This graph displays the relationship between two economic indicators over time: 1. US 10s Yield (white line) - This represents the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, shown on the right axis. 2. Citi Economic Surprise Index - USA (orange line) - This index measures how economic data releases compare to economists' expectations. It's shown on the left axis. Key observations: 1. The US 10s Yield has been fluctuating, with recent trends showing a decrease. This suggests falling interest rates on long-term U.S. government bonds. 2. The Citi Economic Surprise Index for the USA has been volatile but is currently in negative territory (below 0). This indicates that recent economic data releases have been worse than economists' expectations. 3. There appears to be some correlation between the tw

Image The latest RealClearPolitics betting average for the 2024 U.S. presidential race shows significant shifts that could impact various market sectors. Here's what we should consider: Trump's Surge: With a 52.2% betting average, Trump has gained 18.5 points, now leading Biden by a substantial margin. This trend could benefit sectors that typically perform well under Republican administrations, such as energy, defense, and financial services. Biden's Decline: Biden's odds have fallen to 33.7%, potentially signaling decreased confidence in current economic policies. Traders might consider hedging against potential policy shifts in clean energy, healthcare, and infrastructure sectors. Other Candidates: While trailing significantly, candidates like Newsom (3.8%) and Kennedy (2.2%) repres