阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛 personal page - To The Moon

阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛

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阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛

2022-05-29

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2022-07-14

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Fed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher

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2022-06-16

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2022-03-05

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$https://youtu.be/ITnEdR8HMmA

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2022-07-30

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2022-07-10

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2022-06-25

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What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?

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2022-06-19

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2022-06-02

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2022-06-18

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Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","listText":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. 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Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣Join our Easter campaign now","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c90a7371a3bcd1e6c552d2aa23f72c33","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943960936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986399768,"gmtCreate":1666882965554,"gmtModify":1676537823918,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986399768","repostId":"1182334257","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182334257","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666879990,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182334257?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meta Platforms Downgrades; ServiceNow Upgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182334257","media":"The Fly","summary":"Top 5 Upgrades:MoffettNathanson analyst Sterling Auty upgraded ServiceNow (NOW) to Outperform from M","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Top 5 Upgrades:</b></p><ul><li>MoffettNathanson analyst Sterling Auty upgraded <b>ServiceNow</b> (NOW) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $549 price target following a report he calls &#34;a welcome change&#34; after the disappointing results from Microsoft (MSFT).</li><li>Craig-Hallum analyst Christian Schwab upgraded <b>Teradyne</b> (TER) to Buy from Hold with a $120 price target following the company&#39;s better results. The analyst notes the company saw semi test demand hold up better than originally feared and outperformed on its supply chain during the quarter.</li><li>Barclays analyst Jiong Shao upgraded <b>Pinduoduo</b> (PDD) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $70, up from $66. Despite the fact that Pinduoduo &#34;provides quite limited disclosures,&#34; its recent progress in adding more brands to its platform in China is impressive, Shao told investors in a research note.</li><li>Raymond James analyst Michael Rose upgraded <b>Renasant</b> (RNST) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $41 price target. Renasant&#39;s third quarter results exceeded expectations on a core basis, and Rose&#39;s now positive bias fits the view that the company/stock reflects its conservative lending culture and expectations for better than peer through the cycle loss content, strong low-cost core deposit base that should result in lower costs/betas than most peers/the industry, solid capital position, and strong loan loss reserves.</li><li>UBS analyst John Sourbeer upgraded <b>Medpace</b> (MEDP) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $238, up from $142. The analyst cites the company&#39;s third quarter earnings beat as it delivered upside against his negative outlook in spite of the outsized biotech exposure and the overall biopharma funding pressures.</li></ul><p><b>Top 5 Downgrades:</b></p><ul><li>Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak downgraded <b>Meta Platforms</b> (META) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $105, down from $205, following quarterly results. The analyst Meta&#39;s &#34;latest results and forward capex guidance are thesis changing and likely to weigh on the shares for some period.&#34; Cowen and KeyBanc also downgraded Meta Platforms to Neutral-equivalent ratings.</li><li>UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri downgraded <b>Seagate</b> (STX) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $55, down from $85. The charge by the U.S. Commerce Department that the company shipped product to customers on the Entity List creates &#34;too much potential risk,&#34; the analyst tells investors in a research note.</li><li>JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss downgraded <b>VF Corp.</b> (VFC) to Underweight from Neutral with a $29 price target. The company reported &#34;mixed&#34; second quarter results and a second half of the year guidance cut, Boss tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Benchmark analyst Robert Wasserman downgraded <b>Thermo Fisher</b> (TMO) to Hold from Buy with no price target. The analyst notes the company reported better-than-expected earnings for Q3, but says concerns over lower sales in Europe due to foreign exchange and other factors puts a damper on 2023 forecasts.</li><li>Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill downgraded <b>Silicon Labs</b> (SLAB) to Hold from Buy without a price target on slowing consumer demand concerns.