SuperDuper1
SuperDuper1
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Before all the so called Robotics takes place .. folks will dump Tesla cars . As it stands , the Tesla value of Tesla cars is plummeting.  If we look at yearly growth , Tesla sales actually declined in 2024z Mush has guided for growrh in 2025, but frankly that looks like a stretch coz Chin Se buyers are likely to give it a miss given the political tension between The Musk led US administration and China. Next China is already leading in robotics and the notion that Musk's a robots will replace US workers is a piped dream.. it would be essentially ceding control over to Musk. Corporate America will certainly hedge their bets . meanwhile Tesla is likely to hit $300 by  1H25. almost half of Wedbush's $ 550 target.
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ROIC is historical and means little unless they have a strategy to maintain that . With so much funds allocated to buy backs at elevated levels , i think the argument for superior ROIC is spurious . Fact is that consumers have greater choice now , including Deepseek and Apple is unlikely to be able to monetise Apple Iintelligence for a subscription fee. Conclusion: Apple is overvalued and Buffett is right 
Apple Is Not Overvalued, Buy And Hold
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-06-11
Absurd rise in share price .. is t he US consumer Gona shell out additional funds just because of AI feature ? Just ridiculous..the fact that Apple have not said how they will monetise the AI feature speaks volumes about their confidence level , yet analysts go berserk with the share price target .
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avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-15
Why is Reuters quoting an obscure Visible alpha's estimates instead of consensus numbers ? Seems dodgy.. 
Singapore's Grab Misses Quarterly Revenue Estimates, Shares Drop
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-06-11
Baidu has US$25b in cash .. It's market cap is now USS$33b.. which means that 77% of market cap is cash. imagine that. If you exclude cash, then the stock is trading at US$8b/ US$1.8b( annualised FCF) or about 4.3x FCF.  The decline in the stock price is a bear raid.. and is totally devoid of fundamentals .. unfortunately analysts are silent.. am a bit at US$94.0
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The Board should rein in Musk or threaten to cut his pay. His political position has affected shareholders. Yet he demands US$50b compensation.
Tesla Car Sales in France, Sweden Drop to Lowest First-Quarter in Four Years
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-05-07
Disagree about SGX and Fraser's Centrepoint . On SGX.. delimiting have exceeded new  Listings.  volume on Sg bourse continues to Decline and Gen Y is only interested in trading US stocks and crypto.  Liquidity is abysmal. On Fraser Centrepoint , while mall locations are good.. consumer spending is hollowi g out and inflation is decreasing g purchasing power . The ability to raise rental is questionable.
4 Singapore Blue-Chip Stocks You Can Buy and Hold Forever
This US$8b MTM profit was used to buffer up Alphabet's earnings and it should be excluded to determine core earnings. It is a non- cash item, which is not subject to corporate tax. Excluding the item, earnings would have been a miss and yet Wall Street is celebrating.
Alphabet’s Profit Gets $8 Billion Boost From SpaceX Investment
Basically they want China to kowtow to the U.S. Not Gona happen.
China Trade Escalation Unfortunate, Loss For Them, US Treasury Secretary Says
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-08-02
The negative pitch coming only after a 10% drop.. when it was going up after the stock split , there were no nay sayers..
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The fact that Tesla in January guided for stronger sales in 2026 could be seen as highly deceptive . The company should have known that tariffs and Trinp's policies against China nd Europe and Musk's involvement in Doge would have an impact on sales.
Option Movers|Tesla's $270 Put Sees Heavy Concentration; BAC Sees 60% Call Options though Plunging 6%
Guidance is BS. Tourist arrivals is expected to decline sharply in 2024 and visitations to its theme parks will be adversely impacted. Between 18-22% of visits to Disney's theme parks in Florida dm California are foreigners . Also logical to expect visits to international theme in Shanghai, HongKong, Tokyo and Paris to deine bcoz it the trade war. Yet Bob Iygwr gives a bullish forecast and no analyst questions the logic. 
Disney Stock Extends Gains to 8% After Raising Profit Forecast on Strong Parks, Streaming
Like as if Morgan Stanley  didn't know that tariffs were coming . 
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They should have highlighted the steep over valuation earlier and also question the logic of 20-30% sales growth that musk touted for 2025.
Tesla Could See 40% of Its Profits Evaporate When Trump Takes Office, JPMorgan Says
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-10-25
If autonomous driving is reason to buy Tesla , one is better off looking at Baidu which already has autonomous vehicles . Tesla's earnings weee supported by govt credits without which it would have missed expectations. 
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This is highly positive for Nvidia and AMD bcoz ?????  That is why the stocks are rallying . Just goes to show how these stocks are just being manipulated and Wall Street analysts remain silent.
Nvidia, AMD Agree to Pay US 15% of China Chip Sale Revenue
Very good REIT Analyst
JPMorgan Upgrades Singapore REITs, Downgrades Banks on Rate Cuts
Truth hurts for some. See u at 200.
What Would Tesla Be Worth Without Elon Musk?
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-12-13
Grossly overvalued .. he never provided details on his valuation or his terminal growth assumption which is key in DCF analysis. Also it's a mistake to use FCF margin as a guide As capex level varies . 
Tesla: A Golden Buying Opportunity
avatarSuperDuper1
2024-11-08
US analysts just invented a new valuation matrix. price / Trump. That's how absurd the U.S. mkt is.. The analysts are openly saying that earnings and cash flow don't matter.
Tesla's Stock Price Nears $300, Watch This Key Level

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