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2023-05-11

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@HueFin News: Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction

2023-05-02

Ok

The Fed's "hawk heart" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?

2023-03-28

O

Take History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?

2023-03-24

ok

The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%

2023-03-13

👍

This week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings

2023-03-13

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Foreign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes

2023-03-12

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Last night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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News","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/525ab01de57ae269d24770433c37e0ed","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010714","idStr":"10000000000010714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction\n \n","listText":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","text":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970040121","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"08721a20d2444035a1fa2d4e33830030","tweetId":"9970040121","title":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168374727464114cb42dfb4a3fc8968bd91d578f44794.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc89fa2536ae91b61ecbfdc44633e01","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168374727464114cb42dfb4a3fc8968bd91d578f44794.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947849083,"gmtCreate":1682980776843,"gmtModify":1682980780328,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947849083","repostId":"2332624680","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2332624680","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1682936298,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2332624680?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-01 18:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2332624680","media":"金十数据","summary":"期货市场几乎完全消化了美联储将在本月加息25个基点的预期，投机者纷纷出手押注美元走软，美联储今年年尾的降息预期真的“稳”了吗？","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Identifying with the market is equivalent to admitting mistakes! Is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation at the end of this year really \"stable\"? As the Fed's biggest rate tightening campaign in decades draws to a close, the hard lessons of past policy mistakes will seriously affect the follow-up pace of policymakers.</p><p><strong>While the Fed is pushing rate hike at its fastest pace in decades, how long Federal Funds rate will stay high is a question that even they themselves are hard to answer</strong>。 No one knows how long it will take to control sticky service inflation, or how quickly the credit crunch will crumble demand.</p><p><strong>Futures markets have almost fully digested that the Fed will issue a 25 basis point rate hike this month</strong>, and put Federal Funds rate to expectations in the range of 5% to 5.25%. At present, the market is more concerned about:<strong>Whether Powell and colleagues will signal a pause in rate hike.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc56221eb7e0d4e03280c68cd825c113\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><strong>Speculators have made their bets?</strong></p><p>As the Fed is expected to pause after this week's rate hike,<strong>Investors are betting that the dollar is about to weaken.</strong></p><p>Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of April 25,<strong>Hedge funds and other big speculators increased net bearish positions on the dollar against major currencies to more than 70,000, the highest level since June 2021</strong>。 According to foreign media's measurement of the exchange rate of the US dollar against major trading partners,<strong>The dollar will erase all gains since the Federal Reserve began raising Federal Funds rate last March</strong>。</p><p>As the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to take more aggressive actions in the coming months,<strong>Speculators are eyeing the possibility of the euro and pound extending their gains</strong>。<strong>The euro and the pound have emerged as one of the top three major developed currencies this year.</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NMR\">Nomura Holdings</a>Andrew Ticehurst, a Sydney-based interest rate strategist, said:</p><p>\"We remain bullish on the euro, as the market widely believes that the Fed will perform the\" last dance \"and the ECB has more work to do. It is believed that the follow-up rate hike of the ECB and the Bank of England will exceed that of the Fed, especially in the U.S. economic outlook is shrouded in fears of recession and concerns about banking and debt ceiling.\"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5366d937cbbd752016f07b9ca2f987f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1143\"/></p><p><strong>Is the market's expectation of the Fed's rate cut wrong again?</strong></p><p>Includes<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Economists including the Fed lowered their expectations for another rate hike in June</strong>, UBS chief U.S. economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to signal a pause, but he also added that,<strong>They will rate hike again if the data requires it</strong>。 He pointed out,<strong>The last rate hike from the Fed's last three rate hike cycles was accompanied by a \"disclaimer\" that the next move could be another rate hike rather than a rate cut.</strong>Because inflation remains well above target levels, and<strong>A definitive end to rate hike could upend public expectations of the Fed's commitment to maintaining stable prices</strong>。</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's ideas may be inspired by its long battle with inflation in the late 1960s to early 1980s, and efforts to avoid a repeat of what Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel once called \"the biggest failure of postwar U.S. macroeconomic policy.\"</p><p>During that time,<strong>The Fed fails to stop the wage-price spiral</strong>, after several attempts to raise and lower interest rates, Federal Funds rate even peaked at 20% and experienced four recessions before the Fed finally got things under control.</p><p>Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, said of the Fed:</p><p>\"We expect policymakers to probably stop and look at the impact of all the rate hike they've done so far, but they certainly won't agree with the bond market or say they won't cut rates in the second half of the year, which is basically equivalent to admitting that you've made a mistake and will have to go'back 'on interest rates.\"<strong>Risky assets could rebound if statements from Powell or the Fed hint at a pause in rate hike after May</strong>。 Roland said that if Powell made a dovish statement, it would be a surprise and could provide another boost to the market. But Roland also said that there is still a need to be cautious. She said:</p><p>\"I think we should be wary of chasing gains because the market is showing few signs of investor bearish at the moment: volatility is low, the VIX index is below 20, and the expected P/E of the S&P 500 is 18 times. In the macroeconomic situation and the market When the situation is completely different, be careful not to add too much risk to your portfolio.\"</body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-05-01 18:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Identifying with the market is equivalent to admitting mistakes! Is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation at the end of this year really \"stable\"? As the Fed's biggest rate tightening campaign in decades draws to a close, the hard lessons of past policy mistakes will seriously affect the follow-up pace of policymakers.</p><p><strong>While the Fed is pushing rate hike at its fastest pace in decades, how long Federal Funds rate will stay high is a question that even they themselves are hard to answer</strong>。 No one knows how long it will take to control sticky service inflation, or how quickly the credit crunch will crumble demand.</p><p><strong>Futures markets have almost fully digested that the Fed will issue a 25 basis point rate hike this month</strong>, and put Federal Funds rate to expectations in the range of 5% to 5.25%. At present, the market is more concerned about:<strong>Whether Powell and colleagues will signal a pause in rate hike.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc56221eb7e0d4e03280c68cd825c113\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><strong>Speculators have made their bets?</strong></p><p>As the Fed is expected to pause after this week's rate hike,<strong>Investors are betting that the dollar is about to weaken.</strong></p><p>Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of April 25,<strong>Hedge funds and other big speculators increased net bearish positions on the dollar against major currencies to more than 70,000, the highest level since June 2021</strong>。 According to foreign media's measurement of the exchange rate of the US dollar against major trading partners,<strong>The dollar will erase all gains since the Federal Reserve began raising Federal Funds rate last March</strong>。</p><p>As the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to take more aggressive actions in the coming months,<strong>Speculators are eyeing the possibility of the euro and pound extending their gains</strong>。<strong>The euro and the pound have emerged as one of the top three major developed currencies this year.</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NMR\">Nomura Holdings</a>Andrew Ticehurst, a Sydney-based interest rate strategist, said:</p><p>\"We remain bullish on the euro, as the market widely believes that the Fed will perform the\" last dance \"and the ECB has more work to do. It is believed that the follow-up rate hike of the ECB and the Bank of England will exceed that of the Fed, especially in the U.S. economic outlook is shrouded in fears of recession and concerns about banking and debt ceiling.\"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5366d937cbbd752016f07b9ca2f987f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1143\"/></p><p><strong>Is the market's expectation of the Fed's rate cut wrong again?</strong></p><p>Includes<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Economists including the Fed lowered their expectations for another rate hike in June</strong>, UBS chief U.S. economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to signal a pause, but he also added that,<strong>They will rate hike again if the data requires it</strong>。 He pointed out,<strong>The last rate hike from the Fed's last three rate hike cycles was accompanied by a \"disclaimer\" that the next move could be another rate hike rather than a rate cut.</strong>Because inflation remains well above target levels, and<strong>A definitive end to rate hike could upend public expectations of the Fed's commitment to maintaining stable prices</strong>。</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's ideas may be inspired by its long battle with inflation in the late 1960s to early 1980s, and efforts to avoid a repeat of what Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel once called \"the biggest failure of postwar U.S. macroeconomic policy.\"</p><p>During that time,<strong>The Fed fails to stop the wage-price spiral</strong>, after several attempts to raise and lower interest rates, Federal Funds rate even peaked at 20% and experienced four recessions before the Fed finally got things under control.</p><p>Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, said of the Fed:</p><p>\"We expect policymakers to probably stop and look at the impact of all the rate hike they've done so far, but they certainly won't agree with the bond market or say they won't cut rates in the second half of the year, which is basically equivalent to admitting that you've made a mistake and will have to go'back 'on interest rates.\"<strong>Risky assets could rebound if statements from Powell or the Fed hint at a pause in rate hike after May</strong>。 Roland said that if Powell made a dovish statement, it would be a surprise and could provide another boost to the market. But Roland also said that there is still a need to be cautious. She said:</p><p>\"I think we should be wary of chasing gains because the market is showing few signs of investor bearish at the moment: volatility is low, the VIX index is below 20, and the expected P/E of the S&P 500 is 18 times. In the macroeconomic situation and the market When the situation is completely different, be careful not to add too much risk to your portfolio.\"</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111557&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a5657d24ae68fd59066d5458a132c55","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEX":"标普100","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111557&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2332624680","content_text":"认同市场就等于承认错误！美联储将于今年年尾的降息预期真的“稳”了吗？随着美联储几十年来最大幅度的利率紧缩运动接近尾声，过去政策错误所导致的惨痛教训将严重影响政策制定者的后续步伐。尽管美联储以几十年来最快的速度推加息，但联邦基金利率会在高位停留多久是一个连他们自己都很难回答的问题。没人知道要多久才能控制高粘性的服务业通胀，也没人知道信贷紧缩会以多快的速度瓦解需求。期货市场几乎完全消化了美联储将在本月加息25个基点，并使联邦基金利率至5%至5.25%区间的预期。目前市场比较关注的是：鲍威尔及其同事是否会发出暂停加息的信号。投机者已出手押注？因为预计美联储在本周加息后暂停，投资者纷纷押注美元即将走软。美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）的数据显示，截至4月25日，对冲基金和其他大型投机者将美元兑主要货币的净看空头寸增至逾7万份，为2021年6月以来的最高水平。根据外媒对美元兑主要贸易伙伴汇率的衡量，美元将抹去自美联储去年3月开始提高联邦基金利率以来的所有涨幅。由于欧洲央行和英国央行预计将在未来几个月采取更为激进的行动，投机者正关注欧元和英镑延续涨势的可能性。欧元和英镑已成为今年表现最好的三大主要发达国家货币之一。野村控股驻悉尼的利率策略师Andrew Ticehurst表示：“我们仍看好欧元，因市场普遍认为美联储将上演“最后一舞”，而欧洲央行还有更多工作要做。人们认为，欧洲央行和英国央行的后续加息幅度将超过美联储，尤其是在美国经济前景笼罩在对衰退的担忧以及对银行业和债务上限的担忧阴影之下。”市场对美联储的降息预期又错？包括高盛在内的经济学家下调了美联储在6月再次加息的预期，瑞银首席美国经济学家Jonathan Pingle预计，美联储将发出暂停的信号，但他也补充说，如果数据需要，他们会再次加息。他指出，美联储过去三个加息周期的最后一次加息都附有“免责声明”，即下一步行动可能是再次加息而不是降息。因为通胀仍远高于目标水平，而明确结束加息可能会颠覆公众对美联储维持稳定物价承诺的预期。此外，美联储的想法可能会受到20世纪60年代末至80年代初其与通胀的长期斗争的启发，并努力避免重蹈沃顿商学院教授杰里米-西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）曾称为 “战后美国宏观经济政策的最大失败”的覆辙。在那段时间里，美联储未能阻止工资价格的螺旋式上升，经过几次提高和降低利率的尝试，联邦基金利率甚至达到了20%的峰值，并经历四次经济衰退，美联储最终才将事情控制住。约翰-汉考克投资管理公司（John Hancock Investment Management）的联合首席投资策略师Emily Roland在谈到美联储时说：“我们预计会政策制定者可能会停下来看看他们到目前为止所做的所有加息的影响几何，但他们肯定不会同意债券市场的意见，或者说他们不会在下半年降息，那基本上相当于承认你已经犯了一个错误，将不得不在利率上走‘回头路’。”如果鲍威尔或美联储的声明暗示5月后将暂停加息，风险资产可能会反弹。Roland称，如果鲍威尔发表了鸽派的表态，这将令人意外，可能为市场提供另一股推动力。但Roland也表示，仍有保持谨慎的必要。她说：“我认为要警惕追涨，因为目前市场几乎没有显示出投资者看空的迹象：波动性很低，VIX指数低于20，标普500指数的预期市盈率为18倍。在宏观经济情况与市场情况完全不同的情况下，注意不要给投资组合增加太多风险。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SSO":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,".DJI":1,"UDOW":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"QID":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SPY":1,"SDS":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941398029,"gmtCreate":1679957631662,"gmtModify":1679957635558,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941398029","repostId":"1188760696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188760696","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1679929853,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188760696?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-27 23:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Take History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188760696","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"分析师表示，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要行动。随着消费者削减开支，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Analysts say that if the credit line is removed, businesses will have to lay off jobs, cut expenses and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession. The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</p><p>On March 25, Lance Roberts, an analyst at Real Investment Advice, wrote on the website that historically, as the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, the banking crisis was the first evidence of problems.</p><p>Last week, after including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Government agencies took action after several banks, including the bankruptcy. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. FDIC, the Treasury Department, and the Federal Reserve have released a bank term loan program, BTFP, that provides $25 billion in loans as security to protect uninsured depositors from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Subsequently, 11 major large banks provided $30 billion in uninsured deposits to First Republic Bank. Roberts Think that,<b>Without guarantees from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, these deposits would not have occurred.</b></p><p>Banks then quickly took advantage of this loan program, and the funds borrowed from the Federal Reserve surged by $152 billion, the largest borrowing in a week since the financial crisis. Since last week, that number has soared to nearly $300 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ae18323ab7e3883a5cdec1f1ae1be3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquired with the government's brokerage<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>, the Federal Reserve reopened dollar swap lines to provide liquidity to foreign banks.</p><p>On March 19, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a coordinated action to strengthen liquidity supply through a long-term US dollar liquidity swap arrangement. In order to improve the effectiveness of swap lines in providing dollar funds, the central bank, which currently provides dollar business, has agreed to increase the frequency of seven-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations started on March 20 and will last until at least the end of April.</p><p>Roberts Indicates,<b>Historically, once the Fed opened up the dollar swap line, further monetary easing measures-from interest rate cuts, \"quantitative easing\" to other liquidity operations-followed. Of course, this is usually a reaction to a banking crisis, a credit-related event, an economic downturn, or a combination of all three.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce74955cbf82fc6ed9ad12f5c6ab8660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the knee-jerk response to a reversal in monetary tightening is to buy risky assets, investors may want to be cautious because recessions tend to follow banking crises, Roberts said.</p><p><b>Banking crisis leads to recession</b></p><p>Roberts pointed out that one obvious result of the banking crisis is the tightening of lending standards. Given that credit is the lifeblood of the economy, whether it is consumer or corporate credit, tightening lending standards has reduced economic flows. A liquidity crunch eventually leads to a recession when banks tighten lending standards to all types of businesses. Many businesses rely on lines of credit or other measures to bridge the gap between producing a product or service and earning revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1970f0a20094a02f94bd0635eb78e52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Roberts argues that if the credit line is eliminated, businesses will have to lay off employees, cut expenses, and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, the economic drag intensifies, and reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession.</b></p><p>He added that all forms of credit, from mortgages and auto loans to consumer credit, are currently experiencing a liquidity crunch.<b>The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bedc7e814291ec1e88f1ee6c08db190\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He also said that the last time lending standards were tightened so sharply was during the economic stagnation caused by the epidemic. Many investors hope that the Federal Reserve's shift to easing monetary policy to deal with recession risks will be positive for stocks. But those hopes could be dashed because of the initial \"repricing risk\" of a recession.</p><p><b>Recession brings repricing risks</b></p><p>Roberts went on to say that the optimistic expectation is that the bear market will end when the Fed makes a policy pivot. While there is nothing wrong with this expectation, it may not happen as quickly as the bulls expect. When the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in history, it wasn't the end of the stock market bear market, it was the beginning.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a6101db72600ac0fa5efee7c29b839\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He pointed out that it is worth noting that<b>Most bear markets come after the Fed's policy pivot.</b>This is because policy shifts are often accompanied by a perception that something is wrong economically (i.e., a recession) or financially (i.e., a credit crisis). When that happens and the Fed begins to act,<b>The market will reprice a sluggish economy and lower earnings growth rates.</b></p><p>Current forward estimates of earnings are still well above long-term growth trends, which generally fall short during recessions or other financial or economic events, according to data from Real Investment Advice.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de7815326ff7c005a5a5671eeb36a517\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A better way to understand this, Roberts said, is to look at the long-term exponential growth trend of earnings. Historically, earnings have grown roughly about 6% from one peak earnings cycle to the next. During a recession, deviations above the long-term exponential growth trend are corrected. The peak growth rate of 6% comes from the annual economic growth rate of about 6%.<b>It can be concluded that annual earnings changes are highly correlated with economic growth.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f5d7f221e55be18e778f7b2d98aeff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Given that earnings are a function of economic activity, current estimates for year-end are unsustainable if the economy contracts, he said. Therefore, in the economic recession environment, this deviation from long-term growth is unsustainable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f6262ba11c997e5b6277d817b3b88db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts Pointed out that,<b>Because valuations are assumptions about future earnings, asset prices must be repriced to address earnings risks, especially during banking crises.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adce27e3d79c15302590b01a071eaf8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts concluded that investors face two certain things: one is that the Fed's rate hike has triggered a banking crisis that will end in a recession as lending contracts; Second, this will force the Federal Reserve to finally cut interest rates and restart the next \"quantitative easing\" plan. Therefore, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time, it begins to acknowledge the economic recession.