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虎来虎去
2021-04-27
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Pre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets
虎来虎去
2021-04-20
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When will the Fed reduce the size and ease? Focus on this critical node
虎来虎去
2021-04-18
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20:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165240928","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月27日（周二），美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨，纳指期货领涨。美联储将于今日召开为期两天的货币政策会议，外界普遍预计美联储不会改变政策，但随着复苏迹象越来越明显，美联储的指引可能会有所调整。【","content":"<p>On April 27th (Tuesday), the futures of the three major U.S. stocks rose slightly in the pre-market session, with Nasdaq futures leading the gains. The Fed will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting today. It is widely expected that the Fed will not change its policy, but the Fed's guidance may be adjusted as signs of recovery become more obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a894241cfd445de33b9c39211aa5ef65\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>[Pre-market quotes]</b></p><p><b>Hot Chinese Concept Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">Who to learn from</a>It rose by more than 1% before the market. It was reported that Xueersi Online School, Ape Counseling, Gaotu Classroom, etc. had completely removed preschool courses.</p><p>New energy vehicle concept stocks rose slightly before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>rose by more than 1%,<b>Today</b><b>Nio officially announced that the company was attacked by a large number of organized online rumors, falsely saying and insinuating that the rights protection incident of a brand at Shanghai Auto Show was related to Nio. Relevant rumors are pure rumors.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>up 0.58%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>up 0.18%.</p><p><b>Important U.S. Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell by more than 2% before the market, after releasing the total revenue of US$10.389 billion in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 74%; Morgan Stanley said Tesla's earnings report was lower than expected, and production capacity was the biggest problem.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Vision Image</a>A pre-market surge has turned to a 3% decline.</b>The stock closed up more than 47% yesterday. According to the data, in the past four trading days, the stock price of Vision Image has risen by more than 150%, and it is currently a popular target in the American retail forum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1892737c036a1ff1a219a2e61b51\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>It rose by more than 9% before the market, after completing the issuance of shares in the market (ATM) plan, selling 3.5 million shares and raising about $551 million.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel</a>It rose by more than 8% before the market, and the company's net profit in Q1 2021 was US$4.792 billion, compared with the expected US$1.477 billion.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Lilly</a>It fell by more than 3% before the market, the first quarter results were less than expected, and the sales of COVID-19 antibody therapy drugs were not as satisfactory as expected.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">General Electric</a>It fell nearly 3% premarket. GE's revenue for the first quarter of 2021 was $17.1 billion, compared to market expectations of $17.518 billion and $20.524 billion in the same period last year. Loss of $0.33 per share in the first quarter, compared to the market expectation of a loss of $0.09.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It rose 0.69% premarket. According to Nikkei News, citing sources, Apple's next-generation processor \"M2\" has entered the mass production stage this month, and the manufacturer is TSMC, which will be shipped as early as July.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">HSBC</a>It rose more than 3% before the market. HSBC Holdings announced at noon today that its adjusted pre-tax profit for the first quarter rose 109% year-on-year to $6.4 billion, higher than market expectations of $4.3 billion. The bank earlier announced that it would not distribute quarterly Dividend in 2021, but it would consider whether to declare a Dividend when it announces its 2021 interim results in August.</p><p>Bitcoin price rebounds, blockchain concept moves higher.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>up 2.96%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>up 2.42%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>up 2.60%; China Concept Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>up 3.07%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose by more than 4%.</p><p><b>[Bulk Commodities]</b></p><p>◆ International oil prices rebounded slightly. Weekend car trips in the United States, China and Britain helped boost petrol demand, but the recovery was suppressed by rising COVID cases elsewhere, particularly in India.</p><p>As of press time, the price of WTI crude oil futures was reported at 62.33 yuan/barrel, up 0.68%; Brent crude was trading at $65.44 a barrel, up 0.63%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b256e32d69981bd997b813250036c40\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>◆ Gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Although the out-of-control epidemic in India enhanced the safe-haven function of gold, the yield of U.S. bonds rose for the third consecutive day, limiting the rise of gold prices.</p><p>As of press time, the international gold futures price was reported at $1,781.75/oz, an increase of 0.09%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0203a4301f98c5f60308d4ce4c0b56fe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-27 20:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On April 27th (Tuesday), the futures of the three major U.S. stocks rose slightly in the pre-market session, with Nasdaq futures leading the gains. The Fed will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting today. It is widely expected that the Fed will not change its policy, but the Fed's guidance may be adjusted as signs of recovery become more obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a894241cfd445de33b9c39211aa5ef65\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>[Pre-market quotes]</b></p><p><b>Hot Chinese Concept Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">Who to learn from</a>It rose by more than 1% before the market. It was reported that Xueersi Online School, Ape Counseling, Gaotu Classroom, etc. had completely removed preschool courses.</p><p>New energy vehicle concept stocks rose slightly before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>rose by more than 1%,<b>Today</b><b>Nio officially announced that the company was attacked by a large number of organized online rumors, falsely saying and insinuating that the rights protection incident of a brand at Shanghai Auto Show was related to Nio. Relevant rumors are pure rumors.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>up 0.58%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>up 0.18%.</p><p><b>Important U.S. Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell by more than 2% before the market, after releasing the total revenue of US$10.389 billion in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 74%; Morgan Stanley said Tesla's earnings report was lower than expected, and production capacity was the biggest problem.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Vision Image</a>A pre-market surge has turned to a 3% decline.</b>The stock closed up more than 47% yesterday. According to the data, in the past four trading days, the stock price of Vision Image has risen by more than 150%, and it is currently a popular target in the American retail forum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1892737c036a1ff1a219a2e61b51\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>It rose by more than 9% before the market, after completing the issuance of shares in the market (ATM) plan, selling 3.5 million shares and raising about $551 million.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel</a>It rose by more than 8% before the market, and the company's net profit in Q1 2021 was US$4.792 billion, compared with the expected US$1.477 billion.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Lilly</a>It fell by more than 3% before the market, the first quarter results were less than expected, and the sales of COVID-19 antibody therapy drugs were not as satisfactory as expected.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">General Electric</a>It fell nearly 3% premarket. GE's revenue for the first quarter of 2021 was $17.1 billion, compared to market expectations of $17.518 billion and $20.524 billion in the same period last year. Loss of $0.33 per share in the first quarter, compared to the market expectation of a loss of $0.09.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It rose 0.69% premarket. According to Nikkei News, citing sources, Apple's next-generation processor \"M2\" has entered the mass production stage this month, and the manufacturer is TSMC, which will be shipped as early as July.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">HSBC</a>It rose more than 3% before the market. HSBC Holdings announced at noon today that its adjusted pre-tax profit for the first quarter rose 109% year-on-year to $6.4 billion, higher than market expectations of $4.3 billion. The bank earlier announced that it would not distribute quarterly Dividend in 2021, but it would consider whether to declare a Dividend when it announces its 2021 interim results in August.</p><p>Bitcoin price rebounds, blockchain concept moves higher.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>up 2.96%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>up 2.42%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>up 2.60%; China Concept Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>up 3.07%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose by more than 4%.</p><p><b>[Bulk Commodities]</b></p><p>◆ International oil prices rebounded slightly. Weekend car trips in the United States, China and Britain helped boost petrol demand, but the recovery was suppressed by rising COVID cases elsewhere, particularly in India.