Kahsiang personal page - To The Moon

Kahsiang

Kahsiang

Learn nothing be free

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2021-06-22

Fake

Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next

2021-06-22

Lklpx

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2022-01-27

I love this game

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022

2021-06-22

Xrp i think will moon

10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday

2021-06-22

I thikk no leh

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2022-01-27

Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn

2021-12-27

I think xrp will moon

2021-06-22

Daftpunk better

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2021-06-22

Nice

If You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again

2021-06-22

Xrp to the moon

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2021-06-22

Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: Click to Join the Game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b44fa056439fb4010fa55e163d27c3","width":"750","height":"1726"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004448317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9099043316,"gmtCreate":1643283386202,"gmtModify":1676533795923,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","listText":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","text":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099043316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9009883991,"gmtCreate":1640610145877,"gmtModify":1676533528807,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think xrp will moon","listText":"I think xrp will moon","text":"I think xrp will moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009883991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129389626,"gmtCreate":1624359293065,"gmtModify":1703834302168,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xrp i think will moon","listText":"Xrp i think will moon","text":"Xrp i think will moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129389626","repostId":"2145803031","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145803031","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1624344420,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145803031?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:47","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145803031","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond ","content":"<p>Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.</p>\n<p><b>How Treasurys performed</b></p>\n<p>Fixed-income drivers</p>\n<p>Strategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.</p>\n<p>Read:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean</p>\n<p>In theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.</p>\n<p>But bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.</p>\n<p>On Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.</p>\n<p>Last Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>The market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.</p>\n<p><b>What strategists said</b></p>\n<p>Inflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at Mizuho, in an afternoon note.</p>\n<p>\"Our view is that Powell remains solidly on the dovish end of the FOMC, but he is a Chair trying to manage an increasingly factious committee as incoming inflation data surprises to the upside.\"</p>\n<p>Still, the trajectory of monetary, including any pullback, will hinge on the labor market recovery, the team wrote, adding that with the \"realistic unemployment rate closer to 7.9%,\" realizing the \"gargantuan task\" of a 4.5% unemployment rate by year-end would be difficult and \"require job growth averaging around 900K job additions per month for the next 6 months.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-22 14:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.</p>\n<p><b>How Treasurys performed</b></p>\n<p>Fixed-income drivers</p>\n<p>Strategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.</p>\n<p>Read:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean</p>\n<p>In theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.</p>\n<p>But bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.</p>\n<p>On Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.</p>\n<p>Last Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>The market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.</p>\n<p><b>What strategists said</b></p>\n<p>Inflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at Mizuho, in an afternoon note.</p>\n<p>\"Our view is that Powell remains solidly on the dovish end of the FOMC, but he is a Chair trying to manage an increasingly factious committee as incoming inflation data surprises to the upside.\"</p>\n<p>Still, the trajectory of monetary, including any pullback, will hinge on the labor market recovery, the team wrote, adding that with the \"realistic unemployment rate closer to 7.9%,\" realizing the \"gargantuan task\" of a 4.5% unemployment rate by year-end would be difficult and \"require job growth averaging around 900K job additions per month for the next 6 months.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145803031","content_text":"Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.\nHow Treasurys performed\nFixed-income drivers\nStrategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.\nRead:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean\nIn theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.\nBut bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.\nOn Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.\nLast Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nThe market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.\nWhat strategists said\nInflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at 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months.