Ninjek personal page - To The Moon

Ninjek

Ninjek

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2022-04-23

$AGNC Investment Corp.(AGNCO)$💯💯💯

2021-06-18

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$❤️

2022-10-16

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Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?

2022-03-11

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Is the Stock Market Correction Over?

2021-09-01

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Feels good

2021-09-20

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ Moon gang

2022-10-26

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7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble

2022-10-25

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2022-05-30

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These 3 Unique Stocks Have Undeniable Long-Term Upside

2022-04-10

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Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$AT&amp;T Inc(T)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$AT&amp;T Inc(T)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$AT&T Inc(T)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d7415c74843d156fc0ac982c135d73aa","width":"906","height":"1459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/499961600041776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":495260472947280,"gmtCreate":1761943786360,"gmtModify":1761943788858,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACHR\">$Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ACHR\">$Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/51aa2bf07beb475df340532958d07c7b","width":"906","height":"1459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/495260472947280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":495260034491136,"gmtCreate":1761943679772,"gmtModify":1761943683127,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CVX\">$Chevron(CVX)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CVX\">$Chevron(CVX)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Chevron(CVX)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd8bee0b33271aeb8307141a476e7d60","width":"906","height":"1459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/495260034491136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":494137045074328,"gmtCreate":1761664992213,"gmtModify":1761664995456,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INTC\">$Intel(INTC)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INTC\">$Intel(INTC)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Intel(INTC)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebe1c7fd91f03401967e95c0c2c338e1","width":"906","height":"1459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/494137045074328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944485167,"gmtCreate":1682016085859,"gmtModify":1682016089053,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944485167","repostId":"9944540551","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944540551,"gmtCreate":1681959920574,"gmtModify":1681960198947,"author":{"id":"3558908080415665","authorId":"3558908080415665","name":"Alvin Chow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abf7014742f3e282e9781e945db75b0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558908080415665","idStr":"3558908080415665"},"themes":[],"title":"Buy India, Bye China?","htmlText":"According to U.N. projections, India's population is expected to reach an estimated 1.4286 billion people in 2023, surpassing mainland China's population of 1.4257 billion, which would make India the most populous country in the world. India not only has the potential to become the most populous country in the world, but it also boasts the largest young population aged between 15 and 24, with a staggering 254 million individuals. This youthful labor force could serve as a critical economic force, potentially driving growth and development for several decades to come. On the other hand, China's population is rapidly aging, with over 12% of its citizens aged 65 and above, compared to India's 6%. Moreover, China's population recently experienced a decline in 2022 for the first time in over 60","listText":"According to U.N. projections, India's population is expected to reach an estimated 1.4286 billion people in 2023, surpassing mainland China's population of 1.4257 billion, which would make India the most populous country in the world. India not only has the potential to become the most populous country in the world, but it also boasts the largest young population aged between 15 and 24, with a staggering 254 million individuals. This youthful labor force could serve as a critical economic force, potentially driving growth and development for several decades to come. On the other hand, China's population is rapidly aging, with over 12% of its citizens aged 65 and above, compared to India's 6%. Moreover, China's population recently experienced a decline in 2022 for the first time in over 60","text":"According to U.N. projections, India's population is expected to reach an estimated 1.4286 billion people in 2023, surpassing mainland China's population of 1.4257 billion, which would make India the most populous country in the world. India not only has the potential to become the most populous country in the world, but it also boasts the largest young population aged between 15 and 24, with a staggering 254 million individuals. This youthful labor force could serve as a critical economic force, potentially driving growth and development for several decades to come. On the other hand, China's population is rapidly aging, with over 12% of its citizens aged 65 and above, compared to India's 6%. Moreover, China's population recently experienced a decline in 2022 for the first time in over 60","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/67ba82685da648a23964a05dde481d92","width":"1456","height":"819"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944540551","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944485334,"gmtCreate":1682016075629,"gmtModify":1682016078737,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944485334","repostId":"9944299024","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944299024,"gmtCreate":1681859907668,"gmtModify":1681862224787,"author":{"id":"4115195212423192","authorId":"4115195212423192","name":"i4value","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d72fe7996384026cd60c7f305f6c3d04","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4115195212423192","idStr":"4115195212423192"},"themes":[],"title":"Martin Marietta Materials - don't be fooled by the revenue","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MLM\">$Martin Marietta Materials(MLM)$</a> is a natural resource-based building materials company. Over the past 17 years, its revenue grew at a 7.1 % CAGR via both organic growth and acquisitions. Over the same period, the US total construction spending only grew at 2.7 % CAGR. You would think that MLM should be analyzed and valued as a growth company. But the following shows that this is not the case: MLM serves a low-growth cyclical construction sector. While its revenue grew faster than construction spending, this was via a combination of acquisitions and product mix changes. The growths and changes did not translate into positive trends for all the metrics that drove returns. ROE declined. Gross profitability also declined. Capital efficiency got worse.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MLM\">$Martin Marietta Materials(MLM)$</a> is a natural resource-based building materials company. Over the past 17 years, its revenue grew at a 7.1 % CAGR via both organic growth and acquisitions. Over the same period, the US total construction spending only grew at 2.7 % CAGR. You would think that MLM should be analyzed and valued as a growth company. But the following shows that this is not the case: MLM serves a low-growth cyclical construction sector. While its revenue grew faster than construction spending, this was via a combination of acquisitions and product mix changes. The growths and changes did not translate into positive trends for all the metrics that drove returns. ROE declined. Gross profitability also declined. Capital efficiency got worse.","text":"$Martin Marietta Materials(MLM)$ is a natural resource-based building materials company. Over the past 17 years, its revenue grew at a 7.1 % CAGR via both organic growth and acquisitions. Over the same period, the US total construction spending only grew at 2.7 % CAGR. You would think that MLM should be analyzed and valued as a growth company. But the following shows that this is not the case: MLM serves a low-growth cyclical construction sector. While its revenue grew faster than construction spending, this was via a combination of acquisitions and product mix changes. The growths and changes did not translate into positive trends for all the metrics that drove returns. ROE declined. Gross profitability also declined. Capital efficiency got worse.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944299024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944485933,"gmtCreate":1682016066423,"gmtModify":1682016070396,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944485933","repostId":"9944533699","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944533699,"gmtCreate":1681908219911,"gmtModify":1681908242556,"author":{"id":"3527667626267411","authorId":"3527667626267411","name":"Value_investing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667626267411","idStr":"3527667626267411"},"themes":[],"title":"Don't worry about ASML after cutback","htmlText":"Just now, the lithography giant ASML <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a> released its Q1 results for 2023, with financial data exceeding market expectations, of which Q1 revenue was 6.746 billion euros, exceeding analysts' expectations of 6.3 billion; Gross margin was 50.6% versus market estimates of 49.8% :Despite the impressive results, ASML shares fell as much as 4.4% in European trading after fears of customer cutbacks materialized as Q1 orders fell 46.2% to $3.75 billion:As a giant of lithography, ASML is in a semiconductor industry with obvious periodicity. From the perspective of the industry chain, lithography machines and other semiconductor equipment are in the upstream of the industry chain, while downstream customers are mainly chip manufacturers","listText":"Just now, the lithography giant ASML <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a> released its Q1 results for 2023, with financial data exceeding market expectations, of which Q1 revenue was 6.746 billion euros, exceeding analysts' expectations of 6.3 billion; Gross margin was 50.6% versus market estimates of 49.8% :Despite the impressive results, ASML shares fell as much as 4.4% in European trading after fears of customer cutbacks materialized as Q1 orders fell 46.2% to $3.75 billion:As a giant of lithography, ASML is in a semiconductor industry with obvious periodicity. From the perspective of the industry chain, lithography machines and other semiconductor equipment are in the upstream of the industry chain, while downstream customers are mainly chip manufacturers","text":"Just now, the lithography giant ASML $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ released its Q1 results for 2023, with financial data exceeding market expectations, of which Q1 revenue was 6.746 billion euros, exceeding analysts' expectations of 6.3 billion; Gross margin was 50.6% versus market estimates of 49.8% :Despite the impressive results, ASML shares fell as much as 4.4% in European trading after fears of customer cutbacks materialized as Q1 orders fell 46.2% to $3.75 billion:As a giant of lithography, ASML is in a semiconductor industry with obvious periodicity. From the perspective of the industry chain, lithography machines and other semiconductor equipment are in the upstream of the industry chain, while downstream customers are mainly chip manufacturers","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98a3b62a924fdd933f8b99393d2e7ad5","width":"867","height":"394"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa2ca589a0ce7ad475ea790de67d9cdb","width":"887","height":"414"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4133a2dfa671c2bb6e7c75113a4143f9","width":"737","height":"373"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944533699","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982658007,"gmtCreate":1667177403509,"gmtModify":1676537870866,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>❤️","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>❤️","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$❤️","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96815be00a4958d5c17472dd28c1bb61","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982658007","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982651474,"gmtCreate":1667177376299,"gmtModify":1676537870858,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982651474","repostId":"1144002858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144002858","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667099313,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144002858?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-30 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144002858","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up d","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>NVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.</li><li>NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness Oracle’s deep data repositories.</li><li>NVDA’s forward valuations look attractive and the risk-reward on the weekly chart does not look too bad.</li><li>However, institutions still continue to shun the stock, and it does not look like it will be an apt rotation candidate for those fishing in the semiconductor or AI arenas.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), a trailblazer in accelerated computing reports under five divisions. Over the years, the Data Center segment has grown to become a vital fulcrum of the overall story. In Q2, this division contributed $3.8bn of revenue (that is more than any other division), accounting for 57% of NVDA’s overall topline.