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2024-07-10

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

2024-04-27

Great article, would you like to share it?

@AyKing:$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$ Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)

2022-10-04

Good article

My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)

2022-01-20

Great articles

2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030

2022-07-14

👍

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-04-17

[Like]

Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?

2022-04-17

[ShakeHands]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-27

Gpods article

Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree

2022-04-27

Thanks

Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price

2022-10-27

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a>Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","text":"$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$ Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299557200294008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":291249286099176,"gmtCreate":1712131792348,"gmtModify":1712131796142,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> $150","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/065600709a52fb2026ba20bc77637461","width":"882","height":"1608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/264434268295352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262783621939368,"gmtCreate":1705190360571,"gmtModify":1705190364056,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262784219955416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":255431772106776,"gmtCreate":1703374763977,"gmtModify":1703374766624,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ </a> merry Christmas&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ </a> merry Christmas&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ merry Christmas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/255431772106776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234420885475576,"gmtCreate":1698272067773,"gmtModify":1698272072506,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article","listText":"Nice article","text":"Nice article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234420885475576","repostId":"234336384118800","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234336384118800,"gmtCreate":1698237120208,"gmtModify":1698292391773,"author":{"id":"3527667671414981","authorId":"3527667671414981","name":"TigerClub","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667671414981","idStr":"3527667671414981"},"themes":[],"title":"🎁Tigers Topic Review (18): I will get all my friends and relatives to raid all the rewards","htmlText":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/231803371884584\">🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/226883791360152\">🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow up</a>In last week's Thursday Special \"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/232205940498448\">Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?</a>\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","listText":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/231803371884584\">🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/226883791360152\">🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow up</a>In last week's Thursday Special \"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/232205940498448\">Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?</a>\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","text":"Hi Tigers🥳🥳,Welcome to Tigers Topic Review“Topic Review” is a new column set to highlight great comments on valuable topics discussed in our Tiger Community.🎁Tigers Topic Review (17): Tiger Emoji Show🤪🔥Tigers Topic Review (16): I wish My money flower can grow upIn last week's Thursday Special \"Risk Tolerance vs. Ambition: How to Maximize Profits?\", Tigers were invited to make a once-in-a-lifetime decision that could make them millionaires or even billionaires, depending on their choice and, of course, their luck. Given one choice, most Tigers would go for the sure-win 1-million option[Miser]. And if 3 choices are availabl","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6afcee6b68d85bb01ce9b25fef5eeeb9","width":"640","height":"480"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26260a2c604e462716d1304ba9ef1024","width":"450","height":"459"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad18b9e8a269e8127fb9869fe4cb01e8","width":"700","height":"578"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234336384118800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374801383688,"gmtCreate":1698229362305,"gmtModify":1698229365451,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374801383688","repostId":"233470486999104","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":233470486999104,"gmtCreate":1698028206023,"gmtModify":1698044967676,"author":{"id":"3572212908677301","authorId":"3572212908677301","name":"TigerOptions","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20925853481806adc78dcdfe25f2fe89","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572212908677301","idStr":"3572212908677301"},"themes":[],"title":"What to Watch Out For As October is Coming to an End","htmlText":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a>, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","listText":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a>, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","text":"As we approach the end of October, the financial markets are experiencing a risk-off mood that seems likely to persist into the coming week. Investors are concerned about the potential for more interest rate hikes and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which is raising geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, a weaker-than-expected earnings report from $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ last week has added to the somber atmosphere. Tesla's stock has concluded the week on a tumultuous note, posting its most significant drop of the year, shedding a staggering 15% of its value. Wall Street's fear gauge, the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, recently closed at its highest level in nearly seven months, refle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2934cdc7c0d9aa7ab44cc4378522fc18","width":"800","height":"512"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78e24a17a8927b0b9e09b4ae6515b6fe","width":"286","height":"112"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4af3dafe7e706054c5c89ca6bdcb3fbc","width":"1024","height":"680"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/233470486999104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374959259936,"gmtCreate":1698229287236,"gmtModify":1698229290303,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374959259936","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa8fd7934742274cc59594904a5c223","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000176","idStr":"9000000000000176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234375015194624,"gmtCreate":1698229282253,"gmtModify":1698229285587,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234375015194624","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa8fd7934742274cc59594904a5c223","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000176","idStr":"9000000000000176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234374929457384,"gmtCreate":1698229279065,"gmtModify":1698229282095,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234374929457384","repostId":"234292489523248","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234292489523248,"gmtCreate":1698226516803,"gmtModify":1698226519668,"author":{"id":"9000000000000176","authorId":"9000000000000176","name":"RandyHall","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa8fd7934742274cc59594904a5c223","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000176","idStr":"9000000000000176"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ MSFT report is very promising and GOOG, though did not impress the market, also reported promising AI segment results. The cost of AI implementation was brought up on CNBC but their cost is NVDA's revenue or aka NVDA's license to print money...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234292489523248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182933968904320,"gmtCreate":1685670854023,"gmtModify":1685670857913,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182933968904320","repostId":"180647052058640","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180647052058640,"gmtCreate":1685125993921,"gmtModify":1685126016918,"author":{"id":"4102740637684170","authorId":"4102740637684170","name":"OptionsDelta","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ab2017d32f95a165639de659b21cd1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4102740637684170","idStr":"4102740637684170"},"themes":[],"title":"Counterintuitive trading tip: Buy NVDA to hedge market risk","htmlText":"First share options large order, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> bullish range:buy <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20135.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$</a>sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20145.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$</a>The institution bought the spread strategy<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20115.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20125.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$</a> last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","listText":"First share options large order, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> bullish range:buy <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20135.