</li></ul><p><b>Top 5 Initiations:</b></p><ul><li>Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of <b>Mercury Systems</b> (MRCY) with an Outperform rating and $55 price target. Mercury is the leading platform-agnostic provider of trusted computing and processing solutions used in national defense/aviation systems, Gesuale tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Citi analyst Yigal Nochomovitz initiated coverage of <b>Ideaya Biosciences</b> (IDYA) with a Buy rating and $26 price target. Ideaya is a clinical-stage oncology company focused on synthetic lethality, a &#34;powerful therapeutic concept garnering significant attention from biotech/pharma in recent years,&#34; Nochomovitz tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Needham analyst Gil Blum initiated coverage of <b>Arcellx</b> (ACLX) with a Buy rating and $31 price target. Arcellx&#39;s lead program and main value driver is CART-ddBCMA, an autologous CAR-T therapy for treatment of relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma, Blum tells investors in a research note.</li><li>B. Riley analyst Matthew Key initiated coverage of <b>5E Advanced Metals</b> (FEAM) with a Buy rating and $20 price target, which implies roughly 75% potential upside.</li><li>JPMorgan analyst Brian Cheng initiated coverage of <b>Roivant Sciences</b> (ROIV) with an Overweight rating and $7 price target. The analyst believes the company is attractively positioned with a solid support to valuation from Dermavant&#39;s Vtama sales in plaque psoriasis and potentially in atopic dermatitis.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1649979459173","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meta Platforms Downgrades; ServiceNow Upgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeta Platforms Downgrades; ServiceNow Upgrade: Top Calls on Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3604229&headline=NOW;MSFT;TER;PDD;RNST;MEDP;META;STX;VFC;TMO;SLAB;MRCY;IDYA;ACLX;FEAM;ROIV-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations><strong>The Fly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top 5 Upgrades:MoffettNathanson analyst Sterling Auty upgraded ServiceNow (NOW) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $549 price target following a report he calls \"a welcome change\" after the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3604229&headline=NOW;MSFT;TER;PDD;RNST;MEDP;META;STX;VFC;TMO;SLAB;MRCY;IDYA;ACLX;FEAM;ROIV-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IDYA":"IDEAYA Biosciences","MRCY":"Mercury Systems Inc","PDD":"拼多多","TER":"泰瑞达","NOW":"ServiceNow","SLAB":"芯科实验室","FEAM":"5E Advanced Materials Inc","MEDP":"Medpace Holdings Inc.","TMO":"赛默飞世尔","RNST":"Renasant Corporation","STX":"希捷科技","ACLX":"ARCELLX, INC.","ROIV":"Roivant Sciences Ltd.","VFC":"威富集团","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3604229&headline=NOW;MSFT;TER;PDD;RNST;MEDP;META;STX;VFC;TMO;SLAB;MRCY;IDYA;ACLX;FEAM;ROIV-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182334257","content_text":"Top 5 Upgrades:MoffettNathanson analyst Sterling Auty upgraded ServiceNow (NOW) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $549 price target following a report he calls \"a welcome change\" after the disappointing results from Microsoft (MSFT).Craig-Hallum analyst Christian Schwab upgraded Teradyne (TER) to Buy from Hold with a $120 price target following the company's better results. The analyst notes the company saw semi test demand hold up better than originally feared and outperformed on its supply chain during the quarter.Barclays analyst Jiong Shao upgraded Pinduoduo (PDD) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $70, up from $66. Despite the fact that Pinduoduo \"provides quite limited disclosures,\" its recent progress in adding more brands to its platform in China is impressive, Shao told investors in a research note.Raymond James analyst Michael Rose upgraded Renasant (RNST) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $41 price target. Renasant's third quarter results exceeded expectations on a core basis, and Rose's now positive bias fits the view that the company/stock reflects its conservative lending culture and expectations for better than peer through the cycle loss content, strong low-cost core deposit base that should result in lower costs/betas than most peers/the industry, solid capital position, and strong loan loss reserves.UBS analyst John Sourbeer upgraded Medpace (MEDP) to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $238, up from $142. The analyst cites the company's third quarter earnings beat as it delivered upside against his negative outlook in spite of the outsized biotech exposure and the overall biopharma funding pressures.Top 5 Downgrades:Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak downgraded Meta Platforms (META) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $105, down from $205, following quarterly results. The analyst Meta's \"latest results and forward capex guidance are thesis changing and likely to weigh on the shares for some period.\" Cowen and KeyBanc also downgraded Meta Platforms to Neutral-equivalent ratings.UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri downgraded Seagate (STX) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $55, down from $85. The charge by the U.S. Commerce Department that the company shipped product to customers on the Entity List creates \"too much potential risk,\" the analyst tells investors in a research note.JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss downgraded VF Corp. (VFC) to Underweight from Neutral with a $29 price target. The company reported \"mixed\" second quarter results and a second half of the year guidance cut, Boss tells investors in a research note.Benchmark analyst Robert Wasserman downgraded Thermo Fisher (TMO) to Hold from Buy with no price target. The analyst notes the company reported better-than-expected earnings for Q3, but says concerns over lower sales in Europe due to foreign exchange and other factors puts a damper on 2023 forecasts.Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill downgraded Silicon Labs (SLAB) to Hold from Buy without a price target on slowing consumer demand concerns.Top 5 Initiations:Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of Mercury Systems (MRCY) with an Outperform rating and $55 price target. Mercury is the leading platform-agnostic provider of trusted computing and processing solutions used in national defense/aviation systems, Gesuale tells investors in a research note.Citi analyst Yigal Nochomovitz initiated coverage of Ideaya Biosciences (IDYA) with a Buy rating and $26 price target. Ideaya is a clinical-stage oncology company focused on synthetic lethality, a \"powerful therapeutic concept garnering significant attention from biotech/pharma in recent years,\" Nochomovitz tells investors in a research note.Needham analyst Gil Blum initiated coverage of Arcellx (ACLX) with a Buy rating and $31 price target. Arcellx's lead program and main value driver is CART-ddBCMA, an autologous CAR-T therapy for treatment of relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma, Blum tells investors in a research note.B. Riley analyst Matthew Key initiated coverage of 5E Advanced Metals (FEAM) with a Buy rating and $20 price target, which implies roughly 75% potential upside.JPMorgan analyst Brian Cheng initiated coverage of Roivant Sciences (ROIV) with an Overweight rating and $7 price target. The analyst believes the company is attractively positioned with a solid support to valuation from Dermavant's Vtama sales in plaque psoriasis and potentially in atopic dermatitis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRCY":0.9,"NOW":0.9,"IDYA":0.9,"RNST":0.9,"MEDP":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"SLAB":0.9,"VFC":0.9,"TER":0.9,"META":0.9,"STX":0.9,"TMO":0.9,"ROIV":0.9,"ACLX":0.9,"FEAM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918365008,"gmtCreate":1664325155305,"gmtModify":1676537432491,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09633\">$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$</a>[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a 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SPRING(09633)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41bb67a7250997d65f95ae0a0901dd9e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933489522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933417365,"gmtCreate":1662337226957,"gmtModify":1676537038164,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933417365","repostId":"2265749449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265749449","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662332817,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265749449?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265749449","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It&#39;s a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.</p><p>Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.</p><p>Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.</p><p>Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve&#39;s sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor&#39;s initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.</p><p>The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.</p><p><b>Monday 9/5</b></p><p>Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 9/6</b></p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.</p><p><b>Wednesday 9/7</b></p><p>Appleholds a launch event, titled &#34;Far Out,&#34; at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.</p><p>GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p>The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.</p><p><b>Thursday 9/8</b></p><p>DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.</p><p>Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.</p><p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.</p><p><b>Friday 9/9</b></p><p>Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p>Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation&#39;s household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&amp;P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it&#39;s very likely that the report will show another decrease.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯","NIO":"蔚来","GME":"游戏驿站","KR":"克罗格","DOCU":"Docusign","ZS":"Zscaler Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265749449","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.Monday 9/5Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.Tuesday 9/6The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.Wednesday 9/7Appleholds a launch event, titled \"Far Out,\" at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.Thursday 9/8DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.Friday 9/9Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KR":1,"DOCU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GME":1,"AAPL":1,"ZS":0.9,"NIO":1,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933184473,"gmtCreate":1662252910893,"gmtModify":1676537023571,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933184473","repostId":"1111559856","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111559856","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662252810,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111559856?