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Good 👍
A well-known American business school professor calls on the Federal Reserve-100 basis points on rate hike tonight!
S.Qing
2022-11-03
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👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055794410","repostId":"1112989094","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112989094","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1655298955,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112989094?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 21:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"A well-known American business school professor calls on the Federal Reserve-100 basis points on rate hike tonight!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112989094","media":"Wind万得","summary":"沃顿商学院的杰里米•西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）呼吁美联储加息100个基点，并表示市场可能已经“接近底部”。这位宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授表示，美联储周三加息100个基点将会是\"遏制通","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Jeremy Siegel of Wharton called for a 100 basis point Fed rate hike and said the market may have been \"near the bottom\".</p><p>The finance professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania said that the Fed's 100 basis point rate hike on Wednesday would be \"a good medicine to curb inflation.\"</p><p>\"The Fed needs to seize the opportunity to curb inflation, although it's a little too late now,\" Siegel said. He made an analogy, saying, \"The current situation requires taking medicine to cure the disease. If the Fed leaves it alone, it will have to take more medicine in the future.\"</p><p>With annual inflation reaching a 40-year high of 8.6% in May, the market's fears of a global economic recession are growing, as central banks need to take more aggressive rate hike to curb inflation.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell could justify such an aggressive move by moving forward the 50 basis point rate hike expected in July and combining it with the 50 basis point expected in June, Segal said.</p><p>Siegal said that if the Fed doesn't take strong measures this week, it will show the market that inflation is not under control. \"If Powell only has a 50 basis point rate hike, I think the market will be very disappointed. Then investors will say that the Fed has no control over inflation and they're not going fast enough.\"</p><p>Siegel said if the Fed nips inflation in the bud, the market could rebound as investors and companies take rate hike into account and begin to cut earnings expectations. He said that after the rate hike is 100 basis points, the Fed can have time to observe the impact of rate hike on the economy.</p><p>He added that overly aggressive moves could trigger a severe recession. Indeed, financial markets have factored in a mild recession in 2023, he added.</p><p>\"I think the market will rebound, and while it's hard to determine the bottom of the market, I think we are close to the bottom,\" Siegel said. \"The right pace of rate hike will indicate that the Fed is doing something to stop inflation. If we end this tightening cycle sooner, a recession will also be less likely in 2023.\"</p><p>Siegel said that if the Federal Reserve takes hawkish measures on Wednesday, inflation should cool by the end of the year, and if commodity prices start to follow stocks into a bear market, then the U.S. economy is on the way to controlling inflation.</p><p>Excess liquidity and rising demand, driven largely by pandemic-induced government stimulus, are driving prices higher, although supply chain constraints have also played a role, Siegel added.</p><p>Deposit accounts at U.S. commercial banks surged by a record $2 trillion in the first half of 2020 during the height of the pandemic, reflecting the amount of cash flowing through the U.S. economy. In April 2020 alone, deposits grew by $865 billion, surpassing the previous full-year record.</p><p>\"In that case, if the Fed could have rate hike earlier, there would not be the inflation problems we are facing now,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A well-known American business school professor calls on the Federal Reserve-100 basis points on rate hike tonight!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA well-known American business school professor calls on the Federal Reserve-100 basis points on rate hike tonight!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-06-15 21:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Jeremy Siegel of Wharton called for a 100 basis point Fed rate hike and said the market may have been \"near the bottom\".