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$</a>sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230623%20145.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$</a>The institution bought the spread strategy<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20115.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/AMD%2020230616%20125.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$</a> last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","text":"First share options large order, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ bullish range:buy $AMD 20230623 135.0 CALL$sell $AMD 20230623 145.0 CALL$The institution bought the spread strategy$AMD 20230616 115.0 CALL$ $AMD 20230616 125.0 CALL$ last week and then closed and rolled it before Thursday's close, with the strike price changing to a higher 135-145 and the option expiration pushed back a week, bullish on AMD's follo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84e80189f2a0b988b9149384b80a8c45","width":"1366","height":"346"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4513805c92669cedb52ad6cdfe19dc0","width":"1066","height":"1519"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bba6939069d75c57182d372ecc7e1cd","width":"2416","height":"150"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180647052058640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957560514,"gmtCreate":1677401547638,"gmtModify":1677401551624,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957560514","repostId":"9957281989","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957281989,"gmtCreate":1677286013942,"gmtModify":1677292149640,"author":{"id":"3479274819487659","authorId":"3479274819487659","name":"The Finance Hydra","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a242a9be28de8ea5e320d9cee36651ca","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3479274819487659","idStr":"3479274819487659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n  NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.\n \n","listText":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","text":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957281989","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"ade38f9bed2547128798be86cb7e9cb7","tweetId":"9957281989","title":"NIO STOCK is Poised to Crash Again.","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1677286008025e12cf9f9e9fd45878f300ecd124736dd.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c01301561ef21717d2dc4273e66dbf","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1677286008025e12cf9f9e9fd45878f300ecd124736dd.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957283648,"gmtCreate":1677285455184,"gmtModify":1677285457102,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957283648","repostId":"9957621467","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957621467,"gmtCreate":1677228338159,"gmtModify":1677228342661,"author":{"id":"9000000000000650","authorId":"9000000000000650","name":"ClarenceNehemiah","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fee988f6e6e3c043a31a7e8992655c4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000650","idStr":"9000000000000650"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ Alibaba earnings:* $35.92 billion in revenue, up 2% (BEAT).* $5.08 billion in operating income, up 379%.* $6.6 billion in net income, up 138%.* $7.2 billion in adjusted net income, up 12%.* $2.60 in GAAP EPS (BEAT).* $2.79 in adjusted EPS (BEAT)* $11.8 BILLION FCF!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fa8f5ed22b3308f2fde8aed2dd10149","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957621467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923450672,"gmtCreate":1670896230696,"gmtModify":1676538455795,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923450672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929737479,"gmtCreate":1670729562292,"gmtModify":1676538424801,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104031102990960","idStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929737479","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":325824350626104,"gmtCreate":1720571043563,"gmtModify":1720571195961,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325824350626104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":299642872778888,"gmtCreate":1714174420818,"gmtModify":1714174422661,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299642872778888","repostId":"299557200294008","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":299557200294008,"gmtCreate":1714153502904,"gmtModify":1747001391560,"author":{"id":"4101503898367960","authorId":"4101503898367960","name":"AyKing","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/744b3317bffa889841738d21afcb9c3e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101503898367960","authorIdStr":"4101503898367960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a>Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/BABA 20240517 77.0 CALL BUY 1 | BABA 20240517 74.0 CALL SELL 1\">$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$&nbsp;</a>Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","text":"$BABA VERTICAL 240517 CALL 77.0/CALL 74.0$ Closed this trade as price has reached near $77 and seems like a bearish candlestick is forming for this week. Manage to achieve ROI of 13% in 3 days. Free breakfast for tomorrow. :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/299557200294008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912654157,"gmtCreate":1664836882579,"gmtModify":1676537514358,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp; article&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp; article&nbsp;","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912654157","repostId":"1159917391","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159917391","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664810401,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159917391?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 23:20","market":"other","language":"en","title":"My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159917391","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>My allocation remains the same.</li><li>June lows have been taken out.</li><li>Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.</li></ul><p>In this month&#39;s article I outline why I am maintaining my October&#39;s allocation to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) at 40% with the other 60% of my assets in cash. First let me review my pension plan performance in September. The market, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 index, lost 9.34% for the month. As for my pension plan assets, I outperformed the index as my investment allocation only lost 3.53%. My investment objective of preserving my capital was not met as I did not make money. I did meet my second investment objective which is beating the S&amp;P 500 index. These results are the same as last month. Table 1 below shows my returns and allocations for the month of September and Table 2 below shows my returns for the past 12 months.</p><p>I have made changes to Table 2 below after I received a comment from a reader. Table 2 shows new columns to better (more accurately) reflect my investment results. The third column, $100K Hypo, is what my returns would be if I started my account with $100,000 in my first article of this series and followed the allocation recommendations from my articles. The fifth column, $100K SPY, shows the returns of just investing $100,000 and keeping it all allocated to SPY. The percentage returns in the last row show that my strategy returned a negative 8.23% for the last 12 months and simply investing in SPY would have returned a negative 15.49% for the last 12 months. Therefore, I have outperformed SPY for the last 12 months by 7.26%.</p><p>Table 1 - Investment Returns for September</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373c49c0cce6f026380f1818b9831bd0\" tg-width=\"489\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>author</p><p>Table 2 - Investment Returns Last 12 Months</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/838dad282bd83095f46d1caa3e8ddedd\" tg-width=\"717\" tg-height=\"475\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>To review the purpose of this series of articles, my retirement account only allows me to buy the following four ETFs: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), and iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). I can also have my money in cash. The question is how to decide where and when to allocate money to these various ETFs.</p><p>I use my moving average crossover system combined with relative strength charts to determine how to allocate my pension plan assets. My moving average crossover system uses the 6 month and the 10- month exponential moving averages to identify which of the four ETFs are in position to be bought. If the 6-month moving average is above the 10-month moving average, then the ETF is a buy. I call this setup being in bullish alignment. When the 6-month moving average is below the 10-month moving average the setup is referred to as a bearish alignment. When a bearish alignment happens, I don&#39;t want to hold that asset. See Chart 1 below for a long-term look at the S&amp;P 500 index using my moving average crossover system.</p><p>Chart 1 - Monthly SP 500 Index with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7952c779df2062d82c637eb58d33bfba\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>You can see that the moving average crossover system provided some excellent long term buy and sell signals that would have allowed investors to capture long duration moves in the index; while avoiding costly drawdowns. Avoiding these costly drawdowns allows me to meet the objective of capital reservation.