</p><p>When things were moving along quite smoothly here, it was rather dispiriting to note that the company had become a victim of geopolitical tensions between China and the US; in late August/early September, the US government imposed new license requirements which would hinder the ability of NVIDIA to export its A100 and upcoming H100 GPUs without much encumbrances. NVDA is now in the process of working out alternative solutions to mitigate this impact, but the initial reading is that this development could prove to impact revenues to the tune of $400 mper quarter. That would imply a roughly 11% impact on the data center business which is certainly not ideal, particularly when the other large division- gaming, continues to slow down every quarter.</p><p><b>The Implications Of The Nvidia and Oracle Partnership</b></p><p>Whilst NVIDIA continues to figure out the best course of action for the Chinese market going forward, it was heartening to read about another development a few days back- the expansion of an ongoing multiyear alliance with Oracle(ORCL), which is designed to enhance Oracle Cloud Infrastructure’s (OCI) positioning with its enterprise clients (these clients will now have access to all of NVDA’s AI platforms). Needless to say, this will also provide added visibility for NVIDIA’s AI, which can only be good for further and rapid adoption from other parties.</p><p>As part of the<i>“multi-year</i>” deal, OCI will be adding<i>“tens of thousands more NVIDIA GPUs, including the A100 and upcoming H100”.</i>I believe this could be a very symbiotic connection for both entities; we know that ORCL’s databases attract a plethora of companies that use them to store chunks and chunks of raw enterprise data. But just having the data isn’t enough; you need the requisite AI-ready infrastructure, and there are not too many companies that can offer what NVDA does.</p><p>Leave aside the H100 for now, which is still in the works, but using the A100 80GB GPU, OCI could cater to a diverse set of AI workloads for its clients, particularly deep learning training, and the creation of data frames, at 3x the level of an A100 40GB GPU. One can combine the A100 GPU with Oracle’s innate low latency cluster networks and you get a landscape where enterprise clients could potentially host around 500GPUs in a cluster. The “pace” and “scale” at which this mammoth data is harnessed and made sense of (how best can we address gaps in the market, how can we speed up product development, etc.) will likely make this one of the most glimmering partnerships in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998a86b67eade99a5ece0dc7df4cf263\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"598\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NVIDIA Website</p><p>I also feel this partnership with ORCL could more than negate the adverse impact of the recent geopolitical events, although, given the paucity of publicly disclosed numbers, one can’t be too certain of a definitive contract figure.</p><p>For instance, we don’t know the mix of A100 and H100 GPUs this Oracle partnership calls for; to be conservative, I’m considering only the A100 Tensor Core 80GB GPU which is priced at $13,999 as per public data (the H100 which could typically facilitate AI training at 9x the speed of an A100 GPU, will no doubt be priced at much superior rates). Then, “tens of thousands” could be any number from 10000 units to 99000 units, but assuming the A100 80GB GPU pricing, you’re looking at a potential boost of anything from $140m to $1400m. This is also unlikely to be limited to just hardware. There could also be a few additional millions linked to enterprise support work designed to make the AI software run more efficiently, across the subscription period, which could extend for a few years. We&#39;d have to wait for more clarity for the nuances of this deal, and one may likely get it on the 16th of November when they announceQ3results.</p><p><b>Closing Thoughts- Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>After gauging some of the other sub-plots related to the NVIDIA story, it’s fair to say that we’re looking at a rather mixed picture.</p><p>After giving up close to two-thirds of its value from lifetime highs, the forward valuations for NVDA&#39;s stock certainly look a lot more palatable. We know that the FY Jan 2023numberswill likely be nothing to write home about, with flattish revenue growth (roughly $27bn yet again) and a 24% decline in the EPS YoY.</p><p>For the FY Jan 2024 though, the narrative is likely to perk up, with expected revenue of $31.3bn and an EPS of $4.47; this would translate into a forward P/E of roughly 29x, which I believe is quite a steal when you consider that the 5-year average is a lot higher at52x! The current multiple also puts it a lot closer to the lower end of the 5-year forward P/E band of 25-99x.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46f823f616774134a1d1a57a341e959\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>The attractive valuation backdrop can be further substantiated by the level of earnings growth you’re getting at this multiple. An expected EPS of $4.47 translates to 33% bottom line growth, and with a P/E of just 29x, you’re staring at a forward PEG ratio of less than 1x! This feels criminally low for an enterprise which is at the forefront of bringing through critical next-generation tech. I remain doubtful if we will see too many instances where NVDA’s forward P/E is lower than the earnings growth on offer (just for some additional context the 5-year PEG average is above8x).</p><p>When I shift focus to NVIDIA’s weekly chart, there’s no evidence yet of a reversal from the downtrend that has been in play for close to a year. But, if you’re looking for green shoots, there’s decent probability that the stock attempts to build some sort of floor around the current levels, as it coincides with the congestion zone of $120-$160, last seen during August 2020-May 2021. Even if you’re bearish about NVIDIA’s prospects over the long-run, and think the descending channel pattern could continue to persist, the stock still offers decent risk-reward at current levels, as it is a long way from the upper boundary of the descending channel.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdbfeb274e7ac0d1691c9c38a222901\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Investing</p><p>Having said that, I suspect, for the stock to make big moves on the upside you would need the spending power of the institutional cohort; but so far, they’ve shown little inclination to get on board. In fact, the latest data shows that these guys continue to bail on the stock, with the aggregate shares owned by them, declining for yet another month, to $2.579bn.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c41d8d212f6ff24660fe36147fc3a7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>Besides, based solely on the relative strength ratio of the NVIDIA stock and other options in the semi space, it doesn’t look like the former will be a prime rotational candidate; as you can see from the image below, despite correction from the +1 levels, the current RS ratio of NVDA and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is still above the mid-point (0.55x) of the long-term range.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a844d2391e727795028c14003148672\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stockcharts</p><p>A similar takeaway can be gleaned from the image below which measures NVDA’s strength vs its peers from the robotic and AI space as represented by the Global X Robotics and AI ETF (BOTZ).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/554e89baac0ca64e463574c05c60fbaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stockcharts</p><p>To conclude, the NVDA stock is a HOLD.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Nvidia And Oracle's Partnership Expansion Good For Business Outlook?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 11:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ORCL":"甲骨文","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550012-is-nvidia-oracle-partnership-expansion-good-for-outlook","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144002858","content_text":"SummaryNVDA’s partnership with OCI could help negate the adverse developments that have cropped up due to geopolitical risks.NVDA’s powerful AI-ready infrastructure feels like a good fit to harness Oracle’s deep data repositories.NVDA’s forward valuations look attractive and the risk-reward on the weekly chart does not look too bad.However, institutions still continue to shun the stock, and it does not look like it will be an apt rotation candidate for those fishing in the semiconductor or AI arenas.IntroductionNVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), a trailblazer in accelerated computing reports under five divisions. Over the years, the Data Center segment has grown to become a vital fulcrum of the overall story. In Q2, this division contributed $3.8bn of revenue (that is more than any other division), accounting for 57% of NVDA’s overall topline.When things were moving along quite smoothly here, it was rather dispiriting to note that the company had become a victim of geopolitical tensions between China and the US; in late August/early September, the US government imposed new license requirements which would hinder the ability of NVIDIA to export its A100 and upcoming H100 GPUs without much encumbrances. NVDA is now in the process of working out alternative solutions to mitigate this impact, but the initial reading is that this development could prove to impact revenues to the tune of $400 mper quarter. That would imply a roughly 11% impact on the data center business which is certainly not ideal, particularly when the other large division- gaming, continues to slow down every quarter.The Implications Of The Nvidia and Oracle PartnershipWhilst NVIDIA continues to figure out the best course of action for the Chinese market going forward, it was heartening to read about another development a few days back- the expansion of an ongoing multiyear alliance with Oracle(ORCL), which is designed to enhance Oracle Cloud Infrastructure’s (OCI) positioning with its enterprise clients (these clients will now have access to all of NVDA’s AI platforms). Needless to say, this will also provide added visibility for NVIDIA’s AI, which can only be good for further and rapid adoption from other parties.As part of the“multi-year” deal, OCI will be adding“tens of thousands more NVIDIA GPUs, including the A100 and upcoming H100”.I believe this could be a very symbiotic connection for both entities; we know that ORCL’s databases attract a plethora of companies that use them to store chunks and chunks of raw enterprise data. But just having the data isn’t enough; you need the requisite AI-ready infrastructure, and there are not too many companies that can offer what NVDA does.Leave aside the H100 for now, which is still in the works, but using the A100 80GB GPU, OCI could cater to a diverse set of AI workloads for its clients, particularly deep learning training, and the creation of data frames, at 3x the level of an A100 40GB GPU. One can combine the A100 GPU with Oracle’s innate low latency cluster networks and you get a landscape where enterprise clients could potentially host around 500GPUs in a cluster. The “pace” and “scale” at which this mammoth data is harnessed and made sense of (how best can we address gaps in the market, how can we speed up product development, etc.) will likely make this one of the most glimmering partnerships in the industry.NVIDIA WebsiteI also feel this partnership with ORCL could more than negate the adverse impact of the recent geopolitical events, although, given the paucity of publicly disclosed numbers, one can’t be too certain of a definitive contract figure.For instance, we don’t know the mix of A100 and H100 GPUs this Oracle partnership calls for; to be conservative, I’m considering only the A100 Tensor Core 80GB GPU which is priced at $13,999 as per public data (the H100 which could typically facilitate AI training at 9x the speed of an A100 GPU, will no doubt be priced at much superior rates). Then, “tens of thousands” could be any number from 10000 units to 99000 units, but assuming the A100 80GB GPU pricing, you’re looking at a potential boost of anything from $140m to $1400m. This is also unlikely to be limited to just hardware. There could also be a few additional millions linked to enterprise support work designed to make the AI software run more efficiently, across the subscription period, which could extend for a few years. We'd have to wait for more clarity for the nuances of this deal, and one may likely get it on the 16th of November when they announceQ3results.Closing Thoughts- Is NVDA Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?After gauging some of the other sub-plots related to the NVIDIA story, it’s fair to say that we’re looking at a rather mixed picture.After giving up close to two-thirds of its value from lifetime highs, the forward valuations for NVDA's stock certainly look a lot more palatable. We know that the FY Jan 2023numberswill likely be nothing to write home about, with flattish revenue growth (roughly $27bn yet again) and a 24% decline in the EPS YoY.For the FY Jan 2024 though, the narrative is likely to perk up, with expected revenue of $31.3bn and an EPS of $4.47; this would translate into a forward P/E of roughly 29x, which I believe is quite a steal when you consider that the 5-year average is a lot higher at52x! The current multiple also puts it a lot closer to the lower end of the 5-year forward P/E band of 25-99x.YChartsThe attractive valuation backdrop can be further substantiated by the level of earnings growth you’re getting at this multiple. An expected EPS of $4.47 translates to 33% bottom line growth, and with a P/E of just 29x, you’re staring at a forward PEG ratio of less than 1x! This feels criminally low for an enterprise which is at the forefront of bringing through critical next-generation tech. I remain doubtful if we will see too many instances where NVDA’s forward P/E is lower than the earnings growth on offer (just for some additional context the 5-year PEG average is above8x).When I shift focus to NVIDIA’s weekly chart, there’s no evidence yet of a reversal from the downtrend that has been in play for close to a year. But, if you’re looking for green shoots, there’s decent probability that the stock attempts to build some sort of floor around the current levels, as it coincides with the congestion zone of $120-$160, last seen during August 2020-May 2021. Even if you’re bearish about NVIDIA’s prospects over the long-run, and think the descending channel pattern could continue to persist, the stock still offers decent risk-reward at current levels, as it is a long way from the upper boundary of the descending channel.InvestingHaving said that, I suspect, for the stock to make big moves on the upside you would need the spending power of the institutional cohort; but so far, they’ve shown little inclination to get on board. In fact, the latest data shows that these guys continue to bail on the stock, with the aggregate shares owned by them, declining for yet another month, to $2.579bn.YChartsBesides, based solely on the relative strength ratio of the NVIDIA stock and other options in the semi space, it doesn’t look like the former will be a prime rotational candidate; as you can see from the image below, despite correction from the +1 levels, the current RS ratio of NVDA and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is still above the mid-point (0.55x) of the long-term range.StockchartsA similar takeaway can be gleaned from the image below which measures NVDA’s strength vs its peers from the robotic and AI space as represented by the Global X Robotics and AI ETF (BOTZ).StockchartsTo conclude, the NVDA stock is a HOLD.