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129389358,"gmtCreate":1624359277674,"gmtModify":1703834301683,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Daftpunk better","listText":"Daftpunk better","text":"Daftpunk better","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129389358","repostId":"1139414035","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129380233,"gmtCreate":1624359259622,"gmtModify":1703834301199,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fake","listText":"Fake","text":"Fake","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129380233","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-&nbsp; writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"&nbsp; He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a&nbsp; more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-  writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"  He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a  more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129380832,"gmtCreate":1624359246026,"gmtModify":1703834301037,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129380832","repostId":"1186855284","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186855284","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624345153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186855284?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186855284","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock mark","content":"<blockquote>\n On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Volatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The tech-heavy index is making a run toward all-time highs, trading within 1% of its high-water mark on Monday afternoon. As of just before 2 p.m. EDT today,the Nasdaq&nbsp; was higher by three-quarters of a percent.</p>\n<p>It wasn't that long ago that investors figured that stocks of COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers had already seen their best days. Companies like<b>Moderna</b>(NASDAQ:MRNA)and<b>BioNTech</b>(NASDAQ:BNTX)had seen their share prices start to give up ground as many believed that a vaccinated world would eventually cause revenue and profits to dry up for the vaccine makers. Now, though, it's becoming increasingly clear that the two companies could well have a much brighter future than many had thought.</p>\n<p><b>More moves for Moderna and BioNTech</b></p>\n<p>Shares of the vaccine manufacturers were among the leaders on the Nasdaq today. Moderna's gains amounted to more than 5%, while BioNTech boasted gains of 6% or more on the day.</p>\n<p>The general sentiment toward BioNTech and Moderna has been positive because ofjust how effective their vaccines have been. Last month, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released the latest figures on efficacy for the messenger-RNA-based vaccines from the two companies. Data from real-life use showed a reduction in infection risks of 91%. Those who got infected had a 60% lower risk of showing symptoms, and they spent on average six days fewer being sick and two days fewer stuck in bed recovering.</p>\n<p>In addition, the companies have benefited from sustained demand for COVID vaccines from countries around the world. On Monday,BioNTech said that it had received provision approvalof its vaccine from regulators in New Zealand. Over the weekend, the government of the Philippines announced a 40-million-dose agreement with BioNTech and<b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE)for more vaccine doses as well.</p>\n<p>More broadly, some health officials have started talking about the potential need for vaccine booster shots. It's uncertain at this point whether and how quickly antibody levels from initial vaccinations decline, and so it's entirely possible that even those who've already received vaccinations could need additional doses in the future. From a business standpoint, that would create even further demand for Moderna and BioNTech that could dramatically lengthen the expected flow of revenue stemming from COVID vaccines.</p>\n<p><b>Will existing vaccines be enough?</b></p>\n<p>The biggest threat on the COVID front comes from the potential for the virus to mutate into more-dangerous variants. Already, theDelta varianthas proved to be more easily transmitted among infected patients and with more-severe health impacts. Future variants could prove even more problematic, and there's no guarantee that existing vaccines will provide protection against them all.</p>\n<p>For the most part, both Moderna's and BioNTech's stock prices seem to reflect little expectation of success beyond the current COVID vaccine products. Yet if anything, COVID has proved that the broader-based investing thesis behind mRNA-based treatment development is sound. Both companies have plans for vaccines and other treatments for a wider variety of different medical conditions, and success anywhere on that front could provide the positive surprise investors need to gain confidence in the long-term futures of these stocks.</p>\n<p>If you made the mistake of thinking that COVID vaccine stocks would be done once much of the U.S. population had been vaccinated, you aren't alone. But you might be surprised at how much staying power BioNTech and Moderna could have -- especially if a few things end up working out in their favor.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186855284","content_text":"On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The tech-heavy index is making a run toward all-time highs, trading within 1% of its high-water mark on Monday afternoon. As of just before 2 p.m. EDT today,the Nasdaq  was higher by three-quarters of a percent.