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Take History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTake History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-27 23:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Analysts say that if the credit line is removed, businesses will have to lay off jobs, cut expenses and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession. The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</p><p>On March 25, Lance Roberts, an analyst at Real Investment Advice, wrote on the website that historically, as the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, the banking crisis was the first evidence of problems.</p><p>Last week, after including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Government agencies took action after several banks, including the bankruptcy. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. FDIC, the Treasury Department, and the Federal Reserve have released a bank term loan program, BTFP, that provides $25 billion in loans as security to protect uninsured depositors from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Subsequently, 11 major large banks provided $30 billion in uninsured deposits to First Republic Bank. Roberts Think that,<b>Without guarantees from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, these deposits would not have occurred.</b></p><p>Banks then quickly took advantage of this loan program, and the funds borrowed from the Federal Reserve surged by $152 billion, the largest borrowing in a week since the financial crisis. Since last week, that number has soared to nearly $300 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ae18323ab7e3883a5cdec1f1ae1be3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquired with the government's brokerage<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>, the Federal Reserve reopened dollar swap lines to provide liquidity to foreign banks.</p><p>On March 19, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a coordinated action to strengthen liquidity supply through a long-term US dollar liquidity swap arrangement. In order to improve the effectiveness of swap lines in providing dollar funds, the central bank, which currently provides dollar business, has agreed to increase the frequency of seven-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations started on March 20 and will last until at least the end of April.</p><p>Roberts Indicates,<b>Historically, once the Fed opened up the dollar swap line, further monetary easing measures-from interest rate cuts, \"quantitative easing\" to other liquidity operations-followed. Of course, this is usually a reaction to a banking crisis, a credit-related event, an economic downturn, or a combination of all three.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce74955cbf82fc6ed9ad12f5c6ab8660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the knee-jerk response to a reversal in monetary tightening is to buy risky assets, investors may want to be cautious because recessions tend to follow banking crises, Roberts said.</p><p><b>Banking crisis leads to recession</b></p><p>Roberts pointed out that one obvious result of the banking crisis is the tightening of lending standards. Given that credit is the lifeblood of the economy, whether it is consumer or corporate credit, tightening lending standards has reduced economic flows. A liquidity crunch eventually leads to a recession when banks tighten lending standards to all types of businesses. Many businesses rely on lines of credit or other measures to bridge the gap between producing a product or service and earning revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1970f0a20094a02f94bd0635eb78e52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Roberts argues that if the credit line is eliminated, businesses will have to lay off employees, cut expenses, and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, the economic drag intensifies, and reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession.</b></p><p>He added that all forms of credit, from mortgages and auto loans to consumer credit, are currently experiencing a liquidity crunch.<b>The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bedc7e814291ec1e88f1ee6c08db190\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He also said that the last time lending standards were tightened so sharply was during the economic stagnation caused by the epidemic. Many investors hope that the Federal Reserve's shift to easing monetary policy to deal with recession risks will be positive for stocks. But those hopes could be dashed because of the initial \"repricing risk\" of a recession.</p><p><b>Recession brings repricing risks</b></p><p>Roberts went on to say that the optimistic expectation is that the bear market will end when the Fed makes a policy pivot. While there is nothing wrong with this expectation, it may not happen as quickly as the bulls expect. When the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in history, it wasn't the end of the stock market bear market, it was the beginning.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a6101db72600ac0fa5efee7c29b839\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He pointed out that it is worth noting that<b>Most bear markets come after the Fed's policy pivot.</b>This is because policy shifts are often accompanied by a perception that something is wrong economically (i.e., a recession) or financially (i.e., a credit crisis). When that happens and the Fed begins to act,<b>The market will reprice a sluggish economy and lower earnings growth rates.</b></p><p>Current forward estimates of earnings are still well above long-term growth trends, which generally fall short during recessions or other financial or economic events, according to data from Real Investment Advice.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de7815326ff7c005a5a5671eeb36a517\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A better way to understand this, Roberts said, is to look at the long-term exponential growth trend of earnings. Historically, earnings have grown roughly about 6% from one peak earnings cycle to the next. During a recession, deviations above the long-term exponential growth trend are corrected. The peak growth rate of 6% comes from the annual economic growth rate of about 6%.<b>It can be concluded that annual earnings changes are highly correlated with economic growth.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f5d7f221e55be18e778f7b2d98aeff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Given that earnings are a function of economic activity, current estimates for year-end are unsustainable if the economy contracts, he said. Therefore, in the economic recession environment, this deviation from long-term growth is unsustainable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f6262ba11c997e5b6277d817b3b88db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts Pointed out that,<b>Because valuations are assumptions about future earnings, asset prices must be repriced to address earnings risks, especially during banking crises.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adce27e3d79c15302590b01a071eaf8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts concluded that investors face two certain things: one is that the Fed's rate hike has triggered a banking crisis that will end in a recession as lending contracts; Second, this will force the Federal Reserve to finally cut interest rates and restart the next \"quantitative easing\" plan. Therefore, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time, it begins to acknowledge the economic recession.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"161121":"银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188760696","content_text":"分析师表示，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要行动。随着消费者削减开支，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的第一个警告信号。3月25日，Real Investment Advice 的分析师 Lance Roberts 在网站上写道，从历史上看，随着美联储收紧货币政策，银行业危机是问题出现的第一项证据。上周，在包括硅谷银行在内的几家银行破产倒闭后，政府机构采取了行动。联邦存款保险公司FDIC、财政部和美联储发布了一项银行定期贷款计划BTFP，提供250亿美元贷款作为担保，以保护未投保的储户免受硅谷银行破产的影响。随后，11家主要大型银行向第一共和国银行提供了300亿美元的无保险存款。Roberts 认为，如果没有美联储和财政部的保证，是不会出现这些存款的。银行随后迅速利用了这一贷款计划，向美联储借贷的资金激增了1520亿美元，这是自金融危机以来一周内规模最大的借款。自上周以来，这一数字已飙升至近3000亿美元。自那以后，瑞银在政府的撮合下收购了瑞士信贷，美联储重新开放了美元互换额度，为外国银行提供流动性。3月19日，加拿大央行、英国央行、日本央行、欧洲央行、美联储和瑞士央行银行宣布了一项协调行动，通过长期美元流动性互换安排加强流动性供应。为了提高互换额度在提供美元资金方面的有效性，目前提供美元业务的央行已同意将7天到期操作的频率从每周增加到每天。这些日常操作从3月20日开始，将至少将持续到4月底。Roberts 表示，从历史上看，一旦美联储开放美元互换额度，进一步的货币宽松措施——从降息、“量化宽松”到其他流动性操作就会随之而来。当然，这通常是对银行危机、信贷相关事件、经济衰退的反应，或三者兼而有之。Roberts 表示，尽管对货币紧缩政策逆转的下意识反应是购买风险资产，但投资者可能希望保持谨慎，因为经济衰退往往会在银行业危机之后出现。银行业危机导致经济衰退Roberts 指出，银行业危机的一个明显结果就是贷款标准的收紧。鉴于信贷是经济的命脉，无论是消费者信贷还是企业信贷，贷款标准的收紧都减少了经济流动。当银行收紧对各类企业的贷款标准时，流动性紧缩最终会导致经济衰退。许多企业依靠信用额度或其他措施来弥补生产产品或服务与获得收入之间的差距。Roberts 认为，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要的行动。随着消费者削减开支，经济拖累加剧，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。他补充称，目前从抵押贷款、汽车贷款到消费信贷，所有形式的信贷都在出现流动性的紧缩。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的第一个警告信号。他还说，上一次贷款标准出现如此大幅度的紧缩还是在疫情导致的经济停滞期间。许多投资者希望，美联储转向放松货币政策以应对衰退风险，这将利好股市。但这些希望可能会落空，因为经济衰退最初会带来“重新定价风险”。经济衰退带来重新定价风险Roberts 继续表示，乐观的预期是，当美联储做出政策转向时，熊市将会结束。虽然这种预期没有错，但它可能不会像多头预期的那样迅速发生。当美联储在历史上开始降息时，这并不是股市熊市的结束，而是开始。他指出，值得注意的是，大多数熊市都出现在美联储的政策转向之后。这是因为政策转向通常伴随着一种认知，即某些东西在经济上（即经济衰退）或金融上（即信用危机）出现了问题。当这种情况发生，美联储开始采取行动时，市场会为低迷的经济和更低的盈利增长率重新定价。Real Investment Advice的数据显示，目前对盈利的远期估计仍远高于长期增长趋势，而在经济衰退或其他金融或经济事件期间，盈利通常会低于长期增长趋势。Roberts 称，理解这一点的更好的方法是观察收益的长期指数增长趋势。从历史上看，从一个峰值收益周期到下一个峰值收益周期，收益大约增长大约6%。在经济衰退期间，高于长期指数增长趋势的偏差会得到修正。6%的峰值增长率来自于大约6%的年度经济增长率。可以得出结论，年度收益变化与经济增长高度相关。他表示，鉴于收益是经济活动的函数，如果经济收缩，目前对年底的估计是不可持续的。因此在经济衰退环境下，这种偏离长期增长的趋势是不可持续的。Roberts 指出，由于估值是对未来收益的假设，因此资产价格必须重新定价以应对盈利风险，尤其是在银行业危机期间。Roberts 总结道，投资者面临着两件肯定的事情：一是美联储的加息引发了一场银行业危机，随着贷款收缩，这场危机将以衰退告终；二是这将迫使美联储最终降息并重启下一个“量化宽松”计划。因此，当美联储开启第一次降息，就是开始承认经济衰退。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161121":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943496527,"gmtCreate":1679611770870,"gmtModify":1679611774616,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943496527","repostId":"1193417234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193417234","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1679581305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193417234?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-23 22:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193417234","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月23日，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨超5%，金山云涨超17%，哔哩哔哩涨超11%，腾讯音乐涨超9%，爱奇艺、微博涨超8%，网易涨6%。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 23, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">Kingsoft Cloud</a>Rose more than 17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">IQiyi</a>, Weibo rose more than 8%, and NetEase rose 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db6c3835e2756a4d831fce1c0d068f7a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463885dddf6c66bbdb2e4a581711c656\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-23 22:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 23, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">Kingsoft Cloud</a>Rose more than 17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">IQiyi</a>, Weibo rose more than 8%, and NetEase rose 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db6c3835e2756a4d831fce1c0d068f7a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463885dddf6c66bbdb2e4a581711c656\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"SG9999006597.SGD":"United China-India Dynamic Growth SGD","BK4531":"中概回港概念","SG9999001069.SGD":"UOB UNITED ASIA PACIFIC GROWTH (SGD) ACC","SG9999001093.SGD":"United Greater China Fund A Acc SGD","BK4563":"昨日强势股","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","09626":"哔哩哔哩-W","BK4588":"碎股","HXC":"纳斯达克中国金龙指数","SG9999003461.SGD":"United Asia Pacific Infrastructure SGD","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK1588":"回港中概股","BK4510":"在线教育","BK1104":"互动家庭娱乐","SG9999001051.SGD":"United Asia Fund SGD"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193417234","content_text":"3月23日，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨超5%，金山云涨超17%，哔哩哔哩涨超11%，腾讯音乐涨超9%，爱奇艺、微博涨超8%，网易涨6%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HXC":0.9,"BILI":0.9,"09626":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949675027,"gmtCreate":1678666901970,"gmtModify":1678672906818,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949675027","repostId":"1148015560","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148015560","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678662881,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148015560?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-13 07:14","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"This week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148015560","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本周（3.13-3.17）重磅财经事件及数据如下：经济数据方面，本周将发布多个重要数据，其中美国未季调CPI年率、季调后CPI月率、截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动、截至3月11日当周初请","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>This week's (3.13-3.17) major financial events and data are as follows:</p><p>In terms of economic data, a number of important data will be released this week, including the annual rate of unseasonally adjusted CPI in the United States, the monthly rate of seasonally adjusted CPI, changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, and initial claims for the week ending March 11. The number of unemployment benefits should be paid attention to. In terms of financial events, the IEA monthly crude oil market report, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China, and Baidu's \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference will all be released this week. In terms of financial reports, U.S. stocks FedEx, Adobe, XPeng Motor and Hong Kong stocks Ping An, Longfor Group, Li Ning, China Literature Group, etc. will announce financial reports this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/618ec520caf78a2aaff48d97ddb5ad65\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>KEYWORDS FOR MONDAY, MARCH 13: Conference Board Job Trends Index; The Federal Reserve urgently convenes a closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Ping An Good Doctor, Nuohui Health Financial Report</b></p><p>On Monday, in terms of economic data, investors can pay attention to the Conference Board Employment Trend Index.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the Federal Reserve will hold an emergency private meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Governors. The agenda is to evaluate and decide the advance interest rate and discount rate charged by the Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">Nuohui Health-B</a>Earnings will be released separately.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, March 14: US CPI data, US NFIB small business confidence index</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a2a7b255ad5f7828401a91efafea29\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Tuesday, in terms of economic data, the market focused on a series of CPI data to be released by the United States, including the annual CPI rate without seasonally adjustment and the monthly CPI rate after seasonally adjustment.</p><p>At present, the market expects the annual CPI rate of the United States in February to be 6% without seasonally adjustment, slightly lower than the previous value of 6.4%. The monthly CPI rate in the United States in February was 0.4% after seasonally adjustment, which was also slightly lower than the previous value of 0.5%. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased by 6.4% year-on-year in January. Excluding volatile energy and food prices, the core CPI rose 5.6% year-on-year that month, lower than the previous value of 5.7%. Previously, economists predicted that the consumer price index in January would rise by 6.2% year-on-year, and the core CPI would rise by 0.4% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year. CPI data shows the changes in the prices of goods and services paid by consumers. On March 14, the United States will release February CPI data, and investors need to focus on it.<b>Keywords for Wednesday, March 15: U.S. API and EIA crude oil inventory changes for the week; U.S. retail sales monthly rate in February; Minutes of the Bank of Japan's January monetary policy meeting; Ping An of China, ZTO Express earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61e78a458a0a285bc018d945b1f0e4e8\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, in terms of economic data, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week, which is expected to affect the trend of oil prices.</p><p>U.S. API crude oil inventories decreased by 3.835 million barrels in the week ending March 2. Analysts expected a decrease of 30,800 barrels, and the previous value increased by 6.203 million barrels. In the week of March 3, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories decreased by 1.694 million barrels, expected to increase by 1.6 million barrels, and the previous value increased by 1.166 million barrels. On March 15, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, or continue to decrease. In terms of financial events, the IEA (International Energy Agency) will release its monthly crude oil market report, and investors should pay close attention to it.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">China Ping An</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02057\">ZTO Express-SW</a>Will report earnings.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, March 16: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week; ECB interest rate decisions; Baidu \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference; Adobe, Shell, Li Ning earnings reports</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cd0c2302aacd4f4202bd46f7cb53ade\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Thursday, in terms of economic data, investors should pay close attention to the number of initial jobless claims for the week.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the European Central Bank will hold an interest rate decision.</p><p>On March 8, local time, Italian Bank Governor Visco said that he did not approve of the European Central Bank's continued rate hike and believed that its monetary policy should continue to be cautious. However, the market expects that the European Central Bank is likely to conduct rate hike in March. Judging from the current statements of major officials of the European Central Bank, the European Central Bank is likely to continue its rate hike at the monetary policy meeting in March, and a 50 basis point rate hike is already a high probability event. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently told the media that core inflation in the euro zone will remain high in the short term. Therefore, it is increasingly likely that the European Central Bank will issue 50 basis points in rate hike later this month. In addition, Baidu will hold a press conference on the theme of \"Ernie Bot\".</p><p>Baidu plans to hold a press conference at its headquarters at 14:00 on March 16th, with the theme focusing on Ernie Bot. Robin Li, founder, chairman and CEO of Baidu, and Wang Haifeng, chief technology officer of Baidu, will attend. In addition, the monthly report of residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities published by the National Bureau of Statistics should also be closely monitored.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, the world's largest creative design software manufacturer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>The financial report will be announced after the U.S. stock market closes on March 15.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>The financial report will be announced before the U.S. stock market opens on March 16.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">Li Ning</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00772\">Reading Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03606\">Fuyao Glass</a>The financial report will also be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, March 17: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index; FedEx, XPeng Motor, Longfor Group Earnings</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c1948786b0c86f1a7c5cf88741b873\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Friday, in terms of economic data, the consumer confidence index of the University of Michigan will be released soon.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, \"a barometer of the U.S. economy\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on March 16, domestic new energy vehicle brands<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Will release earnings before the market on March 17.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">Longfor Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01313\">CR Cement Holdings</a>The financial report will also be released on the same day.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-13 07:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>This week's (3.13-3.17) major financial events and data are as follows:</p><p>In terms of economic data, a number of important data will be released this week, including the annual rate of unseasonally adjusted CPI in the United States, the monthly rate of seasonally adjusted CPI, changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, and initial claims for the week ending March 11. The number of unemployment benefits should be paid attention to. In terms of financial events, the IEA monthly crude oil market report, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China, and Baidu's \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference will all be released this week. In terms of financial reports, U.S. stocks FedEx, Adobe, XPeng Motor and Hong Kong stocks Ping An, Longfor Group, Li Ning, China Literature Group, etc. will announce financial reports this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/618ec520caf78a2aaff48d97ddb5ad65\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>KEYWORDS FOR MONDAY, MARCH 13: Conference Board Job Trends Index; The Federal Reserve urgently convenes a closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Ping An Good Doctor, Nuohui Health Financial Report</b></p><p>On Monday, in terms of economic data, investors can pay attention to the Conference Board Employment Trend Index.