$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ I like ARKK here 82.If the melt-up is back on, I speculate ARKK will outperform again.For context, April through October ARKK delivered major outperformance against the SPY, QQQ, and IWM. If the melt-up is back on (it is still an if imo) I see no reason why this outperformance trend does not win in the final melt-up phase.If the melt-up fails, the trade is risk managed by 79, and more importantly the 50-day moving average. This trend does well to support sustained advances.ImageFor SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.🎉Cash Boos
tomthetrader1
No personal profile
0Follow
239Followers
0Topic
0Badge
I Speculate ARKK will Outperform Again
I Speculate ARKK will Outperform Again
Add Exposure When Prices Hold Above 150
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MTN, Vail Resorts. This could take more time to consolidate. (My first trade here failed earlier this year on earnings breakdown in April). I'm taking a second attempt here with an initial entry 153.There is a descending resistance + the long term moving average hanging out together. The weak rallies on the break of the long term range with a 5 - 10% rally. If MTN doesn't stall in this range, there is likely a stronger rally in development at that stage looking to target 205Weak argument for a higher low in this stage, price will need to cross 175 for that to get stronger. At that point 205 is the natural mean on the chart.I will want to add exposure when prices hold above 150. Below 140 this head goes back on the shelf.ImageFo
Add Exposure When Prices Hold Above 150
.SPX: Take a Very Cautious Stance on the Market
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ All day long. Below 6652, above 6652, below 6652, above 6652. Currently 6654 at time of post19 minutes left in session.For me the session close particularly important being that Friday flashed all three risk-off criteria. A close below confirms it and I take a very cautious stance on the market. Close above and the melt-up narrative can live another day.2.6654 - may the melt-up live on for another day.This session close makes for a missed confirmation signal, and second false alarm this year (last one Aug 1) in my systemFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out
.SPX: Take a Very Cautious Stance on the Market
ARKK: Wait for the Long Consolidation!
Not so long ago Morningstar and the media had a heyday calling Cathie Wood a "Wealth Destroyer", meanwhile the ETF was breaking out of a two and a half year long consolidation.Here we are, 98% later. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ Line chart on TradingView platform displays ARKK ETF price from 2021 to 2024 with axes labeled in USD, showing downward trend to low around 30 in 2022 then consolidation and upward breakout to 98 by mid-2024, red circle marks low point, horizontal resistance line at 45.98, text overlay ARKK, watermark from TradingView.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out mo
ARKK: Wait for the Long Consolidation!
ARKK: Winner Always Win!
Market thoughts: I’m at the stage where I’m watching for something break— it hasn’t yet. My core analysis of trend, breadth and momentum continue to say “stay in” This market is bullish until proven guilty, pullbacks earn the benefit of the doubt every time. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ has been the primary trade for me through this stage from mid May. Getting that right delivered outperformance and comfort into the final quarter of the year. I’ve targeted 90-100 for the trade, but maintain consideration for 130.Sentiment is surprisingly neutral creating plenty of space for euphoria to transpire. Fund manager positioning isn’t anything resembling overstretched. Neither suggesting “everyone is in the pool”This market will break at some point into a
ARKK: Winner Always Win!
.SPX: Breadth Kept Positive to End the Session
1. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ held the 50 day $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ keeping above 225 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is chasing towards 6418Wouldn’t count the broader rally dead just yet. Still 2.5hours in the session left, the close and follow through tomorrow will matter.2.6415 — close enough for my analysis. Breadth kept positive to end the session.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10
.SPX: Breadth Kept Positive to End the Session
.SPX: The Bull Market Will Coming?
1.Markets closed Friday with the strongest breadth reading in 2025. Across NYSE and Nasdaq listings more stocks made new highs than lows. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ This simplified breadth perspective is core to my weekly analysis. A strong reading is supportive of the ongoing bullish narrative.2.It is most certainly not bearish. As always, more thoughts on Sunday in long form letter. Have a super weekend.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：💰Join the TB Contra Teleg
.SPX: The Bull Market Will Coming?
.SPX: The Whole Stock Market is Outperformance!
Look. This is the partially the right outlook imo. You will be bullish much more than bearish. You don’t need to worry about bear markets, but certainly need to be aware of conditions that lead to one. Successfully do this and you outperform. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Correctly navigating February through April is responsible for majority of outperformance for me this year.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up
.SPX: The Whole Stock Market is Outperformance!
.SPX IS Undeniably Bullish!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Between Sydney Sweeney, Trump, and the haters (where there is good argument to be made that they don’t spend the money anyway) you’ve all made American Eagle more popular than it has been in the last 5 years. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Undeniably bullish.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram G
.SPX IS Undeniably Bullish!
.SPX& VIX: The Market is Great!