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986140341,"gmtCreate":1666916371584,"gmtModify":1676537829606,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"❤️❤️❤️","listText":"❤️❤️❤️","text":"❤️❤️❤️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986140341","repostId":"1100216928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100216928","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666929303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100216928?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100216928","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what&#39;s to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.</li><li>The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.</li><li>Yet, the company&#39;s earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.</li><li>While Apple stock&#39;s outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.</li></ul><p>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business&#39;s strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.</p><p>Apple&#39;s September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family&#39;s base model equivalents.</p><p>We believe Apple&#39;s resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple&#39;s prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.</p><p>Meanwhile, management&#39;s allusion to &#34;strength of [Apple&#39;s] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high&#34; kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors&#39; concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.</p><p>But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple&#39;s sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services&#39; margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.</p><p>While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year&#39;s selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more &#34;vulnerable&#34; to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business&#39; robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple&#39;s valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock&#39;s$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple&#39;s upbeat F4Q22 results and management&#39;s positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.</p><p><b>Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For It</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple&#39;s Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company&#39;s long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.</p><p>This is also music to investors&#39; ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.</p><blockquote>In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple&#39;s services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.</blockquote><blockquote>Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple&#39;s sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p>We see Services&#39; critical role in safeguarding Apple&#39;s bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company&#39;s recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment&#39;s momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.</p><p><b>Apple TV+</b></p><p>Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a &#34;cheaper&#34; alternative.</p><p>We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+&#39;s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was &#34;introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.&#34; But now, it has grown into an extensive library of &#34;award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,&#34; which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.</p><p>Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as &#34;Friday Night Baseball&#34; - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+&#39;s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max&#39;s ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+&#39;s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.</p><p><b>Apple Music</b></p><p>The monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify&#39;s (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.</p><p>The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service&#39;s already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify&#39;s (&gt;30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.</p><p>Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment&#39;s bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.</p><p><b>Apple One Bundle</b></p><p>The Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.</p><p>The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple&#39;s service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.</p><p>The pricing advantage in Apple&#39;s Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment&#39;s profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple&#39;s free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.</p><p><b>Near-Term Investment Risks to Consider</b></p><p><b>China Risks:</b> This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple&#39;s most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company&#39;s consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.</p><p>In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.</p><p>Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple&#39;s importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple&#39;s power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant&#39;s &#34;size and importance to suppliers&#34; was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><b>Macro Risks:</b> FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company&#39;s massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple&#39;s upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.</p><p>In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.</p><p>Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple&#39;s pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.</p><p><b>Lengthening Product Cycle Risks:</b> Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment&#39;s growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple&#39;s transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company&#39;s potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.</p><blockquote>Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple&#39;s services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple&#39;s iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Market sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for &#34;nearly a fifth&#34; of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).</p><p>While Apple&#39;s valuation remains lofty at &#34;23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,&#34; which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company&#39;s fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100216928","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.Yet, the company's earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.While Apple stock's outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business's strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.Apple's September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family's base model equivalents.We believe Apple's resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple's prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.Meanwhile, management's allusion to \"strength of [Apple's] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high\" kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors' concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple's sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple's earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services' margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year's selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more \"vulnerable\" to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business' robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple's valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock's$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple's upbeat F4Q22 results and management's positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For ItApple's Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple's Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company's long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.This is also music to investors' ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple's services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple's sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"We see Services' critical role in safeguarding Apple's bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company's recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment's momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.Apple TV+Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a \"cheaper\" alternative.We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+'s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was \"introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.\" But now, it has grown into an extensive library of \"award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,\" which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as \"Friday Night Baseball\" - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+'s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max's ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+'s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.Apple MusicThe monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify's (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service's already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify's (>30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment's bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.Apple One BundleThe Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple's service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.The pricing advantage in Apple's Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment's profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple's free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.Near-Term Investment Risks to ConsiderChina Risks: This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple's most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company's consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple's importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple's power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant's \"size and importance to suppliers\" was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.Macro Risks: FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company's massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple's upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple's pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple's rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.Lengthening Product Cycle Risks: Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment's growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple's transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company's potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple's services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple's iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"Final ThoughtsMarket sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for \"nearly a fifth\" of the S&P 500's value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).While Apple's valuation remains lofty at \"23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,\" which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company's fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988669306,"gmtCreate":1666744402705,"gmtModify":1676537798610,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988669306","repostId":"1112617869","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112617869","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666756392,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112617869?