1,"META":1,"XMAG":1,"NVDA":1,"ORCL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122093131,"gmtCreate":1624586973123,"gmtModify":1703841055738,"author":{"id":"3579604962735173","authorId":"3579604962735173","name":"Rahulfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e06ddcb50d16bf716a09fc4b38401bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579604962735173","idStr":"3579604962735173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122093131","repostId":"2146029313","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}