</p><p>As of press time, the price of WTI crude oil futures was reported at 62.33 yuan/barrel, up 0.68%; Brent crude was trading at $65.44 a barrel, up 0.63%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b256e32d69981bd997b813250036c40\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>◆ Gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Although the out-of-control epidemic in India enhanced the safe-haven function of gold, the yield of U.S. bonds rose for the third consecutive day, limiting the rise of gold prices.</p><p>As of press time, the international gold futures price was reported at $1,781.75/oz, an increase of 0.09%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0203a4301f98c5f60308d4ce4c0b56fe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165240928","content_text":"4月27日（周二），美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨，纳指期货领涨。美联储将于今日召开为期两天的货币政策会议，外界普遍预计美联储不会改变政策，但随着复苏迹象越来越明显，美联储的指引可能会有所调整。【盘前行情】热门中概股跟谁学盘前涨超1%，消息称学而思网校、猿辅导、高途课堂等已经全面下架学前课程。新能源车概念股盘前小幅走高。蔚来涨超1%，今日蔚来官方宣布：公司遭受大量有组织网络谣言攻击，妄言、影射上海车展某品牌维权事件与蔚来有关。相关传言纯系造谣。理想汽车涨0.58%，小鹏汽车涨0.18%。重要美股特斯拉盘前跌超2%，此前发布第一季度总营收103.89亿美元，同比增长74%；大摩称特斯拉财报低于预期，产能是最大问题。维视图像盘前一度飙升，现转为下跌3%。该股昨日收涨超47%。数据显示，近四个交易日，维视图像股价已经累涨超过150%，目前是美国散户论坛中的热门标的。游戏驿站盘前涨超9%，此前完成在市场上发行（ATM）股票发行计划，出售350万股股票，筹资约5.51亿美元。联合包裹盘前涨超8%，公司2021年Q1净利润47.92亿美元，预期14.77亿美元。礼来盘前跌超3%，第一季度业绩不及预期，新冠病毒抗体疗法药物销量未如理想。通用电气盘前跌近3%。通用电气2021年第一季度营收171亿美元，市场预期175.18亿美元，去年同期205.24亿美元。第一季度每股亏损0.33美元，市场预期亏损0.09美元。苹果盘前涨0.69%。据日经新闻援引消息人士报道，苹果下一代处理器“M2”已经在本月进入大规模生产阶段，生产商为台积电，最早将于7月出货。汇丰盘前涨超3%。汇丰控股今日午间公布，一季度经调整税前利润同比增长109%至64亿美元，高于市场预期的43亿美元。该行早前宣布2021年将不会派发季度股息，但会于8月公布2021年中期业绩时，考虑是否宣派一次股息。比特币价格反弹，区块链概念走高。Marathon Patent涨2.96%，Riot Blockchain涨2.42%，Bit Digital Inc涨2.60%；中概股嘉楠科技涨3.07%，第九城市涨超4%。【大宗商品】◆国际油价小幅反弹。美国、中国与英国周末驾车出行的民众，帮助提振了汽油需求，但这波复苏受到其他地方新冠病例数增加的压抑，尤其是印度。截至发稿，WTI原油期货价格报62.33元/桶，涨幅0.68%；布伦特原油报65.44美元每桶，涨幅0.63%。◆黄金价格窄幅震荡。尽管印度疫情失控提升黄金避险功能，但美债收益率连续第三天走高，限制了金价升幅。截至发稿，国际黄金期货价格报1781.75美元/盎司，涨幅0.09%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371809928,"gmtCreate":1618925146764,"gmtModify":1704716948878,"author":{"id":"3581536785343404","authorId":"3581536785343404","name":"虎来虎去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1b92bce7d07308477690794a6c0be6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581536785343404","authorIdStr":"3581536785343404"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371809928","repostId":"2128581952","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128581952","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618887583,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2128581952?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-20 10:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"When will the Fed reduce the size and ease? Focus on this critical node","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128581952","media":"金十数据","summary":"今年夏季全民免疫的前后，留意市场的缩减QE预期变化。","content":"<p>The tide rises and flows, and the Tao follows nature. Under the expectation of inflation, Brazilian, Russian, Turkish and other central banks have started a trip to rate hike. The recent economic data of the United States, which is at zero interest rate, has recovered strongly, but the Federal Reserve remains on hold. When its monetary policy will be withdrawn and whether it can achieve a soft landing will become the key to the normalization of global economy and policies after the epidemic, and will have an important impact on the market.</p><p>I. When will the tide be low?</p><p><b>Employment</b>And<b>Inflation</b>Are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by<b>Vaccination</b>Impact of the process. For example, St. Louis Fed President Bullard made it clear,<b>Successfully getting 75% of Americans vaccinated is necessary for the Fed to consider tapering its bond-buying program</b>。 Recently, the new epidemic situation in the United States seems to be slowly picking up, but it is mainly related to the relaxation of lockdown control and may not represent the trend.</p><p>The current rate of vaccination in the United States is extremely rapid, with nearly 40% of the population completing at least one vaccination. According to preliminary estimates of medical experts, this summer the United States and some European countries may achieve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">the whole people</a>Immunity. What impact will this have on future employment and inflation?</p><p>Table 1. Estimated time of universal immunization in the United States and Europe</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8240dce2e5a00e2168fcf2cf9783e8c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Compiled by the author</p><p><b>From an employment perspective</b>The number of job vacancies in the United States has basically returned to the pre-epidemic level. The PMI of manufacturing industry has reached the highest value since 1984, and the PMI of service industry has also reached the highest value since 2006. The demand in the job market has been very strong. With the liberalization of lockdown measures in the future and the subsidies for residents fading, the unemployed are expected to return to the work field quickly, and the labor participation rate may increase significantly.</p><p><b>In terms of inflation</b>In the future, the accelerated recovery of service consumption in the United States will drive core inflation to rise rapidly. Although prices such as medical care may fall back, prices in more areas suppressed by the epidemic, such as transportation and tourism, will increase significantly. The continuous rise in house prices will also be transmitted to the lag of rent prices. With the influence of superimposed base, the inflation center is expected to continue to rise and remain above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p>Figure 1. Timing of policy exit</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f02059556ac8dd9424ff4378fb0d5c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source : Wind, Our World in Data</p><p>Second, how to ebbing the tide?</p><p>Looking back at the last round of monetary policy withdrawal, Bernanke first mentioned the reduction of bond purchases in May 2013, and it was not until December of that year that the withdrawal started. The process took about seven months. In comparison, the current rate of improvement of economic indicators will be significantly faster than in 2013, and inflation will continue to be above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p><b><u>The withdrawal speed of this round of quantitative widening policy may be faster than that of the same period in 2013, and the possibility of withdrawal in the fourth quarter is not ruled out. Of course, before exit operations, there is often a heating up process of market constant anticipation of exits and Fed-guided discussions, which may occur around the time of universal immunization this summer.</u></b></p><p>Figure 2. Steps for policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f71b8f322bd9a0bc96ecccbea3297d6\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p><b><u>It is worth mentioning that the moment when the policy withdrawal has the most severe impact is not the stage when the Fed's \"real money\" starts to operate, but when the expectation heats up.</u></b>At this time, the long-term interest rate often shows an obvious upward trend. When the Fed really exits, the long-term interest rate may slow down due to the excessive adjustment in the early stage. Of course, the adjustment of Federal Funds rate may have to wait until next year.</p><p>Figure 3. Impact of policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a336329daae5c4b2c02641a9a9e21691\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p>III. Basic conclusions</p><p><b>One is</b>Employment and inflation are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by the vaccination process at present. According to the preliminary estimate of medical experts,<b>Around this summer, the United States and some European countries may achieve universal immunity. This point may be the starting point for the further improvement of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve to start releasing the withdrawal signal of quantitative easing policy.</b></p><p><b>Second,</b>Historically,<b>The period when the Fed's withdrawal from quantitative easing policy has the most severe impact is not the stage when its \"real money\" begins to operate, but when the market constantly expects and the Fed publicly discusses it before this, when the long-term interest rate rises significantly.</b>However, when the Fed really withdraws from the quantity easing policy, the long-term interest rate may slow down.</p><p><b>Third,</b>Looking ahead, employment remains more of a factor than inflation to influence the Fed's policy exit, especially after changing the institutional framework of 2% inflation tolerance.<b>With the approach of universal immunization in the summer, the market and the Fed's discussion of policy exit may heat up around this point, which may lead to its long-term interest rate continuing to rise</b>It indicates further normalization of global economy and policies.</p><p><hr>This article comes from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">SINA</a>Financial Opinion Leaders column, by Wu Ge</p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When will the Fed reduce the size and ease? Focus on this critical node</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen will the Fed reduce the size and ease? Focus on this critical node\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-20 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The tide rises and flows, and the Tao follows nature. Under the expectation of inflation, Brazilian, Russian, Turkish and other central banks have started a trip to rate hike. The recent economic data of the United States, which is at zero interest rate, has recovered strongly, but the Federal Reserve remains on hold. When its monetary policy will be withdrawn and whether it can achieve a soft landing will become the key to the normalization of global economy and policies after the epidemic, and will have an important impact on the market.</p><p>I. When will the tide be low?</p><p><b>Employment</b>And<b>Inflation</b>Are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by<b>Vaccination</b>Impact of the process. For example, St. Louis Fed President Bullard made it clear,<b>Successfully getting 75% of Americans vaccinated is necessary for the Fed to consider tapering its bond-buying program</b>。 