\nIt wasn't that long ago that investors figured that stocks of COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers had already seen their best days. Companies likeModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)andBioNTech(NASDAQ:BNTX)had seen their share prices start to give up ground as many believed that a vaccinated world would eventually cause revenue and profits to dry up for the vaccine makers. Now, though, it's becoming increasingly clear that the two companies could well have a much brighter future than many had thought.\nMore moves for Moderna and BioNTech\nShares of the vaccine manufacturers were among the leaders on the Nasdaq today. Moderna's gains amounted to more than 5%, while BioNTech boasted gains of 6% or more on the day.\nThe general sentiment toward BioNTech and Moderna has been positive because ofjust how effective their vaccines have been. Last month, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released the latest figures on efficacy for the messenger-RNA-based vaccines from the two companies. Data from real-life use showed a reduction in infection risks of 91%. Those who got infected had a 60% lower risk of showing symptoms, and they spent on average six days fewer being sick and two days fewer stuck in bed recovering.\nIn addition, the companies have benefited from sustained demand for COVID vaccines from countries around the world. On Monday,BioNTech said that it had received provision approvalof its vaccine from regulators in New Zealand. Over the weekend, the government of the Philippines announced a 40-million-dose agreement with BioNTech andPfizer(NYSE:PFE)for more vaccine doses as well.\nMore broadly, some health officials have started talking about the potential need for vaccine booster shots. It's uncertain at this point whether and how quickly antibody levels from initial vaccinations decline, and so it's entirely possible that even those who've already received vaccinations could need additional doses in the future. From a business standpoint, that would create even further demand for Moderna and BioNTech that could dramatically lengthen the expected flow of revenue stemming from COVID vaccines.\nWill existing vaccines be enough?\nThe biggest threat on the COVID front comes from the potential for the virus to mutate into more-dangerous variants. Already, theDelta varianthas proved to be more easily transmitted among infected patients and with more-severe health impacts. Future variants could prove even more problematic, and there's no guarantee that existing vaccines will provide protection against them all.\nFor the most part, both Moderna's and BioNTech's stock prices seem to reflect little expectation of success beyond the current COVID vaccine products. Yet if anything, COVID has proved that the broader-based investing thesis behind mRNA-based treatment development is sound. Both companies have plans for vaccines and other treatments for a wider variety of different medical conditions, and success anywhere on that front could provide the positive surprise investors need to gain confidence in the long-term futures of these stocks.\nIf you made the mistake of thinking that COVID vaccine stocks would be done once much of the U.S. population had been vaccinated, you aren't alone. But you might be surprised at how much staying power BioNTech and Moderna could have -- especially if a few things end up working out in their favor.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129316188,"gmtCreate":1624358845344,"gmtModify":1703834293573,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I thikk no leh","listText":"I thikk no leh","text":"I thikk no leh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129316188","repostId":"1124495234","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129318394,"gmtCreate":1624358784918,"gmtModify":1703834292604,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xrp to the moon","listText":"Xrp to the moon","text":"Xrp to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129318394","repostId":"1186919064","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129313243,"gmtCreate":1624358668682,"gmtModify":1703834291955,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lklpx","listText":"Lklpx","text":"Lklpx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129313243","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129319496,"gmtCreate":1624358602515,"gmtModify":1703834288558,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586344416928957","idStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","listText":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","text":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129319496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":129380233,"gmtCreate":1624359259622,"gmtModify":1703834301199,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fake","listText":"Fake","text":"Fake","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129380233","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-&nbsp; writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"&nbsp; He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a&nbsp; more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-  writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"  He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a  more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129313243,"gmtCreate":1624358668682,"gmtModify":1703834291955,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lklpx","listText":"Lklpx","text":"Lklpx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129313243","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9099041601,"gmtCreate":1643283522511,"gmtModify":1676533795948,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I love this game","listText":"I love this game","text":"I love this game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099041601","repostId":"9004448317","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9004448317,"gmtCreate":1642676525258,"gmtModify":1676533734534,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022","htmlText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","listText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. 