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-26 11:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112617869","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL): AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much mor","content":"<div>\n<p>Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-26 11:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRV":"旅行者财产险集团","PG":"宝洁","NKE":"耐克","AAPL":"苹果","MMM":"3M","HD":"家得宝","CVX":"雪佛龙","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112617869","content_text":"Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much more risky than it used to be.Chevron(CVX): The appeal of CVX and its peers has been lowered by governments’ actions.3M(MMM): MMM reported weak Q3 results and is being threatened by hundreds of thousands of lawsuits.Home Depot(HD): The housing downturn is likely to significantly hurt HD.Disney(DIS): DIS continues to be undermined by cord cutting.Procter & Gamble(PG): The valuation of PG stock is unattractive.Nike(NKE): Post-pandemic trends and a big inventory buildup are among the negative catalysts for NKE stock.As anyone who reads my columns regularly knows, I’m generally upbeat on stocks. That’s because I believe that inflation has peaked, the Federal Reserve is poised to become much more dovish.  In addition, the Street has, for some time, underestimated the importance of the exceptionally strong employment market. However, I believe that there are some good Dow stocks to sell at this point.That’s because, in this stock picker’s market, there are several sectors that investors should definitely avoid. For example, with consumers being hurt by inflation and many still spending much more money on experiences than products, companies that specialize in selling fairly expensive products may struggle. While that trend should reverse at some point in the medium term, given the negative commentary of a number of companies that specialize in selling goods and poor macro manufacturing data, it appears to have been stickier than I previously believed.That’s particularly true for firms whose products are relatively expensive but rely on attracting lower-middle-class and working class-consumers.Oil companies may also be hurt by governments actions, while insurers could struggle due to the destruction wrought by Hurricane Ian, for example.With all of that in mind, here are seven good Dow stocks to sell.Apple (AAPL)There’s now clear evidence that Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) is getting being hurt by a goods-to-services shift. According to a recent report, weak demand for the iPhone 14 has caused the hardware giant to lower the “production of iPhone 14 Plus and is increasing the output of the more expensive iPhone 14 Pro.”Also expressing caution about Apple onCNBCwas investor Brenda Vingiello, who warned that the company could be hit by waning consumer demand for PCs and smartphones in the wake of the pandemic. Additionally, she noted that AAPL gets 60% of its revenue from outside of the U.S. Some of those overseas markets, especially China and Europe, have problems that are much worse than those of America. Additionally, the U.S. dollar’s strength is likely to negatively impact Apple’s overseas profits.Despite these issues, the price-earnings ratio of AAPL stock remains fairly elevated at 23.4. That’s fairly high for a company whose revenues are growing relatively slowly; on average, analysts expect the firm’s revenues to increase 4.8% to $412 billion in 2023, up from $393 billion this year.Travelers Companies (TRV)Travelers Companies’(NYSE:TRV) third-quarter results, reported on Oct. 19, were uninspiring, thanks to Hurricane Ian. Specifically, its net income sank to $454 million versus $662 million during the same period in 2021. Additionally, its top line increased just 6%. On a positive note, its revenue from its “net written premiums” climbed 10% year over year. Still, Ian caused the firm’s “catastrophe costs” to jump 11% year over year to “$512 million pretax, net of reinsurance, from the year-earlier period,” The Wall Street Journal’s Leslie Scism reported.Ian could have been much worse for Travelers, but TRV and other companies had decided to offer relatively few homeowners’ insurance policies in the hurricane-prone state. However, with climate change causing the damage and frequency of storms to increase a great deal, the next extremely ruinous hurricane, flood, or tornado could occur in a highly populated state to which Travelers is much more exposed. Such an event, in turn, could cause TRV stock to sink meaningfully. Consequently, I urge investors to sell TRV and its peers.Chevron (CVX)Many haven’t realized it yet, but the world recently changed for Chevron(NYSE:CVX) and its peers in the oil and gas sector. Specifically, Western governments are no longer sitting on their hands as oil and gas prices soar; instead, these governments are realizing that they can take actions that stymie price jumps caused by the “animal spirits” of profit-hungry traders.In the U.S., the Biden Administration’s releases from the U.S.Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)have caused oil prices to sink. Meanwhile, the EU’s actions have caused European natural gas prices to tumble to around prewar levels. Once investors internalize the idea that Washington and Europe are determined to prevent oil and gas prices from soaring, their appetite for CVX stock is likely to take a big hit.Also worth noting is that 30leftist members of Congress recently signed a letter to President Joe Biden calling on him to work harder to end the war in Ukraine. If pressure ramps up on the administration and on European governments to end the war, the fighting could indeed stop sooner rather than later, causing oil and gas prices to sink and meaningfully pushing down CVX stock.3M (MMM)3M(NYSE:MMM) just reported weak third-quarter results. Meanwhile, the company is facing a number of lawsuits that could significantly undermine its financial position. It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.3M’s sales dropped 4% year-over-year to $8.6 billion, while its operating cash flow tumbled 18% year over year. Additionally, 3M cut its 2022 sales guidance, and now expects its revenue to fall 3% to 3.5% this year, as compared to its previous outlook for a 0.5%-2.5% decline. The conglomerate anticipates that its sales, excluding acquisitions, will climb 1.5% to 2% this year. But given the current, high-inflation environment, that’s a very unimpressive increase indeed.Meanwhile, over 230,000lawsuits have been filed against 3M for its allegedly damaging earplugs. Partially because of the legal issue, Bank of America(NYSE:BAC) recently reiterated its “underperform” rating on the shares.On Aug. 29, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski estimated that 3M’sliability for the earplugs could reach $14 billion with potential for something higher. The analyst kept an “underweight” rating on the shares. As of the end of last quarter, 3M has $3 billion of cash and $17.2 billion of debt, so $14 billion of liability would indeed greatly undermine its financial position at best and make its viability going forward uncertain at worst.The firm is trying to spin off its healthcare unit, likely in order to prevent the parent company from being hurt by the lawsuits. However, the move has been challenged in court.Home Depot (HD)The tremendous slowdown in the housing sector, along with the goods-to-services spending shift, isn’t great news for Home Depot(NYSE:HD). It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.In September, U.S. existing home sales fell 1.5% versusAugust and tumbled 24% year-over-year.“Three out of the four major U.S. regions notched month-over-month sales contractions, while the West held steady. On a year-over-year basis, sales dropped in all regions,” theNational Association of Realtors reported. The continuing housing slump is bad news for Home Depot, as consumers tend to spend a great deal of money to improve the homes into which they move.Further, as consumers spend more money on experiences, they’ll have less to spend on upgrading their homes. Much like Apple, Home Depot benefited a great deal from spending patterns during the pandemic. Now that those patterns have reversed, HD’s financial results are likely to sink. Also boding badly for HD stock, research firm Evercore recently lowered its rating on Home Depot’s competitor, Lowe’s(NYSE:LOW) to in-line from outperform.“Our downgrade is based on the view that slower [home improvement] demand and disinflation could push comps lower in 2023, making margin gains muted,” the firm explained. While Evercore said it was more bullish on HD stock, I still think that the firm’s assessment of Lowe’s indicates that investors should not expect good news anytime soon from Home Depot.Disney (DIS)I’ve been bearish on Disney(NYSE:DIS) stock for a few years, citing the negative impacts of the cord-cutting trend. The Street finally realized the truth of these points, causing DIS stock to tumble 34% so far this year.   But with those trends continuing and DISstill trading at a relatively high forward price-earnings ratio of 19, the shares are likely to decline much further going forward. It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.Ominously for Disney, Wells Fargo(NYSE:WFC)predicted in Aug. that cord cutting would continue to be “elevated given all the content shifting to streaming, and consumers looking to trim their subscriptions due to macro and/or subscription fatigue,” In Q2, the number of consumers paying traditional TV bills fell “5.2% year-over-year,” the firm noted, worse than the 3.7% decline in Q1.For 2022, 2023, and 2024, Wellsexpects the metric to sink 5.8%, 6.7%, and 6.9%, respectively.Procter & Gamble (PG)Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG) stock has a rather high price-earnings ratioof 22. That’s because many investors are predicting that the economy will nosedive over the next year and see PG as a safe haven. But, as I’ve stated in the past, I believe that the strong employment trend, along with America’s first manufacturing boom in many decades, will prevent the economy from meaningfully sinking.If I’m correct (and so far I have been), then the valuation multiples of PG stock are likely to sink tremendously going forward. Further reducing the attractiveness of PG, its profitability actually fell last quarter, as its operating income dropped to $4.93 billion from $5.02 billion during the same period a year earlier. And in its fiscal 2022, its OI declined to $18.6 billion from $18.7 billion during the prior year.On Oct. 10, Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS) downgraded the PG stock to neutral from buy, citing valuation. The firm does not believe that PG’s market share is likely to rise going forward.Nike (NKE)Nike(NYSE:NKE) is one of the top Dow stocks to sell.  With consumers spending much more money on experiences, they have less money left over to spend on Nike’s rather expensive footwear. Adding to Nike’s woes, the company relies on China for a significant amount of its revenue. In its fiscal first quarter, Nike’ssales rose only3.6% year-over-year. Given the high-inflation environment, that’s not an impressive increase. Meanwhile, the company’s gross margin sank 2.2 percentage points YOY to 44.3%.And perhaps most importantly, the footwear maker’s inventories soared 44% YOY. While the company blamed the increase on “supply chain” issues, I would not be surprised if weaker-than-expected demand also actually played a significant role in the inventory jump.Expressing caution on NKE stock on Oct. 11, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC)wrote, “We would like to see progress on clearing through the excess inventory and have better visibility on China demand before turning more constructive on the name.” The firm kept a neutral rating on NKE stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"PG":0.9,"MMM":0.9,"CVX":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"HD":0.9,"TRV":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988136454,"gmtCreate":1666689321280,"gmtModify":1676537790277,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3581856827682527\">@Ninjek</a>:💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3581856827682527\">@Ninjek</a>:💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯//@Ninjek:💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988136454","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988136570,"gmtCreate":1666689312691,"gmtModify":1676537790277,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988136570","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988052374,"gmtCreate":1666632936998,"gmtModify":1676537781169,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988052374","repostId":"1121547995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121547995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666619640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121547995?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-24 21:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Options Traders Bet on More Volatility in a Bad Year for Tech Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121547995","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Large swings for big technology stocks have been common this year during a head-spinning stretch tha","content":"<div>\n<p>Large swings for big technology stocks have been common this year during a head-spinning stretch that has dragged the group down.Some of the biggest one-day changes in market value in history have ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-24/card/options-traders-bet-on-more-volatility-d5jYtBT9VE55N9TP7wwt?page=1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Options Traders Bet on More Volatility in a Bad Year for Tech Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOptions Traders Bet on More Volatility in a Bad Year for Tech Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-24 21:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-24/card/options-traders-bet-on-more-volatility-d5jYtBT9VE55N9TP7wwt?page=1><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Large swings for big technology stocks have been common this year during a head-spinning stretch that has dragged the group down.Some of the biggest one-day changes in market value in history have ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-24/card/options-traders-bet-on-more-volatility-d5jYtBT9VE55N9TP7wwt?page=1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","MSFT":"微软","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-24/card/options-traders-bet-on-more-volatility-d5jYtBT9VE55N9TP7wwt?page=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121547995","content_text":"Large swings for big technology stocks have been common this year during a head-spinning stretch that has dragged the group down.Some of the biggest one-day changes in market value in history have happened in 2022 after big tech companies’ earnings. In February, a big drop in Amazon.com’s shares shaved $191 billion from its market value,the most everfor a company in a single day.Options traders appear to be betting the volatility will continue over the this week, when several big tech companies report their earnings results. (Their forecasts don’t indicate the direction of the move, only the size.)Options traders are wagering on around a 5.4% move in Apple shares after its earnings this week, above the average move of around 3.3% after the past eight earnings releases, according to Cboe Global Markets data.They’re betting on a roughly 7% move for Alphabet after its earnings and through Friday. The stock has swung around 5.1% on average after the past eight releases.Expectations for Meta’s post-earnings move are even higher, with a roughly 13% post-earnings move forecast through Friday. The stock has swung around 9.2% on average after the past eight releases, according to Cboe.The big swings for tech stocks have continued last week. Snap sharesplunged 28% Fridayafter it disclosed a further slowdown in sales growth and signaled the digital-ad market could remain sluggish. Something similar happened in July, when it posted its weakest-ever quarterly sales growth as a public company.Analysts expect earnings for the S&P 500’s communications sector, home to several of the big tech companies known as FAANG stocks, to decline by 13% this quarter, among the worst within the broader index. And all five FAANG stocks have posted double-digit declines this year after big simultaneous gains over the past three.