Recently, the new epidemic situation in the United States seems to be slowly picking up, but it is mainly related to the relaxation of lockdown control and may not represent the trend.</p><p>The current rate of vaccination in the United States is extremely rapid, with nearly 40% of the population completing at least one vaccination. According to preliminary estimates of medical experts, this summer the United States and some European countries may achieve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">the whole people</a>Immunity. What impact will this have on future employment and inflation?</p><p>Table 1. Estimated time of universal immunization in the United States and Europe</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8240dce2e5a00e2168fcf2cf9783e8c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Compiled by the author</p><p><b>From an employment perspective</b>The number of job vacancies in the United States has basically returned to the pre-epidemic level. The PMI of manufacturing industry has reached the highest value since 1984, and the PMI of service industry has also reached the highest value since 2006. The demand in the job market has been very strong. With the liberalization of lockdown measures in the future and the subsidies for residents fading, the unemployed are expected to return to the work field quickly, and the labor participation rate may increase significantly.</p><p><b>In terms of inflation</b>In the future, the accelerated recovery of service consumption in the United States will drive core inflation to rise rapidly. Although prices such as medical care may fall back, prices in more areas suppressed by the epidemic, such as transportation and tourism, will increase significantly. The continuous rise in house prices will also be transmitted to the lag of rent prices. With the influence of superimposed base, the inflation center is expected to continue to rise and remain above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p>Figure 1. Timing of policy exit</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f02059556ac8dd9424ff4378fb0d5c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source : Wind, Our World in Data</p><p>Second, how to ebbing the tide?</p><p>Looking back at the last round of monetary policy withdrawal, Bernanke first mentioned the reduction of bond purchases in May 2013, and it was not until December of that year that the withdrawal started. The process took about seven months. In comparison, the current rate of improvement of economic indicators will be significantly faster than in 2013, and inflation will continue to be above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p><b><u>The withdrawal speed of this round of quantitative widening policy may be faster than that of the same period in 2013, and the possibility of withdrawal in the fourth quarter is not ruled out. Of course, before exit operations, there is often a heating up process of market constant anticipation of exits and Fed-guided discussions, which may occur around the time of universal immunization this summer.</u></b></p><p>Figure 2. Steps for policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f71b8f322bd9a0bc96ecccbea3297d6\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p><b><u>It is worth mentioning that the moment when the policy withdrawal has the most severe impact is not the stage when the Fed's \"real money\" starts to operate, but when the expectation heats up.</u></b>At this time, the long-term interest rate often shows an obvious upward trend. When the Fed really exits, the long-term interest rate may slow down due to the excessive adjustment in the early stage. Of course, the adjustment of Federal Funds rate may have to wait until next year.</p><p>Figure 3. Impact of policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a336329daae5c4b2c02641a9a9e21691\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p>III. Basic conclusions</p><p><b>One is</b>Employment and inflation are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by the vaccination process at present. According to the preliminary estimate of medical experts,<b>Around this summer, the United States and some European countries may achieve universal immunity. This point may be the starting point for the further improvement of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve to start releasing the withdrawal signal of quantitative easing policy.</b></p><p><b>Second,</b>Historically,<b>The period when the Fed's withdrawal from quantitative easing policy has the most severe impact is not the stage when its \"real money\" begins to operate, but when the market constantly expects and the Fed publicly discusses it before this, when the long-term interest rate rises significantly.</b>However, when the Fed really withdraws from the quantity easing policy, the long-term interest rate may slow down.</p><p><b>Third,</b>Looking ahead, employment remains more of a factor than inflation to influence the Fed's policy exit, especially after changing the institutional framework of 2% inflation tolerance.<b>With the approach of universal immunization in the summer, the market and the Fed's discussion of policy exit may heat up around this point, which may lead to its long-term interest rate continuing to rise</b>It indicates further normalization of global economy and policies.</p><p><hr>This article comes from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">SINA</a>Financial Opinion Leaders column, by Wu Ge</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73391&type=news\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4139259f22c3b054e11cd4afcca1c8","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73391&type=news","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128581952","content_text":"潮起潮落，道法自然。通胀预期之下，巴西、俄罗斯、土耳其等央行已经开启加息之旅。身处零利率的美国近期经济数据强劲回升，但联储依然按兵不动。其货币政策何时退出，能否实现软着陆，成为疫后全球经济及政策是否正常化的关键，并将对市场产生重要影响。\n一、何时退潮？\n就业和通胀是决定货币政策退潮的两个核心变量，但当下都受到疫苗接种进程的影响。例如，圣路易斯联储主席布拉德明确表示，成功地让75%的美国人接种疫苗是美联储考虑缩减购债计划的必要条件。近期美国新增疫情似有缓慢回升态势，但主要与封锁管制放松相关，未必代表趋势。\n当前美国疫苗接种速度极快，已有近40%的人口完成了至少一次接种。据医学专家初步预计，今年夏季美国及部分欧洲国家可能实现全民免疫。这对未来就业和通胀会产生什么影响呢？\n表1． 美、欧全民免疫的时间估计\n\n来源：笔者整理\n从就业来看，美国职位空缺数已基本回至疫前，制造业PMI创1984年以来最高值，服务业PMI也是2006年来最高，就业市场需求已十分强劲。随着未来封锁措施的放开以及对居民端的补助消退，失业人群有望快速回归工作领域，劳动参与率可能明显提升。\n从通胀来看，未来美国服务消费修复加快将带动核心通胀较快上升。尽管医疗等价格或将回落，但交通、旅游等更多受疫情抑制领域的价格将明显上涨。房价的连续攀升也将向房租价格滞后传导。叠加基数影响，通胀中枢有望继续抬升并持续高于2%的传统目标。\n图1． 政策退出的时点\n\n来源：Wind，Our World in Data\n二、如何退潮？\n回顾上一轮的货币政策退出，2013年5月伯南克首次提及缩减购债，直到当年12月才开启退出，该过程经历了7个月左右。相较而言，当前各项经济指标的改善速率将显著快于2013年，且通胀将持续高于2%的传统目标。\n本轮量宽政策退出的速度或快于2013年同期，不排除四季度开始退出的可能。当然，在退出操作之前，往往有一个市场不断预期退出和联储引导讨论的升温过程，可能会发生在今年夏季全民免疫的前后。\n图2． 政策退出的步骤\n\n来源：Wind\n值得一提的是，政策退出影响最为剧烈的时刻，并非联储“真金白银”开始操作的阶段，而是该预期升温的时候。此时，长端利率往往呈现明显上升的态势。而当联储真正进行退出操作时，长端利率反而可能由于前期的过度调整进而出现涨幅趋缓。当然，联邦基金利率的调整可能要等到明后年。\n图3． 政策退出的影响\n\n来源：Wind\n三、基本结论\n一是就业和通胀是决定货币政策退潮的两个核心变量，但当下都受到疫苗接种进程的影响。据医学专家初步预计，今年夏季前后美国及部分欧洲国家可能实现全民免疫，这个时点或许就是美国经济进一步好转及美联储开始释放量化宽松政策退出信号的起点。\n二是历史来看，美联储退出量化宽松政策影响最剧烈的时期，并非其“真金白银”开始操作的阶段，而是在此之前市场不断预期以及联储公开讨论的时候，这时长端利率显著抬升。而当联储真正进行退出量宽政策操作时，长端利率反而可能出现涨幅趋缓现象。\n三是展望未来，就业仍是比通胀更能影响联储政策退出的因素，尤其是改变2%通胀容忍度的制度框架后。随着夏季全民免疫的临近，市场和联储有关政策退出的讨论或将在该时点前后升温，可能引致其长端利率继续上行，预示全球经济与政策进一步正常化。\n\n本文来自新浪财经意见领袖专栏，作者伍戈","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379264940,"gmtCreate":1618748410580,"gmtModify":1704714553479,"author":{"id":"3581536785343404","authorId":"3581536785343404","name":"虎来虎去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1b92bce7d07308477690794a6c0be6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581536785343404","authorIdStr":"3581536785343404"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379264940","repostId":"1198410511","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":377212093,"gmtCreate":1619530409312,"gmtModify":1704725482150,"author":{"id":"3581536785343404","authorId":"3581536785343404","name":"虎来虎去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1b92bce7d07308477690794a6c0be6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581536785343404","idStr":"3581536785343404"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377212093","repostId":"1165240928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165240928","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619527358,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165240928?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-27 20:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165240928","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月27日（周二），美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨，纳指期货领涨。美联储将于今日召开为期两天的货币政策会议，外界普遍预计美联储不会改变政策，但随着复苏迹象越来越明显，美联储的指引可能会有所调整。【","content":"<p>On April 27th (Tuesday), the futures of the three major U.S. stocks rose slightly in the pre-market session, with Nasdaq futures leading the gains. The Fed will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting today. It is widely expected that the Fed will not change its policy, but the Fed's guidance may be adjusted as signs of recovery become more obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a894241cfd445de33b9c39211aa5ef65\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>[Pre-market quotes]</b></p><p><b>Hot Chinese Concept Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">Who to learn from</a>It rose by more than 1% before the market. It was reported that Xueersi Online School, Ape Counseling, Gaotu Classroom, etc. had completely removed preschool courses.</p><p>New energy vehicle concept stocks rose slightly before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>rose by more than 1%,<b>Today</b><b>Nio officially announced that the company was attacked by a large number of organized online rumors, falsely saying and insinuating that the rights protection incident of a brand at Shanghai Auto Show was related to Nio. Relevant rumors are pure rumors.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>up 0.58%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>up 0.18%.</p><p><b>Important U.S. Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell by more than 2% before the market, after releasing the total revenue of US$10.389 billion in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 74%; Morgan Stanley said Tesla's earnings report was lower than expected, and production capacity was the biggest problem.