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Big Rewards are as follow: Click to Join the Game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b44fa056439fb4010fa55e163d27c3","width":"750","height":"1726"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004448317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129389626,"gmtCreate":1624359293065,"gmtModify":1703834302168,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xrp i think will moon","listText":"Xrp i think will moon","text":"Xrp i think will moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129389626","repostId":"2145803031","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145803031","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1624344420,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145803031?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:47","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145803031","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond ","content":"<p>Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.</p>\n<p><b>How Treasurys performed</b></p>\n<p>Fixed-income drivers</p>\n<p>Strategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.</p>\n<p>Read:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean</p>\n<p>In theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.</p>\n<p>But bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.</p>\n<p>On Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.</p>\n<p>Last Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>The market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.</p>\n<p><b>What strategists said</b></p>\n<p>Inflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at Mizuho, in an afternoon note.</p>\n<p>\"Our view is that Powell remains solidly on the dovish end of the FOMC, but he is a Chair trying to manage an increasingly factious committee as incoming inflation data surprises to the upside.\"</p>\n<p>Still, the trajectory of monetary, including any pullback, will hinge on the labor market recovery, the team wrote, adding that with the \"realistic unemployment rate closer to 7.9%,\" realizing the \"gargantuan task\" of a 4.5% unemployment rate by year-end would be difficult and \"require job growth averaging around 900K job additions per month for the next 6 months.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10, 30-year Treasury yields recover overnight dip to stage solid post-Fed climb Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-22 14:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.</p>\n<p><b>How Treasurys performed</b></p>\n<p>Fixed-income drivers</p>\n<p>Strategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.</p>\n<p>Read:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean</p>\n<p>In theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.</p>\n<p>But bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.</p>\n<p>On Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.</p>\n<p>Last Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>The market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.</p>\n<p><b>What strategists said</b></p>\n<p>Inflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at Mizuho, in an afternoon note.</p>\n<p>\"Our view is that Powell remains solidly on the dovish end of the FOMC, but he is a Chair trying to manage an increasingly factious committee as incoming inflation data surprises to the upside.\"</p>\n<p>Still, the trajectory of monetary, including any pullback, will hinge on the labor market recovery, the team wrote, adding that with the \"realistic unemployment rate closer to 7.9%,\" realizing the \"gargantuan task\" of a 4.5% unemployment rate by year-end would be difficult and \"require job growth averaging around 900K job additions per month for the next 6 months.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145803031","content_text":"Yields for benchmark bonds on Monday climb higher on the long-end for the curve, with the long bond notching its sharpest yield climb since March. The moves come as investors continue to position following a Federal Reserve update last week that was interpreted as more inclined to end pandemic-era accommodations sooner than later, even as the central bank views surging pricing pressures as likely to be short-lived.\nHow Treasurys performed\nFixed-income drivers\nStrategists didn't offer an clear reason why yields turned lower and then popped up, but some attribute it to bearish positioning, with investors forced to unwind bets that prices would head lower, pushing yields higher.\nRead:Markets are sending 'peculiar' signals as Fed changes tune--here's what they mean\nIn theory, the Fed's stance that post-COVID inflation pressures should be short-lived and the expectation that the Fed could begin raising rates as early as late 2022 or early 2023, should be nudging yields higher.\nBut bond yields, which move opposite to prices, have been reluctant to hold higher for an extended period in benchmark 30-year and 10-year Treasurys, which are used to price everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.\nOn Monday, both St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said they expect the pace of inflation next year to remain above the central bank's target.\nLast Friday, Bullard, in interview with CNBC, suggested that he would be inclined to see the Fed lift interest rates by late 2022 and said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has effectively opened the door to tapering the central bank's monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nThe market will hear from Powell again on Tuesday when he testifies before the House select subcommittee on the impact of the coronavirus on the economy.