</p><p>I employ this strategy because I do not want to experience a large drawdown with my pension assets. During the 2008-2009 market crash many people didn&#39;t even look at their retirement statements because they were afraid of what they would find. I submit that if those people would have used a market strategy like what I outline in this series of articles, they would have been able to avoid much of the decline during the bear market and consequently would have had less emotional stress during that time period.</p><p>The following charts show the current status of the ETFs that I am allowed to buy in my retirement account.</p><p>Chart 2 - Monthly SPY with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db01354ec47cafb30754a83fe2e2220\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 2 shows that SPY declined over 9% in September. It was a tough month for bulls. SPY remains in bearish alignment. Volume did increase which is bearish. The SPY candle is a very bearish one closing at the low of the month. SPY also closed below the June lows. There is nothing bullish about that development. As I look at Chart 2, I see a potential demand zone where bulls could step in, at the 320 level. The demand zone is outlined in blue. Right now, things don&#39;t look good for SPY. We will see where we go from here. For October, I am staying with my allocation of 40% to SPY. I will look to increase my exposure to SPY once SPY closes above its 10-month moving average which is in red.</p><p>Chart 3 - Monthly IWM with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1017d71508cf02631b0556d24fed337\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 3 shows that small cap stocks fell hard losing 9.66% in September. IWM remains in bearish alignment and like SPY in Chart 2, IWM&#39;s candle for the month was bearish. Volume increased which is also bearish. If you&#39;re a bull on IWM, a positive sign is that IWM held the June lows. It&#39;s the only ETF in this article that was able to do so. That green line on the chart has held so far. The longer IWM remains above the green line, the more valid that level of support becomes. The next bullish development would be IWM closing above the blue 6-month moving average.</p><p>Chart 4 - Monthly IWM: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df4b4c8b3578cf9bc420eee96cbcc7ea\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"577\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 4 still shows that the IWM: SPY ratio is perhaps bottoming. In September the ratio ticked down slightly as IWM underperformed SPY. The low level seems to be holding which is bullish if you are an IWM investor. Despite that bullish feature, the ratio remains in bearish alignment. While the ratio is in bearish alignment the two averages seem to be flattening out and in the case of the blue 6-month moving average, turning higher. That can be seen as a bullish development. Before I consider allocating money to IWM I need to see the ratio get above the red ten-month moving average. This could happen soon.</p><p>Chart 5 - Monthly EFA with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e0595d8a79eafdaec5968ca027ea0ca\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 5 shows that EFA lost 9.22% in September. It was a bearish month with a bearish candle closing just off its lows for the month. Like SPY and IWM, EFA traded on higher volume. EFA remains in bearish alignment. Looking at Chart 5 I don&#39;t see much in the way of support for EFA. EFA could test the COVID lows. As I wrote before, EFA has some work to do before I would consider allocating money to that ETF. I need to see EFA close above the red ten-month moving average.</p><p>Chart 6 - Monthly EFA: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4285ac4e7a7e0b32e169a216dc240c5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There is nothing new to report for Chart 6. The EFA: SPY ratio ticked up a bit in September. The ratio remains at its lows. When looking at a price chart and you see price move from the upper lefthand side to the lower righthand side of the chart, that is the textbook definition of a downtrend. I need to see this ratio close above the red 10 month moving average before I allocate money to EFA over SPY.</p><p>Chart 7 - Monthly EFA: IWM Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41c9d121f8b625d2540babbd062e5de\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"573\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 7 shows that EFA outperformed IWM in September by 0.49%. The ratio has flipped from being in bullish alignment to now being in bearish alignment. The recent series of higher highs and higher lows has been broken. I will continue to watch this chart to see how events unfold.</p><p>Chart 8 - Monthly AGG with 6/10 Moving Averages</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38c9db5314701a1b59f2f1645dfdc458\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Chart 8 shows that AGG lost 4.14% in September. It was a bad month for AGG investors. AGG remains in bearish alignment, lost the green line of support, and the June lows. AGG is now at levels last seen in 2018. AGG is now down over 16% from its highs in August 2020.</p><p>Chart 9 - Monthly AGG: SPY Relative Strength</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b1d14158921e425b7a38cabe3c1851b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The AGG: SPY ratio in Chart 9 gained 5.62% as AGG outperformed SPY in September. The ratio is on the cusp of being in bullish alignment. Both moving averages are trending higher. The ratio is trying to make a series of higher highs and higher lows. We will see if it succeeds.</p><p>In summary, all the ETFs I covered in this article lost money in September. AGG performed the best by losing the least for the month. All the price charts are in bearish alignment. All the price charts are now below their June lows. I see no reason to change my allocation for October. I am keeping my allocation of 40% in SPY and 60% in cash. That may be too conservative, and I can live with that. It could also be too aggressive. We will see. I wrote last month that &#34;… the bear market may have been made as every ETF remains above the June lows. I don&#39;t know.&#34; Well, that proved to be incorrect. There may be more downside ahead for the markets. If SPY closes above its blue 6-month moving average in October, I will increase my allocation to SPY and reduce my allocation to cash. We are now in the unfavorable months for the stock market; June-October. I just try to follow price and the trend. Right now, the trend for equities and bonds remains down. I will monitor the markets for the month of October and then reallocate, if necessary, at the end of the month.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy Current View Of The S&P 500 Index: October 2022 Edition (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 23:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.In this month's article I outline why I am maintaining my October's allocation to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544236-my-current-view-sp500-index-october-2022-edition","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159917391","content_text":"SummaryMy allocation remains the same.June lows have been taken out.Possible demand zone for SPY is identified.In this month's article I outline why I am maintaining my October's allocation to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) at 40% with the other 60% of my assets in cash. First let me review my pension plan performance in September. The market, as measured by the S&P 500 index, lost 9.34% for the month. As for my pension plan assets, I outperformed the index as my investment allocation only lost 3.53%. My investment objective of preserving my capital was not met as I did not make money. I did meet my second investment objective which is beating the S&P 500 index. These results are the same as last month. Table 1 below shows my returns and allocations for the month of September and Table 2 below shows my returns for the past 12 months.I have made changes to Table 2 below after I received a comment from a reader. Table 2 shows new columns to better (more accurately) reflect my investment results. The third column, $100K Hypo, is what my returns would be if I started my account with $100,000 in my first article of this series and followed the allocation recommendations from my articles. The fifth column, $100K SPY, shows the returns of just investing $100,000 and keeping it all allocated to SPY. The percentage returns in the last row show that my strategy returned a negative 8.23% for the last 12 months and simply investing in SPY would have returned a negative 15.49% for the last 12 months. Therefore, I have outperformed SPY for the last 12 months by 7.26%.Table 1 - Investment Returns for SeptemberauthorTable 2 - Investment Returns Last 12 MonthsAuthorTo review the purpose of this series of articles, my retirement account only allows me to buy the following four ETFs: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), and iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). I can also have my money in cash. The question is how to decide where and when to allocate money to these various ETFs.I use my moving average crossover system combined with relative strength charts to determine how to allocate my pension plan assets. My moving average crossover system uses the 6 month and the 10- month exponential moving averages to identify which of the four ETFs are in position to be bought. If the 6-month moving average is above the 10-month moving average, then the ETF is a buy. I call this setup being in bullish alignment. When the 6-month moving average is below the 10-month moving average the setup is referred to as a bearish alignment. When a bearish alignment happens, I don't want to hold that asset. See