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the Federal Reserve will hold an emergency private meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Governors. The agenda is to evaluate and decide the advance interest rate and discount rate charged by the Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">Nuohui Health-B</a>Earnings will be released separately.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, March 14: US CPI data, US NFIB small business confidence index</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a2a7b255ad5f7828401a91efafea29\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Tuesday, in terms of economic data, the market focused on a series of CPI data to be released by the United States, including the annual CPI rate without seasonally adjustment and the monthly CPI rate after seasonally adjustment.</p><p>At present, the market expects the annual CPI rate of the United States in February to be 6% without seasonally adjustment, slightly lower than the previous value of 6.4%. The monthly CPI rate in the United States in February was 0.4% after seasonally adjustment, which was also slightly lower than the previous value of 0.5%. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased by 6.4% year-on-year in January. Excluding volatile energy and food prices, the core CPI rose 5.6% year-on-year that month, lower than the previous value of 5.7%. Previously, economists predicted that the consumer price index in January would rise by 6.2% year-on-year, and the core CPI would rise by 0.4% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year. CPI data shows the changes in the prices of goods and services paid by consumers. On March 14, the United States will release February CPI data, and investors need to focus on it.<b>Keywords for Wednesday, March 15: U.S. API and EIA crude oil inventory changes for the week; U.S. retail sales monthly rate in February; Minutes of the Bank of Japan's January monetary policy meeting; Ping An of China, ZTO Express earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61e78a458a0a285bc018d945b1f0e4e8\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, in terms of economic data, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week, which is expected to affect the trend of oil prices.</p><p>U.S. API crude oil inventories decreased by 3.835 million barrels in the week ending March 2. Analysts expected a decrease of 30,800 barrels, and the previous value increased by 6.203 million barrels. In the week of March 3, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories decreased by 1.694 million barrels, expected to increase by 1.6 million barrels, and the previous value increased by 1.166 million barrels. On March 15, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, or continue to decrease. In terms of financial events, the IEA (International Energy Agency) will release its monthly crude oil market report, and investors should pay close attention to it.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">China Ping An</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02057\">ZTO Express-SW</a>Will report earnings.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, March 16: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week; ECB interest rate decisions; Baidu \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference; Adobe, Shell, Li Ning earnings reports</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cd0c2302aacd4f4202bd46f7cb53ade\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Thursday, in terms of economic data, investors should pay close attention to the number of initial jobless claims for the week.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the European Central Bank will hold an interest rate decision.</p><p>On March 8, local time, Italian Bank Governor Visco said that he did not approve of the European Central Bank's continued rate hike and believed that its monetary policy should continue to be cautious. However, the market expects that the European Central Bank is likely to conduct rate hike in March. Judging from the current statements of major officials of the European Central Bank, the European Central Bank is likely to continue its rate hike at the monetary policy meeting in March, and a 50 basis point rate hike is already a high probability event. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently told the media that core inflation in the euro zone will remain high in the short term. Therefore, it is increasingly likely that the European Central Bank will issue 50 basis points in rate hike later this month. In addition, Baidu will hold a press conference on the theme of \"Ernie Bot\".</p><p>Baidu plans to hold a press conference at its headquarters at 14:00 on March 16th, with the theme focusing on Ernie Bot. Robin Li, founder, chairman and CEO of Baidu, and Wang Haifeng, chief technology officer of Baidu, will attend. In addition, the monthly report of residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities published by the National Bureau of Statistics should also be closely monitored.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, the world's largest creative design software manufacturer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>The financial report will be announced after the U.S. stock market closes on March 15.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>The financial report will be announced before the U.S. stock market opens on March 16.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">Li Ning</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00772\">Reading Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03606\">Fuyao Glass</a>The financial report will also be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, March 17: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index; FedEx, XPeng Motor, Longfor Group Earnings</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c1948786b0c86f1a7c5cf88741b873\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Friday, in terms of economic data, the consumer confidence index of the University of Michigan will be released soon.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, \"a barometer of the U.S. economy\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on March 16, domestic new energy vehicle brands<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Will release earnings before the market on March 17.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">Longfor Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01313\">CR Cement Holdings</a>The financial report will also be released on the same day.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d256e82db1d71c864259845ce1d069bf","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148015560","content_text":"本周（3.13-3.17）重磅财经事件及数据如下：经济数据方面，本周将发布多个重要数据，其中美国未季调CPI年率、季调后CPI月率、截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动、截至3月11日当周初请失业金人数等应留意。财经事件方面，IEA月度原油市场报告、欧洲央行利率决议、中国70个大中城市住宅销售价格月度报告、百度“文心一言”主题发布会等都将在本周进行发布。财报方面，美股联邦快递、Adobe、小鹏汽车与港股中国平安、龙湖集团、李宁、阅文集团等将在本周公布财报。3月13日 周一关键词：美国谘商会就业趋势指数；美联储紧急召开联邦储备系统理事会非公开会议；平安好医生、诺辉健康财报周一，经济数据方面，投资者可关注美国谘商会就业趋势指数。财经事件方面，美联储将紧急召开联邦储备系统理事会非公开会议，议程为评估并决定联邦储备银行收取的预付利率和贴现率。财报方面，港股平安好医生、诺辉健康-B将分别发布财报。3月14日 周二关键词：美国CPI数据、美国NFIB小型企业信心指数周二，经济数据方面，市场重点关注美国将公布的一系列CPI数据，包括未季调CPI年率，季调后CPI月率等。目前市场预期美国2月CPI年率未季调为6%，略低于6.4%的前值。美国2月CPI月率季调后为0.4%，同样略低于0.5%的前值美国劳工统计局发布数据显示，1月美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比增长6.4%。剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格后，核心CPI当月同比上涨5.6%，低于前值的5.7%。此前，经济学家预计，1月消费者价格指数同比将上升6.2%，核心CPI环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨5.5%。CPI数据展示的是消费者支付的商品和服务价格的变动情况。3月14日，美国将公布2月份CPI数据，投资者需重点关注。3月15日 周三关键词：美国当周API和EIA原油库存变动；美国2月零售销售月率；日本央行1月货币政策会议纪要；中国平安、中通快递财报周三，经济数据方面，美国将公布当周API和EIA原油库存变动，料影响油价走势。美国截至3月2日当周API原油库存减少383.5万桶，分析师预期减少3.08万桶，前值增加620.3万桶。3月3日当周，美国EIA原油库存减少169.4万桶，预期增加160万桶，前值增加116.6万桶。3月15日，美国将公布截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动，或继续减少。财经事件方面，IEA（国际能源署）将公布月度原油市场报告，投资者需密切注意。财报方面，港股中国平安、中通快递-SW将公布财报。3月16日 周四关键词：美国当周初请失业金人数；欧洲央行利率决议；百度“文心一言”主题发布会；Adobe、贝壳、李宁财报周四，经济数据方面，投资者应密切关注当周初请失业金人数。财经事件方面，欧洲央行将举行利率决议。当地时间3月8日，意大利央行行长维斯科表示，不赞成欧洲央行继续加息，认为其货币政策应继续保持谨慎。不过，市场预期欧洲央行很有可能3月加息。从目前欧洲央行各主要官员的表态来看，欧洲央行很有可能在3月货币政策会议上继续加息，并且加息50个基点也已经是大概率事件。欧洲央行行长拉加德近日对媒体表示，欧元区核心通胀将在短期内保持高位，因此，欧洲央行本月晚些时候加息50个基点的可能性越来越大。此外，百度将召开“文心一言”主题发布会。百度计划于3月16日14时在北京总部召开新闻发布会，主题围绕文心一言。百度创始人、董事长兼首席执行官李彦宏，百度首席技术官王海峰将出席。另外，国家统计局公布的70个大中城市住宅销售价格月度报告也应密切留意。财报方面，全球最大的创意设计软件制造商Adobe将于3月15日美股盘后公布财报，贝壳将于3月16日美股盘前公布财报。此外，港股李宁、阅文集团、福耀玻璃也将于当日公布财报。3月17日 周五关键词：美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数；联邦快递、小鹏汽车、龙湖集团财报周五，经济数据方面，美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数即将公布。财报方面，“美国经济的晴雨表”联邦快递将于3月16日盘后发布财报，国内新能源汽车品牌小鹏汽车将于3月17日盘前发布财报。此外，港股龙湖集团、华润水泥控股也将于当日发布财报。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949672317,"gmtCreate":1678666713439,"gmtModify":1678672906962,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949672317","repostId":"2319087577","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2319087577","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1678656616,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2319087577?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-13 05:30","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2319087577","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　在美联储启动数十年来最激进的加息周期一年后，美国股市正处于一个关键阶段，紧张不安的投资者比以往任何时候都更需要安抚。　　上周标普500指数大跌逾4%，为去年9月以来最大跌幅，此前硅谷银行的倒闭引发了市场对其他银行资产负债表上隐藏的额外风险的担忧。这为美国股市在美联储宣布和美联储主席鲍威尔随后讨论未来道路之前的成败决定奠定了基础。　　美联储的一位代表不予置评。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. On the first anniversary of the Fed's rate hike, U.S. stocks are facing a critical moment</b><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Industry uncertainty continues, and the market faces greater risk of turmoil</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Its fate has long been engraved in its maverick genes</b><b>4. Yellen: Regulators<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The case focuses on protecting depositors rather than investors</b><b>5. U.S. regulators discuss establishing a fund to prepare for more bank failures</b><b>6. What may happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. stocks face critical moment on the first anniversary of Fed rate hike</b></p><p>A year after the Federal Reserve launched its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades, U.S. stocks are at a critical stage where jittery investors need reassurance more than ever.</p><p>The S&P 500 index fell more than 4% last week, its biggest drop since September last year, after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank raised concerns about additional risks hidden on the balance sheets of other banks. At the same time, questions surrounding the Fed's policy path are heating up as it enters a lull period ahead of its March 22 interest rate decision.</p><p>Amid the silence of Fed officials, all eyes are on the consumer price index released on Tuesday. Employment data released last week showed that inflation may be cooling. This sets the stage for a make-or-break decision for U.S. stocks ahead of the Fed's announcement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's subsequent discussion of the path ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95fa9f31b1d33104542d323133a1d278\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. banking uncertainty continues, markets face greater risk of turmoil</b></p><p>Traders are bracing for the risk of more volatility after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the largest U.S. bank since the 2008 financial crisis, sent shockwaves to markets.</p><p>The collapse of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank, driven in large part by the impact of the Federal Reserve's rate hike, raises the question of whether other institutions may also be at risk as investors debate the extent to which the Fed may tighten policy further. At the same time, the economic outlook and possible policy responses are still changing.</p><p>Forex markets will be the first to be in the spotlight as the new week begins and Asia Pacific starts trading on Monday. Traders will keep a close eye on whether safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen can extend Friday's gains and whether the dollar will continue to move lower amid market expectations for short-term U.S. Treasury Bond yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/133d7e6945b856432f42ae75824a9d68\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in its maverick DNA</b></p><p>Bank of America investors are pondering a question, is the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank an isolated case, or is it a sign that the entire industry building will collapse? At present, the answer is that the \"most extreme\" problems that all banks may encounter have been caught up by Silicon Valley Bank, and the bank itself has some special circumstances.</p><p>Last year, due to the Federal Reserve's rate hike, the value of U.S. Treasury Bond fell. All U.S. banks invested heavily in the U.S. bond market, but Silicon Valley Bank achieved a quite outstanding level: its investment portfolio expanded to 57% of total assets. Of the 74 major U.S. banks, none exceed 42%.</p><p>While rising interest rates have all banks worried about the exodus of depositors, most have a widely distributed customer base, both individuals and businesses. The rapid growth of Silicon Valley Bank is due to the fact that its main customers are technology startups.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560fe69661ff53ce80a662a545365b45\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Yellen: Regulators' concerns about Silicon Valley Bank case focus on protecting depositors rather than investors</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said regulators worked all weekend to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, and the most important thing was to protect depositors rather than bail out investors. But she declined to give details about a potential solution.</p><p>In an interview on Sunday, Yellen reiterated that the U.S. banking system is safe, well-capitalized and resilient. When asked if a solution would be proposed before Asian markets opened on Monday, she said officials were \"working to resolve the issue in a timely manner\".</p><p>Yellen said, \"During the financial crisis, investors and owners of systemically important banks were bailed out, and now we won't do it again, and the reforms we have been carrying out all along also mean that we won't do it. We are concerned about depositors, and we will focus on meeting their needs.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d90e31189aa3dc76827b6c0b62c54b3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. regulators discuss setting up a fund to prepare for more possible bank failures</b></p><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve are considering creating a fund that would allow regulators to provide more deposit protection to banks struggling after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Regulators discussed the new tool in conversations with bank executives, according to people familiar with the matter. The hope is to reassure savers by building such a tool and help curb panic, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p>A representative of the Fed declined to comment. FDIC representatives did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In addition, a source said that the FDIC questioned several small and medium-sized bank executives on Saturday about the financial situation, including $First Republic Bank (FRC-N) $.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c994d95a9f6ff2227ed75aaa8fed56ce\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>What might happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b></p><p>Customers of Silicon Valley Bank, as well as investors and bankers across the globe, are waiting for a statement from U.S. regulators on what's next following the bank's largest failure since 2008.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank will reopen Monday morning under the control of the newly formed National Deposit Insurance Bank of Santa Clara, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) said Friday. Once this happens, insured depositors with up to $250,000 in their account will be able to access their money.</p><p>But most of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits are uninsured, and it's unclear when those customers will be able to withdraw their money, or if they'll get it all back. Silicon Valley Bank's role as a key bank for start-ups and other venture capital-backed companies means many companies may struggle to pay wages and other obligations if they don't get their money back quickly.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-13 05:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. On the first anniversary of the Fed's rate hike, U.S. stocks are facing a critical moment</b><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Industry uncertainty continues, and the market faces greater risk of turmoil</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Its fate has long been engraved in its maverick genes</b><b>4. Yellen: Regulators<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The case focuses on protecting depositors rather than investors</b><b>5. U.S. regulators discuss establishing a fund to prepare for more bank failures</b><b>6. What may happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. stocks face critical moment on the first anniversary of Fed rate hike</b></p><p>A year after the Federal Reserve launched its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades, U.S. stocks are at a critical stage where jittery investors need reassurance more than ever.</p><p>The S&P 500 index fell more than 4% last week, its biggest drop since September last year, after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank raised concerns about additional risks hidden on the balance sheets of other banks. At the same time, questions surrounding the Fed's policy path are heating up as it enters a lull period ahead of its March 22 interest rate decision.</p><p>Amid the silence of Fed officials, all eyes are on the consumer price index released on Tuesday. Employment data released last week showed that inflation may be cooling. This sets the stage for a make-or-break decision for U.S. stocks ahead of the Fed's announcement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's subsequent discussion of the path ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95fa9f31b1d33104542d323133a1d278\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. banking uncertainty continues, markets face greater risk of turmoil</b></p><p>Traders are bracing for the risk of more volatility after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the largest U.S. bank since the 2008 financial crisis, sent shockwaves to markets.</p><p>The collapse of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank, driven in large part by the impact of the Federal Reserve's rate hike, raises the question of whether other institutions may also be at risk as investors debate the extent to which the Fed may tighten policy further. At the same time, the economic outlook and possible policy responses are still changing.</p><p>Forex markets will be the first to be in the spotlight as the new week begins and Asia Pacific starts trading on Monday. Traders will keep a close eye on whether safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen can extend Friday's gains and whether the dollar will continue to move lower amid market expectations for short-term U.S. Treasury Bond yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/133d7e6945b856432f42ae75824a9d68\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in its maverick DNA</b></p><p>Bank of America investors are pondering a question, is the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank an isolated case, or is it a sign that the entire industry building will collapse? At present, the answer is that the \"most extreme\" problems that all banks may encounter have been caught up by Silicon Valley Bank, and the bank itself has some special circumstances.</p><p>Last year, due to the Federal Reserve's rate hike, the value of U.S. Treasury Bond fell. All U.S. banks invested heavily in the U.S. bond market, but Silicon Valley Bank achieved a quite outstanding level: its investment portfolio expanded to 57% of total assets. Of the 74 major U.S. banks, none exceed 42%.</p><p>While rising interest rates have all banks worried about the exodus of depositors, most have a widely distributed customer base, both individuals and businesses. The rapid growth of Silicon Valley Bank is due to the fact that its main customers are technology startups.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560fe69661ff53ce80a662a545365b45\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Yellen: Regulators' concerns about Silicon Valley Bank case focus on protecting depositors rather than investors</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said regulators worked all weekend to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, and the most important thing was to protect depositors rather than bail out investors. But she declined to give details about a potential solution.</p><p>In an interview on Sunday, Yellen reiterated that the U.S. banking system is safe, well-capitalized and resilient. When asked if a solution would be proposed before Asian markets opened on Monday, she said officials were \"working to resolve the issue in a timely manner\".</p><p>Yellen said, \"During the financial crisis, investors and owners of systemically important banks were bailed out, and now we won't do it again, and the reforms we have been carrying out all along also mean that we won't do it. We are concerned about depositors, and we will focus on meeting their needs.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d90e31189aa3dc76827b6c0b62c54b3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. regulators discuss setting up a fund to prepare for more possible bank failures</b></p><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve are considering creating a fund that would allow regulators to provide more deposit protection to banks struggling after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Regulators discussed the new tool in conversations with bank executives, according to people familiar with the matter. The hope is to reassure savers by building such a tool and help curb panic, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p>A representative of the Fed declined to comment. FDIC representatives did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In addition, a source said that the FDIC questioned several small and medium-sized bank executives on Saturday about the financial situation, including $First Republic Bank (FRC-N) $.