\nWhat strategists said\nInflation-themed \"trades such as a bear-steepening of the curve and a weaker dollar depend on the Fed remaining dovish, with the implication that a hawkish Fed would move markets in reverse,\" wrote Alex Pelle and Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. economists at Mizuho, in an afternoon note.\n\"Our view is that Powell remains solidly on the dovish end of the FOMC, but he is a Chair trying to manage an increasingly factious committee as incoming inflation data surprises to the upside.\"\nStill, the trajectory of monetary, including any pullback, will hinge on the labor market recovery, the team wrote, adding that with the \"realistic unemployment rate closer to 7.9%,\" realizing the \"gargantuan task\" of a 4.5% unemployment rate by year-end would be difficult and \"require job growth averaging around 900K job additions per month for the next 6 months.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129316188,"gmtCreate":1624358845344,"gmtModify":1703834293573,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I thikk no leh","listText":"I thikk no leh","text":"I thikk no leh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129316188","repostId":"1124495234","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9099043316,"gmtCreate":1643283386202,"gmtModify":1676533795923,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","listText":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","text":"Pltr will moon soon ipo price rn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099043316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9009883991,"gmtCreate":1640610145877,"gmtModify":1676533528807,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think xrp will moon","listText":"I think xrp will moon","text":"I think xrp will moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009883991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129389358,"gmtCreate":1624359277674,"gmtModify":1703834301683,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Daftpunk better","listText":"Daftpunk better","text":"Daftpunk better","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129389358","repostId":"1139414035","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129380832,"gmtCreate":1624359246026,"gmtModify":1703834301037,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129380832","repostId":"1186855284","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186855284","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624345153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186855284?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186855284","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock mark","content":"<blockquote>\n On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Volatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The tech-heavy index is making a run toward all-time highs, trading within 1% of its high-water mark on Monday afternoon. As of just before 2 p.m. EDT today,the Nasdaq&nbsp; was higher by three-quarters of a percent.</p>\n<p>It wasn't that long ago that investors figured that stocks of COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers had already seen their best days. Companies like<b>Moderna</b>(NASDAQ:MRNA)and<b>BioNTech</b>(NASDAQ:BNTX)had seen their share prices start to give up ground as many believed that a vaccinated world would eventually cause revenue and profits to dry up for the vaccine makers. Now, though, it's becoming increasingly clear that the two companies could well have a much brighter future than many had thought.</p>\n<p><b>More moves for Moderna and BioNTech</b></p>\n<p>Shares of the vaccine manufacturers were among the leaders on the Nasdaq today. Moderna's gains amounted to more than 5%, while BioNTech boasted gains of 6% or more on the day.</p>\n<p>The general sentiment toward BioNTech and Moderna has been positive because ofjust how effective their vaccines have been. Last month, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released the latest figures on efficacy for the messenger-RNA-based vaccines from the two companies. Data from real-life use showed a reduction in infection risks of 91%. Those who got infected had a 60% lower risk of showing symptoms, and they spent on average six days fewer being sick and two days fewer stuck in bed recovering.</p>\n<p>In addition, the companies have benefited from sustained demand for COVID vaccines from countries around the world. On Monday,BioNTech said that it had received provision approvalof its vaccine from regulators in New Zealand. Over the weekend, the government of the Philippines announced a 40-million-dose agreement with BioNTech and<b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE)for more vaccine doses as well.</p>\n<p>More broadly, some health officials have started talking about the potential need for vaccine booster shots. It's uncertain at this point whether and how quickly antibody levels from initial vaccinations decline, and so it's entirely possible that even those who've already received vaccinations could need additional doses in the future. From a business standpoint, that would create even further demand for Moderna and BioNTech that could dramatically lengthen the expected flow of revenue stemming from COVID vaccines.</p>\n<p><b>Will existing vaccines be enough?</b></p>\n<p>The biggest threat on the COVID front comes from the potential for the virus to mutate into more-dangerous variants. Already, theDelta varianthas proved to be more easily transmitted among infected patients and with more-severe health impacts. Future variants could prove even more problematic, and there's no guarantee that existing vaccines will provide protection against them all.