Chart 1 below for a long-term look at the S&P 500 index using my moving average crossover system.Chart 1 - Monthly SP 500 Index with 6/10 Moving AveragesYou can see that the moving average crossover system provided some excellent long term buy and sell signals that would have allowed investors to capture long duration moves in the index; while avoiding costly drawdowns. Avoiding these costly drawdowns allows me to meet the objective of capital reservation.I employ this strategy because I do not want to experience a large drawdown with my pension assets. During the 2008-2009 market crash many people didn't even look at their retirement statements because they were afraid of what they would find. I submit that if those people would have used a market strategy like what I outline in this series of articles, they would have been able to avoid much of the decline during the bear market and consequently would have had less emotional stress during that time period.The following charts show the current status of the ETFs that I am allowed to buy in my retirement account.Chart 2 - Monthly SPY with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 2 shows that SPY declined over 9% in September. It was a tough month for bulls. SPY remains in bearish alignment. Volume did increase which is bearish. The SPY candle is a very bearish one closing at the low of the month. SPY also closed below the June lows. There is nothing bullish about that development. As I look at Chart 2, I see a potential demand zone where bulls could step in, at the 320 level. The demand zone is outlined in blue. Right now, things don't look good for SPY. We will see where we go from here. For October, I am staying with my allocation of 40% to SPY. I will look to increase my exposure to SPY once SPY closes above its 10-month moving average which is in red.Chart 3 - Monthly IWM with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 3 shows that small cap stocks fell hard losing 9.66% in September. IWM remains in bearish alignment and like SPY in Chart 2, IWM's candle for the month was bearish. Volume increased which is also bearish. If you're a bull on IWM, a positive sign is that IWM held the June lows. It's the only ETF in this article that was able to do so. That green line on the chart has held so far. The longer IWM remains above the green line, the more valid that level of support becomes. The next bullish development would be IWM closing above the blue 6-month moving average.Chart 4 - Monthly IWM: SPY Relative StrengthChart 4 still shows that the IWM: SPY ratio is perhaps bottoming. In September the ratio ticked down slightly as IWM underperformed SPY. The low level seems to be holding which is bullish if you are an IWM investor. Despite that bullish feature, the ratio remains in bearish alignment. While the ratio is in bearish alignment the two averages seem to be flattening out and in the case of the blue 6-month moving average, turning higher. That can be seen as a bullish development. Before I consider allocating money to IWM I need to see the ratio get above the red ten-month moving average. This could happen soon.Chart 5 - Monthly EFA with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 5 shows that EFA lost 9.22% in September. It was a bearish month with a bearish candle closing just off its lows for the month. Like SPY and IWM, EFA traded on higher volume. EFA remains in bearish alignment. Looking at Chart 5 I don't see much in the way of support for EFA. EFA could test the COVID lows. As I wrote before, EFA has some work to do before I would consider allocating money to that ETF. I need to see EFA close above the red ten-month moving average.Chart 6 - Monthly EFA: SPY Relative StrengthThere is nothing new to report for Chart 6. The EFA: SPY ratio ticked up a bit in September. The ratio remains at its lows. When looking at a price chart and you see price move from the upper lefthand side to the lower righthand side of the chart, that is the textbook definition of a downtrend. I need to see this ratio close above the red 10 month moving average before I allocate money to EFA over SPY.Chart 7 - Monthly EFA: IWM Relative StrengthChart 7 shows that EFA outperformed IWM in September by 0.49%. The ratio has flipped from being in bullish alignment to now being in bearish alignment. The recent series of higher highs and higher lows has been broken. I will continue to watch this chart to see how events unfold.Chart 8 - Monthly AGG with 6/10 Moving AveragesChart 8 shows that AGG lost 4.14% in September. It was a bad month for AGG investors. AGG remains in bearish alignment, lost the green line of support, and the June lows. AGG is now at levels last seen in 2018. AGG is now down over 16% from its highs in August 2020.Chart 9 - Monthly AGG: SPY Relative StrengthThe AGG: SPY ratio in Chart 9 gained 5.62% as AGG outperformed SPY in September. The ratio is on the cusp of being in bullish alignment. Both moving averages are trending higher. The ratio is trying to make a series of higher highs and higher lows. We will see if it succeeds.In summary, all the ETFs I covered in this article lost money in September. AGG performed the best by losing the least for the month. All the price charts are in bearish alignment. All the price charts are now below their June lows. I see no reason to change my allocation for October. I am keeping my allocation of 40% in SPY and 60% in cash. That may be too conservative, and I can live with that. It could also be too aggressive. We will see. I wrote last month that \"… the bear market may have been made as every ETF remains above the June lows. I don't know.\" Well, that proved to be incorrect. There may be more downside ahead for the markets. If SPY closes above its blue 6-month moving average in October, I will increase my allocation to SPY and reduce my allocation to cash. We are now in the unfavorable months for the stock market; June-October. I just try to follow price and the trend. Right now, the trend for equities and bonds remains down. I will monitor the markets for the month of October and then reallocate, if necessary, at the end of the month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":756,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004258248,"gmtCreate":1642630973719,"gmtModify":1676533728516,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great articles","listText":"Great articles","text":"Great articles","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004258248","repostId":"2204428037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2204428037","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1642595223,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2204428037?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-19 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204428037","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market isn't the right place for New Year's resolutions. Always focus on the long term for the best results.","content":"<div>\n<p>The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won't differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-19 20:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won't differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4529":"IDC概念","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4538":"云计算","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","MSFT":"微软","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4023":"应用软件","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4543":"AI","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204428037","content_text":"The new year has just begun, but the best investment strategy in 2022 won't differ all that much from the best plan in 2021: Focus on the long term. Recent stock market volatility, especially in technology stocks, can tempt investors to make short-sighted decisions -- but this should be avoided.History supports the argument that time in the market is better than timing the market. Buying quality stocks and exercising patience is a recipe for success, especially if the companies have strong earnings and a high growth rate. That's why these two stocks are prime candidates to deliver fourfold returns by 2030.Image source: Getty Images.1. The case for UpstartArtificial intelligence (AI) will be one of the most transformative technologies of our time. It's being applied in almost every industry in existence, mostly behind the scenes to complete complex tasks that once required thousands of hours of human input. Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) is leveraging AI to transform lending, challenging the decades-old FICO credit scoring system used to assess potential borrowers.The company's AI algorithm can assess over 1,000 data points to form a more comprehensive view on a person's creditworthiness, and 67% of the time it delivers an instant decision. Typically, this would raise concerns about its accuracy, but Upstart-approved borrowers default up to 75% less of the time compared to those assessed the traditional way.Upstart earns revenue through fees when it originates a loan for a bank, so it takes no credit risk itself. After building its foundations in unsecured loan originations, it's now tackling the much larger automotive finance market, partnering with 291 dealerships all over America using its new Upstart Auto Retail sales and lending software. That dealership footprint has grown by 219% in just the last 12 months.Metric20192021 (Estimate)CAGRRevenue$159 million$806 million125%Earnings (loss) per share($0.03)$1.95N/AData sources: Upstart, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.For Upstart's stock to turn $200,000 into $1 million by 2030, the company would have to grow its revenue by 23% every single year between now and then. That assumes its current price-to-sales ratio remains the same. As the above table suggests, Upstart is crushing that 23% growth rate right now.In 2022, analysts expect the company will cross $1 billion in yearly revenue for the first time. And after Upstart handily beat expectations in 2021, history suggests investors should be very optimistic going forward.Image source: Getty Images.2. The case for Advanced Micro DevicesPowering artificial intelligence requires highly advanced computer chips. This hardware is manufactured by semiconductor specialists like Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD). While AI is still an emerging segment for the company, AMD produces chips for many of the technologies and devices that have become critical to the average consumer.For computers, mobile devices, and even gaming consoles like Microsoft's Xbox or Sony's PlayStation, AMD is very often the chipmaker of choice. The company even struck a deal in late 2021 with Tesla to power the infotainment systems in its Model S and Model X electric vehicles.But AMD's next major opportunity might be in the metaverse. Its LiquidVR technology is designed to ensure a smooth graphics experience from its semiconductors used in virtual reality applications, and the company has built versions of these products specifically for the Oculus line of headsets, a brand owned by Meta Platforms. This could be a major growth driver in the future, not that AMD's current performance necessarily needs a boost.Metric20192021 (Estimate)CAGRRevenue$6.7 billion$16.1 billion55%Earnings per share$0.30$2.63196%Data source: Advanced Micro Devices, Yahoo! Finance. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Remember, 23% per year is the growth rate needed for a fourfold return in AMD's stock by 2030, assuming its current price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples remain constant. As it stands, if AMD's revenue growth rate were cut in half, it'd still be above the mark. And on the earnings side, it has even more breathing room.But with new and exciting technologies emerging in the metaverse, and with further advancements in artificial intelligence, it's possible AMD finds even more growth in the future, rather than less.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GFS":0.9,"MSFT":0.76,"AMD":1,"UPST":1,"AI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076343785,"gmtCreate":1657801828947,"gmtModify":1676536063731,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076343785","repostId":"1161773076","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081974100,"gmtCreate":1650189454431,"gmtModify":1676534666063,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081974100","repostId":"2227986491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2227986491","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650153489,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2227986491?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-17 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2227986491","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla as a company has good prospects, but owning the stock comes with some risks.","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company's well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Tesla a Safe Stock to Buy Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-17 07:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company's well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/16/is-tesla-a-safe-stock-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2227986491","content_text":"Tesla ( TSLA -3.65% ) is a company not easily ignored. Customers seem to love the company's well-designed electric vehicles (EVs) while the bulls seem quite pleased with the 33% stock price rise in the last 12 months. On the other end, the bears are very skeptical of the sustainability of its outsized stock price run. After all, Tesla stock delivered more than a 15-fold return in the last five years.But for potential investors thinking about buying the stock now, it is crucial to consider whether it is safe to invest in Tesla today. While that is not going to be an easy exercise, investors should at least consider these two questions about the company and its stock.Image source: Getty Images.1. Is Tesla a durable business?Tesla has reported some solid financials lately. After delivering its first profitable year in 2020, Tesla exceeded that performance in 2021. It delivered a record 936,222 EVs to customers, grew revenue and net profit by 73% and 665%, respectively, and expanded free cash flow by 80% to $5 billion.But note that the last paragraph started out by using the word \"lately.\" It's useful to also be aware that Tesla had never delivered a profitable year until 2020. It has been on the brink of bankruptcy a few times, most recently from 2017 to 2019. But as the worldwide transition from combustion engines into electric engines gained steam, Tesla was favorably positioned to capture the pent-up demand. And it did, as is evident by its solid numbers.While the 2021 result was remarkable, it is still an outlier more than a norm. The biggest issue is that two profitable years provide little assurance that Tesla can sustain that in the coming years. As the car industry is highly cyclical, an economic downturn (such as a recession) will cause consumers to tighten their belts. When that happens, average folks tend to delay their purchase of high-value items like a car, which could reduce industry volume. We still do not know how Tesla will perform in such an environment.On top of that, the EV race has intensified in recent years. While Tesla is still the dominant player -- with a 21% global market share in 2021, according to Autocar -- incumbents like General Motors and Ford Motor Company have big plans to ramp up their production. Tesla also faces competition from Chinese car companies like BYD and Nio. The former, backed by Warren Buffett, sold 593,745 EVs in 2021. BYD also announced that it would stop producing combustion engine vehicles to focus on EVs and plug-in hybrids.In short, Tesla must execute flawlessly in the coming years to maintain its market share and stay profitable. While we do not know whether the company can sustain its strong execution, there is one thing we do know for sure: Gone are the days when Tesla had the whole EV market to itself.2. Does Tesla stock offer a margin of safety?Ask any investor how to make money in the stock market, and the usual reply will be to buy a stock when the price is low and sell when the price is high. However, this argument is incomplete since an investor should also consider the intrinsic value of the stock. The key is to buy when the stock price is lower than the intrinsic value (and sell when it is above).But estimating intrinsic value is not a simple task. Not only are there many methods to calculate the intrinsic value of a company, but every investor will use different variables to compute. It is fair to say that every investor will arrive at a different intrinsic value for the same company.Enter: margin of safety. The idea is that when investors buy a stock at a price materially lower than its intrinsic value, they have room for errors in their estimation of its value. Even if they make mistakes, they generally lose little money since they buy the stock cheaply.So is Tesla's stock cheap enough today to offer a margin of safety to investors? Let us consider a few simple metrics. As of writing, Tesla has a price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21, 35, and 209. Comparatively, General Motors' P/S, P/B, and P/E ratios are 0.5, 1, and 5.9, respectively.Tesla bulls will immediately cry foul, claiming that Tesla is fundamentally a different company from GM. While I agree with them that Tesla is not an average company, my argument is this: Is it worth 30 to 40 times more than GM? Or put it differently, is one Tesla equivalent to 30 to 40 GMs? To me, the answer is probably not.Back to the original question: Is Tesla stock safe to buy?There is no doubt that Tesla is a company with promising prospects. It is a leader in the EV industry and has significant investments in potentially major industries like autonomous vehicles, renewable energy, and others.Still, I don't think it's safe to buy Tesla stock now with your hard-earned money. One reason is the company just turned profitable in 2020. It would need a few more profitable years before investors can safely assume the turnaround is permanent. Besides, its valuation is not cheap, which offers a very little margin of safety for investors.So unless investors are looking for some adrenaline rush, they will be better off staying from the stock. And even if they are looking for such excitement, they can consider buying a Tesla car instead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081975549,"gmtCreate":1650189352082,"gmtModify":1676534666054,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[ShakeHands]&nbsp;","listText":"[ShakeHands]&nbsp;","text":"[ShakeHands]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081975549","repostId":"2227986989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911508259,"gmtCreate":1664233094971,"gmtModify":1676537412822,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gpods article&nbsp;","listText":"Gpods article&nbsp;","text":"Gpods article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911508259","repostId":"2270505400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270505400","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664205741,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270505400?