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Vision Image</a>A pre-market surge has turned to a 3% decline.</b>The stock closed up more than 47% yesterday. According to the data, in the past four trading days, the stock price of Vision Image has risen by more than 150%, and it is currently a popular target in the American retail forum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1892737c036a1ff1a219a2e61b51\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>It rose by more than 9% before the market, after completing the issuance of shares in the market (ATM) plan, selling 3.5 million shares and raising about $551 million.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel</a>It rose by more than 8% before the market, and the company's net profit in Q1 2021 was US$4.792 billion, compared with the expected US$1.477 billion.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Lilly</a>It fell by more than 3% before the market, the first quarter results were less than expected, and the sales of COVID-19 antibody therapy drugs were not as satisfactory as expected.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">General Electric</a>It fell nearly 3% premarket. GE's revenue for the first quarter of 2021 was $17.1 billion, compared to market expectations of $17.518 billion and $20.524 billion in the same period last year. Loss of $0.33 per share in the first quarter, compared to the market expectation of a loss of $0.09.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It rose 0.69% premarket. According to Nikkei News, citing sources, Apple's next-generation processor \"M2\" has entered the mass production stage this month, and the manufacturer is TSMC, which will be shipped as early as July.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">HSBC</a>It rose more than 3% before the market. HSBC Holdings announced at noon today that its adjusted pre-tax profit for the first quarter rose 109% year-on-year to $6.4 billion, higher than market expectations of $4.3 billion. The bank earlier announced that it would not distribute quarterly Dividend in 2021, but it would consider whether to declare a Dividend when it announces its 2021 interim results in August.</p><p>Bitcoin price rebounds, blockchain concept moves higher.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>up 2.96%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>up 2.42%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>up 2.60%; China Concept Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>up 3.07%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose by more than 4%.</p><p><b>[Bulk Commodities]</b></p><p>◆ International oil prices rebounded slightly. Weekend car trips in the United States, China and Britain helped boost petrol demand, but the recovery was suppressed by rising COVID cases elsewhere, particularly in India.</p><p>As of press time, the price of WTI crude oil futures was reported at 62.33 yuan/barrel, up 0.68%; Brent crude was trading at $65.44 a barrel, up 0.63%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b256e32d69981bd997b813250036c40\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>◆ Gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Although the out-of-control epidemic in India enhanced the safe-haven function of gold, the yield of U.S. bonds rose for the third consecutive day, limiting the rise of gold prices.</p><p>As of press time, the international gold futures price was reported at $1,781.75/oz, an increase of 0.09%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0203a4301f98c5f60308d4ce4c0b56fe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market: Tesla moves lower, 'new leader of retail investors' plummets\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-27 20:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On April 27th (Tuesday), the futures of the three major U.S. stocks rose slightly in the pre-market session, with Nasdaq futures leading the gains. The Fed will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting today. It is widely expected that the Fed will not change its policy, but the Fed's guidance may be adjusted as signs of recovery become more obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a894241cfd445de33b9c39211aa5ef65\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>[Pre-market quotes]</b></p><p><b>Hot Chinese Concept Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">Who to learn from</a>It rose by more than 1% before the market. It was reported that Xueersi Online School, Ape Counseling, Gaotu Classroom, etc. had completely removed preschool courses.</p><p>New energy vehicle concept stocks rose slightly before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>rose by more than 1%,<b>Today</b><b>Nio officially announced that the company was attacked by a large number of organized online rumors, falsely saying and insinuating that the rights protection incident of a brand at Shanghai Auto Show was related to Nio. Relevant rumors are pure rumors.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>up 0.58%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>up 0.18%.</p><p><b>Important U.S. Stocks</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell by more than 2% before the market, after releasing the total revenue of US$10.389 billion in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 74%; Morgan Stanley said Tesla's earnings report was lower than expected, and production capacity was the biggest problem.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MVIS\">Vision Image</a>A pre-market surge has turned to a 3% decline.</b>The stock closed up more than 47% yesterday. According to the data, in the past four trading days, the stock price of Vision Image has risen by more than 150%, and it is currently a popular target in the American retail forum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1892737c036a1ff1a219a2e61b51\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>It rose by more than 9% before the market, after completing the issuance of shares in the market (ATM) plan, selling 3.5 million shares and raising about $551 million.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel</a>It rose by more than 8% before the market, and the company's net profit in Q1 2021 was US$4.792 billion, compared with the expected US$1.477 billion.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Lilly</a>It fell by more than 3% before the market, the first quarter results were less than expected, and the sales of COVID-19 antibody therapy drugs were not as satisfactory as expected.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">General Electric</a>It fell nearly 3% premarket. GE's revenue for the first quarter of 2021 was $17.1 billion, compared to market expectations of $17.518 billion and $20.524 billion in the same period last year. Loss of $0.33 per share in the first quarter, compared to the market expectation of a loss of $0.09.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>It rose 0.69% premarket. According to Nikkei News, citing sources, Apple's next-generation processor \"M2\" has entered the mass production stage this month, and the manufacturer is TSMC, which will be shipped as early as July.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">HSBC</a>It rose more than 3% before the market. HSBC Holdings announced at noon today that its adjusted pre-tax profit for the first quarter rose 109% year-on-year to $6.4 billion, higher than market expectations of $4.3 billion. The bank earlier announced that it would not distribute quarterly Dividend in 2021, but it would consider whether to declare a Dividend when it announces its 2021 interim results in August.</p><p>Bitcoin price rebounds, blockchain concept moves higher.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Patent</a>up 2.96%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>up 2.42%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>up 2.60%; China Concept Stock<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>up 3.07%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose by more than 4%.</p><p><b>[Bulk Commodities]</b></p><p>◆ International oil prices rebounded slightly. Weekend car trips in the United States, China and Britain helped boost petrol demand, but the recovery was suppressed by rising COVID cases elsewhere, particularly in India.</p><p>As of press time, the price of WTI crude oil futures was reported at 62.33 yuan/barrel, up 0.68%; Brent crude was trading at $65.44 a barrel, up 0.63%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b256e32d69981bd997b813250036c40\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>◆ Gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Although the out-of-control epidemic in India enhanced the safe-haven function of gold, the yield of U.S. bonds rose for the third consecutive day, limiting the rise of gold prices.</p><p>As of press time, the international gold futures price was reported at $1,781.75/oz, an increase of 0.09%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0203a4301f98c5f60308d4ce4c0b56fe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165240928","content_text":"4月27日（周二），美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨，纳指期货领涨。美联储将于今日召开为期两天的货币政策会议，外界普遍预计美联储不会改变政策，但随着复苏迹象越来越明显，美联储的指引可能会有所调整。【盘前行情】热门中概股跟谁学盘前涨超1%，消息称学而思网校、猿辅导、高途课堂等已经全面下架学前课程。新能源车概念股盘前小幅走高。蔚来涨超1%，今日蔚来官方宣布：公司遭受大量有组织网络谣言攻击，妄言、影射上海车展某品牌维权事件与蔚来有关。相关传言纯系造谣。理想汽车涨0.58%，小鹏汽车涨0.18%。重要美股特斯拉盘前跌超2%，此前发布第一季度总营收103.89亿美元，同比增长74%；大摩称特斯拉财报低于预期，产能是最大问题。维视图像盘前一度飙升，现转为下跌3%。该股昨日收涨超47%。数据显示，近四个交易日，维视图像股价已经累涨超过150%，目前是美国散户论坛中的热门标的。游戏驿站盘前涨超9%，此前完成在市场上发行（ATM）股票发行计划，出售350万股股票，筹资约5.51亿美元。联合包裹盘前涨超8%，公司2021年Q1净利润47.92亿美元，预期14.77亿美元。礼来盘前跌超3%，第一季度业绩不及预期，新冠病毒抗体疗法药物销量未如理想。通用电气盘前跌近3%。通用电气2021年第一季度营收171亿美元，市场预期175.18亿美元，去年同期205.24亿美元。第一季度每股亏损0.33美元，市场预期亏损0.09美元。苹果盘前涨0.69%。据日经新闻援引消息人士报道，苹果下一代处理器“M2”已经在本月进入大规模生产阶段，生产商为台积电，最早将于7月出货。汇丰盘前涨超3%。汇丰控股今日午间公布，一季度经调整税前利润同比增长109%至64亿美元，高于市场预期的43亿美元。该行早前宣布2021年将不会派发季度股息，但会于8月公布2021年中期业绩时，考虑是否宣派一次股息。比特币价格反弹，区块链概念走高。Marathon Patent涨2.96%，Riot Blockchain涨2.42%，Bit Digital Inc涨2.60%；中概股嘉楠科技涨3.07%，第九城市涨超4%。【大宗商品】◆国际油价小幅反弹。美国、中国与英国周末驾车出行的民众，帮助提振了汽油需求，但这波复苏受到其他地方新冠病例数增加的压抑，尤其是印度。截至发稿，WTI原油期货价格报62.33元/桶，涨幅0.68%；布伦特原油报65.44美元每桶，涨幅0.63%。◆黄金价格窄幅震荡。尽管印度疫情失控提升黄金避险功能，但美债收益率连续第三天走高，限制了金价升幅。