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1,".DJI":1,"MSFT":1,"META":1,"GOOGL":1,"AMZN":1,".IXIC":1,".SPX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983016968,"gmtCreate":1666108329554,"gmtModify":1676537707530,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>💯💯💯","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>💯💯💯","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$💯💯💯","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/530dabb3f0c9cc4d6f3a93e2febec52e","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983016968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983018724,"gmtCreate":1666108304068,"gmtModify":1676537707530,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/WBD\">$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$</a>😅","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/WBD\">$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$</a>😅","text":"$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$😅","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c71c8ffb01fc3fb877419c3a1b388bc6","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983018724","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989401922,"gmtCreate":1666054666167,"gmtModify":1676537697754,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989401922","repostId":"1160967547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160967547","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666065333,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160967547?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-18 11:55","market":"other","language":"en","title":"One Trading Strategy Is Winning Big in This Nasty Year for Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160967547","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Dispersion trade up as single stocks swing, VIX stays mutedSubdued demand for portfolio hedges is be","content":"<div>\n<p>Dispersion trade up as single stocks swing, VIX stays mutedSubdued demand for portfolio hedges is behind volatility quirkA strange thing keeps happening in this nightmare year on Wall Street: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/one-options-trade-wins-big-in-strange-year-for-stock-volatility\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One Trading Strategy Is Winning Big in This Nasty Year for Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne Trading Strategy Is Winning Big in This Nasty Year for Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-18 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/one-options-trade-wins-big-in-strange-year-for-stock-volatility><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dispersion trade up as single stocks swing, VIX stays mutedSubdued demand for portfolio hedges is behind volatility quirkA strange thing keeps happening in this nightmare year on Wall Street: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/one-options-trade-wins-big-in-strange-year-for-stock-volatility\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/one-options-trade-wins-big-in-strange-year-for-stock-volatility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160967547","content_text":"Dispersion trade up as single stocks swing, VIX stays mutedSubdued demand for portfolio hedges is behind volatility quirkA strange thing keeps happening in this nightmare year on Wall Street: Seemingly surefire bets that outsize volatility will engulf equity indexes keep misfiring, even as those riding turmoil in single stocks pay off handsomely.That’s proving a boon for a niche strategy known as dispersion trading, with nimble money managers netting double-digit gains by taking advantage of quirks in the world of equity derivatives.Take the Cboe Volatility Index, a gauge of market-wide fear. Even as the S&P 500 careens to fresh lows, it’s stuck below its March peak and actually declined in the aftermath of last week’s hot inflation report. At the same time the Federal Reserve’s disruptive policy-tightening campaign is fueling the wildest price swings for US large cap companies since the global financial crisis.The thinking goes that the winners and losers in the S&P 500 have become more pronounced in a world where corporate fundamentals matter. But index volatility is proving less severe, as price moves of its constituents offset each other, while demand for hedges remains muted due to low investor positioning.For whatever reason this short-index-long-single-stock-volatility trade is working and may prove particularly lucrative this earnings season. The likes of PepsiCo Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. have been posting notable gains after better-than-expected reports while disappointments such as Morgan Stanley are getting punished.“We haven’t seen any panic protection buying that will drive volatility much higher,” said Daniel Danon, managing director at Assenagon Asset Management, whose Assenagon Alpha Volatility fund is up 12% this year. “So your short leg is helping your long leg to perform.”The VIX, which tracks the cost of S&P 500 options, has stayed at elevated levels relative to its five-year average, but it’s yet to revisit 2022 highs of above 35 points. At the same time individual members in the S&P 500 have been moving the most since the global financial crisis, according to Societe Generale SA.While the Fed’s hike-at-all-costs policy stance has ignited fear and loathing for investors in bonds and currencies, the cost of one-month bearish put options on the equity benchmark versus bullish calls has slipped anew to the lowest since 2017. That suggests limited investor appetite to hedge at the index level.Why that’s the case despite a prolonged drawdown has become a hot topic among market watchers of late. Some point out that money managers have slashed equity exposure to multi-year lows, itself a defensive stance that requires less protection. Others say a relatively orderly decline has made options hedging less rewarding than usual, prompting traders to short equity futures as an alternative way to buffer against losses.A relatively well behaved VIX stands out at a time when the Fed’s resolve to crush inflation at decade highs with tighter policy is rocking the underbelly of of US equities. Some oil producers have doubled their share prices in this year’s supply-side mayhem while Big Tech names like Netflix Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. have plunged big time in a rate-sensitive selloff that’s now casting a shadow over the business cycle.“It’s about rotation between sectors at the moment,” said Stephen Crewe, whose Fulcrum Equity Dispersion Fund is up 10% this year. The London-based manager is positioning for continued volatility among companies in the technology and energy sectors. “No one really knows where the US economy is going to end up,” he said.The strategy, which has cooled of late after notching outsize gains earlier in the year, is deployed mostly by volatility hedge funds and banks packaging it into systematic strategies. Versions of the trade may buy options on a basket of stocks while others, like those managed by Assenagon and Fulcrum, are more selective. Some are neutral to volatility, whereas others are buying more options than they sell.With expected swings embedded in index-level option prices relatively contained, it’s been harder for typical derivatives hedges to make money, with the payoff hinging more on getting the strike price or market timing right. For instance, an S&P 500-tracking portfolio that’s added calls on the VIX -- which is supposed to buffer portfolios against a sudden outbreak in price swings -- has suffered a four-percentage-point drag on performance, a Cboe index shows.Yet going forward, the big challenge for dispersion traders is hiding in plain sight: Supersized Fed rate hikes risk causing a sudden collapse in economic growth that may in turn spur a big jump in index volatility.Still for now, institutions appear to have little appetite for adding market hedges, according to Michael Purves, founder of Tallbacken Capital Advisors. He recommends betting on the VIX to fall till the end of the year.“Perhaps yields can creep higher, but not in a shocking way the way they did when they pierced 4% in September,” he wrote in a note. “Markets appear to have processed the notion that there is little doubt that a Fed pivot is not close at hand.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VIX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989192425,"gmtCreate":1665934969968,"gmtModify":1676537680763,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989192425","repostId":"2275956132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275956132","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665880140,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275956132?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-16 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275956132","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e54dbc03597e8afcf8969752bb25b4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLA</span></p><p>Tesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?</p><p>The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.</p><p>Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”</p><p>Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.</p><p>While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.</p><p>“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”</p><p>Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.</p><p>Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.</p><p>“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.</p><p>“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”</p><p>Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.</p><p>Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.</p><p>“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”</p><p>UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.</p><p>“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.</p><p>Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.</p><h2>What to expect</h2><p><b>Revenue:</b> Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.</p><p>According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.</p><p><b>Earnings:</b> The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.</p><p><b>Stock movement:</b> Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.</p><p>Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&amp;P 500 has fallen 23%.</p><p>Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.</p><h2>What else to watch for</h2><p>Production-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.</p><p>“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”</p><p>Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.</p><p>“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”</p><p>As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.</p><p>“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-16 08:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275956132","content_text":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.What to expectRevenue: Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.Earnings: The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.Stock movement: Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&P 500 has fallen 23%.Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.What else to watch forProduction-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914849787,"gmtCreate":1665244194349,"gmtModify":1676537577660,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914849787","repostId":"2273833362","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915962630,"gmtCreate":1664937448821,"gmtModify":1676537532688,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915962630","repostId":"1130989875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9085562181,"gmtCreate":1650729215815,"gmtModify":1676534783589,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNCO\">$AGNC Investment Corp.(AGNCO)$</a>💯💯💯","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNCO\">$AGNC Investment Corp.(AGNCO)$</a>💯💯💯","text":"$AGNC Investment Corp.(AGNCO)$💯💯💯","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3855d1d964ad5c5388bddbfc58ee916","width":"1440","height":"3868"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085562181","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168128589,"gmtCreate":1623967343941,"gmtModify":1703824723735,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>❤️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>❤️","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$❤️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc7da9d2bb8f06f2fe06ca40a87a1d64","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168128589","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989192425,"gmtCreate":1665934969968,"gmtModify":1676537680763,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989192425","repostId":"2275956132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275956132","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665880140,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275956132?