</p>\n<p>For the most part, both Moderna's and BioNTech's stock prices seem to reflect little expectation of success beyond the current COVID vaccine products. Yet if anything, COVID has proved that the broader-based investing thesis behind mRNA-based treatment development is sound. Both companies have plans for vaccines and other treatments for a wider variety of different medical conditions, and success anywhere on that front could provide the positive surprise investors need to gain confidence in the long-term futures of these stocks.</p>\n<p>If you made the mistake of thinking that COVID vaccine stocks would be done once much of the U.S. population had been vaccinated, you aren't alone. But you might be surprised at how much staying power BioNTech and Moderna could have -- especially if a few things end up working out in their favor.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You Thought These 2 Big Nasdaq Winners Were Done, Think Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/21/if-you-thought-big-nasdaq-winners-done-think-again/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186855284","content_text":"On a strong day for the Nasdaq, two highfliers stood out.\n\nVolatility has returned to the stock market, but finally, theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)is starting to make waves once again. The tech-heavy index is making a run toward all-time highs, trading within 1% of its high-water mark on Monday afternoon. As of just before 2 p.m. EDT today,the Nasdaq  was higher by three-quarters of a percent.\nIt wasn't that long ago that investors figured that stocks of COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers had already seen their best days. Companies likeModerna(NASDAQ:MRNA)andBioNTech(NASDAQ:BNTX)had seen their share prices start to give up ground as many believed that a vaccinated world would eventually cause revenue and profits to dry up for the vaccine makers. Now, though, it's becoming increasingly clear that the two companies could well have a much brighter future than many had thought.\nMore moves for Moderna and BioNTech\nShares of the vaccine manufacturers were among the leaders on the Nasdaq today. Moderna's gains amounted to more than 5%, while BioNTech boasted gains of 6% or more on the day.\nThe general sentiment toward BioNTech and Moderna has been positive because ofjust how effective their vaccines have been. Last month, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released the latest figures on efficacy for the messenger-RNA-based vaccines from the two companies. Data from real-life use showed a reduction in infection risks of 91%. Those who got infected had a 60% lower risk of showing symptoms, and they spent on average six days fewer being sick and two days fewer stuck in bed recovering.\nIn addition, the companies have benefited from sustained demand for COVID vaccines from countries around the world. On Monday,BioNTech said that it had received provision approvalof its vaccine from regulators in New Zealand. Over the weekend, the government of the Philippines announced a 40-million-dose agreement with BioNTech andPfizer(NYSE:PFE)for more vaccine doses as well.\nMore broadly, some health officials have started talking about the potential need for vaccine booster shots. It's uncertain at this point whether and how quickly antibody levels from initial vaccinations decline, and so it's entirely possible that even those who've already received vaccinations could need additional doses in the future. From a business standpoint, that would create even further demand for Moderna and BioNTech that could dramatically lengthen the expected flow of revenue stemming from COVID vaccines.\nWill existing vaccines be enough?\nThe biggest threat on the COVID front comes from the potential for the virus to mutate into more-dangerous variants. Already, theDelta varianthas proved to be more easily transmitted among infected patients and with more-severe health impacts. Future variants could prove even more problematic, and there's no guarantee that existing vaccines will provide protection against them all.\nFor the most part, both Moderna's and BioNTech's stock prices seem to reflect little expectation of success beyond the current COVID vaccine products. Yet if anything, COVID has proved that the broader-based investing thesis behind mRNA-based treatment development is sound. Both companies have plans for vaccines and other treatments for a wider variety of different medical conditions, and success anywhere on that front could provide the positive surprise investors need to gain confidence in the long-term futures of these stocks.\nIf you made the mistake of thinking that COVID vaccine stocks would be done once much of the U.S. population had been vaccinated, you aren't alone. But you might be surprised at how much staying power BioNTech and Moderna could have -- especially if a few things end up working out in their favor.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129318394,"gmtCreate":1624358784918,"gmtModify":1703834292604,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xrp to the moon","listText":"Xrp to the moon","text":"Xrp to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129318394","repostId":"1186919064","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129319496,"gmtCreate":1624358602515,"gmtModify":1703834288558,"author":{"id":"3586344416928957","authorId":"3586344416928957","name":"Kahsiang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49ffe0a98a80e92eabdcd3135e0ac1b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586344416928957","authorIdStr":"3586344416928957"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","listText":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","text":"Hi! I truly xrp to the moon and i am allIn what about you?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129319496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}