截至发稿，国际黄金期货价格报1781.75美元/盎司，涨幅0.09%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371809928,"gmtCreate":1618925146764,"gmtModify":1704716948878,"author":{"id":"3581536785343404","authorId":"3581536785343404","name":"虎来虎去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1b92bce7d07308477690794a6c0be6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581536785343404","idStr":"3581536785343404"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371809928","repostId":"2128581952","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128581952","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618887583,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2128581952?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-20 10:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"When will the Fed reduce the size and ease? Focus on this critical node","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128581952","media":"金十数据","summary":"今年夏季全民免疫的前后，留意市场的缩减QE预期变化。","content":"<p>The tide rises and flows, and the Tao follows nature. Under the expectation of inflation, Brazilian, Russian, Turkish and other central banks have started a trip to rate hike. The recent economic data of the United States, which is at zero interest rate, has recovered strongly, but the Federal Reserve remains on hold. When its monetary policy will be withdrawn and whether it can achieve a soft landing will become the key to the normalization of global economy and policies after the epidemic, and will have an important impact on the market.</p><p>I. When will the tide be low?</p><p><b>Employment</b>And<b>Inflation</b>Are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by<b>Vaccination</b>Impact of the process. For example, St. Louis Fed President Bullard made it clear,<b>Successfully getting 75% of Americans vaccinated is necessary for the Fed to consider tapering its bond-buying program</b>。 Recently, the new epidemic situation in the United States seems to be slowly picking up, but it is mainly related to the relaxation of lockdown control and may not represent the trend.</p><p>The current rate of vaccination in the United States is extremely rapid, with nearly 40% of the population completing at least one vaccination. According to preliminary estimates of medical experts, this summer the United States and some European countries may achieve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">the whole people</a>Immunity. What impact will this have on future employment and inflation?</p><p>Table 1. Estimated time of universal immunization in the United States and Europe</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8240dce2e5a00e2168fcf2cf9783e8c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Compiled by the author</p><p><b>From an employment perspective</b>The number of job vacancies in the United States has basically returned to the pre-epidemic level. The PMI of manufacturing industry has reached the highest value since 1984, and the PMI of service industry has also reached the highest value since 2006. The demand in the job market has been very strong. With the liberalization of lockdown measures in the future and the subsidies for residents fading, the unemployed are expected to return to the work field quickly, and the labor participation rate may increase significantly.</p><p><b>In terms of inflation</b>In the future, the accelerated recovery of service consumption in the United States will drive core inflation to rise rapidly. Although prices such as medical care may fall back, prices in more areas suppressed by the epidemic, such as transportation and tourism, will increase significantly. The continuous rise in house prices will also be transmitted to the lag of rent prices. With the influence of superimposed base, the inflation center is expected to continue to rise and remain above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p>Figure 1. Timing of policy exit</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f02059556ac8dd9424ff4378fb0d5c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source : Wind, Our World in Data</p><p>Second, how to ebbing the tide?</p><p>Looking back at the last round of monetary policy withdrawal, Bernanke first mentioned the reduction of bond purchases in May 2013, and it was not until December of that year that the withdrawal started. The process took about seven months. In comparison, the current rate of improvement of economic indicators will be significantly faster than in 2013, and inflation will continue to be above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p><b><u>The withdrawal speed of this round of quantitative widening policy may be faster than that of the same period in 2013, and the possibility of withdrawal in the fourth quarter is not ruled out. Of course, before exit operations, there is often a heating up process of market constant anticipation of exits and Fed-guided discussions, which may occur around the time of universal immunization this summer.</u></b></p><p>Figure 2. Steps for policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f71b8f322bd9a0bc96ecccbea3297d6\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p><b><u>It is worth mentioning that the moment when the policy withdrawal has the most severe impact is not the stage when the Fed's \"real money\" starts to operate, but when the expectation heats up.</u></b>At this time, the long-term interest rate often shows an obvious upward trend. When the Fed really exits, the long-term interest rate may slow down due to the excessive adjustment in the early stage. Of course, the adjustment of Federal Funds rate may have to wait until next year.</p><p>Figure 3. Impact of policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a336329daae5c4b2c02641a9a9e21691\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p>III. Basic conclusions</p><p><b>One is</b>Employment and inflation are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by the vaccination process at present. According to the preliminary estimate of medical experts,<b>Around this summer, the United States and some European countries may achieve universal immunity. This point may be the starting point for the further improvement of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve to start releasing the withdrawal signal of quantitative easing policy.</b></p><p><b>Second,</b>Historically,<b>The period when the Fed's withdrawal from quantitative easing policy has the most severe impact is not the stage when its \"real money\" begins to operate, but when the market constantly expects and the Fed publicly discusses it before this, when the long-term interest rate rises significantly.</b>However, when the Fed really withdraws from the quantity easing policy, the long-term interest rate may slow down.</p><p><b>Third,</b>Looking ahead, employment remains more of a factor than inflation to influence the Fed's policy exit, especially after changing the institutional framework of 2% inflation tolerance.<b>With the approach of universal immunization in the summer, the market and the Fed's discussion of policy exit may heat up around this point, which may lead to its long-term interest rate continuing to rise</b>It indicates further normalization of global economy and policies.</p><p><hr>This article comes from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">SINA</a>Financial Opinion Leaders column, by Wu Ge</p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When will the Fed reduce the size and ease? 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Focus on this critical node\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-20 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The tide rises and flows, and the Tao follows nature. Under the expectation of inflation, Brazilian, Russian, Turkish and other central banks have started a trip to rate hike. The recent economic data of the United States, which is at zero interest rate, has recovered strongly, but the Federal Reserve remains on hold. When its monetary policy will be withdrawn and whether it can achieve a soft landing will become the key to the normalization of global economy and policies after the epidemic, and will have an important impact on the market.</p><p>I. When will the tide be low?</p><p><b>Employment</b>And<b>Inflation</b>Are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by<b>Vaccination</b>Impact of the process. For example, St. Louis Fed President Bullard made it clear,<b>Successfully getting 75% of Americans vaccinated is necessary for the Fed to consider tapering its bond-buying program</b>。 Recently, the new epidemic situation in the United States seems to be slowly picking up, but it is mainly related to the relaxation of lockdown control and may not represent the trend.</p><p>The current rate of vaccination in the United States is extremely rapid, with nearly 40% of the population completing at least one vaccination. According to preliminary estimates of medical experts, this summer the United States and some European countries may achieve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QC7.SI\">the whole people</a>Immunity. What impact will this have on future employment and inflation?</p><p>Table 1. Estimated time of universal immunization in the United States and Europe</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8240dce2e5a00e2168fcf2cf9783e8c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Compiled by the author</p><p><b>From an employment perspective</b>The number of job vacancies in the United States has basically returned to the pre-epidemic level. The PMI of manufacturing industry has reached the highest value since 1984, and the PMI of service industry has also reached the highest value since 2006. The demand in the job market has been very strong. With the liberalization of lockdown measures in the future and the subsidies for residents fading, the unemployed are expected to return to the work field quickly, and the labor participation rate may increase significantly.</p><p><b>In terms of inflation</b>In the future, the accelerated recovery of service consumption in the United States will drive core inflation to rise rapidly. Although prices such as medical care may fall back, prices in more areas suppressed by the epidemic, such as transportation and tourism, will increase significantly. The continuous rise in house prices will also be transmitted to the lag of rent prices. With the influence of superimposed base, the inflation center is expected to continue to rise and remain above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p>Figure 1. Timing of policy exit</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f02059556ac8dd9424ff4378fb0d5c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source : Wind, Our World in Data</p><p>Second, how to ebbing the tide?