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07-31

Share price already beaten a lot reflecting the current situation

UnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse

06-10

Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?

05-06

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The Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why

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UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118479343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.</p><p>Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/72dfb743db5a3c9cfdfe2abc112d043a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"618\"/></p><p>The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told <em>Fortune</em> at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”</p><p>On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.</p><p>And then came the report of second quarter earnings.</p><p>Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”</p><p>Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”</p><p>Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”</p><p>Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-31 21:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.</p><p>Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/72dfb743db5a3c9cfdfe2abc112d043a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"618\"/></p><p>The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told <em>Fortune</em> at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”</p><p>On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.</p><p>And then came the report of second quarter earnings.</p><p>Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”</p><p>Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”</p><p>Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”</p><p>Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118479343","content_text":"UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told Fortune at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.And then came the report of second quarter earnings.Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UNH":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":444598153515464,"gmtCreate":1749568592764,"gmtModify":1749569007118,"author":{"id":"4178893637275192","authorId":"4178893637275192","name":"BL888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4178893637275192","idStr":"4178893637275192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","listText":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","text":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/444598153515464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":432081173028928,"gmtCreate":1746511957839,"gmtModify":1746513945312,"author":{"id":"4178893637275192","authorId":"4178893637275192","name":"BL888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4178893637275192","idStr":"4178893637275192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/432081173028928","repostId":"2533456287","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2533456287","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1746511200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2533456287?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-05-06 14:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2533456287","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not goodThe market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumblin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not good</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d9c17d09f914164a80ef52dd2ecc5d2\" alt=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" title=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"649\"/><span>The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</span></p><p>The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</p><p>The normal pattern is for investors to be <em>more cautious</em> rather than <em>less cautious</em> after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.</p><p>Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&amp;P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.</p><p>Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6298775ae698731f3068fde615ff9e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&amp;P 500’s all-time high.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.</p><p>Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.</p><h3 id=\"id_511698279\" style=\"text-align: start;\">What about market timers in other arenas?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/450612ba23d085e7a60662b8ec8af7a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-06 14:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not good</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d9c17d09f914164a80ef52dd2ecc5d2\" alt=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" title=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"649\"/><span>The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</span></p><p>The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</p><p>The normal pattern is for investors to be <em>more cautious</em> rather than <em>less cautious</em> after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.</p><p>Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&amp;P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.</p><p>Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6298775ae698731f3068fde615ff9e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&amp;P 500’s all-time high.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.</p><p>Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.</p><h3 id=\"id_511698279\" style=\"text-align: start;\">What about market timers in other arenas?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/450612ba23d085e7a60662b8ec8af7a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2533456287","content_text":"There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not goodThe market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.The normal pattern is for investors to be more cautious rather than less cautious after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&P 500’s all-time high.If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.What about market timers in other arenas?In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":462705544352480,"gmtCreate":1753970599558,"gmtModify":1753970849439,"author":{"id":"4178893637275192","authorId":"4178893637275192","name":"BL888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4178893637275192","idStr":"4178893637275192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share price already beaten a lot reflecting the current situation&nbsp;","listText":"Share price already beaten a lot reflecting the current situation&nbsp;","text":"Share price already beaten a lot reflecting the current situation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/462705544352480","repostId":"1118479343","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1118479343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1753970349,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1118479343?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-07-31 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118479343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.</p><p>Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/72dfb743db5a3c9cfdfe2abc112d043a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"618\"/></p><p>The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told <em>Fortune</em> at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”</p><p>On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.</p><p>And then came the report of second quarter earnings.</p><p>Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”</p><p>Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”</p><p>Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”</p><p>Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUnitedHealth Drops Another 3%. UnitedHealth Didn't Just Miss Earnings, It Did Something Far Worse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-31 21:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.</p><p>Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/72dfb743db5a3c9cfdfe2abc112d043a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"618\"/></p><p>The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told <em>Fortune</em> at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”</p><p>On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.</p><p>And then came the report of second quarter earnings.