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-16 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275956132","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e54dbc03597e8afcf8969752bb25b4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"438\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLA</span></p><p>Tesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?</p><p>The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.</p><p>Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”</p><p>Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.</p><p>While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.</p><p>“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”</p><p>Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.</p><p>Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.</p><p>“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.</p><p>“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”</p><p>Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.</p><p>Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.</p><p>“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”</p><p>UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.</p><p>“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.</p><p>Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.</p><h2>What to expect</h2><p><b>Revenue:</b> Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.</p><p>According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.</p><p><b>Earnings:</b> The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.</p><p><b>Stock movement:</b> Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.</p><p>Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&amp;P 500 has fallen 23%.</p><p>Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.</p><h2>What else to watch for</h2><p>Production-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.</p><p>“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”</p><p>Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.</p><p>“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”</p><p>As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.</p><p>“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming, but Do Record Deliveries Mask a Demand Problem?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-16 08:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-earnings-are-coming-but-do-record-deliveries-mask-a-demand-problem-11665767452?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275956132","content_text":"Analysts will be particularly concerned about demand trends in China when Tesla reports earnings Oct. 19Tesla is due to report results for its third quarter on Oct. 19. TESLATesla Inc.’s record deliveries in the third quarter weren’t enough to satisfy Wall Street. Will the company’s full explanation play any better?The electric-car company posts production and delivery numbers ahead of its formal earnings report, giving investors weeks to extrapolate trends based on limited information. This time, debate has focused on the short bit of commentary that Tesla provided as it posted 343,830 deliveries for the third quarter, below the 371,000 that analysts tracked by FactSet had been expecting, and also below the 365,923 vehicles that the company said it produced in the period.Tesla explained in a press release that delivery volumes have been heavily weighted to the end of quarters “due to regional batch building of cars,” but that as production volumes have increased, it’s become “increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks.” The company has moved to “a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter.”Tesla’s stock fell 8.6% in the first trading session after the deliveries were announced.While Tesla seemed to peg its problems to delivery logistics, some analysts weren’t sure that was the only challenge facing the Elon Musk-led company these days.“A top concern right now is demand in China as wait times seem to be shrinking,” wrote RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak. The question is whether the wait-time issue is a “blip” or indicative of “a bigger change among consumers.”Spak added that there is “some overall concern about demand (not just China)” headed into Tesla’s report.Guggenheim’s Ali Faghri also wrote of potential demand issues in China, even though he thought the U.S. outlook remained strong.“Our conclusion is that the sharp moderation in China wait times is at least partially attributable to weaker demand amid increasing competition from lower priced domestic OEMs [original equipment manufacturers],” he said in a note to clients.“While wait times in the U.S. and Europe remain healthy, we see potential similarities between Europe and China (macro pressures, increasing competition, ramping supply),” he continued. “Overall, we see risk that TSLA is reaching demand saturation in its most important market globally (China, with tail risk in Europe).”Such a dynamic could weigh on the company’s ability to hit its delivery goals and “potentially pressure the stock’s premium valuation as the story shifts from supply-constrained (high multiple) to demand-constrained (lower multiple),” Faghri added.Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan highlighted a number of puts and takes in thinking about broader demand for Tesla vehicles heading into next year.“While IRA [the Inflation Recovery Act] will help in 2023, the economy and interest rates likely will not, particularly in Europe where an energy crisis looms,” he wrote. “If consumers are watching costs, a $60K vehicle purchase could get deferred.”UBS analyst Patrick Hummel also chimed in that “[t]he debate about EVs has shifted to the demand side, after delivery times have come down significantly,” but he saw opportunity for Tesla in that dynamic.“We think Tesla is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories,” he wrote, noting that price reductions could help Tesla gain share over electric-vehicle companies and further compete against sellers of gas-powered cars.Tesla is due to post its third-quarter results Oct. 19 after the closing bell.What to expectRevenue: Analysts expect Tesla to report $22.14 billion in revenue, up from $13.76 billion a year prior.According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average estimate calls for $22.63 billion in revenue.Earnings: The FactSet consensus calls for $1.01 a share in September-quarter adjusted earnings, up from 62 cents a share in the year-prior quarter. Those polled by Estimize are looking for $1.13 in adjusted earnings per share on average.Stock movement: Tesla shares have gained following three of the company’s last five earnings reports. They logged a 9.8% rally in the session following the company’s most recent report.Tesla’s stock is off 37% so far this year, as the S&P 500 has fallen 23%.Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Tesla’s stock, 27 have buy ratings, 11 have hold ratings, and four have sell ratings, with an average price target of $305.58.What else to watch forProduction-related commentary will be worth monitoring given all the moving parts at Tesla.“While management cited logistics issues that slowed end-of-quarter deliveries, we think this reflects the challenges ramping up production at its two new factories as well as restarting the Shanghai plant after the COVID-19 lockdowns during the second quarter,” wrote Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein, though he saw “no long-term issues that would affect production.”Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch was similarly interested in a capacity rundown.“We are expecting a substantial update on rate of TSLA’s capacity ramp in incremental capacity in Shanghai along with its Berlin and Austin facilities on the company’s earnings call,” he wrote. “With production underway in Berlin and Austin, we expect investors to be focused on the pace of ramp in the face of supply chain headwinds.”As always, investors will be watching for any forward-looking commentary around deliveries or demand trends more generally.“We believe TSLA will come out and reiterate their goal of around 50% growth,” RBC’s Spak wrote. “However, we do see some potential risk to 4Q22 deliveries in the U.S. as a subset of consumers may choose to delay delivery until 2023 to take advantage of IRA EV tax credits,” referring to electric vehicle credits from the Inflation Recovery Act.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9036162776,"gmtCreate":1647013914787,"gmtModify":1676534187815,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9036162776","repostId":"1101658670","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101658670","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647011670,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1101658670?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-11 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Correction Over?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101658670","media":"YahooFinance","summary":"History shows we could be nearing the end of thestock market's 2022 correction.\"The current correction in stocks is overdue: we have not had a 10%+ S&P 500 correction since the quick bear market of Ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>History shows we could be nearing the end of the stock market&#39;s 2022 correction.</p><p>&#34;The current correction in stocks is overdue: we have not had a 10%+ S&amp;P 500 correction since the quick bear market of March 2020. 10%+ corrections have occurred once per year on average since 1930, and have lasted on average 54 trading days before lifting more than 10% from the trough (since January 3, the market has dropped 13% as of Wednesday&#39;s low and Thursday is the 45th trading day),&#34; pointed out Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian in a new note.</p><p>Despite the compelling history lesson (which suggests we are nine sessions away from a short-term market bottom), there is still a lot coming at investors that could easily take stocks into a bear market.</p><p>Brent crude oil prices traded around $112 a barrel Thursday as traders continued to digest the Biden administration&#39;s ban of imports of Russian oil, liquefied natural gas and coal in response to the country&#39;s war on Ukraine.</p><p>Prices are off their highs of nearly $139 a barrel on optimism U.S. oil majors such as Exxon and Chevron will produce more to make up for any lost Russian output.</p><p>Oil prices have surged roughly 25% since Ukrainian war.</p><p>Prices at U.S. gas pumps have skyrocketed above $4 a gallon on average,notes AAA. Prices have climbed north of $5 a gallon in California.</p><p>&#34;It is not unfathomable for prices to rocket to $200 a barrel by summer, spur a recession and end the year closer to $50 a barrel ($200 call options have been bid),&#34;said RBC Capital Markets analyst Michael Tran on Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p>Meanwhile, large Western companies from McDonald&#39;s to American Express have suspended operations in Russia due to its war. The financial impacts of these companies taking action against Russia — and their global ramifications — could weigh on corporate earnings in the quarters ahead.</p><p>All of these factors combined have Wall Street pros such as Tran worried about a potential U.S. recession this year.</p><p>Whether one happens is unclear, but it&#39;s something the market will have to likely begin factoring in.</p><p>&#34;I have seen a few recessions over my career and they aren&#39;t fun,&#34; XPO Logistics CEO Brad Jacobs said on Yahoo Finance Live. &#34;I don&#39;t know that we are close to a recession. Right now the consumer is very, very strong and the industrial economy is in its early beginnings of growth. We do have to watch the effect of the European war and how that affects the world economy. We do have to look at how oil prices affect the world. And we do have to see how the Fed lands the plane in terms of raising interest rates in a careful way. But we are not close to a recession, absent some big geopolitical jolt. There is too much strength in the economy right now.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Correction Over?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Correction Over?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-11 23:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-the-stock-market-correction-over-172801640.html><strong>YahooFinance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>History shows we could be nearing the end of the stock market's 2022 correction.\"The current correction in stocks is overdue: we have not had a 10%+ S&P 500 correction since the quick bear market of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-the-stock-market-correction-over-172801640.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/is-the-stock-market-correction-over-172801640.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101658670","content_text":"History shows we could be nearing the end of the stock market's 2022 correction.\"The current correction in stocks is overdue: we have not had a 10%+ S&P 500 correction since the quick bear market of March 2020. 10%+ corrections have occurred once per year on average since 1930, and have lasted on average 54 trading days before lifting more than 10% from the trough (since January 3, the market has dropped 13% as of Wednesday's low and Thursday is the 45th trading day),\" pointed out Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian in a new note.Despite the compelling history lesson (which suggests we are nine sessions away from a short-term market bottom), there is still a lot coming at investors that could easily take stocks into a bear market.Brent crude oil prices traded around $112 a barrel Thursday as traders continued to digest the Biden administration's ban of imports of Russian oil, liquefied natural gas and coal in response to the country's war on Ukraine.Prices are off their highs of nearly $139 a barrel on optimism U.S. oil majors such as Exxon and Chevron will produce more to make up for any lost Russian output.Oil prices have surged roughly 25% since Ukrainian war.Prices at U.S. gas pumps have skyrocketed above $4 a gallon on average,notes AAA. Prices have climbed north of $5 a gallon in California.