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270505400","media":"MotleyFool","summary":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is a low-cost index ETF that attempts to track the S&P 500 index, which is often used as a proxy for the overall US stock market. With itd expense ratio of 0.09%, investors in that ETF can get returns that nearly perfectly match that index, while losing almost nothing to fund management fees.That combination of stock market like returns with very low internal costs makes the SPDR S&P 500 ETF trust a simple, one-stop shop for investors. It's especially potent for invest","content":"<div>\n<p>With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"motleyfoolau_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investing in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvesting in This ETF Right Now Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/><strong>MotleyFool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com.au/2022/09/26/investing-in-this-etf-right-now-could-make-you-a-millionaire-retiree-usfeed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270505400","content_text":"With the market down substantially from its all-time highs, the benefits of dollar-cost averaging into a low-cost, broad-based stock index fund are becoming quite clear. By making regular investments every payday in this market, each dollar you're investing buys that many more shares while stocks are down. That may not seem like much benefit now, but it means you've got that many more shares available to compound in any recovery that follows.It's with that backdrop that making regular investments in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust starting now could make you a millionaire retiree. It's a process that takes time no matter what the market is doing, which is a great reason to consider starting those investments now, even if the market continues to fall.Why invest in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust?The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is a low-cost index ETF that attempts to track the S&P 500 index, which is often used as a proxy for the overall US stock market. With itd expense ratio of 0.09%, investors in that ETF can get returns that nearly perfectly match that index, while losing almost nothing to fund management fees.That combination of stock market like returns with very low internal costs makes the SPDR S&P 500 ETF trust a simple, one-stop shop for investors. It's especially potent for investors who don't want or are otherwise unable to put a lot of time and effort into digging through financial reports to pick individual stocks. When you add the fact that index investing tends to beat funds managed by Wall Street's best and brightest over time, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust become an even more compelling option.How long will it take to become a millionaire?The path from $0 to $1 million depends heavily on two key factors: how much you're able to invest every month and what rate of return you earn along the way. The good news is that if you've got a long enough time horizon, reaching millionaire status by retirement age is feasible, even for people with modest incomes.The following table shows how many years it takes to reach that millionaire status, depending on what you can save each month and what annual rate of return you earn along the way.Data source: author.The top end of that savings rate -- $2,200 per month -- represents a savings rate that can be contributed to tax-advantaged, retirement-focused accounts for most people. Workers under age 50 can generally contribute up to $20,500 per year in a company-sponsored retirement plan like a 401(k). They can also typically sock away up to $6,000 per year in their own IRA.  (The contribution limits are even higher for workers ages 50 and up. )The bottom end of that savings rate -- $300 per month -- works out to around $10 per day. Even at that savings level, as long as you invest consistently throughout the length of a typical working career, you've got a decent shot at reaching millionaire status by the time you retire.Get started nowRegardless of where you are in your career, you'll never again have more time before you retire than you do right now. That makes today a great day to get your plan in place. The sooner you get started, the more of the cells in that table will be within your reach, improving your chances of retiring a millionaire.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087685681,"gmtCreate":1651012846871,"gmtModify":1676534831004,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087685681","repostId":"1105612207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105612207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650962891,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105612207?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-26 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105612207","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined it","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.</li><li>As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.</li><li>Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.</li><li>Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12b5e22c9ea18c6aaafddb2ada330f9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla&#39;s market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.</p><p>Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.</p><p>Lastly, we examined Tesla&#39;s supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.</p><p><b>Leader In the Fast-Growing EV Industry</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f022e2a9bcb4c4b70c9a9c9fdcd00bf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Company Data, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>In 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eedeab2f43c53da019e1a86a7daf3f45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Notwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.</p><p>To identify Tesla&#39;s market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c46432d3ae2f9d42035308a4425a0bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><i>*Circle size represents average base price</i></p><p>Based on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla&#39;s strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.</p><p>Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla&#39;s average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.</p><p>All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.</p><p>While we find that Tesla&#39;s pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company&#39;s EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving (&#39;FSD&#39;) capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.</p><p>However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.</p><p><b>Expansion into Europe and Other Countries</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63321f487202232316b5fc1f4622231e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Tesla&#39;s largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company&#39;s geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company&#39;s manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f2cd223d67e194e78ea166b59a6e8ab\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>According to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bba7fb5c5f89d9b675d56cdf290e293\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"492\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous Research</span></p><p>From the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d10110c3aabbf8d7bf4bd6a09d8c71cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Based on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker&#39;s vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a9a98c8f9eadce2400f8538bce7c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>InsideEVs</span></p><p>Furthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company&#39;s expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.</p><p>To forecast the company&#39;s automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management&#39;s guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company&#39;s optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).</p><blockquote>We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEO</blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4bf0b4a36d296803bda9cbbec7410e0\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Reduced Reliance on External Suppliers</b></p><p>According to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line&#39;s cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.</p><blockquote>The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.</p><blockquote>In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>According to Tesla&#39;s CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world&#39;s second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources&#39; graphite project is the world&#39;s largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.</p><p>Overall, we expect Tesla&#39;s shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company&#39;s multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae9c78f06d0689e9730a6f8c50d013a4\" tg-width=\"1181\" tg-height=\"327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69f8abca3d76a1754ec83f1b47cb4070\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><b>Risk: Product Reliability</b></p><p>The company&#39;s annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0ff016b400ad258e513aa12290c46ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"158\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Tesla</span></p><p>Furthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.</p><blockquote>Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021</blockquote><p>The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.