</p><p>The finance professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania said that the Fed's 100 basis point rate hike on Wednesday would be \"a good medicine to curb inflation.\"</p><p>\"The Fed needs to seize the opportunity to curb inflation, although it's a little too late now,\" Siegel said. He made an analogy, saying, \"The current situation requires taking medicine to cure the disease. If the Fed leaves it alone, it will have to take more medicine in the future.\"</p><p>With annual inflation reaching a 40-year high of 8.6% in May, the market's fears of a global economic recession are growing, as central banks need to take more aggressive rate hike to curb inflation.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell could justify such an aggressive move by moving forward the 50 basis point rate hike expected in July and combining it with the 50 basis point expected in June, Segal said.</p><p>Siegal said that if the Fed doesn't take strong measures this week, it will show the market that inflation is not under control. \"If Powell only has a 50 basis point rate hike, I think the market will be very disappointed. Then investors will say that the Fed has no control over inflation and they're not going fast enough.\"</p><p>Siegel said if the Fed nips inflation in the bud, the market could rebound as investors and companies take rate hike into account and begin to cut earnings expectations. He said that after the rate hike is 100 basis points, the Fed can have time to observe the impact of rate hike on the economy.</p><p>He added that overly aggressive moves could trigger a severe recession. Indeed, financial markets have factored in a mild recession in 2023, he added.</p><p>\"I think the market will rebound, and while it's hard to determine the bottom of the market, I think we are close to the bottom,\" Siegel said. \"The right pace of rate hike will indicate that the Fed is doing something to stop inflation. If we end this tightening cycle sooner, a recession will also be less likely in 2023.\"</p><p>Siegel said that if the Federal Reserve takes hawkish measures on Wednesday, inflation should cool by the end of the year, and if commodity prices start to follow stocks into a bear market, then the U.S. economy is on the way to controlling inflation.</p><p>Excess liquidity and rising demand, driven largely by pandemic-induced government stimulus, are driving prices higher, although supply chain constraints have also played a role, Siegel added.</p><p>Deposit accounts at U.S. commercial banks surged by a record $2 trillion in the first half of 2020 during the height of the pandemic, reflecting the amount of cash flowing through the U.S. economy. In April 2020 alone, deposits grew by $865 billion, surpassing the previous full-year record.</p><p>\"In that case, if the Fed could have rate hike earlier, there would not be the inflation problems we are facing now,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a85629f2a809e4eabd8677140a5f70","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112989094","content_text":"沃顿商学院的杰里米•西格尔（Jeremy Siegel）呼吁美联储加息100个基点，并表示市场可能已经“接近底部”。这位宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授表示，美联储周三加息100个基点将会是\"遏制通胀的良药\"。“美联储需要抓住遏制通胀的机会，虽然现在有些太晚了，”西格尔说。他打了个比方，称“现在状况需要吃药才能治好病。如果美联储放任不管，以后就得吃更多的药。”随着5月份的年通货膨胀率达到8.6%的40年高点，市场对全球经济衰退的担忧在加大，因为各国央行需要采取更大幅度加息才能遏制通胀。西格尔表示，美联储主席鲍威尔可以将7月份预期的50个基点的加息提前，并将其与6月份预期的50个基点结合起来，从而证明这种激进的举措是合理的。Siegal表示，如果本周美联储没有采取有力措施，将向市场表明通胀并未得到控制。“如果鲍威尔只加息50个基点，我认为市场将会非常失望。然后投资者就会说，美联储对通胀没有控制权，他们走得不够快。”Siegel称如果美联储将通胀问题扼杀在萌芽状态，随着投资者和企业将加息因素考虑在内并开始下调收益预期，市场可能会出现反弹。他称，在加息100个基点后，美联储就可以有时间来观察加息对经济影响。他补充说，过度激进举措可能会引发严重的衰退。他补充说，事实上，金融市场已经考虑到2023年将出现温和衰退。\"我认为市场将出现反弹，虽然很难确定市场底部，但我认为我们已经接近底部，\" Siegel说。 “合适的加息节奏将表明美联储正在采取措施阻止通货膨胀。如果我们早点结束这一紧缩周期， 2023年出现衰退的可能性也会降低。”Siegel表示，如果美联储周三采取强硬措施，通胀应会在今年年底前降温，如果大宗商品价格开始跟随股市进入熊市，那么美国经济就在控制通胀的道路上。西格尔补充说，流动性过剩和需求上升，主要由疫情导致的政府刺激措施推动是推动价格上涨的原因，尽管供应链限制也起到了一定作用。在疫情最严重的2020年上半年，美国商业银行的存款账户激增了创纪录的2万亿美元，这反映了美国经济中流动的现金数量。仅在2020年4月，存款就增长了8650亿美元，超过了此前全年的记录。他说:“那样的话，如果美联储可以更早地加息，就不会出现我们现在面临的通胀问题。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"QID":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"DDM":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984081299,"gmtCreate":1667488966411,"gmtModify":1676537926740,"author":{"id":"4104810307189880","authorId":"4104810307189880","name":"S.Qing","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4104810307189880","idStr":"4104810307189880"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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