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-04 08:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bulls and Bears Of The Week: Disney, Amazon, Uber, Apple And Why Netflix Is Facing A Defamation Suit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111559856","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSDisney may soon launch a membership program, which could be similar to Amazon's Pri","content":"<div>\n<p>ZINGER KEY POINTSDisney may soon launch a membership program, which could be similar to Amazon's Prime service.Snap Inc, the parent company of the social media app Snapchat, plans to lay off around ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/22/09/28738863/bulls-and-bears-of-the-week\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bulls and Bears Of The Week: Disney, Amazon, Uber, Apple And Why Netflix Is Facing A Defamation Suit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBulls and Bears Of The Week: Disney, Amazon, Uber, Apple And Why Netflix Is Facing A Defamation Suit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-04 08:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/22/09/28738863/bulls-and-bears-of-the-week><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ZINGER KEY POINTSDisney may soon launch a membership program, which could be similar to Amazon's Prime service.Snap Inc, the parent company of the social media app Snapchat, plans to lay off around ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/22/09/28738863/bulls-and-bears-of-the-week\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","AAPL":"苹果","NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/22/09/28738863/bulls-and-bears-of-the-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111559856","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSDisney may soon launch a membership program, which could be similar to Amazon's Prime service.Snap Inc, the parent company of the social media app Snapchat, plans to lay off around 20% of its workforce.Benzinga has examined the prospects for many investors' favorite stocks over the past week, here's a look at some of our top stories.The markets were making a comeback heading into Friday, but then collapsed in the final four hours of trading this week to finish off a third straight week of losses. The S&P 500 fell by 2.73% this week, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped by a more modest 1.31% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the week 1.07% lower.Ahead of Labor Day weekend, the Labor Department announced that 315,000 were added in August, lower than the 318,000 expected by economists. Unemployment was up by two-tenths of a percent to 3.7% in August. Investors are now looking ahead to the August CPI number, which will be announced on Sept. 13, to gauge further Fed action on interest rates.Benzinga continues to examine the prospects for many of the stocks most popular with investors. Here are a few of this past week's most bullish and bearish posts that are worth another look.The Bulls\"Disney Seeks To Pull Off An Amazon With 'Prime-Like' Bundle Service: WSJ,\" by Shanthi Rexaline, highlights a reported plan by The Walt Disney Company to launch a membership program, which could be similar to Amazon.com Inc’s Prime service.\"Is Uber Stock A 'Screaming' Buy? Why Josh Brown Believes The Bottom Is In,\" by Adam Eckert, explains why Ritholtz Wealth Management CEO Josh Brown thinks Uber Technologies Inc stock has found its footing.In \"Apple Said To Be Zeroing In On This Word For AR/VR Products,\" Shanthi Rexaline writes about a new trademark filing by Apple Inc which may be foreshadowing plans for an Augmented Reality/Virtual Reality headset.The Bears\"Snap Reportedly Plans To Lay Off 20% Of Workforce Just Weeks After CEO Closed Deal For $120M Mansion,\" by Aaron Bry, looks at this week's announced plans by Snap Inc, the parent company of the social media app Snapchat, to lay off around 20% of its workforce.\"'Hold Netflix Accountable': 'Inventing Anna' Series Prompts Defamation Lawsuit From Anna Delvey's Ex-Friend,\" by AJ Fabino, explains why Netflix Inc is facing a defamation lawsuit over its popular drama miniseries \"Inventing Anna.\"\"Did General Motors CEO Mary Barra Tap The Brakes On Plan To Pass Tesla In EVs By 2025?\" by Adam Eckert, outlines comments made by General Motors Company CEOMary Barra which made observers question her goal to pass Tesla in EVs by 2025.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939477112,"gmtCreate":1662165359737,"gmtModify":1676537009789,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939477112","repostId":"1184784977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184784977","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662174038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184784977?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-03 11:00","market":"other","language":"en","title":"September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184784977","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.</li><li>An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.</li><li>Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.</li></ul><p>Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.</p><p>Today&#39;s job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.</p><p>The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn&#39;t rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b84ce593ffddaaaf877449fe8aa645d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BLS.GOV</p><p>More interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791401f8937b11a9c345764a956dbed6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7e19e82ac100d02e922240146dd66a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>A rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren&#39;t convinced, with current odds at just 62%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b0ea44418c49e83255c4d0524d70bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME Group</p><p>On top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779c427f3192a6ad21f8686b92e742f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus Bonds</b></p><p>Data and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&amp;P 500&#39;s valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5d69d23d8cf6e3e3a3fc0d6ef85286\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>With a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&amp;P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&amp;P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&amp;P&#39;s current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&amp;P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.