</p><p>Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company&#39;s warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>To value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a46f1c3d1edab61af758a6a2ae1902\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"644\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Tesla, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>We derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0954b8834487ca3129907df195ac5b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e352afe0c0e29ca19df3c7ce14111695\" tg-width=\"917\" tg-height=\"237\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Based on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5817cd57ab6f4614dcdf997a37b08cf3\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"494\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p><p>Furthermore, the price action of Tesla&#39;s stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fbfd43419151b961547d23df107da07\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Verdict</b></p><p>To conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company&#39;s expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company&#39;s expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as a<i>Hold</i>with a target price of<i>$1,081.</i></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Best EV Stock, But Not At This Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-26 16:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503486-tesla-best-ev-stock-not-at-this-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105612207","content_text":"SummaryWe analyzed the company as the largest in the world with a 21% market share and determined its strong competitiveness based on 106 compiled EV data points.As it expands outside into China and Europe, we expect its growth to be supported by its expansion with a forecast automotive revenue growth rate of 47.6% in 2022.Moreover, we believe its profitability could continue rising with its focus on China and in-house production to reach a net margin of 43% by 2026.Despite its leading position, we believe Tesla stock is perfectly priced and already reflecting in its future growth.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsTesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is the largest EV company in the world with a unit sales market share of 21% in 2021. We analyzed the EV market and Tesla's market positioning in theEV market in terms of its market share. We also looked into its technological capabilities and compared it against competitors in aspects such as the self-driving capability to determine its competitiveness in the EV market.Moreover, we looked into its expansion overseas in Europe and Asia and analyzed the market growth outlook in these geographic regions compared to its home market in the US. Based on its expansions, we projected its automotive production and sales growth.Lastly, we examined Tesla's supply chain and sourcing strategy as it increasingly moves to the in-house production of components. We analyzed its margins and estimated it going forward with the impact of its overseas production and internal production.Leader In the Fast-Growing EV IndustryCompany Data, Khaveen InvestmentsIn 2021, Toyota (TM) held the title as the market leader of the automaker market with the highest share. This is followed by Volkswagen Group (OTCPK:VWAGY), Stellantis (STLA), General Motors (GM) and SAIC which made the top 5. The top 5 consisted of 2 automakers from the European and Asian geographic regions each with General Motors the only US company in the top 5. This is followed by the remaining 5 largest companies which are Honda (HMC), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Ford (F), Hyundai (OTCPK:HYMTF) and Suzuki (OTCPK:SZKMF). Except for Ford (US-based), the rest of the automakers were based in Asia. Tesla did not break into the top 10 largest automakers in 2021.InsideEVsNotwithstanding, according to InsideEVs, Tesla was the market leader in the EV market with a share of 21% of EV unit sales. This is followed by SAIC and Volkswagen which are both the largest in their home markets of China and Europe, respectively, followed by BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF) and Hyundai in the top 5 EV automakers worldwide. In the US specifically, Tesla had dominated the US EV market as it retained its title as the market leader over the past 5 years. However, its market share decreased in 2021 with increasing competition from other automakers such as Chevrolet, FIAT, and Volvo (OTCPK:VOLAF), which gained market share. Globally, Tesla is the market leader in 2021 with the highest market share of unit sales.To identify Tesla's market positioning and to compare it against competitors in the EV market, we compared it against competitors based on several factors including the number of EV model variants, range and average base price. According to data from InsideEVs, we compiled a total of 106 EV models from 18 different EV companies and calculated each of their number of EV model variants, average base prices and range. We plotted these data in the bubble chart below with the range and the number of models on both axes and the midpoints of each factor based on the median and the size of each bubble represented by their average base prices where we see the smaller the circle size, the stronger the advantage for the company.InsideEVs, Khaveen Investments*Circle size represents average base priceBased on the chart, Tesla is placed in the top right quadrant with a higher number of EV model variants such as the Model 3, S and X, than the midpoint of 4 models. Its average range is also above the midpoint, which is around 260 miles. We believe this highlights Tesla's strengths with a wide variety and above-average range. Besides Tesla, the companies in the top right quadrant are Lucid (LCID) Air, Kia, Hyundai and Ford. Meanwhile, in the bottom right quadrant, Porsche (OTCPK:POAHY), Audi (OTCPK:AUDVF) and Nissan are placed there with a high number of models but poor range. On the left side of the chart, most companies are in the top half (5 out of 9) and represented mostly by European-based automakers (6 out of 10) including Mercedes (OTCPK:DDAIF), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Polestar, Jaguar, Volvo and Volkswagen.Moreover, in terms of pricing, the company with the highest average price in the chart is Lucid Air, which is lifted by its expensive Air DreamEditionbut with one of the highest battery capacities and range. Tesla's average price is lower than Lucid Air, Mercedes and Porsche, but has a wider variety with a higher number of EV models at 16 which is the second-highest behind Ford. On the other hand, Chevrolet and Mazda both have the lowest average price with a low average battery capacity of 65kWh and 35kWh which are the lowest and below the average of 88 kWh.All in all, based on our chart, we believe Tesla is placed as the best in the EV market due to its high number of models, which is only behind Ford. However, Tesla edges out over Ford with a higher average range, thus we place Ford as the second best. Although Lucid Air has a better range than Tesla, we believe its high price is a disadvantage to Tesla and we ranked it as the third-best company. In contrast, we believe Mazda is placed in the worst position with a low number of models and poor range with tough competition at its price point from other competitors.While we find that Tesla's pricing is generally higher than competitors, we also note its technological innovation. The company's EVs are equipped with its Autopilot technology to provide driverless assist capabilities using vision-based sensors. According to its annual report, it is also developing its full self-driving ('FSD') capabilities running on neural networks in its vehicles and is currently in beta testing. According to its latest earnings briefing, the company highlighted its FSD program having over 100,000 people and it expects to expand this year.However, several of its competitors also provide similar capabilities such as adaptive cruise control and lane-centering steering including Audi, BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Nissan, Polestar, Porsche and Volkswagen. Besides that, Tesla also provides over-the-air updates to improve the vehicle functions of existing Tesla EVs. According to Munster, while other automakers also provide OTA updates, they are focused on infotainment features whereas Tesla extends these software updates for its EVs to improve range, power, braking, safety, and driver-assistance features.Expansion into Europe and Other CountriesTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla's largest geographic region based on its annual report is the US, which accounts for nearly half of its revenues, while China is its second-largest region with the remaining categorized as its Others segment. The company's geographic revenue indicates its limited presence beyond these regions as most of the company's manufacturing bases are located in the US and China as seen in the table below.TeslaAccording to Tesla, the majority of its production sites are located in the US with a Gigafactory in Texas announced to be opened by April 2022 with an expected capacity of 500,000 for its Model Y. However, the company had been expanding its production facilities overseas with a Gigafactory in Germany which recentlyopenedwith a capacity of up to 500,000 vehicles. This is its second facility outside of the US besides its Gigafactory in Shanghai which opened in 2019.Source: EV Volumes, Meticulous ResearchFrom the table, the largest geographic regions for the EV market are China and Europe which combined accounted for 85% of total global unit sales in 2021. Meanwhile, North America where Tesla is based and derives 45% of revenue only represented 11% of the total market. Furthermore, both Europe and China have higher market forecast unit volume CAGR than North America and higher than the global average.InsideEVsBased on InsideEVs, Tesla was the third largest EV company in China with a unit sales share of 10% in 2021 behind BYD and the SAIC-GM-Wuling joint venture which sells vehicles under the Wuling and Baojun brands. Besides Tesla and Volkswagen, the largest companies are from