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c994d95a9f6ff2227ed75aaa8fed56ce\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>What might happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b></p><p>Customers of Silicon Valley Bank, as well as investors and bankers across the globe, are waiting for a statement from U.S. regulators on what's next following the bank's largest failure since 2008.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank will reopen Monday morning under the control of the newly formed National Deposit Insurance Bank of Santa Clara, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) said Friday. Once this happens, insured depositors with up to $250,000 in their account will be able to access their money.</p><p>But most of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits are uninsured, and it's unclear when those customers will be able to withdraw their money, or if they'll get it all back. Silicon Valley Bank's role as a key bank for start-ups and other venture capital-backed companies means many companies may struggle to pay wages and other obligations if they don't get their money back quickly.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-13/doc-imyksefm8938739.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","IAT":"安硕美国地区银行ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-13/doc-imyksefm8938739.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2319087577","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美联储加息一周年之际，美股面临关键时刻2、美国银行业不确定性持续，市场面临更大动荡风险3、硅谷银行的命运早已镌刻在其特立独行的基因中4、耶伦：监管层对硅谷银行案的关切重点是保护储户 而非投资者5、美国监管部门讨论建立一支基金 为更多银行可能倒闭做准备6、对硅谷银行的客户而言 接下来可能会发生什么美联储加息一周年之际，美股面临关键时刻在美联储启动数十年来最激进的加息周期一年后，美国股市正处于一个关键阶段，紧张不安的投资者比以往任何时候都更需要安抚。上周标普500指数大跌逾4%，为去年9月以来最大跌幅，此前硅谷银行的倒闭引发了市场对其他银行资产负债表上隐藏的额外风险的担忧。与此同时，随着美联储进入3月22日利率决定前的平静期，围绕美联储政策路径的问题也在不断升温。在美联储官员保持沉默的情况下，所有人的目光都集中在周二公布的消费者价格指数上。上周公布的就业数据显示，通胀可能正在降温。这为美国股市在美联储宣布和美联储主席鲍威尔随后讨论未来道路之前的成败决定奠定了基础。美国银行业不确定性持续，市场面临更大动荡风险在2008年金融危机以来美国规模最大的雷曼兄弟银行倒闭给市场带来冲击波后，交易员们正准备应对更多动荡的风险。SVB金融集团旗下硅谷银行的倒闭，在很大程度上是由美联储加息的影响推动的，这引发了一个问题：在投资者争论美联储可能进一步收紧政策的程度之际，其他机构是否也可能面临风险。与此同时，经济前景以及可能的政策应对仍在不断变化。随着新的一周开始，亚太地区周一开始交易，外汇市场将首先成为人们关注的焦点。交易员将密切关注瑞郎和日元等避险货币能否延续上周五的涨势，以及美元是否会随着市场对短期美国国债收益率的预期继续走低。硅谷银行的命运早已镌刻在其特立独行的基因中美国银行投资者正在冥思苦想一个问题，硅谷银行爆雷究竟是个孤例，还是整个行业大厦将倾的预兆？目前来看答案是，所有银行都可能遇到的“最极端”问题被硅谷银行赶上了，而且该行自身也有一些特殊情况。去年因为美联储加息，美国国债价值下跌，所有美国的银行对于美债市场都有大量投资，但硅谷银行却做到了一个相当突出的水平：其投资组合膨胀至总资产的57%。在美国74家主要银行中，没有一家银行超过42%。虽然利率上升让所有银行都担心储户外流，但大多数银行的客户群分布广泛，既有个人，也有企业。而硅谷银行的快速增长得益于其主要客户是科技初创公司。耶伦：监管层对硅谷银行案的关切重点是保护储户 而非投资者美国财政部长耶伦表示，监管机构整个周末都在为解决硅谷银行倒闭案而努力，最重要是保护储户，而非救助投资者。但她拒绝透露潜在解决方案的细节。耶伦周日接受采访时重申，美国银行体系安全，资本充足且富有韧性。当被问及在周一亚洲市场开盘前是否会提出解决方案时，她说，官员们正在“努力及时解决这一问题”。耶伦表示，“金融危机期间，系统重要性银行的投资者和所有者获得了救助，现在我们不会再这么做了，一直以来我们进行的改革也意味着我们不会这么做。我们关切的是储户，我们将专注于满足他们的需求”。美国监管部门讨论建立一支基金 为更多银行可能倒闭做准备美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）和美联储正在考虑创建一支基金，允许监管机构对在硅谷银行倒闭后陷入困境的银行提供更多存款防护。据知情人士透露，监管机构在与银行高管的对话中讨论了这一新工具。知情人士称，希望是通过建立这样一个工具安抚储户，并帮助遏制恐慌。美联储的一位代表不予置评。FDIC的代表暂未回复置评请求。此外，一位消息人士称FDIC周六就财务状况问题询问了多家中小型银行管理人士，包括$First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$。对硅谷银行的客户而言 接下来可能会发生什么硅谷银行的客户以及全球各地的投资者和银行家都在等待美国监管机构就这家自2008年以来规模最大的银行倒闭后的下一步举措发表声明。美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）周五表示，硅谷银行将于周一上午重新开业，由新成立的圣克拉拉国家存款保险银行控制。一旦这种情况发生，账户上存款不超过25万美元的保险储户将能够动用他们的钱。但硅谷银行的大部分存款都没有投保，目前还不清楚这些客户什么时候能取走他们的钱，或者他们是否能全部拿回来。硅谷银行作为初创企业和其他风险投资支持的公司的关键银行，意味着如果不能迅速收回资金，许多公司可能难以支付工资和其他义务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IAT":1,".DJI":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SIVB":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"QID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949621834,"gmtCreate":1678619465628,"gmtModify":1678620074162,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949621834","repostId":"1158350017","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158350017","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678492766,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158350017?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-11 07:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158350017","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道指跌345.22点，跌幅为1.07%，报31909.64点。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes surged and fell back, collectively closing lower; ② The total number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 311,000 in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%; ③ California Financial Regulatory Authority took over<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>, and has controlled bank deposits.<b>Overseas Market</b></p><p>1. U.S. stocks continue to close lower, and Silicon Valley Bank is taken over by California regulators</p><p>U.S. stocks continued to close lower on Friday as investors worried about contagion in the financial sector and strong February jobs data showed the economy added more jobs than expected. As of the close, the Dow fell 345.22 points, or 1.07%, to 31909.64 points; The Nasdaq fell 199.47 points, or 1.76%, to 11138.89 points; The S&P 500 fell 56.73 points, or 1.45%, to 3861.59 points. The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded losses this week, with the Dow falling 4.44%, the S&P 500 falling 4.55%, and the Nasdaq falling 4.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783f81717137530a23bb7bb4ac29b065\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In terms of industry sectors, all 11 major S&P sectors closed down: daily consumption and medical care all closed down within 0.8%, energy, communications, public utilities, high technology, finance, industry and semiconductors all closed down within 2%, and raw materials and real estate closed down 2.13% and 3.19% respectively.</p><p>The much-watched Silicon Valley Bank was suspended from trading and closed down 62.76%, but there was a sharp change after the market. On the news,<b>California's Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) announced that it has taken over Silicon Valley Bank under Section 592 of the California Financial Code due to illiquidity and insolvency and has taken control of the bank's deposits. S&P expects Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group to enter bankruptcy proceedings.</b>Its parent company Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group is said to have failed to raise funds and is selling itself. According to the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: Silicon Valley Bank Silicon Valley Bank has approximately US $209 billion in assets and US $175.4 billion in deposits; The bank, the first insured institution to go bust this year, will continue to cash its official checks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61a04e656a9bde49c113f67840cb6d8\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b39f41b9f1e0bdbff8577727d1161b4\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The KBW Bank Index (BKX) fell nearly 6.9% at the beginning of Friday's session. It turned up at the end of early trading and then quickly turned down, closing down 3.9%, a new low since November 2020. Bank of America fell 0.88%, Citigroup fell 0.53%, Morgan Stanley fell 2.33%, Goldman Sachs fell 4.22%, JPMorgan Chase rose 2.54%, and Wells Fargo rose 0.56%.</p><p>Most large tech stocks closed lower.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Down 1.48%, the chief technology officer of Microsoft Germany revealed that it will launch GPT-4 next week, a multi-modal model that includes video.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Down 1.78%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Down 1.65%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.39%;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 0.3%, the President of Mexico and Tesla discussed building a factory, and the Gigafactory is expected to start construction within two months</b>； Tesla considers vice versa<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688005\">Rongbai Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002384\">Dongshan Precision</a>Collaborate to reduce battery material costs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e19bc4ad3e79caf4f28f12a803ec6294\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2. Chinese concept stocks were mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rising against the trend</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 0.09%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 0.73%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">Huazhu</a>Up 1.09%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell 2.9%, Ali fell 0.49%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down 0.28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 3.19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down 1.33%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">Atour</a>Down 2.17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">MINISO</a>Fell 1.18%.</p><p>Bilibili bucked the trend and rose 5.96%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange transferred Bilibili's Hong Kong stocks to the Hong Kong Stock Connect target under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, which will take effect from the next Hong Kong Stock Connect trading day.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX Technology</a>A surge of 15.07%, 22Q4 revenue decreased by 82% year-on-year and was worse than expected, recording a net loss of 228 million yuan, turning from profit to loss year-on-year; Full-year revenue decreased by 37% year-on-year to 5.333 billion yuan, and net profit fell by about 29% year-on-year to 1.441 billion yuan.</p><p><b>Macro news</b></p><p><b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, but the unemployment rate rose.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, slowing down from the previous value, but still exceeding expectations of 225,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6%, higher than expected 3.4%. In terms of inflation data, the average hourly wage increased by 4.6% year-on-year, lower than the expected 4.8%, and increased by 0.2% month-on-month, also lower than the expected 0.4%. There is currently no obvious reason that the Fed will re-accelerate the pace of rate hike to 50 basis points in March. If the U.S. CPI data remains strong next week, it may increase the possibility of the Fed's March rate hike by 50 basis points.</p><p><b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen convened a meeting of multi-sector leaders to downplay the risks of the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said the U.S. banking system \"remains resilient\" and regulators \"have effective tools\" to respond to developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank. Yellen called leaders of the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a meeting Friday to discuss developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank, the Treasury Department said in an emailed statement.</p><p><b>Summers: If depositors survive unscathed, Silicon Valley Bank collapse will not pose a systemic risk.</b>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers said that as long as depositors are unscathed, the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group should not pose a risk to the U.S. financial system. Summers said, \"It is absolutely important that no matter how this matter is solved in the end, depositors have to get the money and get all the money. As long as this is the case, if it is handled properly, even if the value of bank assets is at risk, I have every reason to think that it will not become a source of systemic risk.\"</p><p><b>Commodities</b></p><p>WTI crude oil futures for April rose 96 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $76.68 a barrel. Based on the most active contract, WTI crude oil futures fell 3.8% for the week. Brent crude oil futures for May rose $1.19, or 1.5%, to $82.78 a barrel.</p><p>Gold rises. The settlement price of COMEX April gold futures rose 1.8% to $1,867.2 per ounce, a cumulative increase of 0.68% this week.</p><p>London metals collectively closed lower. LME copper fell 0.91% to US $8,772/ton, LME zinc fell 2.2% to US $2,908.5/ton, LME aluminum fell 1.03% to US $2,304/ton, LME nickel fell 2.56% to US $22,674/ton, and LME tin fell 3.11% to US $22,624/ton, and LME lead fell 0.82% to US $2,067/ton.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-11 07:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes surged and fell back, collectively closing lower; ② The total number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 311,000 in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%; ③ California Financial Regulatory Authority took over<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>, and has controlled bank deposits.<b>Overseas Market</b></p><p>1. U.S. stocks continue to close lower, and Silicon Valley Bank is taken over by California regulators</p><p>U.S. stocks continued to close lower on Friday as investors worried about contagion in the financial sector and strong February jobs data showed the economy added more jobs than expected. As of the close, the Dow fell 345.22 points, or 1.07%, to 31909.64 points; The Nasdaq fell 199.47 points, or 1.76%, to 11138.89 points; The S&P 500 fell 56.73 points, or 1.45%, to 3861.59 points. The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded losses this week, with the Dow falling 4.44%, the S&P 500 falling 4.55%, and the Nasdaq falling 4.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783f81717137530a23bb7bb4ac29b065\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In terms of industry sectors, all 11 major S&P sectors closed down: daily consumption and medical care all closed down within 0.8%, energy, communications, public utilities, high technology, finance, industry and semiconductors all closed down within 2%, and raw materials and real estate closed down 2.13% and 3.19% respectively.</p><p>The much-watched Silicon Valley Bank was suspended from trading and closed down 62.76%, but there was a sharp change after the market. On the news,<b>California's Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) announced that it has taken over Silicon Valley Bank under Section 592 of the California Financial Code due to illiquidity and insolvency and has taken control of the bank's deposits. S&P expects Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group to enter bankruptcy proceedings.</b>Its parent company Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group is said to have failed to raise funds and is selling itself. According to the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: Silicon Valley Bank Silicon Valley Bank has approximately US $209 billion in assets and US $175.4 billion in deposits; The bank, the first insured institution to go bust this year, will continue to cash its official checks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61a04e656a9bde49c113f67840cb6d8\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b39f41b9f1e0bdbff8577727d1161b4\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The KBW Bank Index (BKX) fell nearly 6.9% at the beginning of Friday's session. It turned up at the end of early trading and then quickly turned down, closing down 3.9%, a new low since November 2020. Bank of America fell 0.88%, Citigroup fell 0.53%, Morgan Stanley fell 2.33%, Goldman Sachs fell 4.22%, JPMorgan Chase rose 2.54%, and Wells Fargo rose 0.56%.</p><p>Most large tech stocks closed lower.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Down 1.48%, the chief technology officer of Microsoft Germany revealed that it will launch GPT-4 next week, a multi-modal model that includes video.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Down 1.78%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Down 1.65%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.39%;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 0.3%, the President of Mexico and Tesla discussed building a factory, and the Gigafactory is expected to start construction within two months</b>； Tesla considers vice versa<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688005\">Rongbai Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002384\">Dongshan Precision</a>Collaborate to reduce battery material costs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e19bc4ad3e79caf4f28f12a803ec6294\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2. Chinese concept stocks were mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rising against the trend</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 0.09%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 0.73%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">Huazhu</a>Up 1.09%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell 2.9%, Ali fell 0.49%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down 0.28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 3.19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down 1.33%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">Atour</a>Down 2.17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">MINISO</a>Fell 1.18%.</p><p>Bilibili bucked the trend and rose 5.96%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange transferred Bilibili's Hong Kong stocks to the Hong Kong Stock Connect target under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, which will take effect from the next Hong Kong Stock Connect trading day.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX Technology</a>A surge of 15.07%, 22Q4 revenue decreased by 82% year-on-year and was worse than expected, recording a net loss of 228 million yuan, turning from profit to loss year-on-year; Full-year revenue decreased by 37% year-on-year to 5.333 billion yuan, and net profit fell by about 29% year-on-year to 1.441 billion yuan.</p><p><b>Macro news</b></p><p><b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, but the unemployment rate rose.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, slowing down from the previous value, but still exceeding expectations of 225,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6%, higher than expected 3.4%. In terms of inflation data, the average hourly wage increased by 4.6% year-on-year, lower than the expected 4.8%, and increased by 0.2% month-on-month, also lower than the expected 0.4%. There is currently no obvious reason that the Fed will re-accelerate the pace of rate hike to 50 basis points in March. If the U.S. CPI data remains strong next week, it may increase the possibility of the Fed's March rate hike by 50 basis points.</p><p><b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen convened a meeting of multi-sector leaders to downplay the risks of the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said the U.S. banking system \"remains resilient\" and regulators \"have effective tools\" to respond to developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank. Yellen called leaders of the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a meeting Friday to discuss developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank, the Treasury Department said in an emailed statement.</p><p><b>Summers: If depositors survive unscathed, Silicon Valley Bank collapse will not pose a systemic risk.</b>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers said that as long as depositors are unscathed, the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group should not pose a risk to the U.S. financial system. Summers said, \"It is absolutely important that no matter how this matter is solved in the end, depositors have to get the money and get all the money. As long as this is the case, if it is handled properly, even if the value of bank assets is at risk, I have every reason to think that it will not become a source of systemic risk.\"</p><p><b>Commodities</b></p><p>WTI crude oil futures for April rose 96 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $76.68 a barrel. Based on the most active contract, WTI crude oil futures fell 3.8% for the week. Brent crude oil futures for May rose $1.19, or 1.5%, to $82.78 a barrel.</p><p>Gold rises. The settlement price of COMEX April gold futures rose 1.8% to $1,867.2 per ounce, a cumulative increase of 0.68% this week.</p><p>London metals collectively closed lower. LME copper fell 0.91% to US $8,772/ton, LME zinc fell 2.2% to US $2,908.5/ton, LME aluminum fell 1.03% to US $2,304/ton, LME nickel fell 2.56% to US $22,674/ton, and LME tin fell 3.11% to US $22,624/ton, and LME lead fell 0.82% to US $2,067/ton.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158350017","content_text":"摘要：①美股三大股指冲高回落，集体收低；②2月美国非农就业总人数增加31.1万人，失业率升至3.6%；③加州金融监管部门接管了硅谷银行，并已控制了银行的存款。海外市场1，美股继续收低，硅谷银行被加州监管部门接管由于投资者担心金融业的危机蔓延以及2月份强劲的就业数据显示经济增加的就业岗位超过预期，美国股市周五继续收低。截至收盘，道指跌345.22点，跌幅为1.07%，报31909.64点;纳指跌199.47点，跌幅为1.76%，报11138.89点;标普500指数跌56.73点，跌幅为1.45%，报3861.59点。本周美股三大股指均录得跌幅，道指累计下跌4.44%，标普500指数跌4.55%，纳指跌4.71%。行业板块方面，标普11大板块悉数收跌：日常消费、医疗均收跌0.8%以内，能源、通讯、公用事业、高科技、金融、工业和半导体均收跌2%以内，原料和房地产分别收跌2.13%和3.19%。备受关注的硅谷银行被停牌，收盘跌62.76%，但盘后出现大幅异动。消息面上，加州金融保护与创新部门(DFPI)宣布，由于流动性不足和资不抵债，根据加州金融法典第592条，它已经接管了硅谷银行，并已控制了银行的存款。标普预计硅谷银行金融集团将进入破产程序。据称其母公司硅谷银行金融集团筹措资金失败正在进行自我出售。据美国联邦存款保险公司：硅谷银行硅谷银行拥有约2090亿美元资产，并有1754亿美元存款；该银行是今年第一家破产的受保险机构，其官方支票将继续兑现。KBW银行指数（BKX）周五盘初曾跌近6.9%，早盘尾声时转涨后很快转跌，收跌3.9%，创2020年11月以来新低。美国银行跌0.88%，花旗跌0.53%，摩根士丹利跌2.33%，高盛跌4.22%，摩根大通涨2.54%，富国银行涨0.56%。大型科技股多数收跌。微软跌1.48%，微软德国公司的首席技术官透露将于下周推出GPT-4，为包含视频的多模态模型。谷歌跌1.78%，亚马逊跌1.65%，苹果跌1.39%；特斯拉涨0.3%，墨西哥总统与特斯拉讨论建厂事宜，超级工厂有望两个月内动工；特斯拉考虑与容百科技、东山精密合作，以降低电池材料成本。2，中概股涨跌不一，哔哩哔哩逆势上升拼多多涨0.09%，网易涨1.74%，百度涨0.73%，华住涨1.09%；京东跌2.9%，阿里跌0.49%，理想汽车跌0.28%，蔚来跌3.19%，小鹏汽车跌1.33%，亚朵跌 2.17%，名创优品跌1.18%。哔哩哔哩逆势涨 5.96%，上交所将哔哩哔哩港股调入沪港通下港股通标的，并自下一港股通交易日起生效。RLX科技大涨15.07%，22Q4营收同比减少82%且逊于预期，录得净亏损2.28亿元，同比由盈转亏；全年营收同比减少37%至53.33亿元，净利润同比下滑约29%至14.41亿元。宏观消息美国2月非农就业人数新增31.1万但失业率上升。美国2月非农就业新增31.1万，较前值有所放缓，但仍超出了预期的22.5万。失业率为3.6%，高于预期的3.4%。通胀数据方面，平均时薪同比增长4.6%，低于预期的4.8%，环比则增长0.2%，也低于预期的0.4%。目前没有明显的理由表明，美联储3月将重新加快加息步伐至50个基点。如果下周美国CPI数据仍然强劲，才可能增加美联储3月加息50个基点的可能性。美国财长耶伦召集多部门领导人开会 淡化硅谷银行危机的风险。美国财政部长耶伦称，美国的银行系统“依旧坚韧”，监管机构“拥有有效的工具”来应对围绕硅谷银行的事态发展。美国财政部在一份通过电子邮件发表的声明中表示，耶伦周五召集美联储、联邦存款保险公司和货币监理署的领导人举行会议，讨论围绕硅谷银行的事态发展。萨默斯：如果储户毫发无损 硅谷银行倒闭将不构成系统性风险。美国前财长萨默斯表示，只要储户毫发无损，硅谷银行金融集团的爆雷应该不会对美国金融系统构成风险。萨默斯表示，“绝对重要的一点是，无论这件事最后怎么解决，储户得拿到钱，拿到全部钱。只要是这样的情况，如果处置得当，即使银行资产价值面临风险，我也有充分理由认为其不会成为一个系统性风险的来源”。大宗商品WTI 4月原油期货期货价格上涨96美分，涨幅为1.3%，收于每桶76.68美元。按照最活跃合约计算，WTI原油期货本周下跌3.8%。布伦特5月原油期货上涨1.19美元或1.5%，至每桶82.78美元。黄金上涨。COMEX 4月黄金期货结算价涨1.8%，报1867.2美元/盎司，本周累涨0.68%。伦敦金属集体收跌。LME铜跌0.91%报8772美元/吨，LME锌跌2.2%报2908.5美元/吨，LME铝跌1.03%报2304美元/吨，LME镍跌2.56%报22674美元/吨，LME锡跌3.11%报22624美元/吨，LME铅跌0.82%报2067美元/吨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9970048554,"gmtCreate":1683758128178,"gmtModify":1683758131609,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"k","listText":"k","text":"k","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970048554","repostId":"9970040121","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9970040121,"gmtCreate":1683747280963,"gmtModify":1683756566648,"author":{"id":"10000000000010714","authorId":"10000000000010714","name":"HueFin News","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/525ab01de57ae269d24770433c37e0ed","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010714","idStr":"10000000000010714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction\n \n","listText":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","text":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970040121","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"08721a20d2444035a1fa2d4e33830030","tweetId":"9970040121","title":"Is Paypal Stock Plunge A Red Flag? PYPL Stock Prediction","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168374727464114cb42dfb4a3fc8968bd91d578f44794.