</p><p>Looking back at the last round of monetary policy withdrawal, Bernanke first mentioned the reduction of bond purchases in May 2013, and it was not until December of that year that the withdrawal started. The process took about seven months. In comparison, the current rate of improvement of economic indicators will be significantly faster than in 2013, and inflation will continue to be above the traditional target of 2%.</p><p><b><u>The withdrawal speed of this round of quantitative widening policy may be faster than that of the same period in 2013, and the possibility of withdrawal in the fourth quarter is not ruled out. Of course, before exit operations, there is often a heating up process of market constant anticipation of exits and Fed-guided discussions, which may occur around the time of universal immunization this summer.</u></b></p><p>Figure 2. Steps for policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f71b8f322bd9a0bc96ecccbea3297d6\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p><b><u>It is worth mentioning that the moment when the policy withdrawal has the most severe impact is not the stage when the Fed's \"real money\" starts to operate, but when the expectation heats up.</u></b>At this time, the long-term interest rate often shows an obvious upward trend. When the Fed really exits, the long-term interest rate may slow down due to the excessive adjustment in the early stage. Of course, the adjustment of Federal Funds rate may have to wait until next year.</p><p>Figure 3. Impact of policy withdrawal</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a336329daae5c4b2c02641a9a9e21691\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Wind</p><p>III. Basic conclusions</p><p><b>One is</b>Employment and inflation are the two core variables that determine the ebb of monetary policy, but they are both affected by the vaccination process at present. According to the preliminary estimate of medical experts,<b>Around this summer, the United States and some European countries may achieve universal immunity. This point may be the starting point for the further improvement of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve to start releasing the withdrawal signal of quantitative easing policy.</b></p><p><b>Second,</b>Historically,<b>The period when the Fed's withdrawal from quantitative easing policy has the most severe impact is not the stage when its \"real money\" begins to operate, but when the market constantly expects and the Fed publicly discusses it before this, when the long-term interest rate rises significantly.</b>However, when the Fed really withdraws from the quantity easing policy, the long-term interest rate may slow down.</p><p><b>Third,</b>Looking ahead, employment remains more of a factor than inflation to influence the Fed's policy exit, especially after changing the institutional framework of 2% inflation tolerance.<b>With the approach of universal immunization in the summer, the market and the Fed's discussion of policy exit may heat up around this point, which may lead to its long-term interest rate continuing to rise</b>It indicates further normalization of global economy and policies.</p><p><hr>This article comes from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">SINA</a>Financial Opinion Leaders column, by Wu Ge</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73391&type=news\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4139259f22c3b054e11cd4afcca1c8","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73391&type=news","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128581952","content_text":"潮起潮落，道法自然。通胀预期之下，巴西、俄罗斯、土耳其等央行已经开启加息之旅。身处零利率的美国近期经济数据强劲回升，但联储依然按兵不动。其货币政策何时退出，能否实现软着陆，成为疫后全球经济及政策是否正常化的关键，并将对市场产生重要影响。\n一、何时退潮？\n就业和通胀是决定货币政策退潮的两个核心变量，但当下都受到疫苗接种进程的影响。例如，圣路易斯联储主席布拉德明确表示，成功地让75%的美国人接种疫苗是美联储考虑缩减购债计划的必要条件。近期美国新增疫情似有缓慢回升态势，但主要与封锁管制放松相关，未必代表趋势。\n当前美国疫苗接种速度极快，已有近40%的人口完成了至少一次接种。据医学专家初步预计，今年夏季美国及部分欧洲国家可能实现全民免疫。这对未来就业和通胀会产生什么影响呢？\n表1． 美、欧全民免疫的时间估计\n\n来源：笔者整理\n从就业来看，美国职位空缺数已基本回至疫前，制造业PMI创1984年以来最高值，服务业PMI也是2006年来最高，就业市场需求已十分强劲。随着未来封锁措施的放开以及对居民端的补助消退，失业人群有望快速回归工作领域，劳动参与率可能明显提升。\n从通胀来看，未来美国服务消费修复加快将带动核心通胀较快上升。尽管医疗等价格或将回落，但交通、旅游等更多受疫情抑制领域的价格将明显上涨。房价的连续攀升也将向房租价格滞后传导。叠加基数影响，通胀中枢有望继续抬升并持续高于2%的传统目标。\n图1． 政策退出的时点\n\n来源：Wind，Our World in Data\n二、如何退潮？\n回顾上一轮的货币政策退出，2013年5月伯南克首次提及缩减购债，直到当年12月才开启退出，该过程经历了7个月左右。相较而言，当前各项经济指标的改善速率将显著快于2013年，且通胀将持续高于2%的传统目标。\n本轮量宽政策退出的速度或快于2013年同期，不排除四季度开始退出的可能。当然，在退出操作之前，往往有一个市场不断预期退出和联储引导讨论的升温过程，可能会发生在今年夏季全民免疫的前后。\n图2． 政策退出的步骤\n\n来源：Wind\n值得一提的是，政策退出影响最为剧烈的时刻，并非联储“真金白银”开始操作的阶段，而是该预期升温的时候。此时，长端利率往往呈现明显上升的态势。而当联储真正进行退出操作时，长端利率反而可能由于前期的过度调整进而出现涨幅趋缓。当然，联邦基金利率的调整可能要等到明后年。\n图3． 政策退出的影响\n\n来源：Wind\n三、基本结论\n一是就业和通胀是决定货币政策退潮的两个核心变量，但当下都受到疫苗接种进程的影响。据医学专家初步预计，今年夏季前后美国及部分欧洲国家可能实现全民免疫，这个时点或许就是美国经济进一步好转及美联储开始释放量化宽松政策退出信号的起点。\n二是历史来看，美联储退出量化宽松政策影响最剧烈的时期，并非其“真金白银”开始操作的阶段，而是在此之前市场不断预期以及联储公开讨论的时候，这时长端利率显著抬升。而当联储真正进行退出量宽政策操作时，长端利率反而可能出现涨幅趋缓现象。\n三是展望未来，就业仍是比通胀更能影响联储政策退出的因素，尤其是改变2%通胀容忍度的制度框架后。随着夏季全民免疫的临近，市场和联储有关政策退出的讨论或将在该时点前后升温，可能引致其长端利率继续上行，预示全球经济与政策进一步正常化。\n\n本文来自新浪财经意见领袖专栏，作者伍戈","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379264940,"gmtCreate":1618748410580,"gmtModify":1704714553479,"author":{"id":"3581536785343404","authorId":"3581536785343404","name":"虎来虎去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1b92bce7d07308477690794a6c0be6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581536785343404","idStr":"3581536785343404"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379264940","repostId":"1198410511","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198410511","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618831731,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198410511?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-19 19:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Preview of Apple's Spring Conference: Which new products will be held at this \"Science and Technology Spring Festival Evening\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198410511","media":"CSDN","summary":"苹果春季发布会定档 北京时间4月21日凌晨1点。","content":"<p>Spring is full of good time, once a year<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>The spring launch comes in the spring. Not long ago, Apple officially announced that this conference would be scheduled at 1: 00 a.m. on April 21st. On the eve of the conference, we may wish to know in advance about a wave of new products that will appear in this conference through the big news at home and abroad.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a0fece4554a9679bf8d9057401f3db0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00ed238724a9e65ebdd76ef29f452a26\" tg-width=\"107\" tg-height=\"38\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The new iPad Pro may be equipped with A14X, Mini LED, and the overall price will rise</b></p><p>If this conference is bound to release a new product, then the new iPad will certainly not be absent. Looking back at the past few Apple's spring conferences, iPad is almost the protagonist without exception, and I believe this year is the same.</p><p>It is reported that in terms of design, iPad Pro will not change much this year, and it still uses 11 inches and 12.9 inches.</p><p>In terms of performance, in fact, as early as last year, Apple used A14 chip in iPhone 12 series, while A14 adopted 5nm chip technology, and adopted 6-core CPU design, 4-core GPU and 16-core NPU. Not long after the iPhone 12 chip was introduced, the fourth-generation iPad Air also adopted the chip. Up to now, A14 can also be called Apple's most powerful chip so far.</p><p>At the upcoming press conference, if the new iPad Pro wants to surpass the past, it will inevitably bring an upgraded version of the chip. According to foreign media 9to5Mac, the application of A14X chip was found in the source code of iOS 14.5 Beta. Based on this, it is not difficult to guess that the new iPad Pro will be equipped with a brand-new processor, or named A14X. It is reported that the performance of this processor is on par with that of M1 chip mounted on Mac in the second half of last year.</p><p>Furthermore, the 12.9-inch iPad Pro is expected to come with a new display Mini LED. In this regard, Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said that the 12.9-inch iPad Pro using Mini LED will start mass production in mid-to-late April 2021. At present, Mini LED has been successfully launched in high-end 4K TVs. If the display is applied in iPad Pro, it will undoubtedly achieve higher contrast, brightness, color and other performance improvements.</p><p>Unfortunately, according to the foreign media \"Nikkei Asia\", due to the global chip shortage, the delivery of some important components in iPad and MacBook is delayed, which may also delay the release of new products.</p><p>However, the latest news says that Apple supplier Ennostar has greatly improved the yield of mini-LED chips and is on track to expand production of its iPad Pro from later this month.</p><p>In addition, Apple will also enhance the camera of iPad Pro. At the same time, according to the foreign news, Mr `White, its accessory Apple Pencil will also be upgraded, and the new Apple Pencil has a smoother surface and a longer tip. In fact, through the invitation letter of this conference, many netizens speculated that it was drawn through Apple Pencil.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8803141b517340abf7055a8737544f53\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As for the pricing of the new iPad Pro, although no news has been revealed at present, it is not difficult to imagine that the price of iPad Pro will rise this year. There are two reasons. First, the new iPad Pro can support 5G networks; Second, this product is expected to be equipped with more powerful A14X chip and Mini LED display. However, the current global chip shortage problem is difficult to solve in a short time, so it is expected that the hardware cost will rise.</p><p><b>New and upgraded iPad mini</b></p><p>If in 2019, the iPad mini equipped with A12 processor is full of sincerity, then the iPad mini released again at Apple's spring conference in 2021 continues to use this chip, which is an absolute perfunctory user.</p><p>Therefore, if this conference brings a new iPad mini, it is estimated that the \"new\" of them should focus on upgrading its processor. Some people speculate that it is very likely to be equipped with A14 bionic chip.