\"It is not unfathomable for prices to rocket to $200 a barrel by summer, spur a recession and end the year closer to $50 a barrel ($200 call options have been bid),\"said RBC Capital Markets analyst Michael Tran on Yahoo Finance Live.Meanwhile, large Western companies from McDonald's to American Express have suspended operations in Russia due to its war. The financial impacts of these companies taking action against Russia — and their global ramifications — could weigh on corporate earnings in the quarters ahead.All of these factors combined have Wall Street pros such as Tran worried about a potential U.S. recession this year.Whether one happens is unclear, but it's something the market will have to likely begin factoring in.\"I have seen a few recessions over my career and they aren't fun,\" XPO Logistics CEO Brad Jacobs said on Yahoo Finance Live. \"I don't know that we are close to a recession. Right now the consumer is very, very strong and the industrial economy is in its early beginnings of growth. We do have to watch the effect of the European war and how that affects the world economy. We do have to look at how oil prices affect the world. And we do have to see how the Fed lands the plane in terms of raising interest rates in a careful way. But we are not close to a recession, absent some big geopolitical jolt. There is too much strength in the economy right now.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818754948,"gmtCreate":1630452262884,"gmtModify":1676530304824,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Feels good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Feels good","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Feels good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a99436ad7a36abbba8ad6c3591f6d851","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/818754948","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887737989,"gmtCreate":1632098658641,"gmtModify":1676530699633,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;Moon gang&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>&nbsp;Moon gang&nbsp;","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ Moon gang","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bccb943f5fdedb6a236b80315bf608da","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887737989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988669306,"gmtCreate":1666744402705,"gmtModify":1676537798610,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988669306","repostId":"1112617869","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112617869","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666756392,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112617869?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-26 11:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112617869","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL): AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much mor","content":"<div>\n<p>Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Dow Stocks to Sell Before They Tumble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-26 11:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRV":"旅行者财产险集团","PG":"宝洁","NKE":"耐克","AAPL":"苹果","MMM":"3M","HD":"家得宝","CVX":"雪佛龙","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/7-dow-stocks-to-sell-before-they-tumble/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112617869","content_text":"Here are seven Dow stocks to sell to avoid getting hurt by negative trends.Apple(AAPL):  AAPL is likely to be undermined by weak demand for iPhones.Travelers(TRV): Climate change is making TRV much more risky than it used to be.Chevron(CVX): The appeal of CVX and its peers has been lowered by governments’ actions.3M(MMM): MMM reported weak Q3 results and is being threatened by hundreds of thousands of lawsuits.Home Depot(HD): The housing downturn is likely to significantly hurt HD.Disney(DIS): DIS continues to be undermined by cord cutting.Procter & Gamble(PG): The valuation of PG stock is unattractive.Nike(NKE): Post-pandemic trends and a big inventory buildup are among the negative catalysts for NKE stock.As anyone who reads my columns regularly knows, I’m generally upbeat on stocks. That’s because I believe that inflation has peaked, the Federal Reserve is poised to become much more dovish.  In addition, the Street has, for some time, underestimated the importance of the exceptionally strong employment market. However, I believe that there are some good Dow stocks to sell at this point.That’s because, in this stock picker’s market, there are several sectors that investors should definitely avoid. For example, with consumers being hurt by inflation and many still spending much more money on experiences than products, companies that specialize in selling fairly expensive products may struggle. While that trend should reverse at some point in the medium term, given the negative commentary of a number of companies that specialize in selling goods and poor macro manufacturing data, it appears to have been stickier than I previously believed.That’s particularly true for firms whose products are relatively expensive but rely on attracting lower-middle-class and working class-consumers.Oil companies may also be hurt by governments actions, while insurers could struggle due to the destruction wrought by Hurricane Ian, for example.With all of that in mind, here are seven good Dow stocks to sell.Apple (AAPL)There’s now clear evidence that Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) is getting being hurt by a goods-to-services shift. According to a recent report, weak demand for the iPhone 14 has caused the hardware giant to lower the “production of iPhone 14 Plus and is increasing the output of the more expensive iPhone 14 Pro.”Also expressing caution about Apple onCNBCwas investor Brenda Vingiello, who warned that the company could be hit by waning consumer demand for PCs and smartphones in the wake of the pandemic. Additionally, she noted that AAPL gets 60% of its revenue from outside of the U.S. Some of those overseas markets, especially China and Europe, have problems that are much worse than those of America. Additionally, the U.S. dollar’s strength is likely to negatively impact Apple’s overseas profits.Despite these issues, the price-earnings ratio of AAPL stock remains fairly elevated at 23.4. That’s fairly high for a company whose revenues are growing relatively slowly; on average, analysts expect the firm’s revenues to increase 4.8% to $412 billion in 2023, up from $393 billion this year.Travelers Companies (TRV)Travelers Companies’(NYSE:TRV) third-quarter results, reported on Oct. 19, were uninspiring, thanks to Hurricane Ian. Specifically, its net income sank to $454 million versus $662 million during the same period in 2021. Additionally, its top line increased just 6%. On a positive note, its revenue from its “net written premiums” climbed 10% year over year. Still, Ian caused the firm’s “catastrophe costs” to jump 11% year over year to “$512 million pretax, net of reinsurance, from the year-earlier period,” The Wall Street Journal’s Leslie Scism reported.Ian could have been much worse for Travelers, but TRV and other companies had decided to offer relatively few homeowners’ insurance policies in the hurricane-prone state. However, with climate change causing the damage and frequency of storms to increase a great deal, the next extremely ruinous hurricane, flood, or tornado could occur in a highly populated state to which Travelers is much more exposed. Such an event, in turn, could cause TRV stock to sink meaningfully. Consequently, I urge investors to sell TRV and its peers.Chevron (CVX)Many haven’t realized it yet, but the world recently changed for Chevron(NYSE:CVX) and its peers in the oil and gas sector. Specifically, Western governments are no longer sitting on their hands as oil and gas prices soar; instead, these governments are realizing that they can take actions that stymie price jumps caused by the “animal spirits” of profit-hungry traders.In the U.S., the Biden Administration’s releases from the U.S.Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)have caused oil prices to sink. Meanwhile, the EU’s actions have caused European natural gas prices to tumble to around prewar levels. Once investors internalize the idea that Washington and Europe are determined to prevent oil and gas prices from soaring, their appetite for CVX stock is likely to take a big hit.Also worth noting is that 30leftist members of Congress recently signed a letter to President Joe Biden calling on him to work harder to end the war in Ukraine. If pressure ramps up on the administration and on European governments to end the war, the fighting could indeed stop sooner rather than later, causing oil and gas prices to sink and meaningfully pushing down CVX stock.3M (MMM)3M(NYSE:MMM) just reported weak third-quarter results. Meanwhile, the company is facing a number of lawsuits that could significantly undermine its financial position. It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.3M’s sales dropped 4% year-over-year to $8.6 billion, while its operating cash flow tumbled 18% year over year. Additionally, 3M cut its 2022 sales guidance, and now expects its revenue to fall 3% to 3.5% this year, as compared to its previous outlook for a 0.5%-2.5% decline. The conglomerate anticipates that its sales, excluding acquisitions, will climb 1.5% to 2% this year. But given the current, high-inflation environment, that’s a very unimpressive increase indeed.Meanwhile, over 230,000lawsuits have been filed against 3M for its allegedly damaging earplugs. Partially because of the legal issue, Bank of America(NYSE:BAC) recently reiterated its “underperform” rating on the shares.On Aug. 29, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski estimated that 3M’sliability for the earplugs could reach $14 billion with potential for something higher. The analyst kept an “underweight” rating on the shares. As of the end of last quarter, 3M has $3 billion of cash and $17.2 billion of debt, so $14 billion of liability would indeed greatly undermine its financial position at best and make its viability going forward uncertain at worst.The firm is trying to spin off its healthcare unit, likely in order to prevent the parent company from being hurt by the lawsuits. However, the move has been challenged in court.Home Depot (HD)The tremendous slowdown in the housing sector, along with the goods-to-services spending shift, isn’t great news for Home Depot(NYSE:HD). It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.In September, U.S. existing home sales fell 1.5% versusAugust and tumbled 24% year-over-year.“Three out of the four major U.S. regions notched month-over-month sales contractions, while the West held steady. On a year-over-year basis, sales dropped in all regions,” theNational Association of Realtors reported. The continuing housing slump is bad news for Home Depot, as consumers tend to spend a great deal of money to improve the homes into which they move.Further, as consumers spend more money on experiences, they’ll have less to spend on upgrading their homes. Much like Apple, Home Depot benefited a great deal from spending patterns during the pandemic. Now that those patterns have reversed, HD’s financial results are likely to sink. Also boding badly for HD stock, research firm Evercore recently lowered its rating on Home Depot’s competitor, Lowe’s(NYSE:LOW) to in-line from outperform.“Our downgrade is based on the view that slower [home improvement] demand and disinflation could push comps lower in 2023, making margin gains muted,” the firm explained. While Evercore said it was more bullish on HD stock, I still think that the firm’s assessment of Lowe’s indicates that investors should not expect good news anytime soon from Home Depot.Disney (DIS)I’ve been bearish on Disney(NYSE:DIS) stock for a few years, citing the negative impacts of the cord-cutting trend. The Street finally realized the truth of these points, causing DIS stock to tumble 34% so far this year.   But with those trends continuing and DISstill trading at a relatively high forward price-earnings ratio of 19, the shares are likely to decline much further going forward. It’s another one of the top Dow stocks to sell.Ominously for Disney, Wells Fargo(NYSE:WFC)predicted in Aug. that cord cutting would continue to be “elevated given all the content shifting to streaming, and consumers looking to trim their subscriptions due to macro and/or subscription fatigue,” In Q2, the number of consumers paying traditional TV bills fell “5.2% year-over-year,” the firm noted, worse than the 3.7% decline in Q1.For 2022, 2023, and 2024, Wellsexpects the metric to sink 5.8%, 6.7%, and 6.9%, respectively.Procter & Gamble (PG)Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG) stock has a rather high price-earnings ratioof 22. That’s because many investors are predicting that the economy will nosedive over the next year and see PG as a safe haven. But, as I’ve stated in the past, I believe that the strong employment trend, along with America’s first manufacturing boom in many decades, will prevent the economy from meaningfully sinking.If I’m correct (and so far I have been), then the valuation multiples of PG stock are likely to sink tremendously going forward. Further reducing the attractiveness of PG, its profitability actually fell last quarter, as its operating income dropped to $4.93 billion from $5.02 billion during the same period a year earlier. And in its fiscal 2022, its OI declined to $18.6 billion from $18.7 billion during the prior year.On Oct. 10, Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS) downgraded the PG stock to neutral from buy, citing valuation. The firm does not believe that PG’s market share is likely to rise going forward.Nike (NKE)Nike(NYSE:NKE) is one of the top Dow stocks to sell.  