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc89fa2536ae91b61ecbfdc44633e01","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/168374727464114cb42dfb4a3fc8968bd91d578f44794.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947849083,"gmtCreate":1682980776843,"gmtModify":1682980780328,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947849083","repostId":"2332624680","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2332624680","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1682936298,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2332624680?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-01 18:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2332624680","media":"金十数据","summary":"期货市场几乎完全消化了美联储将在本月加息25个基点的预期，投机者纷纷出手押注美元走软，美联储今年年尾的降息预期真的“稳”了吗？","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Identifying with the market is equivalent to admitting mistakes! Is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation at the end of this year really \"stable\"? As the Fed's biggest rate tightening campaign in decades draws to a close, the hard lessons of past policy mistakes will seriously affect the follow-up pace of policymakers.</p><p><strong>While the Fed is pushing rate hike at its fastest pace in decades, how long Federal Funds rate will stay high is a question that even they themselves are hard to answer</strong>。 No one knows how long it will take to control sticky service inflation, or how quickly the credit crunch will crumble demand.</p><p><strong>Futures markets have almost fully digested that the Fed will issue a 25 basis point rate hike this month</strong>, and put Federal Funds rate to expectations in the range of 5% to 5.25%. At present, the market is more concerned about:<strong>Whether Powell and colleagues will signal a pause in rate hike.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc56221eb7e0d4e03280c68cd825c113\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><strong>Speculators have made their bets?</strong></p><p>As the Fed is expected to pause after this week's rate hike,<strong>Investors are betting that the dollar is about to weaken.</strong></p><p>Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of April 25,<strong>Hedge funds and other big speculators increased net bearish positions on the dollar against major currencies to more than 70,000, the highest level since June 2021</strong>。 According to foreign media's measurement of the exchange rate of the US dollar against major trading partners,<strong>The dollar will erase all gains since the Federal Reserve began raising Federal Funds rate last March</strong>。</p><p>As the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to take more aggressive actions in the coming months,<strong>Speculators are eyeing the possibility of the euro and pound extending their gains</strong>。<strong>The euro and the pound have emerged as one of the top three major developed currencies this year.</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NMR\">Nomura Holdings</a>Andrew Ticehurst, a Sydney-based interest rate strategist, said:</p><p>\"We remain bullish on the euro, as the market widely believes that the Fed will perform the\" last dance \"and the ECB has more work to do. It is believed that the follow-up rate hike of the ECB and the Bank of England will exceed that of the Fed, especially in the U.S. economic outlook is shrouded in fears of recession and concerns about banking and debt ceiling.\"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5366d937cbbd752016f07b9ca2f987f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1143\"/></p><p><strong>Is the market's expectation of the Fed's rate cut wrong again?</strong></p><p>Includes<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Economists including the Fed lowered their expectations for another rate hike in June</strong>, UBS chief U.S. economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to signal a pause, but he also added that,<strong>They will rate hike again if the data requires it</strong>。 He pointed out,<strong>The last rate hike from the Fed's last three rate hike cycles was accompanied by a \"disclaimer\" that the next move could be another rate hike rather than a rate cut.</strong>Because inflation remains well above target levels, and<strong>A definitive end to rate hike could upend public expectations of the Fed's commitment to maintaining stable prices</strong>。</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's ideas may be inspired by its long battle with inflation in the late 1960s to early 1980s, and efforts to avoid a repeat of what Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel once called \"the biggest failure of postwar U.S. macroeconomic policy.\"</p><p>During that time,<strong>The Fed fails to stop the wage-price spiral</strong>, after several attempts to raise and lower interest rates, Federal Funds rate even peaked at 20% and experienced four recessions before the Fed finally got things under control.</p><p>Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, said of the Fed:</p><p>\"We expect policymakers to probably stop and look at the impact of all the rate hike they've done so far, but they certainly won't agree with the bond market or say they won't cut rates in the second half of the year, which is basically equivalent to admitting that you've made a mistake and will have to go'back 'on interest rates.\"<strong>Risky assets could rebound if statements from Powell or the Fed hint at a pause in rate hike after May</strong>。 Roland said that if Powell made a dovish statement, it would be a surprise and could provide another boost to the market. But Roland also said that there is still a need to be cautious. She said:</p><p>\"I think we should be wary of chasing gains because the market is showing few signs of investor bearish at the moment: volatility is low, the VIX index is below 20, and the expected P/E of the S&P 500 is 18 times. In the macroeconomic situation and the market When the situation is completely different, be careful not to add too much risk to your portfolio.\"</body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed's \"hawk heart\" may be difficult to shake! Market expectations are getting a big stick again?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-05-01 18:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Identifying with the market is equivalent to admitting mistakes! Is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation at the end of this year really \"stable\"? As the Fed's biggest rate tightening campaign in decades draws to a close, the hard lessons of past policy mistakes will seriously affect the follow-up pace of policymakers.</p><p><strong>While the Fed is pushing rate hike at its fastest pace in decades, how long Federal Funds rate will stay high is a question that even they themselves are hard to answer</strong>。 No one knows how long it will take to control sticky service inflation, or how quickly the credit crunch will crumble demand.</p><p><strong>Futures markets have almost fully digested that the Fed will issue a 25 basis point rate hike this month</strong>, and put Federal Funds rate to expectations in the range of 5% to 5.25%. At present, the market is more concerned about:<strong>Whether Powell and colleagues will signal a pause in rate hike.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc56221eb7e0d4e03280c68cd825c113\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><strong>Speculators have made their bets?</strong></p><p>As the Fed is expected to pause after this week's rate hike,<strong>Investors are betting that the dollar is about to weaken.</strong></p><p>Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of April 25,<strong>Hedge funds and other big speculators increased net bearish positions on the dollar against major currencies to more than 70,000, the highest level since June 2021</strong>。 According to foreign media's measurement of the exchange rate of the US dollar against major trading partners,<strong>The dollar will erase all gains since the Federal Reserve began raising Federal Funds rate last March</strong>。</p><p>As the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to take more aggressive actions in the coming months,<strong>Speculators are eyeing the possibility of the euro and pound extending their gains</strong>。<strong>The euro and the pound have emerged as one of the top three major developed currencies this year.</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NMR\">Nomura Holdings</a>Andrew Ticehurst, a Sydney-based interest rate strategist, said:</p><p>\"We remain bullish on the euro, as the market widely believes that the Fed will perform the\" last dance \"and the ECB has more work to do. It is believed that the follow-up rate hike of the ECB and the Bank of England will exceed that of the Fed, especially in the U.S. economic outlook is shrouded in fears of recession and concerns about banking and debt ceiling.\"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5366d937cbbd752016f07b9ca2f987f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1143\"/></p><p><strong>Is the market's expectation of the Fed's rate cut wrong again?</strong></p><p>Includes<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Economists including the Fed lowered their expectations for another rate hike in June</strong>, UBS chief U.S. economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to signal a pause, but he also added that,<strong>They will rate hike again if the data requires it</strong>。 He pointed out,<strong>The last rate hike from the Fed's last three rate hike cycles was accompanied by a \"disclaimer\" that the next move could be another rate hike rather than a rate cut.</strong>Because inflation remains well above target levels, and<strong>A definitive end to rate hike could upend public expectations of the Fed's commitment to maintaining stable prices</strong>。</p><p>Moreover, the Fed's ideas may be inspired by its long battle with inflation in the late 1960s to early 1980s, and efforts to avoid a repeat of what Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel once called \"the biggest failure of postwar U.S. macroeconomic policy.\"</p><p>During that time,<strong>The Fed fails to stop the wage-price spiral</strong>, after several attempts to raise and lower interest rates, Federal Funds rate even peaked at 20% and experienced four recessions before the Fed finally got things under control.</p><p>Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, said of the Fed:</p><p>\"We expect policymakers to probably stop and look at the impact of all the rate hike they've done so far, but they certainly won't agree with the bond market or say they won't cut rates in the second half of the year, which is basically equivalent to admitting that you've made a mistake and will have to go'back 'on interest rates.\"<strong>Risky assets could rebound if statements from Powell or the Fed hint at a pause in rate hike after May</strong>。 Roland said that if Powell made a dovish statement, it would be a surprise and could provide another boost to the market. But Roland also said that there is still a need to be cautious. She said:</p><p>\"I think we should be wary of chasing gains because the market is showing few signs of investor bearish at the moment: volatility is low, the VIX index is below 20, and the expected P/E of the S&P 500 is 18 times. In the macroeconomic situation and the market When the situation is completely different, be careful not to add too much risk to your portfolio.\"</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111557&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a5657d24ae68fd59066d5458a132c55","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEX":"标普100","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111557&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2332624680","content_text":"认同市场就等于承认错误！美联储将于今年年尾的降息预期真的“稳”了吗？随着美联储几十年来最大幅度的利率紧缩运动接近尾声，过去政策错误所导致的惨痛教训将严重影响政策制定者的后续步伐。尽管美联储以几十年来最快的速度推加息，但联邦基金利率会在高位停留多久是一个连他们自己都很难回答的问题。没人知道要多久才能控制高粘性的服务业通胀，也没人知道信贷紧缩会以多快的速度瓦解需求。期货市场几乎完全消化了美联储将在本月加息25个基点，并使联邦基金利率至5%至5.25%区间的预期。目前市场比较关注的是：鲍威尔及其同事是否会发出暂停加息的信号。投机者已出手押注？因为预计美联储在本周加息后暂停，投资者纷纷押注美元即将走软。美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）的数据显示，截至4月25日，对冲基金和其他大型投机者将美元兑主要货币的净看空头寸增至逾7万份，为2021年6月以来的最高水平。根据外媒对美元兑主要贸易伙伴汇率的衡量，美元将抹去自美联储去年3月开始提高联邦基金利率以来的所有涨幅。由于欧洲央行和英国央行预计将在未来几个月采取更为激进的行动，投机者正关注欧元和英镑延续涨势的可能性。欧元和英镑已成为今年表现最好的三大主要发达国家货币之一。野村控股驻悉尼的利率策略师Andrew Ticehurst表示：“我们仍看好欧元，因市场普遍认为美联储将上演“最后一舞”，而欧洲央行还有更多工作要做。人们认为，欧洲央行和英国央行的后续加息幅度将超过美联储，尤其是在美国经济前景笼罩在对衰退的担忧以及对银行业和债务上限的担忧阴影之下。”市场对美联储的降息预期又错？包括高盛在内的经济学家下调了美联储在6月再次加息的预期，瑞银首席美国经济学家Jonathan Pingle预计，美联储将发出暂停的信号，但他也补充说，如果数据需要，他们会再次加息。他指出，美联储过去三个加息周期的最后一次加息都附有“免责声明”，即下一步行动可能是再次加息而不是降息。因为通胀仍远高于目标水平，而明确结束加息可能会颠覆公众对美联储维持稳定物价承诺的预期。此外，美联储的想法可能会受到20世纪60年代末至80年代初其与通胀的长期斗争的启发，并努力避免重蹈沃顿商学院教授杰里米-西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）曾称为 “战后美国宏观经济政策的最大失败”的覆辙。在那段时间里，美联储未能阻止工资价格的螺旋式上升，经过几次提高和降低利率的尝试，联邦基金利率甚至达到了20%的峰值，并经历四次经济衰退，美联储最终才将事情控制住。约翰-汉考克投资管理公司（John Hancock Investment Management）的联合首席投资策略师Emily Roland在谈到美联储时说：“我们预计会政策制定者可能会停下来看看他们到目前为止所做的所有加息的影响几何，但他们肯定不会同意债券市场的意见，或者说他们不会在下半年降息，那基本上相当于承认你已经犯了一个错误，将不得不在利率上走‘回头路’。”如果鲍威尔或美联储的声明暗示5月后将暂停加息，风险资产可能会反弹。Roland称，如果鲍威尔发表了鸽派的表态，这将令人意外，可能为市场提供另一股推动力。但Roland也表示，仍有保持谨慎的必要。她说：“我认为要警惕追涨，因为目前市场几乎没有显示出投资者看空的迹象：波动性很低，VIX指数低于20，标普500指数的预期市盈率为18倍。在宏观经济情况与市场情况完全不同的情况下，注意不要给投资组合增加太多风险。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SSO":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,".DJI":1,"UDOW":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"QID":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SPY":1,"SDS":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941398029,"gmtCreate":1679957631662,"gmtModify":1679957635558,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941398029","repostId":"1188760696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188760696","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1679929853,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188760696?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-27 23:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Take History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188760696","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"分析师表示，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要行动。随着消费者削减开支，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Analysts say that if the credit line is removed, businesses will have to lay off jobs, cut expenses and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession. The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</p><p>On March 25, Lance Roberts, an analyst at Real Investment Advice, wrote on the website that historically, as the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, the banking crisis was the first evidence of problems.</p><p>Last week, after including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Government agencies took action after several banks, including the bankruptcy. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. FDIC, the Treasury Department, and the Federal Reserve have released a bank term loan program, BTFP, that provides $25 billion in loans as security to protect uninsured depositors from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Subsequently, 11 major large banks provided $30 billion in uninsured deposits to First Republic Bank. Roberts Think that,<b>Without guarantees from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, these deposits would not have occurred.</b></p><p>Banks then quickly took advantage of this loan program, and the funds borrowed from the Federal Reserve surged by $152 billion, the largest borrowing in a week since the financial crisis. Since last week, that number has soared to nearly $300 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ae18323ab7e3883a5cdec1f1ae1be3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquired with the government's brokerage<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>, the Federal Reserve reopened dollar swap lines to provide liquidity to foreign banks.</p><p>On March 19, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a coordinated action to strengthen liquidity supply through a long-term US dollar liquidity swap arrangement. In order to improve the effectiveness of swap lines in providing dollar funds, the central bank, which currently provides dollar business, has agreed to increase the frequency of seven-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations started on March 20 and will last until at least the end of April.</p><p>Roberts Indicates,<b>Historically, once the Fed opened up the dollar swap line, further monetary easing measures-from interest rate cuts, \"quantitative easing\" to other liquidity operations-followed. Of course, this is usually a reaction to a banking crisis, a credit-related event, an economic downturn, or a combination of all three.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce74955cbf82fc6ed9ad12f5c6ab8660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the knee-jerk response to a reversal in monetary tightening is to buy risky assets, investors may want to be cautious because recessions tend to follow banking crises, Roberts said.</p><p><b>Banking crisis leads to recession</b></p><p>Roberts pointed out that one obvious result of the banking crisis is the tightening of lending standards. Given that credit is the lifeblood of the economy, whether it is consumer or corporate credit, tightening lending standards has reduced economic flows. A liquidity crunch eventually leads to a recession when banks tighten lending standards to all types of businesses. Many businesses rely on lines of credit or other measures to bridge the gap between producing a product or service and earning revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1970f0a20094a02f94bd0635eb78e52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Roberts argues that if the credit line is eliminated, businesses will have to lay off employees, cut expenses, and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, the economic drag intensifies, and reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession.</b></p><p>He added that all forms of credit, from mortgages and auto loans to consumer credit, are currently experiencing a liquidity crunch.<b>The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bedc7e814291ec1e88f1ee6c08db190\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He also said that the last time lending standards were tightened so sharply was during the economic stagnation caused by the epidemic. Many investors hope that the Federal Reserve's shift to easing monetary policy to deal with recession risks will be positive for stocks. But those hopes could be dashed because of the initial \"repricing risk\" of a recession.</p><p><b>Recession brings repricing risks</b></p><p>Roberts went on to say that the optimistic expectation is that the bear market will end when the Fed makes a policy pivot. While there is nothing wrong with this expectation, it may not happen as quickly as the bulls expect. When the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in history, it wasn't the end of the stock market bear market, it was the beginning.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a6101db72600ac0fa5efee7c29b839\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He pointed out that it is worth noting that<b>Most bear markets come after the Fed's policy pivot.</b>This is because policy shifts are often accompanied by a perception that something is wrong economically (i.e., a recession) or financially (i.e., a credit crisis). When that happens and the Fed begins to act,<b>The market will reprice a sluggish economy and lower earnings growth rates.</b></p><p>Current forward estimates of earnings are still well above long-term growth trends, which generally fall short during recessions or other financial or economic events, according to data from Real Investment Advice.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de7815326ff7c005a5a5671eeb36a517\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A better way to understand this, Roberts said, is to look at the long-term exponential growth trend of earnings. Historically, earnings have grown roughly about 6% from one peak earnings cycle to the next. During a recession, deviations above the long-term exponential growth trend are corrected. The peak growth rate of 6% comes from the annual economic growth rate of about 6%.<b>It can be concluded that annual earnings changes are highly correlated with economic growth.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f5d7f221e55be18e778f7b2d98aeff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Given that earnings are a function of economic activity, current estimates for year-end are unsustainable if the economy contracts, he said. Therefore, in the economic recession environment, this deviation from long-term growth is unsustainable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f6262ba11c997e5b6277d817b3b88db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts Pointed out that,<b>Because valuations are assumptions about future earnings, asset prices must be repriced to address earnings risks, especially during banking crises.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adce27e3d79c15302590b01a071eaf8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts concluded that investors face two certain things: one is that the Fed's rate hike has triggered a banking crisis that will end in a recession as lending contracts; Second, this will force the Federal Reserve to finally cut interest rates and restart the next \"quantitative easing\" plan. Therefore, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time, it begins to acknowledge the economic recession.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Take History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTake History as a Mirror: How Close Is the U.S. Economy to Recession After the Banking Crisis?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-27 23:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Analysts say that if the credit line is removed, businesses will have to lay off jobs, cut expenses and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession. The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</p><p>On March 25, Lance Roberts, an analyst at Real Investment Advice, wrote on the website that historically, as the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy, the banking crisis was the first evidence of problems.