China which highlights their home-field advantage. For Volkswagen, its popularity is supported by consumer preference for the European automaker's vehicles and SUVs according to AutoCar. Also, it is the largest EV automaker in Europe and the second-largest automaker in the world behind Toyota.InsideEVsFurthermore, the largest EV companies by unit sales in Europe were Volkswagen, Stellantis, Daimler, BMW and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. Tesla had a smaller share than all of these competitors. Besides the Renault alliance, all of the companies were based in Europe which we believe highlights their home-field advantage. We believe the company's expansion overseas in China and Europe could bode well for the company to increase its presence in these regions through its new manufacturing sites to cater to demand and provide tailwinds as the two largest geographic markets for EV.To forecast the company's automotive sales, we first forecasted its vehicle production growth based on its total capacity of 2,050 across its facilities in the US, Shanghai and Berlin. We assumed the company to reach this level by 2023 as it begins operations this year. Beyond 2023, we tapered down its growth to the market forecast volume CAGR of 21.7%. Our projections are close to management's guidance of more than 50% YoY growth for vehicle deliveries in 2022. Also, CEO Elon Musk highlighted the company's optimism about achieving this target in 2022 in its latest earnings briefing (Q1 2022).We remain confident of a 50% growth in vehicle production in 2022 versus ‘21. - Elon Musk, CEOSource: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsReduced Reliance on External SuppliersAccording to Visual Capitalist, rechargeable Li-ion cells are the largest contributor to costs representing 77% of the total cost for the battery pack. According to Nikkei Asia, Lithium-ion batteries were estimated to account for 30% of EV costs. Back in 2019, CEO Elon Musk expected its Model 3 line's cost in China to be 50% lower than its US plants. As it expanded in the country which was ranked 5thin lowest manufacturing cost, it also expanded its local procurement such as through local battery supplier CATL (the largest EV battery maker in China with 48% share). In following its annual report, the company cited the decrease in cost per unit due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China.The average Model 3 and Model Y costs per unit have decreased significantly due to localized procurement and manufacturing in China despite rising raw material, commodity, logistics and expedite costs - Tesla Annual Report 2021Based on its annual report, the company depends on a select few suppliers for its lithium-ion battery cells. These include companies such as Panasonic (OTCPK:PCRFY) (14.5%market share) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (31% global market share) which combined account for 45% of the market share. Thus, we believe this implies a risk to the company due to the high bargaining power of suppliers. Though, the company highlighted in its annual report its plan to shift to in-house production for its batteries and reduce its reliance on its suppliers. As the company increases in-house production, we believe this could reduce the risk of the company facing a margin squeeze by its battery suppliers.In the long term, we intend to supplement cells from our suppliers with cells manufactured by us, which we believe will be more efficient, manufacturable at greater volumes and more cost-effective than currently available cells. – Tesla Annual Report 2021According to Tesla's CEO, the company was estimated to produce 100-gigawatt hours of its 4680 battery cells in 2022 which could support 1.3 mln vehicles and aimed to halve its costs. Moreover, the company recently also announced that it will be sourcing battery components such as graphite from Mozambique, the world's second-largest graphite producer (11%share) after China (59%) through an agreement with Syrah Resources (OTCPK:SYAAF) with plans to purchase 80% of its production from 2025. According to Argus, Syrah Resources' graphite project is the world's largest integrated natural graphite mining and processing operation. Moreover, graphite price had surged by over 50% last year and Consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) expects the supply shortage for graphite to continue in 2022 with a 20,000-tonne graphite deficit. Thus, we view this move favourably for the company to secure long-term supply amid the industry shortage and potentially mitigate rising cost pressures.Overall, we expect Tesla's shift towards in-house production to benefit the company and increase its bargaining power over suppliers. We projected its gross margins based on its COGS per vehicle as its COGS per vehicle had declined by -5.8% on a 5-year historical average and we expect the company to continue reducing its cost per vehicle as it increases its production in scale. We believe this is appropriate given the company's multiple drivers, which we highlighted were its expansion in China and in-house production of batteries. Based on its earnings briefing, management stated that their automotive gross margin has reached above 30% for the first time.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsTesla, Khaveen InvestmentsRisk: Product ReliabilityThe company's annual report highlighted product risks relating to its Autopilot and FSD features as well as batteries.TeslaFurthermore, the company also stated that product recalls could account for significant costs for the company.Such recalls, whether voluntary or involuntary or caused by systems or components engineered or manufactured by us or our suppliers, could result in significant expense, supply chain complications and service burdens, and may harm our brand, business, prospects, financial condition and operating results. – Tesla Annual Report 2021The company incurs warranty expenses and provisioning. In 2021, its accrued warranty balance was $2.1 bln, which represented 3.9% of its total revenue and a decrease from 4.7% in the prior year. We believe that future product recalls could increase its expenses and affect company profitability.Tesla had recently announced a product recall for 579,000 vehicles, which we calculated to be around 26% of total Tesla deliveries since 2016 of 2.2 mln vehicles, in the US due to a violation of federal safety standards over its Boombox sound functions. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the company shall disable the Boombox function when the vehicle is in drive, reverse or neutral over an over-the-air software update. Thus, we believe this could arise additional expenses for the company. Based on the company's warranty expense of $0.579 mln in 2021 and its total vehicle deliveries of 2.2 mln since 2016, we estimate the average warranty expense per vehicle to be $137. Assuming this as the expense incurred with the product recall for 579,000 vehicles, we derived an estimated cost impact of $53.8 mln, which is only 0.3% of revenue.ValuationTo value the company, we used a comparable valuation based on the P/S of its automotive competitors. First, we compiled our revenue projections for the company in the table below with the automotive sales forecast summarized as discussed in the previous points above. We forecasted its Services and other as well as the Energy generation and storage segment based on its 4-year historical average growth tapered down by 5% per year as a conservative estimate.Source: Tesla, Khaveen InvestmentsWe derived our average ratios based on a tiered average with each bracket represented by their past 3-year revenue CAGR. However, a significant number of competitors had negative revenue growth.Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsSource: Seeking Alpha, Khaveen InvestmentsBased on our model, we obtained a 12-month price target of $1,081, which is a Hold rating for us.Source: Khaveen InvestmentsFurthermore, the price action of Tesla's stock seems to support our valuation calculation. Each time the share price reaches around 10% within our price target, the stock price consolidates.Data by YChartsVerdictTo conclude, as the market leader in the EV market with a 21% sales share, we analyzed its market positioning by examining 106 EV models and determined that it had relatively higher pricing in terms of average prices but also a higher number of EV model variants and better battery efficiency as measured by EV range, which places it in the top right quadrant of our EV comparison chart. Besides that, we also highlighted its advantage in terms of its software and self-driving capabilities and features which we believe could provide it with an edge over competitors. As Tesla expands overseas in Europe and China which combined account for over 85% of the EV market, we expect the company's expansion to support its growth with a projected sales growth of 47.6% in 2022. Additionally, we believe the company's expansion in China which its CEO previously stated to be 50% lower than the US and shift towards in-house could boost its margins going forward and we projected its gross and net margins to reach 43% and 23.5% respectively, assuming its COGS per vehicle continues to decrease by -5.8% through 2026. However, given the lofty stock price, we rate the company as aHoldwith a target price of$1,081.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988485691,"gmtCreate":1666823552613,"gmtModify":1676537810107,"author":{"id":"4104031102990960","authorId":"4104031102990960","name":"ececec","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e27c953ce3a0a63b99dd7cf8fdfaf6aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4104031102990960","authorIdStr":"4104031102990960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>","text":"$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988485691","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}