With consumers spending much more money on experiences, they have less money left over to spend on Nike’s rather expensive footwear. Adding to Nike’s woes, the company relies on China for a significant amount of its revenue. In its fiscal first quarter, Nike’ssales rose only3.6% year-over-year. Given the high-inflation environment, that’s not an impressive increase. Meanwhile, the company’s gross margin sank 2.2 percentage points YOY to 44.3%.And perhaps most importantly, the footwear maker’s inventories soared 44% YOY. While the company blamed the increase on “supply chain” issues, I would not be surprised if weaker-than-expected demand also actually played a significant role in the inventory jump.Expressing caution on NKE stock on Oct. 11, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC)wrote, “We would like to see progress on clearing through the excess inventory and have better visibility on China demand before turning more constructive on the name.” The firm kept a neutral rating on NKE stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"PG":0.9,"MMM":0.9,"CVX":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"HD":0.9,"TRV":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988136570,"gmtCreate":1666689312691,"gmtModify":1676537790277,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988136570","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024866440,"gmtCreate":1653849391780,"gmtModify":1676535349954,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024866440","repostId":"2238219576","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2238219576","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653811998,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238219576?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-29 16:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Unique Stocks Have Undeniable Long-Term Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238219576","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Market drops are the best time to put money to work and juice long-term returns.","content":"<div>\n<p>Investors always need to consider valuation as well as business potential when deciding whether to invest in a stock. When valuations are in a general decline, as they are right now, it can be a great...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/27/these-3-unique-stocks-have-undeniable-long-term-up/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Unique Stocks Have Undeniable Long-Term Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Unique Stocks Have Undeniable Long-Term Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-29 16:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/27/these-3-unique-stocks-have-undeniable-long-term-up/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors always need to consider valuation as well as business potential when deciding whether to invest in a stock. When valuations are in a general decline, as they are right now, it can be a great...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/27/these-3-unique-stocks-have-undeniable-long-term-up/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","GRMN":"佳明","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4083":"家庭装潢零售","BK4566":"资本集团","HD":"家得宝","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4523":"印度概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/27/these-3-unique-stocks-have-undeniable-long-term-up/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238219576","content_text":"Investors always need to consider valuation as well as business potential when deciding whether to invest in a stock. When valuations are in a general decline, as they are right now, it can be a great time to dig in and look for companies that have long-term potential. Smart investors use corrections and bear markets to provide extra juice for future returns.Technology stocks have led the decline, as their prior gains led to lofty valuation levels. But there have been meaningful drops in all sectors, and investors can use this market decline to add a diverse mix of holdings with solid businesses, despite recent stock declines.Here are three stocks that have dropped between 25% and 35% this year but offer investors diversity and solid long-term prospects.Strong sales growthA good mix of three such businesses that should continue to have solid future growth are Tesla, Home Depot, and GPS device maker Garmin. When the biggest knock on a stock is its valuation, a bear market offers a chance to reevaluate whether it belongs in your portfolio.Heading into this year, Tesla shares returned more than 1,000% over the prior two and a half years. Home Depot gained about 120% in that time, pushing the valuations of both stocks ahead of the businesses themselves. In some environments, that's OK, and the business results will catch up quickly.But in the current environment, the stocks started to correct as supply chain challenges, the onset of inflation, and rising interest rates raised questions about business results in the near-term future. But in the longer term, sales growth should continue for these companies.Tesla believes rising demand, and its two new manufacturing plants that opened this year in Texas and Germany, will help it achieve 50% annual sales growth for several more years. Garmin has been riding a long-term wave of growing interest in outdoor activities. Sales of its popular GPS-enabled products rose 19% in 2021, capping off six straight years of increasing revenue. And Home Depot has also worked to increase its revenue by 50% over the past five years.HD Revenue (Annual) data by YChartsFalling to the bottom lineMuch of that revenue for all three companies is also reaching the bottom line. Tesla stands out among automakers with an impressive operating margin of 19.2% in the first quarter. When looked at on a trailing 12-month (TTM) basis, the improvement seems even more impressive, and is more than twice what traditional automakers like General Motors and Ford have been able to achieve over the last several years.TSLA Operating Margin (TTM) data by YChartsGarmin's profitability is even more impressive, as it has steadily achieved gross margins approaching 60%, and operating margins have been hovering around 25% over the past two years.Why invest now?Whether to invest in these businesses now still should be determined by what looks to come ahead, not from past performance. But all three look to continue their recent success. Garmin grew revenue 9% in the first quarter, and maintains its estimate for more than a 10% increase for the full year versus 2021. Management also showed its confidence by announcing a newly authorized $300 million share repurchase plan. The share buyback would be the first in four years and complements a reliable dividend that recently yielded 2.6%.Home Depot initiated a multiyear investment program in 2017 that has helped its digital sales soar. But the One Home Depot plan also now focuses on growing its professionals business. Increasing that customer base helped its average sales ticket grow by 11.4% in the first quarter versus the prior-year period. The company expects that improvement to continue.Tesla's astounding sales growth doesn't make the stock cheap by traditional valuation metrics. Even after its recent drop, Tesla shares trade at a sky-high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 133 based on 2021 earnings. But if sales continue to soar 50% annually as expected, that will continue to move down. That will take some time, however, and is another reason that these are being looked at as investments for the long haul. That valuation may mean limited upside in Tesla shares for a few years.But that's how retirement savings should be invested. Many years from now, investments in Tesla, Home Depot, and Garmin made today will likely become important parts of a retirement portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HD":0.82,"GRMN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9014369893,"gmtCreate":1649605802740,"gmtModify":1676534536939,"author":{"id":"3581856827682527","authorId":"3581856827682527","name":"Ninjek","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/689e2dabbb18545d2e55228c4ad12578","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581856827682527","idStr":"3581856827682527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯💯💯","listText":"💯💯💯","text":"💯💯💯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9014369893","repostId":"2225524274","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225524274","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1649462464,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225524274?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-09 08:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225524274","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The math adds up if these companies can keep performing.","content":"<div>\n<p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-09 08:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4523":"印度概念","TTM":"塔塔汽车","HCM":"和黄医药","BK4007":"制药","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225524274","content_text":"Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen overnight.In investing, becoming a millionaire takes time. Buying shares of high-performing companies can, over time, produce life-changing gains. The Trade Desk, Paycom Software, and Align Technology are three that I believe have that potential.Let's look at their earnings, growth rates, and valuations to see how they could transform a $100,000 portfolio into a seven-figure retirement nest egg over the next decade.1. The Trade DeskThere is an old saying in the advertising business that half of ad spending is wasted, but nobody knows which half. The Trade Desk is eliminating that waste with its data-driven self-service platform. Its customers manage their ad spending on more than 500 billion digital opportunities per day. The goal is to help customers make the most intelligent ad-buying decisions and provide them with an abundance of performance feedback. In today's digital economy, it's invaluable.And business is growing like a weed. Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to climb more than 23% next year. That's a reasonable rate to use in our calculation. The company has grown revenue 375% over the past five years. Also, gross spend on Trade Desk's platform climbed 47% last year to $6.2 billion. And management pegs the global ad-spend opportunity at $750 billion, with about $50 billion in display advertising. That offers plenty of room to grow for years.TTD revenue (TTM). Data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months.Wall Street sees the potential. The Trade Desk's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has varied between 40 and 120 over the past few years. We'll use 50 for our calculations.Doing the math on an initial investment of $33,333.33 (a third of the $100,000) leads to a stake in The Trade Desk worth almost $190,000 in 2032. That relies on bold assumptions. But they are well within what the company has delivered so far.2. PaycomPaycom offers businesses a platform to manage employee payroll, time and attendance, and benefits administration, among other things. Its product was built for the cloud. That's different from many traditional human capital management (HCM) vendors that have pieced together acquired software over the years.Customers can clearly tell the difference. Paycom topped $1 billion in revenue last year for the first time, a 26% increase over 2020. Most importantly, that revenue is recurring and sticky. Revenue retention was 94% in 2021. Customers stick around once they start using the platform.Before the pandemic, Paycom's top line was expanding between 30% and 45% each year. We'll use last year's 26% for our calculation and apply a multiple of 60 times earnings. That seems high. But shares have stayed within a range of 50 to 100 times earnings over the years.For Paycom, that one-third of the $100,000 hypothetically invested in 2022 turns into more than $350,000 a decade from now. That would make it a 10-bagger. While it might seem unlikely, if the market continues to reward predictable revenue, and Paycom continues to grow, it's possible. After all, its $1.1 billion in 2021 revenue is a drop in the bucket of an HCM market that is predicted to reach $47 billion by 2029.3. Align TechnologyThe company best known for its Invisalign clear teeth-straightening system is actually a vertically integrated combination of several businesses. They all help people get straighter teeth faster, and orthodontists and dentists see more clients every year. It also provides scanners and software -- two acquisitions -- that help practitioners develop and communicate a plan for patients.The growth opportunity is tremendous. Management estimates 500 million potential customers in the world with 21 million orthodontic starts each year -- two-thirds of them teens. For context, it shipped 2.55 million aligners last year.Align is the crown jewel in our attempt to grow a million-dollar portfolio. The $33,333.33 invested in it could grow over the next 10 years into $461,000. That's assuming the $12.50 analysts expect this year grows at the midpoint of management's long-term guidance of 20% to 30% a year. Similar to the other two stocks, Align typically trades at a premium. We'll use 50 times earnings, slightly above the bottom of the 40 to 100 historical P/E range. It's an amazing potential return when running the numbers.\"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future\"That quote from Yankees legend Yogi Berra underscores a key point in the analysis above. No one knows what the world is going to look like in 10 years. Investors with a long-term mindset need to block out the noise without being irresponsible.The Trade Desk, Paycom, and Align have all grown rapidly while turning a profit. I expect that to continue. If the assumptions hold, a $100,000 investment will be worth $1 million in 10 short years.Calculations and chart by author.It's an interesting exercise that relies on the past as a guide. If the performance changes, so can the outcome. That's why it's best to build a diversified portfolio of a lot more than three stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTM":1,"HCM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}