</p><p>Last week, after including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Government agencies took action after several banks, including the bankruptcy. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. FDIC, the Treasury Department, and the Federal Reserve have released a bank term loan program, BTFP, that provides $25 billion in loans as security to protect uninsured depositors from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Subsequently, 11 major large banks provided $30 billion in uninsured deposits to First Republic Bank. Roberts Think that,<b>Without guarantees from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, these deposits would not have occurred.</b></p><p>Banks then quickly took advantage of this loan program, and the funds borrowed from the Federal Reserve surged by $152 billion, the largest borrowing in a week since the financial crisis. Since last week, that number has soared to nearly $300 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ae18323ab7e3883a5cdec1f1ae1be3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquired with the government's brokerage<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>, the Federal Reserve reopened dollar swap lines to provide liquidity to foreign banks.</p><p>On March 19, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a coordinated action to strengthen liquidity supply through a long-term US dollar liquidity swap arrangement. In order to improve the effectiveness of swap lines in providing dollar funds, the central bank, which currently provides dollar business, has agreed to increase the frequency of seven-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations started on March 20 and will last until at least the end of April.</p><p>Roberts Indicates,<b>Historically, once the Fed opened up the dollar swap line, further monetary easing measures-from interest rate cuts, \"quantitative easing\" to other liquidity operations-followed. Of course, this is usually a reaction to a banking crisis, a credit-related event, an economic downturn, or a combination of all three.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce74955cbf82fc6ed9ad12f5c6ab8660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>While the knee-jerk response to a reversal in monetary tightening is to buy risky assets, investors may want to be cautious because recessions tend to follow banking crises, Roberts said.</p><p><b>Banking crisis leads to recession</b></p><p>Roberts pointed out that one obvious result of the banking crisis is the tightening of lending standards. Given that credit is the lifeblood of the economy, whether it is consumer or corporate credit, tightening lending standards has reduced economic flows. A liquidity crunch eventually leads to a recession when banks tighten lending standards to all types of businesses. Many businesses rely on lines of credit or other measures to bridge the gap between producing a product or service and earning revenue.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1970f0a20094a02f94bd0635eb78e52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Roberts argues that if the credit line is eliminated, businesses will have to lay off employees, cut expenses, and take other necessary actions. As consumers cut back on spending, the economic drag intensifies, and reduced demand further affects businesses. Such an a vicious circle will be repeated until the economy falls into recession.</b></p><p>He added that all forms of credit, from mortgages and auto loans to consumer credit, are currently experiencing a liquidity crunch.<b>The banking crisis is likely to be the first warning sign of a worsening economic situation.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bedc7e814291ec1e88f1ee6c08db190\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He also said that the last time lending standards were tightened so sharply was during the economic stagnation caused by the epidemic. Many investors hope that the Federal Reserve's shift to easing monetary policy to deal with recession risks will be positive for stocks. But those hopes could be dashed because of the initial \"repricing risk\" of a recession.</p><p><b>Recession brings repricing risks</b></p><p>Roberts went on to say that the optimistic expectation is that the bear market will end when the Fed makes a policy pivot. While there is nothing wrong with this expectation, it may not happen as quickly as the bulls expect. When the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in history, it wasn't the end of the stock market bear market, it was the beginning.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a6101db72600ac0fa5efee7c29b839\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>He pointed out that it is worth noting that<b>Most bear markets come after the Fed's policy pivot.</b>This is because policy shifts are often accompanied by a perception that something is wrong economically (i.e., a recession) or financially (i.e., a credit crisis). When that happens and the Fed begins to act,<b>The market will reprice a sluggish economy and lower earnings growth rates.</b></p><p>Current forward estimates of earnings are still well above long-term growth trends, which generally fall short during recessions or other financial or economic events, according to data from Real Investment Advice.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de7815326ff7c005a5a5671eeb36a517\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A better way to understand this, Roberts said, is to look at the long-term exponential growth trend of earnings. Historically, earnings have grown roughly about 6% from one peak earnings cycle to the next. During a recession, deviations above the long-term exponential growth trend are corrected. The peak growth rate of 6% comes from the annual economic growth rate of about 6%.<b>It can be concluded that annual earnings changes are highly correlated with economic growth.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f5d7f221e55be18e778f7b2d98aeff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Given that earnings are a function of economic activity, current estimates for year-end are unsustainable if the economy contracts, he said. Therefore, in the economic recession environment, this deviation from long-term growth is unsustainable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f6262ba11c997e5b6277d817b3b88db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts Pointed out that,<b>Because valuations are assumptions about future earnings, asset prices must be repriced to address earnings risks, especially during banking crises.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adce27e3d79c15302590b01a071eaf8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Roberts concluded that investors face two certain things: one is that the Fed's rate hike has triggered a banking crisis that will end in a recession as lending contracts; Second, this will force the Federal Reserve to finally cut interest rates and restart the next \"quantitative easing\" plan. Therefore, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time, it begins to acknowledge the economic recession.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"161121":"银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188760696","content_text":"分析师表示，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要行动。随着消费者削减开支，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的第一个警告信号。3月25日，Real Investment Advice 的分析师 Lance Roberts 在网站上写道，从历史上看，随着美联储收紧货币政策，银行业危机是问题出现的第一项证据。上周，在包括硅谷银行在内的几家银行破产倒闭后，政府机构采取了行动。联邦存款保险公司FDIC、财政部和美联储发布了一项银行定期贷款计划BTFP，提供250亿美元贷款作为担保，以保护未投保的储户免受硅谷银行破产的影响。随后，11家主要大型银行向第一共和国银行提供了300亿美元的无保险存款。Roberts 认为，如果没有美联储和财政部的保证，是不会出现这些存款的。银行随后迅速利用了这一贷款计划，向美联储借贷的资金激增了1520亿美元，这是自金融危机以来一周内规模最大的借款。自上周以来，这一数字已飙升至近3000亿美元。自那以后，瑞银在政府的撮合下收购了瑞士信贷，美联储重新开放了美元互换额度，为外国银行提供流动性。3月19日，加拿大央行、英国央行、日本央行、欧洲央行、美联储和瑞士央行银行宣布了一项协调行动，通过长期美元流动性互换安排加强流动性供应。为了提高互换额度在提供美元资金方面的有效性，目前提供美元业务的央行已同意将7天到期操作的频率从每周增加到每天。这些日常操作从3月20日开始，将至少将持续到4月底。Roberts 表示，从历史上看，一旦美联储开放美元互换额度，进一步的货币宽松措施——从降息、“量化宽松”到其他流动性操作就会随之而来。当然，这通常是对银行危机、信贷相关事件、经济衰退的反应，或三者兼而有之。Roberts 表示，尽管对货币紧缩政策逆转的下意识反应是购买风险资产，但投资者可能希望保持谨慎，因为经济衰退往往会在银行业危机之后出现。银行业危机导致经济衰退Roberts 指出，银行业危机的一个明显结果就是贷款标准的收紧。鉴于信贷是经济的命脉，无论是消费者信贷还是企业信贷，贷款标准的收紧都减少了经济流动。当银行收紧对各类企业的贷款标准时，流动性紧缩最终会导致经济衰退。许多企业依靠信用额度或其他措施来弥补生产产品或服务与获得收入之间的差距。Roberts 认为，如果信用额度被取消，企业就必须裁员、削减开支，并采取其他必要的行动。随着消费者削减开支，经济拖累加剧，需求减少进一步影响到企业。这样的恶性循环将不断重复，直到经济陷入衰退。他补充称，目前从抵押贷款、汽车贷款到消费信贷，所有形式的信贷都在出现流动性的紧缩。银行业危机很可能是经济形势恶化的第一个警告信号。他还说，上一次贷款标准出现如此大幅度的紧缩还是在疫情导致的经济停滞期间。许多投资者希望，美联储转向放松货币政策以应对衰退风险，这将利好股市。但这些希望可能会落空，因为经济衰退最初会带来“重新定价风险”。经济衰退带来重新定价风险Roberts 继续表示，乐观的预期是，当美联储做出政策转向时，熊市将会结束。虽然这种预期没有错，但它可能不会像多头预期的那样迅速发生。当美联储在历史上开始降息时，这并不是股市熊市的结束，而是开始。他指出，值得注意的是，大多数熊市都出现在美联储的政策转向之后。这是因为政策转向通常伴随着一种认知，即某些东西在经济上（即经济衰退）或金融上（即信用危机）出现了问题。当这种情况发生，美联储开始采取行动时，市场会为低迷的经济和更低的盈利增长率重新定价。Real Investment Advice的数据显示，目前对盈利的远期估计仍远高于长期增长趋势，而在经济衰退或其他金融或经济事件期间，盈利通常会低于长期增长趋势。Roberts 称，理解这一点的更好的方法是观察收益的长期指数增长趋势。从历史上看，从一个峰值收益周期到下一个峰值收益周期，收益大约增长大约6%。在经济衰退期间，高于长期指数增长趋势的偏差会得到修正。6%的峰值增长率来自于大约6%的年度经济增长率。可以得出结论，年度收益变化与经济增长高度相关。他表示，鉴于收益是经济活动的函数，如果经济收缩，目前对年底的估计是不可持续的。因此在经济衰退环境下，这种偏离长期增长的趋势是不可持续的。Roberts 指出，由于估值是对未来收益的假设，因此资产价格必须重新定价以应对盈利风险，尤其是在银行业危机期间。Roberts 总结道，投资者面临着两件肯定的事情：一是美联储的加息引发了一场银行业危机，随着贷款收缩，这场危机将以衰退告终；二是这将迫使美联储最终降息并重启下一个“量化宽松”计划。因此，当美联储开启第一次降息，就是开始承认经济衰退。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161121":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943496527,"gmtCreate":1679611770870,"gmtModify":1679611774616,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943496527","repostId":"1193417234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193417234","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1679581305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193417234?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-23 22:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193417234","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月23日，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨超5%，金山云涨超17%，哔哩哔哩涨超11%，腾讯音乐涨超9%，爱奇艺、微博涨超8%，网易涨6%。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 23, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">Kingsoft Cloud</a>Rose more than 17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">IQiyi</a>, Weibo rose more than 8%, and NetEase rose 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db6c3835e2756a4d831fce1c0d068f7a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463885dddf6c66bbdb2e4a581711c656\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 5%, and Bilibili rose more than 11%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-23 22:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 23, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">Kingsoft Cloud</a>Rose more than 17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rose more than 11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>Rose more than 9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">IQiyi</a>, Weibo rose more than 8%, and NetEase rose 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db6c3835e2756a4d831fce1c0d068f7a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463885dddf6c66bbdb2e4a581711c656\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"SG9999006597.SGD":"United China-India Dynamic Growth SGD","BK4531":"中概回港概念","SG9999001069.SGD":"UOB UNITED ASIA PACIFIC GROWTH (SGD) ACC","SG9999001093.SGD":"United Greater China Fund A Acc SGD","BK4563":"昨日强势股","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","09626":"哔哩哔哩-W","BK4588":"碎股","HXC":"纳斯达克中国金龙指数","SG9999003461.SGD":"United Asia Pacific Infrastructure SGD","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK1588":"回港中概股","BK4510":"在线教育","BK1104":"互动家庭娱乐","SG9999001051.SGD":"United Asia Fund SGD"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193417234","content_text":"3月23日，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨超5%，金山云涨超17%，哔哩哔哩涨超11%，腾讯音乐涨超9%，爱奇艺、微博涨超8%，网易涨6%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HXC":0.9,"BILI":0.9,"09626":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949675027,"gmtCreate":1678666901970,"gmtModify":1678672906818,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949675027","repostId":"1148015560","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148015560","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678662881,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148015560?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-13 07:14","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"This week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148015560","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本周（3.13-3.17）重磅财经事件及数据如下：经济数据方面，本周将发布多个重要数据，其中美国未季调CPI年率、季调后CPI月率、截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动、截至3月11日当周初请","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>This week's (3.13-3.17) major financial events and data are as follows:</p><p>In terms of economic data, a number of important data will be released this week, including the annual rate of unseasonally adjusted CPI in the United States, the monthly rate of seasonally adjusted CPI, changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, and initial claims for the week ending March 11. The number of unemployment benefits should be paid attention to. In terms of financial events, the IEA monthly crude oil market report, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China, and Baidu's \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference will all be released this week. In terms of financial reports, U.S. stocks FedEx, Adobe, XPeng Motor and Hong Kong stocks Ping An, Longfor Group, Li Ning, China Literature Group, etc. will announce financial reports this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/618ec520caf78a2aaff48d97ddb5ad65\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>KEYWORDS FOR MONDAY, MARCH 13: Conference Board Job Trends Index; The Federal Reserve urgently convenes a closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Ping An Good Doctor, Nuohui Health Financial Report</b></p><p>On Monday, in terms of economic data, investors can pay attention to the Conference Board Employment Trend Index.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the Federal Reserve will hold an emergency private meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Governors. The agenda is to evaluate and decide the advance interest rate and discount rate charged by the Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">Nuohui Health-B</a>Earnings will be released separately.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, March 14: US CPI data, US NFIB small business confidence index</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a2a7b255ad5f7828401a91efafea29\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Tuesday, in terms of economic data, the market focused on a series of CPI data to be released by the United States, including the annual CPI rate without seasonally adjustment and the monthly CPI rate after seasonally adjustment.</p><p>At present, the market expects the annual CPI rate of the United States in February to be 6% without seasonally adjustment, slightly lower than the previous value of 6.4%. The monthly CPI rate in the United States in February was 0.4% after seasonally adjustment, which was also slightly lower than the previous value of 0.5%. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased by 6.4% year-on-year in January. Excluding volatile energy and food prices, the core CPI rose 5.6% year-on-year that month, lower than the previous value of 5.7%. Previously, economists predicted that the consumer price index in January would rise by 6.2% year-on-year, and the core CPI would rise by 0.4% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year. CPI data shows the changes in the prices of goods and services paid by consumers. On March 14, the United States will release February CPI data, and investors need to focus on it.<b>Keywords for Wednesday, March 15: U.S. API and EIA crude oil inventory changes for the week; U.S. retail sales monthly rate in February; Minutes of the Bank of Japan's January monetary policy meeting; Ping An of China, ZTO Express earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61e78a458a0a285bc018d945b1f0e4e8\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, in terms of economic data, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week, which is expected to affect the trend of oil prices.</p><p>U.S. API crude oil inventories decreased by 3.835 million barrels in the week ending March 2. Analysts expected a decrease of 30,800 barrels, and the previous value increased by 6.203 million barrels. In the week of March 3, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories decreased by 1.694 million barrels, expected to increase by 1.6 million barrels, and the previous value increased by 1.166 million barrels. On March 15, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, or continue to decrease. In terms of financial events, the IEA (International Energy Agency) will release its monthly crude oil market report, and investors should pay close attention to it.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">China Ping An</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02057\">ZTO Express-SW</a>Will report earnings.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, March 16: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week; ECB interest rate decisions; Baidu \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference; Adobe, Shell, Li Ning earnings reports</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cd0c2302aacd4f4202bd46f7cb53ade\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Thursday, in terms of economic data, investors should pay close attention to the number of initial jobless claims for the week.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the European Central Bank will hold an interest rate decision.</p><p>On March 8, local time, Italian Bank Governor Visco said that he did not approve of the European Central Bank's continued rate hike and believed that its monetary policy should continue to be cautious. However, the market expects that the European Central Bank is likely to conduct rate hike in March. Judging from the current statements of major officials of the European Central Bank, the European Central Bank is likely to continue its rate hike at the monetary policy meeting in March, and a 50 basis point rate hike is already a high probability event. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently told the media that core inflation in the euro zone will remain high in the short term. Therefore, it is increasingly likely that the European Central Bank will issue 50 basis points in rate hike later this month. In addition, Baidu will hold a press conference on the theme of \"Ernie Bot\".</p><p>Baidu plans to hold a press conference at its headquarters at 14:00 on March 16th, with the theme focusing on Ernie Bot. Robin Li, founder, chairman and CEO of Baidu, and Wang Haifeng, chief technology officer of Baidu, will attend. In addition, the monthly report of residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities published by the National Bureau of Statistics should also be closely monitored.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, the world's largest creative design software manufacturer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>The financial report will be announced after the U.S. stock market closes on March 15.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>The financial report will be announced before the U.S. stock market opens on March 16.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">Li Ning</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00772\">Reading Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03606\">Fuyao Glass</a>The financial report will also be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, March 17: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index; FedEx, XPeng Motor, Longfor Group Earnings</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c1948786b0c86f1a7c5cf88741b873\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Friday, in terms of economic data, the consumer confidence index of the University of Michigan will be released soon.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, \"a barometer of the U.S. economy\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on March 16, domestic new energy vehicle brands<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Will release earnings before the market on March 17.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">Longfor Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01313\">CR Cement Holdings</a>The financial report will also be released on the same day.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis week's preview | U.S. CPI data is coming! Adobe, XPeng Motors, and others release earnings\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-13 07:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>This week's (3.13-3.17) major financial events and data are as follows:</p><p>In terms of economic data, a number of important data will be released this week, including the annual rate of unseasonally adjusted CPI in the United States, the monthly rate of seasonally adjusted CPI, changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, and initial claims for the week ending March 11. The number of unemployment benefits should be paid attention to. In terms of financial events, the IEA monthly crude oil market report, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China, and Baidu's \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference will all be released this week. In terms of financial reports, U.S. stocks FedEx, Adobe, XPeng Motor and Hong Kong stocks Ping An, Longfor Group, Li Ning, China Literature Group, etc. will announce financial reports this week.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/618ec520caf78a2aaff48d97ddb5ad65\" tg-width=\"2096\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>KEYWORDS FOR MONDAY, MARCH 13: Conference Board Job Trends Index; The Federal Reserve urgently convenes a closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Ping An Good Doctor, Nuohui Health Financial Report</b></p><p>On Monday, in terms of economic data, investors can pay attention to the Conference Board Employment Trend Index.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the Federal Reserve will hold an emergency private meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Governors. The agenda is to evaluate and decide the advance interest rate and discount rate charged by the Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">Nuohui Health-B</a>Earnings will be released separately.