Before all the so called Robotics takes place .. folks will dump Tesla cars . As it stands , the Tesla value of Tesla cars is plummeting. If we look at yearly growth , Tesla sales actually declined in 2024z Mush has guided for growrh in 2025, but frankly that looks like a stretch coz Chin Se buyers are likely to give it a miss given the political tension between The Musk led US administration and China. Next China is already leading in robotics and the notion that Musk's a robots will replace US workers is a piped dream.. it would be essentially ceding control over to Musk. Corporate America will certainly hedge their bets . meanwhile Tesla is likely to hit $300 by 1H25. almost half of Wedbush's $ 550 target.
ROIC is historical and means little unless they have a strategy to maintain that . With so much funds allocated to buy backs at elevated levels , i think the argument for superior ROIC is spurious . Fact is that consumers have greater choice now , including Deepseek and Apple is unlikely to be able to monetise Apple Iintelligence for a subscription fee. Conclusion: Apple is overvalued and Buffett is right
Absurd rise in share price .. is t he US consumer Gona shell out additional funds just because of AI feature ? Just ridiculous..the fact that Apple have not said how they will monetise the AI feature speaks volumes about their confidence level , yet analysts go berserk with the share price target .
Baidu has US$25b in cash .. It's market cap is now USS$33b.. which means that 77% of market cap is cash. imagine that. If you exclude cash, then the stock is trading at US$8b/ US$1.8b( annualised FCF) or about 4.3x FCF. The decline in the stock price is a bear raid.. and is totally devoid of fundamentals .. unfortunately analysts are silent.. am a bit at US$94.0
Disagree about SGX and Fraser's Centrepoint . On SGX.. delimiting have exceeded new Listings. volume on Sg bourse continues to Decline and Gen Y is only interested in trading US stocks and crypto. Liquidity is abysmal. On Fraser Centrepoint , while mall locations are good.. consumer spending is hollowi g out and inflation is decreasing g purchasing power . The ability to raise rental is questionable.
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This US$8b MTM profit was used to buffer up Alphabet's earnings and it should be excluded to determine core earnings. It is a non- cash item, which is not subject to corporate tax. Excluding the item, earnings would have been a miss and yet Wall Street is celebrating.
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The fact that Tesla in January guided for stronger sales in 2026 could be seen as highly deceptive . The company should have known that tariffs and Trinp's policies against China nd Europe and Musk's involvement in Doge would have an impact on sales.
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Guidance is BS. Tourist arrivals is expected to decline sharply in 2024 and visitations to its theme parks will be adversely impacted. Between 18-22% of visits to Disney's theme parks in Florida dm California are foreigners . Also logical to expect visits to international theme in Shanghai, HongKong, Tokyo and Paris to deine bcoz it the trade war. Yet Bob Iygwr gives a bullish forecast and no analyst questions the logic.
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If autonomous driving is reason to buy Tesla , one is better off looking at Baidu which already has autonomous vehicles . Tesla's earnings weee supported by govt credits without which it would have missed expectations.
This is highly positive for Nvidia and AMD bcoz ????? That is why the stocks are rallying . Just goes to show how these stocks are just being manipulated and Wall Street analysts remain silent.
Nvidia, AMD Agree to Pay US 15% of China Chip Sale Revenue
Grossly overvalued .. he never provided details on his valuation or his terminal growth assumption which is key in DCF analysis. Also it's a mistake to use FCF margin as a guide As capex level varies .
US analysts just invented a new valuation matrix. price / Trump. That's how absurd the U.S. mkt is.. The analysts are openly saying that earnings and cash flow don't matter.
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