</p><p>But relatively speaking, the design of iPad mini products has always been not so attractive, and the huge frame has made many users spit that its screen-to-body ratio is too low. Many users also said that if it is updated, they hope that Apple can increase the screen size without changing the actual size of the device.</p><p>In this regard, according to foreign media reports, the new iPad mini will adopt a full-screen scheme, and the frame will also be improved, which will be changed from the original arc design to the right-angle trimming design.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c8edef74e050bcd251dccdc4c475ce3\" tg-width=\"109\" tg-height=\"40\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>MacBook equipped with Apple's self-developed chip, will it appear this time?</b></p><p>At WWDC 2020, Apple announced that it would gradually move Macs from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>The x86 processor platform was migrated to the Apple Silicon platform with ARM64 architecture.</p><p>In the second half of last year, Apple also changed its usual and held three press conferences in three months. During this period, it also updated the configurations of MacBook Air, MacBook Pro and Mac mini. In order to speed up the initial transition goal, it is expected that Apple will still have the latest moves next.</p><p>According to foreign media reports, Apple plans to launch a higher-end MacBook Pro and the latest iMac this year, while Mac Pro desktops are expected to use Apple Silicon chips in 2022.</p><p>Additionally, the MacBook Pro is expected to upgrade its 13-inch appearance to a 14-inch, along with a 16-inch design. At the same time, in addition to the 12.9-inch iPad Pro mentioned above, which will be equipped with Mini LED display, it is reported that the new MacBook Pro will also give up the long-used LCD screen and switch to Mini LED. The choice was made because the application of Mini LED also helps to improve battery performance.</p><p>The new MacBook Pro will also feature the next version of the M1, the M2, or M1X chip as it is called. It is reported that the new Apple Silicon chip will have 12 cores, including 8 performance cores and 4 efficient cores.</p><p>However, many whistleblowers said that the MacBook Pro and Air are expected to launch in the second half of the year, so if you see a Mac at this spring conference, it may be a new iMac.</p><p>It is reported that Apple is developing a newly designed iMac, which has more screen space, different body shapes, and brings Apple Sillicon upgrades and other improvements. It is expected that Apple may take a similar approach to last year, starting with the low-profile iMac and then gradually rolling out high-end models with the M1X.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that not long ago, Apple just announced that it would stop producing iMac Pro products, which can also be understood from the side as making way for the new version of iMac.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/063945dbbd12be21c1cadd573cb82e8b\" tg-width=\"111\" tg-height=\"38\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Introducing the old, HomePod with screen coming soon?</b></p><p>At the autumn conference of 2017, Apple released its first HomePod product. However, what I never expected was that only four years later, it ushered in the fate of \"while supplies last\". Last month, Apple officially announced the discontinuation of production<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>Speaker product HomePod, officials said that the company will continue to produce and focus on the HomePod mini launched last year.</p><p>Looking back at the birth and demise of HomePod, as a product that Apple took five years to develop, it has a built-in A8 processor, 6 microphone arrays, 4-inch subwoofer and 7 speaker arrays at the bottom. Among the same type of products, it can be said to surpass other smart speakers in the market in terms of sound quality. However, in the end, the initial price of $349 discouraged many people. At the same time, due to the lack of third-party ecological support, lack of intelligence and other factors, Apple eventually missed the market.</p><p>Now, according to Bloomberg, Apple is developing two new HomePod products, citing people familiar with Apple's plans as describing HomePod as related to \"screen\".</p><p>One is called HomePod TV, which can run tvOS through this product and can output high-definition pictures to Apple TV. The other is an iPad-sized screen built into the HomePod through the structure of a robotic arm.</p><p>In fact, Apple has previously explored connecting an iPad-like screen to a robotic arm that can track users and always follow them as they move through the space they are in. The product will also be equipped with a microphone and camera to enable video conferencing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466bee4cc81b16871ed0275d4d0a5964\" tg-width=\"109\" tg-height=\"39\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Conceptual product AirTag, can it become a reality this time?</b></p><p>AirTag, as an item tracker, can be hung on some items. When the items are lost, they can also be found through iPhone location when the network is offline in time. All along, though, this technology has lived in legend.</p><p>It was first discovered because in early April, Apple uploaded a video on its YouTube channel instructing users on how to use \"Find My iPhone\" that showed AirTag traces:</p><p>Turning on Offline Search allows the iPhone and AirTag to be found without Wi-Fi connection.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e029f34e065120da60bc25118ae2d182\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Sadly, now the video has been removed. But there are still rumors that the technology foundation achieved by the AirTag will rely on the features Apple has recently added to the U1 ultra-wideband chip.</p><p>Meanwhile, Apple announced that the iPhone will soon be able to track missing items using the built-in Find My app. The software is ready, can the hardware be far behind?</p><p>Are you looking forward to the above new products?</p>","source":"lsy1578046468581","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Preview of Apple's Spring Conference: Which new products will be held at this \"Science and Technology Spring Festival Evening\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPreview of Apple's Spring Conference: Which new products will be held at this \"Science and Technology Spring Festival Evening\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CSDN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-19 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Spring is full of good time, once a year<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>The spring launch comes in the spring. Not long ago, Apple officially announced that this conference would be scheduled at 1: 00 a.m. on April 21st. On the eve of the conference, we may wish to know in advance about a wave of new products that will appear in this conference through the big news at home and abroad.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a0fece4554a9679bf8d9057401f3db0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00ed238724a9e65ebdd76ef29f452a26\" tg-width=\"107\" tg-height=\"38\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>The new iPad Pro may be equipped with A14X, Mini LED, and the overall price will rise</b></p><p>If this conference is bound to release a new product, then the new iPad will certainly not be absent. Looking back at the past few Apple's spring conferences, iPad is almost the protagonist without exception, and I believe this year is the same.</p><p>It is reported that in terms of design, iPad Pro will not change much this year, and it still uses 11 inches and 12.9 inches.</p><p>In terms of performance, in fact, as early as last year, Apple used A14 chip in iPhone 12 series, while A14 adopted 5nm chip technology, and adopted 6-core CPU design, 4-core GPU and 16-core NPU. Not long after the iPhone 12 chip was introduced, the fourth-generation iPad Air also adopted the chip. Up to now, A14 can also be called Apple's most powerful chip so far.</p><p>At the upcoming press conference, if the new iPad Pro wants to surpass the past, it will inevitably bring an upgraded version of the chip. According to foreign media 9to5Mac, the application of A14X chip was found in the source code of iOS 14.5 Beta. Based on this, it is not difficult to guess that the new iPad Pro will be equipped with a brand-new processor, or named A14X. It is reported that the performance of this processor is on par with that of M1 chip mounted on Mac in the second half of last year.</p><p>Furthermore, the 12.9-inch iPad Pro is expected to come with a new display Mini LED. In this regard, Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said that the 12.9-inch iPad Pro using Mini LED will start mass production in mid-to-late April 2021. At present, Mini LED has been successfully launched in high-end 4K TVs. If the display is applied in iPad Pro, it will undoubtedly achieve higher contrast, brightness, color and other performance improvements.</p><p>Unfortunately, according to the foreign media \"Nikkei Asia\", due to the global chip shortage, the delivery of some important components in iPad and MacBook is delayed, which may also delay the release of new products.</p><p>However, the latest news says that Apple supplier Ennostar has greatly improved the yield of mini-LED chips and is on track to expand production of its iPad Pro from later this month.</p><p>In addition, Apple will also enhance the camera of iPad Pro. At the same time, according to the foreign news, Mr `White, its accessory Apple Pencil will also be upgraded, and the new Apple Pencil has a smoother surface and a longer tip. In fact, through the invitation letter of this conference, many netizens speculated that it was drawn through Apple Pencil.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8803141b517340abf7055a8737544f53\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As for the pricing of the new iPad Pro, although no news has been revealed at present, it is not difficult to imagine that the price of iPad Pro will rise this year. There are two reasons. First, the new iPad Pro can support 5G networks; Second, this product is expected to be equipped with more powerful A14X chip and Mini LED display. However, the current global chip shortage problem is difficult to solve in a short time, so it is expected that the hardware cost will rise.