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, March 14: US CPI data, US NFIB small business confidence index</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a2a7b255ad5f7828401a91efafea29\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Tuesday, in terms of economic data, the market focused on a series of CPI data to be released by the United States, including the annual CPI rate without seasonally adjustment and the monthly CPI rate after seasonally adjustment.</p><p>At present, the market expects the annual CPI rate of the United States in February to be 6% without seasonally adjustment, slightly lower than the previous value of 6.4%. The monthly CPI rate in the United States in February was 0.4% after seasonally adjustment, which was also slightly lower than the previous value of 0.5%. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased by 6.4% year-on-year in January. Excluding volatile energy and food prices, the core CPI rose 5.6% year-on-year that month, lower than the previous value of 5.7%. Previously, economists predicted that the consumer price index in January would rise by 6.2% year-on-year, and the core CPI would rise by 0.4% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year. CPI data shows the changes in the prices of goods and services paid by consumers. On March 14, the United States will release February CPI data, and investors need to focus on it.<b>Keywords for Wednesday, March 15: U.S. API and EIA crude oil inventory changes for the week; U.S. retail sales monthly rate in February; Minutes of the Bank of Japan's January monetary policy meeting; Ping An of China, ZTO Express earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61e78a458a0a285bc018d945b1f0e4e8\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, in terms of economic data, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week, which is expected to affect the trend of oil prices.</p><p>U.S. API crude oil inventories decreased by 3.835 million barrels in the week ending March 2. Analysts expected a decrease of 30,800 barrels, and the previous value increased by 6.203 million barrels. In the week of March 3, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories decreased by 1.694 million barrels, expected to increase by 1.6 million barrels, and the previous value increased by 1.166 million barrels. On March 15, the United States will announce changes in API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending March 10, or continue to decrease. In terms of financial events, the IEA (International Energy Agency) will release its monthly crude oil market report, and investors should pay close attention to it.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">China Ping An</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02057\">ZTO Express-SW</a>Will report earnings.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, March 16: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week; ECB interest rate decisions; Baidu \"Ernie Bot\" theme conference; Adobe, Shell, Li Ning earnings reports</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cd0c2302aacd4f4202bd46f7cb53ade\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Thursday, in terms of economic data, investors should pay close attention to the number of initial jobless claims for the week.</p><p>In terms of financial events, the European Central Bank will hold an interest rate decision.</p><p>On March 8, local time, Italian Bank Governor Visco said that he did not approve of the European Central Bank's continued rate hike and believed that its monetary policy should continue to be cautious. However, the market expects that the European Central Bank is likely to conduct rate hike in March. Judging from the current statements of major officials of the European Central Bank, the European Central Bank is likely to continue its rate hike at the monetary policy meeting in March, and a 50 basis point rate hike is already a high probability event. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently told the media that core inflation in the euro zone will remain high in the short term. Therefore, it is increasingly likely that the European Central Bank will issue 50 basis points in rate hike later this month. In addition, Baidu will hold a press conference on the theme of \"Ernie Bot\".</p><p>Baidu plans to hold a press conference at its headquarters at 14:00 on March 16th, with the theme focusing on Ernie Bot. Robin Li, founder, chairman and CEO of Baidu, and Wang Haifeng, chief technology officer of Baidu, will attend. In addition, the monthly report of residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities published by the National Bureau of Statistics should also be closely monitored.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, the world's largest creative design software manufacturer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>The financial report will be announced after the U.S. stock market closes on March 15.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">Shells</a>The financial report will be announced before the U.S. stock market opens on March 16.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">Li Ning</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00772\">Reading Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03606\">Fuyao Glass</a>The financial report will also be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, March 17: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index; FedEx, XPeng Motor, Longfor Group Earnings</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c1948786b0c86f1a7c5cf88741b873\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Friday, in terms of economic data, the consumer confidence index of the University of Michigan will be released soon.</p><p>In terms of financial reports, \"a barometer of the U.S. economy\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on March 16, domestic new energy vehicle brands<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Will release earnings before the market on March 17.</p><p>In addition, Hong Kong stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">Longfor Group</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01313\">CR Cement Holdings</a>The financial report will also be released on the same day.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d256e82db1d71c864259845ce1d069bf","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148015560","content_text":"本周（3.13-3.17）重磅财经事件及数据如下：经济数据方面，本周将发布多个重要数据，其中美国未季调CPI年率、季调后CPI月率、截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动、截至3月11日当周初请失业金人数等应留意。财经事件方面，IEA月度原油市场报告、欧洲央行利率决议、中国70个大中城市住宅销售价格月度报告、百度“文心一言”主题发布会等都将在本周进行发布。财报方面，美股联邦快递、Adobe、小鹏汽车与港股中国平安、龙湖集团、李宁、阅文集团等将在本周公布财报。3月13日 周一关键词：美国谘商会就业趋势指数；美联储紧急召开联邦储备系统理事会非公开会议；平安好医生、诺辉健康财报周一，经济数据方面，投资者可关注美国谘商会就业趋势指数。财经事件方面，美联储将紧急召开联邦储备系统理事会非公开会议，议程为评估并决定联邦储备银行收取的预付利率和贴现率。财报方面，港股平安好医生、诺辉健康-B将分别发布财报。3月14日 周二关键词：美国CPI数据、美国NFIB小型企业信心指数周二，经济数据方面，市场重点关注美国将公布的一系列CPI数据，包括未季调CPI年率，季调后CPI月率等。目前市场预期美国2月CPI年率未季调为6%，略低于6.4%的前值。美国2月CPI月率季调后为0.4%，同样略低于0.5%的前值美国劳工统计局发布数据显示，1月美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比增长6.4%。剔除波动较大的能源和食品价格后，核心CPI当月同比上涨5.6%，低于前值的5.7%。此前，经济学家预计，1月消费者价格指数同比将上升6.2%，核心CPI环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨5.5%。CPI数据展示的是消费者支付的商品和服务价格的变动情况。3月14日，美国将公布2月份CPI数据，投资者需重点关注。3月15日 周三关键词：美国当周API和EIA原油库存变动；美国2月零售销售月率；日本央行1月货币政策会议纪要；中国平安、中通快递财报周三，经济数据方面，美国将公布当周API和EIA原油库存变动，料影响油价走势。美国截至3月2日当周API原油库存减少383.5万桶，分析师预期减少3.08万桶，前值增加620.3万桶。3月3日当周，美国EIA原油库存减少169.4万桶，预期增加160万桶，前值增加116.6万桶。3月15日，美国将公布截至3月10日当周API和EIA原油库存变动，或继续减少。财经事件方面，IEA（国际能源署）将公布月度原油市场报告，投资者需密切注意。财报方面，港股中国平安、中通快递-SW将公布财报。3月16日 周四关键词：美国当周初请失业金人数；欧洲央行利率决议；百度“文心一言”主题发布会；Adobe、贝壳、李宁财报周四，经济数据方面，投资者应密切关注当周初请失业金人数。财经事件方面，欧洲央行将举行利率决议。当地时间3月8日，意大利央行行长维斯科表示，不赞成欧洲央行继续加息，认为其货币政策应继续保持谨慎。不过，市场预期欧洲央行很有可能3月加息。从目前欧洲央行各主要官员的表态来看，欧洲央行很有可能在3月货币政策会议上继续加息，并且加息50个基点也已经是大概率事件。欧洲央行行长拉加德近日对媒体表示，欧元区核心通胀将在短期内保持高位，因此，欧洲央行本月晚些时候加息50个基点的可能性越来越大。此外，百度将召开“文心一言”主题发布会。百度计划于3月16日14时在北京总部召开新闻发布会，主题围绕文心一言。百度创始人、董事长兼首席执行官李彦宏，百度首席技术官王海峰将出席。另外，国家统计局公布的70个大中城市住宅销售价格月度报告也应密切留意。财报方面，全球最大的创意设计软件制造商Adobe将于3月15日美股盘后公布财报，贝壳将于3月16日美股盘前公布财报。此外，港股李宁、阅文集团、福耀玻璃也将于当日公布财报。3月17日 周五关键词：美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数；联邦快递、小鹏汽车、龙湖集团财报周五，经济数据方面，美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数即将公布。财报方面，“美国经济的晴雨表”联邦快递将于3月16日盘后发布财报，国内新能源汽车品牌小鹏汽车将于3月17日盘前发布财报。此外，港股龙湖集团、华润水泥控股也将于当日发布财报。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949672317,"gmtCreate":1678666713439,"gmtModify":1678672906962,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949672317","repostId":"2319087577","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2319087577","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1678656616,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2319087577?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-13 05:30","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2319087577","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　在美联储启动数十年来最激进的加息周期一年后，美国股市正处于一个关键阶段，紧张不安的投资者比以往任何时候都更需要安抚。　　上周标普500指数大跌逾4%，为去年9月以来最大跌幅，此前硅谷银行的倒闭引发了市场对其他银行资产负债表上隐藏的额外风险的担忧。这为美国股市在美联储宣布和美联储主席鲍威尔随后讨论未来道路之前的成败决定奠定了基础。　　美联储的一位代表不予置评。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. On the first anniversary of the Fed's rate hike, U.S. stocks are facing a critical moment</b><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Industry uncertainty continues, and the market faces greater risk of turmoil</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Its fate has long been engraved in its maverick genes</b><b>4. Yellen: Regulators<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The case focuses on protecting depositors rather than investors</b><b>5. U.S. regulators discuss establishing a fund to prepare for more bank failures</b><b>6. What may happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. stocks face critical moment on the first anniversary of Fed rate hike</b></p><p>A year after the Federal Reserve launched its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades, U.S. stocks are at a critical stage where jittery investors need reassurance more than ever.</p><p>The S&P 500 index fell more than 4% last week, its biggest drop since September last year, after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank raised concerns about additional risks hidden on the balance sheets of other banks. At the same time, questions surrounding the Fed's policy path are heating up as it enters a lull period ahead of its March 22 interest rate decision.</p><p>Amid the silence of Fed officials, all eyes are on the consumer price index released on Tuesday. Employment data released last week showed that inflation may be cooling. This sets the stage for a make-or-break decision for U.S. stocks ahead of the Fed's announcement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's subsequent discussion of the path ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95fa9f31b1d33104542d323133a1d278\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. banking uncertainty continues, markets face greater risk of turmoil</b></p><p>Traders are bracing for the risk of more volatility after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the largest U.S. bank since the 2008 financial crisis, sent shockwaves to markets.</p><p>The collapse of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank, driven in large part by the impact of the Federal Reserve's rate hike, raises the question of whether other institutions may also be at risk as investors debate the extent to which the Fed may tighten policy further. At the same time, the economic outlook and possible policy responses are still changing.</p><p>Forex markets will be the first to be in the spotlight as the new week begins and Asia Pacific starts trading on Monday. Traders will keep a close eye on whether safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen can extend Friday's gains and whether the dollar will continue to move lower amid market expectations for short-term U.S. Treasury Bond yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/133d7e6945b856432f42ae75824a9d68\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in its maverick DNA</b></p><p>Bank of America investors are pondering a question, is the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank an isolated case, or is it a sign that the entire industry building will collapse? At present, the answer is that the \"most extreme\" problems that all banks may encounter have been caught up by Silicon Valley Bank, and the bank itself has some special circumstances.</p><p>Last year, due to the Federal Reserve's rate hike, the value of U.S. Treasury Bond fell. All U.S. banks invested heavily in the U.S. bond market, but Silicon Valley Bank achieved a quite outstanding level: its investment portfolio expanded to 57% of total assets. Of the 74 major U.S. banks, none exceed 42%.</p><p>While rising interest rates have all banks worried about the exodus of depositors, most have a widely distributed customer base, both individuals and businesses. The rapid growth of Silicon Valley Bank is due to the fact that its main customers are technology startups.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560fe69661ff53ce80a662a545365b45\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Yellen: Regulators' concerns about Silicon Valley Bank case focus on protecting depositors rather than investors</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said regulators worked all weekend to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, and the most important thing was to protect depositors rather than bail out investors. But she declined to give details about a potential solution.</p><p>In an interview on Sunday, Yellen reiterated that the U.S. banking system is safe, well-capitalized and resilient. When asked if a solution would be proposed before Asian markets opened on Monday, she said officials were \"working to resolve the issue in a timely manner\".</p><p>Yellen said, \"During the financial crisis, investors and owners of systemically important banks were bailed out, and now we won't do it again, and the reforms we have been carrying out all along also mean that we won't do it. We are concerned about depositors, and we will focus on meeting their needs.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d90e31189aa3dc76827b6c0b62c54b3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. regulators discuss setting up a fund to prepare for more possible bank failures</b></p><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve are considering creating a fund that would allow regulators to provide more deposit protection to banks struggling after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Regulators discussed the new tool in conversations with bank executives, according to people familiar with the matter. The hope is to reassure savers by building such a tool and help curb panic, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p>A representative of the Fed declined to comment. FDIC representatives did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In addition, a source said that the FDIC questioned several small and medium-sized bank executives on Saturday about the financial situation, including $First Republic Bank (FRC-N) $.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c994d95a9f6ff2227ed75aaa8fed56ce\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>What might happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b></p><p>Customers of Silicon Valley Bank, as well as investors and bankers across the globe, are waiting for a statement from U.S. regulators on what's next following the bank's largest failure since 2008.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank will reopen Monday morning under the control of the newly formed National Deposit Insurance Bank of Santa Clara, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) said Friday. Once this happens, insured depositors with up to $250,000 in their account will be able to access their money.</p><p>But most of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits are uninsured, and it's unclear when those customers will be able to withdraw their money, or if they'll get it all back. Silicon Valley Bank's role as a key bank for start-ups and other venture capital-backed companies means many companies may struggle to pay wages and other obligations if they don't get their money back quickly.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in the genes\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-13 05:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. On the first anniversary of the Fed's rate hike, U.S. stocks are facing a critical moment</b><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Industry uncertainty continues, and the market faces greater risk of turmoil</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>Its fate has long been engraved in its maverick genes</b><b>4. Yellen: Regulators<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>The case focuses on protecting depositors rather than investors</b><b>5. U.S. regulators discuss establishing a fund to prepare for more bank failures</b><b>6. What may happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. stocks face critical moment on the first anniversary of Fed rate hike</b></p><p>A year after the Federal Reserve launched its most aggressive rate hike cycle in decades, U.S. stocks are at a critical stage where jittery investors need reassurance more than ever.</p><p>The S&P 500 index fell more than 4% last week, its biggest drop since September last year, after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank raised concerns about additional risks hidden on the balance sheets of other banks. At the same time, questions surrounding the Fed's policy path are heating up as it enters a lull period ahead of its March 22 interest rate decision.</p><p>Amid the silence of Fed officials, all eyes are on the consumer price index released on Tuesday. Employment data released last week showed that inflation may be cooling. This sets the stage for a make-or-break decision for U.S. stocks ahead of the Fed's announcement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's subsequent discussion of the path ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95fa9f31b1d33104542d323133a1d278\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. banking uncertainty continues, markets face greater risk of turmoil</b></p><p>Traders are bracing for the risk of more volatility after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the largest U.S. bank since the 2008 financial crisis, sent shockwaves to markets.</p><p>The collapse of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank, driven in large part by the impact of the Federal Reserve's rate hike, raises the question of whether other institutions may also be at risk as investors debate the extent to which the Fed may tighten policy further. At the same time, the economic outlook and possible policy responses are still changing.</p><p>Forex markets will be the first to be in the spotlight as the new week begins and Asia Pacific starts trading on Monday. Traders will keep a close eye on whether safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen can extend Friday's gains and whether the dollar will continue to move lower amid market expectations for short-term U.S. Treasury Bond yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/133d7e6945b856432f42ae75824a9d68\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The fate of Silicon Valley Bank has long been engraved in its maverick DNA</b></p><p>Bank of America investors are pondering a question, is the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank an isolated case, or is it a sign that the entire industry building will collapse? At present, the answer is that the \"most extreme\" problems that all banks may encounter have been caught up by Silicon Valley Bank, and the bank itself has some special circumstances.</p><p>Last year, due to the Federal Reserve's rate hike, the value of U.S. Treasury Bond fell. All U.S. banks invested heavily in the U.S. bond market, but Silicon Valley Bank achieved a quite outstanding level: its investment portfolio expanded to 57% of total assets. Of the 74 major U.S. banks, none exceed 42%.</p><p>While rising interest rates have all banks worried about the exodus of depositors, most have a widely distributed customer base, both individuals and businesses. The rapid growth of Silicon Valley Bank is due to the fact that its main customers are technology startups.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560fe69661ff53ce80a662a545365b45\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Yellen: Regulators' concerns about Silicon Valley Bank case focus on protecting depositors rather than investors</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said regulators worked all weekend to resolve the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, and the most important thing was to protect depositors rather than bail out investors. But she declined to give details about a potential solution.</p><p>In an interview on Sunday, Yellen reiterated that the U.S. banking system is safe, well-capitalized and resilient. When asked if a solution would be proposed before Asian markets opened on Monday, she said officials were \"working to resolve the issue in a timely manner\".</p><p>Yellen said, \"During the financial crisis, investors and owners of systemically important banks were bailed out, and now we won't do it again, and the reforms we have been carrying out all along also mean that we won't do it. We are concerned about depositors, and we will focus on meeting their needs.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d90e31189aa3dc76827b6c0b62c54b3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. regulators discuss setting up a fund to prepare for more possible bank failures</b></p><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve are considering creating a fund that would allow regulators to provide more deposit protection to banks struggling after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.</p><p>Regulators discussed the new tool in conversations with bank executives, according to people familiar with the matter. The hope is to reassure savers by building such a tool and help curb panic, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p>A representative of the Fed declined to comment. FDIC representatives did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>In addition, a source said that the FDIC questioned several small and medium-sized bank executives on Saturday about the financial situation, including $First Republic Bank (FRC-N) $.