多鱼先生
多鱼先生
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avatar多鱼先生
2024-06-21

What does bond know?

This graph displays the relationship between two economic indicators over time: 1. US 10s Yield (white line) - This represents the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, shown on the right axis. 2. Citi Economic Surprise Index - USA (orange line) - This index measures how economic data releases compare to economists' expectations. It's shown on the left axis. Key observations: 1. The US 10s Yield has been fluctuating, with recent trends showing a decrease. This suggests falling interest rates on long-term U.S. government bonds. 2. The Citi Economic Surprise Index for the USA has been volatile but is currently in negative territory (below 0). This indicates that recent economic data releases have been worse than economists' expectations. 3. There appears to be some correlation between the tw
What does bond know?
avatar多鱼先生
2025-11-28
avatar多鱼先生
2024-06-08
Unemployment rate last recorded at 4.0, beat expectations of 3.9 and going uptrend. The thing is, according to historical patterns, unemployment rate is a heavily delayed data, it means once it goes up it will accelerate going uptrend. Interesting election period we have, let's see if the administration able to skew or suppress the upcoming rates. Buckle up.
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2025-11-13
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2025-11-12
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2025-12-03
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2025-11-24
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2024-11-14
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2025-10-23
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2025-11-26

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