</p><p><b>June Lows Are In-Play</b></p><p>The likelihood of the S&amp;P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today&#39;s job data isn&#39;t likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn&#39;t likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df38f9295305d9279da28bfae09f5b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn&#39;t the earnings yield of the S&amp;P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn&#39;t that continue well into the future?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d089ca0d6d95c63abe24819e26ed648\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Unless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-03 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184784977","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.Today's job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn't rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.BLS.GOVMore interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.BloombergMeanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.BloombergA rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren't convinced, with current odds at just 62%.CME GroupOn top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.BloombergS&P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus BondsData and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&P 500's valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.BloombergWith a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&P's current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.June Lows Are In-PlayThe likelihood of the S&P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today's job data isn't likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn't likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.BloombergAs rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn't the earnings yield of the S&P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn't that continue well into the future?BloombergUnless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930486455,"gmtCreate":1661993499780,"gmtModify":1676536619715,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930486455","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264232068?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted  the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"END":1,"SDS":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPY":0.79,"ESmain":0.6,"OEX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930486855,"gmtCreate":1661993474379,"gmtModify":1676536619707,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>","listText":"<a 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07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176756062","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s Se","content":"<div>\n<p>Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meetingFederal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ 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float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Could Weigh Historic 100 Basis-Point Hike After Inflation Scorcher\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-14 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meetingFederal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-13/fed-could-weigh-historic-100-basis-point-hike-after-cpi-scorcher","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176756062","content_text":"Futures show one-in-two chance of super-sized July move75 basis points now also in play for Fed’s September meetingFederal Reserve officials may debate a historic one percentage-point rate hike later this month after another searing inflation report piled pressure on the central bank to act.“Everything is in play,” Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told reporters in St. Petersburg, Florida, on Wednesday after US consumer prices rose a faster-than-forecast 9.1% in the year through June. Asked if that included raising rates by a full percentage point, he replied, “it would mean everything.”The comments added fuel to bets that the Fed is more likely than not to raise interest rates by 100 basis points when it meets July 26-27, which would be the largest increase since the Fed started directly using overnight interest rates to conduct monetary policy in the early 1990s. Americans are furious over high prices and critics blame the Fed for its initial slow response.“I think they have time, if they want, to change that expectation to 100. I don’t think they’ve given us a great reason why they should be going slow here, or being gradual,” said Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co.“If you do in fact get 100 in July and 75 in September, then I think the growth outlook for later in the year probably deteriorates. Right now I’m inclined to think that the main impact might be to motivate more front loading by the Fed,” he said.Given the acceleration in monthly inflation, economists at Nomura Securities International now expect a full percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark rate at the upcoming policy meeting.“Incoming data suggests the Fed’s inflation problem has worsened, and we expect policy makers to react by scaling up the pace of rate hikes to reinforce their credibility,” Nomura’s Aichi Amemiya, Robert Dent and Jacob Meyer, said in a note.Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters last month after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points, to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%, that either a 50 or 75 basis-point increase was likely in July. A majority of his colleagues since then have either echoed his line or endorsed the bigger move.Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will be interviewed on Bloomberg Television on Wednesday evening. Fed Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on Thursday, while Bostic and his St. Louis colleague James Bullard both have events on Friday. After that officials enter their pre-meeting blackout period.Central banks globally are confronting unprecedented inflation, prompting historic rate hikes from Hungary to Pakistan. The Bank of Canada on Wednesday increased rates by a surprise full percentage point amid fears that decades-high price pressures are becoming entrenched.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“The Fed is right to worry about the unmooring of inflation expectations -- and this report raises the chance of an even larger rate hike than 75 basis points down the line.”-- Anna Wong and Andrew Husby, economistsBrett Ryan, senior US economist at Deutsche Bank AG, said it made sense to price in some risk of a larger Fed move, but saw it as unlikely without explicit communication from the central bank.“The hawks had to have agreed to the guidance of 50 to 75, with the understanding that if we got an upside print, 75 would be the number,” he said. “They have time to communicate if they want to put that message out there.”The US central bank has pivoted to aggressive policy tightening to confront the highest inflation in 40 years, which critics say was egged on by policy makers’ slow initial response. They raised rates by 75 basis points last month -- the largest increase since 1994 -- despite previously signaling that they were on track for a smaller half-point move.“You have to put 100 on the table for July,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup chief US economist. “Everybody should be quite cautious about calling peak inflation -- a few months ago the peak was supposed to be 8.3%.”Fed officials have said they want to push policy into restrictive territory, to a range of 3.25 to 3.5% by the end of this year, according to the median projection from the quarterly economic projections released in June. Futures markets Wednesday showed investors pricing in an even higher 3.5% to 3.75% range by year end.Economists warn that such a fast pace of large increases could push the US into recession. Ahandfulof banks are calling for a contraction starting this year, while others see it starting next year.“The more aggressive the Fed gets, it’s a question of what kind of recession we are going to get,” said Tom Porcelli, chief US economist at RBC Capital Markets. “It’s really easy to make the case that the Fed is going to be just as spooked by this number as they were the last -- that’s the right way to think about it.”The Fed’s abrupt change to a 75 basis-point increase last month came on the back of a preliminary survey showing consumer expectations for future inflation were rising.Subsequent updates to the data, which came after the Fed’s meeting, erased most of that uptick, but preliminary July figures, expected Friday, may provide policy makers with more ammunition to super-size this month’s hike.Inflation expectations are particularly concerning to Powell and his colleagues, who are trying to avoid a 1970s-style price spiral.“After what happened in June, I do not rule anything out,’ said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities. “I had been thinking that the Fed would decelerate to a 50-basis-point-per-meeting pace beginning in September, but if the next two monthly inflation numbers look like May’s and June’s, all bets are off.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4091269729215160","authorId":"4091269729215160","name":"QQChai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31148e862df7412ae3c07fc206cad89c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091269729215160","idStr":"4091269729215160"},"content":"your name so nice","text":"your name so nice","html":"your name so 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Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","UBS":"瑞银","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BCS":"巴克莱银行","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4521":"英国银行股","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","C":"花旗","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4207":"综合性银行","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C":0.9,"BCS":0.9,"USB":0.9,"HYG":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"UBS":0.9,"LQD":0.9,"JNK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040057443,"gmtCreate":1655597902282,"gmtModify":1676535666748,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09633\">$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09633\">$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2622e26cff6c9351616b5f7ec5e87a8e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9040057443","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050973495,"gmtCreate":1654129117517,"gmtModify":1676535398840,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050973495","repostId":"2240447767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057681647,"gmtCreate":1655511211589,"gmtModify":1676535652907,"author":{"id":"3585607107146910","authorId":"3585607107146910","name":"阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65376074efd4faf8b600b5173eb0f0c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585607107146910","idStr":"3585607107146910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09633\">$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09633\">$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$</a>[smile]&nbsp;","text":"$NONGFU SPRING(09633)$[smile]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3019790bf73478ee84d04edc620f601d","width":"1080","height":"3088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057681647","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}