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c994d95a9f6ff2227ed75aaa8fed56ce\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>What might happen next for Silicon Valley Bank customers</b></p><p>Customers of Silicon Valley Bank, as well as investors and bankers across the globe, are waiting for a statement from U.S. regulators on what's next following the bank's largest failure since 2008.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank will reopen Monday morning under the control of the newly formed National Deposit Insurance Bank of Santa Clara, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) said Friday. Once this happens, insured depositors with up to $250,000 in their account will be able to access their money.</p><p>But most of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits are uninsured, and it's unclear when those customers will be able to withdraw their money, or if they'll get it all back. Silicon Valley Bank's role as a key bank for start-ups and other venture capital-backed companies means many companies may struggle to pay wages and other obligations if they don't get their money back quickly.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-13/doc-imyksefm8938739.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39f18e61e6fb697bcb25382f23297b6c","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","IAT":"安硕美国地区银行ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-13/doc-imyksefm8938739.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2319087577","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美联储加息一周年之际，美股面临关键时刻2、美国银行业不确定性持续，市场面临更大动荡风险3、硅谷银行的命运早已镌刻在其特立独行的基因中4、耶伦：监管层对硅谷银行案的关切重点是保护储户 而非投资者5、美国监管部门讨论建立一支基金 为更多银行可能倒闭做准备6、对硅谷银行的客户而言 接下来可能会发生什么美联储加息一周年之际，美股面临关键时刻在美联储启动数十年来最激进的加息周期一年后，美国股市正处于一个关键阶段，紧张不安的投资者比以往任何时候都更需要安抚。上周标普500指数大跌逾4%，为去年9月以来最大跌幅，此前硅谷银行的倒闭引发了市场对其他银行资产负债表上隐藏的额外风险的担忧。与此同时，随着美联储进入3月22日利率决定前的平静期，围绕美联储政策路径的问题也在不断升温。在美联储官员保持沉默的情况下，所有人的目光都集中在周二公布的消费者价格指数上。上周公布的就业数据显示，通胀可能正在降温。这为美国股市在美联储宣布和美联储主席鲍威尔随后讨论未来道路之前的成败决定奠定了基础。美国银行业不确定性持续，市场面临更大动荡风险在2008年金融危机以来美国规模最大的雷曼兄弟银行倒闭给市场带来冲击波后，交易员们正准备应对更多动荡的风险。SVB金融集团旗下硅谷银行的倒闭，在很大程度上是由美联储加息的影响推动的，这引发了一个问题：在投资者争论美联储可能进一步收紧政策的程度之际，其他机构是否也可能面临风险。与此同时，经济前景以及可能的政策应对仍在不断变化。随着新的一周开始，亚太地区周一开始交易，外汇市场将首先成为人们关注的焦点。交易员将密切关注瑞郎和日元等避险货币能否延续上周五的涨势，以及美元是否会随着市场对短期美国国债收益率的预期继续走低。硅谷银行的命运早已镌刻在其特立独行的基因中美国银行投资者正在冥思苦想一个问题，硅谷银行爆雷究竟是个孤例，还是整个行业大厦将倾的预兆？目前来看答案是，所有银行都可能遇到的“最极端”问题被硅谷银行赶上了，而且该行自身也有一些特殊情况。去年因为美联储加息，美国国债价值下跌，所有美国的银行对于美债市场都有大量投资，但硅谷银行却做到了一个相当突出的水平：其投资组合膨胀至总资产的57%。在美国74家主要银行中，没有一家银行超过42%。虽然利率上升让所有银行都担心储户外流，但大多数银行的客户群分布广泛，既有个人，也有企业。而硅谷银行的快速增长得益于其主要客户是科技初创公司。耶伦：监管层对硅谷银行案的关切重点是保护储户 而非投资者美国财政部长耶伦表示，监管机构整个周末都在为解决硅谷银行倒闭案而努力，最重要是保护储户，而非救助投资者。但她拒绝透露潜在解决方案的细节。耶伦周日接受采访时重申，美国银行体系安全，资本充足且富有韧性。当被问及在周一亚洲市场开盘前是否会提出解决方案时，她说，官员们正在“努力及时解决这一问题”。耶伦表示，“金融危机期间，系统重要性银行的投资者和所有者获得了救助，现在我们不会再这么做了，一直以来我们进行的改革也意味着我们不会这么做。我们关切的是储户，我们将专注于满足他们的需求”。美国监管部门讨论建立一支基金 为更多银行可能倒闭做准备美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）和美联储正在考虑创建一支基金，允许监管机构对在硅谷银行倒闭后陷入困境的银行提供更多存款防护。据知情人士透露，监管机构在与银行高管的对话中讨论了这一新工具。知情人士称，希望是通过建立这样一个工具安抚储户，并帮助遏制恐慌。美联储的一位代表不予置评。FDIC的代表暂未回复置评请求。此外，一位消息人士称FDIC周六就财务状况问题询问了多家中小型银行管理人士，包括$First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$。对硅谷银行的客户而言 接下来可能会发生什么硅谷银行的客户以及全球各地的投资者和银行家都在等待美国监管机构就这家自2008年以来规模最大的银行倒闭后的下一步举措发表声明。美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）周五表示，硅谷银行将于周一上午重新开业，由新成立的圣克拉拉国家存款保险银行控制。一旦这种情况发生，账户上存款不超过25万美元的保险储户将能够动用他们的钱。但硅谷银行的大部分存款都没有投保，目前还不清楚这些客户什么时候能取走他们的钱，或者他们是否能全部拿回来。硅谷银行作为初创企业和其他风险投资支持的公司的关键银行，意味着如果不能迅速收回资金，许多公司可能难以支付工资和其他义务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IAT":1,".DJI":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SIVB":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"QID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949621834,"gmtCreate":1678619465628,"gmtModify":1678620074162,"author":{"id":"3582255225539540","authorId":"3582255225539540","name":"maxcheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e349509cb3a5b7ead6c5501a0aff9b47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582255225539540","idStr":"3582255225539540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949621834","repostId":"1158350017","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158350017","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678492766,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158350017?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-11 07:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158350017","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道指跌345.22点，跌幅为1.07%，报31909.64点。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes surged and fell back, collectively closing lower; ② The total number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 311,000 in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%; ③ California Financial Regulatory Authority took over<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>, and has controlled bank deposits.<b>Overseas Market</b></p><p>1. U.S. stocks continue to close lower, and Silicon Valley Bank is taken over by California regulators</p><p>U.S. stocks continued to close lower on Friday as investors worried about contagion in the financial sector and strong February jobs data showed the economy added more jobs than expected. As of the close, the Dow fell 345.22 points, or 1.07%, to 31909.64 points; The Nasdaq fell 199.47 points, or 1.76%, to 11138.89 points; The S&P 500 fell 56.73 points, or 1.45%, to 3861.59 points. The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded losses this week, with the Dow falling 4.44%, the S&P 500 falling 4.55%, and the Nasdaq falling 4.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783f81717137530a23bb7bb4ac29b065\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In terms of industry sectors, all 11 major S&P sectors closed down: daily consumption and medical care all closed down within 0.8%, energy, communications, public utilities, high technology, finance, industry and semiconductors all closed down within 2%, and raw materials and real estate closed down 2.13% and 3.19% respectively.</p><p>The much-watched Silicon Valley Bank was suspended from trading and closed down 62.76%, but there was a sharp change after the market. On the news,<b>California's Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) announced that it has taken over Silicon Valley Bank under Section 592 of the California Financial Code due to illiquidity and insolvency and has taken control of the bank's deposits. S&P expects Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group to enter bankruptcy proceedings.</b>Its parent company Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group is said to have failed to raise funds and is selling itself. According to the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: Silicon Valley Bank Silicon Valley Bank has approximately US $209 billion in assets and US $175.4 billion in deposits; The bank, the first insured institution to go bust this year, will continue to cash its official checks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61a04e656a9bde49c113f67840cb6d8\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b39f41b9f1e0bdbff8577727d1161b4\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The KBW Bank Index (BKX) fell nearly 6.9% at the beginning of Friday's session. It turned up at the end of early trading and then quickly turned down, closing down 3.9%, a new low since November 2020. Bank of America fell 0.88%, Citigroup fell 0.53%, Morgan Stanley fell 2.33%, Goldman Sachs fell 4.22%, JPMorgan Chase rose 2.54%, and Wells Fargo rose 0.56%.</p><p>Most large tech stocks closed lower.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Down 1.48%, the chief technology officer of Microsoft Germany revealed that it will launch GPT-4 next week, a multi-modal model that includes video.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Down 1.78%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Down 1.65%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.39%;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 0.3%, the President of Mexico and Tesla discussed building a factory, and the Gigafactory is expected to start construction within two months</b>； Tesla considers vice versa<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688005\">Rongbai Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002384\">Dongshan Precision</a>Collaborate to reduce battery material costs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e19bc4ad3e79caf4f28f12a803ec6294\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2. Chinese concept stocks were mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rising against the trend</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 0.09%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 0.73%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">Huazhu</a>Up 1.09%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell 2.9%, Ali fell 0.49%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down 0.28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 3.19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down 1.33%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">Atour</a>Down 2.17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">MINISO</a>Fell 1.18%.</p><p>Bilibili bucked the trend and rose 5.96%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange transferred Bilibili's Hong Kong stocks to the Hong Kong Stock Connect target under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, which will take effect from the next Hong Kong Stock Connect trading day.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX Technology</a>A surge of 15.07%, 22Q4 revenue decreased by 82% year-on-year and was worse than expected, recording a net loss of 228 million yuan, turning from profit to loss year-on-year; Full-year revenue decreased by 37% year-on-year to 5.333 billion yuan, and net profit fell by about 29% year-on-year to 1.441 billion yuan.</p><p><b>Macro news</b></p><p><b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, but the unemployment rate rose.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, slowing down from the previous value, but still exceeding expectations of 225,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6%, higher than expected 3.4%. In terms of inflation data, the average hourly wage increased by 4.6% year-on-year, lower than the expected 4.8%, and increased by 0.2% month-on-month, also lower than the expected 0.4%. There is currently no obvious reason that the Fed will re-accelerate the pace of rate hike to 50 basis points in March. If the U.S. CPI data remains strong next week, it may increase the possibility of the Fed's March rate hike by 50 basis points.</p><p><b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen convened a meeting of multi-sector leaders to downplay the risks of the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said the U.S. banking system \"remains resilient\" and regulators \"have effective tools\" to respond to developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank. Yellen called leaders of the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a meeting Friday to discuss developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank, the Treasury Department said in an emailed statement.</p><p><b>Summers: If depositors survive unscathed, Silicon Valley Bank collapse will not pose a systemic risk.</b>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers said that as long as depositors are unscathed, the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group should not pose a risk to the U.S. financial system. Summers said, \"It is absolutely important that no matter how this matter is solved in the end, depositors have to get the money and get all the money. As long as this is the case, if it is handled properly, even if the value of bank assets is at risk, I have every reason to think that it will not become a source of systemic risk.\"</p><p><b>Commodities</b></p><p>WTI crude oil futures for April rose 96 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $76.68 a barrel. Based on the most active contract, WTI crude oil futures fell 3.8% for the week. Brent crude oil futures for May rose $1.19, or 1.5%, to $82.78 a barrel.</p><p>Gold rises. The settlement price of COMEX April gold futures rose 1.8% to $1,867.2 per ounce, a cumulative increase of 0.68% this week.</p><p>London metals collectively closed lower. LME copper fell 0.91% to US $8,772/ton, LME zinc fell 2.2% to US $2,908.5/ton, LME aluminum fell 1.03% to US $2,304/ton, LME nickel fell 2.56% to US $22,674/ton, and LME tin fell 3.11% to US $22,624/ton, and LME lead fell 0.82% to US $2,067/ton.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning | The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, and Silicon Valley Bank was taken over\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-11 07:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes surged and fell back, collectively closing lower; ② The total number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 311,000 in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%; ③ California Financial Regulatory Authority took over<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">Silicon Valley Bank</a>, and has controlled bank deposits.<b>Overseas Market</b></p><p>1. U.S. stocks continue to close lower, and Silicon Valley Bank is taken over by California regulators</p><p>U.S. stocks continued to close lower on Friday as investors worried about contagion in the financial sector and strong February jobs data showed the economy added more jobs than expected. As of the close, the Dow fell 345.22 points, or 1.07%, to 31909.64 points; The Nasdaq fell 199.47 points, or 1.76%, to 11138.89 points; The S&P 500 fell 56.73 points, or 1.45%, to 3861.59 points. The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded losses this week, with the Dow falling 4.44%, the S&P 500 falling 4.55%, and the Nasdaq falling 4.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/783f81717137530a23bb7bb4ac29b065\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In terms of industry sectors, all 11 major S&P sectors closed down: daily consumption and medical care all closed down within 0.8%, energy, communications, public utilities, high technology, finance, industry and semiconductors all closed down within 2%, and raw materials and real estate closed down 2.13% and 3.19% respectively.</p><p>The much-watched Silicon Valley Bank was suspended from trading and closed down 62.76%, but there was a sharp change after the market. On the news,<b>California's Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) announced that it has taken over Silicon Valley Bank under Section 592 of the California Financial Code due to illiquidity and insolvency and has taken control of the bank's deposits. S&P expects Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group to enter bankruptcy proceedings.</b>Its parent company Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group is said to have failed to raise funds and is selling itself. According to the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: Silicon Valley Bank Silicon Valley Bank has approximately US $209 billion in assets and US $175.4 billion in deposits; The bank, the first insured institution to go bust this year, will continue to cash its official checks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61a04e656a9bde49c113f67840cb6d8\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b39f41b9f1e0bdbff8577727d1161b4\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The KBW Bank Index (BKX) fell nearly 6.9% at the beginning of Friday's session. It turned up at the end of early trading and then quickly turned down, closing down 3.9%, a new low since November 2020. Bank of America fell 0.88%, Citigroup fell 0.53%, Morgan Stanley fell 2.33%, Goldman Sachs fell 4.22%, JPMorgan Chase rose 2.54%, and Wells Fargo rose 0.56%.</p><p>Most large tech stocks closed lower.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Down 1.48%, the chief technology officer of Microsoft Germany revealed that it will launch GPT-4 next week, a multi-modal model that includes video.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Down 1.78%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Down 1.65%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Down 1.39%;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 0.3%, the President of Mexico and Tesla discussed building a factory, and the Gigafactory is expected to start construction within two months</b>； Tesla considers vice versa<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688005\">Rongbai Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002384\">Dongshan Precision</a>Collaborate to reduce battery material costs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e19bc4ad3e79caf4f28f12a803ec6294\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2. Chinese concept stocks were mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Rising against the trend</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 0.09%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 0.73%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">Huazhu</a>Up 1.09%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell 2.9%, Ali fell 0.49%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down 0.28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 3.19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down 1.33%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">Atour</a>Down 2.17%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">MINISO</a>Fell 1.18%.</p><p>Bilibili bucked the trend and rose 5.96%. The Shanghai Stock Exchange transferred Bilibili's Hong Kong stocks to the Hong Kong Stock Connect target under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, which will take effect from the next Hong Kong Stock Connect trading day.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX Technology</a>A surge of 15.07%, 22Q4 revenue decreased by 82% year-on-year and was worse than expected, recording a net loss of 228 million yuan, turning from profit to loss year-on-year; Full-year revenue decreased by 37% year-on-year to 5.333 billion yuan, and net profit fell by about 29% year-on-year to 1.441 billion yuan.</p><p><b>Macro news</b></p><p><b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, but the unemployment rate rose.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 311,000 in February, slowing down from the previous value, but still exceeding expectations of 225,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6%, higher than expected 3.4%. In terms of inflation data, the average hourly wage increased by 4.6% year-on-year, lower than the expected 4.8%, and increased by 0.2% month-on-month, also lower than the expected 0.4%. There is currently no obvious reason that the Fed will re-accelerate the pace of rate hike to 50 basis points in March. If the U.S. CPI data remains strong next week, it may increase the possibility of the Fed's March rate hike by 50 basis points.</p><p><b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen convened a meeting of multi-sector leaders to downplay the risks of the Silicon Valley Bank crisis.</b>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said the U.S. banking system \"remains resilient\" and regulators \"have effective tools\" to respond to developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank. Yellen called leaders of the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a meeting Friday to discuss developments surrounding Silicon Valley Bank, the Treasury Department said in an emailed statement.</p><p><b>Summers: If depositors survive unscathed, Silicon Valley Bank collapse will not pose a systemic risk.</b>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers said that as long as depositors are unscathed, the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group should not pose a risk to the U.S. financial system. Summers said, \"It is absolutely important that no matter how this matter is solved in the end, depositors have to get the money and get all the money. As long as this is the case, if it is handled properly, even if the value of bank assets is at risk, I have every reason to think that it will not become a source of systemic risk.\"</p><p><b>Commodities</b></p><p>WTI crude oil futures for April rose 96 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $76.68 a barrel. Based on the most active contract, WTI crude oil futures fell 3.8% for the week. Brent crude oil futures for May rose $1.19, or 1.5%, to $82.78 a barrel.</p><p>Gold rises. The settlement price of COMEX April gold futures rose 1.8% to $1,867.2 per ounce, a cumulative increase of 0.68% this week.</p><p>London metals collectively closed lower. LME copper fell 0.91% to US $8,772/ton, LME zinc fell 2.2% to US $2,908.5/ton, LME aluminum fell 1.03% to US $2,304/ton, LME nickel fell 2.56% to US $22,674/ton, and LME tin fell 3.11% to US $22,624/ton, and LME lead fell 0.82% to US $2,067/ton.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158350017","content_text":"摘要：①美股三大股指冲高回落，集体收低；②2月美国非农就业总人数增加31.1万人，失业率升至3.6%；③加州金融监管部门接管了硅谷银行，并已控制了银行的存款。海外市场1，美股继续收低，硅谷银行被加州监管部门接管由于投资者担心金融业的危机蔓延以及2月份强劲的就业数据显示经济增加的就业岗位超过预期，美国股市周五继续收低。截至收盘，道指跌345.22点，跌幅为1.07%，报31909.64点;纳指跌199.47点，跌幅为1.76%，报11138.89点;标普500指数跌56.73点，跌幅为1.45%，报3861.59点。本周美股三大股指均录得跌幅，道指累计下跌4.44%，标普500指数跌4.55%，纳指跌4.71%。行业板块方面，标普11大板块悉数收跌：日常消费、医疗均收跌0.8%以内，能源、通讯、公用事业、高科技、金融、工业和半导体均收跌2%以内，原料和房地产分别收跌2.13%和3.19%。备受关注的硅谷银行被停牌，收盘跌62.76%，但盘后出现大幅异动。消息面上，加州金融保护与创新部门(DFPI)宣布，由于流动性不足和资不抵债，根据加州金融法典第592条，它已经接管了硅谷银行，并已控制了银行的存款。标普预计硅谷银行金融集团将进入破产程序。据称其母公司硅谷银行金融集团筹措资金失败正在进行自我出售。据美国联邦存款保险公司：硅谷银行硅谷银行拥有约2090亿美元资产，并有1754亿美元存款；该银行是今年第一家破产的受保险机构，其官方支票将继续兑现。KBW银行指数（BKX）周五盘初曾跌近6.9%，早盘尾声时转涨后很快转跌，收跌3.9%，创2020年11月以来新低。美国银行跌0.88%，花旗跌0.53%，摩根士丹利跌2.33%，高盛跌4.22%，摩根大通涨2.54%，富国银行涨0.56%。大型科技股多数收跌。微软跌1.48%，微软德国公司的首席技术官透露将于下周推出GPT-4，为包含视频的多模态模型。谷歌跌1.78%，亚马逊跌1.65%，苹果跌1.39%；特斯拉涨0.3%，墨西哥总统与特斯拉讨论建厂事宜，超级工厂有望两个月内动工；特斯拉考虑与容百科技、东山精密合作，以降低电池材料成本。2，中概股涨跌不一，哔哩哔哩逆势上升拼多多涨0.09%，网易涨1.74%，百度涨0.73%，华住涨1.09%；京东跌2.9%，阿里跌0.49%，理想汽车跌0.28%，蔚来跌3.19%，小鹏汽车跌1.33%，亚朵跌 2.17%，名创优品跌1.18%。哔哩哔哩逆势涨 5.96%，上交所将哔哩哔哩港股调入沪港通下港股通标的，并自下一港股通交易日起生效。RLX科技大涨15.07%，22Q4营收同比减少82%且逊于预期，录得净亏损2.28亿元，同比由盈转亏；全年营收同比减少37%至53.33亿元，净利润同比下滑约29%至14.41亿元。宏观消息美国2月非农就业人数新增31.1万但失业率上升。美国2月非农就业新增31.1万，较前值有所放缓，但仍超出了预期的22.5万。失业率为3.6%，高于预期的3.4%。通胀数据方面，平均时薪同比增长4.6%，低于预期的4.8%，环比则增长0.2%，也低于预期的0.4%。目前没有明显的理由表明，美联储3月将重新加快加息步伐至50个基点。如果下周美国CPI数据仍然强劲，才可能增加美联储3月加息50个基点的可能性。美国财长耶伦召集多部门领导人开会 淡化硅谷银行危机的风险。美国财政部长耶伦称，美国的银行系统“依旧坚韧”，监管机构“拥有有效的工具”来应对围绕硅谷银行的事态发展。美国财政部在一份通过电子邮件发表的声明中表示，耶伦周五召集美联储、联邦存款保险公司和货币监理署的领导人举行会议，讨论围绕硅谷银行的事态发展。萨默斯：如果储户毫发无损 硅谷银行倒闭将不构成系统性风险。美国前财长萨默斯表示，只要储户毫发无损，硅谷银行金融集团的爆雷应该不会对美国金融系统构成风险。萨默斯表示，“绝对重要的一点是，无论这件事最后怎么解决，储户得拿到钱，拿到全部钱。只要是这样的情况，如果处置得当，即使银行资产价值面临风险，我也有充分理由认为其不会成为一个系统性风险的来源”。大宗商品WTI 4月原油期货期货价格上涨96美分，涨幅为1.3%，收于每桶76.68美元。按照最活跃合约计算，WTI原油期货本周下跌3.8%。布伦特5月原油期货上涨1.19美元或1.5%，至每桶82.78美元。黄金上涨。COMEX 4月黄金期货结算价涨1.8%，报1867.2美元/盎司，本周累涨0.68%。伦敦金属集体收跌。LME铜跌0.91%报8772美元/吨，LME锌跌2.2%报2908.5美元/吨，LME铝跌1.03%报2304美元/吨，LME镍跌2.56%报22674美元/吨，LME锡跌3.11%报22624美元/吨，LME铅跌0.82%报2067美元/吨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}