</p><p>Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”</p><p>Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”</p><p>Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”</p><p>Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118479343","content_text":"UnitedHealth Group, America’s largest healthcare company, shocked investors Tuesday by reporting unexpectedly awful financial performance. It’s the second consecutive quarter the company has committed that sin. As a result, UHG is no longer just a company that missed its numbers. It’s something much more rare: A huge enterprise—No. 3 on the Fortune 500—confessing fundamental, long-standing problems endemic throughout the organization that may take years to remedy.Shares dropped another 3.3% on Thursday.The crisis first manifested in April. UHG was emerging from the trauma of executive Brian Thompson’s high-profile murder in December when the company released first-quarter profits far below Wall Street’s expectations. The stock plunged, slashing over $100 billion from market value within hours. A month later, CEO Andrew Witty abruptly resigned for unspecified personal reasons, and former CEO Stephen Hemsley returned to the job. The stock plummeted again. The next day, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Department of Justice was investigating UHG for possible criminal Medicare fraud. The company said it hadn’t been notified of any such investigation. The stock nosedived yet again.In less than a month, this corporate giant had lost more than half its value. “This is a stock that every growth-oriented portfolio manager in the world owned for a decade and made money on it like clockwork,” Whit Mayo, an analyst at the Leerink healthcare investment bank, told Fortune at the time. “It’s stunning. It’s unthinkable.”On July 24, five days before UHG’s second quarter earnings release, the company acknowledged that the Justice Department was conducting criminal and civil investigations of the company over its Medicare billing practices. You can guess what the stock did.And then came the report of second quarter earnings.Now, after months of being pummeled by investors, regulators, and media, Hemsley has admitted that UHG needs an exhaustive, stem-to-stern rehab—an extraordinarily audacious goal for an organization of some 400,000 employees. It’s a stark acknowledgement of deep and wide problems. How deep and wide? Hemsley says UHG will change “leadership, our businesses, our culture, approaches and practices, our board, governance and succession oversight…”Executives now beseech shareholders for patience—quite a change from four months ago, before $330 billion of market cap evaporated. Dr. Patrick Conway, CEO of Optum, one of UHG’s two main divisions, now tells investors, “We know Optum’s performance has not met expectations.” Tim Noel, CEO of the other division, insurance, says, “We are approaching our business with greater humility.”Hemsley appears to be setting expectations low. He says he does not see profit increasing at all this year. Next year, he sees “solid but moderate” earnings growth. Not until 2027 does he expect “our earnings growth outlook strengthening quickly.”Even that schedule may not allow enough time. When Hemsley returned as CEO in June, the board of directors gave him a one-time $60-million award of stock options that would vest after three years. That term seemed lengthy for a 73-year-old whose objective was to right the ship. Now, after the latest quarter and the highly ambitious wide-ranging transformation he’s attempting, investors may wonder if three years will be enough.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UNH":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":444598153515464,"gmtCreate":1749568592764,"gmtModify":1749569007118,"author":{"id":"4178893637275192","authorId":"4178893637275192","name":"BL888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4178893637275192","idStr":"4178893637275192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","listText":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","text":"Hi bro, Thank you very much for your sharing . Mind to share how do you get such info ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/444598153515464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":432081173028928,"gmtCreate":1746511957839,"gmtModify":1746513945312,"author":{"id":"4178893637275192","authorId":"4178893637275192","name":"BL888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4178893637275192","idStr":"4178893637275192"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/432081173028928","repostId":"2533456287","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2533456287","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1746511200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2533456287?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-05-06 14:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2533456287","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not goodThe market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumblin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not good</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d9c17d09f914164a80ef52dd2ecc5d2\" alt=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" title=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"649\"/><span>The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</span></p><p>The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</p><p>The normal pattern is for investors to be <em>more cautious</em> rather than <em>less cautious</em> after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.</p><p>Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&amp;P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.</p><p>Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6298775ae698731f3068fde615ff9e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&amp;P 500’s all-time high.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.</p><p>Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.</p><h3 id=\"id_511698279\" style=\"text-align: start;\">What about market timers in other arenas?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/450612ba23d085e7a60662b8ec8af7a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Worst Probably Isn’t over for the Stock Market — Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-06 14:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not good</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d9c17d09f914164a80ef52dd2ecc5d2\" alt=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" title=\"The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.\" tg-width=\"921\" tg-height=\"649\"/><span>The market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</span></p><p>The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.</p><p>The normal pattern is for investors to be <em>more cautious</em> rather than <em>less cautious</em> after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.</p><p>Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&amp;P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.</p><p>Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6298775ae698731f3068fde615ff9e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&amp;P 500’s all-time high.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.</p><p>Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.</p><h3 id=\"id_511698279\" style=\"text-align: start;\">What about market timers in other arenas?</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/450612ba23d085e7a60662b8ec8af7a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2533456287","content_text":"There has been an even bigger surge in optimism — and that’s not goodThe market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry, and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.The stock market’s near-record-setting rally over the past month may soon peter out, according to a contrarian analysis of investor sentiment.That’s because alongside the market’s rally there has been an even bigger surge in optimism. Many on Wall Street are behaving as though the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility is now behind us. That’s a bad omen from a contrarian point of view, since the market likes to climb a so-called Wall of Worry — and the wall that existed as recently as a couple of weeks ago is now crumbling.The normal pattern is for investors to be more cautious rather than less cautious after the market completes a round trip through a correction. That’s because the correction makes investors even more aware than they were previously about the risks they face in the stock market. So even when the market makes it back to where it was before the correction, the typical investor is more wary.Not this time, however. The roundtrip from the stock market’s tariff tizzy was completed last Friday, May 2, when the S&P 500 closed higher than where it had been on April 2 before President Donald Trump imposed his “liberation day” tariffs. And yet Wall Street’s mood is significantly more upbeat today than it was then.Consider the average recommended equity-exposure level among several dozen short-term stock-market timers monitored by my performance-auditing firm. (This average is what’s reflected in the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HSNSI.) This average was 25 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.An even bigger increase was registered among short-term market timers who focus on the Nasdaq in particular. This average (the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI, in the accompanying chart) was 64 percentage points higher on May 2 than on April 2.Another illustration of this surge in optimism comes from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which measures where CNN’s read of market sentiment stands relative to its history on the fear-versus-greed spectrum. Higher readings indicate less fear and more greed, and on May 2 this index was 35 percentage points higher than on April 2. In fact, it is even higher today than where it stood on Feb. 19, the day of the S&P 500’s all-time high.If this were the beginning of a new bull-market leg that could take the broad market indexes to new all-times highs, then we’d expect that the past three weeks’ rally would have been met by more skepticism. Since it hasn’t, contrarians expect that the rally will soon lose steam.That doesn’t necessarily mean that a bear market is imminent. One possible scenario is that the market pulls back into correction (but not bear market) territory and the mood on Wall Street sours considerably. The Wall of Worry that thereby gets built might then be strong enough to support a push to new highs.Contrarians prefer not to speculate, however, letting the market tell its story in its own time. And for now, the moral of that story is that caution is a virtue.What about market timers in other arenas?In addition to the HSNSI and the HNNSI, my firm also calculates two other sentiment indexes: One for the gold market, and a second for the U.S. bond market. The chart below summarizes where all four sentiment indexes currently stand relative to their histories.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}