</p><p><b>New and upgraded iPad mini</b></p><p>If in 2019, the iPad mini equipped with A12 processor is full of sincerity, then the iPad mini released again at Apple's spring conference in 2021 continues to use this chip, which is an absolute perfunctory user.</p><p>Therefore, if this conference brings a new iPad mini, it is estimated that the \"new\" of them should focus on upgrading its processor. Some people speculate that it is very likely to be equipped with A14 bionic chip.</p><p>But relatively speaking, the design of iPad mini products has always been not so attractive, and the huge frame has made many users spit that its screen-to-body ratio is too low. Many users also said that if it is updated, they hope that Apple can increase the screen size without changing the actual size of the device.</p><p>In this regard, according to foreign media reports, the new iPad mini will adopt a full-screen scheme, and the frame will also be improved, which will be changed from the original arc design to the right-angle trimming design.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c8edef74e050bcd251dccdc4c475ce3\" tg-width=\"109\" tg-height=\"40\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>MacBook equipped with Apple's self-developed chip, will it appear this time?</b></p><p>At WWDC 2020, Apple announced that it would gradually move Macs from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>The x86 processor platform was migrated to the Apple Silicon platform with ARM64 architecture.</p><p>In the second half of last year, Apple also changed its usual and held three press conferences in three months. During this period, it also updated the configurations of MacBook Air, MacBook Pro and Mac mini. In order to speed up the initial transition goal, it is expected that Apple will still have the latest moves next.</p><p>According to foreign media reports, Apple plans to launch a higher-end MacBook Pro and the latest iMac this year, while Mac Pro desktops are expected to use Apple Silicon chips in 2022.</p><p>Additionally, the MacBook Pro is expected to upgrade its 13-inch appearance to a 14-inch, along with a 16-inch design. At the same time, in addition to the 12.9-inch iPad Pro mentioned above, which will be equipped with Mini LED display, it is reported that the new MacBook Pro will also give up the long-used LCD screen and switch to Mini LED. The choice was made because the application of Mini LED also helps to improve battery performance.</p><p>The new MacBook Pro will also feature the next version of the M1, the M2, or M1X chip as it is called. It is reported that the new Apple Silicon chip will have 12 cores, including 8 performance cores and 4 efficient cores.</p><p>However, many whistleblowers said that the MacBook Pro and Air are expected to launch in the second half of the year, so if you see a Mac at this spring conference, it may be a new iMac.</p><p>It is reported that Apple is developing a newly designed iMac, which has more screen space, different body shapes, and brings Apple Sillicon upgrades and other improvements. It is expected that Apple may take a similar approach to last year, starting with the low-profile iMac and then gradually rolling out high-end models with the M1X.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that not long ago, Apple just announced that it would stop producing iMac Pro products, which can also be understood from the side as making way for the new version of iMac.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/063945dbbd12be21c1cadd573cb82e8b\" tg-width=\"111\" tg-height=\"38\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Introducing the old, HomePod with screen coming soon?</b></p><p>At the autumn conference of 2017, Apple released its first HomePod product. However, what I never expected was that only four years later, it ushered in the fate of \"while supplies last\". Last month, Apple officially announced the discontinuation of production<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>Speaker product HomePod, officials said that the company will continue to produce and focus on the HomePod mini launched last year.</p><p>Looking back at the birth and demise of HomePod, as a product that Apple took five years to develop, it has a built-in A8 processor, 6 microphone arrays, 4-inch subwoofer and 7 speaker arrays at the bottom. Among the same type of products, it can be said to surpass other smart speakers in the market in terms of sound quality. However, in the end, the initial price of $349 discouraged many people. At the same time, due to the lack of third-party ecological support, lack of intelligence and other factors, Apple eventually missed the market.</p><p>Now, according to Bloomberg, Apple is developing two new HomePod products, citing people familiar with Apple's plans as describing HomePod as related to \"screen\".</p><p>One is called HomePod TV, which can run tvOS through this product and can output high-definition pictures to Apple TV. The other is an iPad-sized screen built into the HomePod through the structure of a robotic arm.</p><p>In fact, Apple has previously explored connecting an iPad-like screen to a robotic arm that can track users and always follow them as they move through the space they are in. The product will also be equipped with a microphone and camera to enable video conferencing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466bee4cc81b16871ed0275d4d0a5964\" tg-width=\"109\" tg-height=\"39\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Conceptual product AirTag, can it become a reality this time?</b></p><p>AirTag, as an item tracker, can be hung on some items. When the items are lost, they can also be found through iPhone location when the network is offline in time. All along, though, this technology has lived in legend.</p><p>It was first discovered because in early April, Apple uploaded a video on its YouTube channel instructing users on how to use \"Find My iPhone\" that showed AirTag traces:</p><p>Turning on Offline Search allows the iPhone and AirTag to be found without Wi-Fi connection.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e029f34e065120da60bc25118ae2d182\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Sadly, now the video has been removed. But there are still rumors that the technology foundation achieved by the AirTag will rely on the features Apple has recently added to the U1 ultra-wideband chip.</p><p>Meanwhile, Apple announced that the iPhone will soon be able to track missing items using the built-in Find My app. The software is ready, can the hardware be far behind?</p><p>Are you looking forward to the above new products?</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/KCzeZhdfNzp-wiLRCwnbRw\">CSDN</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e968cc2fa9a8fe30f2575d1147007bba","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/KCzeZhdfNzp-wiLRCwnbRw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198410511","content_text":"春意盎然好时节，一年一度的苹果春季发布会踏春而来。不久前，苹果官宣将此次发布会定档 4 月 21 日凌晨 1 点，而在召开前夕，我们通过国内外的爆料大神，不妨提前了解一波本次发布会将会出现的新品。新款 iPad Pro 或将搭载 A14X、Mini LED，整体价格将上涨如果说这次发布会必然要发布一款新品，那么新款 iPad 肯定不会缺席。回看过往几届的苹果春季发布会，iPad 无一例外几乎都是主角，相信今年也是如此。有爆料称，在设计上，今年 iPad Pro 不会有太大变动，依然采用的是 11 英寸和 12.9 英寸。在性能方面，事实上，早在去年，苹果在 iPhone 12 系列中使用了 A14 芯片，而 A14 采用了 5nm 芯片工艺，且采用了 6 核 CPU 设计、4 核 GPU、16 核 NPU。在 iPhone 12 芯片推出不久后，第四代 iPad Air 也采用了这款芯片。截止目前，也可以将 A14 称之为是苹果迄今为止功能最为强大的芯片。而在即将到来的发布会上，新款 iPad Pro 想要超越过往，必然也会带来芯片的升级版，据外媒 9to5Mac 报道，在 iOS 14.5 Beta 的源代码中，发现了 A14X芯片的应用。基于此，也不难猜测，新款 iPad Pro 将搭载一种全新处理器，或命名为 A14X ，据悉，该处理器的性能与去年下半年 Mac 上搭载的 M1 芯片性能不分上下。此外，12.9 英寸的 iPad Pro 有望搭载一种新的显示屏 Mini LED。对此，苹果分析师郭明池表示，12.9 英寸使用 Mini LED 的 iPad Pro 将在 2021 年 4 月中下旬开始量产。目前，Mini LED 已经搭载在高端的 4K 电视中成功面市，如果该显示屏应用在 iPad Pro 中，无疑也会实现更高的对比度、亮度、色彩以及其他一些性能提升。遗憾的是，据外媒《Nikkei Asia》报道，因为全球芯片短缺，导致 iPad、MacBook 中一些重要组件延迟交付，也可能会让新品延迟发布。不过，最新消息称，苹果供应商 Ennostar 已经大大地提高了 mini-LED 芯片的良率，有望从本月稍晚些时候扩大其 iPad Pro 的产量。除此之外，苹果也会增强 iPad Pro 的摄像头，同时据国外爆料大神 Mr`White 表示，其配件 Apple Pencil 也会全新升级，且新款 Apple Pencil 具有更光滑的表面以及更长的笔尖。实际上，通过本次发布会的邀请函，就有不少网友猜测，是通过 Apple Pencil 画出来的。至于新款 iPad Pro 的定价，目前虽然没有任何消息透露出来，不过，也不难想象今年的 iPad Pro 价格会有所上涨。原因有二，其一，新款 iPad Pro 可以支持 5G 网络；其二，该产品预期搭载功能更强大的 A14X 芯片、Mini LED 显示屏，然而当前全球芯片短缺问题难以在短期之内解决，因此导致硬件成本上涨也在意料之中。全新升级的 iPad mini如果说 2019 年，iPad mini 搭载 A12 处理器是诚意满满，那么 2021 年苹果春季发布会上再次发布的 iPad mini 继续使用这款芯片那就是绝对的敷衍用户了。因此，如果这次发布会带来新款 iPad mini，那么估计其中的“新”应该重在升级其处理器方面，有人猜测极有可能搭载的是 A14 仿生芯片。但相对而言，一直以来，iPad mini 产品的设计并不是那么吸引人，巨大的边框，让不少用户吐槽其屏占比太低。也有很多用户表示，如果更新，更希望苹果能够在不改变设备实际尺寸的情况下，增加屏幕尺寸才是王道。对此，据外媒报道，新款 iPad mini 或将采用全面屏方案，同时边框也有所改进，将从原来的圆弧设计改为直角切边设计。搭载苹果自研芯片的 MacBook，这次会出现吗？2020 年 WWDC 上，苹果宣布将在两年内将 Mac 电脑逐渐从英特尔的 x86 处理器平台迁移到 ARM64 架构的 Apple Silicon 平台。去年下半年，苹果也一改往常，三个月连开了三场发布会，在此期间，也更新了 MacBook Air、MacBook Pro、Mac mini 三款电脑的配置。为了加快最初设下的过渡目标，预期接下来苹果仍然会有最新的动作。据外媒报道，苹果计划在今年推出更高端的 MacBook Pro 和最新的 iMac，而 Mac Pro 台式机预期将在 2022 年使用上 Apple Silicon 芯片。此外，MacBook Pro 有望将 13 英寸的外观升级为 14 英寸，同时还有一款 16 英寸的设计。同时，除了上文提到 12.9 英寸的 iPad Pro 将搭载 Mini LED 显示屏之外，有消息称，新款 MacBook Pro 也将放弃使用已久的 LCD 屏，改用 Mini LED。之所以做出这样的选择，是因为 Mini LED 的应用也有助于提高电池性能。新款 MacBook Pro 也将采用 M1 的下一版本 M2，又或者被称之为 M1X 芯片。据悉，新款 Apple Silicon 芯片将具有 12 个内核，其中包括 8 个性能内核和 4 个高效内核。不过，很多爆料者表示，MacBook Pro 和 Air 预计下半年推出，因此在这场春季发布会上，如果看到 Mac 的身影，那么可能是一台新的 iMac。据悉，苹果正在开发一种全新设计的 iMac，该产品具有更多的屏幕空间，不同的机身形状，并带来 Apple Sillicon 升级以及其他改进功能。预计苹果可能会采取与去年相似的方式，从低配的 iMac 开始升级，然后逐步推出搭载 M1X 的高端机型。值得一提的是，不久前，苹果刚刚宣布停止生产 iMac Pro 产品，这也从侧面可以理解为为新版 iMac 让道。推陈出新，带屏幕的 HomePod 即将到来？在 2017 年秋季发布会上，苹果发布首款 HomePod 产品，然而万万没想到的是，仅四年之后，其就迎来了“售完即止”的命运。上个月，苹果正式宣布停产智能音箱产品 HomePod，官方表示，公司将持续生产并专注于去年推出的HomePod mini。回看 HomePod 的诞生与消亡，作为一款苹果耗时 5 年研发的产品，其内置 A8 处理器，搭载 6 个麦克风阵列、4 英寸低音炮、底部配有 7 个扬声器阵列，在同类型产品中，在音质方面，可以说超越了市场上其他智能音箱。然而最终初始 349 美元的价格让很多人望而却步，同时因缺乏第三方生态的支持、不够智能等因素，最终还是导致苹果错失市场。如今，据彭博社爆料，苹果公司正在研发两款 HomePod 新品，其中援引熟悉苹果计划的人所描述的 HomePod 与“屏幕”有关。一款被称之为 HomePod TV，可以通过此产品运行 tvOS，且可以向 Apple TV 上输出高清画面。另外一款是在 HomePod 中通过机械臂的结构内置一块 iPad 大小的屏幕。实际上，Apple 此前已经探索过将类似 iPad 的屏幕与机械臂相连，该机械臂可以跟踪用户并在用户所处的空间中移动时始终跟随用户。此产品还将搭载麦克风和摄像头，用以启用视频会议。概念级产品 AirTag，这次能成为现实吗？AirTag，作为一款物品跟踪器，可以悬挂在一些物品上，当物品丢失的时候，及时在网络离线状态下，也可以通过 iPhone 定位找到。不过，一直以来，这种技术都活在了传说中。首次发现其踪迹还是因为 4 月初，苹果在 YouTube 频道上传了一则指导用户如何使用“Find My iPhone”的视频中显示了 AirTag 的踪迹：开启“离线搜索”可以让 iPhone 和 AirTag 在未连接 Wi-Fi 的情况下被找到。遗憾的是，现在这段视频已经被删除。但是仍然有传言称，AirTag 所实现的技术基础将依赖于苹果公司近期在 U1 超宽带芯片上添加的功能。与此同时，苹果宣布，iPhone 不久将能够使用内置的 Find My 应用程序跟踪丢失的物品。软件已经准备就绪，硬件还会远吗？针对以上的新品，你期待吗？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