This market is great. Mostly everyone makes money in this phase. It is “fun” That said; it is important to begin thinking about how to secure it if rainy day/weeks/months come. For me, it is simple. When trend, breadth and momentum all simultaneously falter this is my risk-off alarm 🚨 (the last alarm was Feb 21). Until then I intend to keep positioned long, using $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ as a core trade for outperformance. I think similar to the past intermediate tops, the leading indicator will be stretched sentiment for duration and us equity positioning (NAAIM > 100 + Fear & Greed Index in Extreme Greed). $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a C
.SPX& VIX: The Market is Great!
ARKK Continues to Look Hot!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Markets continue to look hot. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ 6230 is the level to hold on the S&P 500, until that breaks there is limited reason to be bearish. Looking ahead towards August & September is some seasonal weakness. Seasonality is never a certainty— but I pay attention. August / September could be a sideways consolidation that gives this rally a pause and cools sentiment & positioning. That would be a wonderful setup into the final three months of the year. ARKK has served well to capture outperformance, I think 90-100 remains in the cards for this trade.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,0
ARKK Continues to Look Hot!
.SPX: Momentum is Up but Still Need Time
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Through Tuesday the market risk-off signals remain absent. Trend is up until prices close below 6100 (this level will climb as the 20 day moves up)More stocks are making new highs than new lows. Breadth is good in this measure.Momentum is up, but arguably neutral over the last two months0/3 risk off criteria. Everybody knows I enjoy trading the bear scenario. It’s not there yet for me.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a
.SPX: July is Seasonally Strong
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: Following a review of my weekend market analysis, I cannot yet become bearish and remain in a kind of 'autopilot' bull mode. I will likely share cautious analysis as the market gets frothy to keep my own thoughts in check.The sentiment and equity positioning are stretching to the upside, however the market can operate in extreme greed for much longer than a single week. July is seasonally strong. There is plenty of space to carve out a healthy corrective structure towards 6080, this is ~3%. Sentiment and positioning would likely cool in this scenario. Until trend, breadth and momentum breakdown corrective moves towards 6080 earn the benefit of the do
.SPX: July is Seasonally Strong
.SPX: Keep Price Above 6100
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Trend is King.Jesse Livermore’s motto: Follow the line of least resistance.Today’s tape:🚀 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just broke all-time highs💪Breadth is expanding (more highs than lows)👻Risk-on proxies ( $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ , $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ) are breaking outLivermore would stay long while the trend holds——but watch price like a hawk. He never married a position.For bulls in July, the job is simple: Keep price above 6100. We just went through a healthy move like this in May.Image2.This gives everyone 3 weeks to watch for topping patterns, structure, sentiment and digest more head
.SPX: Keep Price Above 6100
ARKK, SPY& IWM Look Bullish There
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you! $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ following through well following the Friday breakout. ✅ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ holding 6000 ✅ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ crossing above 212 ✅ Looks bullish out there.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
ARKK, SPY& IWM Look Bullish There
.SPX Welcome Great Support Last Week
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts:The week ends on a bullish note, claiming back the psychological 6000. ✅ More stocks continue to make new highs than new lows = breadth is good/supportive ✅ Signs of momentum in $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ and $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ = good indicator of risk appetite ✅ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
.SPX Welcome Great Support Last Week
EL: Breakout Underway
Michael Burry’s lone holding $Estee Lauder(EL)$ is breaking out this morning. 👀 Like I said, I don’t know why he likes it— but I know I like the chart and it was well set up for a breakout. Breakout underway.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: Wha
EL: Breakout Underway
EL: A Potential Breakout!
1.Victoria’s Secret turned a corner in 2022 🤔Image2.In a world where Ozempic and Wegovy are the path of least resistance, VSCO Victoria Secret will emerge a winner. 🤔 VSCO now trading 22.503. $Estee Lauder(EL)$ I don’t know what Michael Burry sees in Estee Lauder— I know I see a potential breakout. I am long EL stockImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram G
EL: A Potential Breakout!
SPY: What's Going on Next?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The primary outlook is a constructive advance towards new all-time highs in the S&P 500, risk-managed by the three core market signals: trend, breadth, and momentum. Unless all three risk-off criteria trigger simultaneously, this remains the guiding path.I never know when the next “alarm” is going to be— this is the point when all three of my criteria flash risk-off. It could be as short as a few days or as long as half year between alarm bells. What I can control is how I respond when an alarm goes. It a simple rule, protect capital; either hedge long exposure, or raise cash— if it gets worse and odds begin to favour a larger decline vs just the need to hedge, it is then where taking short positions against SPY is a simple
SPY: What's Going on Next?
Trading Ideas| Investing Rules
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ In Orwell’s 1984, society was split in three:- The Inner Party ruled- The Outer Party enforced - The Proles lived, labored, and were lied toNothing changed. The structure always reset. Proles could rise, briefly. But the hierarchy held.Feels a lot like the stock market.Retail = the proles.Institutions = the Outer Party.Those with Fed speed-dials = the Inner Party.Just a thought as retail shops $4.1B I’m stock in the first three hours of trading this morning. A brief rise, but there will be as there always is a reset. Pay lots of attention next 3-6 months.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks
Trading Ideas| Investing Rules
Go to Tiger App to see more news